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Usoilsignal

Crude Oil (USOIL): Bullish Structure + Mean Reversion Entry⚡ WTI CRUDE OIL (USOIL) - BULLISH SWING STRATEGY 🛢️ 📊 Institutional Trading Plan | Global Energy Market 🎯 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Market: USOIL (WTI Crude Oil Spot) Session: Day/Swing Trading Direction: BULLISH (Confirmation) Current Level: $63.65 USD/barrel 52-Week Range: $54.98 - $78.40 📈 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE OF THE PLAN ✅ Bullish Confirmation WTI has formed a "Channel Up" monthly pattern, showing: ✨ Multiple Higher Highs and Higher Lows confirmed ✨ Positive response to key support levels (channel bottom) ✨ Technical pullback on Strategic Moving Averages ✨ Positive momentum with institutional volume Recent: Crude oil bounced from $62.14 USD on February 2 session, validating key support after initial euphoria. 🔌 ENTRY STRATEGY - PROFESSIONAL LAYERING SYSTEM Important Note: You are absolutely responsible for your trading decisions. This plan is educational, not financial recommendation. 📍 Entry Levels (Layering System - "Thief Strategy") Layer 1 - Aggressive Entry: $62.00 USD → Strong support + Technical confluence Layer 2 - Strategic Entry: $62.50 USD → 50-period Moving Average approximation Layer 3 - Balanced Entry: $63.00 USD → Neutral/pullback zone (current area) Layer 4 - Conservative Entry: $63.50 USD → Secondary impulse confirmation Flexibility: Any entry level is viable according to your risk profile and preferred timeframe. 🎯 PRICE TARGET (TP) - INSTITUTIONAL RESISTANCE Main Target: $66.50 USD/barrel Technical Reasons: ✅ Historical structure resistance + expected pullback zone ✅ Overbought conditions detected on oscillators ✅ "Bullish trap" zone - institutional density ✅ Correlation with Brent ($68-70) suggests probable peak here ✅ Institutional profit-taking expected at this level Secondary Scenario: If you break $66.50 with volume, next TP = $67.50-68.00 USD 🛑 STOP LOSS (SL) - RISK MANAGEMENT Professional Stop Loss: $61.00 USD/barrel Justification: 🛡️ Base support of monthly bullish channel 🛡️ Breaking below invalidates bullish thesis 🛡️ Optimal distance for favorable risk/reward ratio 🛡️ Technical level backed by multi-timeframe analysis Your Responsibility: Setting SL is YOUR PERSONAL DECISION. Manage your capital according to risk tolerance. 💰 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR | CORRELATION ANALYSIS 🌍 Correlated Pairs: 1. BRENT CRUDE (EUCRUDE) Current Price: $65.92 USD/barrel Correlation: +0.92 (Highly correlated) WTI/Brent Ratio: 1.04 (WTI slight discount) Monitoring: If USOIL rises, EUCRUDE typically follows +1-2% Key Point: Brent acts as "global barometer" of energy demand 2. US DOLLAR (DXY) Correlation: -0.73 (Strong inverse) Impact: Stronger USD = Cheaper oil (non-USD buyers lose purchasing power) Critical Level: DXY > 107.50 generates downward pressure on USOIL Strategy: Monitor Fed + interest rates 3. STOCK INDICES (S&P 500 / SPY) Correlation: +0.68 (Risk-sentiment) Dynamic: Bullish markets = Higher future energy demand Bullish Divergence: If SPY rises but USOIL doesn't, speculative opportunity 4. RELATED ENERGY PAIRS Gasoline (GASOLINE Futures): +0.85 correlation Natural Gas (NGT): +0.45 correlation (weaker relationship) Uranium (URA): +0.20 correlation (independent) 5. CHINESE YUAN PAIR (CNYRUB) Correlation: +0.55 (Asian demand) Context: China is world's largest crude importer Indicator: Yuan weakness = Lower oil purchases 📰 CRITICAL FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS 🚨 GEOPOLITICS - RISK FACTOR #1 🔴 Current Situation (February 2026): US-IRAN NEGOTIATIONS (Most Recent: February 6, 2026) ✅ Diplomatic conversations confirmed in Oman (February 6) ✅ Reduction of geopolitical risk premium since January highs ⚠️ Uncertainty: Disagreement on scope of negotiations persists 📊 Price Impact: Each "progress" news = -2 to -4% in WTI 📊 Price Impact: Collapse in negotiations = +3 to +8% in WTI Critical Fact: Iran represents ~30% of OPEC production = Massive disruption potential RUSSIA-UKRAINE TENSION 🔴 Recent attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure ⚖️ Possible high-level negotiations between Washington and Moscow 📍 Impact: Russian supplies (11% global) at potential risk 🎯 Monitoring: Any escalation = +$2-5 automatically in WTI 📊 SUPPLY AND DEMAND (Fundamentals) OPEC+ DECISION (February 1, 2026) ✅ 8 OPEC+ countries reaffirm freeze on production increase for March ✅ DELAY OF INCREMENTS: Reason = weak seasonal demand (Q1) 📋 Reserve of cuts: 1.65 million barrels/day still available if market requires 🔄 Next Meeting: March 1, 2026 - Market Review Excess Capacity: 🛢️ Spare capacity (~2.5 million bbl/day) mainly in Saudi Arabia 🛢️ Acts as "safety net" if Iran