USDJPY – Waiting for H1 CHoCH After Daily Supply RejectionAfter reacting from the Daily Supply Zone, USDJPY is now showing signs of slowing momentum on H1. This region is the decision point: either we see a confirmed structural break (CHoCH), or price continues pushing upward into unmitigated liquidity.
Execution Plan:
– Wait for an H1 candle-body close below the last bullish swing high
– Let price retrace into the newly-formed H1 supply
– Refine on M15/M5 for entry
– No shorts without structural confirmation
If price reclaims the high instead of breaking down, the bearish idea becomes invalid and the bullish trend continues, and we can look at the further SO POINT.
Patience here is key.
Usdjpyshortsetup
USDJPY - H4 | OutlookLooking at USDJPY I've noticed that it has been forming a rising wedge of sorts which could signal potential downward/bearish momentum (fueled by potential upcoming $ weakness).
Should the market successfully manage to breakout of the wedge and start moving towards the 153.2xx - 153.0xx area where if that were to play out we'd expect a potential correction/pullback to the 154.4xx - 154.6xx area to confirm the breakout, which is also where I'd start looking for potential bearish opportunities/entries.
But for now it'll be interesting to watch how the market plays out before taking any entries on USDJPY as it's still trading within the wedge and hasn't given any potential entry confirmations.
USDJPY Bearish Setup Looking at the USDJPY 4H chart, the pair has recently completed a strong bullish run but is now showing signs of exhaustion at the top. Price touched resistance around 150.90 – 151.00, a key supply zone that has historically triggered heavy selling pressure. From there, a sharp rejection candle formed, sending the pair back below 149.90, confirming that sellers are defending this region aggressively.
Structurally, this pullback is more than just profit-taking. The rejection created a potential lower high, which often signals the beginning of a trend reversal when combined with heavy rejection wicks and volume. Moreover, the 149.95 – 150.90 zone now acts as a major ceiling, while downside liquidity is sitting near 146.30 – 145.50, suggesting room for bears to push further.
Momentum indicators (based on the chart flow) show weakening bullish strength, with back-to-back red candles confirming that sellers are stepping in with conviction. If price sustains below 148.70 – 148.80, the bearish wave is likely to continue.
📉 Trade Setup (Bearish):
• Entry: $148.70 – $148.80 🔻
• Stop Loss: $150.90 ❌ (above recent high & resistance zone)
• Target 1: $146.30 🎯
• Target 2: $145.50 🔥
• Target 3 (extended): $144.80 🏆
The setup offers a clean risk-to-reward of ~1:2.5, with downside potential outweighing the upside risk. If sellers maintain control, the drop toward 145.50 could be quick, as this area has acted as a strong liquidity pool in the past. In short, USDJPY looks ready for a corrective bearish leg after hitting a key resistance zone, and short positions remain favorable as long as price stays capped under 150.90.
USDJPY short on daily chartStop Loss = 152.065
Entry Order = 149.815
TP1 = 147.565
Two positions with the same stop loss and x1 target for the first position
The stop loss of the second position to breakeven when the first position hits the target1.
The second position has no target, only exit
Risk = 2% of account capital (1% each position)
USDJPY Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25 15' OB UPDATE 📊USDJPY Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25 15' OB UPDATE
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT 📊
USDJPY LONG & SHORT – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | D15 | W29 | Y25💼 USDJPY LONG & SHORT – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | D15 | W29 | Y25
📊 MARKET STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT
USDJPY is currently reaching for a key higher time frame supply zone, looking for price action to show weakness at premium levels. Structure and momentum are now aligning for a short opportunity backed by multi-timeframe confluence.
🔍 Confluences to Watch 📝
✅ Daily Order Block (OB)
Looking for Strong reaction and early signs of distribution.
✅ 4H Order Block
Break of internal structure (iBoS) confirms a short-term bearish transition.
✅ 1H Order Block
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
🏁 Final Thoughts from FRGNT
📌 The structure is clear.
The confluences are stacked.
Let execution follow discipline, not emotion.
USD/JPY Short1. Intervention-fade (always live)
Sell Limit 146.00
Stop Loss 146.80
Take-Profit 1 144.50 – if hit, move stop to breakeven
Take-Profit 2 143.00
Good-till-cancelled: auto-cancel if not filled after 5 trading days
2. Break-and-retest (place this only after a daily candle closes below 145.00)
Sell Limit 145.20
Stop Loss 146.00
Take-Profit 1 144.00
Take-Profit 2 143.00
Good-till-cancelled: auto-cancel if not filled within 5 trading days of being placed
Rule: the moment one of these orders fills, cancel the other so you never have two USD/JPY shorts open at the same time.
#USDJPY: +2000 PIPS Big Swing Move! Do not miss outThe cryptocurrency’s price is currently experiencing bearish pressure, and the current trading price is pivotal for determining its future trajectory. A smooth downtrend is anticipated, potentially propelling the price to 124 in the long term. The US dollar is likely to remain bearish, potentially reaching 95 in the US currency index. Three potential target sets are envisaged, and further updates will be provided based on price developments.
Best of luck and ensure safe trading practices.
