Gold — High Consolidation, Beware of a Sharp DropGood morning!
Yesterday, gold fell back near 4220 and tested the support near 3176 several times during the session. During the US trading session, the support moved up to the 4202-4196/80 area. As of now, this support is still maintained and the price has returned to above 4200.
On the smaller charts, some indicators still favor bullish sentiment, but divergence has emerged on the 2H/4H charts, suggesting that the market may need to consolidate before a new round of gains can begin. Therefore, caution is crucial during trading.
Therefore, in future trading, it is more advisable to sell at high levels. Trend-setting bulls should wait until consolidation is complete before entering the market.
Important Support:
30M: Near 4185. Focus on the 4180-4176 area.
1H: Near 4157.
4H: Near 4137, followed by the 4107-4088 area.
In the current environment, we cannot guess the top, but based on the technical pattern, if the price is higher than 4230, we should be cautious in chasing the rise. It is recommended to look for selling opportunities. In the current market, it is better not to trade than to blindly follow the trend. Once there is no news support, from the technical pattern alone, adjustments may occur at any time, and the amplitude is expected to be large, so everyone should be prepared to deal with it.
Xausudanalysis
Gold Hits 4200 — A Key Turning Zone for the Next MoveGood afternoon, everyone!
After completing the 4067 resistance-to-support transition, gold continued its upward momentum and is now approaching the 4200 level — a new local high and a critical psychological resistance zone.
While some profit-taking pressure is expected near this level, the overall bullish structure remains intact, meaning any pullback could present buying opportunities for traders who missed earlier entries.
If the price retreats from around 4200, watch for support near 4176–4167.
If gold extends higher and stabilizes above 4210, focus on 4193–4187 as the next support area.
The main intraday support sits near 4176, and the primary trading bias remains buying on dips.
⚠️ Note: Upon the first rise above 4220, short-term profit-taking pressure may appear. Avoid chasing the price blindly and stay disciplined.
If the price climbs toward 4250, expect heavier selling pressure and heightened volatility — trade cautiously.
Today's Strategy:
✅ Buy near 4176 (buy the dip)
⚠️ Sell near 4220 (short near resistance)
For conservative traders, focus on buying on pullbacks; for aggressive traders, use scalp entries and manage risk tightly.
XAUUSD Weekly Scenarios⚙ Weekly Scenarios
Bullish Scenario:
The price holds above support at ~$3,660 and breaks resistance at ~$3,760–3,800.
Then, a rally to $3,900 and beyond is possible, especially with support from rate and geopolitical news.
Consolidation:
The price may move sideways between $3,660 and $3,760 until a strong signal (from news or volume) breaks the range.
Bearish Scenario:
A break below $3,660 with volume confirmation could lead to a correction to $3,600 or even lower.
In this case, it's important to watch whether lower support levels hold, otherwise a deeper pullback is possible.
🔎 Conclusion
The overall picture for the week is bullish, but with the risk of a pullback or consolidation due to overbought conditions and resistance.
Key: Watch for a reaction in the resistance zones of ~$3,760–3,800 and for support to hold at ~$3,660.
For traders: consider buying on dips near support zones and shorting (or taking profits) as the price approaches strong resistance if it fails to break through.
9/25: Buy at Lows, Watch Resistance at 3758–3763Good morning everyone!
Yesterday, gold rebounded from support but failed to break resistance, then continued its decline to around 3720, completing the divergence correction on the 30M chart. This downside move was well captured.
Currently, price is in a rebound phase:
3752–3758 is the key resistance zone. A clean breakout and consolidation above would give the bulls stronger momentum.
3733–3726 is the key support area. If price retests without breaking lower and forms bullish candles (especially strong bullish candles without long upper wicks), the probability of another upward move increases.
If volume supports a breakout, watch the 3770–3780 resistance area, as it may trigger further upside.
📌 Trading Outlook:
Trend setups:
Long opportunities below 3710;
Short opportunities above 3780;
If price breaks above 3770 and retests near 3760 without losing 3752, this could present another long entry.
Range setups:
Consider swing trades within the 3766–3726 range.
⚠️ Reminder: If your account condition is not favorable, avoid unnecessary trades. Focus on higher-probability setups to steadily grow profits while controlling risk.
XAUUSD – Intraday Plan: Fibo Reaction Zones in Focus📊 Market Context
Gold is consolidating sideways below 3,750$ during the Asian session, holding above yesterday’s low. Powell’s cautious remarks earlier this week cooled expectations for aggressive Fed easing, keeping volatility compressed.
📍 Key Reaction Zones
🔴 SELL Zone: 3752 – 3754 (Fibo retest resistance)
🟢 Support Zone: 3725 – 3727 (interim reaction level)
🟢 Major BUY Zone: 3698 – 3700 (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 confluence)
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup
Entry: 3752 – 3754
Stop Loss: 3760
Take Profit: Scale RR 1:2 → 1:3 → 1:4
Idea: Short-term rejection expected at retest resistance.