disconnects 💡 OPEC+ Strategy: Keep prices "comfortable" without deeper cuts NORTH AMERICAN INVENTORIES (EIA - Last Week January 2026) ✅ DECLINE: -3.5 million barrels in week ending January 30 ✅ Bullish signal = Reduction of surplus 📈 Critical next reports: every Thursday at 10:30 AM EST GLOBAL PRODUCTION (Q3 2025 - Latest Data) 📊 OPEC Production: 106.03 million bbl/day 📊 Global Production (IEA): 108.06 million bbl/day ⚠️ 2026 Projection: Possible oversupply of 3.8 million bbl/day (per IEA) ⚠️ Long-term downward pressure 💱 GLOBAL ECONOMIC FACTORS GLOBAL ENERGY DEMAND 🌐 Global economic growth 2026 = 3.1% (OPEC) 🌐 Energy demand growth 2026 = +1.4 million bbl/day (vs 2025) 🌐 OECD: +0.2 mb/d | Non-OECD: +1.2 mb/d 🎯 Impact: Lower growth = Limited upward pressure KEY MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS 📉 Weak private employment data (USA) = Slowdown concerns 📉 Milder weather forecasts = Lower heating consumption 💪 ISM Manufacturing PMI (January USA): Next February 3 = Key for sentiment DOLLAR STRENGTH 💹 DXY (Dollar Index) at relative highs 💹 Stronger dollar = More expensive oil in foreign currencies = Lower demand 💹 Change: Fed could hold rates or reduce based on February data TRADE AGREEMENTS (Emerging Factor) 🤝 Trump-India: Oil tariff reduction (25% → 0%) 🤝 India can increase US crude purchases 📊 Impact: Potential demand +500k-1M bbl/day in US Oil 🎤 UPCOMING CRITICAL EVENTS TO MONITOR 📅 February 6 → US-Iran Negotiations in Oman 🔴 VERY HIGH IMPACT (Geopolitical Key) 📅 February 10 → ISM Services PMI (USA) 🟠 HIGH IMPACT (Economic Health) 📅 February 13 → Weekly EIA Inventories 🟡 MEDIUM-HIGH IMPACT (Real Demand) 📅 March 1 → OPEC+ Meeting Decision 🟠 HIGH IMPACT (Production Policy) 📅 February → Energy Corporate Earnings 🟡 MEDIUM IMPACT (Investment Guidance) 💎 "THIEF OG" TRADER WISHLIST - MOTIVATION & MINDSET "In the energy market, patience is power. Institutions build positions slowly, while emotional traders lose fast." 🚀 Professional Trading Principles: ✨ "Lay Your Traps, Not Your Emotions" Layered entries allow you to break even even on losing trades Each dip is an opportunity to average down, not to panic ✨ "Follow the Institutions, Not the Hype" Big funds wait at $62-63, they don't jump at $65 Institutional volumes confirm = USOIL will rise sustainably ✨ "Geopolitics is the New Fundamentals" 2026 is a year of uncertainty: Iran, Russia-Ukraine, China Each news = Volatility = Opportunity for prepared traders ✨ "Risk Management is Not Boring, It's Freedom" SL at $61.00 = Maximum -$2.65 loss per barrel TP at $66.50 = Maximum +$3.85 gain per barrel Ratio 1:1.45 = Professional, sustainable, repeatable ✨ "Trade the Plan, Not Your Dreams" Layered entry = Don't perfect the timing (impossible) Fixed TP = Take profits without regrets Fixed SL = Controlled losses = Portfolio preserved 📈 CONCLUSION: WHY NOW IS THE TIME? BULLISH SCENARIO: The confluence of technical factors + seasonality + controlled geopolitics = Clear swing trade opportunity Ideal Setup: ✅ Confirmed monthly channel pattern bullish ✅ Technical pullback offers staggered entries ✅ Clear targets at institutional resistance ✅ Defined and rational stop loss ✅ Secondary correlations confirm energy panorama Horizon: 5-15 days (Swing Trade) | Potential: +$2.85 - $3.85 per barrel 🛢️ "Oil doesn't lie. Fundamentals align with technicals. The question isn't 'if' USOIL rises to $66.50, but 'when'." 🎯 LET'S WIN, TRADER OG'S! RESPECT THE PLAN. 💪
FX:USOILSPOT
by The-Thief
Swing Long Trade Idea on USOILSwing Long Trade Idea on USOIL In 2025, metals, commodities, equities, and Bitcoin all reached new all time highs, while USOIL has lagged behind. I believe we could see a catch up move in USOIL during Q1 2026, as price is currently holding at a strong support level. I am considering a swing long position if USOIL breaks out of the descending triangle. The RR on this setup looks very attractive. My plan is to take partial profits at the 0.618 Fibonacci level, set the second target at the top of the channel, and trail the stop loss after the first target is reached. Share you thoughts
TVC:USOILLong
by smwajeeh
3
