#ETC/USDT The price is moving within an ascending channel #ETC
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards breaking above it, with a retest of the upper boundary expected.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward rebound is expected.
There is a key support zone in green at 11.92. The price has bounced from this zone multiple times and is expected to bounce again.
We have a trend towards stability above the 100-period moving average, as we are moving close to it, which supports the upward movement.
Entry price: 11.95
First target: 12.25
Second target: 12.48
Third target: 12.79
Don't forget a simple principle: money management.
Place your stop-loss below the green support zone.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Usdt
Solana Long Term Market Structure StudyMulti Cycle Perspective Into 2026
This publication outlines a long term market structure thesis for Solana based on historical crypto cycles, network development trends, and relative positioning among large cap digital assets. The analysis is educational in nature and focuses on spot market behavior only.
This is not a short term trade idea. It is a cycle based accumulation and distribution framework intended for extended holding periods and significant volatility tolerance.
Important Scope and Risk Context
• Spot market framework only
• No leverage assumptions
• No short term timing precision
• High volatility expected throughout the cycle
Crypto assets experience frequent 30 to 50 percent drawdowns even during bullish phases. Any framework relying on leverage would likely fail structurally due to normal volatility.
Macro Cycle Context
Historically, crypto markets have followed broad expansion and contraction phases aligned with Bitcoin supply events and liquidity cycles.
Observed historical reference points:
• 2017 cycle peak with extreme altcoin expansion
• 2021 cycle peak with institutional participation
• Current cycle forming into 2025 to 2026 window
Each cycle has shown diminishing multiples at the market level while still allowing select assets to outperform due to network usage and adoption growth.
Solana Relative Positioning
Solana entered the prior cycle as an emerging network and has since transitioned into a mature Layer 1 ecosystem.
Current positioning includes:
• Proven network resilience post 2022 drawdown
• Active DeFi NFT and DePIN ecosystems
• Consistent high developer participation
• Increasing institutional infrastructure interest
This places Solana in a different structural position than it occupied during the prior expansion phase.
Price Structure Context and Target Framework
Historical reference points:
• Launch period near single digit pricing
• Prior cycle peak near 260
• Bear market low near single digits
• Current multi month consolidation between 180 and 250
The upper projection zone near 680 is derived from conservative multiple expansion rather than extreme cycle assumptions.
Framework considerations:
• 3 to 4 times expansion from current range
• Prior cycle expansion far exceeded this multiple
• Market capitalization would remain well below Ethereum historical dominance
• Fibonacci extensions from the cycle low project into the 650 to 750 area
This projection is not based on exponential assumptions and remains within historical precedent for mature altcoins during expansion phases.
Network Fundamentals Supporting the Thesis
Network Activity
• Sustained high transaction throughput
• Low transaction cost enabling real usage
• Daily transaction counts consistently elevated
DeFi and Economic Activity
• Recovery in total value locked post drawdown
• Growth in liquid staking and derivatives infrastructure
• Increasing presence of yield generating protocols
Developer Engagement
• Consistent ranking among top networks for development activity
• Production level applications rather than experimental deployments
Market history shows that usage driven growth tends to outperform speculative narratives during sustained expansions.
Potential Catalysts During the Cycle
Structural Catalysts
• Validator client upgrades improving throughput and resilience
• Expansion of stablecoin settlement usage
• Continued maturation of on chain payment infrastructure
Market Catalysts
• Institutional product speculation
• Broader access through regulated investment vehicles
• Increased enterprise experimentation
Catalysts act as acceleration mechanisms, not guarantees.
Technical Structure Overview
• Long term higher low structure intact since bear market bottom
• Prior resistance acting as support within the current range
• Extended consolidation consistent with accumulation phases
The 180 to 250 region represents a structural balance zone, not a timing signal.
Accumulation and Distribution Framework
Accumulation Phase
• Gradual position building within the established range
• Emphasis on patience and risk sizing
• Expectation of drawdowns during accumulation
Expansion Phase
• Volatility increases alongside trend acceleration
• Sharp corrections remain normal
• Emotional discipline becomes critical
Distribution Phase
• Incremental profit reduction rather than full exit timing
• Scaling out into strength reduces cycle risk
• Avoidance of peak prediction behavior
Why Spot Market Structure Matters
Crypto volatility structurally penalizes leverage during expansion cycles.
