USDT Dominance (4H) Update. 📊 USDT Dominance (4H) Update.
Current Zone: ~6.30%
Key Resistance: 6.55% – 6.65%
Price is moving inside a descending channel, now reacting near the upper trendline.
Rejection from resistance ➝ USDT.D likely drops → Bullish for crypto / altcoins
Clean breakout & hold above 6.65% ➝ USDT.D strength → Risk-off / downside pressure on alts
At resistance + trendline = decision zone.
Wait for clear rejection or breakout confirmation.
⚠️ Manage risk. No prediction — only reaction.
Usdtdominance
$USDT Dominance Is it really different this time?CRYPTOCAP:USDT has broken a major resistance across multiple timeframes, showing clear strength.
Technically, this is not a positive sign for CRYPTOCAP:BTC and other altcoins.
Tether has been in an uptrend for the last 75 days. A reversal could be around the corner in Q1 2025, but for now, the structure does not favour the bulls.
This is not FUD; it's simply clear observations based on the chart.
There has been no major altcoin season this year. Every KOL, including myself, has been wrong in calling an altseason so far.
Is it really different this time?
Only time will tell.
Do share your views in the comments and hit the like button if you like it.
Thank you
#PEACE
USDT.D Signalling Crypto Crash Zone & Bear Market Revisiting this study again that I originally shared months ago as a possible 'path' to either the new ATH targets and/or the Crypto Crash & Bear Market zones...
We can see the the Blue bars from the last cycle are an important fractal to follow.
USDT.D (Tether Dominance) clearly shows the inverse relationship it has with Bitcion and TOTAL market cap, which I have hidden here.
But the Yellow line is the midpoint and can be considered the 'Mean' in the 'reversion to the mean' equation.
At the lows of the USDT.D multi-year trendline going back to 2018, when touch the trendline, crypto is rallying and hitting all time highs.
In contract, when USDT.D is pushing higher (Money flowing into Stablecoins) we see markets correcting and crashing.
I've labeled the corresponding areas, which we can see that USDT.D is now forming support above the 6.5% prior resistance, indicating a deeper crash is likely coming.
Tomorrow is a Triple Witching expiration, so expect volatility.
However, in the past these usually mark reversal points in the markets.
So we'll have to watch and see...
However, most other technical signals are flagging bearish like the Monthly MACD and mult-month Bearish Divergences on the RSI, MFI, and Stoch/RSI
Good time to be out of the markets IMO until this clarifies.
Even if we get a 'Santa Rally' I'll be selling into it, b/c the USDT.D has plenty of room to run to the upside... And we're unlikely to see liquidity return to the markets without more interest rate cuts, QE, and money printing.
All eyes are on Japan's Fed Rate meeting tomorrow, where there's rumored to be a .25 rate HIKE which also has the markets on edge.
USDT Dominance% Breakout: Crypto Correction Not Over?Today, I’m going to analyze Market Cap USDT Dominance%( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) on the weekly timeframe for you. The reason I want to analyze USDT.D% is that the crypto market conditions have become a bit complex lately, and many factors are influencing it. Therefore, it’s better to take a look at the weekly chart of USDT.D%.
Currently, it seems that USDT.D% is in the vicinity of a Heavy Resistance zone(6.78%-5.25%), but at the same time, there’s also a Support zone(6.24%-5.57%) that could potentially lead to an increase in USDT.D%.
From a classical technical analysis perspective, we can clearly see on the weekly chart that the upper lines of the symmetrical triangle have been broken, and it seems that USDT.D% is currently pulling back to those upper lines. As long as it doesn’t move below those lines again, we can still expect that the market correction is ongoing and hasn’t ended yet. This is a sign that helps us gauge whether the crypto market correction is complete or still ongoing.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, with the breakout of the symmetrical triangle, it seems that USDT.D% might be starting a new impulsive wave.
Since we’re not seeing Regular Divergence(RD-) at the highs, it indicates that the recent upward movement in the crypto market, especially Bitcoin’s( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) recent gains, is still part of the correction phase.
In conclusion, based on the above analysis, I expect USDT.D% to rise again. If USDT.D% breaks through the resistance lines, we can hope that it will also break through the Heavy Resistance zone(6.78%-5.25%), and that would be a negative sign for the crypto market, potentially leading to deeper corrections in the coming weeks.
So, what do you think? Do you believe the crypto market correction is over, or do you think it will continue? That’s a nice question to leave our analysis with.
Stop Loss(SL): 5.49%
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Market Cap USDT Dominance% Analyze (USDT.D%), Weekly time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
USDT DOMINANCE Update (4H)This analysis is an update to the previous one, which you can find in the related analyses section.
Considering that trading volume in the crypto market has decreased and the volatility of large-cap coins has slowed, analyses now require more time to play out.
