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Xauusdanalysis

Double top on hourly chart, beware of callback riskAccording to the U.S. Treasury Secretary, Trump will interview 3-4 candidates for Federal Reserve Chairman after Thanksgiving, and emphasized that "open mind" is a key condition. But this move seems to be affecting market concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve, coupled with the ongoing US government shutdown and the trade war between China and the United States. There is still a lot of positive information in the market. Therefore, in the medium and long term, the bullish trend of gold remains unchanged. However, gold in the U.S. market has continued to fluctuate and wash out. Judging from the hourly chart, there are signs of forming a double top, so we still need to be vigilant about potential callback threats in the evening. Pay attention to the short-term resistance of 4200-4210 on the upside. If gold cannot break through this resistance range, it will fall further and test the support again. Below, watch the 4H MA10 moving average, which also marks the low of the afternoon's pullback near 4164. If this level breaks, gold will test the strong support level of 4140. Tonight trading will continue to focus on buying on pullbacks, supplemented by shorting on rebounds. Especially those brothers who are not sure about the current market can wait patiently for a pullback to a low level before participating in long transactions. If you want to quickly recover losses or realize profits, you can also contact me for more professional help. For more real-time updates, please visit the professional personal homepage information OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Perfect_Allen
Prices remain high. The bullish trend remains intact.The overall market remains bullish, and pullbacks present opportunities for buying. Gold, as expected, broke through the 4200 level today before quickly falling and rebounding. From a technical perspective, gold has risen strongly and quickly corrected its price after setting a new high, but it still received support from buyers at low levels, and the price rebounded quickly after hitting a low of 4164. The 1-hour chart shows that it is in a flag-shaped consolidation pattern, and the support level is moving steadily upward. Key support has now risen to $4180. As long as gold prices hold above this level, the uptrend remains intact. The moving average system continues to form a golden cross and diverge in an upward bullish arrangement. The bullish momentum of gold still exists and continues to maintain a strong pattern. The 4-hour chart has effectively broken through the previous range of resistance, with the next key target near $4230. Quaid recommends placing long positions above 4180, with targets potentially moving towards 4230-4250.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Market_Trader1
Gold surged and then retreated. Latest Analysis.On Wednesday, gold continued its recent record-breaking run, finding buying support for the fourth consecutive trading day. Against a backdrop of favorable fundamentals, gold prices hit a new all-time high of $4,218.19. Persistent geopolitical tensions, escalating trade frictions, and market concerns about a prolonged US government shutdown have all contributed to the key factors supporting this surge in safe-haven assets. It is important to note that despite technical indicators indicating overbought conditions, gold bullish momentum has not weakened, suggesting that the path of least resistance remains upward and the recently established upward trend is likely to continue. In early Asian trading, gold bulls stabilized in the 4,140 area and re-energized, breaking through the record high of $4,200. Until there is a clear signal of a peak, do not blindly guess the top location. In the short term, a buy-on-low approach is recommended, with key support focused on the intraday low and the short-term uptrend support from 4,090. The first resistance level to watch is around 4210-4215, followed by 4240. Support is expected to be around 4180-4160. For gold, a short-term strategy is to buy on pullbacks. Trading strategy: Buy gold in batches on pullbacks between 4180-4160, with a stop-loss of $10. Profits are expected to be above 4200.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
2
Gold → Every step up, the risk of a crash increasesAs I said in my previous article, the momentum of gold bulls has been weakened to a certain extent. Now, with every step up in gold prices, the possibility of a collapse increases. The current emotional value is driving gold prices up. We can clearly see today that after breaking through 4200, the momentum of gold has weakened significantly. We clearly saw today that after breaking through 4200, gold's momentum has weakened significantly. We shorted gold at 4199 and 4216, and have both taken profits at 4180. We will monitor the resistance levels of 4218-4223 tonight and take action when the time is right. For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I post my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you lack a plan or clear direction for gold trading and struggle to achieve consistent, stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