WTI (USOIL) Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure TVC:USOIL WTI is currently trading within a rising channel, after rebounding from the recent swing lows. Price has found support around the $60.15–$60.33 support zone, where buying interest has emerged and downside momentum has slowed. The market structure suggests a potential bullish continuation. As long as WTI holds above the support zone, price action favours a rebound toward the $61.04–$61.21 resistance zone. The projected path indicates a brief consolidation near current levels, followed by an upside push into the resistance band, rather than an immediate breakdown. 🎯 Trade Setup (Bullish Bias) Entry Zone: 60.15 – 60.33 Stop Loss: 59.99 Take Profit 1: 61.04 Take Profit 2: 61.20 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1 : 2.26 📌 Invalidation A sustained break and close below $59.99 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a deeper downside correction. 🌐 Macro Background The broader macro backdrop remains mixed but supportive for WTI in the near term. Easing geopolitical tensions after President Trump stepped back from tariff threats against European nations have helped stabilize risk sentiment, providing short-term support for crude prices. At the same time, signals of temporary supply disruptions in Kazakhstan have added upside pressure, as production at major oilfields was halted following power outages. However, the upside remains capped by persistent oversupply concerns, with the International Energy Agency (IEA) reiterating that global oil supply is expected to significantly exceed demand this year. In the short term, markets are digesting these opposing forces, with price action favouring range-based recovery moves when crude stabilizes at well-defined technical support. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 61.04 – 61.21 Support Zone: 60.15 – 60.33 Bullish Invalidation: Below 59.99 📌 Trade Summary WTI is holding above a critical support zone within a rising channel after a corrective pullback. As long as price remains supported above $60.15, the bias favours a buy-on-dips approach, targeting a continuation move toward the upper resistance band. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute investment or trading advice. Financial markets involve risk, and traders should manage positions according to their own risk tolerance.
TVC:USOIL
by ATFX_Global
Crude Oil Technical Blueprint | Bullish Momentum Setup🛢️ USOIL Energy Market Blueprint | Swing/Day Trade Setup 🎯 📊 ASSET OVERVIEW Crude Oil (USOIL) | WTI Crude Oil Futures Market: Energies | Commodities Sector Strategy Type: Capital Flow Analysis + Triangular MA Breakout System Trading Style: Swing Trading & Day Trading Hybrid Approach 🔥 MARKET BIAS: BULLISH MOMENTUM CONFIRMED ✅ Technical Setup: ✨ Triangular Moving Average (TMA) BREAKOUT + RETEST pattern completed ✨ Price action showing bullish institutional order flow ✨ Momentum indicators aligning with upside continuation ✨ Volume profile supporting buyer dominance 🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY: "THIEF LAYERING METHOD" 💰 Entry Type: Multi-Layer Limit Orders (Smart Money Accumulation Style) 🔹 Layer 1: $57.50 🔹 Layer 2: $58.00 🔹 Layer 3: $58.50 🔹 Layer 4: $59.00 OR ✅ Market Entry: Any current price level (For aggressive traders) 💡 Pro Tip: The "Thief Strategy" uses multiple limit orders at strategic support zones to capture optimal average entry price. You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and position sizing plan! 🚨 TARGET ZONE: "POLICE FORCE LEVEL" 🎖️ Primary Target (TP): $61.50 ⚠️ IMPORTANT: This level acts as: ✔️ Strong historical resistance zone ✔️ Overbought territory trap area ✔️ Institutional profit-taking zone 🛡️ Exit Strategy: Take partial profits at target. Don't be greedy—when money is on the table, secure your gains! This is YOUR trade, YOUR rules, YOUR profits. Adjust TP based on your personal trading plan and risk management. 🛑 STOP LOSS: "THIEF PROTECTION LEVEL" 🔒 SL Placement: $57.00 ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This SL is suggested based on technical structure invalidation point. However, YOU are the boss of your own trading account. Set your stop loss according to YOUR risk tolerance, account size, and trading psychology. Never risk more than you can afford to lose! 🌍 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH 📈 Correlated Assets (Positive Correlation): AMEX:XLE (Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund) 🔗 +0.85 correlation NYSE:XOM (Exxon Mobil) 🔗 +0.78 correlation NYSE:CVX (Chevron Corporation) 🔗 +0.76 correlation TVC:UKOIL (Brent Crude Oil) 🔗 +0.92 correlation Inverse Correlation: TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) 🔗 -0.65 correlation (Strong dollar = Pressure on oil) NASDAQ:TLT (US Treasury Bonds) 🔗 -0.45 correlation Currency Pairs (Oil-Sensitive): USDCAD 🇺🇸🇨🇦 (Canadian Dollar strengthens with oil) USDNOK 🇺🇸🇳🇴 (Norwegian Krone tied to oil exports) USDRUB 🇺🇸🇷🇺 (Russian Ruble oil-dependent) 💡 Trading Insight: When USOIL rallies, energy stocks typically follow. Watch DXY weakness for confirmation—falling dollar = bullish catalyst for oil! 