The gold rally is not over yet, stabilizing at 3400 is the keyThis week, Trump once again severely undermined the independence of the Federal Reserve. He has been attacking Chairman Powell for months and now threatens to fire Fed Governor Tim Cook. His actions are all part of his quest to pressure the Fed into cutting interest rates, ultimately forcing his will and ultimately achieving a rate cut, perhaps even a larger one.
Influenced by the Fed's independence and the expectation of rate cuts, gold prices have continued to rise this week, approaching the high of 3,400 points.
I personally believe that as long as gold doesn't fall below 3,350, it's only a matter of time before it breaks above 3,400.
From the 1-hour chart, we can clearly see that gold is steadily rising, supported by the trend line. Buying on a pullback to the trend line is a good opportunity, with a take-profit and stop-loss in place, presents a significant profit opportunity.
Currently, the optimal buying range for gold is between 3,365 and 3,375 OANDA:XAUUSD , with a target price of $10-20 and a stop-loss of $10.
📣If you have different opinions, please leave a message below to discuss
Xauusdanalysis
Gold Breakout at $3,405, Next Stop $3,440📊 Technical Analysis of XAUUSD (1H)
Gold has been in a gradual uptrend over the last few sessions, with higher lows consistently forming. The structure suggests bullish momentum is building, especially after reclaiming the $3,378–$3,389 zone, which previously acted as resistance and has now turned into support.
At present, price is trading around $3,404–$3,405, attempting to break higher. The green box on the chart indicates a long trade setup with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Key Observations:
• Support Levels:
Immediate support lies around $3,389–$3,378, followed by deeper supports at $3,352 and $3,329. These are key zones where buyers may step in if retracements occur.
• Resistance Levels:
The next major resistance is projected at $3,440, which is also the target zone highlighted on the chart. If bulls push past this level, momentum could extend further, though $3,440 remains the near-term cap.
• Candle Structure:
Price has broken above the minor consolidation range between $3,389–$3,405. If this breakout sustains, the bullish case strengthens toward $3,440.
• Volume & Momentum:
Recent price action shows strong breakout candles supported by follow-through. This indicates buyers are currently in control, and sellers are being absorbed at resistance levels.
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🟢 Bullish Trade Setup (XAUUSD 1H)
• Entry Zone: Around $3,404–$3,405 (current breakout area)
• Stop Loss: Below $3,389 (recent structural support)
• Target 1: $3,440 (major resistance level)
• Risk/Reward: Approx. 1:2
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📌 Trade Management
• Partial Profit Booking: At $3,440, it’s wise to secure at least 50% profits, as this is a strong resistance where sellers may re-enter.
• Trailing Stop: Once price moves decisively above $3,420, adjust stop-loss to breakeven at $3,404. If the rally extends beyond $3,440, trail stops under each higher low to capture extended gains.
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✅ Summary
XAUUSD on 1H is showing strong bullish momentum after reclaiming critical support zones. The breakout above $3,405 sets up a clean run toward $3,440. Trade management should focus on partial profit booking at resistance and using trailing stops to ride any extended move while locking in gains.
GOLD Still Very Bullish , 2 Chances To Buy And Get 200 Pips !Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3377.00 and we Still Not have a 4H Candle closure above it but we have a Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy from 2 places , first one and best one for me will be 3377.00 , we need the price to go back and retest it and give us a good bullish price action and then we can enter , or if you a aggressive trader you can enter from 3381.00 cuz we have a small double bottom reversal pattern so we can enter from neckline also . we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 15 Mins Closure .
6- Small Reversal Pattern .
Gold Holds Steady – Fed Rate Cut Fears Continue to Support📊 Market dynamics:
• Gold prices are holding firm around $3,390.27/oz, while December futures trade near $3,447.40/oz, as investors await the PCE data and further Fed signals.
• CME FedWatch shows over 88% probability of a 25 bps rate cut at the next Fed meeting.
• A weaker USD and ongoing political turmoil around the Fed continue to provide safe-haven support for gold.
📉 Technical analysis:
• Key resistance: $3,400 – $3,435
• Nearest support: $3,375 – $3,384
• EMA 09: Needs to be checked on real-time chart; gold price is consolidating close to short-term moving averages.
• Candlestick / volume / momentum: Recent 2-week highs show some profit-taking pressure, but Fed uncertainty and USD weakness still support short-term bullish momentum.
📌 Outlook:
• In the short term, gold may extend higher if PCE data is weaker and the Fed signals more easing.
• However, if US data surprises on the upside and the Fed stays hawkish, gold could retest the $3,375 – $3,380 support zone.