Markets Brace for U.S. Retail Sales & Fed VolatilityXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold prices hover near $4,190 after an early-week rally as traders brace for U.S. Retail Sales data and a new round of Federal Reserve speeches later today. Recent gains were fueled by softer inflation readings, yet the dollar remains resilient amid hawkish undertones from Fed officials. Markets are now balancing between expectations of slower growth and persistent rate-cut caution. A stronger-than-expected Retail Sales print could pressure gold temporarily, but any dovish signal from Fed speakers may quickly restore bullish momentum. Expect liquidity hunts on both sides before a confirmed direction forms. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure remains bullish after multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a recent Change of Character (ChoCH) confirmation. • Price is approaching the Premium Zone (4211–4209) — a potential liquidity sweep area where short-term sellers may react. • Below, the H1 FVG Buy Zone (4145–4149) offers a discount entry aligned with recent BOS support and previous mitigation points. • Maintaining a bullish bias while awaiting clean reaction within the FVG zone is key for continuation toward new highs. 🔴 Sell Setup: 4211 – 4209 SL: 4218 TP targets: 4190 → 4175 → 4155 🟢 Buy Setup: 4145 – 4147 SL: 4138 TP targets: 4170 → 4190 → 4220+ ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for M15 ChoCH/BOS confirmation before entry to avoid false breaks. • Expect high volatility around Retail Sales and Fed remarks — spread widening is likely. • Partial take-profits near intra-day liquidity points are recommended. ✅ Summary XAUUSD remains bullish on structure but faces a potential liquidity grab around 4211–4209 before retracing into the H1 FVG buy zone (4145–4149). Smart money may seek to accumulate long positions after a controlled pullback, especially if Fed commentary echoes a slower policy tightening path. Intraday bias leans Buy the Dip, with caution around macro-driven volatility spikes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
10
Gold Hits 4200 — A Key Turning Zone for the Next MoveGood afternoon, everyone! After completing the 4067 resistance-to-support transition, gold continued its upward momentum and is now approaching the 4200 level — a new local high and a critical psychological resistance zone. While some profit-taking pressure is expected near this level, the overall bullish structure remains intact, meaning any pullback could present buying opportunities for traders who missed earlier entries. If the price retreats from around 4200, watch for support near 4176–4167. If gold extends higher and stabilizes above 4210, focus on 4193–4187 as the next support area. The main intraday support sits near 4176, and the primary trading bias remains buying on dips. ⚠️ Note: Upon the first rise above 4220, short-term profit-taking pressure may appear. Avoid chasing the price blindly and stay disciplined. If the price climbs toward 4250, expect heavier selling pressure and heightened volatility — trade cautiously. Today's Strategy: ✅ Buy near 4176 (buy the dip) ⚠️ Sell near 4220 (short near resistance) For conservative traders, focus on buying on pullbacks; for aggressive traders, use scalp entries and manage risk tightly.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Gold Pullback Opportunity Within Strong Bullish MomentumAnalysis: The XAU/USD chart shows that gold has maintained a powerful upward trajectory, breaking out of its previous consolidation channel (highlighted in purple). After the breakout, price surged to new highs near 4,120, confirming strong bullish momentum. Currently, the market is showing a minor pullback toward the 4,090–4,060 zone — a region aligning with previous resistance turned support. This retracement appears healthy and could provide buyers a chance to re-enter before another leg up. The bullish continuation setup is supported by: Previous breakout retest: The price is testing the prior resistance area, which could now act as strong support. Momentum structure: Higher highs and higher lows remain intact. Favorable risk-reward ratio: The long position targets around 4,180, with stops below 4,060 support.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
GOLD Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 300 Pips !Here is My 15 Min Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , the price going up very hard without any correction so we should move with it and we have a 4H Candle closure above our Res 4180.00 And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 4180.00 One more time and we have already a great touch that take all stop losses before going up so i think the second touch will be better and will give us a good chance to enter with good stop loss , and we can be targeting 100 to 300 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore . Reasons To Enter : 1- Perfect Touch For The Area . 2- Clear Bullish Price Action . 3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A . 4- The Price Take The Last High . 5- Perfect 4H Closure .
