SELL Signal – GBPJPY📉 SELL Signal – GBPJPY
🔹 Entry: 151.981
🎯 Final Target: 151.176
🛡️ Stop Loss: (Set as per your risk management)
Analysis:
Price is showing bearish pressure from the resistance zone around 151.981. If sellers continue to hold control, we can expect a move toward 151.176. Watch for confirmation with candle closures below key intraday supports before entering.
📊 Trend: Bearish Momentum Building
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Usdjpyshort
USDJPY Holds Firm Above 151, Dollar Strength Faces Yen’s Haven USDJPY has surged to fresh highs above 153 before pulling back, showing how stretched the pair has become after weeks of relentless dollar strength. The dollar continues to benefit from sticky US inflation and hawkish Fed expectations, but the yen is finding some defensive flows as Japanese politics and global risk aversion come into play. This leaves USDJPY in a pivotal zone: either buyers defend the 151 handle for another push higher, or yen resilience drags the pair into a deeper correction.
Current Bias
Bullish – Despite the pullback, the trend remains tilted toward further USD strength as long as price stays above 151.00.
Key Fundamental Drivers
US Dollar (USD): Firm inflation, resilient labor data, and higher Treasury yields keep the dollar bid. The Fed is signaling patience before cutting, supporting front-end yield spreads in favor of the USD.
Japanese Yen (JPY): BOJ remains ultra-loose, but rising domestic political pressure and stronger wages are fueling speculation that policy normalization could come earlier than expected.
Risk Sentiment: JPY gains when equities wobble, while USD stays supported by yield and safe-haven flows.
Macro Context
Interest Rates: Fed is cautious about cutting, while BOJ is still holding rates near zero. The divergence remains a powerful driver of USDJPY.
Economic Growth: US growth has outpaced expectations, while Japan shows modest recovery but still depends heavily on exports.
Geopolitical Themes: US–China tariffs, Middle East risks, and Japanese election speculation all tilt in favor of JPY demand on risk-off days, but USD retains the upper hand when markets stabilize.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A sharp shift in BOJ guidance or surprise yen-supportive intervention could trigger a rapid unwind in USDJPY longs.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
US CPI data – any upside surprise could cement Fed caution and push USDJPY back to highs.
BOJ commentary – signals of policy adjustment would likely strengthen the yen.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
USDJPY is a leader in yen pairs, often setting direction for EURJPY, GBPJPY, and CADJPY. It also acts as a barometer for global risk sentiment, with USDJPY strength often reflecting broad dollar dominance.
Key Levels
Support Levels:
151.50
149.95
Resistance Levels:
153.15
154.00
Stop Loss (SL): 148.40
Take Profit (TP): 153.15
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
USDJPY remains bullish above 151.00, with a stop placed at 148.40 to guard against deeper corrections. A take-profit zone near 153.15 aligns with the recent rejection point. The key watchpoints are US inflation data and BOJ communication, both of which could determine if this move extends higher or stalls. For now, USDJPY remains the dominant driver of yen flows, keeping its role as a leader among JPY crosses.
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 20, 2025 USDJPYThe dollar–yen pair has stabilized around 150.700, but the fundamental backdrop favors a downward correction. Falling US Treasury yields and persistent expectations of Fed policy easing narrow the rate differential that previously supported USD/JPY. Against this background, demand for the yen as a safe-haven asset tends to increase whenever the dollar shows signs of weakening.
Japan’s domestic agenda sends mixed signals: cabinet reshuffles and discussion of economic measures provide short-term support to equities, but for the exchange rate the key driver remains the trajectory of US Treasury yields and the risk of investor caution near levels that previously drew attention from financial authorities.
Given recent US rate commentary and the decline in global yields, the base case is a gradual move in USD/JPY toward 149.500, barring new factors that sharply improve the dollar backdrop. Risks to this view include unexpectedly restrictive signals from the US or a renewed rise in yields.
Trade recommendation: SELL 150.700, SL 150.900, TP 149.950
USDJPY Analyisis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/JPY BEARISH CHANNEL TOWARDS KEY 150.00 SUPPORT ZONE🔍 Chart Overview:
The USD/JPY pair is currently trading within a clear descending channel, indicating sustained bearish momentum. The price action has formed consistent lower highs and lower lows, respecting both the upper resistance and lower support boundaries of the channel.
📊 Key Technical Observations:
Range Formation:
Initially, the pair moved sideways in a consolidation range before breaking structure to the downside — marking the transition from accumulation to distribution.
CHoCH (Change of Character):
The CHoCH confirms a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish, validating the start of the current downtrend.
Resistance Rejection:
Price recently rejected from the channel resistance area around 152.10 – 152.50, showing seller dominance and continuation of bearish control.
Current Price Action:
The pair is now approaching the lower boundary of the bearish channel near 150.00, a strong psychological and technical support zone.
📉 Projection:
The forecast on the chart suggests a potential minor pullback toward 150.70 – 151.00 before resuming its downward move toward 150.00 support.
A clean break below 150.00 could extend the decline toward 149.50 or even lower.
