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Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is consolidating near $4,000, following a rebound from the $3,948–3,957 support zone. The price faces strong resistance between $4,008–4,016, where there is a possibility to retrace back to the trendline. A rejection from this zone could confirm a short-term pullback toward support, while a decisive breakout above $4,023 may open the door to $4,050 and beyond. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $4,008 – $4,016 (resistance retest) Stop Loss: $4,023 Take Profit: $3,957 / $3,948 Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 3.8 🌐 Macro Background Gold extended its recovery for the second consecutive day amid renewed safe-haven demand, but the upside remains capped by the Fed’s hawkish stance. As FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani noted: “Gold trades with a positive bias for the second straight day, though remains capped below $4,050 amid mixed fundamental cues.” 【FXStreet】 The U.S. government shutdown concerns continue to weigh on sentiment, softening the Dollar slightly and supporting gold’s defensive bid. However, Fed Chair Powell’s hawkish tone—stating that another December rate cut “is not a foregone conclusion”—keeps the USD underpinned and limits further gold gains. In addition, the de-escalation in U.S.–China trade tensions has improved risk appetite, reducing safe-haven flows. This mixed backdrop leaves gold oscillating within a tight range ahead of key FOMC member speeches and month-end flows. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,008 – $4,016 Support: $3,948 – $3,957 Psychological Level: $4,000 📌 Trade Summary Gold trades near $4,000, balancing safe-haven support and Fed-driven headwinds. The short-term bias favours selling near resistance ($4,008–4,016) targeting the $3,957 zone, with stops above $4,023. A sustained close above $4,023 would invalidate this bearish bias. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure TVC:GOLD Gold rebounded from the $3,931–3,937 support zone, regaining traction above $3,950. The chart shows potential upside toward the $3,981–3,988 resistance zone, though price is still within a short-term range. If buyers maintain momentum, a break above $3,988 could open the way to $4,000. Conversely, failure to hold above $3,931 may trigger renewed downside pressure. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $3,937 – $3,931 (support retest) Stop Loss: $3,929 Take Profit: $3,981 – $3,987 Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 5.67 🌐 Macro Background Gold attracted safe-haven bids after snapping a four-day losing streak. As FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani notes: “The US Dollar drifts lower amid shutdown concerns, lending some support to Gold.” 【FXStreet】 The USD weakened despite the Fed’s hawkish stance, pressured by economic uncertainty from the prolonged U.S. government shutdown. The Trump–Xi meeting offered a softer equity market tone, reflecting lingering geopolitical caution. The Fed cut rates by 25 bps as expected, but Chair Powell rejected expectations of another December cut, limiting Gold’s upside. Traders now await FOMC member speeches for clues on the future rate-cut path. This combination leaves Gold supported by safe-haven demand but capped by Fed’s hawkish tilt. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $3,981 – $3,988 Support: $3,931 – $3,937 Psychological Level: $4,000 📌 Trade Summary Gold holds firm above $3,950 with renewed safe-haven flows, but faces resistance near $3,985. A bullish setup favours buying dips into support ($3,931–3,937) with targets at $3,987. Caution is warranted as Fed commentary could inject volatility. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
1
Gold Has Entered the Fifth Wave — A Drop Below 3800 Is PossibleGold continued its Wave-4 rebound today, but following a news catalyst, Wave-5 downward momentum began, and the market structure has become clearer. In such conditions, what traders need most is patience. From the daily chart perspective, there still appears to be room for further downside. Based on my expectation, this decline may break below 3800. Of course, the market is always changing, and our outlook is based on probabilities — no one can guarantee the market will move exactly as expected. However, recent price action has been largely in line with our forecast, and I believe many of you have already secured profits from this move — that’s what matters. Additionally, I will be traveling tomorrow and won’t be able to monitor the market in real time. So during your trades, please stay alert and prioritize risk control. Protect your capital first — profits will come naturally afterward. The market never lacks opportunities, so don’t sacrifice long-term stability for short-term gains. Stay calm, stay disciplined, and trade safely!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
1