💡 Suggested trading strategies:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD zone: $3,393 – $3,396
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
🛑 SL: $3,380 – $3,385
🔺 BUY XAU/USD zone: $3,375 – $3,378
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
🛑 SL: $3,365 – $3,370
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,400, pushing higher after reclaiming the $3,386 level, with the next target at $3,406. A clean break and sustained hold above $3,406 would open the path toward $3,422.
On the downside, failure to clear resistance could trigger a pullback into the $3,386 support, with deeper weakness exposing $3,363 and the $3,347–$3,328 support zone.
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,406
$3,422
Support:
$3,386
$3,363
$3,347
$3,328
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Thursday, Aug 28
Today’s focus is on U.S. Prelim GDP and Unemployment Claims, both high-impact releases likely to move gold. Pending Home Sales also on the calendar.
⚠️ Volatility expected — watch for sharp moves and possible fakeouts around release times.
Gold fluctuates upward "as steady as a ladder"!Gold has been fluctuating upward overall this week. While the daily trend appears stagnant, it maintains good continuity, with gradually higher lows and continuously refreshing highs, forming a typical step-up structure. Based on the current trend, Mr. Weng recommends a low-to-long strategy as the primary strategy for the day. Referring to the market performance of the previous three days, daily morning trading typically sees brief, rapid fluctuations followed by a period of repeated price adjustments. Fluctuations during the Asian and European trading sessions are relatively limited, remaining range-bound around $10. The true main upward trend often erupts in the evening hours. Therefore, intraday trading should focus on the extent of the morning market adjustments and the extent of the retracement. It is safer to place long positions around the US market open. Entering the market too early during the daytime market will result in a prolonged holding period. For specific short-term trading, it is important to monitor the extent of retracements during the Asian session. Historical data shows that the Asian session's retracement lows often constitute the daily lows. We recommend capitalizing on these retracement lows to seize long opportunities around the US market open. Currently, we should prioritize the support level of the 3380-3365 area. If the actual retracement during the Asian session is smaller than expected, we should adjust our entry point accordingly.
3400, the upper edge of the triangle, is gold long or short?#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
I reminded you yesterday not to chase the rising prices easily. 💻Gold retreated today as expected, hitting a low near 3385.
Gold is currently in a consolidation phase and has not given a clear trading direction, or it is waiting for the release of initial jobless claims data.📊
As the price of gold rises, the short-term support also moves up. 🌈The focus below is on the 3390-3380 support line. 🥅If it falls back but does not break, you can consider going long.📈 Pay attention to the short-term resistance range of 3402-3412 on the upside. Once it breaks through, it is expected to set a new high. Otherwise, it will maintain a high-level fluctuation pattern during the day.📉
Defend 3380, break through 3400 and there will be new highsLast night I reminded everyone not to chase high prices, as gold may experience a pullback in the short term. As expected, gold hit 3390-3400 and then encountered resistance and pressure, and then fell back to around 3385. This is in line with our judgment of the short-term trend of gold.
Currently, gold has returned to consolidate around 3395. As the price of gold continues to rise, the pressure and support levels of gold will also move up in the short term. In the short term, pay attention to the upper pressure range of 3402-3412. If the European session encounters resistance and pressure here, there is still a possibility of a pullback. Pay attention to 3390-3380 below. If it falls back but does not break through, you can consider going long. Once it stabilizes above 3400 in the NY period, it is expected to hit a new high. Focus on the initial jobless claims data to be released later.
Gold Shows Potential Breakout at $3,390Gold (XAU/USD) has been exhibiting mixed price action over the past few weeks. On the 4-hour chart, we notice a critical resistance trendline forming a descending pattern that has contained price movement for some time. The current price stands at $3,390.26, indicating a potential breakout scenario.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: $3,400 – A level that has repeatedly capped upward movements.
Support: $3,325 – The lower boundary of recent price consolidation.
Immediate Buy Level: $3,390.54
Immediate Sell Level: $3,390.32
The price is currently testing the descending trendline, suggesting a possible upward momentum if bulls sustain above this level. Traders should be cautious of a false breakout, as consolidation is still evident around $3,375 – $3,400.
RSI Analysis
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) 14-period shows the momentum hovering near the 60-65 zone, indicating moderately strong buying pressure but not yet overbought. Previous RSI peaks near 70 triggered minor pullbacks, highlighting the importance of this indicator for spotting reversals.
ZigZag Indicator Insight
The ZigZag 5 10 indicator highlights the swing highs and lows, helping traders visualize the trend reversal points. The recent formation suggests a potential shift toward an upward trend if the current breakout holds above the resistance.
