Gold Technical Outlook
Price has stabilized around the 4060 resistance zone (confirmation with a 1H or 4H candle close). If the level holds, the bias remains bullish, with potential upward movement toward the 4100 resistance. A break above 4100 would open the way for continued bullish momentum, targeting the next levels at 4133 and 4168.
However, if the price fails to sustain above 4060 and confirms a reversal candle, it may trigger a downside correction toward the 4030 support zone. A confirmed break below 4030 (1H candle close) would likely extend the bearish move toward the 3965 level.
Bias Trend: Bullish
Volatility: High
GOLD/AUD
XAUAUD has more upside potentialGold prices extended gains amid escalating tariff tensions between the US and China, after China sanctioned shipping and the US President affirmed the commitment to maintaining high tariffs on Chinese goods.
Meanwhile, the US government shutdown may introduce additional uncertainty regarding the timeliness of monetary policy in addressing the recently weakening labor market. The postponement of the Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) report raises further concern, as the Fed requires more data to determine its primary focus between the labor market and inflation—its dual mandate—which are currently diverging. Elevated inflation, driven by recent trade policies, requires the Fed to evaluate whether the price increases are transitory or if they will become prolonged and spread to sectors beyond tariff-sensitive goods.
Markets are currently pricing in two additional rate cuts this year but remain uncertain about the outlook for next year, with some Fed officials signaling a cautious stance. Should the labor market continue to deteriorate while inflation remains elevated, the US economy could face stagnation, creating a favorable environment for gold.
In Australia, recent labor data has increased economic uncertainty. The unemployment rate for Sep rose to a four-year high of 4.5% from 4.3% in the previous month, driven by a decrease in job openings and an increase in job seekers concerned about future income prospects. The weakening labor market has lifted market expectations for an RBA rate cut in Nov to over 70% from a previous reading of 40%, weighing on the Australian dollar.
From a technical perspective, XAUAUD is trading within an upward range with expanding EMAs (21,78), indicating strong bullish momentum, though it may face pressure from profit-taking. A breakout above the Fibonacci Extension 361.8% at 6588 could see the price target the Fibonacci Extension 423.6% at 6866. Conversely, a failure to breach the 6588 level could result in a decline to test the support at 6140.
By Van Ha Trinh, Financial Market Strategist at Exness
#GOLD is trading around $3,860. Earlier in my premium channel, #GOLD is trading around $3,860. Earlier in my premium channel, I mentioned that confirmation above $4,000 could open the path toward $4,800 when gold was trading near $3,000.
🔸 Key Support Zone at $3,250–$3,550:
Price is currently mixed around $3,900–$4,000, with a real chance of cooling down toward $3,400–$3,200 before resuming higher. This remains a strong accumulation zone.
🔸 Upside Target: $4,700–$4,800
The long-term bullish outlook is intact, with targets above $4,700 once the consolidation phase ends.
🔸 Risk Level at $3,200:
A breakdown below $3,200 would invalidate the bullish scenario and open the door for deeper downside.
🔸 Outlook:
If you are holding: Stay patient and keep positions for the upside target.
If you are not holding: Fresh buying opportunities may come near $3,500–$3,200.
Gold (XAUUSD) – Technical Outlook
🔴Bearish Scenario (Downtrend)
*Pivot Level: 3759
* If price trades below 3759, downside momentum may develop.
* 🎯 First target: 3736 (key support)
* If 3736 breaks strongly → continuation lower.
* 🎯 Second target: 3700
🟢Bullish Scenario (Uptrend)
* If price holds above 3759, upside momentum is likely.
* 🎯 First target: 3791 (previous major high)
* If 3791 breaks with strength → full bullish continuation.
* 🎯 Next upside targets: 3810 → 3830
Gold (XAUUSD) – Technical Outlook
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
* Pivot Level: 3759
* If price holds above 3759
🎯 First target: 3800 (resistance)
🎯 If 3800 breaks strongly → continuation towards: 3820
---
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
* If price sustains below 3759
🎯 First target: 3736 (support)
🎯 If 3736 breaks → continuation lower towards: 3700
---
👉 Summary:
* Above 3759 → bullish continuation.
* Below 3759 → bearish continuation.