We still believe that Tether dominance will experience a drop; however, the supply orders from the previous analysis have been consumed. The correct zone for orders is marked by the red box.
It is expected that after hitting the identified supply zone, the price will move toward the targets marked on the chart and drop.
Let’s see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDT dominance (USDT.D) USDT dominance (USDT.D) remains elevated and is in a major uptrend, indicating that a significant portion of crypto capital is still parked in stablecoins and in a risk-off position.
Current Structure:
USDT.D is around 5-6%, having broken above a long-term descending trendline that had capped dominance since 2022. This is typically a cautionary signal for risk assets when it remains above that breakout level.
From a technical perspective, USDT.D still appears to be in a large corrective pattern, with significant downside support around 4.2% and 3.8%; losing those levels would confirm a new downtrend in dominance and is usually accompanied by a strong rally in BTC and altcoins.
DYOR | NFA,
Critical USDT.D Test: Altcoin Relief or More Pain?USDT dominance is pushing into its long-term trendline resistance again. If this level rejects, it usually signals fresh money rotating back into altcoins.
But if USDT.D breaks out and holds above the trendline, it could put pressure on alts and slow down their momentum.
This is a key spot for the altcoin market.
DYOR, NFA
Please hit the like button if you like it, and share your views in the comments section.
USDT DOMINANCE ANALYSIS (2D)Hello.
I'd like to share my ideas about USDT Dominance today.
When I start to analyze a chart, the first thing I do is look at past events and patterns.
As I can see, around August 2025, USDT completed its double zig-zag corrective move.
Now we're seeing that the entire market is bleeding, and of course this parameter is also moving in the opposite direction of the market.
Due to its nature, it's easy to analyze the entire market by looking at this parameter alone.
We realize that after the first change of character around the market, this parameter began forming a five-wave impulsive movement. October 10th also confirms this idea in a way.
As anyone who knows about Elliott Theory understands, there are many possibilities when a sudden crash appears in the market. That's the reason why I waited patiently to update my thoughts on this chart.
At the moment, I'm almost sure that what we're seeing here is another five-wave impulsive upward pattern.
The good news is that we are about to see this bleeding in the market come to an end.
The reason is simple: volume.
As you can examine on the chart, volume has been decreasing for days now.
Even if it's not the end of wave 5 yet, we are going to see this parameter drop significantly in the coming weeks — possibly with an A-B-C zig-zag or a double zig-zag pattern.
The orange line on the chart represents an ascending channel. When it breaks, it will also confirm a change of character in the entire market. What I expect is that when this happens, we’ll most likely see a drop of around -20% in this parameter. This will allow the market to recover from its ashes once more.
Thanks for reading.
New update on Tether Dominance (4H)Based on the previous analysis, which you can see in that post (), the price did not move above the defined supply zone and headed downward. We have now analyzed Tether Dominance on the four-hour timeframe.
Now it seems it may have another drop ahead and move toward the green zone. The best area for a rejection is the red zone.
This would make Bitcoin and some altcoins more bullish.
As long as this index has not reached the green zone, look for buy/long positions.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDT Dominance#USDT_dominance, after reacting to the 6.07% resistance zone, may continue its corrective move toward the static support near 5.5%. Such a decline would generally support a more bullish environment for the overall crypto market.
Once price reaches this key level, market conditions must be reassessed:
A break below the 5.5% support would signal further downside for USDT dominance and could lead to a stronger and broader market-wide rally across crypto assets.
ALTS HAVE ROOM TO THE DOWNSIDE.Alt's need retail participation to thrive.
If Global Liquidity tightens, #BTC rolls over into 4 year cycle lows (q4 2026)
BTC.d will rise along with Stablecoin dominance.
This inverted chart shows a well formed Head and Shoulders that is about to test again a key level of significance.
I DO NOT expect it to hold.
FireHoseReel | USDT.D : The Next Major Crypto Wave Is Starting🔥 Welcome to FireHoseReel!
Let’s dive into the USDT Dominance (USDT.D) market structure.
👀 USDT.D – 4H Overview
After a strong bullish rally, USDT Dominance has fully retraced its entire move and is now losing a key support zone. This is one of those levels you shouldn’t pass without a position — it’s a critical decision area.
🧮 RSI Analysis
The USDT Dominance RSI has formed an oversold zone around the 33 level. A breakdown and sustained move below this zone could trigger mass USDT selling and strong buying pressure in Bitcoin and altcoins.
✍️ Current Scenario for USDT Dominance (Simple Setup)
🟢 Long Scenario for the Crypto Market:
A clear break and candle close below 5.934%, ideally accompanied by RSI breaking below the 33 level, would confirm momentum. In that case, the move is expected to accelerate, and we’ll likely spend less time inside the position due to high volatility.