2️⃣ BUY Setup (Deeper Pullback)
Entry: 3698 – 3700 with bullish confirmation
Targets: 3725 → 3750
Stop Loss: Below 3690
⚠️ Notes for Traders
USD strength could accelerate corrections.
Focus on SELL at resistance today, BUY only on strong reaction from deeper Fibo support.
Stick to RR discipline, avoid chasing mid-range moves.
💬 Community Discussion
Do you expect Gold to retest 3700 before bouncing, or will the rejection at 3754 hold? Share your setups below 👇
Gold balances on a fine line: growth or correction?Following the release of soft US inflation data, gold is consolidating in the $3,250–$3,450 range, holding above key support. A weak dollar and expectations of a Fed rate cut are supporting bulls, but locally the price has hit a resistance zone.
Bullish:
Fixing above $3450 → target $3500, then $3550–$3600.
Breakthrough of $3500 will increase momentum to $3650+.
Bearish:
Breakthrough below $3250 → decline to $3200, with increasing pressure — to $3100.
📊 Indicators (D1)
RSI (14): ~43 — neutral, not overbought
MACD: in the negative zone — signal of a possible correction
SMA50/100/200: price slightly below average, indicating a pause in growth
GOLD HOLDS 3330 LIQUIDITY ZONE – BULLISH REVERSAL IN PLAY!📌 Market Overview
Gold has firmly held the 3330 liquidity support zone and bounced back strongly, now trading around 334x, forming a clean bullish structure on the M30 chart.
If the current momentum continues, price is likely to target the FIB resistance & CP Zones above at 335x and 336x in the short term.
On higher timeframes, the corrective wave is still present, but intraday traders must stay alert – today’s geopolitical headlines from the Trump–Putin meeting could inject volatility. Friday’s usual liquidity sweeps also add risk, so stay adaptive and avoid getting trapped by false breaks.
🧐 Key Technical Insights (MMFLOW Analysis)
CP Resistance 3355 aligns with a strong OBS SELL ZONE – watch for reaction here.
Further upside resistance near the 0.62 FIB level. If price reaches this early in the Asian or early London session, it’s a valid short setup. Late London or NY session tests could be false break traps due to the confluence with the downtrend line.
BUY Entries are still valid from 3334–3336 for early intraday longs, with SL below 3330. If 3330 breaks, wait for deeper liquidity at 331x before buying again.
🎯 Trading Plan – MMFLOW Strategy
🔹 BUY ZONE
Entry: 3334 – 3336
SL: 3330
TP: 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3365 – 3370 – 3380
🔹 SELL ZONE
Entry: 3355 (OBS SELL) or 0.62 FIB confluence
SL: Above 3362
TP: 3350 – 3345 – 3340 – 3335 – 3330
📊 Key Levels
Resistance: 3355 – 3362 – 3370
Support: 3336 – 3330 – 331x
💡 MMFLOW Comment:
The best approach today is trend-following buys from liquidity zones while monitoring intraday resistance for short scalps. Geopolitical headlines and Friday liquidity sweeps may trigger traps – trade smart, not just fast.
XAUUSD - Trading scenariosTechnical market condition
The price holds above $3,370, demonstrating sustainable bullish potential. Tariff tensions and inflation data expectations are keeping interest in gold as a safe haven asset.
However, gold is trying to break through the barrier at $3,400 again: until the breakout is confirmed, quotes will remain under pressure.
Counteraction to the decline: data on the reduction of geopolitical risks (for example, in Ukraine) and the strengthening of the dollar are exerting pressure - a possible decline to the support level of $3,314-$3,342.
Support and resistance levels
Key resistance levels:
~$3,400 - a psychological barrier, repeatedly confirmed by sales.
With a confident breakout, an attack on $3,435 is possible and then - to $3,500-$3,600, as Citi analysts predict against the backdrop of a weak US macroeconomy.
Main support levels:
~$3,370 — current support.
If broken — potential for a drop to $3,314–$3,342
XAUUSD 4H SHORTPrice broke out of the bearish trend line and moved sideways in a range forming two tops or a double top.
Fundamentally, US jobs data came out positive keying into hawkish tone on interest rate and influenced CPI.
Price broke the neckline after 4H closure giving signal for bearish move to $3250 support.
Here’s my little idea on GOLD. Follow for more.
Gold’s 3200 mark is the key!Due to the ceasefire between India and Pakistan and the easing of the Sino-US trade war, gold opened directly and fell below 3280 and 3260 successively, so the decline of gold will continue.
