Could we se a reversal from here?Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 4,263.04
1st Support: 4,097.06
1st Resistance: 4,364.63
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Xau-usd
Heading into key resistance?Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 4,221.15
1st Support: 4,027.94
1st Resistance: 4,364.63
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Bearish reversal off 61.8% FIbonacci resistance?Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 4,147.61
1st Support: 4,093.63
1st Resistance: 4,219.46
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Could we see a reversal from here?XAU/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4,156.76
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss:4,195.51
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 4,099.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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GOLD: Rate-Cut Odds Hit 74% — Breakout Coming?FX:XAUUSD bounced from the 4043 support zone, maintaining moderate volatility as markets await a packed week of U.S. economic data alongside rising geopolitical uncertainty. Traders remain focused on the 4030–4113 trading range.
The probability of a December Fed rate cut has increased to 74% following comments from New York Fed President John Williams.
On the geopolitical front, any signal of de-escalation in the Russia–Ukraine conflict may trigger corrective pressure on the metal.
Key Events to Watch This Week
~ U.S. PPI & Retail Sales
~ Q3 GDP & Core PCE Index
~ Existing & New Home Sales
Gold remains highly sensitive to Fed communication and geopolitical developments.
Stronger U.S. data could reduce easing expectations, while rising rate-cut odds continue to limit the downside.
A decisive breakout is likely after inflation and GDP figures.
Technical Outlook
Gold maintains bearish momentum while trading below 4087, targeting 4059, and then 4043.
However, price may retest the resistance zone at 4099–4113 before resuming a bearish move.
A 15-minute close above 4087 will support a push toward 4099 → 4113.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 4087
Support: 4059 · 4043 · 4030
Resistance: 4099 · 4113 · 4133
XAUUSD Possible Sell Setup“Price has reacted from the higher-timeframe supply and respected the descending trendline. Current structure shows confirmed bearish order-flow with BOS/ChoCH sequences. The pullback is now testing fresh supply. Below the 4080 zone, bias remains bearish, with downside targets at 4040 and 4020 demand levels.”
XAUUSD Possible Sell Setup
Entry: 4075–4080
SL: 4092
TP: 4040 / 4020
Bias: Price rejected supply and is respecting the downtrend.
Bullish bounce off?Gold (XAU/USD) has bounced off the pivot which aligns nicely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 4,043.08
1st Support: 3,973.06
1st Resistance: 4,149.32
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Gold Hits 3-Week High on U.S. Debt Concerns & Fed Rate-Cut BetsGOLD | Overview
Gold Hits 3-Week High on U.S. Debt Concerns and Fed Rate-Cut Expectations
Gold extended gains to a three-week high as growing concerns over U.S. debt levels and renewed expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts fueled demand for the safe-haven asset.
Volatility is likely to remain elevated as traders position ahead of key U.S. data and central bank commentary.
Technically:
Gold maintains a bullish bias, but a clear 1H candle close above 4238 is required to confirm the next bullish leg toward 4254, 4267, and 4300.
While trading below 4238, the price may stage a short-term correction toward 4222 and 4207 before resuming its upward move.
A 15-minute close below 4207 would invalidate the bullish setup temporarily and could extend losses toward 4186.
Pivot Line: 4238
Resistance: 4254 · 4267 · 4300
Support: 4222 · 4207 · 4186
Gold Steadies Near 2-Week Highs | Traders Watch 4168 Breakout GOLD | Overview
Gold’s outlook remains positive in the near term, as the precious metal extended its rally this week amid optimism over an imminent end to the U.S. government shutdown and expectations of continued monetary easing from the Federal Reserve.
Technically:
Gold has stabilized above 4130, indicating solid bullish momentum, with potential to reach 4155 and 4168.
A sustained move above 4168 would further strengthen the uptrend, targeting 4190 – 4207.
However, if the price closes a 1H candle below 4130, it would suggest a shift to bearish momentum, exposing downside targets at 4105 and 4085.
Pivot Line: 4130
Resistance: 4155 · 4168 · 4207
Support: 4105 · 4085 · 4055
Outlook:
Gold remains bullish while above 4130, with momentum favoring a move toward 4155–4168 and potential extension to 4207.
A confirmed 1H close below 4130 would signal the start of a bearish correction toward 4105–4085
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce OffXAU/USD has bounced off the buy entry at 3,945.45, which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 3,840.07, whic his a pullback support.
Take profit is at 4,136.36, which is a pullback resistance that aligns witht he 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Poteential bullish reversal?The Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot, which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 50% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivto: 3,952.85
1st Support: 3,800.21
1st Resistance: 4,148.52
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Key SupportGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the buy entry, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this levle to the upside.
Buy entry is at 3,969.18, whic is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss is at 3,794.07, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracemnt.
Take profit is at 4,070.26, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Drop OffGold (XAU/USD) has rejected off the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 4,017.82, whic his a pullback resistance that lines up witht he 23.6% Fibonacci retracemnt.
Stop loss is at 4,135.96, whic is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 3,789.94, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
GOLD | Bearish Momentum Holds Below Pivot Zone GOLD | Bearish Momentum Holds Below Pivot Zone
Gold remains under bearish pressure as it trades below the pivot zone at 4,034–4,053, signaling continued weakness amid cautious sentiment ahead of upcoming U.S. data.
🕯 Momentum remains negative, but a breakout above the pivot zone could quickly shift the tone back to bullish.
Key Levels
Pivot Zone: 4,034 – 4,053
Resistance: 4,082 · 4,105 · 4,189
Support: 4,004 · 3,982 · 3,921
Trading Plan:
Sell Setup: Shorts valid below 4,038, targeting 4,004 / 3,982 / 3,921.
Buy Setup: Longs valid only above 4,053, targeting 4,105 / 4,152.