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Elite_Club
23
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – (15/10/2025, US SESSION UPDATE)📅 U.S. Session – 15 Oct 2025 💹 Prepared by ElDoradoFx Premium 2.0 Team ⸻ 🧭 Market Overview Gold is currently trading near 4,198, after failing to sustain the breakout above 4,206–4,218. The price is showing temporary weakness as intraday structure shifts toward a corrective phase within the bullish channel. A deeper retracement may develop before new buyers step in, especially ahead of U.S. CPI reaction and liquidity sweeps. ⸻ 🔍 Technical Outlook D1 (Macro Trend) • The daily candle remains bullish, but nearing exhaustion at channel resistance (4,218). • RSI ≈ 84 → deep in overbought territory. • MACD still strong but showing divergence — hinting possible short-term correction. ➡️ Macro bias: Bullish but stretched; expect retracement before continuation. ⸻ H1 (Intraday Structure) • The structure remains within the rising channel, but momentum is slowing. • 20EMA and 50EMA are flattening — suggesting short-term equilibrium. • Current support: 4,187–4,182 zone, resistance: 4,206–4,218. • A confirmed break below 4,182 opens space for a deeper pullback to 4,165–4,150. ➡️ Bias: Neutral-bullish → correction likely before next impulse. ⸻ 15M–5M (Execution Zone) • A CHoCH (change of character) formed around 4,206, confirming short-term bearish pressure. • MACD shows fading momentum, RSI near 50 (neutral). • Lower timeframe liquidity likely to target 4,180–4,175 before reaccumulation. ⸻ 📊 Fibonacci Golden Zone • Swing Low → 4,165 • Swing High → 4,206 🎯 Golden Zone = 4,174 – 4,179 This aligns perfectly with 1H demand zone and 200EMA — high-probability area for bullish re-entry. ⸻ 🎯 High Probability Trade Scenarios ✅ Bullish Re-entry (Main Setup) • Entry: 4,174–4,179 (Golden Zone) • Targets: 4,193 → 4,206 → 4,218 • Stop-loss: Below 4,165 📗 Ideal low-risk entry after corrective pullback. ⸻ ⚠️ Bearish Short-Term Setup (Countertrend) • Entry: On confirmed break and close below 4,165 • Targets: 4,150 → 4,139 → 4,122 • Stop-loss: Above 4,182 📕 Short-term sell only if the structure fully breaks. ⸻ 📈 Breakout Buy Setup • Entry: Break and close above 4,218 • Targets: 4,230 → 4,245 → 4,265 • Stop-loss: Below 4,200 📗 Strong continuation confirmation toward new highs. ⸻ 📅 Fundamental Watch 🕐 Key Event: U.S. CPI release later today — high volatility expected. 🕐 DXY holding around 105.25, showing indecision. 🕐 Pre-news consolidation expected, with breakout likely post-data release. ⸻ ⚠️ Key Levels to Monitor • Resistance: 4,206 / 4,218 / 4,230 • Support: 4,182 / 4,174 / 4,165 / 4,150 • Breakout Zones: 🔼 Buy above 4,218 🔽 Sell below 4,165 ⸻ ✅ Summary Gold remains bullish overall, but a short-term retracement is unfolding as price loses steam near 4,206–4,218 resistance. Look for a dip into 4,174–4,179 (Golden Zone) for new buying opportunities, or a confirmed break below 4,165 for intraday correction. Patience and precision are key ahead of the U.S. CPI volatility window. ⸻ — ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 Team 🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
Gold Setup: Structure Favors the BuyersGold continues to trade within a bullish structure, forming higher highs after rebounding cleanly from the 4180–4185 support zone. A minor pullback is offering a potential swing buy opportunity, aiming for the next resistance around 4225 as buyers remain strong above intraday support. Key Levels: Buy Entry: 4200 Take Profit: 4225 Stop Loss: 4183 Reasoning: Technically, the 1H chart shows an established uptrend with a series of higher highs and higher lows. The price recently respected its new support and is maintaining bullish momentum, signaling continuation toward the next resistance area. Fundamentally, weaker U.S. dollar sentiment and stable Treasury yields continue to support gold, while traders await U.S. economic updates that may impact Fed rate expectations. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own trading plan before entering any trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SwingTrade_Concept
1
XAUUSD on Retracement overall bullish trend XAUUSD is still on bullish Bias and holding rising wedge pattern but retracement can be on strike. What will I do Today? ✳️ currently market is bit tricky for scalpers and retailers let's assume a scanario or condition of mine . - I'm on buy from 4190 and expecting H4 candle remains above the mentioned upper zone then hold for targets. My target will be $4235 & 4260 In extension !! ✳️ Secondly if any candle closes below 4180 then our buying will be postpond and we'll have retracement towards 4135 then 4110 in extension , Additional Tip: -BUY the Dips OR
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
2
