Setting new highs, it is right to go long on the pullbackI reminded everyone yesterday that once the W-shaped formation is confirmed and structural support is provided for the bulls, the upward trend will continue. The final result is in line with our expectations again. Gold is still fluctuating upward. If this trend continues, it is expected to reach 4210-4230.
As the price of gold continues to rise and returns to a unilateral upward trend, the short-term highs and support are also moving up. From the perspective of the big cycle trend, the current daily MA5 moving average and the 4H middle track have also come to around 4088-4090, which is also the position that short-term bulls need to focus on defending. Before failing to effectively fall below this position, we can still maintain the bullish trend unchanged, and any decline can be regarded as an opportunity for bulls to enter the market.
Judging from the hourly chart, the current gold price has reached the 42,000 integer mark. The continuous upward fluctuation has caused the current technical indicators to enter the overbought risk zone. Do not blindly chase the rise in the short term and be alert to the market's potential correction demand. The short-term support can be seen at 4180-4165. If gold subsequently falls back to this short-term support, we can consider continuing to go long on gold.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Xauusdanalysis
GOLD ANALYSIS TODAY | BULLISH TREND | XAUUSD OCT 15.2025 ☄️ Gold Market Outlook 10/ 15 (Based on SMC) ☄️
📊 Over Trend
🔤The market remains bullish, confirmed by a continuous sequence of BOS to the upside.
🔤Minor CHoCHs only indicate short-term retracements, not trend reversals.
🔤The main demand area is located between 4110–4130, where Smart Money previously accumulated.
🏆 Trading Plan
🔼 Scenario 1 — Continuation Buy
🔤 Reason:
Price broke structure above 4170, confirming bullish momentum.
FVG zone 4140–4155 is likely to attract institutional re-entries.
🔤 Conditions:
Wait for price to retrace into 4140–4155 and form a bullish CHoCH confirmation.
🔤 Entry: 4145-4150
🔼 Scenario 2 — Deep Pullback then Rally
🔤 Reason:
If short-term profit-taking occurs, price may revisit the stronger demand + FVG zone at 4110–4130.
This aligns with a clean Order Block on H1 timeframe.
🔤 Conditions:
Watch for a CHoCH → BOS bullish confirmation within 4110–4130.
🔤 Entry: 4110-4120
🔽 Scenario 3 — Structural Break (Bearish Correction)
🔤 Reason:
If price closes below 4100, the bullish structure will be invalidated.
This could trigger a deeper correction toward the 4040–4060 FVG zone.
🔤 Conditions:
Wait for a confirmed break below 4100 and a failed retest of 4105–4110 before selling.
XAUUSD: Testing the solidity of 4200 levelAs we predicted in our analysis yesterday, gold is currently approaching the critical 4200 level, focusing on testing the solidity of the resistance at this level. Once the price stabilizes above the 4200 mark, it is expected to accelerate upward and launch an assault on the 4280-4300 area.
Is Gold XAUUSD due for a Retrace? VWAP & Volume Profile Plan🏆 Gold (XAUUSD) Market Update 🏆
Gold (XAUUSD) has rallied strongly and is now pushing into new highs 📈. In my view, price looks overextended — when applying the VWAP indicator, we can clearly see that price has stretched three deviations away from VWAP ⚖️.
I’m also analyzing the Volume Profile to identify value areas that could serve as key support zones on any retracement 🔍. While my overall bias remains bullish, I’d like to see price return to equilibrium — roughly the 50% retrace of the recent price swing (on the 4-hour timeframe, measured from the order block low) 📊.
Additionally, I’m observing a potential Three-Drive Pattern forming, which could hint at a short-term correction before any continuation higher 🔄.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Gold Near $4,100 PRZ – Time for a Reversal?Just like we discussed last week, Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved exactly as expected and hit its targets .
Now, as we start the new week, Gold is continuing to form a New All-Time High(ATH) and is currently near a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and the $4,100 round number .
From an Elliott Wave perspective , it looks like Gold is completing wave 5, which could top out in this PRZ.
We’re also seeing a Regular Divergence(RD-) between the two consecutive peaks , which suggests that Gold might start a correction soon.
