Usdjpysell
USDJPY (great buy trade ahead)USDJPY has been in a very clear uptrend for the last few weeks and has been for a while! It is currently inside an upward channel and has recently broken the last major resistance zone which means it is extremely likely to keep heading to the upside for much longer (just a very minor resistance level which is causing slight delays for its bullish movements). The next target will be the fibonacci extension zone which is shown on the chart. USDJPY has struggled to break below support but has constantly been breaking through resistance levels. BUY USDJPY NOW it's going up
USDJPY (great buy trade opportunity)USDJPY has been in a very clear uptrend for the last few weeks and has been for a while! It is currently inside an upward channel and has recently broken the last major resistance zone which means it is extremely likely to keep heading to the upside for much longer (just a very minor resistance level which is causing slight delays for its bullish movements). The next target will be the fibonacci extension zone which is shown on the chart. USDJPY has struggled to break below support but has constantly been breaking through resistance levels. BUY USDJPY NOW
USDJPY - Time To Buy Right nowUSDJPY has been in a very clear uptrend for the last few weeks and has been for a while! It is currently inside an upward channel and has recently broken the last major resistance zone which means it is extremely likely to keep heading to the upside for much longer (just a very minor resistance level which is causing slight delays for its bullish movements). The next target will be the fibonacci extension zone which is shown on the chart. USDJPY has struggled to break below support but has constantly been breaking through resistance levels. BUY USDJPY
USDJPY Approaches Key Reversal Zone After Strong Bullish Impulse📊 USDJPY – 1H Timeframe | Detailed Market Structure & Reversal Zone Analysis
This chart shows U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen (USDJPY) on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a strong bullish expansion followed by price approaching a critical reversal zone, where traders should shift from chasing momentum to waiting for confirmation.
🔹 Higher-Timeframe Context & Trend
USDJPY has been in a clear bullish trend, supported by strong momentum and higher highs. The move started after a period of consolidation and compression, where price formed a contracting structure (triangle / coil). This compression phase often acts like a spring, storing energy before a directional breakout.
Once the structure broke, price delivered a sharp impulsive rally, confirming bullish dominance and aggressive participation from buyers.
🔹 Impulse Move & Market Strength
The vertical bullish move is clean and decisive:
Large bullish candles with minimal pullbacks
Strong acceptance above previous highs
Indicates trend acceleration, not random volatility
This kind of move usually leads price toward premium zones, where smart money begins managing positions rather than initiating new buys.
🔹 Reversal Zone (Key Supply Area)
The highlighted blue zone near the highs is marked as a “Reversal Zone”, which is a critical area to monitor:
It aligns with a premium price area
Potential supply and profit-taking zone
Often attracts counter-trend traders and institutional distribution
Price entering this zone does not automatically mean a sell. The chart clearly emphasizes “Need Pattern”, meaning confirmation is required before considering short positions.
🔹 Price Action Expectations
Two main scenarios are possible from this zone:
1️⃣ Bearish Rejection Scenario
Price forms bearish patterns (pin bar, engulfing, lower high)
Momentum weakens
Leads to a corrective pullback toward lower support levels
2️⃣ Bullish Continuation Scenario
Price consolidates inside the zone
Breaks above with strong volume
Continues the uptrend after a brief pause
The drawn projection reflects both possibilities, reminding traders to react, not predict.
🔹 Trading Psychology & Risk Management
This is a decision-making zone, not an entry-by-emotion area:
Avoid FOMO buys at highs
Wait for structure or candle confirmation
Trade only when the market gives clarity
Professional traders focus on confirmation + location, and this chart highlights both perfectly.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Overall bias: Bullish, but cautious near highs
Key focus: Reversal zone reaction
Best approach: Wait for price action confirmation
Invalid idea: Strong bullish acceptance above the zone
This setup is ideal for traders who value patience, structure, and clean price action, making it suitable for both intraday and short-term swing strategies.