📰 FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS 🌐 Current Market Drivers (Real-Time Feed): 🔴 OPEC+ Production Decisions: Saudi Arabia & Russia production cut extensions impacting supply Tighter supply = Bullish pressure on prices 🔴 US Crude Oil Inventories (EIA Reports): Weekly inventory data showing drawdowns = Bullish signal Watch Wednesday 10:30 AM EST releases 🔴 Geopolitical Tensions: Middle East tensions (Iran, Israel, regional conflicts) Ukraine-Russia energy disruptions Red Sea shipping route disruptions = Supply chain fears 🔴 Global Demand Outlook: China economic recovery (world's largest oil importer) US economic data (PMI, manufacturing, employment) Winter heating demand seasonality 🔴 US Dollar Strength (DXY): Fed interest rate policy (dovish = bullish oil) Dollar weakness = Oil priced in USD becomes cheaper for foreign buyers Upcoming Events to Watch: 📅 ✅ OPEC+ Meeting - Monitor production quota announcements ✅ US EIA Crude Inventory Reports - Every Wednesday ✅ Fed Interest Rate Decisions - Impact on USD and commodity prices ✅ China Economic Data - PMI, GDP, industrial output ✅ Geopolitical Developments - Middle East news, sanctions updates ⚡ KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS 📊 Support Zones: 🟢 $57.00 (Critical SL level) $56.20 (Secondary support) $55.50 (Major demand zone) Resistance Zones: 🔴 $61.50 (Target / Police Force level) $63.00 (Psychological barrier) $65.00 (Major supply zone) 💎 FINAL WORDS: THIEF OG'S PHILOSOPHY 🎩 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen, Thief OG Traders 🎯 📌 This is NOT financial advice—this is a technical blueprint based on chart analysis and market structure. 📌 YOU control your destiny. YOU decide entry, exit, and risk. 📌 Take profits when YOU see fit. Don't let greed rob your gains! 📌 Manage risk like a professional. Position sizing > Being right. 📌 The market doesn't care about your feelings. Stick to your plan! 🔥 Trade smart. Trade safe. Make money, then TAKE money. 🔥 📢 Engagement Call-to-Action: 💬 Drop a comment with your thoughts! 👍 Smash that LIKE button if this setup resonates! 🔔 FOLLOW for more market blueprints and Thief OG setups! 🚀 Let's make those pips together, traders! Happy Trading, Thief OG's! 🎩✨
TRADU:USOILSPOT
by The-Thief
2
USOIL Bearish Continuation Setup | Technical & Macro ViewUSOIL (WTI Crude) Bear Plays 🔥 | Oversupply + Economic Cues 📉 | Day/Swing Trade Tech + Fundamental Edge 🎯 Asset: USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) — Energies Market Trade Opportunity (Day/Swing) 📉 Bias: Bearish setup — continuation pressure confirmed 📍 Current Price Context: ~57.3 USD/bbl (WTI) with downside structural momentum below key dynamic resistance, trend shows continued bearish bias with decaying demand and oversupply pressure. 🧠 TRADE PLAN 🔻 Entry: Any favorable lower level entry within bear momentum zones — look for rejects at lower highs and trend continuation. ❌ Stop-Loss (SL): This is thief SL @ 57.50 Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's) Adjust your SL based on your strategy & own risk, ⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's) iam not recommended to set only my SL. its your own choice you can make money then take money at your own risk. 🎯 Target: Police force act as a strong support + oversold + trap + correction is there so kindly escape with profits OUR target @ 55.00 ⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's) iam not recommended to set only my TP. its your own choice you can make money then take money at your own risk. 🔁 RELATED PAIRS / WATCHLIST & CORRELATIONS 📌 BLACKBULL:BRENT — If Brent extends weakness, USOIL often accelerates downside. 📌 OANDA:USDCAD — CAD tends to strengthen when oil drops, watch for confirmation. 📌 Energy Sector ETF ( AMEX:XLE ) — Weakness here often previews crude downside risk. 📌 NATGAS ( VANTAGE:NG ) — Not directly correlated but sentiment flow can affect broader energy trading appetite. 📌 Oil ETF ( AMEX:USO ) — Tracks broader oil sentiment and institutional positioning. 📌 TECHNICAL EDGE — KEY POINTS 📉 Descending channel dominance — confirmed lower highs & lower lows. 📊 Price respects dynamic resistance with weak bullish momentum. ⚠️ Breakdown of intermediate support can accelerate price toward lower demand zones. 🌍 FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS (CURRENT CONTEXT) 📉 Oversupply Pressure: Global crude supply continues to exceed demand, keeping price rallies capped and sellers in control. 📦 Inventory Dynamics: U.S. crude inventory changes show mixed signals, but structural supply remains elevated. 🌍 Geopolitical Watch: Ongoing geopolitical developments and production policy shifts remain volatility triggers. 📉 Demand Side Risk: Slower global growth expectations and industrial demand softness continue to weigh on crude. 📅 Economic Calendar Impact: U.S. labor data, inflation data, and central bank guidance can influence USD strength and risk sentiment, directly impacting oil prices. 🔔 KEY MARKET THEMES (LATEST) 🛢️ Oil prices remain pressured under supply-heavy outlook 📉 Sellers defending lower highs aggressively ⚠️ Volatility expected around macro data releases
