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USDJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D4 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D4 | Y25 📊 USDJPY Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:USDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
USD/JPY Swing Setup ⁝ Why Thief Layer Strategy Wins Here📊 Asset: USD/JPY — "The Ninja" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 🎯 USD/JPY Quick Snapshot 🔸 Daily Change: +0.39% (↑) 🔸 52-Week Range: 139.57 - 158.89 📊 Retail & Institutional Sentiment 🔹 Retail Traders: Bearish (60%) – Caution due to political uncertainty in Japan. 🔹 Institutional Traders: Bullish (70%) – Expect USD strength amid BOJ-Fed policy divergence. 🔹 Fear & Greed Index: 62/100 (Greed) – Moderate risk appetite favoring USD. 🔍 Fundamental & Macro Score 🏦 BOJ Policy Outlook: • Rate hike uncertainty keeps JPY weak. • Score: 3/10 (Bearish for JPY) 🐻 💵 Fed Policy Outlook: • 90% chance of 25bps rate cut in September. • Score: 7/10 (Bullish for USD) 🐂 🇯🇵 Political Risk (Japan): • Leadership uncertainty weighs on JPY. • Score: 4/10 (Negative for JPY) ⚠️ 🌐 Trade War Risks: • US tariff tensions may dampen USD strength. • Score: 5/10 (Neutral) 🎯 Overall Market Outlook 🟢 Bullish (Long) Score: 65% ✅ 🔴 Bearish (Short) Score: 35% ❌ 📌 Summary: USD/JPY leans bullish due to BOJ hesitation, Fed cuts, and JPY political risks. ❓ WHY THIS Setup? 🔸 USD/JPY is respecting bullish structure while retail is mostly short → contrarian signal 🚨. 🔸 Institutional flow shows confidence in USD strength vs JPY weakness 📈. 🔸 BOJ hesitation + political instability in Japan continues to suppress JPY demand 🐻. 🔸 Layered entry strategy reduces risk of bad timing + maximizes capture of bullish wave ⚡. 🔸 Key target zone 151.500–152.000 offers strong risk/reward for swing & day traders 🎯. ✅ Thief Trading Plan: Bullish Setup 🔸 Entry (Thief Style Layer Strategy 🪤): • 147.500 • 148.000 • 148.500 • 149.000 (Increase/adjust layers as per your own strategy.) 🔸 Stop Loss (Thief SL 🔒): • Base SL @146.000 • Adjust according to risk tolerance & personal strategy 🔸 Target 🎯: • Trap/reversal zone near 152.000 • Safer exit before reversal @ 151.500 ⚡ Strategy Breakdown 🔹 Method: Thief OG Layer Strategy = scaling with multiple limit orders instead of single-entry. 🔹 Benefit: Absorbs noise, builds positions step-by-step, reduces FOMO. 🔹 Bias: Swing/Day trade friendly with bullish momentum in higher zones. 👀 Related Pairs to Watch: 💷 OANDA:GBPJPY 💶 OANDA:EURJPY 🇨🇭 OANDA:CHFJPY 💵 OANDA:USDCHF ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #USDJPY #Forex #SwingTrading #DayTrading #JPY #ForexStrategy #TradingPlan #FXThief #LayerStrategy #SmartMoney
Long
by The-Thief
USDJPY Long Bias Forecast Q3 W35 D28 Y25 – NY Session 🗓️ USDJPY Long Bias Forecast Q3 W35 D28 Y25 – NY Session Top-Down Technical Outlook 🔹 Weekly Timeframe Price Action: Strong rejection from the Weekly 50 EMA, acting as dynamic support. Note: With two trading days left in the week, the previous weekly wick remains a key area — it may still fill, suggesting further upside potential. Implication: Structure suggests continuation to the upside, but current price must confirm with internal shifts before entry. 🔹 Daily Timeframe Current Price: Hovering around the Daily 50 EMA – a key equilibrium level. Expectation: Potential bullish reaction if buyers defend this zone. Risk Consideration: Aggressive long entries must be approached cautiously without a confirmed change in internal structure (CHOIS). 🔹 4H Timeframe Confluence: Bullish wick closure on the last candle suggests rejection from lower prices. Order Block (OB) identified near Daily 50 EMA – an ideal POI. Narrative: Structure is preparing for a potential shift. Look for breaks of internal structure (BOS) to confirm bullish intent. 🔹 1H Timeframe Candlestick Confirmation: Last 3 consecutive bullish candles forming a classic bullish continuation pattern. Order Block in alignment with 4H and Daily 50 EMA adds weight to the area. Bias: Bullish – pending confirmation via BOS and clean pullbacks. 🔹 5-Minute Timeframe Microstructure: Refined entry points within OB zone. Ideal for tight stop entries post BOS and retest of lower-timeframe OB. Watch For: Shift from bearish to bullish market structure. Entry following a break + retest of a demand zone or OB. ✅ Confluences for Longs Rejection from Weekly 50 EMA. Price respecting Daily 50 EMA. 4H OB + Bullish candle closure. 1H Bullish formation + OB. 5M potential BOS/CHOIS for refined entry. ⚠️ Cautions / Trade Management Wait for internal structure shift on lower timeframes before full commitment. Liquidity sweeps below current price are still possible before upside continuation. Maintain awareness of macroeconomic catalysts (e.g., U.S. or Japan economic data or central bank commentary). FRGNT FX:USDJPY