I expect Gold to begin a correction and at least drop down to the lower line of the ascending channel after breaking the Support zone($4,061 – $4,041) .
Note: If Gold breaks the lower line of that ascending channel, we can expect further downside.
Note: Also, keep in mind that Powell speaks tomorrow, which could influence Gold’s movement. As I mentioned, a bullish DXY outlook could also help push Gold lower.
Second Target: $3,963
Stop Loss(SL): $4,153(Worst)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD: Pullback risk needs to be guarded against📈At the opening of trading today, gold’s performance aligns perfectly with our judgment yesterday. After breaking through 4100 the previous day, gold has continued its upward trend today. within just one trading day, it has surged toward the extended target range of 4170, peaking at around 4179 before encountering resistance near 4180 and pulling back. If the market breaks above the resistance zone of 4180-4183, attention should then shift to the key 4200 level above. Once gold firmly holds above 4200, it cannot be ruled out that it will accelerate its advance toward the 4280-4300 area.
📝However, we can see that today’s price is close to the upper edge of the upward channel—a zone that usually faces significant resistance. Today’s price action of surging higher and then pulling back also reflects, to a certain extent, the suppressing effect of the upper edge of the upward channel on the price, with short-term upward momentum weakening somewhat.
💡In the short term, due to overbought conditions on the technical side and pressure from profit-taking, London Gold may undergo a certain degree of correction. Nevertheless, the medium-to-long-term upward trend remains intact. Investors need to pay close attention to the speeches by Federal Reserve Governor Bowman and Fed Chair Powell tonight; their remarks could alter market expectations for interest rate cuts, which in turn may trigger sharp short-term fluctuations in gold prices.
💎Buy 4120 - 4125
TP 4150 - 4160 - 4170
SL 4100
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Gold price analysis October 15GOLD UPDATE – The trend is still with the buyers
Gold prices continue to maintain an impressive upward momentum and are currently trading around the historical peak (ATH). The upward momentum is still very strong, showing that the buyers are completely in control of the market.
In that context, every correction in today's session can be seen as a great opportunity to "catch the wave" following the main trend.
Trading strategy:
Priority: Only wait for BUY
BUY Trigger: When the price rejection signal appears at the support zone of 4180 and 4145
Target: 4230
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the "buy the dip" strategy is still the most reasonable choice.
Gold → Bulls are strong, can they fall sharply today?Yesterday, gold opened with a volatile pullback, found support at the 4,106 level, and then staged a sharp rally. It hit an intraday high near 4,179 before crashing sharply to 4,090, subjecting both bulls and bears to intense market volatility. Especially for the bulls: after a sustained rally, market sentiment was overwhelmingly bullish—many bet on gold surging to 4,200, and some even chased the highs. However, after oscillating near 4,178, gold collapsed suddenly, breaking below the 4,100 level. This undoubtedly dealt a heavy blow to market buyers. Critically, gold rebounded but then fell again to 4,090, shifting market sentiment—only to rebound once more to the 4,140 zone, where it paused and entered a consolidation phase.
For us, who reaped substantial profits from short positions yesterday, I had long been leaning toward a gold collapse. Here’s why: gold soared over 200 points in just three days, from 3,946 last Friday to 4,179. While market news contributed to this rally, its impact was not absolute—all news has limited influence unless it continues to escalate. In reality, no such sustained escalation occurred. Additionally, although the U.S. government shutdown persists, its impact has weakened due to frequent past occurrences. Moreover, despite gold’s strong upward move, its rally lacked stability—a trend evident in the price action. There’s no such thing as an endless rally; the market was merely waiting for an opportunity or excuse to trigger a sell-off. This is why I emphasized the need to guard against a bearish collapse yesterday.
It’s undeniable that the bulls still have momentum for further gains—especially since gold tested the 4,090 level twice yesterday without breaking below it, indicating lingering bullish strength. However, Powell’s speech last night offered little actionable insight, as he did not explicitly mention whether a rate cut would be implemented in October. This has left the market struggling to form a clear forecast.