USDJPY: Bearish Drop to 154.57?FX:USDJPY is eyeing a bearish reversal on the 4-hour chart , with price approaching a key resistance zone near cumulative short liquidation, converging with a downward trendline touch and a potential entry area that could trigger downside momentum if sellers break the ongoing consolidation. This setup suggests a pullback opportunity amid the recent rally, targeting lower support levels with favorable risk-reward exceeding 1:3.🔥
Entry between 155.78–155.94 for a short position🎯. Targets at 155 (first), 154.57 (second). Set a stop loss at a daily close above 156.165 📊, yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:3. Monitor for confirmation via a bearish candle close below entry with rising volume, leveraging yen's persistent weakness.🌟
Fundamentally , USD/JPY faces a packed week with U.S. payrolls, key Fed speakers and a pivotal BoJ meeting all on tap. The BoJ is expected to potentially hike rates this week, with market seeing a rise in USD/JPY as anticipation builds. On the USD side, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released a highly mixed employment report on Tuesday, offering markets both reassurance and renewed concern, deepening Fed's focus on labor risks. Weak US data has pressured the Dollar, keeping DXY near 98.30, which could influence the pair further. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Short):
155.78 – 155.94
🎯 Targets:
• 155.00 (first)
• 154.57 (second)
❌ Stop Loss:
• Daily close above 156.165
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• > 1:3 overall
💡 Your view?
Will USDJPY reject this resistance for a deeper pullback toward 154.57 — or does momentum push it into another upside extension? 👇
USD/JPY Trading Below SMA Signals Downside RiskUSD/JPY "THE NINJA" - BEARISH PROFIT PATHWAY SETUP 📉💰
📊 MARKET STATUS (REAL-TIME VERIFIED)
Current Price: ~154.79 - 155.14 ✅
Timeframe: 4H Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment: BEARISH with Strong Technical Confirmation
🎯 TRADE SETUP BREAKDOWN
🔴 ENTRY STRATEGY
Wait for Confirmation: Simple Moving Average BREAKOUT & RETEST
Entry Zone: Near @154.700
⚠️ IMPORTANT: Do NOT enter blindly! Wait for proper SMA breakout and retest confirmation in 4H timeframe.
🛑 STOP LOSS MANAGEMENT
Recommended SL: @155.500 (Thief's SL)
⚡ CRITICAL NOTES FOR OG TRADERS:
Place your SL AFTER breakout & retest confirmation
Adjust based on YOUR strategy and risk tolerance
This is NOT financial advice - trade at your own risk
Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's): YOU control your risk management!
🎯 PROFIT TARGET
Primary TP: @153.500
Why This Target? 🔍
✅ Strong Support Zone
✅ Oversold Conditions
✅ Liquidity Trap Area
✅ Multi-pair Correlation Confluence
💎 SMART EXIT STRATEGY:
Scale out profits at psychological levels
Trail your SL as price moves in your favor
Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's): Take money at YOUR discretion!
NOT a recommendation - YOUR money, YOUR rules!