❤️ Risk Management & Emotional Discipline
Crypto trading is highly risky. Without proper risk management and emotional control, trading becomes no different from gambling.
Logic must always come before emotions. Learn to manage your trades and enjoy the process with control and discipline.
FireHoseReel | USDT Dominance at a Critical Turning Point🔥 Welcome to FireHoseReel !
Let’s dive into the USDT Dominance (USDT.D) analysis.
👀 USDT.D 1H OverView
USDT dominance moved higher after breaking our key level and is now facing a rejection near 6.491%.
⚡️ Fibbo Retracement
We have applied Fibonacci retracement from the recent low to the high, which clearly highlights the critical levels.
Forming a higher low on these zones could confirm a renewed bullish continuation in dominance.
However, a break below the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the formation of a lower low could act as an early trend reversal signal, forcing us to shift our multi-timeframe market bias.
❤️ Risk Management & Emotional Discipline
Crypto trading is highly risky. Without proper risk management and emotional control, trading is no different from gambling.
Logic must always come before emotions. Learn to manage your trades—and enjoy the process of trading with control and discipline.
FireHoseReel | USDT Dominance Is Loading a Market Shakeout🔥 Welcome To FireHoseReel !
Let's dive into DominanceUSDT Structure .
🎯 After breaking its bullish curve, USDT Dominance formed a higher low on the 4H timeframe compared to the previous bottom.
A sharp drop alongside a strong Bitcoin rally was needed to break its supports — but that scenario did not happen.
🌪 USDT.D has now broken its descending trendline and is facing resistance at 6.073%.
A breakout above this zone could restart a broader market correction and trigger a retest of the 4H high.
🧮 On the 1H timeframe, RSI has formed an overbought level.
A momentum break above this zone could drive USDT dominance sharply higher.
💡 Summary: USDT dominance still has bullish strength.
If it continues to move upward, our short position triggers could become active.
🛞 Risk Management & Disclaimer
Please remember to always use proper risk management and position sizing. Nothing in this analysis is financial advice. The market can change quickly, so always trade based on your own strategy, research, and risk tolerance. You are fully responsible for your own trades.
USDT.D: Smart Money Indicator for Bitcoin & Altcoin CyclesUSDT.D Dominance: The Hidden Cycle Behind Crypto Bull & Bear Markets (2021–2026)
The USDT.D dominance chart offers a clear window into the underlying market sentiment: when stablecoin dominance rises, the market tends to weaken, and when it falls, risk-on assets thrive.
From late 2021 , USDT.D saw a steady rise, signaling capital flowing out of risk assets . This climaxed in late 2022 , aligning with Bitcoin’s historic drop from $69k to $15k (~-74%).
Following this, USDT.D entered a downtrend and consolidated for over a year, a period that coincided with multiple altcoin bull runs , highlighting the inverse relationship between USDT.D and alt markets.
Recent months have shown breakout dynamics , as USDT.D reclaimed its long-term downtrend resistance. The market now faces a crucial retest around 5–5.1% , which could act as a springboard for the next major rally.
🔹 Market Implications:
Short-term: Bitcoin & Ethereum likely to see significant upward momentum during early 2026.
Mid-term: USDT.D may form a Bullish Cup & Handle , targeting 8–9% by late 2026 , signaling potential market corrections.
Key takeaway: Stablecoin dominance is a leading indicator —tracking its patterns can provide insight into market cycles, risk periods, and optimal entry/exit windows.
💡 Pro Tip: Always combine dominance analysis with price action and volume for better timing in crypto markets.
Golden Zone Test: Will USDT.D Extend Higher?USDT.D appears to be retesting the zone after breaking out, and it could push higher since this structure has repeated many times in the past.
The marked golden zone is crucial and will play a key role in determining the next major direction of the market.
DYOR, NFA
USDT DOMINANCE Analysis | Altseason Or New Bearish Cycle (3D)Before anything else, pay close attention to the timeframe. This analysis is based on the 3-hour timeframe, and it naturally takes time to unfold.
From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, it seems that the correction of USDT dominance has begun. This correction is forming a Diametric pattern, and we are currently at the end of wave F.
From the red zone, we expect a rejection to the downside, because wave F ends in this area and we will enter wave G, which is a bearish wave. During this bearish wave, Bitcoin and altcoins will experience some degree of recovery.
However, based on NeoWave wave-counting principles, in the green zone either:
* The correction of USDT dominance will be completed and it will enter a mid-term bullish phase, leading Bitcoin and altcoins into another bearish cycle,
or
* Wave G of this USDT dominance pattern will extend, and instead of a new bullish phase, an X wave will form. In this scenario, USDT dominance will enter another downward cycle, which could trigger an altseason.
We have to see which scenario plays out!
What do you think?