Premium Takeaway
Gold remains in bearish control below 4,053, with potential to drop toward 3,982–3,921.
A confirmed 1H close above 4,053 would shift bias to bullish, opening the path toward 4,105–4,189 in the short term.
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Rebound from SupportGold (XAU/USD) has bounced off the buy entry at 3,893.61, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 3,794.38, whichis a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 4,060.49, which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Potential bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
PivotL 4,016.90
1st Support: 3,791.73
1st Resistance: 4,131.50
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD | Rebounds Above $4,000 Ahead of Fed DecisionGOLD – MARKET OVERVIEW | Rebounds Above $4,000 Ahead of Fed Decision 🪙
Gold futures climbed back above $4,000, rebounding in early trade ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision later today.
The metal gained around 1%, supported by expectations that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points, a move that typically boosts demand for non-yielding assets like gold.
Markets have already priced in the rate cut, leaving investors focused on Chair Powell’s comments for clues on whether another cut could follow in December.
Technical Outlook
Gold remains in a bullish momentum as long as the price trades above 4,011, targeting 4,053 initially.
A 1H or 15Min close above 4,053 would confirm further upside toward 4,104.
However, if the price reverses and stabilizes below 3,982, it would shift the bias to bearish, opening the way toward 3,930 → 3,893.
Key Technical Levels
Pivot Zone: 4,011 – 4,016
Resistance: 4,053 · 4,104 · 4,148
Support: 3,982 · 3,930 · 3,893
Outlook:
Gold stays bullish while above 4,011, with potential to extend gains toward 4,104 if the Fed delivers a dovish tone.
But if Powell’s remarks turn unexpectedly hawkish and price stabilizes below 3,982, a deeper pullback toward 3,930–3,893 could follow.
GOLD | Bearish Bias Holds Below $3,944 Amid Trade OptimismGOLD – MARKET OVERVIEW | Trades Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Rises
Gold continues to slide, as optimism over a potential U.S.–China trade deal and improving global outlook weakens demand for safe-haven assets.
The metal is now down nearly 10% from its all-time high of $4,377 (Oct 20), with the recent rally losing steam as traders take profits amid signs of progress in trade negotiations between the world’s two largest economies.
Technical Overview
Gold dropped nearly $150, exactly as projected in our previous outlook.
The price remains under bearish pressure while below 3,944, targeting 3,893, and a break below that could extend the decline toward 3,855 → 3,818.
However, a 1H close above 3,944 would indicate a potential reversal, opening the way for a retest of 3,970 → 4,011.
Key Technical Levels
Pivot Zone: 3,932 – 3,944
Support: 3,893 · 3,855 · 3,819
Resistance: 3,970 · 4,011 · 4,053
Outlook:
Gold stays bearish below 3,944, with downside potential toward 3,855 if trade optimism persists.
Only a confirmed 1H close above 3,944 would shift bias back to short-term bullish toward 4,011.
XAUUSD H4 | Potential Bearish Drop Off?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry at 4,053.43, which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 4,149.54, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 3,690.65, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
XAUUSD POSSIBLE SELL SETUP🧭 Market Context
Pair: Gold / USD (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 15-minute
Current price: ≈ $3,981.72
The chart shows a clear bearish structure, with consecutive lower highs and lower lows.
A Break of Structure (BOS) has confirmed bearish control after liquidity was taken from the previous high.
🧱 Key Zones
Supply Zone (Sell area):
Highlighted in red: around $3,985 – $3,990
This zone aligns with a prior imbalance and structure break, where sellers stepped in.
Demand Zone (Target area):
Highlighted in green: around $3,957 – $3,950
This is where previous buying occurred and where liquidity likely rests below.
📉 Sell Setup Details
Entry (Sell limit): ~$3,985.00
Inside the lower half of the red supply zone for best risk-to-reward.
Stop Loss (SL): ~$3,990.00
Above the supply zone and last minor high to protect against false breakouts.
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: $3,970.00 — midpoint between current price and main target (≈1:2 R:R)
TP2: $3,957.00 — lower demand zone (≈1:4 R:R)
⚙️ Trade Logic
Liquidity Grab: The previous high near $3,990 was taken out — a classic liquidity sweep before the drop.
Break of Structure: A clean BOS confirms sellers now dominate.
Retracement: Price is currently pulling back toward the supply zone, ideal for short re-entry.
Imbalance fill: The retracement aligns with a fair value gap (FVG) that may get mitigated before continuation down.
💡 Trade Management Tips
If price rejects strongly before entering the full zone, consider a market entry after a bearish engulfing or M1 BOS confirmation.
Move SL to breakeven once price passes $3,972.
Partial close at TP1, let remainder run to TP2.
GOLD | Pullback Resistance AheadBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 50% Fibonacci retracement, and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 4,370.70, which is a multi-swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 3,946.74, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the swing high resistance.
Pivot: 3,847.44
1st Support: 3,701.62
1st Resistance: 4,357.81
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold Consolidates After Biggest One-Day Drop Since 2013GOLD | Price Slips After Tuesday’s Massive Selloff
Gold remains under pressure after recording its largest one-day drop since 2013, falling more than 6% (≈ $250).
Despite the steep decline, long-term fundamentals such as central-bank demand and geopolitical uncertainty continue to provide underlying support.
For now, the metal is consolidating between $4,011 and $4,056, awaiting a decisive breakout.
A 15-minute close below $4,011 would confirm continuation toward $3,979 → $3,945 → $3,894.
A close above $4,057–$4,074 would trigger a bullish reversal, targeting $4,101 → $4,162.
Pivot Line: 4,011
Support: 3,979 · 3,945 · 3,894
Resistance: 4,056 · 4,075 · 4,101
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