Regarding rate cuts: the U.S. government shutdown has caused a lack of economic data, leaving the Fed without sufficient references to make decisions—which could even hinder the progress of rate cuts. Additionally, tariff tensions have reignited. Even though U.S. inflationary pressures have eased somewhat, renewed tariffs could reignite inflation—a factor the Fed must consider. While there are strong calls for rate cuts within the Fed, and the U.S. labor market faces significant downside risks (which supports rate cuts to some extent), the future remains uncertain. As a result, the market has grown skeptical about rate cuts, and this skepticism will likely weaken the bullish momentum for gold to some degree.
Yesterday, we entered three short positions and one long position. The only losing trade was a short position entered at 4,147 last night. Overall, profits were quite substantial. Today, we will consider shorting gold around the 4,200 level; if 4,200 is broken, we will adjust our strategy accordingly.
For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I post my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you lack a plan or clear direction for gold trading and struggle to achieve consistent, stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – (15/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)📅 London Session – 15 Oct 2025
💹 Prepared by ElDoradoFx Premium 2.0 Team
⸻
🧭 Market Overview
Gold remains firm around 4,190, holding within a tight ascending channel after a strong recovery from 4,150.
The overall trend remains bullish, with price action building structure for a potential continuation breakout above 4,193.
However, RSI and MACD indicate slight exhaustion — suggesting a possible minor pullback before continuation.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
D1 (Macro Trend)
• The daily candle continues the bullish sequence — higher highs and higher lows.
• RSI ≈ 83 → still overbought but stable.
• MACD remains strongly positive with momentum plateauing.
• Daily support sits around 4,147–4,100.
➡️ Bias: Strong bullish trend, minor correction possible before further rally.
⸻
H1 (Intraday Structure)
• Gold trades above both 20EMA and 50EMA, maintaining trend structure.
• Clear BOS confirmed at 4,165, now consolidating near 4,190–4,193 (previous high zone).
• RSI near 60, showing balanced momentum; MACD flat but above zero.
• Channel top resistance → 4,193–4,200, channel base → 4,165–4,170.
➡️ Bias: Bullish bias remains intact while above 4,165.
⸻
15M–5M (Execution Zone)
• Micro BOS after minor CHoCH at 4,183 indicates strength.
• 5M structure aligned for potential breakout above 4,193.
• If price rejects 4,193, a retracement toward 4,170–4,165 expected (Golden Zone).
⸻
📊 Fibonacci Golden Zone
• Swing Low → 4,165
• Swing High → 4,193
📈 Golden Zone = 4,171 – 4,175
Ideal re-entry zone aligning with 50EMA & intraday trendline support.
⸻
🎯 High Probability Trade Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation Setup
• Breakout Price: Above 4,193 (confirmed close).
• Entry: Retest of 4,190–4,193.
• Targets: 4,205 → 4,218 → 4,235
• Stop-loss: Below 4,175.
📗 Trend continuation with strong structural and EMA alignment.
⸻
⚙️ Golden Zone Re-entry (Buy on Dip)
• Entry: 4,171–4,175 (Golden Zone).
• Targets: 4,190 → 4,200 → 4,218
• Stop-loss: Below 4,160.
📗 Low-risk setup with EMA confluence and Fibonacci support.
⸻
⚠️ Short-Term Sell (Correction Setup)
• Breakout Price: Below 4,165 (confirmed).
• Entry: Retest 4,165–4,170.
• Targets: 4,150 → 4,139 → 4,122
• Stop-loss: Above 4,175.
📕 Counter-trend trade if structure breaks — only valid with clear confirmation.
⸻
📅 Fundamental Watch
🕐 CPI data due today — high impact event likely to trigger volatility.
🕐 DXY trades near 105.20, providing temporary resistance to gold’s upside.
🕐 Expect pre-news consolidation, followed by expansion during U.S. session.
⸻
⚠️ Key Technical Levels
• Resistance: 4,193 / 4,200 / 4,218
• Support: 4,175 / 4,165 / 4,150 / 4,139
• Breakout Zones:
🔼 Buy above 4,193
🔽 Sell below 4,165
⸻
🧩 Summary
Gold remains bullish, consolidating near the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
A break above 4,193 could extend gains toward 4,218–4,235,
while a drop below 4,165 opens a short-term retracement to 4,139–4,122.
Expect controlled volatility ahead of CPI — manage risk carefully.
⸻
Gold (xauusd): still bullishHello guys!