Long
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W35 | D28 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W35 | D28 | Y25 🔍 Daily Forecast | USDJPY Here’s a concise breakdown of the current chart setup 🧠📈: 📌 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. We wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before executing any position. This keeps us disciplined, and in sync with what the price action is actually telling us — not what we want it to say. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core Principles: Max 1% risk per trade Execute only at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan (minimum 1:2) 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take — you're paid for how well you manage risk. "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work for you. 🎯📊 FRGNT FX:USDJPY
Long
by JCFRGNT
USD/JPY Bullish Continuation Towards 149.00This USD/JPY (1H) chart shows a bullish setup: Price is respecting the ascending channel (support & rejection lines). Currently, price is near the FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone between 147.257 – 147.526, suggesting a possible retracement before continuation upward. Both EMA 70 & EMA 200 are aligned closely, acting as dynamic support. A long entry is expected from the FVG zone with a target point at 148.975 – 149.002. Stop-loss lies below the FVG around 147.251. 👉 Overall bias: Bullish continuation towards 149.00 after filling the FVG.
Long
by MR_JOHN144
USDJPY – Downward Pressure Aiming Straight At 146.000?📉 USDJPY Under Pressure – Could the Drop Extend to 146.000 and Beyond? The US Dollar continues to weaken across the board, and USDJPY is now showing strong bearish momentum on the H2 timeframe. The chart highlights several critical Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and liquidity zones that could guide price action in the coming sessions. 📊 Technical Outlook (H2): Recent rejection confirms supply pressure, opening the door for a deeper retracement. Key FVG Zone between 148.57 – 149.52 acts as a short-term supply area. As long as price trades below this zone, bearish continuation remains in play. 🔑 Levels to Watch: 147.94 – minor reaction zone. 146.56 – 146.03 → strong demand / liquidity pool; price may test these levels soon. A clean break below 146.00 could open the path toward deeper downside targets. ⚡ What This Means: With USD weakness persisting, USDJPY could face another significant leg lower. Traders should monitor liquidity grabs and confirmations around the 146.xx zone for potential setups. 🔥 Do you see USDJPY holding the 146.00 demand area, or will the sell-off accelerate further? 👇 Share your view in the comments!
Short
by MMFlowTrading
1
USDJPY has done false breakdown?USDJPY trade setup for today : Before we look at potential entry in this pair first let’s look at multiple timeframe analysis in this market. Monthly: 150.79 Monthly resistance price has got rejection strongly from the top Weekly: After multiple doji formation, price is about to bounce off the support level potentially move back to the upside. Daily: With a massive rejection on Friday, USDJPY started to fill the imbalance and price may continue to move back to the upside. Entry timeframe 4H : Upon rejection from any previous candles support, price may continue to bounce. Possible trade recommendation : Bullish entry with SL above sessions high
Long
by ForexWizard01
USDJPY Set to drop to support?USDJPY trade setup for today : Before we look at potential entry in this pair first let’s look at multiple timeframe analysis in this market. Monthly: 150.79 Monthly resistance price has got rejection strongly from the top Weekly: Previous weekly closed with bearish engulfing patter with liquidity grab. Daily: Upon formation of head and shoulder price has got rejection with a strong momentum and price may continue to drop to support level. Entry timeframe 4H : As price has confirmed cross over of 20ema and 10ema we may see price continue to drop to daily support level. Possible trade recommendation : Bearish with SL above the sessions high.