💹 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (USD DOLLAR PAIRS)
🔗 POSITIVE CORRELATION (Move Together with USD/JPY)
USD/CHF - Swiss Franc pair (Strong USD correlation)
USD/CAD - Canadian Dollar pair (Commodity-linked)
🔄 NEGATIVE CORRELATION (Move Opposite to USD/JPY)
EUR/USD (~-1.1765) - Euro inverse relationship
GBP/USD (~1.3387) - Pound inverse movement
AUD/USD (~0.6650) - Aussie inverse correlation
YEN CROSS PAIRS TO MONITOR
EUR/JPY (~182.05) - Euro-Yen correlation check
GBP/JPY (~207.39) - Pound-Yen higher volatility
AUD/JPY (~102.77) - Commodity currency correlation
🧠 KEY TECHNICAL POINTS & CORRELATION INSIGHTS
📌 WHY THIS SETUP WORKS:
1. USD Strength Dynamics
When USD/JPY moves down, we typically see:
EUR/USD and GBP/USD move UP (negative correlation)
JPY strength across all yen crosses (EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY decline)
2. Multi-Pair Confirmation
Watch these for bearish confirmation:
If EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY show weakness = Strong JPY buying
If AUD/JPY breaks support = Risk-off sentiment (JPY gains)
If USD/CHF weakens = General USD weakness
3. Risk Sentiment Indicator
JPY is a SAFE-HAVEN currency:
Risk-off = JPY strengthens (USD/JPY drops)
Risk-on = JPY weakens (USD/JPY rises)
4. Central Bank Watch 🏦
Federal Reserve: Rate decisions impact USD strength
Bank of Japan: Potential policy shifts affect JPY direction
Interest rate differential = KEY driver for this pair
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER
🚨 READ CAREFULLY:
This is a trade idea, NOT financial advice
Past performance ≠ future results
Forex trading carries significant risk
Only risk capital you can afford to lose
Always use proper risk management (1-2% per trade max)
Adjust position sizing based on YOUR account size
NO guarantees of profit - markets are unpredictable
👥 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's):
I am NOT recommending you blindly follow this setup. This is MY analysis based on technical confluence. YOU make your own decisions. YOU manage your own risk. YOU take responsibility for YOUR trades.
📈 TRADE MANAGEMENT CHECKLIST
✅ Wait for SMA breakout confirmation
✅ Confirm retest at @154.700 zone
✅ Check correlated pairs for confluence
✅ Set SL at @155.500 (or based on YOUR strategy)
✅ Monitor EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY for JPY strength
✅ Watch USD/CHF for USD weakness confirmation
✅ Scale out at @153.500 or your target
✅ Trail SL as trade progresses
🎯 FINAL WORD
This setup combines:
Technical breakout strategy
Multi-timeframe analysis
Correlation confluence
Risk management principles
Smart money concepts
Remember: The market doesn't owe you anything. Trade smart, manage risk, and protect your capital FIRST, profits SECOND.
💬 ENGAGE WITH THIS IDEA
👍 If you found this analysis helpful!
💭 Comment your thoughts and strategy
📊 Share your USD/JPY setups
🔔 Follow for more professional trade ideas
Stay Sharp. Trade Smart. "THE NINJA" Way! 🥷
Disclaimer: Trading involves substantial risk. This is educational content only. Always do your own research and consult with financial professionals before trading.
#USDJPY #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #PriceAction #TheNinja #BearishSetup #ForexStrategy #CurrencyCorrelation #RiskManagement #ForexEducation #TradingIdeas #JPY #USD #ForexSignals
USDJPY → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupYou can expect a reaction in the direction of selling from the specified resistance zone
USDJPY moving higher as it tests the strong resistance level..
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
-------------------
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
USDJPY - great time to buyUSDJPY has been in a very clear uptrend for the last few weeks and has been for a while! It is currently inside an upward channel and has recently broken the last major resistance zone which means it is extremely likely to keep heading to the upside for much longer (just a very minor resistance level which is causing slight delays for its bullish movements). The next target will be the fibonacci extension zone which is shown on the chart. USDJPY has struggled to break below support but has constantly been breaking through resistance levels. BUY USDJPY now
USD/JPY Price Outlook 📊 Technical Structure
FX:USDJPY USD/JPY remains under bearish pressure below the descending trendline and the 155.99–156.17 resistance zone. Price repeatedly failed to break through this area, signalling strong selling interest and reinforcing the broader downtrend structure.
The pair continues to oscillate toward the 155.20–155.02 support zone, where buyers have previously stepped in, but momentum still favours the downside as long as the market stays below 156.00. A retest of resistance followed by rejection would keep the bearish sequence intact. A confirmed breakout above 156.17 would invalidate this structure.