Gold (XAUUSD) – Technical Outlook
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
Key Level (Pivot): 3630
If price holds above 3630, bullish momentum may extend towards:
🎯 First target: 3656 (resistance)
🎯 If 3656 breaks strongly → continuation towards:
🎯 Second target: 3675
🎯 Third target: 3697
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
If price fails and sustains below 3630, bearish move may develop towards:
🎯 First support: 3595 (a strong support zone)
🎯 If 3595 breaks decisively → continuation towards:
🎯 Second target: 3546
📌 Summary:
3630 = decision zone
3656, 3675, 3697 = upside targets
3595, 3546 = downside targets
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Outlook
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
Key level: 3612
If the price holds above 3612, the bullish momentum is likely to continue towards:
🎯 First target: 3656
🎯 Second target: 3675
🎯 Third target: 3697 (if 3656 breaks strongly)
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks and sustains below 3612, the downside move may extend towards:
🎯 First support: 3595 (a strong support zone)
🎯 If this level breaks and price sustains below ➝ further decline towards:
🎯 Second target: 3546
📌 Summary:
3612 = key decision level
3656, 3675, 3697 = upside targets
3595, 3546 = downside targets
XAUUAD UPDATE 22-05-2025The chart you provided is a technical analysis for Gold (CFDs on Gold - US$/OZ) on a 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of what it shows:
1. Price Action:
The current price is around $3,331.56.
The price has recently entered a resistance zone (highlighted in yellow-red near the top).
2. Resistance Zones:
Upper resistance: Around $3,389 (top yellow box).
Immediate resistance: Around $3,330–$3,340 (where price is currently reacting).
3. Support Zone:
Lower support: Around $3,142–$3,160 (bottom yellow box).
4. Bearish Outlook (as indicated by the blue arrow):
The chart suggests a potential rejection from the current resistance zone.
A projected drop toward the lower support area is illustrated.
There’s a red-shaded box likely representing a stop-loss zone, implying a short trade setup with entry near the current level.
5. Volume: There’s a moderate rise in volume recently, which could support the momentum shift.
Conclusion: The chart analysis suggests a short setup expecting gold to fall from the current resistance zone to the support zone around $3,140, assuming price fails to break above resistance.
Would you like a technical analysis or trading plan based on this idea?
XAUAUD XAUUSD / GOLD short big moveIm seeing Both GOLD USD and GOLD AUD Falling, its because the way this last Push up has developed, Looks like an expanding Flat correction in the making Right now
Entry is at the very Top its a ery High Risk to Reword Trade Worth to take the shot
Leels in the chart
GG
Gold H1 projectionKey Points (Revised):
* Asset: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD)
* Timeframe: 1-hour chart
* Recent Price Action: A sharp upward move has occurred, reaching the red highlighted zone (potential resistance).
* Potential Reversal Zone: The red rectangular area between approximately 3009.643 and 3015.015 now appears to be acting as a resistance zone.
* Target Zone: The green rectangular area between approximately 2953.785 and 2944.180 is now the potential target for a downward move.
* Proposed Pattern: The price action suggests a potential rejection at the resistance zone, leading to a downward move.
Trading Idea (Revised):
The updated chart suggests a potential short (sell) trade opportunity. The idea is to enter a short position within or near the red highlighted zone (potential resistance), anticipating a downward move towards the green highlighted zone (potential support/target). This is based on the price reaching a potential resistance level and showing signs of rejection.
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHello Everyone,
Here’s the latest update on the daily chart we’ve been tracking and trading, providing an overview of the current range.
On the daily timeframe, there’s a strong resistance level at 2790, which may cause a rejection. Below this resistance, there is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 2740, which could provide support and help the price hold above.
To simplify your trades, we’ve included entry levels and take profit (TP) targets (TP1, TP2, TP3) aligned with the EMA5. The EMA5 crossing and holding above these weighted levels will determine the subsequent targets.
Key Update:
EMA5 lock is now in place, providing additional confirmation for the gap.
Strategy Highlights:
ENTRY LEVEL: 2744
If a candle closes above this level and EMA5 crosses it for confirmation, we’ll look to enter bullish positions.
First Target (TP1): 2804
Apply the same strategy to determine TP2 and TP3.
Rejection Scenario:
For ranging markets, focus on smaller timeframes (15M, 1H, 4H, 12H) to buy dips from weighted levels.
Target clean 40-60 pips moves, which work well in these conditions while avoiding the risks of long-term swings.
Dip-Buying Strategy:
Continue buying dips at our support levels, targeting 40–60 pips per trade.
Each level structure offers a 40–60 pip bounce, ideal for precise entry and exit points.
Monitor the EMA5 crossing and locking above or below the ENTRY LEVEL to confirm the next directional range.