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by The-Thief
WTI Oil: Bulls vs Bears – The Next Major Move Is LoadingHello and best wishes to all my TradingView followers 👋🌹 Hope you’re doing great and trading safely 💪📊 Today, we are going to analyze WTI Crude Oil in the short-term perspective, focusing mainly on the 4H and Daily timeframes. Based on the chart, price is currently moving within a range structure with a bearish bias and is reacting to several key technical levels. 🔻 Market Structure Overview Price is trading below the descending Dynamic Resistance (trendline) The highlighted Daily Resistance Zone acts as a strong supply area Price is currently inside a decision zone, where volatility is expected ⏳ 🟥 Bearish Scenario 📉 If price breaks and closes below the marked support zone on the Daily timeframe: 🔻 Bearish continuation becomes valid 📌 A potential pullback to the broken zone may occur before continuation 🎯 Targets can be activated step by step at lower demand levels (as shown by the gray projections on the chart) This scenario aligns with the lower high & lower low structure and weak bullish momentum 📉 As long as price remains below the dynamic resistance, the bearish scenario remains dominant. 🟩 Bullish Scenario 📈 If price manages to: ✅ Break the descending trendline (Dynamic Resistance) ✅ Close a valid 4H candle above the resistance Then we may expect: 🔁 A pullback to the broken trendline 🚀 A bullish continuation toward higher resistance levels 🎯 Targets located at previous highs and key supply zones 📌 This scenario requires confirmation. Without a valid breakout, it remains only a possibility. 🧠 Final Thoughts Price is at a very critical level 📉 Support break = continuation to the downside 📈 Trendline breakout = potential trend reversal ⏳ Best approach here is waiting for confirmation before entering trades ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. All trading decisions are your own responsibility. Please always follow proper risk and money management ⚠️ If you found this analysis helpful ❤️ 🔔 Don’t forget to like, comment, and follow Wishing you green trades and consistent profits 🌱📈
BLACKBULL:WTI
by forexcitypro_leemeenal
Weekly USOIL Trend SummaryOverall, USOIL oscillated at a low level with a slight upward trend during the period from November 24 to November 28, 2025. Despite minor fluctuations of gains and losses throughout the week, it hovered around $59 per barrel and failed to break free from the consecutive monthly decline trend that began this month. The specific trend is detailed in segments as follows: 1.Modest Gain at Week's Start with Synchronous Weakening Price Spread (November 24) USOIL kicked off the week with a slight upturn. It closed at $58.89 per barrel that day, rising $0.91 or 1.57% compared with the previous week's closing price of $57.98 per barrel. 2.Oscillating Consolidation in Mid-Week, with Gains Constrained by Oversupply Expectations (November 25 - 26) On November 25, oil prices traded sideways, hovering around $58.77 per barrel with a slight drop of approximately 0.91%. On November 26, the market rebounded, and the growth rate of the relevant oil and gas index expanded to 0.87%. Oil prices followed suit with an upward movement. However, they failed to break through the earlier oscillating range overall. Meanwhile, potential incremental pressure on the supply side left the oil price rally lacking strong momentum. 3.Minor Fluctuations at Week's End Awaiting Policy Signals (November 27 - 28) On November 27, oil prices pulled back slightly, and the corresponding oil and gas index edged down by 0.08%. After encountering resistance near $59 per barrel, oil prices retreated moderately. Market sentiment turned increasingly cautious as investors focused on the OPEC+ production policy meeting scheduled for Sunday. On November 28, oil prices inched up again, and the oil and gas index rose by 0.67%, hitting a weekly closing high of 309.33 points. Overall, although USOIL recorded a slight increase this week, it remained trapped in a low - range. Moreover, this month marks its fourth consecutive monthly decline, the longest losing streak since 2023. The main bearish factors weighing on oil prices include the expected lifting of sanctions on Russian oil driven by progress in the Ukraine peace talks and weak demand caused by the unexpected growth in U.S. crude oil inventories. Conversely, expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have provided some support for oil prices. Going forward, the production decisions of OPEC+ and changes in the geopolitical landscape will be the key factors determining the future trend of oil prices.