🎯 Trade Setup (Bearish Scenario)
Bias: Sell from resistance after rejection.
Entry: 155.99 – 156.17
Stop Loss: 156.40
Take Profit 1: 155.20
Take Profit 2: 155.02
Risk–Reward Ratio: ~1 : 2.4
The bearish idea remains valid while price remains below 156.17 on a 4H closing basis.
🌐 Macro Background (Simplified)
JPY fundamentals continue to lean supportive despite short-term fluctuations:
Markets expect the Bank of Japan to hike rates as early as next week, supporting the Yen and reinforcing policy divergence with the US.
The Federal Reserve delivered another rate cut, keeping the USD soft and maintaining downward pressure on USD/JPY.
Risk-on sentiment limits safe-haven demand for JPY, but BoJ’s tightening trajectory outweighs this, keeping upside capped.
Japan’s weaker fiscal outlook creates some hesitation among Yen buyers, yet does not offset the broader macro forces favouring JPY strength.
Overall, the macro environment aligns with the technical bias for further USD/JPY downside.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: 155.99 – 156.17
Support Zone: 155.20 – 155.02
Invalidation Level: 156.17 (4H breakout)
📌 Trade Summary
USD/JPY continues to respect the descending trendline and strong resistance near 156.00. As long as the pair remains capped below 156.17, the market maintains a bearish bias toward 155.20–155.02. Retests of resistance provide attractive short opportunities aligned with both technical and macro trends.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
USDJPY FRGNT DAILY FORECAST - Q4 | W50 | D12 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W50 | D12 | Y25 |
📊 USDJPY FRGNT DAILY FORECAST
💰FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:USDJPY
USDJPY FRGNT DAILY FORECAST & RESULT - FORECAST POSTED 2 DAYS AG📅 Q4 | W50 | D12 | Y25 |
📊 USDJPY FRGNT DAILY FORECAST & RESULT - FORECAST POSTED 2 DAYS AGO
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
USDJPY 📈 +4% Locked In 🎯
Shared earlier inside FRGNT Learn & Earn 🔥
👉 Standard snap-retest entry
👉 HTF directional long bias
👉 Asia range confluence perfectly aligned
🚀 Targeting the 4H 50 EMA — clean, controlled execution.
FRGNT 📌
USDJPY is bullish - buy nowUSDJPY has been in a very clear uptrend for the last few weeks and has been for a while! It is currently inside an upward channel and has recently broken the last major resistance zone which means it is extremely likely to keep heading to the upside for much longer (just a very minor resistance level which is causing slight delays for its bullish movements). The next target will be the fibonacci extension zone which is shown on the chart. USDJPY has struggled to break below support but has constantly been breaking through resistance levels. Time to buy USDJPY now.
USD/JPY) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY – 1H SMC Outlook
1. Market Context – Bearish Framework
Price is trading inside a descending channel, creating:
Lower highs
Lower lows
This indicates a macro bearish trend and a high probability that rallies into premium areas will be sold.
Your trendlines confirm:
Market respecting upper trendline as dynamic supply.
Lower boundary acting as long-term liquidity pool.
---
2. Current Price Action – Corrective Rally
Recent bullish push looks corrective, not impulsive:
Pullback into imbalance (FVG)
Respecting 50 EMA / under 200 EMA
Weak momentum compared to prior sell legs
This supports the idea of reaction + continuation lower.
---
3. Supply + FVG Confluence (Main POI)
The blue box marks a strong supply/FVG zone around:
155.45 – 155.65
Confluences:
Imbalance fill
Previous supply zone
Structure mitigation level
Upper trendline touch
200 EMA overhead
This is a premium zone for shorts.
---
4. Liquidity Perspective
There is resting liquidity:
Above POI
Enough liquidity to fuel a sharp rejection
Expect a wick into supply (sweep)
Below price
Equal lows / clean structure at 154.08
Major liquidity magnet
This supports a sell-side target.
