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Usdjpyshort

USDJPY - ShortUSDJPY Analysis - SELL 👆 In this Chart USDJPY H4 Timeframe: By Nii_Billions. ❤️This Chart is for USDJPY market analysis. ❤️Entry, SL, and Target is based off our Strategy. This chart analysis uses multiple timeframes to analyze the market and to help see the bigger picture on the charts. The strategy uses technical and fundamental factors, and market sentiment to predict a BEARISH trend in USDJPY, with well-defined entry, stop loss, and take profit levels for risk management. 🟢This idea is purely for educational purposes.🟢 ❤️Please, support our work with like & comment!❤️
Short
by Nii_Billions
1
USDJPY – Liquidity Sweep & CHoCH → Short SetupUSDJPY shows a clean liquidity play under MY Liquidity MM Trading System: Price swept liquidity above Friday’s High, triggering buy-side stops. CHoCH confirmed a bearish shift in orderflow. Retest into the Supply Zone (OB + Highest Volume Area) offers a short entry. Targeting liquidity resting at Previous Day’s Low (PDL). Execution Plan: Entry: Supply zone retest Stop: Above Friday’s High for R:R: 1:2 For tighter stops: Refine entry at top of OB wick + add buffer of 2–3 pips TP: PDL liquidity pool R:R ≈ 1:4
Short
by BFUFX_MARKETS
USDJPY – Dual POI Short Setup🧠 Market Context Previous Day High swept → liquidity grab complete. CHoCH → Bearish Intent confirmed → directional bias is short. Price is now retracing into supply zones for potential continuation lower. 🎯 Key Points of Interest (POIs) Refined 1H POI Aligned with highest previous day volume. Strong institutional confluence. Extreme 5M FVG (sweep origin) Cleaner entry with tighter risk. Aligns with the extreme point of interest logic from liquidity models. ⚖️ Execution Plan Option A: Scale Entries Partial entry at 1H POI. Add position at 5M extreme FVG if price sweeps deeper. Option B: Confirmation Entries Wait for LTF BOS / rejection candle inside either POI before execution. 🔽 Bearish Targets 147.037 → Previous Daily Low (Liquidity Zone). 146.582 – 146.600 → Deeper liquidity + imbalance fill. ⚠️ Risk Management Risk 0.5–1% per setup, split across zones. Move SL to breakeven once 2R is achieved. Trail stop following bearish structure. 📊 Summary USDJPY has shifted to bearish intent after the PDH sweep. Two valid POIs are in play — a volume-backed 1H supply and an extreme 5M FVG. Best approach: scale into both for higher probability while keeping risk controlled. 💬 What do you think? Would you take the refined 1H POI or wait for the extreme 5M FVG?
Short
by BFUFX_MARKETS
USDJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D5 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D5 | Y25 📊 USDJPY Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:USDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
JPY "Call Butterfly" Update: Not Closed — But Sold Yesterday’s CME data shows movement in the JPY futures call butterfly (centered at 0.00705): The entire portfolio was re-sold — not closed. (See arrow on chart: futures price at moment of transfer.) 🧠 What’s Going On? Instead of unwinding the position during the dip, the market saw a transfer of ownership. This suggests: Another player stepped in to buy it cheaper He believes JPY futures still has upside potential by expiry Confidence remains — just in different hands ✅ Bottom Line: The butterfly didn’t exit — it changed hands. Likely moved to a more informed or confident trader. Sentiment: moderately bullish (USDJPY - bearish), not fading. However, from a technical standpoint, we can’t yet speak of bullish confirmation in JPY futures. A key condition must be met first: ✅ A clear break USDJPY and close above the local low. And in my methodology, "confirmation" means: 📌 Price must stay above (below) that level for at least 24 hours after the breakout (chart attached)
Short
by ClashChartsTeam
USDJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D4 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D4 | Y25 📊 USDJPY Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:USDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D3 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D3 | Y25 📊 USDJPY Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:USDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
1
USDJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D2 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D2 | Y25 📊 USDJPY Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:USDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 02, 2025 USDJPYA fundamental weakening of the dollar is observed in the USD/JPY pair against the backdrop of expectations of a Fed rate cut this autumn. Investors in the US remain cautious, awaiting the release of fresh labor market data, while risky assets in the Asian region are pushing the dollar down. The Japanese economy is showing positive dynamics - capital expenditures are growing, and expectations of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan are supporting the strengthening of the yen. At the same time, a slowdown in manufacturing activity is only partially holding back the growth of the national currency. The prevailing opinion is that the Bank of Japan may begin a cycle of monetary policy tightening before the end of the year, which increases the potential for the yen's growth against the dollar. External markets are also under pressure from unclear inflation prospects and a further decline in optimism about the US dollar. The conditions are in favor of a continued downward correction for the USD/JPY pair with the aim of updating support at the 146.150 level. Trading recommendation: SELL 147.500, SL 147.700, TP 146.500