However, if 150.00 holds, we could see a short-term bullish correction back to mid-channel levels.
⚙️ Trading Outlook:
Bias: Bearish continuation within channel
Resistance Zone: 151.10 – 151.50
Support Zone: 150.00 (key psychological level)
Next Targets:
✅ First target: 150.00
⚠️ Second target (if breakdown): 149.50
UJ Short Looking for continued shorts. Potential fib reaction off .618. LH and LL printing, expecting bolt to complete just above .27 ~150.186. Anticipating it to move beyond this point to -.618 ~149.764. I'm taking a quarter point TP @ 149.750.
I'm open to discussion and critique let know what you think.
USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY TESTING SUPPORT POSSIBLE REBOUND BEFORE BEARISH BREAKDOWNOverall Market Context
The pair USD/JPY is currently trading around 152.25, showing some consolidation after a previous bullish move.
The chart is labeled with key areas such as Support Zones, an Upward Channel, and a Range period, indicating a mixed structure between bullish and corrective phases.
📈 Technical Analysis
1. Trend Structure
The chart shows a clear upward channel, suggesting a longer-term bullish trend.
However, price is currently testing the lower boundary of that channel, which often acts as a critical support line.
If this lower trendline fails, it could trigger a correction or reversal.
2. Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: Around 152.80 – 153.00
This aligns with the previous highs and upper channel limit.
Immediate Support: Around 152.20 → 151.59
Price is hovering near this region now — a break below 151.59 may signal weakness.
USDJPY: Selling on lower timeframes as price retraces on the 4hTo better understand my current outlook on USDJPY, please refer to my previous higher-timeframe and fundamental analyses:
* Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide.
** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals.
*** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion.
**** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it.
George Vann @ ZuperView
USDJPY possible bearish for 149.4510th October daily key reversal bar formed, made a new high closed on the low, early indication for bearish reversal. if break down into 4h and smaller time frames. 152.20-40 4h supply zone for short. while 152.70-153.27 daily supply zone for short. stop loss above the key reversal bar i.e. 153.45, target: 149.45.
USD/JPY Bearish Channel Breakdown – Order Block Retest StrategyThe pair is clearly in a downtrend channel (bearish parallel channel).
Price has been respecting lower highs and lower lows, indicating consistent bearish pressure.
The recent bearish order block (OB) and support retest area are the key zones.
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📉 Chart Structure Analysis
1. Bearish Channel:
Price continues to move inside a well-defined descending channel.
Each pullback toward the upper boundary has been followed by a new lower low.
2. Support Zone:
The price is currently testing a support level near 151.00.
There’s a temporary pause here — possibly a minor liquidity grab before further downside.
3. Bearish Order Block (OB):
The OB is around 151.700–152.000, acting as a strong supply zone.
If price retraces back to this OB, sellers might re-enter with strong momentum.
🔍 Strategy Plan
✅ Bearish Scenario (Most Probable)
Expect a retest of the OB zone (151.700–152.000) before continuing down.
Once rejection appears (bearish engulfing / pin bar / break of structure on smaller TF), enter Sell.
Target: 149.700 (previous swing projection).
Stop-loss: Above OB at 152.200.
Trade Setup Example:
Entry: 151.800 (OB retest)
SL: 152.200 (40 pips)
TP: 149.700 (210 pips)
Risk/Reward: ≈ 1:5.2 ✅
⚠ Bullish Scenario (Low Probability
If price breaks above 152.200 with strong bullish candles and retests it as support,
the bearish channel is invalidated → next target could be 153.000–153.500.
📊 Confirmation Tips
Before entering:
Check for bearish rejection candles on the 15m–30m timeframe.
Confirm with RSI divergence (bearish) or MACD crossover downward.
Watch DXY strength — if the dollar weakens, USD/JPY will likely drop.
🧭 Summary
Bias Entry Zone Stop Loss Target R:R Confidence
🔻 Bearish 151.7–152.0 152.2 149.7 1:5+ High
USD/JPY Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure
FOREXCOM:USDJPY USD/JPY is trading near 151.70, consolidating after recent declines. The chart highlights a resistance zone at 152.28–152.39 and a support zone at 151.05–151.18. A short-term rebound toward resistance is possible, but failure at the resistance zone could trigger a downside move back to support. A break below 151.05 would open the door to deeper losses.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: 152.28–152.39 (sell near resistance)
Stop Loss: 152.50
Take Profit 1: 151.40
Take Profit 2: 151.18
Take Profit 3: 151.05
Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1 : 4.96
🗝️ Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: 151.05–151.18
Resistance Zone: 152.28–152.39
Trendline Resistance: Downtrend from October highs
🌍 Macro Background
The Japanese Yen gained modest support after Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato warned of one-sided FX moves, fueling speculation of possible intervention. Expectations that the Bank of Japan may raise rates later this year also underpin the yen. However, political uncertainty following the LDP–Komeito coalition breakup and the pending confirmation of Sanae Takaichi as Japan’s first female Prime Minister adds risks, possibly slowing BoJ’s tightening.