Observed behavior during prior cycles:
• Deep pullbacks occur even within strong trends
• Liquidation events remove participants before trend completion
• Spot holders retain optionality through volatility
This framework assumes survivability over optimization.
Risk Factors to Consider
• Cycle timing deviation
• Regulatory changes
• Network reliability events
• Competitive pressure from other scaling solutions
• Macro liquidity contraction
• Token emission dynamics
Any one of these factors could materially alter outcomes.
Relative Asset Comparison
• Larger than experimental networks
• Smaller than dominant incumbents
• Established enough to survive downturns
• Volatile enough to outperform in expansion phases
This positions Solana in a middle ground between stability and growth potential.
Summary Framework
This study outlines a cycle based structural thesis rather than a prediction.
Core assumptions:
• Multi year horizon
• Spot exposure only
• Volatility acceptance
• Defined risk allocation
• Gradual accumulation and reduction
Outcomes are uncertain and non linear. This framework is one interpretation of historical behavior and current structure.
Final Notes
This content is educational and speculative in nature. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to engage in any transaction. Digital assets are highly volatile and carry risk of significant loss. Historical patterns do not ensure future outcomes.
Market participants should conduct independent research, assess personal risk tolerance, and size exposure conservatively.
USDT Dominance (4H) Update. 📊 USDT Dominance (4H) Update.
Current Zone: ~6.30%
Key Resistance: 6.55% – 6.65%
Price is moving inside a descending channel, now reacting near the upper trendline.
Rejection from resistance ➝ USDT.D likely drops → Bullish for crypto / altcoins
Clean breakout & hold above 6.65% ➝ USDT.D strength → Risk-off / downside pressure on alts
At resistance + trendline = decision zone.
Wait for clear rejection or breakout confirmation.
⚠️ Manage risk. No prediction — only reaction.
$USDT Dominance Is it really different this time?CRYPTOCAP:USDT has broken a major resistance across multiple timeframes, showing clear strength.
Technically, this is not a positive sign for CRYPTOCAP:BTC and other altcoins.
Tether has been in an uptrend for the last 75 days. A reversal could be around the corner in Q1 2025, but for now, the structure does not favour the bulls.
This is not FUD; it's simply clear observations based on the chart.
There has been no major altcoin season this year. Every KOL, including myself, has been wrong in calling an altseason so far.
Is it really different this time?
Only time will tell.
Do share your views in the comments and hit the like button if you like it.
Thank you
#PEACE
edu looking good good but need confirmation Edu Over all Consolidating Within Descending Channel Range, And Now Showing Signs Of Recovery Towards Descending Trendline Which Is Next Resistance Around 0.17$ Edu Needs To Clear Blue Box Resistance To Target Trendline, If Trendline Got Cleared Then It Can Give Another Rally But Currently Our Target Should Be Trendline
USDT.D Signalling Crypto Crash Zone & Bear Market Revisiting this study again that I originally shared months ago as a possible 'path' to either the new ATH targets and/or the Crypto Crash & Bear Market zones...
We can see the the Blue bars from the last cycle are an important fractal to follow.
USDT.D (Tether Dominance) clearly shows the inverse relationship it has with Bitcion and TOTAL market cap, which I have hidden here.
But the Yellow line is the midpoint and can be considered the 'Mean' in the 'reversion to the mean' equation.
At the lows of the USDT.D multi-year trendline going back to 2018, when touch the trendline, crypto is rallying and hitting all time highs.
In contract, when USDT.D is pushing higher (Money flowing into Stablecoins) we see markets correcting and crashing.
I've labeled the corresponding areas, which we can see that USDT.D is now forming support above the 6.5% prior resistance, indicating a deeper crash is likely coming.
Tomorrow is a Triple Witching expiration, so expect volatility.
However, in the past these usually mark reversal points in the markets.
So we'll have to watch and see...
However, most other technical signals are flagging bearish like the Monthly MACD and mult-month Bearish Divergences on the RSI, MFI, and Stoch/RSI
Good time to be out of the markets IMO until this clarifies.
Even if we get a 'Santa Rally' I'll be selling into it, b/c the USDT.D has plenty of room to run to the upside... And we're unlikely to see liquidity return to the markets without more interest rate cuts, QE, and money printing.
All eyes are on Japan's Fed Rate meeting tomorrow, where there's rumored to be a .25 rate HIKE which also has the markets on edge.