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing a strong bullish trend on the 30-minute chart, but we can see that the upward trendline has recently been broken. Despite this, the price is approaching a key support zone between 4,086 and 4,058 (highlighted in blue), which has held as a strong buying area in the past.
Currently, the market could play out in two scenarios:
Blue scenario – A shallow pullback from the current price down to the support zone, followed by a rebound.
Red scenario – A slightly deeper retracement, touching the lower end of the support zone before buyers step in.
In both cases, this support area is likely to act as a strong demand zone, providing a good opportunity to enter long positions . The overall bullish trend remains intact, so the expectation is that after this retracement, the price will continue upward toward 4,180 and beyond.
✅ Key levels to watch:
Support: 4,086 – 4,058
Resistance: near 4,180 (next target)
Trading plan: Wait for the price to approach the blue support area and look for bullish confirmation (reversal candlestick, bullish engulfing, or strong buying volume) to enter long positions.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD Intraday Chart Update for 15 Oct 25GOOD Morning Traders,
As long as GOLD sustains above 4080 FMP Level it will remains bullish however the only way to join Trend Rally is following Psychological Levels with 3080 chain
Major Support zone for the day is located @ 4130-4150 below this zone GOLD will move Towards 4100 or even 4080
Above 4150 Psychological Level GOLD Next Target will be 4230 FMP Level or even 4250
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold is strong. 4200 is not far away.Gold continued its upward trend after the Asian market opened on Tuesday. It reached a high near 4180 in the European session before plummeting, quickly falling back to around 4090 before continuing its upward trend. This marked a distinct bottoming-out and rebound pattern, causing significant market volatility.
Wednesday's Asian market opened with a continuation of Tuesday's trend, reaching a new all-time high near 4191, once again approaching the 4200 mark.
Gold's current pattern makes bears vulnerable to the powerful bulls, leaving short-term bears in despair. Gold continues its upward trend, with a remarkably strong daily chart, giving the market continued hope for a bullish outlook.
The previous gains were excessive, and any pullback would be far greater than we had anticipated. Tuesday's drop is a case in point. Although it was merely a market correction, it led many traders to believe the bull trend was over. However, this was not the case. The price pullback merely provided an opportunity to go long, and the bravest traders are already enjoying the rewards. Overall, the current trend remains strong. Barring any negative news regarding gold, the overall strategy remains to buy on pullbacks, with an eye on new highs.
Trading Strategy:
Go long on pullbacks near 4150, with a stop-loss at 4135. Profit range: 4080-4190-4200.
For aggressive trading, go long in batches between 4160-65.
When the price first hits 4195, you can try shorting with a small position, which can yield a profit of 15-20 pips.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (15/10/2025)
1. Momentum
D1: Daily momentum is currently rising and still has room to move into the overbought zone.
➡️ Therefore, the main trend on the D1 timeframe remains bullish until D1 momentum reaches the overbought area and shows signs of reversal.
H4: Momentum on H4 is also rising strongly.
➡️ The upward move is likely to continue until H4 enters the overbought zone and starts to turn down.
H1: H1 momentum is showing slight bearish divergence, suggesting a possible minor corrective pullback in the short term.
2. Wave Structure
D1 Structure: Price is currently in wave 5 (yellow).
A larger correction is only expected once D1 momentum enters the overbought zone, signaling the end of wave 5.
For now, momentum remains bullish → further upside movement is still likely.
H4 Structure: Price is retesting the previous high. There are two possible scenarios:
1️⃣ Formation of a corrective flat or triangle pattern.
2️⃣ Wave 5 (yellow) — which belongs to wave 3 (purple) — is still extending upward.
H1 Structure: After a strong correction, price has rallied back toward the previous high around 4193, which serves as a key resistance zone.
If 4193 holds and price reverses downward, we may see:
• Flat correction: Targeting the 4102 zone – this will be the potential buy area.
• Triangle correction: Price will consolidate narrowly, not dropping deeply toward 4102.
If price breaks above 4193, the next target could be 4234, which may complete wave 5 (yellow).
Since D1 momentum is still rising, it’s not ideal to counter-trade the trend at this stage.