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure Gold price (XAU/USD) is trading near $3,965, with the upside capped at the $3,981–$3,990 resistance zone. The chart shows a recent rejection at resistance and sellers stepping in. Unless bulls break above $3,990, the bias remains bearish with a retest of $3,923–$3,915 support zone likely. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $3,81–$3,989 (near resistance) Stop Loss: $3,993 Take Profit: $3,930 / $3,915 Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.53 🌐 Macro Background Gold is under renewed pressure as US–China trade optimism undermines safe-haven demand. U.S. President Trump said a trade deal with China could be finalized this week, which boosted market sentiment. As Kitco’s senior analyst Jim Wyckoff noted: “The U.S.-China trade tensions have really diminished, with a possible trade deal later this week after a summit meeting between Presidents Xi and Trump. That’s bearish for safe-haven metals.” 【FXStreet】 On the monetary policy side, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 bps, lowering the Fed Funds Rate to 3.75%–4.00%. CME’s FedWatch tool shows markets have priced in nearly a 100% probability of this move, with further easing expected in December. While this provides some support to gold, trade optimism currently outweighs Fed dovishness. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $3,981 – $3,990 Support: $3,923 – $3,915 Psychological Level: $4,000 📌 Trade Summary Gold remains capped below $3,990 and is at risk of further declines toward $3,930–$3,915. Short positions near resistance are favoured, unless Fed surprises with a deeper cut or US–China trade talks collapse, which could flip sentiment. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
1
Gold Faces Wave 5 Danger: Prepare for a Sharp Drop AheadAt yesterday’s opening, gold dropped sharply, breaking the bullish structure. Today, the decline continued, and the gap near 3887 was successfully filled before the price rebounded toward the 3975 resistance area. The strong resistance remains around 4000–4018. On the daily chart, the trend remains downward, with support at 3963 already broken. Although the price is now recovering, upside resistance remains dense. From a structural perspective, the movement now aligns with a five-wave decline pattern, and the market appears to be in wave 4’s rebound phase. Therefore, it’s crucial to monitor the resistance area closely — if the price fails to break and hold above it, be prepared for the onset of wave 5, which could drive prices down to around 3800. On the weekly chart, there is potential support near 3834, but keep in mind that wave 5 declines are often stronger and faster than wave 3, meaning this support could be broken. In summary, trade cautiously and make account safety your top priority.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Today's gold trading strategyThe strength of the US dollar has become the "dominant restraining force". The US dollar index has firmly reached the 107.5 mark, reaching a new high in the past year, exerting continuous pressure on gold. The US ISM manufacturing PMI unexpectedly rebounded to 50.2 (returning to the expansion zone) in October, while the service sector PMI remained at a stable 51.8 level. The resilience of economic data has completely dispelled the market's expectation of another rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year. In contrast, the inflation rate in the Eurozone has fallen faster than expected, raising expectations for an interest rate cut by the ECB. The widening US-Eurozone interest rate gap has increased the attractiveness of the US dollar. This currency strength and weakness contrast is unlikely to reverse in the short term. As a substitute for non-US assets, the value of gold continues to decline. Today's gold trading strategy sell：3930-3940 tp:3920-3910 sl:3950
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_Lewis1
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) continues to trade under bearish pressure, dropping to the $3,980–3,940 range, marking its lowest in three weeks. The chart highlights: Resistance Zone: $3,975 – $3,981 (aligns with a descending trendline). Support Zone: $3,936 – $3,943, with $3,930 as key downside level. Price action shows lower highs, suggesting sustained bearish momentum. A corrective bounce into the resistance zone could be met with fresh selling interest. 📌 Trade Setup Entry: $3,975 – $3,981 (near resistance & trendline) Stop Loss: $3,986 Take Profit 1: $3,945 Take Profit 2: $3,936 Risk/Reward: ≈ 1 : 3.72 🌍 Macro Background Gold’s decline is largely driven by renewed US–China trade optimism, which has reduced safe-haven demand. As reported, officials from both sides agreed on a trade deal framework ahead of Trump–Xi talks this week, pressuring gold prices despite weaker USD and dovish Fed expectations. Meanwhile, traders remain cautious ahead of the FOMC meeting (Oct 28–29), where markets have priced in a 96% chance of a 25 bps Fed rate cut. Adding to the downside pressure, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) paused gold purchases, while China’s imports fell 17.6% in September, further reducing demand support. However, US Treasury yields remain soft, and JPMorgan projects long-term bullish momentum for gold, forecasting an average $5,055/oz in Q4 2026. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $3,975 / $3,981 Support: $3,943 / $3,936 Breakdown Target: $3,900 📋 Trade Summary Gold remains under pressure, trading below $4,000 with bearish momentum intact. Short-term rallies toward resistance offer opportunities to sell, targeting the $3,930–3,940 support zone. Market focus shifts to the FOMC decision and US–China talks, which could define gold’s next breakout direction. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
