GBPCAD breakout or rejection? All eyes on 1.8850!GBPCAD is testing a major technical zone as macro and price catalysts align. Here's what traders need to know:
Catalysts & Macro Drivers
GBP : Supported by USD weakness (US shutdown, weak data), sticky UK inflation, and Bank of England caution. November’s UK budget looms as a key event.
CAD : Under pressure from falling oil prices (oversupply/weak demand) and a dovish Bank of Canada. Further rate cuts are possible, especially if oil stays low.
Technical Outlook
Weekly chart : Strong impulsive rally past 61.8% Fibonacci (1.8310), with 1.9490 (78.6% Fib) as the next longer-term upside target.
4h chart : Ascending triangle with resistance at 1.8850. Breakout/close above 1.8850 confirms bullish momentum, with targets at 1.90 and then 1.93–1.95.
RSI : Long-term RSI above 60 signals strength, but divergence is a risk factor. Watch for RSI reset or failure at highs.
Trading Scenarios
Bullish : Hold above 1.8850 for 3 sessions +, look for upside extension to 1.90/1.93/1.95.
Bearish : Failure to break 1.8850 or drop below 1.8600 could trigger reversal to 1.84/1.81 support.
Levels to Watch
Key resistance: 1.8850, 1.9000, 1.9340, 1.9490
Key support: 1.8600, 1.8400, 1.8310
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Wtisignal
WTI H1 / POTENTIAL LONG ENTRY / OIL IS GOING BULLISH 🛢Hello Traders!
This is my forecast for WTI H1. I see another retracement from the bullish channel, considering this an opportunity to execute a long entry until the resistance level and above the Previous Day's High.
If confirmed, I will execute a long entry.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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WTI → Oil prices drop as the USD recovers, OPEC cutsThe outlook has turned bearish for the WTI. This is mainly because the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reside deep in negative territory and as the price is seen below its 20,100 and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA). This indicates that on the shorter and broader scales, the sellers are dominating.
Resistance Levels: $75.00, $76.15 (20-day SMA), $77.00
Support Levels: $72.80, $72.30, $71.00
WTI → Prices dip ahead of OPEC+ delayed meetingBLACKBULL:WTI is set to consolidate at around the $75.00-$80.00 range, after failing to decisively break the November 22 swing low of $73.85, which could have exacerbated a drop to $70.00 per barrel. That said, WTI’s success in registering a daily close above $75.00 could open the door to test the first resistance at the 20-day moving average (DMA) at $77.62 before buyers could lift prices to the 200-DMA $78.06. Further upside is expected once the latter is breached.
US OIL WTI Analysis 17Aug2023Prices move towards Fibo Extensions 1, which intersect with Fibo Extensions 1,618, and then there is currently a correction. If the Elliot notation is still appropriate, then the price should be there at this time, Wave 4. With there still being the potential for bullishness, you can find an area for Long in SND below.
USOIL adam bottom demand zone 82.40 for long8th September daily key reversal bar, made a new low closed in the middle. 9th September daily insurance bar indication for strength ahead. high probability for long opportunity from demand zone as 82.40-20 with half risk, may use remaining half% risk from 81.30, stop loss 80.50, target: 88.50
Will WTI Oil drop under 70?Since the double top marked by March and June's highs above 120, the price of Oil has started to fall and found support under 90 and under the neckline of the pattern.
Last week we have a false break above this neckline reversed with a strong bearish engulfing and Oil is trading again near 88 support (also an old resistance from Oct and Nov 2021)
The pressure seems to be on the downside and a clear break of support would confirm this outlook.
In such an instance we can have a continuation to the downside and a drop to 70 important horizontal support and also the measured target for the double top.
Cruse Oil (WTI) - SHORT; SELL it here!! ........ for the better part of "Eternity". (Well, at least for the foreseeable future.) A soon-to-bottom U$D also will not help WIT's cause. This market was, is and remains, at these levels, nothing more than just one part of the global speculative bubble. We shall meet again at $30.
WTI Breakout This one is for those breakout traders. Looks like WTI wants to break out of this downward trendline. If it does there is two setups I would take, one with a conservative TP at $23.4, and one much more of a swing type TP that might have to be held for a prolonged time at $28. An aggressive entry would be with any kind of trendline break around the $19.7 - $20.3 range. A more conservative entry would be to wait for a 4H close above trendline and stack limits down to the trendline for the retest. To each their own, follow your rules and manage risk.