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Xauuasdidea

Marginal weakening of macroeconomic negative factorsDigestion of hawkish remarks from the Federal Reserve: Previously, Fed officials issued a series of signals indicating "no immediate rate cut", causing the probability of a rate cut in December to drop from 66% to below 50%, but the market has now fully absorbed this negative factor. The impact of further hawkish statements from the Fed will weaken. Moreover, the core PCE in the US has continued to fall to 2.8% in October, indicating weak economic data, which still leaves room for long-term rate cuts. The negative factors are unlikely to continue to intensify. The retreat of risk aversion has slowed down: The short-term negative factors such as the US government shutdown and the easing of the geopolitical situation in Venezuela have been released. Potential risks such as the situation in the Middle East and the crisis in the Red Sea shipping route still exist. The market's sensitivity to negative factors has decreased, and there is no new catalyst for the decline. Gold trading strategy buy：4000-4010 tp:4020-4030 sl:3990
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Thorne-
XAUUSD (Gold) H1 Chart Analysis: Short-Term Bearish SetupKey Observations & Market Structure Break of Structure (BOS): An upward Break of Structure (BOS) occurred recently around the $4,020 level, indicating a shift toward a bullish trend on this timeframe. The high at $4,020 marked the top of the current range. Failed Highs (Potential Manipulation): The price made two subsequent attempts (labeled 'X' and another subsequent high) to break the BOS high, but both failed and resulted in wicks above the previous highs. This pattern often suggests liquidity grabbing or a sweep of buy-side liquidity (BSL) above the previous swing high before a move in the opposite direction. Current Price Action: The current candle shows a sharp rejection and a move lower from the high, as indicated by the downward arrow. Swing Low Liquidity (SSL): A significant Swing Low Liquidity (SSL) level has been created around $3,965, which is likely a target for a short-term bearish move as sell stops accumulate below it. Fair Value Gap (FVG) / 1H Order Block: Below the SSL target, there is a clear 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG) or a potential Order Block zone identified between approximately $3,950 and $3,955. This area represents a potential support zone where smart money may look to enter long positions, expecting the price to fill the inefficiency (FVG) or react to the order block before continuing the overall bullish move.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDShort
by fx_martin9
Gold’s Bull Run Could Test $4k by Year-EndGold has been on a powerful run, breaking out of previous consolidation zones and holding strong above its key moving averages. The momentum on the weekly chart looks intact, and price action is now pushing into the $3,800–$3,900 range. If this trend continues, the next big psychological level to watch is $4,000. That zone also lines up with a strong area of interest where some profit-taking could happen. As long as gold stays above the 33 EMA and keeps closing strong on higher timeframes, the path toward $4k by year-end looks very realistic. In short, buyers are clearly in control, and gold is steadily marching toward uncharted territory.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by unichartz
Gold is short at 48-49, expected to correct during retracement Everyone will inevitably suffer some grievances, and no one can hold his head high forever. The road of life is not easy to walk, bow your head when you should bow your head, and make concessions when you should make concessions. Only by being able to bend and stretch can one's heart be tough enough. Only by being able to endure grievances can one become a master and truly defend one's dignity. If it explodes at one point like a firecracker, it's not protecting your self-esteem, but lowering your self-esteem! Gold, the U.S. market has once again broken through, currently reaching a maximum of around 48. In the short term, this week will also usher in three consecutive positives, so this action is likely to be an unjust move, and the pressure from above will also It’s coming soon, and the current suppression level of gold remains at the 50 line. This position is also an important suppression level in the near future. It is very likely to break through in the evening, but the probability of breakthrough is not high. We still need to continue in the evening Bearish on gold, we are facing the first wave of retracement since the counterattack, and the support below will also remain at the 20 line. This position is also the limit of the retracement of this wave of short patterns. Once it continues to break down, it will be very likely. The possible reversal of the short position will also end the upward willingness of the bulls. At present, the daily line is above the moving average system, and the upper pressure of the weekly line is maintained at the mid-track position. This position is probably around 55, and in the evening For gold, let’s go short around 48-49 first, and the target is around 35-25, with a loss of 55.5. If you stand above 50 for a long time, you can consider adjusting your position and getting out.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Richard-Wagner