XAUUSD SUPERWAVE: Gold Battles at $4,200 🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: Historical Highs and the Pause of the Bulls Gold is the center of attention as it fights fiercely at the $4,200 level during the European session. Strength Drivers: Gold recently hit a fresh all-time high near $4,220. This record rally is sustained by ongoing geopolitical tensions, economic risks, a dovish Federal Reserve (Fed), and a weak USD. Current Pressure: Bullish speculators are taking a breather, creating pressure on the price at the $4,200 mark. Economic Signal: Although the IMF raised its 2025 global growth forecast, it simultaneously warned that a rekindled US-China trade war could significantly slow output—a factor that continues to support Gold as a safe-haven asset. 📊 Technical Analysis (M30/H1): Defining the Fibo BUY/SELL Battlefield Based on the Ascending Channel structure and the identification of Fibo Reaction Zones (Referencing image_49085d.png), we have the following key strategic trading areas for today: 1. Strategic SELL Reaction Zones: These are crucial Fibo resistance zones where we will look for SELL SCALP signals if buying momentum falters: Zone Price Range Description & Action SELL ZONE 1 (FIBO) 4208 - 4212 Key Fibo resistance zone. A potential area to consider a SELL SCALP if bearish confirmation emerges. SELL ZONE 2 (Extension) 4225 - 4250 The FIBO Extension 1.5 - 1.618 zone. This is the TP target for Longs and a stronger strategic SELL zone if Gold breaks above 4212. 2. Strategic BUY Reaction Zones: These are vital Fibo support zones where we will look for Long entries (BUY) following the primary trend: Zone Price Range Description & Action BUY ZONE 1 (FIBO Retest) 4162 - 4158 The crucial Fibo 0.618 support zone. Ideal area to catch the BUY wave if price corrects here. BUY ZONE 2 (Deeper Support) 4144 - 4140 A deeper, stronger support area. If BUY ZONE 1 fails, this is the next key accumulation point. 📈 TODAY'S OPTIMAL ACTION PLAN Primary BUY Scenario: Wait for Gold to correct to the REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 4162 - 4158. Upon seeing a strong bullish reversal candle signal (H1/M30), confidently enter a Long trade. TP: Target SELL ZONE 1 (4208 - 4212) or SELL ZONE 2 (4225 - 4250). Scalp SELL Scenario: If Gold fails to breach 4200/4212 and shows clear reversal signs, a quick SCALP SELL can be considered. ⚠️ Risk Warning (SL): Always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the nearest active BUY ZONE to protect your capital. Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and highly profitable day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
1
Gold Price Falls from Above $4,200Gold Price Falls from Above $4,200 The XAU/USD chart shows that gold recently climbed above the $4,200 mark for the first time. The upward momentum has been supported by the ongoing US government shutdown, central bank demand (with reports highlighting a sharp rise in reserves at the Reserve Bank of India), and market focus on US–China trade developments. According to Trading Economics, on Tuesday President Donald Trump accused China of “economically hostile” behaviour, citing a halt in soybean imports, and warned of potential retaliatory measures. After an 8% gain since the start of October, the market appears overbought, as reflected by the RSI, creating vulnerability to a correction. Today’s sharp drop from record levels (highlighted by the red arrow) may be seen in this context, yet bullish positions remain solid for several reasons. Analysing gold price action (highlighted with bold lines), we can identify a rising channel that has remained relevant since late September. Signs of strong demand include: → persistent moves towards the channel’s upper boundary; → a steeper growth channel forming since 10 October; → the local $4,155 level shifting from resistance to support. It is also notable that previous bearish attempts failed — each short-term plunge was followed by a strong rebound. Today’s correction could similarly precede further gains in gold. Key levels to watch: → Psychological resistance at $4,250; → Boundaries of the orange channel and the blue median line. In summary, the gold market currently appears extremely bullish, and it would likely take extraordinary events to reverse this pronounced trend. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
The 4200 Era Is Coming — Where Will the Next Bull Run Begin?Gold has reached new highs during its rebound, breaking through the recent technical resistance at 4180. In the short term, there is no significant resistance above, and no clear peak signal has emerged, demonstrating the continued strength of the bulls. From the current technical perspective, gold has formed a clear W-shaped double bottom structure in the short term, combining the 4090 and 4097 levels, providing support for further gains. Therefore, the deep pullback that occurred yesterday is only regarded as a technical pullback in a strong pattern, and does not change its inherent bullish logic; coupled with the support of multiple risk-averse factors in the market, under the resonance of technical and news aspects, according to the previous fluctuation range, gold is expected to continue to rise to the 4210-4230 area. As the center of gravity of gold continues to rise, the key now is to find the next reliable support level. The current short-term support has clearly moved up to the 4155-4140 area, which is the best position for bulls to re-accumulate strength before the next breakthrough. Therefore, the 4155-4140 area is the entry area for us to focus on building long positions in gold in batches; the short-term upward target area is 4200-4210. If you’re following this rally, don’t just watch — prepare your next move. 💬 Like & Follow for real-time updates and in-depth gold insights. 📈 Follow me for real-time gold insights &to my traders' channel for exclusive setups in bio！
