Bullish continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 3,563.40
1st Support: 3,501.76
1st Resistance: 3,706.97
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Xau-usd
GOLD – Rebound Holds Above Key 3,655 PivotGOLD – OVERVIEW
Gold rebounded in early trade after Thursday’s decline, supported by buyers despite a stronger U.S. dollar and a cautious Fed outlook. The Federal Reserve’s September meeting signaled fewer rate cuts than markets had expected, keeping sentiment mixed but overall supportive for gold.
Technical Analysis
GOLD is trying to touch the support level before the next bullish movement, which is 3639.
🔹A confirmed 15-min or 1-hour close above 3666 will strengthen the bullish continuation toward 3676 and 3686.
🔹However, a 15-min or 1-hour close below 3655 would trigger a bearish correction toward 3639.
🔹A sustained break below 3639 opens the way for deeper downside to 3628 and 3612.
Key Levels
Pivot: 3655
Resistance: 3666, 3676, 3686
Support: 3639, 3628, 3612
XAUUSD H1 | Bearish drop offBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off the sell entry at 3,655.23, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this levle to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 3,672.97, whichis a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 3,616.99, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Gold Outlook: Bearish Below 3,676, Bulls Need 3,684 BreakGOLD – Overview
Gold remains sensitive ahead of the Federal Reserve rate decision, with volatility also influenced by the potential U.S.–U.K. trade deal.
A Fed rate cut typically supports gold, but
A successful U.S.–U.K. trade deal would reduce safe-haven demand, adding bearish pressure.
Technical Outlook
📉 Bearish scenario
Price may first test 3,676, then drop toward 3,666 → 3,657.
A sustained break below 3,657 would open deeper downside toward 3,640.
📈 Bullish scenario
A confirmed 1H close above 3,684 would signal bullish continuation.
Upside targets: 3,693 → 3,700 → 3,711.
Key Levels
Pivot: 3,676
Resistance: 3,684 – 3,699 – 3,711
Support: 3,666 – 3,657 – 3,640
📌 Market Context:
Fed Decision: A dovish Fed or larger cut could lift gold toward 3,693+.
U.S.–U.K. Trade Deal: Positive headlines would likely weigh on gold by reducing safe-haven flows.
Potential bearish drop off?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 3,674.77
1st Support: 3,624.94
1st Resistance: 3,697.75
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD H1 | Bearish dropBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off the sell entry at 3,686.33, which is a pullback resistance and could potentially drop from this level to he take profit.
Stop loss is at 3,703.51, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 3,657.45, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GOLD H1 | Bullish continuationBased on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry at 3,655.51, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Stop loss is at 3,631.24, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 3,684.97, which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Gold Holds Near Record Highs Ahead of Fed Rate DecisionGOLD – Overview
Gold edged lower in early trade on profit-taking and a firmer dollar but continues to hover near record highs ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision later this week.
Markets widely expect a rate cut, with Powell’s commentary likely to provide key guidance on inflation, labor market weakness, and potential tariff impacts.
Prices also remain supported by safe-haven demand, robust central-bank buying, and continued inflows into gold-backed ETFs.
Technical Outlook
📈 Bullish scenario: Price shows a sensitive upward bias and may retest the resistance zone around 3,657. A 15-minute close above 3,664 would confirm continuation toward 3,665 → 3,683.
📉 Bearish scenario: A reversal and 1H close below 3,628 would signal downside pressure, targeting 3,612 → 3,600.
⚖️ Range watch: Consolidation is expected between 3,628 – 3,640 until a breakout occurs.
Key Levels
Pivot: 3,640
Resistance: 3,657 – 3,665 – 3,683
Support: 3,628 – 3,612 – 3,600
Bias: Neutral inside the 3,628–3,640 range; breakout direction confirmed on a close above 3,664 or below 3,628.
XAU/USD (Gold) - Trendline Breakout (US - CPI Data) (11.09.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern.
This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3583
2nd Support – 3546
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Gold : Neutral Between 3,640–3,657, Breakout to DecideGold – Overview
Gold hit a fresh record high at $3,659 on Tuesday, supported by weak U.S. jobs data and growing bets on Fed rate cuts. Traders now await key U.S. inflation releases – PPI on Wednesday and CPI on Thursday – which could drive the next major move.