3. Trading Plan
Buy Zone: 4103 – 4101
Stop Loss: 4091
Take Profit: 4151
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Channel Breakout & Retest Strategy 1H ANAChart Overview
Trend: Strong bullish trend within a rising channel.
Current Price: Around 4183.81 USD
Resistance Zone: 4185 – 4200
Support Zone: 4125 – 4150
Next Key Level / Target: 4235 USD
The price has been respecting the ascending channel very well — bouncing from support and rejecting resistance repeatedly.
---
📈 Bullish Scenario (Main Bias)
If price breaks and closes above the resistance zone (≈4200):
It confirms continuation of the uptrend.
Expect price to rally toward the next target at 4235–4250.
This breakout would show buyers’ dominance.
✅ Buy Strategy (Breakout Play):
1. Wait for a 1H candle close above 4200.
2. Enter a buy position near 4205–4210.
3. Stop-loss: Below 4170 (previous swing low).
4. Take-profit:
TP1 → 4235
TP2 → 4250
📉 Bearish Scenario (Pullback Play)
If price rejects from resistance zone (4200):
Expect a short-term pullback toward the support zone (4125–4150).
This will be a retest of the lower channel area before another bullish move.
✅ Buy Strategy (Retest Play):
1. Wait for price to fall back into the support zone (4125–4150).
2. Enter a buy once a bullish reversal candle (pin bar / engulfing) forms.
3. Stop-loss: Below 4100.
4. Take-profit:
TP1 → 4185
TP2 → 4235
⚠ Risk Management
Use 1–2% risk per trade.
Avoid entering if price stays between resistance & support (no-man’s-land).
Confirm breakouts with volume increase or strong candle bodies.
🧠 Summary
Bias Entry Stop Loss Take Profit Notes
Buy (Breakout) Above 4200 <4170 4235–4250 Strong continuation setup
Buy (Retest) 4125–4150 <4100 4185–4235 Safer entry after pullback
XAUUSD – Continues to set ATHXAUUSD – Continues to set ATH, prioritize buying according to POC 4,146–4,148 🟡
Gold continues to create higher highs after a strong rally in the Asian session; the upward channel structure remains intact. On H1, POC ~4,147–4,148 is the nearest support; above is the resistance cluster according to FE 1.618 ~4,186 and the sell zone 4,221–4,240.
Key levels
Support: 4,146–4,148 (POC) • 4,140 (short-term invalid).
Resistance/targets: 4,166 • 4,186 (FE 1.618) • 4,188–4,200 • 4,221 (sell scalping) • 4,240 (sell zone).
Trading scenario
Buy 1 – POC pullback
Entry 4,146–4,148 | SL 4,140 | TP 4,166 → 4,188 → 4,200 → 4,245.
If it pulls back to POC and H1 shows a confirmation candle/mid-trendline support, prioritize buying.
Buy 2 – Shallow retest
If the price only dips ~4,160–4,162 and then bounces back above POC, consider adding buys with SL 4,152, TP as above.
Sell reaction (higher risk)
Entry 4,240 | SL 4,250 | TP 4,222 → 4,200 → 4,188 → 4,160.
Only activate when there is a clear rejection signal at 4,221–4,240; this is a counter-trend trade.
Invalidation & management
Buying bias weakens when H1 closes below 4,140 or breaks the lower channel edge.
After TP1, move SL to entry; avoid chasing price in the 4,18x–4,20x area when volume is thin. 🎯
Quick context
The upward momentum is maintained thanks to expectations of the Fed ending QT/loose conditions soon and safe-haven flows; however, the 4,221–4,240 area may create short-term reactions before the uptrend extends.
Trade well with this scenario!
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) continues its bullish momentum, trading near $4,165 in the Asian session. The chart highlights a support zone at $4,157–$4,163 and a resistance zone at $4,216–$4,221. As long as price holds above support, bulls could attempt another push toward resistance. A breakout above $4,221 would signal continuation of the rally, while a break below $4,154 could trigger a pullback.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $4,157–$4,163 (buy near support)
Stop Loss: $4,154
Take Profit 1: $4,184
Take Profit 2: $4,216
Take Profit 3: $4,221
Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1 : 6.82
🗝️ Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: $4,157–$4,163
Resistance Zone: $4,216–$4,221
Trend Bias: Bullish above $4,157
🌍 Macro Background
Gold (XAU/USD) extends its rally above $4,150, supported by renewed US–China trade tensions and growing expectations of Fed rate cuts. US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer warned that President Trump could impose 100% tariffs on China as early as November 1, escalating the trade war. Meanwhile, both countries announced additional port fees on ocean shipping, turning maritime logistics into another battleground.