Trading Strategy
1. Bullish Scenario:
Entry above $3,400 with a target near $3,450.
Stop loss around $3,375 to manage risk.
2. Bearish Scenario:
If the breakout fails and price dips below $3,375, short positions could target $3,325.
Confirm with RSI moving below 50 for stronger conviction.
Conclusion
XAU/USD is showing signs of a potential bullish breakout after a prolonged period of consolidation. Traders should monitor the $3,400 resistance level closely and watch RSI behavior for momentum confirmation. With careful risk management, this could be a profitable swing trade opportunity.
Gold 27/08: Smart Money Targets 3405 or Sweeps 3355?Gold SMC Daily Plan – 27/08
Market Context (SMC View):
• Price consolidates around 3378, respecting the liquidity trendline with multiple BOS and ChoCH, showing smart money activity.
• Key resistance: 3393–3406 (supply & liquidity pool).
• Key support: 3352–3358 (demand zone) with OB near 3325.
• Expect a liquidity sweep either above 3405 or below 3355 before trend confirmation.
________________________________________
📊 Key Liquidity Zones & Entries
✅ Sell Zone: 3402–3406
o SL: 3410
o TP: 3390 → 3380 → 3360
✅ Buy Zone 1: 3352–3358
o SL: 3345
o TP: 3360 → 3375 → 3385 → 3395
✅ Buy Zone 2 (intraday pullback): 3376–3380
o SL: 3370
o TP: 3385 → 3395 → 3405
________________________________________
SMC Scenarios for 27/08
Scenario 1 – Liquidity Grab at Resistance:
• If price sweeps 3402–3406, watch for fake breakout signs.
o Short from zone with TP as above.
Scenario 2 – Buy on Dip (Demand Zone):
• If price retraces deeper to 3352–3358, wait for bullish reaction to buy.
• If price respects trend and holds 3376–3380, look for intraday longs.
________________________________________
SMC Notes:
• Focus on buying dips unless liquidity grab happens first at 3402–3406.
• Watch price action near trendline & OB at 3325 for high-probability reversals.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – August 28, 2025
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is still in a bearish reversal zone (overbought). Price is stalling but has not yet given a clear reversal confirmation → showing that bullish strength is weakening.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is also turning bearish → from now until the US session, price is likely to continue sideways or decline further.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is turning bullish → suggesting a short-term corrective rally or sideways movement.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: At the moment, there are two possible wave counts (as mentioned in yesterday’s plan). Both scenarios point to the same outcome: after completing the correction, price will move higher.
o Key note: The final corrective structure is a triangle. Once this triangle completes, it typically signals a strong upward breakout, confirming the end of the corrective phase.
• H4 timeframe: Price is consolidating within a contracting triangle, leaving two possibilities:
1. Leading diagonal for wave 4 (abcde) → once completed, price could drop sharply towards the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement.
2. Ending triangle for wave d → a strong wave e decline is expected before the next rally begins. In this case, the signal to watch is price testing the lower boundary of the triangle.
• H1 timeframe: A leading diagonal is forming, while RSI shows bearish divergence at the top. This supports the sell scenario. However, since H1 momentum is currently bullish, we expect one more push higher into resistance at 3403, which will provide a potential short opportunity.
o Note: Today’s US Jobless Claims data could trigger a stop-hunt move upward before a strong sell-off. Ahead of the news, price may continue ranging between 3385 – 3387.
Trading Plan
• Since price has not dropped significantly yet, it is likely still within wave 5 of the triangle. The upper resistance at 3403 is an ideal sell zone.
• A safer option: wait for price to break below the triangle’s lower boundary and close beneath it → then look for a breakout sell setup.
• Target: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at 3345.
Trade Setup
• Sell Zone: 3403 – 3405
• Stop Loss: 3413
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3374
The trend remains unchanged. A breakout to the upside is in sighGold rebounded from its bottoming out on Wednesday, with an overall strong short-term trend. From a moving average perspective, the short-term and medium-term moving averages show a perfect upward divergence. Moving average patterns provide important technical support for trend continuity. The 10-day moving average, serving as short-term support, is currently located near 3385, the high point of Wednesday's European trading range.
On the resistance side, attention should be focused on the downward trend line formed by connecting previous highs. This is currently constraining further upside for gold. The current resistance levels are located near 3400 and 3410, respectively. A successful break above these levels would signal a break from the previous consolidation pattern on the daily chart, potentially ushering in a new upward trend for gold.