📊 If inflation comes in hotter than expected, gold risks a sharp correction.
📊 If inflation is weaker, expectations for a 50 bps Fed rate cut could lift gold further.
Technical Outlook:
🔻 While below 3,657, price may correct toward 3,640. A 15M close below 3,640 would extend the decline to 3,629.
🔺 Stability above 3,657 on a 15M close would support further upside toward 3,665 → 3,683.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 3,657
Support: 3,640 – 3,629 – 3,612
Resistance: 3,665 – 3,683
previous idea:
Gold Hits Record $3,625 – Bulls Eye 3,636/3,650Gold – Overview
Gold surged to a record high at $3,625, following weaker U.S. hiring data that fueled demand for the safe-haven asset. Momentum remains strong, with traders watching if there’s more room to the upside.
Technical Outlook:
📈 Bullish scenario: As long as price trades above 3,612, momentum favors a move toward 3,636. A confirmed stabilization above 3,637 would extend the rally toward 3,650.
📉 Bearish scenario: A confirmed 1H close below 3,612 would trigger a correction, targeting 3,600 → 3,580.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 3,618
Resistance: 3,636 – 3,650
Support: 3,612 – 3,600 – 3,580
Bias: Bullish above 3,612; bearish correction only if price closes below this leve
previous idea:
XAUUSD - Daily | The breakout is REALSimple trading - Triangle pattern
Gold is back to making All-Time highs. Reaching as high as 3600. You can see the breakout was fast and instant. In less than 2 weeks, gold managed to move the price over 1500 pips.
The target of the triangle breakout is nearly reached. Roughly 3675.
Gold has already tested support that was previously a bullish daily FVG. With clean rejection, we see the price remaining bullish.
GOLD H1 | Bearish reversal off swing high resistanceBased on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry at 3,573.66, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 3,573.66, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 3,484.30, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAUUSD H1 | Bullish continuationThe Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the buy entry which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 3,507.77, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 3,469.17, whichis a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibnacci retracement.
Tak eprofit is at 3,574.66, whichis a swing high reisstance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAUUSD Holds Above Pivot — Bulls Target $3,401 NextGold – Live Update
Bullish Trend Holds Above Pivot
Gold reached our projected target around 3,392 as mentioned in the previous idea.
Currently, the price is trading above the 3,374 pivot line, maintaining bullish momentum.
🔹 Technical Outlook
✅ As long as price holds above 3,374, the bullish trend should continue toward 3,384 → 3,401 → 3,412.
⚠️ A move below 3,374 would trigger a correction to 3,363, with deeper downside toward 3,350.
🔹 Key Levels
Pivot: 3,374
Resistance: 3,384 – 3,401 – 3,412
Support: 3,363 – 3,350
✅ Summary:
Gold continues to respect bullish momentum above the pivot. Watch 3,374 as the decision zone — holding above favors continuation higher, while a break below shifts focus to 3,363 and 3,350.
previous idea:
Could the Gold drop from here?The price has rejected off the pivot which is a swing high resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 3,41.87
1st Support: 3,368.14
1st Resistance: 3,431.19
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD H4 | earish Reversal Setup at Swing High ResistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry at 3,400.60, which is a swing high resistance and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 3,431.26, which is a swing high resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 3,350.21, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% FIbonacci retracment.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAUUSD - Daily and 4hr | Charts are bullish Daily:
Gold is back in the upper range of this consolidation zone. You can see the high of the range is 3440, and the low is 3250 roughly.
Gold is clearly making a bullish pennant pattern. When gold reached the top trend line, we expected a breakout. Once again, we are finding resistance. (as of now)
4-Hour
Inverted Head and Shoulders - Simple trading
Gold broke out of an inverted head and shoulders pattern and just hit the target at 3395. Gold is now finding resistance and failing to find support.
Bulls:
Gold is pulling back into an Inverted FVG on the Daily. If the price is bullish, then we should reject the gap with ease. (Gap is from 3360-3376) Gold is on the brink of a daily breakout or another rejection back down to support.