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WaveRider_Steffen
XAUUSD – Bearish Reversal Setup at Key ResistanceOANDA:XAUUSD has reached a key overextended zone after a strong bullish rally, showing signs of exhaustion near the upper boundary of the pitchfork channel. Daily candles are printing wicks into resistance, indicating potential supply. Bearish Confluences: Price rejection at upper pitchfork channel resistance Extended distance from EMA ribbon (mean reversion likely) Slowing bullish momentum with smaller daily candles Bearish setup triggered at local resistance zone Fibonacci Targets (retracement from recent swing low to high): 🎯 Target 1 – 0.382: $3,716 🎯 Target 2 – 0.5: $3,629 🎯 Target 3 – 0.618: $3,567 Invalidation: Daily close above $3,895 resistance (red zone) would invalidate this setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VisionaryInsights
1
Don't guess the top of gold price, go long on pullback#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD Yesterday afternoon, I reminded everyone that the hourly line formed a W shape. Once the 4145 neckline was broken, the gold rally would continue. I believe that the traders in the group who adopted this strategy are currently making good profits. Gold is currently continuing to rise and has successfully reached the 4200 integer mark, but this is not the market peak. If the strong pattern remains unchanged, there is a possibility of rising to 4210-4130, or even higher. However, one thing that needs to be noted is that the current continuous upward fluctuation of gold has pushed the technical indicators into the overbought risk zone. Therefore, do not blindly chase the rise in the short term to avoid potential market demand for a correction. From a long-term perspective, the daily MA5 moving average and the 4H moving average have both reached around 4090, and this is also the double bottom position of the W pattern. Therefore, as long as it fails to effectively fall below 4090, any decline can be regarded as a buying opportunity. You can go long on gold in batches according to the strength of the retracement. Judging from the hourly chart alone, short-term support can refer to yesterday's high of 4180-4160 to go long on gold in batches. If you agree with this idea, or want to get more real-time updates, please follow my personal homepage. Thank you to all my fans and readers who support me.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trading-Magician_G
XAU/USD 15 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS, however, I will apply discretion and not classify it as such due to the insignificant depth of pullback relative to recent price action. At the time of this analysis price is continuing to print bullish without pause, which, as a result, I am unable to confirm a fractal high. Current bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Intraday expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued bullish printing further ATH's. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. At the time of this analysis price is continuing bullish without puase, therefore, I am unable to confirm a fractal high. Intraday expectation: Allow price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Setting new highs, it is right to go long on the pullbackI reminded everyone yesterday that once the W-shaped formation is confirmed and structural support is provided for the bulls, the upward trend will continue. The final result is in line with our expectations again. Gold is still fluctuating upward. If this trend continues, it is expected to reach 4210-4230. As the price of gold continues to rise and returns to a unilateral upward trend, the short-term highs and support are also moving up. From the perspective of the big cycle trend, the current daily MA5 moving average and the 4H middle track have also come to around 4088-4090, which is also the position that short-term bulls need to focus on defending. Before failing to effectively fall below this position, we can still maintain the bullish trend unchanged, and any decline can be regarded as an opportunity for bulls to enter the market. Judging from the hourly chart, the current gold price has reached the 42,000 integer mark. The continuous upward fluctuation has caused the current technical indicators to enter the overbought risk zone. Do not blindly chase the rise in the short term and be alert to the market's potential correction demand. The short-term support can be seen at 4180-4165. If gold subsequently falls back to this short-term support, we can consider continuing to go long on gold. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Perfect_Allen