Furthermore, attention should be paid to the crucial support level of 3375. The price repeatedly dipped below 3375 on Wednesday before stabilizing and rebounding. This trend highlights the crucial support level of 3375, making it a key dividing line between bulls and bears in the current four-hour chart.
Trading strategy:
Short around 3410, stop loss at 3420, profit range 3390-3370.
Go long near 3375, stop loss at 3365, profit range 3390-3410
Beyond the Chart – GOLD Market Technical AnalysisOANDA:XAUUSD Short Setup
Price swept liquidity above recent highs and rejected with a Volume Climax (VC). Market structure shows a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside, aligning with the bearish trend.
Targeting the imbalance (FVG) below at 3376.78 as price seeks efficiency. Volume profile confirms sellers taking control after the fakeout. 🔑
Gold (XAU/USD) 28 August 2025Gold continues to consolidate within a high-volatility environment, with price testing key liquidity pools and approaching unmitigated supply/demand levels. Today’s analysis blends Daily macro bias, 4H swing structure, and 1H execution refinement to identify the most reliable zones for institutional-grade entries.
🔵 Demand Zones (Buy Setups)
Primary Buy Zone: $3360 – $3370
This is today’s highest-probability demand area.
Daily: Bullish structure intact with higher-highs and higher-lows.
4H: Fresh bullish Order Block formed after a strong BOS (Break of Structure).
1H: Liquidity sweep below recent lows at 3372, providing a refined entry trigger.
Indicators: RSI recovery from oversold divergence; MACD showing momentum reversal.
Volume: Absorption at 3365 confirms buyer presence.
Execution Plan:
SL: 3350 (structure invalidation)
TP1: 3405
TP2: 3425
Secondary Buy Zone: $3325 – $3335
Daily: Nested demand block aligning with prior bullish BOS.
4H: Deep discount zone of previous swing.
1H: ICT displacement candle originated at 3330, unmitigated.
Execution Plan:
SL: 3310
TP1: 3365
TP2: 3400
🔴 Supply Zones (Sell Setups)
Primary Sell Zone: $3420 – $3430
This is the nearest high-probability supply area.
Daily: Strong resistance shelf; unmitigated supply.
4H: Bearish OB after displacement down from 3428.
1H: Liquidity pool resting above 3415 equal highs.
Indicators: Bearish RSI divergence; MACD momentum fading.
Execution Plan:
SL: 3440
TP1: 3390
TP2: 3365
Secondary Sell Zone: $3455 – $3465
Daily: Weekly supply nested in premium pricing.
4H: Swing-high liquidity at 3460 remains untested.
1H: Inefficient wick zone above equilibrium.
Indicators: RSI extreme overbought; ATR volatility ceiling.
Execution Plan:
SL: 3475
TP1: 3430
TP2: 3400
⭐ Executive Summary – Golden Zone
The Primary Buy Zone at $3360 – $3370 stands out as today’s Golden Zone:
Backed by 6 institutional confluences across Daily, 4H, and 1H.
Well-defined risk with SL at 3350.
Reward asymmetry toward TP1 at 3405 and TP2 at 3425.
This zone offers the cleanest risk-to-reward profile, aligning macro structure with intraday liquidity positioning.
⚖️ Final Note
As always, zones are execution frameworks, not blind signals. Wait for confirmation on 1H/15M displacement and liquidity sweeps before entering. Managing risk with precision is crucial given Gold’s current volatility and ATR expansion.
Gold trend verifies the long position ideaThe strategy has repeatedly suggested aggressive long positions around 3375-3372. We have repeatedly made these moves and have reaped the rewards. Congratulations to those who have followed along.
Gold continued to fluctuate and correct intraday, failing to build on yesterday's bullish rebound. This trend may be due to the continued strength of the US dollar index. However, it also shows that gold currently lacks effective and sustained upward momentum. Bulls will struggle to control the market solely based on market expectations of a Fed rate cut.
For now, gold is expected to continue to fluctuate. Given the strength of the US dollar and the intraday correction in gold, the range of support can be adjusted appropriately. Initially, focus on support around the 5-day moving average at 3375-3368. If the pullback is significant, a move to the 20-day moving average at 3358-3355 is possible, but this possibility is currently low. On the upside, continue to watch for short-term resistance around 3390, and continue to view the 3400 area as a strong short-term resistance area in the near term. In terms of operation, gold focuses on shorting at 3390-3400, and looks down to 3375 and 3368.
The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 87%.Investors have also bet on two declines in September and December. This limits the room for further declines in the USD, unless the Fed accelerates the pace of interest rate cuts in the rest of the year. However, this possibility is low as almost all Fed members are concerned about rising inflation again.