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
FireHoseReel | USDT.D 4H Analysis🔥 Welcome FireHoseReel !
Let’s jump into the Tether Dominance Analysis , one of the most Popular Crypto Index .
👀 USDT Dominance – 4H Timeframe
USDT dominance has reached a major resistance level after a very strong upward rally. At this point, I personally have a bearish bias, expecting a rejection and the completion of a multi-timeframe secondary trend. This view is also supported by my mentor, Arshia Azizpour.
📉 RSI Analysis
Since volume isn’t very reliable on dominance charts, we use the RSI oscillator instead.
RSI has just rejected from the 81 zone, which is a strong static resistance inside the overbought area.
This rejection suggests potential cooldown, pullback, or loss of momentum.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
USDT dominance currently has three major levels:
🔺 6.623% – major top resistance
🔸 6.427% – multi-timeframe trend-shift zone
🔸 6.148% – secondary multi-timeframe trend-shift zone
A clean break and candle close below these levels can give us a bearish bias on dominance, which naturally creates a bullish bias for crypto assets.
⚠️ Important Note
USDT dominance still has strong trend momentum.
If it breaks above the current top, it could trigger another wave of downward pressure on Bitcoin and altcoins.
Historically, these dominance spikes hit BTC and ETH the hardest, while altcoins don’t always fall as aggressively.
🛞 Risk Management & Disclaimer
Please remember to always use proper risk management and position sizing. Nothing in this analysis is financial advice. The market can change quickly, so always trade based on your own strategy, research, and risk tolerance. You are fully responsible for your own trades.
USDT Dominance at 6%: Past Signals for Crypto UpswingsThis chart highlights the significance of the 6% level in USDT.D. During the last three times when USDT.D reached 6%, Bitcoin and especially altcoins have consistently shifted into notable uptrends. This level historically acts as a contrarian signal—when stablecoin dominance peaks, risk appetite tends to return, sending capital back into crypto assets.
The 3.77% zone represents a key structural support for USDT.D. When this level is approached, it can be a prudent moment to partially lock in profits on altcoins, as risk of reversal and increased capital rotation back to stablecoins may rise from this threshold.
FireHoseReel | USDT Dominance & BTC Dominance Overview😄 Hey! How’s everything? Hope you’re doing great!
🍾 Welcome to FireHoseReel — make sure to follow and enjoy the analysis along the way.
If you ever want a custom chart breakdown, just leave a comment and I’ve got you.
😎 Let’s dive into the analysis of two major crypto dominances: USDT and Bitcoin.
✔️ USDT Dominance Technical Analysis
• On the 4-hour timeframe of USDT dominance, we can see that after repeatedly breaking through multiple resistance levels on the chart, USDT.D has reached a point of heavy overbought conditions. It’s now sitting at a strong resistance zone.
If this resistance breaks, USDT dominance could push even higher, which would bring additional downward pressure on the market, especially on Bitcoin and altcoins, leading to another wave of selling.
• If USDT dominance rejects from this zone and starts moving downward, the nearest support to be tested is around 6.148%. Losing this support would signal the beginning of the first bullish wave in the market, giving us a potential opportunity to start opening long positions once this level breaks down.
• Another key level is the resistance at 6.623%.
If USDT dominance breaks above this level, it could trigger an even stronger bearish wave compared to the previous one, causing a deeper correction across the market.
✔️ BTC Dominance Technical Analysis
• On the 4-hour timeframe of Bitcoin dominance, we can see that after the recent market drop, BTC.D also moved downward and went through a relatively deep correction.
What’s important here is that despite the decline in Bitcoin dominance, altcoins did not experience a heavy correction, and most of them held their levels without major downside movement.
• If Bitcoin dominance loses the 58.80% level, it could extend its correction even further.
However, the key reversal zone for the 4-hour trend lies at 59.31%. A breakout above this level can trigger a solid bullish wave in BTC.D.
• Our confirmation for this bullish wave would be the formation of a higher low above this resistance zone, signaling a potential upward trend continuation.
🛞 Risk Management & Disclaimer
Please remember to always use proper risk management and position sizing. Nothing in this analysis is financial advice. The market can change quickly, so always trade based on your own strategy, research, and risk tolerance. You are fully responsible for your own trades.
USDT DOMINANCE Roadmap (1D)From the point where the green arrow is placed on the chart, it seems that a large-degree bullish pattern has started. Waves A and B of this pattern are complete, and we are now in wave C.
Wave A was a diametric, and wave B was a triangle. We are currently in wave a of C. After wave b of C completes, caution is needed because the movement of c of C will begin.
From the green zone, Tether dominance may turn bullish again toward the two red-line targets.
We will try to update this analysis periodically.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You






