Bears:
If Gold continues to fall with clean displacement through support. We can say the news from last week was false, and gold is still trending bearish. expect a fall back down to 3320
Gold Supported by Rate-Cut Expectations, Data in SpotlightGold (XAUUSD) – Overview
Supported by Fed Cut Bets and Softer Data Outlook
Gold remains well-supported as futures markets are now pricing in two 25bps Fed rate cuts by December. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has signaled rising risks to the labor market, even amid elevated inflation, suggesting the Fed may need to adjust its restrictive stance.
This dovish bias continues to weigh on U.S. Treasury yields and supports gold. The upcoming U.S. GDP growth and PCE inflation data will be critical — softer readings could reinforce expectations of rate cuts and push gold higher.
🔹 Technical Outlook
Gold is attempting to stabilize in the bullish zone.
Stability above 3,366 keeps the upside open toward 3,383 and 3,401.
If price stabilizes below 3,366, a correction toward 3,357 – 3,350 is likely.
A confirmed break below 3,350 would shift bias bearish and expose deeper levels.
🔹 Key Levels
Resistance: 3,383 – 3,401
Support: 3,357 – 3,350 – 3,343
✅ Summary:
Gold is consolidating near its pivot with Fed policy expectations providing a bullish backdrop. Holding above 3,366 favors further upside, while a break below 3,350 would signal weakness and invite a deeper correction.
Bullish bounce off?The Gold (XAU?USD) has bounced off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could potentially rise to the swing high resistance.
Pivot: 3,350.47
1st Support: 3,307.78
1st Resistance: 3,431.19
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD H4 | Bullish bounceXAU/USD is falling towards the buy entry at 3,349.35, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 3,329.36, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 3,400.62, which is a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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GOLD IN THE CROSSHAIRS WITH PIPGUARDGOLD IN THE CROSSHAIRS WITH PIPGUARD
Hello there, my colleagues, welcome back!
👉 From today on, I will always use this layout. If you like it, let me know by leaving a boost and a comment with your opinion!
ANALYSIS
Hello everyone, my colleagues, how are you? I hope all is well. I hope it was a great summer for all of you, that you enjoyed your days off and holidays, and that you spent time with family and friends ❤️.
Let's pick up where we left off and see what the markets are telling us. I'll start again with gold: a peculiar summer, made of stalls, endless sideways movements, and a lot of uncertainty basically like a tired marriage.
After Friday's weekly close, the price decided to shoot up over 400 pips and close beautifully above $3,370.
So what happens on Monday? Two options:
A sideways phase, the usual liquidity war where the little guys always get screwed.
A clean retracement, with two interesting points: 3,360 (the closest) and 3,330 (the nastier one, and I admit... the one I like the most).
The key level is 3,365 : now support, but if it breaks, it becomes resistance, worse than your boss coming back from vacation pissed off. Second support at 3,325/20.
I'm waiting for a nice retracement to re-enter long at a decent price. But one thing is for sure: the bullish target is 3,385 .
NEWS
✅ Powell continues to work his magic: the Fed kept selling smoke and mirrors about rate cuts and inflation. The result? The dollar remains strong, and gold is just watching.
✅ Central banks are gobbling up gold like there's no tomorrow: they are on track to buy over 1,000 tons in 2025. Four years in a row like this, not even a junkie on methadone.
✅ 95% of reserve managers plan to increase their gold holdings: practically everyone. When even the white-collars decide they want more gold, you know the carousel is about to start.
SECRETS
Here come the real gems, the ones that stink of shady deals and under-the-table agreements:
🔓 The "Mar-a-Lago Accord": according to a Fed analysis, there's an $863 billion gap between the book and real value of US gold. And the Treasury is thinking of using it to set up a BTC fund with a million coins, just for kicks.
🔓 95% of reserve managers no longer trust the dollar: everyone is buying gold. Anyone who isn't is an idiot.
GREETINGS
Remember to leave a GREETING 🚀 or a COMMENT
Talk to you soon,
PipGuard
Article published by PipGuard™ on the TradingView® platform
Bullish bounce?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,307.62
1st Support: 3,267.80
1st Resistance: 3,350.96
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