XAU/USD 27 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025. Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 22 October 2025. Price has printed according to my analysis dated 20 October 2025 where I mention that price is to continue bullish, react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,185.910. Price has printed a bearish iBOS and subsequently a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday expectation: Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,004.280. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle formation. The resistance zone lies between $4,104 – $4,113, while the support zone is marked at $4,050 – $4,055. The price has repeatedly tested both zones, suggesting market indecision. A breakout from this tightening structure could dictate the next directional move. 📌 Trade Setup Entry: $4,061 (near trendline support) Stop Loss: $4,050 (below support zone) Take Profit: $4,113 (resistance) Risk–Reward (R:R): ≈ 1 : 4.36 🌍 Macro Background Renewed optimism surrounding US-China trade talks has reduced safe-haven demand, leading to gold’s decline near $4,065 earlier today. US Treasury Secretary Bessent confirmed that both sides reached a framework for discussion, with China expected to delay its rare earth policy by one year. At the same time, markets are nearly certain the Federal Reserve will deliver a 25 bps rate cut at the October FOMC meeting, with another cut possible in December. While trade optimism weighs on gold, rate-cut expectations continue to provide a safety net for the metal. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,104 / $4,113 Support: $4,055 / $4,061 Upside Target (if breakout): $4,130 – $4,150 📋 Trade Summary Gold is trapped in a tightening triangle between $4,055 and $4,113. Traders may look for long entries on dips near $4,061 with targets at $4,113, aligning with Fed rate-cut expectations. However, renewed US-China optimism caps the upside. A decisive break below $4,050 would invalidate the bullish outlook and open the door toward $4,020. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
Gold: Building a bottom, but caution remainsWeekend Greetings! Over the past week, gold has been consolidating within the 4160–4000 range. Technically, this range suggests a short-term bottoming phase. However, given that prices recently reached new highs and have since formed a double-top pattern, it’s still too early to confirm a bottom. In the upcoming sessions, traders should remain cautious, avoid chasing highs, and be alert for potential bull traps or a fifth-wave decline, as mentioned last week. On the 4H chart, higher lows are being established, and Friday’s close was above both the MA5 and MA20, with the MACD maintaining a bullish configuration. The MA60 and MA30 are currently positioned around 4180 and 4163, respectively, serving as key resistance zones. If gold can hold above these levels, there’s a good chance it will approach or even reclaim the 4300 level. On the daily chart, gold remains supported by the MA20, with long lower wicks indicating active bullish participation, which favors further upside. However, the MA5 and MA10, located around 4154 and 4188, still act as short-term resistance. For a stronger bullish confirmation, the price needs to stabilize above 4160, ideally holding firm above 4180. On the 30M/1H charts, moving averages are closely aligned, showing short-term consolidation. Notably, the last three candles on the 30M chart form a Morning Star pattern, a typical bullish signal. If this formation remains intact after the market opens, prices are likely to move higher. From a fundamental perspective, no bearish news emerged over the weekend. Unless unexpected developments occur before the market opens, the technical outlook favors an upward move during Monday’s session.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Gold: Double Bottom or Five-Wave Decline?After rising to the MA60 area on the 4-hour chart, gold faced significant selling pressure, and the price has now pulled back to around 4050, which lies near the short-term support zone. Over time, the MA20 support on the daily chart has moved up to around 4055, while the MA30 currently sits near 3942. On the 1-hour chart, the downtrend appears not yet complete, so pay attention to the next two closing candles. For now, key support levels to watch are 4014–4000, followed by 3978–3937. If the price stabilizes around 4000, a double-bottom pattern could potentially form. However, if it falls further toward the MA30, a head-and-shoulders pattern may come into play. In case the rebound fails to break above resistance, be cautious of a five-wave decline, as that could trigger another sharp correction, with a high likelihood of filling the gap near 3887. In terms of trading strategy, the focus should still be on finding buying opportunities. For medium-term setups, you can hold positions patiently; for short-term intraday trades, pay close attention to the key supports mentioned above, and use the MA20/60 on the 30-minute chart as reference points for resistance.