BTC/USDT - Demand Holding Strong (18.12.2025)📝 Description🔹 Market Structure WHITEBIT:BTCUSDT
BTC has formed a clear Double Bottom pattern inside a strong demand / support zone, signaling potential trend exhaustion on the downside. Price respected the support zone multiple times
Momentum is attempting to shift from sellers to buyers. This structure favors a bullish reversal if confirmation holds.
📌 Trade Plan 🟢 Bullish above the support zone
Entry Idea: Buy on pullback / breakout confirmation above trendline
🟢 1st Resistance: 91,900 – 92,000
🟢 2nd Resistance / Target: 94,100 – 94,200
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #DoubleBottom #PriceAction #SupportResistance #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #Kabhi_TA_Trading
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Crypto markets are volatile — always use proper risk management and a stop-loss.
❤️ Support the Work👍 Like if you see the reversal💬 Comment: Bullish or Fakeout? 🔁 Share with your crypto friends
LINK/USDT - Bearish Flag Breakdown in Play (17.12.2025)📝 Description🔹 Setup WHITEBIT:LINKUSDT
LINK/USDT formed a classic Bearish Flag pattern after a strong impulsive drop (flagpole).
Price is now consolidating inside a rising channel, but remains below Ichimoku Cloud resistance and key EMAs — signaling weak bullish momentum.
As long as price stays below the flag resistance, bearish continuation remains the higher probability.
📌 Trading Plan
Primary Bias: 🔴 Bearish continuation
Watch for flag breakdown confirmation below minor support
Momentum confirmation = strong bearish candle close
🔴 1st Support: 12.12
🔴 2nd Support (Flag Target): 11.69
Measured Move: Flagpole height projection aligns with lower target
#LINKUSDT #Chainlink #CryptoTrading #BearishFlag #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarket #TradingView #Altcoins #Kabhi_TA_Trading
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Crypto markets are highly volatile — always use proper risk management and stop-loss.
❤️ Support the Work 👍 Like if this setup makes sense 💬 Comment your LINK view (bullish or bearish? )
🔁 Share to help more traders learn Your support keeps these breakdowns coming 🙌
BTC/USDT - Major Rejection from Supply Zone📝 Description 🔹 Setup Overview WHITEBIT:BTCUSDT
BTC/USDT has faced a strong rejection from the upper resistance / supply zone near the recent highs. Price has broken below the rising trendline, signaling a shift in short-term market structure from bullish to bearish. Failure to reclaim the trendline keeps sellers in control.
📌 Trading Plan📉 Bearish Scenario (Primary Bias )
Sell Zone: Below the broken trendline & previous support
Target 1: 89,030 (1st Support)
Target 2: 87,520 (2nd Support – liquidity area)
Confirmation: Weak bullish candles + rejection from trendline retest
#BTCUSDT #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoTrading #BTC #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarket #TrendlineBreak #TradingView #Kabhi_TA_Trading #SellBTC
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Crypto markets are highly volatile — always manage risk and use stop-losses.
👍 Support the Analysis❤️ LIKE if this helped💬 COMMENT your BTC view
🔁 SHARE with fellow traders
Your support keeps the analysis coming! 🙏
USDCAD reached a key daily demand zone (61.8% Fib)Expanded analysis (for the idea details)
Context & setup
Price has dropped sharply into a well-defined daily demand/congestion zone (≈ 1.3765–1.3714) and is currently testing the lower boundary. This area lines up with a key 61.8% retracement cluster and a multi-timeframe support region — a clear confluence of supply/demand and Fibonacci support.
Why this matters
The move into the zone is a strong liquidation leg; the first reaction here will tell us whether buyers are stepping in.
If price shows a clean bullish rejection (wicks, close back above the zone, or a bullish engulf), the probability of a corrective swing higher increases.
The 200/100-type moving averages and higher-timeframe structure act as resistance above, making this a high-reward countertrend/swing setup if buyers defend the zone.
Trade idea (example, for discussion — not trading advice)
Entry: buy area 1.376 – 1.379 after a confirmed bullish price action signal.
Stop loss: below 1.366 (monthly lower invalidation level).
Take profits: partial at 1.4026 (short-term swing target / area of interest), final at 1.4128 (monthly 61.8 / higher resistance).
Invalidation: clear daily close below 1.366 would invalidate the long idea and favors continuation lower.
Risk management & notes
Use position sizing so that the stop equals an acceptable percentage of your account. Aim for positive R:R (this plan targets ~2–4R depending on exact entry).
Watch for news and liquidity events — large catalysts can blow through technical zones.