Short
by ForexWizard01
USD/JPY) Bullish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY (2H) analysis you shared: --- Technical Breakdown 1. Price Action & Zone Price retraced into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) / demand zone (yellow box) around 147.00 – 147.40. Strong buying interest is visible from this zone. 2. Falling Wedge Pattern A falling wedge has formed, which is typically a bullish reversal pattern. Price is attempting to break out above wedge resistance, showing potential for upside momentum. 3. EMA (200 Close) Price is interacting with the 200 EMA (147.58), serving as dynamic resistance. A sustained breakout above this EMA would confirm bullish continuation. 4. RSI (14) RSI currently around 46–50, suggesting neutral momentum with room for upside. --- Trade Idea Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: On breakout & retest of wedge / demand zone. Target: 148.680 (as marked). Invalidation: Below 146.60 (clear break under demand/FVG zone). Mr SMC Trading point --- This setup suggests a bullish reversal from support, with a likely push toward 148.68 after wedge breakout. please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
4
USDJPY - ShortUSDJPY Analysis - SELL 👆 In this Chart USDJPY H4 Timeframe: By Nii_Billions. ❤️This Chart is for USDJPY market analysis. ❤️Entry, SL, and Target is based off our Strategy. This chart analysis uses multiple timeframes to analyze the market and to help see the bigger picture on the charts. The strategy uses technical and fundamental factors, and market sentiment to predict a BEARISH trend in USDJPY, with well-defined entry, stop loss, and take profit levels for risk management. 🟢This idea is purely for educational purposes.🟢 ❤️Please, support our work with like & comment!❤️
Short
by Nii_Billions
4
USD/JPY 1D Forex Chart - August 12, 2025daily performance of the U.S. Dollar (USD) against the Japanese Yen (JPY) as of August 12, 2025. The current exchange rate is 148.277, reflecting a 0.09% increase (+0.136). The chart includes a trendline indicating a potential upward movement, with a buy signal at 148.277 and a sell signal at the same level. Key support and resistance levels are marked, with a notable range between 146.786 and 151.234. The chart spans from early 2025 to mid-2026, showing historical price action and future projections.
Long
by Alee_Gold_Trader
USD/JPY Poised for Breakout as Fundamentals & Technicals AlignUSDJPY is entering a critical juncture where both macroeconomic conditions and price structure are pointing toward a potential bullish continuation. The pair has been consolidating just under a descending trendline after a sharp drop from July’s highs, but strong US fundamentals, a persistently dovish Bank of Japan, and upcoming political catalysts are creating the perfect environment for an upside breakout. If buyers can reclaim momentum above near-term resistance, the path toward retesting multi-month highs appears open, with yen crosses likely to follow the lead. Technical Analysis (4H Chart) Price is consolidating around 147.46 after falling from the 150.91 high. A descending trendline from the late-July peak is being tested. A confirmed breakout would likely accelerate bullish momentum. Key upside targets: 148.96 – immediate resistance & short-term target (previous swing high). 150.91 – major resistance at July’s high. Stop-loss at 146.43 safeguards against deeper retracements. The structure reflects a series of bullish continuation patterns (flags, breakouts, retracements). Fundamental Analysis Current Bias: Bullish USD Strength: Strong US data and anticipation of Trump’s “major” economic announcement are lifting the dollar. JPY Weakness: Despite better-than-expected Japan Eco Watchers Survey, the BoJ’s ultra-loose stance continues to suppress yen demand. Rate Differentials: Still heavily in USD’s favor, sustaining upward pressure on USD/JPY. Risk Sentiment: Even with mild geopolitical tensions, USD’s safe-haven appeal is preventing JPY from benefiting. Risks: Disappointing US political announcements. Hawkish surprises from the BoJ. Sharp swings in risk sentiment favoring the yen. Key News/Events Ahead: Trump’s economic policy reveal. US CPI & PPI releases. BoJ policy signals or commentary. Leader/Lagger Dynamics: USDJPY is the leader for yen crosses, often setting the tone for GBPJPY, AUDJPY, and CHFJPY. Summary: USDJPY’s bullish outlook is reinforced by the combination of favorable fundamentals and a technical setup pointing toward a breakout. A move above 147.80–148.00 could open the door to 148.96 in the short term and 150.91 in the medium term. With yen crosses closely tied to USDJPY’s movements, this pair’s breakout could spark broader JPY weakness across the board, making it a pivotal chart to watch in the days ahead.
Long
by ultreosforex
17
USDJPY Looks Bearish, Your thoughts ?USDJPY Looks Bearish, It has been falling hard after touching resistances. Now it will continue to glide. Check your support and resistances and open positions accordingly. Wait for Price Again and strong solid breakouts to enter the market. Disclaimer: The content presented in this IMAGE is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading foreign exchange (Forex) on margin involves a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The use of leverage can work both for and against you. Before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. There is a possibility that you may incur a loss of some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be fully aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from a licensed and independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always trade responsibly.