On the monetary front, Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed that the Fed is on track to deliver another 25 bps rate cut in October, with markets pricing in an additional December cut. Lower rates continue to reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. Traders will closely watch today’s Fed speakers, including Stephen Miran, Christopher Waller, and Jeff Schmid, for further guidance. Any hawkish surprise could lift the USD and weigh on gold temporarily, but the broader backdrop remains supportive for safe-haven demand.
📌 Trade Summary
Gold remains bullish above $4,157 support zone. Pullbacks into this zone may offer attractive buying opportunities, with upside targets at $4,184–$4,221. A break below $4,150 would invalidate the bullish setup and risk a correction.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Gold hits new highs again. Latest analysis.Gold prices continued their upward trend in early Asian trading on Wednesday, reaching new highs. After hitting a record high of 4179 on Tuesday, bullish profit-taking triggered a nearly $90 drop, reaching as low as 4090. Although prices retreated below 4100, bargain-hunting quickly helped gold extend its upward trend.
Gold's continued rise is driven by a combination of safe-haven demand, the Federal Reserve's dovish shift, and a weaker dollar. Factors ranging from the trade war to falling bond yields and the dollar's decline in the foreign exchange market are pushing gold prices toward higher peaks. In the short term, the international trade situation may be a key variable; if signals of a reconciliation emerge, gold prices could experience a correction.
Gold's trend structure remains intact, with the daily chart closing in a bullish trend. The 10-day and 7-day moving averages remain upward, retreating close to the 5-day moving average at 4083 on Tuesday. After stabilizing at 4090, prices regained support. The short-term chart maintains an intact ascending channel, with the Bollinger Bands opening upward and the price extending along the upper middle band.
Trading Strategy:
Go long near 4145, with a stop-loss at 4130. Profit range: 4180-4200.
Short with a small position if the price first touches 4195, with profit targets focused around 4150.
Key Levels:
First Support: 4135, Second Support: 4110, Third Support: 4090
First Resistance: 4185, Second Resistance: 4195, Third Resistance: 4200
Explosive Battle Ahead — Can Gold Smash Through 4180 Again?Gold retreated $90 from 4180 to around 4090, then hit the 4100-4090 area twice before rebounding, and is currently consolidating around 4150. Although the short-term retracement of gold is not small, it is obvious that it has not destroyed the upward trend and pattern structure. However, it has exacerbated market differences to a certain extent and also increased short-term volatility. First, 4160 represents the 23.6% retracement level. Next, we must closely monitor two areas. First, 4160 represents the 23.6% retracement level of the recent short-term rally. If gold fails to break through this area during its subsequent rebound, it could form a technical M-shaped double top with the 4180 high in the short term, favoring a downward trend for gold and potentially leading to a further correction.
Second, we must pay close attention to the area around 4125, which represents the 61.8% retracement level of the recent short-term rally. If gold remains above 4125 during its subsequent pullback, it indicates that the bullish trend in gold has not ended and that it may continue to reach new highs.
Based on the above considerations, regarding short-term trading:
1. First, we can consider shorting gold in small quantities in the 4150-4160 area, and then patiently wait for gold to retrace.
2. Once gold retreats to the 4125-4115 area, we can try to go long again, and then patiently wait for gold to rebound further, or even retest the recent high near 4180.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – (15/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)
Gold remains steady around 4,143, consolidating after Monday’s correction from 4,179 → 4,097.
The broader trend is still bullish, but we are now in a tight accumulation phase below 4,155 resistance — typically a sign of an upcoming breakout.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
D1 (Macro Trend)
• Structure: Higher highs, higher lows – uptrend intact.
• RSI ≈ 82 → overbought but stable.
• MACD: Still bullish but showing early loss of momentum.
• Support Zone: 4,086–4,063
➡️ Daily bias remains bullish above 4,085.
