Strong news chain could push gold to retest 4300🟡 XAU/USD – Weekly Trading Plan (Nov 23–29)
SMC – FVG – Supply/Demand – High-Impact News Week
1. Market Context
Gold is sideways in the H4 accumulation structure, forming higher lows along the trendline.
Above are 3 important supply layers:
OLD FVG 1
OLD FVG 2
Large FVG 4220–4300
the price needs to sweep liquidity & hit the supply zone before creating a new direction.
2. Strong News Schedule for the Week
This week has a lot of USD news directly affecting gold:
Tuesday (Nov 25)
Core PPI – Retail Sales – PPI (4 consecutive red news) → strong volatility.
Wednesday (Nov 26)
Unemployment Claims
Durable Goods → Core Durable Goods
GDP q/q – GDP Price Index
Core PCE (most important inflation news of the week)
➡️ This is the decisive day for the trend for the rest of the week.
Friday (Nov 28)
German CPI (affects EUR → USD indirectly)
🎯 News Conclusion:
→ Gold likely to fake move – sweep liquidity before running correctly.
→ Thin SL zones will be continuously hunted.
3. Key Levels (from the chart you sent)
🔻 SELL Zone (Supply – FVG)
4189 – 4191 (Main Sell)
SL: 4195
This is a strong reaction zone for the week.
4132 – 4134 (Sell scalp)
SL: 4138
🔵 BUY Zone (Demand – Trendline – SMC)
4906 – 4904 (main BUY scalp zone in the chart)
SL: 3999
→ This is the only zone clearly marked as BUY in the chart.
Psychological level: 4000 – 3985
If the price falls → strong reaction to form the weekly low.
4. Weekly Trading Scenarios
🅰️ Scenario 1 – Price retraces to supply zone before dropping (most likely)
Price is forecasted to retest 4132–4134 → 4189–4191
After hitting 4190 ± → potential appearance of:
Bearish BOS H1/H4
Strong reversal to 4050 – 4000
🔻 SELL Plan
Sell 4132–4134 (scalp) SL 4138
Main Sell 4189–4191 SL 4195
TP targets:
TP1: 4090
TP2: 4050
TP3: 4000
🅱️ Scenario 2 – Price dips before news then surges (kill liquidity)
If gold is pushed down before PPI/GDP news:
Best BUY zone: 4000 – 3985
Form a low → surge back up to test supply.
🔵 BUY Plan
BUY 4000–3985
SL: 3975
TP:
4050
4100
4130
🅾️ Scenario 3 – If 4200 breaks
If 4200 is broken by a large-bodied H4 candle:
➡️ High probability gold will move up to test large FVG 4250–4300
→ At that point, only look for BUY pullbacks, no more SELL.
Weekplan
EUR/USD WEEKPLAN ANALYSIS: Ready for ShortMarket Structure Analysis OANDA:EURUSD
Change of Character (ChoCH): The price shifted from a downtrend to an uptrend by breaking the previous high, which is marked as "ChoCH". This is the first signal indicating a change in the trend.
Break of Structure (BOS): After the ChoCH, the price continued to form higher highs and higher lows. A strong upward move broke the most recent high, creating a new "BOS". This confirms that the uptrend is continuing.
Current Trend: The current market structure is bullish. The price has created a new high (HH) and is now in a corrective phase, pulling back to find a strong support zone.
Analysis of Key Zones
Based on the market structure, there are key zones to watch:
BUY ZONE:
Location: The price range is from ~1.1670 to ~1.1690.
Significance: This zone is a crucial Order Block (OB). It was formed by the last candle before the price started its strong upward move, breaking the structure (BOS). According to SMC logic, this is where "Smart Money" placed large buy orders to push the price up, and the price is highly likely to retrace to "fill" the remaining orders. This is the most potential entry point for a long position.
SELL ZONE:
Location: The price range is from ~1.1820 to ~1.1840.
Significance: This zone is an Order Block and may also contain an Imbalance (liquidity gap). The price has already pulled back and had a minor reaction to this area. This is a temporary resistance zone. If the price continues to correct lower towards the "BUY ZONE", it will break through this area.
Liquidity and Stop Loss Zones:
Stop Loss (HH): The stop loss for a potential short trade would be placed above the highest peak (~1.1900).
Stop Loss (LL): The stop loss for a potential long trade would be placed below the lowest low (below the "BUY ZONE", ~1.1640). This area holds liquidity for buy orders placed here. If the price breaks this zone, the bullish structure could be invalidated, and the trading plan needs to be reconsidered.
Trading Plan
Based on the analysis, there are two main scenarios for trading EUR/USD:
Primary Scenario (Long Trade):
Strategy: Wait for the price to continue its corrective pullback.
Entry: Place a pending buy order in the BUY ZONE (~1.1670 - 1.1690).
Reasoning: This is the strongest Order Block zone, where the price is highly likely to reverse to continue the uptrend.
Take Profit:
TP1: The nearest high, above the SELL ZONE (~1.1840).
TP2: The current highest peak (~1.1880).
TP3: The liquidity zone above the high (HH) (~1.1920).
Stop Loss: Place it below the lowest low (LL), which is below the BUY ZONE (~1.1640).
Alternative Scenario (Short-Term Short Trade):
Strategy: Based on the current correction.
Entry: Consider a short-term sell trade when the price hits the SELL ZONE (~1.1820 - 1.1840).
Reasoning: This is a temporary resistance zone that could push the price down to fill the BUY ZONE below.
Take Profit: The BUY ZONE (~1.1670).
Stop Loss: Place it above the nearest peak within the corrective phase (~1.1860).
Important Note: The long trade scenario (primary plan) is more reliable because it aligns with the main market trend. The short trade scenario should be considered a short-term, higher-risk trade. Always follow proper risk management principles and only enter a trade with clear confirmation signals (e.g., a reversal candlestick pattern or a clear reaction to the key zones).
XAUUSD | GOLD | Time for BULLS....What's better than a nice trade with major confirmations? 1:Here we are on the H1 chart on the retest of the Daily trend line..
2:..We are on the MONTHLY pivot point...
3:..NFP is worse than expected...
4... On the D1 WE have broken 200 SMA to upside...
These are all reasons why Bulls have an edge...
A good entry will be on the breakout of the line dksplayed on the chart with the 200 sma on H1... And a great entry will be on the retest (if it does)...
Hope you guys like the analysis..and I wish you good..
LIKE AND COMMENT and Good Week..