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY Long Bias Forecast Q3 W35 D28 Y25 – NY Session 🗓️ USDJPY Long Bias Forecast Q3 W35 D28 Y25 – NY Session Top-Down Technical Outlook 🔹 Weekly Timeframe Price Action: Strong rejection from the Weekly 50 EMA, acting as dynamic support. Note: With two trading days left in the week, the previous weekly wick remains a key area — it may still fill, suggesting further upside potential. Implication: Structure suggests continuation to the upside, but current price must confirm with internal shifts before entry. 🔹 Daily Timeframe Current Price: Hovering around the Daily 50 EMA – a key equilibrium level. Expectation: Potential bullish reaction if buyers defend this zone. Risk Consideration: Aggressive long entries must be approached cautiously without a confirmed change in internal structure (CHOIS). 🔹 4H Timeframe Confluence: Bullish wick closure on the last candle suggests rejection from lower prices. Order Block (OB) identified near Daily 50 EMA – an ideal POI. Narrative: Structure is preparing for a potential shift. Look for breaks of internal structure (BOS) to confirm bullish intent. 🔹 1H Timeframe Candlestick Confirmation: Last 3 consecutive bullish candles forming a classic bullish continuation pattern. Order Block in alignment with 4H and Daily 50 EMA adds weight to the area. Bias: Bullish – pending confirmation via BOS and clean pullbacks. 🔹 5-Minute Timeframe Microstructure: Refined entry points within OB zone. Ideal for tight stop entries post BOS and retest of lower-timeframe OB. Watch For: Shift from bearish to bullish market structure. Entry following a break + retest of a demand zone or OB. ✅ Confluences for Longs Rejection from Weekly 50 EMA. Price respecting Daily 50 EMA. 4H OB + Bullish candle closure. 1H Bullish formation + OB. 5M potential BOS/CHOIS for refined entry. ⚠️ Cautions / Trade Management Wait for internal structure shift on lower timeframes before full commitment. Liquidity sweeps below current price are still possible before upside continuation. Maintain awareness of macroeconomic catalysts (e.g., U.S. or Japan economic data or central bank commentary). FRGNT FX:USDJPY
Long
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W35 | D28 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W35 | D28 | Y25 🔍 Daily Forecast | USDJPY Here’s a concise breakdown of the current chart setup 🧠📈: 📌 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. We wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before executing any position. This keeps us disciplined, and in sync with what the price action is actually telling us — not what we want it to say. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core Principles: Max 1% risk per trade Execute only at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan (minimum 1:2) 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take — you're paid for how well you manage risk. "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work for you. 🎯📊 FRGNT FX:USDJPY
Long
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY — Q3 W35 Mid-Week Forecast Top-Down Analysis | USDJPY — Q3 W35 Mid-Week Forecast - Top-Down Analysis | mid-week forecast for USDJPY — let’s break it down top to bottom: 🕰️ Weekly Outlook: No clear structure or trend bias from the weekly candle 🕯️ However, price closed below the Weekly 50 EMA 📉, leaving a bearish upper wick This signals a possible continuation to the downside this week But — as always — wicks tend to get filled first on lower timeframes before short setups play out 📌 Key Reminder: "Sell from the highs, buy from the lows." 🔁 📆 Daily Structure: Daily candles have been pushing into lower-timeframe POIs This aligns with potential sell zones, building confluence If candles continue to push up, we're watching closely for rejection from the Weekly 50 EMA ⚠️ Don’t be thrown off by a bullish weekly candle midweek — we're anticipating a rejection wick and bearish close. Let structure confirm. ⏱️ Lower Time Frame Confluence: 🔻 Primary Short Bias (High Confidence Zone): 🔸 4H POI containing: A clean Order Block (OB) A void (imbalance) 🔹 Within that, a 1H OB + void adds strong confluence 🔐 Once price enters the zone: ⬇️ Scale to 5-min Wait for Break of Structure (BoS) Execute the short ✅ 🔺 Optional Long Setup (If Structure Shifts): While short bias is primary, longs are not off the table A separate POI based on 4H / 1H / 15' exists for a possible long If price hits this zone: Wait for LTF BoS (1' or 5') Consider long entries, only if confluence stacks 🧠 Key Takeaways: Weekly close below 50 EMA = bearish tilt, but lower timeframe confirmation needed Let the wicks fill before forcing shorts Only take longs with strong confluence As always — one trade at a time, risk managed, confluence stacked Trade safe, stay disciplined. FRGNT FX:USDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY – Downward Pressure Aiming Straight At 146.000?