Wait for a clean price-action confirmation before committing full size.
Summary
This is a classic demand-zone vs. fib confluence trade: if buyers defend 1.3765–1.3714, expect a corrective rally toward 1.402–1.413. If the zone breaks decisively, look for continuation toward 1.366 and below.
Not financial advice. Trade your plan and respect risk.
OANDA:USDCAD FX:USDCAD FOREXCOM:USDCAD BMFBOVESPA:CAD1! TFEX:USD1!
USDT dominance (USDT.D) USDT dominance (USDT.D) remains elevated and is in a major uptrend, indicating that a significant portion of crypto capital is still parked in stablecoins and in a risk-off position.
Current Structure:
USDT.D is around 5-6%, having broken above a long-term descending trendline that had capped dominance since 2022. This is typically a cautionary signal for risk assets when it remains above that breakout level.
From a technical perspective, USDT.D still appears to be in a large corrective pattern, with significant downside support around 4.2% and 3.8%; losing those levels would confirm a new downtrend in dominance and is usually accompanied by a strong rally in BTC and altcoins.
DYOR | NFA,
USDT DOMINANCE ANALYSIS (2D)Hello.
I'd like to share my ideas about USDT Dominance today.
When I start to analyze a chart, the first thing I do is look at past events and patterns.
As I can see, around August 2025, USDT completed its double zig-zag corrective move.
Now we're seeing that the entire market is bleeding, and of course this parameter is also moving in the opposite direction of the market.
Due to its nature, it's easy to analyze the entire market by looking at this parameter alone.
We realize that after the first change of character around the market, this parameter began forming a five-wave impulsive movement. October 10th also confirms this idea in a way.
As anyone who knows about Elliott Theory understands, there are many possibilities when a sudden crash appears in the market. That's the reason why I waited patiently to update my thoughts on this chart.
At the moment, I'm almost sure that what we're seeing here is another five-wave impulsive upward pattern.
The good news is that we are about to see this bleeding in the market come to an end.
The reason is simple: volume.
As you can examine on the chart, volume has been decreasing for days now.
Even if it's not the end of wave 5 yet, we are going to see this parameter drop significantly in the coming weeks — possibly with an A-B-C zig-zag or a double zig-zag pattern.
The orange line on the chart represents an ascending channel. When it breaks, it will also confirm a change of character in the entire market. What I expect is that when this happens, we’ll most likely see a drop of around -20% in this parameter. This will allow the market to recover from its ashes once more.
Thanks for reading.
#USDT.D: My expectations and possible scenarios.This metric is very important. It enables us to determine the overall direction of the crypto market.
The higher the USDT.D, the more cash is flowing out of assets.
Conversely, the lower USDT.D is, the more cash is flowing into assets.
My expectations are as follows:
A further decline in USDT.D will cause the entire crypto market to grow, albeit only locally.
However, there is one caveat: technically, the previous high has not been surpassed. We could easily return to that level and remove it, and only then continue the decline in dominance. Moreover, the Fed is meeting soon, and they may make a similar move by then. However, I am optimistic that the market will show local growth and that USDT.D will continue its downward trend.
usdt.d + BTCusdt.d + BTC
Capital Reservoir: In the Crypto market, when you sell BTC or ETH, most people don't immediately withdraw to fiat currency (because withdrawals are cumbersome), but instead exchange it for USDT. Seesaw Effect: Bull Market/High Risk Appetite: Traders buy BTC with USDT, $\rightarrow CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D decreases. Bear Market/Strong Risk Aversion: Traders sell BTC and buy back USDT, $\rightarrow CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D increases.
RLS/UsdtGATE:RLSUSDT
# 📈🔥 **RLS/USDT Quick Update**
Price is consolidating inside the **0.02200–0.02300** demand zone 🔵.
A clean breakout above the trendline can push price toward **0.02720** 🎯,
and if buyers keep control, next major resistance is **0.03300** 🚀.
If support fails, downside demand sits at **0.01745–0.01800** ⚠️.
---
# 🎯 **Key Levels**
* 🔵 **Support Zone:** 0.02200 – 0.02300
* 🟦 **Support 2:** 0.01745 – 0.01800
* 🔴 **Resistance:** 0.02720
* 🚀 **Major Target:** 0.03300
---
# ⚠️ **Disclaimer:**
*This is chart-based analysis only — not financial advice.