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is consolidating between $4,132 resistance and $4,091 support. Price rejected from the resistance zone and is currently sliding lower. The structure shows a potential bearish continuation if sellers defend $4,128–$4,132, with downside pressure targeting the $4,091–$4,088 zone. 📌 Trade Setup Entry: $4,128–$4,135 (near resistance rejection) Stop Loss: $4,135 Take Profit: $4,091 → $4,088 Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1 : 5.26 🌍 Macro Background Gold remains under pressure as traders focus on U.S. CPI data (Sep) due later today, expected at 3.1% YoY. Renewed USD demand and seasonal demand slowdown after India’s Diwali festival are capping upside momentum. However, safe-haven flows could reemerge amid the prolonged U.S. government shutdown and US-China trade talks set during the APEC summit. The Fed is still expected to cut rates by 25bps in November and December, which provides medium-term support. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $4,128 – $4,132 Support Zone: $4,091 – $4,088 Breakout Levels: Above $4,140 = bullish invalidation, Below $4,085 = continuation lower 📋 Trade Summary The bias remains bearish intraday below $4,132 resistance. CPI data and trade headlines may cause volatility spikes. Short positions near resistance offer better R:R as long as $4,135 is not breached. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
Gold May Form a Bull Trap Before Another DropUnder the current strong bearish sentiment, gold has filled the gap around 4019 and touched the MA20 support on the 1D chart, followed by a strong rebound of over $150. After reaching the MA10 near 4160, the price pulled back again and is now trading below 4100. On the 4H chart, the downtrend remains intact, with psychological support around the MA30 (near 3910). If bearish momentum continues during the U.S. session, a move toward this support level cannot be ruled out. Personally, I expect gold to first test resistance around 4180–4200 or even 4250, forming a potential bull trap before another leg down. However, if supported by positive news and strong volume, the market could reverse and push prices back above 4300. Moreover, if the price truly dips into the 3950–3910 range, I see it as a great opportunity for long positions — one I definitely won’t miss! Of course, this is just my personal view. Ultimately, we should always follow the actual price action and trade cautiously, managing risk wisely.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Gold: Maintain Bullish Strategy, Target 4180–4220 ZoneYesterday, the market overall remained in a bottom-building phase. There were several intraday rebounds, but each time the price eventually returned near the lows. Compared to recent sessions, the volatility wasn’t extreme, though still relatively large when measured against previous market conditions. At the moment, the price is approaching the MA20 resistance on the 2-hour chart, with both the structure and indicators leaning bullish. On the 30-minute chart, minor support lies near 4070, with secondary support around 4043, while strong resistance remains in the 4180–4200 and 4250 zones. The trading strategy remains unchanged — continue to buy in batches near the lows and stay patient while waiting for the price to recover.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
1
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold extended losses, trading near $4,060–$4,070 after its biggest one-day drop in five years. Immediate support zone is around $4,060–$4,070, while the resistance zone lies at $4,132–$4,141. The current chart suggests a potential rebound scenario from support, with upside capped at resistance. Failure to hold $4,060 could expose the next leg lower toward $4,020–$4,000. 📌 Trade Setup Entry (Long): $4,070 (near support zone) Stop Loss: $4,053 (below support) Take Profit: $4,132 (resistance zone retest) Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ≈ 1 : 4.26 🌍 Macro Background Gold remains under heavy pressure after two days of sharp selloff, even as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened slightly near 98.80. The move reflects profit-taking following gold’s record rally, while traders are cautious ahead of Friday’s US CPI data (Core CPI expected at 3.1% YoY). At the same time, Reuters reported that the White House is weighing new export curbs on China’s tech sector, intensifying trade uncertainty. Despite near-term weakness, gold is still up 54% YTD, supported by market bets that the Fed will cut rates by 50 bps at its final two policy meetings this year, with additional easing priced in for 2026. Thus, while short-term volatility may persist, macro drivers still favor dip-buying strategies. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,132 / $4,141 Support: $4,060 / $4,070 Upside Target: $4,132 Downside Risk: $4,020 / $4,000 📋 Trade Summary Gold is consolidating near $4,060–$4,070 support, with technicals hinting at a short-term rebound opportunity toward $4,132 resistance. However, the broader tone remains cautious ahead of the US CPI release and potential new US-China tech trade restrictions. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global