---
5. Expected Price Behavior (Base Case)
Ideal flow (as drawn on chart):
1. Price taps into FVG + supply
2. Rejection with displacement
3. Lower high forms
4. Expansion sell-off
5. Sweep of downside liquidity
Primary target:
154.087
Extended target (channel low):
153.60 – 153.30
---
6. Entry Plan (If Trading This)
Entry:
155.45 – 155.65 (FVG/Supply zone)
Stop:
Above rejection wick
155.90 – 156.05 depending on aggressiveness
Targets:
1. 154.70 (partial)
2. 154.08 (model target)
3. 153.60 (runner)
R:R potential: 1:3 to 1:6
---
7. Validations & Confirmations
Lower time frame confirmation (5–15m):
Look for:
CHoCH / BOS bearish
Rejection wick at POI
FVG left behind
Market structure shift
This will filter weak entries.
---
8. What Can Invalidate the Setup?
Bullish continuation invalidates if:
Price breaks and holds above 156.00
Strong bullish displacement closes above trendline
FVG fails to reject
This would imply accumulation, not distribution.
Until then, bearish bias remains valid.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Overall Thesis
This is a textbook corrective pullback into premium prices inside a downtrend:
Trend: bearish
Structure: lower highs
Context: corrective rally
POI: supply + FVG + trendline
Target: liquidity below
Bias: Short from premium → sell-side liquidity
Very clean setup.
---
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
USD/JPY 4H Analysis — Potential Breakout SetupUSD/JPY has been trending inside a descending channel since late November, making consistent lower highs and lower lows.
Current price is testing the upper channel resistance near 155.35–155.50, and the SMA (9) is flattening toward SMA (20) — indicating weakening bearish momentum.
🔥 Trade Bias: Neutral → Bullish Above 156.00
🔍 Key Levels:
Resistance: 156.00 – 156.20 (Breakout Zone)
Minor Support: 155.00
Major Support: 154.60 – 154.40 (Channel Bottom)
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Break & candle close above 156.00 triggers bullish momentum.
Upside Targets:
156.50
157.20
158.00
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Price rejection from the channel top may push price lower toward:
155.00
154.60
154.40 (Bounce Zone)
📊 Indicators:
Price stuck at upper trendline → decision zone
SMA 9 approaching SMA 20 → momentum shift
Volume likely to spike on breakout
🧭 Trade Plan (Clear & Simple):
Buy Only Above: 156.00 (confirmation candle)
Sell Only Below: 154.60 (channel break)
⚠️ Risk Note:
Upcoming U.S. economic events may trigger volatility — trade with SL.
USDJPY - time to buy nowUSDJPY has been in a very clear uptrend for the last few weeks and has been for a while! It is currently inside an upward channel and has recently broken the last major resistance zone which means it is extremely likely to keep heading to the upside for much longer (just a very minor resistance level which is causing slight delays for its bullish movements). The next target will be the fibonacci extension zone which is shown on the chart. USDJPY has struggled to break below support but has constantly been breaking through resistance levels. buy USDJPY now.
USD/JPY) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY 1H chart and the exact trade logic behind your idea:
---
Market Structure
Overall structure is bearish:
Clear lower highs
Clear lower lows
Price is moving inside a descending channel → confirms trend continuation to the downside.
---
EMA Analysis
EMA 50 ≈ 155.10
EMA 200 ≈ 155.57
Price is currently:
Below EMA 200
Retesting EMA 50 from below
→ This confirms bearish market control.
---
Key Supply Zone + FVG (Blue Box)
The marked zone around 155.55 – 155.75 is:
Previous breakdown area
Fair Value Gap (FVG)
EMA 200 resistance
Trendline resistance
This zone is a high-probability sell area.
---
SMC Logic
We have:
1. Strong bearish impulse
2. Pullback into FVG + Supply
3. Liquidity resting above
4. Expected rejection after mitigation
This is a textbook SMC Sell Setup after retracement.
