Gold Pauses: PCE Inflation Report is the Next Battleground.Hello, investors!
Gold saw only a slight 0.1% gain, closing at $3,739.42/oz on September 25, after encountering resistance from better-than-expected US jobs data (weekly jobless claims dropped sharply). This news slightly pared back expectations for a Fed rate cut in October (down to 85%).
However, gold remains supported by dovish Fed comments and potential political instability (like Trump's proposed 100% drug tariff). The market's focus is now entirely on today’s (Sept 26) PCE Inflation Report.
Expert Warning: If PCE is hotter than expected, gold could face sharp, temporary downward pressure.
Technical Analysis & Strategy
Gold is currently consolidating within a triangle pattern and has yet to break the $375x resistance. While further selling pressure is possible before the PCE data, the long-term trend remains bullish.
Outlook: Prioritize Buy positions if the price stays above the Key Level $373x. If the news causes the price to break $373x, be ready to flip the strategy to Sell.
Key Resistance: $3755, $3768, $3778
Key Support: $3738, $3727, $3712
Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management):
BUY SCALP
Zone: $3739 - $3737
SL: $3733
TP: $3742 - $3747 - $3752 - $3757 - $3767
BUY ZONE
Zone: $3704 - $3702
SL: $3694
TP: $3712 - $3722 - $3732 - $3742 - $3762
SELL ZONE
Zone: $3776 - $3778
SL: $3786
TP: $3768 - $3758 - $3748 - $3728 - $3708
The market is at a crossroads. What's your strategy today? 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #PCE #Fed #Inflation #TradingView #ATH
Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD Anlaysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - The week's last day, I'm bullish over $3800Hi guys, Anfibo's here!
OANDA:XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Strategy
Overall Picture:
At present, gold (XAUUSD) continues to hold steadily within the H4 bullish channel, without any unusual volatility. The dominant uptrend remains intact, and the market structure still favors buyers. Personally, I remain optimistic that gold will soon head toward a new ATH above $3,800/oz in the medium term. However, in the short term, the market may continue to fluctuate around key support and resistance levels before confirming its next move.
Technical Outlook:
Short-term trend: Solidly bullish, though momentum is slowing; accumulation may form before the next breakout.
> SUPPORT KEY / BUY ZONES : 3740 - 3723 - 3713 - 3703
> RESISTANCE KEY / SELL ZONES : 3770 - 3777- 3788 - 3799 - 3836
Here's my Trading Plan today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
ENTRY: 3769 - 3775
SL: 3780
TP: 3740 - 3723
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: 3700 - 3705
SL: 3695
TP: 3760 - 3800 - 3836
Risk Management:
- Prioritize buy trades in line with the dominant trend, limit countertrend shorts.
- Maintain a R:R ratio of at least 1:2 on all setups.
- Manage capital strictly, avoid overtrading during sideways phases before breakout.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold is maintaining a stable uptrend on H4, with market structure still supporting buyers.
Main scenarios: Buy on dip around 3700 – 3705.
A clear move beyond 3780 would likely pave the way toward a new ATH above $3,800.
HAVE A NICE WEEKEND, GUYS!!!
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Setup 26.09.2025Price is currently approaching the supply/resistance zone between 3757–3761, where multiple rejections and liquidity sweeps have previously occurred. The expectation is for sellers to step in within this region, making it a high-probability entry for shorts. The stop loss is set at 3774, just above the recent swing high and invalidation point, ensuring protection against a breakout scenario. The downside target is 3719, which aligns with the next significant support level and prior demand zone, offering a clean risk-to-reward structure. If price reacts as anticipated from the marked zone, we could see a sharp move down toward the target, making this setup attractive for traders looking to capitalize on bearish continuation.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – GOLD FORECAST (26/09/2025)🔍 Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis
Daily (D1)
• Gold is trading at 3,752, holding above the 10EMA and the 3,732 pivot support.
