WTICOUSD-Testing 50-Day EMAThe West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market fell on Wednesday to reach down towards the crucial 50-day EMA. The 50-day EMA is an area that will continue to cause a certain amount of attention, but it should be noted that we have sliced through the $80 level rather easily. We are closing towards the bottom of the range for the day, so now the question is whether or not we will have follow-through. That typically is the case that when you close towards the bottom of the range; quite often you will see a bit of follow-through in the next session.
There are a lot of concerns out there that the Biden administration may release the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which could bring down pricing for a short-term move, but longer-term it tends to have a very limited effect on the markets. Because of this, I think that we will eventually have a nice buying opportunity, but it is a scenario where we need to pay close attention to the idea of value as it occurs, because there is no reason that I can see for a longer-term trend change. The market looking at the consolidation area could probably see it as a bullish flag being formed.
This is a market that I think continues to offer plenty of value, so it is likely that we could eventually find quite a bit of buying pressure. Keep in mind that the inventory numbers coming out of the United States will continue to dictate where we go, and we have those over the next 24 hours. Underneath, I think the $75 level is going to end up being a bit of a floorin the market, unless of course there is some type of huge negative attitude out there, something that I have not seen much of recently. In fact, one could make an argument for the recent action forming a little bit of a big “potential double bottom” in what would be a continuation longer term. We will have to wait and see, but that is one potential set up if we can break above the highs of the day, extensively recapturing the $80 level. I do not like shorting oil right now, but that does not necessarily mean you need to jump in with both feet.
This is a market that I think continues to offer plenty of value, so it is likely that we could eventually find quite a bit of buying pressure.
Wticrudeoilsignals
WTICOUSDThe West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market has fallen rather hard to kick off the trading session on Thursday, but as you can see, we have rallied quite drastically to recapture the $82.50 region. By doing so, we ended up forming a bit of a hammer, which of course is a bullish sign. By doing so, I do think that it is only a matter of time before we continue to go higher. After all, we are in a very strong uptrend and that has not changed, despite the fact that we have pulled back over the last couple of days. Looking at this chart, the $80 level underneath is significant support, as it is a large, round, psychologically significant figure. The $80 level underneath has been important more than once, so therefore I think we will continue to pay close attention to it. At this point, I like the idea of picking up bits and pieces of value on dips, as the crude oil market has been so heavily influenced by the reopening trade and of course the fact that we are looking very likely to continue to see demand pick up due to the fact that there was so little in the way of capital expenditure over the last several months, and of course there has been an increase in burn rate. Furthermore, other forms of energy have failed miserably, and therefore power plants are being forced to burn petroleum as well. With the noisy behavior, I think it is only a matter of time before we see this market go looking towards the $85 level. The $85 level is a large, round, psychologically significant figure, and one that will be a target. If we can break above there, then it is likely that this market takes out to the upside.
Underneath, the $80 level should offer quite a bit of psychological and structural support, so that being said it is likely that we will see plenty of buyers in that area. The 50 day EMA currently sits just above the $75 level, and it does suggest a certain amount of resiliency and could be the “floor the market” going forward. Regardless, this is a longer-term uptrend, and we cannot fight it. Energy demand will continue to be very strong going forward, and therefore we should continue towards $90 over the longer term.
WTI Oil :Likely to break the range bottom eyeing 59.50 level As expected ,Stop hunts are happening either sides of the past 10 day range (61.70-66.05).Yesterday we have seen a strong stop hunts by bears around 61.90 area and price barely managed to come inside the range. Speculative sentiment index is around 80% and technically the outer rectangular range bottom around 57.40 level needs to be tested before any upside breakout.
Trend : Range
Signal : Sell Limit (64.10-64.40 ) , Or a Split Sell at CMP based on your R:R / Position size + Limits
Stop Loss : 65.35
Target : 59.50 - 57.40 Handle .
Congratulations on the winning trade for todayI just wanted to thank you all for trusting my signals and your support, that means a lot to me and to my business. As i said earlier this morning, we went high and reached most of our target with significant profits. I think you should get out of the market as it is not stable and it might surprises you.
Congrats champs :)
The market are going crazyI apologize to all my clients and followers who did not hear from me in while due to the lack of clarity of all the markets during the US presidential elections and after. The CL is no exception of that as well since it behaved in way that was unclear for me to take any decision that may lead to a big loss or even a disaster. I preferred to stay away and keep watching till i see what i am looking for.
Today, the market opened high giving us a buy signal but the probability to go higher remains at 60% as it is still unclear especially that the overall trend of the CL is low.
We will have to watch and if there is any strong signal, i will post it right away.
Good luck champs
US Oil :Correction likely to complete around 32.50 - 31.25 April 2020 low to the short term high around the 40 handle , Us oil likely to complete its correction around the 50 day exponential moving average around 32.50 or slightly below it . As of now , its testing the 100 day exponential moving average around 35.50 and price likely to consolidate until Thursday as the investors waiting for output from the JMMC/OPEC meetings . World stock indices and crude oil gave up the invincible gain since the crash as investors saw the domination of risk aversion/Powell comments on the last FED meeting.
Major levels to consider are :
35.50 - EMA 100 , breaking this level will let the price to drop further towards the 50 day EMA around 32.50 on the other side if this 35.50 short term supports holds then we can expect another leg up towards the 200 day EMA around 42.50
Expect Oil To Fall Sharply For June ContractsHi traders.
It is very unlikely that oil supply and demand will change in the short term. There appears to be no apparent supply cuts in order to support the oil price. Buying volume also appears weak in the short run. Only rising tensions with Iran could possibly cause USOIL to push higher. As a result, as the global lock down will not halt suddenly resulting in back to normal economic activity, I would expect to see sharp oil selling as the contract comes to a close.
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Note: DO NOT FOLLOW THIS TRADE BLINDLY!