Stay focused and trade wisely!
TheQuantumTraders
Fiat Hunger Games: May the Worst Currency Win! Picture this: Fiat currencies are in a brutal marathon... but instead of crossing the finish line, they're tumbling headfirst into a pit of gold. 💸💥
Gold vs. USD, CAD, AUD, NZD, ZAR, INR —and the results are in: everyone’s losing. Some faster than others. Spoiler alert: AUD and NZD are nose-diving like they’re auditioning for the next Fast & Furious movie. Meanwhile, the USD is barely holding its head above water. 🟢
But here’s the kicker: while your dollars, rupees, and loonies are playing "How Low Can You Go," guess who’s quietly laughing all the way to the vault? Russia and China. 🤫
With 1,684 and 1,811 tons of gold stockpiled, they’re not just buying bars—they’re buying insurance against a crumbling fiat system. 🏦✨
And let’s be real—if the world’s biggest players are hoarding gold like it’s a Black Friday deal... what does that say about your hard-earned cash?
Time to ask yourself: Are you in the right race? Or are you sprinting alongside fiat currencies into the abyss?
Gold doesn’t race to the bottom. It’s the finish line. 🏁 #GoldStandard #FiatCollapse
XAU/AUD "Gold vs Aussie" Market Money Heist Plan on Bearish SideOla! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰
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Scenario GOLD levels update This view of gold actually somehow confirms that I should be on the good side of the market, outside of the original analysis, we could see a false breakout from which the price consolidated around the zone marked by me, which may show us a head-and-shoulders formation, which may be followed by a correction against this formation
GOLD STRONG BUY , short term correction coming soon#Gold STRONG BUY
100% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.
Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.
The market is approaching overbought territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.
The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday fell by -0.16%. The dollar on Friday gave up an early advance and posted moderate losses. A sharp rally in stocks Friday curbed liquidity demand for the dollar. Also, strength in GBP/USD Friday weighed on the dollar after the British pound rallied to an 11-month high. The dollar Friday initially moved higher as the better-than-expected U.S. Apr payroll report may prompt the Fed to keep interest rates higher for longer.
For long-term analysis and investment purposes I like to use cash indexes as it takes futures spreads and rolling out of the equation. The monthly chart of the cash index (GCY00) I track for gold is showing an interesting pattern, hitting a high of $2,070.48 during August 2020 then another high of $2,065.89 during March 2022 .If we consider this a double-top, then the break below the interim low $1,677.64 from March 2021 completed the bearish pattern indicating the long-term trend has turned down. However, this doesn’t fit the narrative of expected lower interest rates, stronger Treasuries, and a weaker US dollar. That puts the spotlight on the latest rally that had the index posting an early May high of $2,059.31, within sight of its previous marks.
GOLD esting resistanceThe gold price is showing quiet negative trading, gradually moving away from the 1963 level, reinforcing expectations of the continuation of the downward trend during the coming sessions, with its next target at 1943, stimulated by the negativity of the Stochastic indicator, which is clearly visible now, with a reminder that the continuation of the downward wave depends on stability below the 1963 and 1981 levels.
Pivot Price: 1963
Resistance prices: 1981 & 1998 & 2017
Support prices: 1943 & 1931 & 1912
The general trend expected for today: bearish
timeframe: 4H
XAUUSD D1 - Long SignalXAUUSD D1
As previously highlighted in our analysis posts, with the recent weakening of the US dollar, we anticipate upward momentum for ***USD. While a brief dollar relief rally is plausible, all signs currently point to an upward trajectory for XAUUSD. Our analysis combines both technical and fundamental/risk assessments. We are on the lookout for an opportunity to enter the market during a potential pullback, with price targets set at $2,000, $2,015, and ultimately $2,050 per ounce.
Gold 4H price is on a sideways pathThe price of gold has been fluctuating sideways in the past sessions, stable around the moving average of 50, noting that the stochastic indicator is losing its positive momentum noticeably, waiting to stimulate the price to resume the expected negative trading in the immediate term, which aims to test the 1964 level initially.
Therefore, the downward trend will remain expected for the coming period, keeping in mind that the breach of 1996 will stop the expected decline and lead the price to attempt to restore the main upward trend.
Pivot Price: 1983
Resistance prices: 1996 & 2010 & 2022
Support prices: 1964 & 1947 & 1933
The general trend expected for today is bearish






















