Vanguard S&P500 ETF (VOO): A Full Recovery Approaching?On the 27th May 2020, we saw the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (Symbol: VOO) rise above the 200 Moving Average. Today a share is worth 301.99. Before the tremendous drop on 20th Feb 2020, prices closed at a high of 311.39. The fact that we are already above the 300.00 mark and only just 9.40 from its pre-COVID high, has VOO really recovered? Nevertheless, it is still a worthy investment considering its performance since it started on Sept 7 2010. It is also outstanding how it managed through COVID this well. It will probably be a long time (excluding market noise) before it formally hits such low prices again.
VOO
Overall predicted trend for the S&P 500 VOO INDEX FUNDWith the overall bullrun over the past couple months or so the market had to fall at some point to correct itself.
 I believe if it rebounds back up to it's support and continues it's steady rise again we might be back on track and set for a good recovery.
You can see clearly that the VOO has been staying directly in this upward channel.
Would love to hear your thoughts.
S&P500 daily- Rising Wedge with near certain breakout.
60% of Rising Wedges end with a downward breakout. However, downward breakouts are some of the worst performing chart patterns, with an unacceptably high failure rate, small post breakout declines, and pullbacks occurring 72% of the times.
Thomas Bulkowski- Encyclopaedia of Chart patterns. 
thepatternsite.com
S&P500 daily- Caught up in a Rising Wedge with a overbought RSI60% of Rising Wedges end with a downward breakout. However, downward breakouts are some of the worst performing chart patterns, with an unacceptably high failure rate, small post breakout declines, and pullbacks occurring 72% of the times. 
Thomas Bulkowski
thepatternsite.com
S&P500 daily- Ascending Broadening Wedge. S&P500 daily- Ascending Broadening Wedge- ABW (with three contact points on either side of the ABW).
ABW tend to not appear during bear markets, most often seen in bull markets with downward breakouts. Breakout is 52% of the times downwards. 
Also, two other critcal points- 
1) The Fib retracement 61.8% seems to soon be either support of resistance. 
2) 3000 on the SP500 is the 200-day moving average. 'A flat 200-day Moving average is King' Oliver Velez. The 200-day SMA is now flat. Being above consistently is bullish. 
Soon, we will all know, whether this a durable bull breakout or a flop.
S&P500 daily chart- Interesting times.SP500 daily chart- Inside the eclipse, price is range bounding inside a broadening wedge, testing the 61.8% Fib Retracement level, and just under the all important flat 200-day Moving Average. 
SP500 must over come all these obstacles to demonstrate a clear path to recovery. 
SPY has 3 support levels to watch...The December 2018 lows were a test of the bull market. Those will likely break, because we are no longer in a bull market. We are in a bear market.
The 2015-16 consolidation is a likely point for the stock market to regain some stability or if panic occurs, then a lower level will come quickly.
The double tops of 2000 and 2007 are becoming more likely as the stock market decline has become less orderly this week. 
VOO - Pivot pointFor now at least, we have found a pivot point for this SP500 ETF, at the 50% fib retrace level.   Huge volume and a quick turnaround in price, we shall see how this one turns out.  Compare Volume to late 2018, our targets for a bounce from this level are at 88% Fib extension level of $290, all time high of $312 (100%), and perhaps $372 at the 161.8% extension level.  
This can still drop, there is a lot of news creating a small panic, and if so we may get to see the dead cat bounce.  For me, volume is key.  






