The decline of the euro also contributed to the USD's rise.
It can be seen that the USD's recovery is not strong enough to reverse the greenback's downward trend, but it has also negatively affected gold prices.
Gold is also under profit-taking pressure after the previous strong increases.
Precious metals are also less attractive when US stocks have positive developments. Stock markets around the world often have extremely active trading in September and October. The strong cash flow into this channel reduces the appeal of the gold market.
Bears’ Last Chance Before the Golden Bull AwakensToday, gold has held 3373 many times during the retracement process, proving that the current market is still dominated by bulls. Currently, gold has touched above 3390 again, showing that buying power is still continuing. This is also the reason why we have been long on gold in the 3378-3374 area many times today, mainly based on the fact that gold is currently in an obvious bullish structure.
But we need to note that although gold continues to rise, it is not strong. Most of the time it still fluctuates at a high level. It may be that the market is not highly unanimous in its agreement on the continuation of the strong bull market stimulated by the news, so the short-term volatility of gold will be exacerbated while it is rising.
In addition, gold is becoming more cautious as it approaches 3400. In comparison, there is still a certain amount of suppression in the area around 3400, so we must take into account that gold may still retreat after being under pressure in the short term, so I think it is necessary for us to try to short gold again in the 3395-3405 area; once gold retreats as expected, the first test will be the short-term support in the 3385-3375 area. If the support in the 3385-3375 area is effective during the test, then gold may be able to break through the 3400 mark in one fell swoop, or even continue to the 3410-3420 area.
So, in short-term trading. At present, we can consider shorting gold appropriately in the 3395-3405 area. If gold retreats as expected, we will first observe the performance of gold in the 3385-3375 area. If it cannot effectively fall below this area, we can adjust the trading strategy and re-enter the long trade!
Gold (XAUUSD) – Bullish Bias, Watching 3384–3386 ZoneGold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 28 August
Market Structure
H4 Trend: Bullish
M15 Trend: Bullish
➡️ Both timeframes are aligned, confirming an overall bullish bias.
Current Phase
M15 is in a pullback after recent bullish momentum.
Market preparing for potential continuation setups.
Key Zones
3384 – 3386 (First Buy Zone):
If respected, expect continuation toward 3395 – 3400.
3376 – 3378 (Deeper Demand Zone):
Strong institutional demand. If price dips here, this becomes the high-probability long entry zone.
Execution Plan
Wait for price action confirmation inside zones before entry.
If 3384 – 3386 fails, shift focus to 3376 – 3378.
Manage risk and follow structure.
Bias for Today
📈 Bullish – favoring long setups from demand zones.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Gold - This pattern just repeats!🚑Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) shifts bearish soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
With the previous 10 year bullish cycle, Gold perfectly followed market structure. With this 10 year cycle, Gold is still perfectly respecting market structure. Overall, it becomes more and more likely that Gold creates a top formation with a bearish correction following soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$3,500
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Retesting ResistanceHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
If it doesn't break 3400, be wary of a possible pullback#XAUUSD
Gold continued its upward trend tonight, consolidating again near 3390. Don't chase the rally at high levels!📊
Gold is near the upper edge of a convergent triangle.📐 As I told you before, whether it can effectively break through the edge of the triangle will determine the subsequent trend of gold in the short term. ⚖️
If it fails to effectively break through the upper range of 3395-3410 in the short term, then gold may still have the possibility of a pullback. 📉Otherwise, upward momentum will be fully opened. Exercise caution in evening trading.💻
There will be initial unemployment claims data tomorrow, so please pay attention to it.
Gold fluctuates, and the bullish outlook remains unchangedGold continued its upward trend last night due to Trump's remarks, reaching around 3390, which is consistent with our judgment on the upward pressure on gold.
Since the opening of the Asian session, gold has slowly fallen and is now retreating. Does the current market situation mean that the market is about to reverse, or does gold need to squat for support? I think we can first focus on the 3375 line, which is the 61.8% position of the golden ratio. Secondly, the double-line position on the hourly chart is currently around 3358. Referring to the previous shock trend, after breaking the high, squat to find the double-line position to confirm support, and then pull up to break the new high, and repeat the cycle. As long as it can hold this range and treat it as a spatial correction, it will continue to climb in a cycle. If it breaks the high, pay attention to the 3390-3400 area.
Moreover, the daily technical indicator MACD golden cross with large volume, as long as it fails to effectively fall below, the short-term bullish trading strategy remains unchanged.