TVC:USOILLong
by KingArthur_
Core trading logic:The current crude oil market is in a balanced state of "relatively abundant supply + weak demand + macroeconomic uncertainty + technical fluctuations", with no clear trend direction. Therefore, a mixed strategy of "interval high selling and low buying + breakthrough confirmation for follow-up" is adopted. The focus is on the core range of $58 - $61. Buy at the support level and sell at the resistance level. At the same time, a follow-up position after a trend breakthrough is reserved to balance stability and flexibility. Crude oil trading strategy buy：60-60.5 tp:61-61.5 sl:59.5
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Bearish USOIL: 58 at RiskUSOIL extended the previous session's decline today, showing an overall weak fluctuating downward trend. The core bearish factor of oversupply continues to weigh, with a lack of short-term rebound momentum. On the indicator front, the 9-day EMA has crossed below the 20-day EMA, forming a short-term death cross signal, indicating that the downward trend is likely to continue. The 14-day RSI hovers around 40, remaining in a downward channel with no oversold rebound signals, suggesting that bears still hold the initiative and there is no large-scale entry of bottom-fishing funds. In terms of resistance and support, short-term rebound resistance is concentrated at the pivot point of 59.28 and the 59.50-60 range. As a key integer level, failure to reclaim 60 will see bearish sentiment continue to spread. For support below, focus first on 55.7; if the 58 level is broken, a accelerated drop to this support level is highly likely. Trading Strategy: Buy 58 - 58.3 SL 58 TP 59 - 59.5 - 60 Sell 59.5 - 60 SL 60.5 TP 58.5 - 58 - 57.5
TVC:USOILShort
by KingArthur_
Is XTI/USD Setting Up for a Sharp Bearish Correction?🚨 WTI/USD CRUDE OIL: THE BEARISH HEIST AWAITS 🎯 ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ THE SETUP: Breaking Down The Crime Scene 🕵️‍♂️ We're executing a bearish pullback strategy on WTI/USD spot crude oil, leveraging the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) as our primary technical confirmation. The energy sector is flashing opportunity signals, and it's time to work the levels like a seasoned professional. 📊 STRATEGY FRAMEWORK Market Direction: Bearish Pullback from 200 SMA Resistance Timeframe: Suitable for Swing & Day Trading Operations Asset Class: Energies | WTI Crude Oil Spot 💰 THE LAYERED ENTRY STRATEGY (Multi-Level Approach) This is where the Thief Method shines—stacking limit orders at key price levels to accumulate positions as the market comes to you: Suggested Entry Layer Points: Layer 1: 60.50 💧 Layer 2: 60.00 💧 Layer 3: 59.50 💧 Layer 4: 59.00 💧 ⚠️ Pro Tip: Feel free to add or adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and position size. The beauty of this method is scalability—customize to YOUR account size and risk parameters. 🛑 STOP LOSS PLACEMENT Primary SL Level: 61.00 Positioned at the nearest swing high/candle wick resistance above our entry cluster. This respects natural market structure and gives us a defined, measurable risk point. ⚡ DISCLAIMER ON RISK MANAGEMENT: This is NOT financial advice. Risk management is YOUR responsibility. The suggested SL is based on technical structure, but YOU control your account. Set stops that align with YOUR risk tolerance. Trade only what you can afford to lose. 🎯 PROFIT TARGET STRUCTURE Primary Target: 56.50 Secondary Support Level: 56.00 — A police barricade of strength where multiple factors converge: Strong historical support confluence 📍 Oversold zone recognition ⚖️ Potential reversal trap (exit strategy alert) ⚠️ Exit Strategy: Consider banking profits at 56.50 before support intensifies at 56.00. Lock in gains as the technical structure suggests potential friction. ⚡ DISCLAIMER ON PROFIT TARGETS: Again, these are TECHNICAL levels only. YOU decide your exit strategy. Whether you take full profits at 56.50, trail stops, or use partial exits—this is YOUR trading plan. No setup is guaranteed. 🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (Correlation Check) Understanding energy market interrelations helps you spot confirmation signals: US Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) → Inverse correlation to crude oil. Strengthen USD = Bearish pressure on oil. Watch DXY for confirmation of our bearish bias. CSEMA:S&P 500 ( AMEX:SPY / CME_MINI:ES1! ) → Risk sentiment indicator. If equities weaken, crude often follows bearish patterns. Check equity trends for macro confirmation. Energy Select Sector ETF ( AMEX:XLE ) → Direct correlation. Tracks large-cap energy stocks. Oil weakness often precedes XLE drops. FX:EURUSD → Global risk sentiment. Weak euro = risk-off environment = potential crude weakness. Monitor for macro context. AMEX:USO (Crude Oil ETF) → Direct oil tracking instrument. Moves in lockstep with WTI. Use for backup confirmation. 📋 THE THIEF STRATEGY CHECKLIST ✅ Confirm 200 SMA as resistance/bearish context ✅ Stack limit orders—don't chase price ✅ Define your personal stop loss (around 61.00 structure) ✅ Target scale-outs near 56.50-56.00 ✅ Use correlation pairs for macro confirmation ✅ Manage position size ruthlessly ✅ Accept losses—they're tuition in the market 💬 ENGAGEMENT BOOST ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #WTI #CrudeOil #EnergyTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #Trading101 #ForexEnergy #MultiLayerEntry #RiskManagement #TradingSetup #FinancialMarkets #Energies #TradingCommunity
FXOPEN:XTIUSDShort
by The-Thief