From the gold hourly chart, the focus below is on the 3200 integer mark. If it falls below 3200 and cannot effectively stabilize, then gold will have a big double top here, and the next decline will extend to around the 3000 integer mark. On the contrary, if the 3200 mark is not broken, then the bulls will fight back, at least they will fill the gap again
So in terms of operation, it is not recommended to chase the short now. If you want to go long on gold, you can wait for it to fall back to the 3200-3210 area and stabilize before buying
The golden earthquake storm is coming!In terms of news: Major events over the weekend include the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the sudden change in the situation between India and Pakistan, and the progress of Sino-US negotiations: Although India and Pakistan announced a truce, India's surprise attack turned the agreement into a joke. The high-level economic and trade talks between China and the United States are still continuing in Geneva, and it is difficult to have clear results in the short term. The war between Russia and Ukraine is still in a stalemate. The superposition of multiple events has injected uncertainty into the market.
Technical aspects:
Pay attention to the pressure in the 3360-3380 area. If it stands firm at 3346, it can fall back to arrange long orders. If it directly breaks below 3300 at the opening, pay attention to the support near 3280 - this position is likely to be lost, and effective support depends on the downward pattern formed after the 3260 break, and the ultimate target is 3200.
Gold is still in a short-term bearish trendGold's 1-hour moving average continues to turn downward. If it crosses below to form a downward death cross, then gold's room for decline may further open up. The short-term short position of gold has not ended yet. Gold has a trend of falling again. The short-term trend of gold is still short.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3325, stop loss 3340, target 3290
Gold breaks through 3400, the upward trend will continue
The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will keep the interest rate unchanged, which is in line with the psychological expectations of most people in the market. The current price of gold still continues to fluctuate at high levels, but in terms of the general direction, gold bulls have actually not changed, and bulls are still in a strong phase.
If gold breaks through 3400 strongly in the short term, then you can go long gold on dips above 3400. If gold rebounds, focus on the pressure near 3430.
Gold is under pressure at 3400, with a short-term decline expectGold is under pressure around 3400. Today we will have the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's speech. If gold is under pressure at 3400, it is expected to fall. Before the data, we need to be cautious.
In terms of trading ideas, we can short short-term, pay attention to the short near 3393-96, stop loss 3403, take profit 3360/3350
The gold shorts aren’t over yet
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to turn downward. If the 1-hour moving average of gold forms a death cross downward, then there is still room for gold to go down in the 1-hour period. Gold has been under pressure from the 3340 resistance line for many times in the US market and has fallen. Gold has hit a new low again in the US market, falling to the 3260 line. The lows of gold continue to hit new lows, so the gold short position has not ended yet. The resistance of the 1-hour moving average of gold has moved down to around 3366. Gold continues to be shorted at highs below 3366.
Gold adjusts at a high level, continues to be short on rebound
Gold risk aversion eased, and gold fell directly. After gold fills the gap, if gold cannot continue to rise, then the gold shorts will continue to exert their strength. The current gap resistance of gold is at 3382, but the market is volatile now. If the gap is filled, gold may have momentum to repair in the short term, so you can pay attention to the suppression of 3400.
Trading ideas: Short gold near 3400, stop loss 3410, target 3370
Gold has an adjustment trend, shorting is the main trendGold has begun to fluctuate in a wide range. The gold high has been suppressed frequently in the past two days and will fall back. Don't chase too much after the gold high. Even if you are long, you must patiently wait for the opportunity to fall back and adjust.
The gold 1-hour moving average has begun to show signs of turning, so the volume of gold bulls has begun to weaken, and gold bulls may have adjustments. In the short term, the confidence in further rising gold is not very strong. The structure of the double top of gold 1 hour.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3221, stop loss 3231, target 3200
Will gold first fall and then rise today?
The gold 1-hour moving average is still in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross. Now the price is gradually approaching the moving average, but the gold bull trend has not changed for the time being. Patiently wait for the opportunity to adjust. Pay attention to the support near the previous low of 3185. The moving average support has now moved up to the line near 3177. Overall, gold may form a strong support near 3180. For today's gold trend, I personally think it will fall first and then rise.
Gold is strong, wait for a pullback to go longThe 1-hour moving average of gold has formed a bullish arrangement with a golden cross upward, and gold is now supported near 3100. If gold can stand firm at 3100 after the data, then we can continue to go long on dips.
Trading ideas: Buy gold near 3100, stop loss 2990, target 3130
Gold has won two consecutive games, continue to short?Gold continued to be in a dead cross downward short position at 1 hour. The strength of gold short positions has not diminished. Gold fell near the resistance of 3017, and the gold moving average resistance has now moved down to near 3021. After gold rebounds, it is still mainly short selling.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3015, stop loss 3025, target 2990
The above is only a sharing of personal opinions and does not constitute investment advice. Investment is risky and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
You can't make money from such a simple market?After gold stepped back, it hit a new high again. Gold bulls continued to be strong. Gold broke through 3127 again, so the bulls are even better.
The gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross upwards and diverges. The support of the gold 1-hour moving average has moved up to 3096, but gold is now far away from the moving average, so wait patiently for adjustments and then step back to continue to buy. The gold 1-hour lowest yesterday fell to around 3100 and then stabilized again, so today gold will continue to buy on dips above 3100.
Trading ideas for reference:
Go long near gold 3110, sl: 3100, tp: 3130