Team Setupsfx_
USD/JPY Breakdown: Sell the Rallies, Ride the TrendUSD/JPY has decisively shifted bearish across all key timeframes. On the daily chart, the pair broke below the 50-, 100-, and 200-day EMAs with consistent lower highs and lows. The hourly chart confirms this trend, with bearish EMA stacking and failed attempts to reclaim the 200-hour EMA. RSI remains under 50 across timeframes, signaling persistent bearish momentum without exhaustion.
The 15-minute chart highlights ideal short-entry setups on pullbacks to the 20- or 50-EMA, especially when RSI fails to breach 50. The 200-EMA on this timeframe acts as dynamic resistance near 145.30. Short entries are favorable on rallies to the 145.10–145.35 zone, with downside targets at 144.80, 144.50, and potentially 144.20.
For the week ahead, the strategy is clear: fade rallies into EMA resistance and use RSI confirmation for timing. Avoid chasing lows—wait for price to come to you. Tight stops just above the EMAs minimize risk, and partial profit-taking at swing lows allows for trend-riding flexibility.
As long as USD/JPY remains below the 200-hour EMA, bearish momentum dominates. Trade with the trend, manage risk with precision, and stay alert for breakdowns below key support levels.
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level for Pullback Entries.
Stop Loss 🛑:
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 1D timeframe (148.800) Day/Scalping trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 140.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
💰💵💸USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
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Detailed Explanation Recap ✨
Fundamentals: Policy divergence + trade risks ⚖️ favor JPY 💪.
Macro: US slowdown 📉 + Japan resilience 🌱 lift JPY.
Global Markets: Risk-off flows 🛡️ + yield dynamics 📜 boost JPY.
COT: Speculative unwinding 📉 aligns with bearish pressure.
Seasonality: Mild JPY edge in April 🌸.
Intermarket: USD weakness 💸 across assets aids JPY.
Quantitative: Technicals confirm bearish 📉.
Sentiment: Broad bearish tilt 😟, retail as contrarian 🚨.
Trend Prediction: Downward bias 📉 across timeframes.
Outlook: Strong bearish case 🐻 with clear targets.
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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Japanese Yen seems poised to appreciate further against weaker UFrom a technical perspective, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is already flashing slightly oversold conditions and warrants some caution for bearish traders. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some near-term consolidation or a modest bounce before positioning for an extension of the USD/JPY pair's well-established downtrend witnessed over the past three months or so.
In the meantime, attempted recovery might now confront some resistance near the 141.60-141.65 region. This is followed by the 142.00 round figure and the 142.40-142.45 hurdle, above which a fresh bout of a short-covering move could lift the USD/JPY pair to the 143.00 mark en route to the 143.25-143.30 zone. Any further move up, however, might still be seen as a selling opportunity.
On the flip side, a sustained break and acceptance below the 141.00 mark could be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and makes the USD/JPY pair vulnerable. The subsequent downfall below the 140.45-140.40 intermediate support might expose the 140.00 psychological mark. The downward trajectory could extend to the 2024 yearly swing low, around the 139.60-139.55 region.
USDJPY Scenario 1.1.2025At this moment we are shown two scenarios, both shorts, we have an sfp above the low because it could give us a better view of the overall direction the market could be heading at the moment, support above us, which if it breaks, nothing prevents us from moving to a higher level, if we hold the level, then we can expect a move somewhere towards the price of 150, but I am still waiting for confirmation.
#USDJPY 2HUSDJPY (2H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is trading within a channel pattern, respecting both support and resistance levels. Currently, it is near the upper boundary of the channel, indicating possible resistance.
Forecast:
Wait for a retest of the channel resistance before considering a sell position, as confirmation is required to validate a potential move downward.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: After a retest and rejection from the upper boundary of the channel.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed above the channel resistance or recent swing high.
Take Profit: Target the midline or lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The setup suggests a cautious bearish bias, but confirmation signals are needed before executing a trade.
Scenario on USDJPY In this market, I'm going exactly according to plan. The market turned beautifully at the fibo level of 0.786 and continued according to the previous prediction according to the bearish scenario. This chart today is just about adjusting the level. Now I'm waiting for a return to the price level of something around 152. If the price rejects, there is a potential entry into the short.
#UASJPY: Swing Selling is in progress, Are we heading Bears Era?Dear Traders,
Hopefully, you having a great weekend so far, we have a great opportunity on USDJPY, possible a total bearish meltdown on all the jpy pairs especially with UJ, we are on the verge of collapse. At the moment we expect price to do a small correction before it drops further. At this correction we may expect price to reverse nicely. We expect this idea to be activated by Friday when we will be having a last nfp data of the 2024. Decembers are known for bears control over jpy pairs.
thank you ;)
USDJPY: First Entry dropped 400 pips, Focusing on ReentryDear Traders,
OANDA:USDJPY first entry dropped successfully 400 pips, now there is possibility of price filling up the liquidity and dropping from that region. Bullish price will likely to push the price up to our area of entry where price will fall strongly. Use accurate stop loss and take profit as described in our chart, if you have any doubt or finding it hard to understand something, please leave a comment.
good luck and trade safe as always
USDJPY SELL | Setup Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Short after the BULL RUN. GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
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