• Momentum remains bullish overall after the rally from early September, but candles show hesitation under 3,791 high → signs of consolidation before a potential new breakout.
• As long as 3,732 holds, the structure remains bullish.
⸻
1H (Intraday Structure)
• Price has broken above the descending trendline resistance (~3,748), now retesting this area.
• Support cluster: 3,745–3,740 (aligned with EMA + structure lows).
• Resistance zone: 3,752–3,755 (capping upside before 3,764).
• MACD: momentum just flipped positive, but histogram is shallow → momentum still fragile.
• RSI: mid-zone (~55) → suggests potential to expand higher if resistance breaks.
⸻
15M (Short-Term View)
• Price consolidating 3,745–3,752.
• Higher lows forming since Asian session → bullish micro-structure.
• MACD showing bullish divergence after last sweep of lows near 3,734.
⸻
5M (Scalping View)
• Strong sweep earlier at 3,751, rejection but held 3,747–3,745 base.
• Micro ascending channel → scalpers eyeing breakout confirmation.
• Momentum picking up, but volume still thin → London likely decides breakout direction.
⸻
📌 Fibonacci Golden Zone
Swing High 3,791 → Swing Low 3,732:
• 38.2% = 3,754
• 50% = 3,761
• 61.8% = 3,767
➡️ Golden retracement lies at 3,754–3,767 → exactly where London session resistance sits. A break into this zone will decide continuation vs. rejection.
⸻
🎯 Scalping Setups (Max 60 Pips SL)
✅ Buy Setup (Preferred if bullish momentum holds)
• Entry: Above 3,752–3,754 breakout & retest.
• SL: 3,746 (≈ -60 pips).
• TP1: 3,761
• TP2: 3,767 (Fib 61.8%).
• Reasoning: Break above golden zone support confirms bullish continuation.
✅ Sell Setup (If rejection at resistance)
• Entry: Rejection at 3,754–3,755 or confirmed break below 3,740.
• SL: 3,760 (≈ -60 pips).
• TP1: 3,734
• TP2: 3,722.
• Reasoning: Failure to hold golden zone leads to pullback toward London lows.
⸻
⚠️ Key London Session Levels
• Bullish Breakout: 3,754 → opens 3,761–3,767.
• Bearish Breakdown: 3,740 → exposes 3,734 then 3,722.
• Pivot Level: 3,745 (control zone for scalpers).
⸻
✅ Summary:
Gold sits at a decision point. If 3,752–3,754 breaks and holds, expect bullish continuation into 3,761–3,767 (golden zone). If rejected, scalpers can look for shorts back toward 3,734–3,722. London open will likely provide the breakout.
GOLD MARKET PLAN | XAUUSD SEP.26 | BEARISH TREND 📊 Trend Analysis
🔤Market was previously bullish with multiple BOS pushing price higher.
🔤However, rejection from 3775–3780 created a CHoCH to the downside, signaling possible bearish transition.
🔤Now price consolidates around 3740–3750, which is a supply zone and key decision area.
💡Trade plan
🔽Scenario 1 – Sell from Supply (Main Setup)
Reason: Price created CHoCH at the top → structure shifted bearish. Supply at 3750–3760 is a key zone.
Entry Condition: Wait for price to retrace into 3750–3760, then confirm with bearish M5/M15 CHoCH or bearish engulfing pattern.
Entry: 3750–3760 rejection
🔼Scenario 2 – Buy from Demand (Counter-trend scalp)
Reason: Although main bias is bearish, 3730–3735 is a valid demand zone with liquidity pool.
Entry Condition: Price must tap into 3730–3735 and show bullish CHoCH on M5/M15 before entry.
Entry: 3730–3735 confirmation
🔽Scenario 3 – Breakout Sell
Reason: If 3720 demand fails, bearish BOS confirms continuation downtrend.
Entry Condition: Wait for price to break 3720 with BOS, then retrace to fill FVG before entering SELL.