Crude oil: Consolidating sideways in the short term.Crude oil prices once hit a low not seen in over two weeks. In early trading on Monday, prices remained below the psychological threshold of $60 per barrel. Therefore, bullish traders should exercise caution before going long and adopt a prudent approach to positioning in anticipation of any substantial upward movement. Crude oil is oscillating within a range in the short term. Prices have repeatedly crossed the moving average system, with the short-term objective trend direction being sideways consolidation. The MACD indicator is hovering around the zero line, reflecting a stalemate between bullish and bearish momentum. With oil prices trading in the middle of the range in early trading, it is expected that intraday crude oil movement will remain within the range, and a range-bound trading strategy is recommended. Buy 58.8 - 59.3 SL 58.3 TP 59.8 - 60.3 - 61 Sell 60.4 - 61 SL 61.5 TP 59.1 - 58.5
TVC:USOIL
by KingArthur_
Crude oil's downward space is expandingDue to a significant increase in U.S. crude oil inventories, WTI prices have extended their decline. In the short term, crude oil’s trend saw a seesaw battle between bulls and bears near the lower edge of the range, with frequent shifts in momentum. Eventually, the bears prevailed, sending prices lower. The moving averages are in a bearish alignment, indicating an objectively downward short-term trend. Oil prices have broken below the 60 support level. It is expected that crude oil’s intraday trend will continue to expand downward. And the short-term support is 58.5,If it breaks below 58.5, focus on the support level at 57.5, while resistance above is at 60.8. Buy 58.5 - 58.8 SL 58 TP 59.3 - 59.8 - 60.3 Sell 60.5 - 60 SL 61 TP 59 - 58.5 - 58
TVC:USOILShort
by KingArthur_
Crude Oil Trading Strategy for TodayEconomic stimulus expectations: Lowering interest rates can reduce the financing costs for enterprises and individuals, thereby promoting investment and consumption, indirectly boosting industrial production and transportation demand, and subsequently increasing the consumption of crude oil. Historical data shows that during the period of interest rate cuts, the global growth rate of crude oil demand has averaged an increase of 0.3-0.5 million barrels per day. Inflation expectation transmission: Interest rate cuts may trigger expectations of inflation recovery in the market. Crude oil, as an inflation-hedging asset, its financial attributes will attract funds to flow into the futures market, further pushing up prices. Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Today buy：59.5-60 tp:61-61.5 sl:58.5
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Review of USOIL's Performance This Week📝This week, the USOil market exhibited a highly volatile pattern of "first bottoming out and stabilizing, then rebounding driven by geopolitical factors". The competition between supply-demand fundamentals and sudden geopolitical events dominated the market trend throughout the week. Details are as follows: 💡Price Movement: From Approaching Annual Lows to Intraday Surges, Volatility Within Ranges Intensifies 1. Bottoming Out Early in the Week On Monday, USOil continued its weak oscillation. It opened at $57.32 per barrel, dipped to a low of around $56 per barrel (approaching the 2025 annual low of $55.12), and finally closed at $56.93 per barrel, down $0.61 from the previous trading day. From Tuesday to Wednesday, as panic eased, prices gradually stabilized and rebounded. It closed at $57.58 per barrel on Tuesday; on Wednesday, boosted by geopolitical expectations, it surged by $3.25 in a single day to close at $61.75 per barrel, with trading volume rising to 711,600 lots. 2. Rebounding and Then Retreating in the Latter Half of the Week On Thursday, the official release of detailed EU and U.S. sanctions on Russian energy triggered a strong market reaction. USOil opened at $59.94 per barrel and then jumped, peaking at $62.59 per barrel with an intraday gain of nearly 5%, before closing at $61.44 per barrel. On Friday, after the earlier rebound, prices entered a consolidation phase, fluctuating narrowly around $62. For the whole week, it rebounded by over 10% from the previous week’s low. 💡Core Influencing Factors: 1. Bearish Drivers: Sustained Supply-Demand Easing Suppresses Oil Prices ✔Worsening Supply Glut ✔Weak Demand Weighs on Prices 2. Bullish Disturbances: Geopolitical Sanctions Trigger a Phased Rebo 💡Technicals and Market Sentiment: Recovery After Oversold Conditions, Persistent Long-Short Divisions 1. Divergent Signals from Technical Indicators 2. Intense Battles Around Key Levels The support at the annual low of $55.12 proved effective, serving as the starting point for the week’s bottoming and rebound. The resistance levels at $58 and $62 were breached one after another, but the resistance from the $63 level and the 70-dollar trend line still posed long-term pressure. A breakthrough would require sustained improvement in fundamental 💡Outlook: Short-Term Oscillations Unlikely to Reverse Long-Term Weak Trend 💎Short-Term Perspective: Geopolitical risk premiums and technical recovery after oversold conditions may support oil prices to fluctuate within the $58-$63 range. If the supply gap caused by sanctions continues to widen, it may test the resistance level of $66. 💎Long-Term Perspective: The IEA predicts that Brent crude oil prices will range between $52-$60 in 2026. Core contradictions such as loose supply-demand, accelerated energy transition, and approaching demand peaks remain unresolved. If the support at $55 is broken, it may fall to the deep correction range of $49 or even $37. The market should focus on whether OPEC+ will adjust its production increase plan at the November 2 meeting and the impact of global manufacturing PMI data on demand expectations.