On the US side, Trump softened his tariff stance after previously threatening 100% tariffs on Chinese imports effective November 1, easing trade-war fears and supporting risk appetite. The US Dollar remains firm near recent highs, but dovish Fed rate cut expectations (25 bps in October and December, with 97% and 90% odds respectively) limit further upside. Meanwhile, the US government shutdown has dragged into a third week, delaying key economic data releases. The market focus is now on Fed Chair Powell’s speech, which could provide the next directional driver.
📌 Trade Summary
USD/JPY is capped by 152.39 resistance. Short positions near this zone could offer favourable setups, targeting 151.17–151.05 support levels. A clear break above 152.55 would invalidate the bearish outlook.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
USD/JPY) Bearish Trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY (1H) chart shows a bearish SMC (Smart Money Concept) setup — here’s the idea breakdown
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Trade Idea: Bearish Setup — USD/JPY
Market Context
Price has been in a strong bullish trend, reaching a local high near 152.35.
Recently, the price broke structure to the downside, signaling potential shift from bullish to bearish order flow.
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Key Technical Points
1. FVG (Fair Value Gap) Break
The chart marks an FVG break zone around 152.30–152.45.
This zone acts as a premium re-entry area where institutional traders may rebalance orders before pushing price lower.
2. Rejection Zone (Supply Area)
Price is currently retracing back into the FVG zone, forming potential lower-high structure.
Expect rejection confirmation (bearish candle / liquidity sweep) before continuation down.
3. Bearish Continuation Expectation
After the retest, price is projected to drop toward the lower demand zone / target point around 150.25.
That area aligns with previous demand / liquidity pool, a likely point for profit-taking or reversal.
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Trade Plan
Entry: Wait for bearish rejection or liquidity sweep inside the 152.30–152.45 zone.
Stop Loss: Above 152.50 (above FVG high).
Take Profit: Around 150.25 target zone (major demand area).
Mr SMC Trading point
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Market Logic
The structure shows:
Break of structure (BOS) confirming bearish shift.
Fair Value Gap retest for premium entry.
Liquidity targeting at the lower demand zone.
This setup follows institutional flow — sell after retracement, target imbalance fill.
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Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
USD/JPY: Bearish Drop to 147.82?FX:USDJPY is signaling a bearish move on the 4-hour chart, with an entry zone between 150.4-150.92 near a key resistance level.
The target at 147.82 aligns with strong support, offering a clear downside play. Set a stop loss on a c lose above 151.135 to manage risk effectively. 🌟
A break below 149.3 with solid volume could confirm this drop, driven by JPY strength and USD softening. Watch Bank of Japan updates! 💡
📝 Trade Plan:
✅ Entry Zone: 150.40 – 150.92 (resistance area)
❌ Stop Loss: Daily close above 151.135 to manage risk
🎯 Target: 147.82 (strong support)
Ready for this move? Drop your take below! 👇
USDJPY I Technical Outlook and Trade Idea Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
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USDJPY Hitting Heavy Resistance Zone!FX:USDJPY
Price just tapped 150.800–151.500 — a key rejection level from previous highs 🚫
If sellers hold this area, we can expect a short-term drop toward 149.900 → 148.980 📉
📍 Entry Zone → 150.700–150.900
🎯 Targets → 149.900 / 148.980
⛔ SL → 151.550
Smart traders eyeing reaction confirmation before short! 👀
USDJPY: Waiting for a pullback to sell at resistanceThis could be a position trade in anticipation of a larger downtrend on the daily timeframe, but there's risk involved due to the upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report this Friday.
* Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide.
** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals.
*** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion.
**** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
George Vann @ ZuperView
USDJPY continue to fall!With recent BOJ Monetary Polciy states and, with further assurance with Ueda's speech JPY interest rates could continue to remain significantly lower which keeping jpy again a choice of safe heaven as usual. Current rate cut on USD has lowered the USDJPY down that past week was a big drop below daily head & shoulder. As with the current pullback price is approaching monthly high which is also aligning with the 4h key level of resistance and a high liquidity zone.
There is a high chance for the price to continue to drop to key level of resistance and, a possible sell zone with higher probability to drop to longer term support level.
JPY Futures - Can We Take Out The 3rd ExoFade PeakTo clear any confusing for those that dont know, 6J Futures aka JPY/USD, is the inverse of your regular USD/JPY. Got it?
It's currently in a strong uptrend, since the dollar is in a free fall.
We've been taking out the ExoFade peaks and the trend looks juicy. Taking the 3rd pullback bounce of a uptrend is not my favorite thing to do cos each time you get a bounce, the probably of the next of failing goes up significantly cos sellers need to feed their families too lol.
The first bounce in a new uptrend has a higher success rate and with much lower risk required.
The ExoFade peaks are great for setting price targets and prediction, and we can see the last 2 peaks we're successfully taken out. If the trends momentum stays intact, i expect us to take out the 3rd one as predicted.
London session is in a couple of hours, which will inject more volatility and we have unemployment news in the morning, which can disrupt the trend.
We'll see how it goes.