Entry: Retest FVG after BOS below 3720
➡️Bias remains bearish after CHoCH at the top. Priority is selling from supply zones, while buys are only intraday scalps at demand with strong confirmation
XAUUSD – Range 3735–3755 is now the trend confirmation zone
Technical Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) is moving within the narrow range of 3735–3755, and this price area currently acts as a “pivot point” to confirm the next direction.
Short-term resistance: 3755–3772, prices have reacted strongly multiple times. If not decisively broken, selling pressure may continue.
Key support: 3735, this is the decisive area – breaking it will confirm a downward trend, targeting lower levels.
Stronger resistance: 3790–3793, confluence of several previous peaks, where strong selling force may form.
EMA200 H1 (3723) still supports the major uptrend, but the price has now moved far and is in the phase of retesting supply-demand zones.
RSI (14) around 45–48, not yet in oversold territory but leaning towards sellers.
From a technical perspective, this is a market phase that needs confirmation: breaking above 3755 will reopen the upward momentum, while losing 3735 will reinforce short-term downward pressure.
Trading Scenarios
Sell Scenario (preferred if resistance holds):
Sell 3769–3772, SL 3775, TP: 3755 – 3746 – 3737
Sell 3791–3793, SL 3798, TP: 3783 – 3772 – 3760 – 3745
Sell when price confirms below 3735, SL 3742, TP: 3726 – 3715 – 3702 – 3690
Buy Scenario (trend-following upon breakout):
Buy when price confirms above 3755, SL 3747, TP: 3766 – 3778 – 3790
Buy 3705–3702, SL 3697, TP: 3717 – 3726 – 3744 – 3763 – 3780 – 3790
Price Zones to Watch
3735–3755: trend confirmation range, most important in the short term.
3769–3772 and 3791–3793: strong resistance zones, potential Sell zones.
3702–3705: deep Buy zone, combined with strong support and EMA200.
3790: critical resistance level, breaking it will reinforce the major uptrend.
Outlook
The gold market is in a decisive phase at the 3735–3755 range. Sellers have a short-term advantage, but if the price surpasses 3755, the uptrend may soon return. The best strategy is to trade based on price confirmation at key zones, combining profit-taking at each successive TP level to optimize returns.
This is a reference scenario based on technical analysis, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses in upcoming sessions.
Pay attention to the triangle pattern to determine the direction#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Currently, the overall gold price trend remains within a triangular consolidation pattern. As time progresses, the short-term resistance level has moved to 3750. As usual, to avoid false breakouts, allow for a buffer of around $5. In the European session, pay attention to the suppression of 3750-3755. If it fails to effectively break through 3755, you can continue to short gold. On the contrary, once it stabilizes above 3755, wait for a pullback and go long. Support levels to watch are 3730-3720. For short-term trading, adopt a buy-low, sell-high strategy within the 3750-3720 range, with profit targets of $10-$30, until the triangle pattern is broken. It is also worth noting that 3710-3700 below is still the key support. If it breaks through the 3720 triangle boundary, you can hold a short position and expect a decline, but do not chase the short position too much.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 26, 2025
________________________________________
🔹 Momentum
• D1: Currently decreasing → the corrective trend is likely to continue. It may take about 2 more D1 candles for momentum to enter the oversold zone, after which a reversal could occur.
• H4: Momentum is rising → today we may see a bullish move or sideways range.
• H1: About to enter the oversold zone → a short-term bullish reversal is likely.
________________________________________
🔹 Wave Structure
• D1:
o As analyzed previously, wave 5 (yellow) has already reached its first target at 3789.
o It may take around 2 more D1 candles for momentum to enter oversold → showing that the bearish leg is weakening.
o Considering depth and time, the market is likely within wave 4 of wave 5. Once the correction completes, the uptrend should resume toward the second target.
• H4:
o A WXY corrective structure is developing.
o The ABC (blue) has completed wave W → the market may now be in wave X, followed by a Y-wave decline to finish the correction.