CFI:WTILong
by Clarke_analysis
Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Next WeekShort-term demand "suddenly surges", creating space for the rebound​ Unlike previous concerns about geo-political sanctions, the core support for this short-term bullish move is the "unexpected surge in demand". Two new variables directly change the short-term supply and demand balance:​ Seasonal resumption of refineries "grabbing oil": As the maintenance period for refineries in the Northern Hemisphere comes to an end, refineries in Europe, the United States, and China have resumed operations simultaneously - the operating rate of European refineries has jumped from 78% to 85% (the highest in 3 months), and the production capacity that was halted due to hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico has been fully restored (an additional 1.2 million barrels of processing capacity per day), and the operating rate of local refineries in Shandong, China has also risen from 65% to 72%. These refineries are rushing to stockpile raw materials before winter, and the spot purchase volume has increased by 30% month-on-month recently, directly pushing up the prices of near-month crude oil contracts, creating a "strong spot market, followed by a rise in futures" pattern.​ Policy intervention to stabilize "low-price areas": The US Department of Energy announced last week that it will launch "small-scale replenishment" within the range of $60 - $62 (planning to repurchase 5 million barrels of crude oil to replenish strategic reserves), this is the first explicit replenishment signal after releasing reserves in 2022. The market knows that "there will be official buying to support when the price drops to $60", so there will be no deep decline in the short term; at the same time, the EU is responding to the winter energy shortage, requiring member states to complete 90% of natural gas inventory filling by November, and some countries (such as Germany) have begun to use crude oil instead of natural gas for power generation, adding an additional daily demand of 200,000 barrels of crude oil. Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Next Week usoil @ buy 60.5-61.0 tp:62-62.5 SL:59.5
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
USOIL: Go long on pullbacksGeopolitical risks have dominated short-term market sentiment for crude oil. Investors' concerns about the supply side have overshadowed negative factors on the demand side, driving oil prices to rise consecutively. However, the weak global economy has dimmed the long-term demand outlook, limiting the extent of oil price increases, resulting in relatively complicated overall market sentiment. From a technical indicator perspective, momentum indicators are showing positive signals, and the MACD is trending upward. This indicates that the bullish bias is strengthening, but a fully established uptrend has not yet formed. Overall, technical indicators point to a certain bullish tendency, though it is also necessary to monitor the price performance at key resistance levels. In the short term, focus on the resistance range of 63.5–64.5 on the upside and the support range of 60–61 on the downside. For intraday operations, the main strategy is to go long on pullbacks, with short positions on rebounds as a supplementary approach. 💎Trading Strategy: Buy 61.8 SL 62.4 TP 61.1 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
CFI:WTILong
by Clarke_analysis
USOIL fluctuates higher💡The situation for USOIL today is relatively optimistic, showing a fluctuating and moderately strong trend. Here is the detailed analysis: 📈Price Trend: As of midday in the Asian session on October 22, WTI crude oil prices have edged higher in the short term, trading around $58.1, up from the previous day's closing price. WTI crude closed 1.14% higher at $57.962 the previous day. ♦Influencing Factors: Supply Side: The U.S. Department of Energy announced a tender to purchase 1 million barrels of crude oil to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. This news boosted sentiment in the energy sector and provided support for oil prices. ♦Demand Side: API data showed a decline in U.S. inventory levels last week, which improved market sentiment toward demand and also supported higher oil prices. ♦Macroeconomy: Expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut continue to rise, with a 98.9% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in October. Capital has been flowing back into risk assets, providing some impetus to crude oil prices. ♦Geopolitics: Europe and Ukraine have drafted a 12-point ceasefire plan. Expectations of eased geopolitical tensions temporarily weakened safe-haven demand, indirectly supporting a stronger U.S. dollar and thus exerting some pressure on oil prices. However, factors such as the U.S. oil purchase news and the drop in API crude inventories have provided more significant support for oil prices. ♦Technical Analysis: Short-term moving averages show signs of flattening, indicating that the crude oil price trend may be stabilizing. Oil prices are inclined to fluctuate with moderate strength in the short term today. The short-term resistance level above is around 59.0-60.0, while the short-term support level below is around 56.0-55.0. 💎Trading Strategy: Sell 58.00 SL 58.60 TP 57.00 Buy 57.5 SL 56.8 TP 58.5 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
CFI:WTILong
by Clarke_analysis
Crude Oil: Mainly Expected to Oscillate DownwardCrude oil has been in a continuous downward trend recently. Both the daily chart movement and the moving average system show a downward divergence pattern, and a new descending channel has been officially formed. In terms of operation, we need to continue to follow the bearish trend. Today, we can take the opportunity of a rebound at the 58 level to set up short positions. Special attention should be paid to the fact that crude oil is about to enter the contract delivery period. We need to focus on whether the delivery situation will disrupt the current trend. From the perspective of the current fundamentals and news, the long and short factors are clearly one-sided, and the overall situation still mainly depresses crude oil prices. Sell 58.8 TP 58 - 55 SL 60.2 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
CFI:WTIShort
by Clarke_analysis
Crude oil's trend continues to oscillate downwardCrude oil has been oscillating downward in the short term, touching 57.7. The moving average system is diverging downward and suppressing oil prices, with the objective short-term trend direction being bearish. In the early session, oil prices rebounded from the bottom, but the momentum was relatively weak. The MACD indicator is operating below the zero line, and bearish momentum still dominates. It is expected that crude oil will mainly trade with an oscillating downward trend during the day. Sell 58.8 TP 57.80 SL 59.40 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
CFI:WTIShort
by Clarke_analysis
Crude Oil: Support zone is seen around 54-57Crude oil continues to refresh its low. As mentioned earlier, once the 61.3 watershed level is broken, the downward space will open up. Currently, the support zone is around 54-57, which is a suitable level to consider establishing long positions. For short-term trades, go short on a rebound after a new low is made—focus on short entries at 58.60 and add to short positions at 59.20. Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
CFI:WTIShort
by Clarke_analysis
Crude oil: Bearish sentiment is expectedCrude oil finally broke below the strong support level of 61 in the late trading session last week. Once this level is breached, it opens up new downside room. Crude oil remains bearish this week; if there is a rebound, we can continue to take short positions, with minor resistance around the 61.30 level. Sell 60.50 TP 59.00 - 57.00 SL 61.3 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
CFI:WTIShort
by Clarke_analysis