Short
by forexnawaab
USD/JPY Robbery Route | Enter at Dip, Exit Before Police💥USD/JPY Forex Money Heist Plan 🎯 — Ninja Robbery at 146.000💥 🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Dear Market Bandits, Money Makers & Risky Robbers 🤑💰💸✈️ Welcome to another Thief Trader-style operation. We've cracked open the USD/JPY vault (aka "The Gopher" 💹), and here's the blueprint to pull off this forex heist like true professionals. 💼🎭💵 🚨 Strategy Overview This isn't just a trade – it’s a well-researched, precision-timed robbery mission based on technicals, macro analysis, sentiment, and the bigger global picture. Expect action near critical zones – especially the moving average barricade, where police (aka risk) is waiting. Stay sharp. 🔓 Entry Point – Unlock the Vault 📈 Watch for bullish pullbacks near 146.000. Whether it's a dip, zone test, or wick bounce — you’re looking to layer buy limit orders like a seasoned thief using DCA tactics. Enter on swings or any bullish confirmation. Heist Window is Open. 🛑 Stop Loss – Escape Route 📍 SL near 143.000 (1D swing low) — adjust based on your capital and position size. 💡 Don’t go blind — SL is your backup plan, not an optional accessory. Custom-fit it based on how many entries you’re stacking. 🎯 Target – Vault Exit Point 🏁 151.000 or exit before resistance heat catches on. No greedy thieves here — precision exit is key. Lock profits, vanish in style. 🕶️💼💸 🧲 Scalpers Take Note Only long side raids are valid. Scalping against the trend? That's walking into a trap. Use trailing SLs and protect your loot. Small bag or big vault — play your game smart. 🎯💰 📢 Fundamental Boosters USD/JPY’s bullish run isn’t random — it’s backed by: 📊 Macro shifts, 📈 COT reports, 🧠 Sentiment drivers, 📉 Intermarket trends, And a whole mix of thief-level intel 🔍 🧭 Dive deeper before acting. The map’s been provided. 🔗🌍 🗞 News Traps Ahead – Move Cautiously 🚫 Avoid new trades during major releases 🔁 Use trailing SLs on open positions 💡 Position management is a thief’s best defense. Risk management keeps you in the game. 🎯🧠 🔥💖 Support the Heist Crew Smash that ❤️‍🔥 Boost Button to keep our robbery engine running. Each boost = strength for our crew. 💬 Share the love, spread the intel, and trade like a rogue with brains. 🤝💵 👀 Stay tuned for more high-profile FX heists from Thief Trader. Until next time — loot wisely, vanish clean. 🐱‍👤💨
Long
by The-Thief
USDJPY Weakening or a Correction to the Uptrend✏️ OANDA:USDJPY is approaching the old Break out support zone. The convergence zone of the 2 EMA lines. If there is a sweep to the support zone at the beginning of the week, it will be an opportunity to buy to continue the bullish wave structure. When this 146.200 zone is broken, the uptrend will be broken and we have to wait for new momentum to determine the next trend. 📉 Key Levels Support: 146.200-143.200 Resistance: 150.800-154.500 Buy zone 146.300 (Support & Trendline) Buy zone 143.200 Strong support zone Target 154.500 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Long
by VHT_Trader
3
DeGRAM | USDJPY will retest the support level📊 Technical Analysis ● USDJPY is riding an ascending channel after a bullish breakout above the long-term descending trendline and successful retests of the 144.9–146.6 zone as support. ● Price is carving higher highs and higher lows, with the current bullish pennant pointing to a measured move toward the 150.8 resistance if 147.2 is breached on strong momentum. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● The yen remains under pressure as US labor data stays firm and Fed officials hint at fewer cuts, reinforcing US-Japan rate divergence. ● BOJ’s dovish tone in recent speeches and widening trade deficit further weigh on JPY. ✨ Summary Buy 145.2–146.2; confirmation >147.2 targets 150.8. Invalidation below 142.8 support zone. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
3
USD/JPY) support boost Bullish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe, based on a rejection from a key support zone and signs of trend continuation toward a higher target. --- Technical Breakdown: 1. Support Level: Price has bounced from a clearly defined support zone around 146.00 – 146.50, which has held multiple times in the past. This zone is acting as a strong demand area where buyers are stepping in. 2. Bullish Rejection + Structure: A bullish candle has formed from the support area, signaling potential reversal. The drawn projection suggests higher highs and higher lows forming — indicating bullish continuation. 3. EMA (200): Price has respected the 200 EMA (blue line), bouncing off it — a strong confluence for bullish trend continuation. EMA is slightly upward sloping, indicating a longer-term bullish bias remains intact. 4. RSI (14): RSI is rising from oversold territory (42.09), indicating a bullish momentum shift. A potential bullish divergence might be forming (price made lower low, RSI made higher low). 5. Target Point: Price is projected to reach 150.904, giving a potential move of ~2.91% (426 pips) from current levels. --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: 146.90 – 147.30 (current levels or slight pullback) Stop Loss: Below the support zone (~145.90) Take Profit (TP): 150.900 (key resistance / previous high) Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Attractive, based on the size of the support zone vs. projected move Mr SMC Trading point --- Key Insights: Strong confluence between price structure, support zone, and 200 EMA bounce. Favorable risk-reward ratio for swing or intraday traders. Best confirmation would come from a bullish engulfing candle or break above minor resistance near 147.80. Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
by SMC-Trading-Point
10