Crypto is highly volatile, always use your own research and risk management.*
Tired of Entering Too Late? Here’s the Setup You Shouldn’t Miss1️⃣ Key Resistance Zone Rejected
Price tapped into the resistance area around 1.1638 – 1.1652, which previously acted as a strong supply zone.
The sharp wick rejection signals that buyers were unable to maintain momentum.
This is a high-probability reversal behavior.
2️⃣ Market Structure: Rounded Top + Liquidity Grab
The rounded top formation indicates slowing bullish momentum.
The long upper wick suggests a liquidity sweep before the expected bearish leg.
This aligns with institutional behavior:
➡️ sweep liquidity → fill orders → drop.
3️⃣ Short Entry Confirmation
The chart clearly marks the ideal ENTRY SHORT as the candle rejects resistance.
Entry Zone: 1.1635 – 1.1650 (depending on spread)
Stop Loss: Above 1.1652
Take Profit: Targeting the weak support zone and then deeper into the strong support below.
4️⃣ Expected Price Path
Based on structure + support layers:
- First drop toward 1.1570 – 1.1560
- Beak of this level → continuation to the 1.1551 zone
- If momentum is strong, eventual return to the major support block
This aligns with the clean pullback–drop model typical in a trending market.
📌 Summary
This is a textbook short setup:
- Clear resistance rejection
- Liquidity sweep
- Bearish structure forming
- Targets lining up with both weak and strong support levels
High-probability trade for sellers.
FireHoseReel | USDT.D : The Next Major Crypto Wave Is Starting🔥 Welcome to FireHoseReel!
Let’s dive into the USDT Dominance (USDT.D) market structure.
👀 USDT.D – 4H Overview
After a strong bullish rally, USDT Dominance has fully retraced its entire move and is now losing a key support zone. This is one of those levels you shouldn’t pass without a position — it’s a critical decision area.
🧮 RSI Analysis
The USDT Dominance RSI has formed an oversold zone around the 33 level. A breakdown and sustained move below this zone could trigger mass USDT selling and strong buying pressure in Bitcoin and altcoins.
✍️ Current Scenario for USDT Dominance (Simple Setup)
🟢 Long Scenario for the Crypto Market:
A clear break and candle close below 5.934%, ideally accompanied by RSI breaking below the 33 level, would confirm momentum. In that case, the move is expected to accelerate, and we’ll likely spend less time inside the position due to high volatility.
❤️ Risk Management & Emotional Discipline
Crypto trading is highly risky. Without proper risk management and emotional control, trading becomes no different from gambling.
Logic must always come before emotions. Learn to manage your trades and enjoy the process with control and discipline.
DXY EXTREME BEARISH DIVERGENCE > ABOUT TO COME STRAIGHT DOWN!DXY Has been on a tear but I think thats about to end and I think it will end very quickly. There is multiple very strong bearish divergences on the weekly, across multiple indicators showing that a major move down is coming. I think we have reached the top for the DXY for a while and its about to tank. Dont know whats around the corner as far as news but something big is about to come out thats going to kill the DXY. This is not trading or financial advice this is just my opinion. If you apprecaite my work please consider giving this chart a boost and follow me for more updates. Thank you and good luck my friends.
FireHoseReel | USDT Dominance at a Critical Turning Point🔥 Welcome to FireHoseReel !
Let’s dive into the USDT Dominance (USDT.D) analysis.
👀 USDT.D 1H OverView
USDT dominance moved higher after breaking our key level and is now facing a rejection near 6.491%.
⚡️ Fibbo Retracement
We have applied Fibonacci retracement from the recent low to the high, which clearly highlights the critical levels.
Forming a higher low on these zones could confirm a renewed bullish continuation in dominance.
However, a break below the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the formation of a lower low could act as an early trend reversal signal, forcing us to shift our multi-timeframe market bias.
❤️ Risk Management & Emotional Discipline
Crypto trading is highly risky. Without proper risk management and emotional control, trading is no different from gambling.
Logic must always come before emotions. Learn to manage your trades—and enjoy the process of trading with control and discipline.
usdt.d and ichimokuCRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
This is the third time that the price has hit the 6.5% area.
But this time there is a difference; the price has broken the Ichimoku cloud to the upside.
Although the Kumo cloud is not thick, this is not good news for altcoins!
I don’t think the #USDT.D decline is permanent.
In case of correction, watch out for the 5.3% area and manage your stop loss limits.
! Never recommend buying or selling !






