⸻
H1 (Intraday Structure)
• Price moving inside ascending channel.
• 20EMA & 50EMA provide confluence at 4,129–4,131.
• RSI 58 = neutral.
• MACD starting to recover after brief bearish phase.
➡️ Price building energy for a breakout.
⸻
15M–5M (Execution Zone)
• Micro BOS at 4,136 confirms short-term accumulation.
• Liquidity above 4,155–4,165, below 4,125–4,110.
• Compression visible on Heikin Ashi – volatility incoming.
⸻
📊 Fibonacci Golden Zone
🌀 Swing Low → 4,097
🌀 Swing High → 4,155
📈 Golden Zone = 4,125 – 4,136
Ideal buy zone aligned with EMA and structural retest.
⸻
🎯 High-Probability Trade Scenarios
✅ Bullish Breakout Setup
• Breakout Price → Above 4,155
• Entry → Retest 4,150–4,155
• Targets → 4,165 → 4,179 → 4,200
• SL → Below 4,136
📗 Continuation of major bullish trend.
⸻
🟡 Golden Zone Buy (Re-entry)
• Entry → 4,125–4,136
• Targets → 4,144 → 4,155 → 4,165
• SL → Below 4,110
📗 Best low-risk intraday buy opportunity.
⸻
⚠️ Bearish Breakout (Correction)
• Breakout Price → Below 4,110
• Entry → Retest 4,110–4,115
• Targets → 4,097 → 4,085 → 4,072
• SL → Above 4,125
📕 Short-term sell for liquidity sweep or pullback.
⸻
📅 Fundamental Watch
• No high-impact Asian data.
• U.S. CPI tomorrow – major volatility expected.
• DXY steady near 105.10, capping short-term gold upside.
⸻
🧩 Key Levels
Resistance: 4,155 / 4,165 / 4,179
Support: 4,136 / 4,125 / 4,110 / 4,097
Breakout Zones:
🔼 Buy above 4,155
🔽 Sell below 4,110
⸻
🧠 Summary
Gold is coiling under resistance – a breakout is imminent.
Watch 4,155 for bullish continuation or 4,110 for bearish extension.
Stay patient — next impulse move likely starts from the Golden Zone (4,125–4,136).
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— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 Team 🚀
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🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 14/10/2025 🥇
📊 GOLD TRADES RECAP:
🟢 BUY (Swing) +950 pips (from 13/10)
🟢 BUY +50 pips
🟢 BUY +210 pips
🔻 SELL +20 pips
🔻 SELL LIMIT +160 pips
🟢 BUY +20 pips
🟥 BUY –40 pips (SL)
🟢 BUY LIMIT +40 pips
🔻 SELL +110 pips
🔻 SELL +60 pips
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💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: +1,580 pips
📈 RESULT: 10 Signals → 9 Wins | 1 SL
🎯 ACCURACY: 90 %
Gold → How to operate at nightToday, we highlighted the risks in gold’s upward movement. We also guided everyone to enter short positions on gold at high levels based on the intraday trend, and all these positions yielded solid profits. Currently, gold is trading within the 4,090–4,180 range. It has tested the lower end twice but failed to break below the 4,090 support level—this indicates strong buying interest (support) at lower prices, and the sharp drop during the Asian session was likely just profit-taking by funds that entered at high levels.
Keep an eye on Fed Chair Powell’s speech in 10 minutes. As mentioned earlier, if Powell echoes the current rhetoric in favor of rate cuts, the bullish momentum will continue, and gold will keep hitting new highs. Conversely, if Powell expresses further resistance to rate cuts—causing market expectations for a Fed rate cut to plummet—gold will test the 4,090 support again. A break below this level may trigger a wave of profit-taking sell-offs, and gold’s bull market will come to a complete end.
Trading Strategy
Enter a light short position on gold around the 4,180 level, with a 3-point stop-loss. PS: Stop-losses are a must for news-driven markets; without them, you could easily get trapped if the price breaks out sharply. On the downside, focus on the 4,090 support. If this level is broken, continue to enter short positions on any rebound.
For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I post my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you lack a plan or clear direction for gold trading and struggle to achieve consistent, stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.