---
Trade Idea (Based on Your Chart)
Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 155.55 – 155.75
Stop Loss: Above 156.05
Target 1: 154.60
Final Target: 154.08 (your marked target)
Risk : Reward: Approx 1:3+
---
Projected Price Path
Small push into supply
Liquidity grab above zone
Strong impulse drop
Final dump toward 154.08 liquidity
---
Invalidation
This setup is invalid if:
H1 candle closes above 156.05
Or price breaks above the descending channel
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Final Verdict
Trend: Bearish
Structure: Lower Highs / Lower Lows
Entry: Supply + FVG + EMA 200
Target: 154.08
Bias: SELL on retracement
---
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
USD/JPY Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure
FX:USDJPY USD/JPY is trading around 155.00, struggling to break above the 155.05–155.18 Resistance Zone, where repeated rejections continue to maintain a short-term bearish bias. Price remains capped beneath this ceiling, with bearish wicks showing supply pressure.
The structure favours a pullback as long as price stays below 155.18. A clean hourly close above this level would invalidate the setup and indicate deeper recovery potential. On the downside, the 154.43–154.56 Support Zone remains the next magnet if rejection continues.
🎯 Trade Setup (Sell Bias)
Entry: 155.05 – 155.18
Stop Loss: 155.30
Take Profit 1: 154.56
Take Profit 2: 154.43
Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1 : 2.23
Bearish idea remains valid as long as USD/JPY stays below 155.18.
A breakout and hourly close above this level invalidates the trade.
🌐 Macro Background
USD/JPY remains trapped in narrow consolidation on Friday, but the broader macro backdrop still favors JPY strength. Despite weak Japanese Household Spending falling 2.9% YoY, the market remains focused on rising expectations for a BoJ rate hike, supported by Governor Ueda’s recent hawkish remarks. Elevated Japanese government bond yields—10-year JGBs at the highest levels since 2007 and 20-year yields near 1999 highs—continue to narrow the rate differential and attract JPY buying.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar struggles to extend its rebound, even after upbeat US labor market data, as traders expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates next week. Fed expectations remain firmly dovish, marking a significant contrast to the BoJ’s tightening bias, keeping upward pressure on the Yen.
Traders remain cautious ahead of the US PCE inflation report, which will act as a key driver for both USD volatility and short-term direction in USD/JPY.
Overall, diverging policy expectations—BoJ hawkish vs. Fed dovish—maintain a bearish macro tone for USD/JPY.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: 155.05 – 155.18
Support Zone: 154.43 – 154.56
Invalidation Level: 155.30
Downside Targets: 154.56, 154.43
📌 Trade Summary
USD/JPY continues to face resistance around 155.18, holding a bearish intraday structure. The preferred approach is to sell rallies into the resistance zone, targeting a continuation toward 154.43–154.56. A move above 155.30 cancels the idea and signals a shift in momentum.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
USDJPY - buy nowUSDJPY has been in a very clear uptrend and has been for a while! It is currently inside an upward channel and has recently broken the last major resistance zone which means it is extremely likely to keep heading to the upside for much longer (just a very minor resistance level which is causing slight delays for its bullish movements). The next target will be the fibonacci extension zone which is shown on the chart. USDJPY has struggled to break below support but has constantly been breaking through resistance levels. buy USDJPY now.
USDJPY - Time to buy nowUSDJPY Is in a very clear uptrend and has been for a while! It is currently inside an upward channel and has recently broken the last major resistance zone which means it is extremely likely to keep heading to the upside for much longer (just a very minor resistance level which is causing slight delays for its bullish movements). The next target will be the fibonacci extension zone which is shown on the chart. USDJPY has struggled to break below support but has constantly been breaking through resistance levels. buy USDJPY now.