📉 USDJPY Under Pressure – Could the Drop Extend to 146.000 and Beyond? The US Dollar continues to weaken across the board, and USDJPY is now showing strong bearish momentum on the H2 timeframe. The chart highlights several critical Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and liquidity zones that could guide price action in the coming sessions. 📊 Technical Outlook (H2): Recent rejection confirms supply pressure, opening the door for a deeper retracement. Key FVG Zone between 148.57 – 149.52 acts as a short-term supply area. As long as price trades below this zone, bearish continuation remains in play. 🔑 Levels to Watch: 147.94 – minor reaction zone. 146.56 – 146.03 → strong demand / liquidity pool; price may test these levels soon. A clean break below 146.00 could open the path toward deeper downside targets. ⚡ What This Means: With USD weakness persisting, USDJPY could face another significant leg lower. Traders should monitor liquidity grabs and confirmations around the 146.xx zone for potential setups. 🔥 Do you see USDJPY holding the 146.00 demand area, or will the sell-off accelerate further? 👇 Share your view in the comments!
Short
by MMFlowTrading
1
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D21 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D21 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:USDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D20 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D20 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:USDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
USD/JPY - Triangle Breakout (20.08.2025)The USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Ascending Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 146.82 2nd Support – 146.40 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
37
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D19 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D19 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:USDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY Next Week | Short From 147.56 Targeting Liquidity SweepHere’s my outlook for USDJPY in the coming week. If price rises to around 147.56 in the early part of next week (Aug 18–22), I believe it’s a good area to consider going short. This level has acted as resistance several times recently, and I expect it could hold once again. If price fails to reach 147.56, I won’t take the trade — in that case, the risk-to-reward profile would likely deteriorate, and I prefer to avoid setups where my predefined advantage is weakened. The stop loss should be placed above the white line. From experience, once price breaks above that line, it often continues to take out the highs above it. That’s why I believe placing a stop here is both reasonable and sufficient. The purple line below marks a level where I expect price could extend to if it sweeps the liquidity (stop losses) resting around recent lows. This purple line is located roughly halfway between the previous low and the nearby high beneath it. Based on my years of trading experience, when price breaks a low, it rarely reverses immediately; more often, it continues a bit further before turning around. For that reason, I allow a small buffer and set my take profit around the 0.382 Fibonacci level between those two price points. My plan is to hold the short position until that level, then take profit and start looking for a potential long setup from there. In my view, 147.56 is likely to be reached sometime next week, so I will post an update once we see how the market reacts. This trade setup gives a risk-to-reward ratio of 6.5. Without including fees, the breakeven win rate for this trade would be approximately 13.33%. Knowing these figures in advance helps me avoid emotional trading. If you often find yourself trading based on emotions, I recommend doing this type of pre-planning and quantifying your setups before execution — it can be a simple yet highly effective improvement. I’ll be sharing updates on how this idea plays out, so if you want to follow along and see the outcome, consider following me here on TradingView. --- *This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*
Short
by Hiroyuki-Suzuki
2
USDJPY - ShortUSDJPY Analysis - SELL 👆 In this Chart USDJPY H4 Timeframe: By Nii_Billions. ❤️This Chart is for USDJPY market analysis. ❤️Entry, SL, and Target is based off our Strategy. This chart analysis uses multiple timeframes to analyze the market and to help see the bigger picture on the charts. The strategy uses technical and fundamental factors, and market sentiment to predict a BEARISH trend in USDJPY, with well-defined entry, stop loss, and take profit levels for risk management. 🟢This idea is purely for educational purposes.🟢 ❤️Please, support our work with like & comment!❤️
Short
by Nii_Billions
4