USD/JPY Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure
FX:USDJPY USD/JPY remains under pressure within a clear downtrend, capped by a descending trendline from recent highs. The pair has bounced off the 155.21–155.39 support zone, but any recovery is still unfolding below the key 156.08–156.27 resistance zone, where prior demand has turned into supply.
The chart shows a bearish continuation structure:
Resistance zone: 156.08 – 156.27
Support zone / target area: 155.21 – 155.39
As long as price remains below the descending trendline and 156.27, rallies into the resistance band are likely to attract sellers, with downside potential back toward the 155.39–155.21 support area. A 1H/4H close above 156.27 would warn that the bearish structure is breaking and could open the way toward 156.60+.
🎯 Trade Setup
Idea: Sell rallies into resistance, targeting a move back toward the 155.49–155.27 support zone.
Entry: 156.08 – 156.27
Stop Loss: 156.35
Take Profit 1: 155.39
Take Profit 2: 155.21
Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 2.64
Bias stays bearish while price holds below 156.08–156.27 on a closing basis. A sustained break above 156.27 would invalidate the short setup and call for a reassessment.
🌐 Macro Background
According to FXStreet, the Japanese Yen retains a bullish bias as comments from BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda reinforced expectations for an imminent rate hike. Ueda signalled that if growth and inflation evolve as expected, the BoJ remains on track to raise rates further, pushing Japanese government bond yields to their highest levels in years and narrowing the rate gap versus other major economies. This supports the JPY and weighs on USD/JPY.
At the same time, the US Dollar has slipped to a nearly two-week low as markets increasingly accept that the Federal Reserve will cut rates again in December. Recent dovish remarks from several Fed officials, combined with softer US data, have strengthened rate-cut bets and pressured the USD, adding to the downside bias in USD/JPY.
Japan’s data backdrop is also mildly supportive for the Yen:
Capital Spending has risen for a third straight quarter (though at a slower pace),
Composite PMI sits at 52.0, pointing to modest private-sector expansion,
The government pledges prudent fiscal management while monitoring rates.
Overall, hawkish BoJ expectations + dovish Fed pricing + softer risk tone favour further downside in USD/JPY, aligning with the bearish technical setup.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance zone: 156.08 – 156.27
Support zone: 155.21 – 155.39
Invalidation level (bears): 156.35
📌 Trade Summary
USD/JPY remains locked in a downtrend beneath a descending trendline, with sellers defending the 156.08–156.27 resistance zone. As long as this ceiling holds, the strategy favours selling rallies into resistance and targeting the 155.39–155.21 support band. Divergent policy expectations—BoJ turning more hawkish while the Fed leans dovish—continue to support the bearish view on USD/JPY, though upcoming US data (ISM, later NFP/ISM services, etc.) could inject short-term volatility.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
USD/JPY) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of breakdown of the idea from your chart analysis (USD/JPY 1H):
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Bearish Setup Explanation
The chart shows price consolidating inside a rising wedge, which is typically a bearish reversal pattern in an overall downtrend.
Two strong rejections (red arrows) from the supply zone around 156.35–156.45, confirming sellers’ presence.
50 EMA and 200 EMA are currently above price, acting as dynamic resistance, supporting bearish bias.
The price is currently sitting near wedge support, and the expectation is a breakdown below trendline support, leading to momentum selling.
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Key Levels
Type Price
Resistance zone (Sell zone) 156.35 – 156.45
Current price 156.15
Breakdown confirmation Below 156.00
Main target 155.18
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Trade Idea
Sell after breakout retest
If price breaks below 156.00, wait for a pullback retest to enter — safer confirmation.
TP1: 155.60
TP2 (Major target shown): 155.18
SL: above 156.45 zone (short term structure invalidation)
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Reasoning
Strong supply zone rejection
Bearish wedge formation
EMA bearish alignment
Potential fundamental catalysts upcoming (red news icons marked)
Mr SMC Trading point
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Bias Summary
Bearish short term
As long as price stays below 156.45, sellers remain strong.
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If you want, I can:
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