• H1:
o Wave X appears to be forming a triangle, currently in the final wave e.
o However:
If price rises sharply above 3762, it would suggest the corrective phase is already completed.
The target area for wave e is around 3752 → potential Sell zone.
If price breaks below 3729, it confirms wave Y is in play, targeting 3713 and 3698 → potential Buy zones.
⚠️ Note: If the Buy target is reached first, the Sell setup will be canceled.
________________________________________
🔹 Trading Plan
🔻 Sell Zone
• Entry: 3751 – 3753
• SL: 3761
• TP: 3729
________________________________________
🔺 Buy Zone 1
• Entry: 3714 – 3712
• SL: 3704
• TP: 3751
________________________________________
🔺 Buy Zone 2
• Entry: 3699 – 3696
• SL: 3686
• TP: 3751
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,743, consolidating inside the First Reaction Zone after failing to hold above the $3,753 resistance. The 50MA is also acting as resistance. Price remains range-bound within this zone, with multiple tests of both the $3,753 and $3,728 levels.
A clean breakout and hold above $3,753 would open the path toward $3,768 and $3,782. Failure to clear $3,753/50MA risks further downside into $3,728, with extended weakness toward $3,712–$3,690 (200MA support).
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,753
$3,768
$3,782
Support:
$3,728
$3,712
$3,690
$3,665
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Fri, Sep 26
The spotlight is on Core PCE (2:30pm), the Fed’s key inflation measure, followed by UoM Consumer Sentiment (4:00pm).
👉 Expect volatility — strong prints may pressure gold lower, while weaker data could provide support.
XAUUSD – Trading Plan: Gold Awaits PCE Catalyst📊 Market Context
Gold remains in consolidation mode after a sharp run earlier this week, holding steady below 3750. The market is now laser-focused on the US Core PCE Index, which could provide fresh direction for both the dollar and precious metals. With US yields stabilising and risk sentiment shifting, gold’s safe-haven appeal remains intact — but traders are weighing whether the recent pullback is a healthy correction or the start of a deeper retracement.
Meanwhile, the geopolitical backdrop continues to offer underlying support, while positioning in ETFs and futures suggests investors are cautious, awaiting clearer signals from the Fed. The upcoming data will likely decide whether gold breaks higher towards fresh highs or retests deeper liquidity zones.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price capped near short-term resistance at 3770–3772.
Immediate supports are 3741 and 3722, with deeper demand zones at 3690–3688 and 3670–3668.
The structure indicates possible liquidity sweeps before a decisive move.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance / Sell Zone: 3770–3772
Support / Buy Zones: 3690–3688, 3670–3668
📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan
BUY ZONE 1: 3690–3688
SL: 3684
TP: 3695 - 3700 - 3710 - 3720 - 3730 - ???
BUY ZONE 2: 3670–3668
SL: 3664
TP: 3675 - 3680 - 3690 - 3700 - 3710 - ???
SELL ZONE: 3770–3772
SL: 3777
TP: 3765 - 3760 - 3750 - 3740 - ???
⚠️ Risk Notes
Watch for false breakouts at 3770–3772 before reversal.
PCE release may inject volatility across gold and USD pairs.
Position sizing and risk control are crucial into data.
✅ Summary
Gold is at a crossroads — safe-haven demand is still supportive, but technical resistance near 3770 remains a hurdle. Core strategy: buy dips into 3690–3670 zones, while staying cautious of short-term sell setups at 3770–3772. Manage exposure, wait for confirmation, and be prepared for volatility once PCE data hits.
📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates and next-level trade setups.
XAU/USD 15-Minute Supply and Demand Zone AnalysisThis chart shows the price action of **Gold Spot (XAU/USD)** on the 15-minute timeframe with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) analysis applied. Key supply and demand zones are highlighted, with a supply zone marked around the **3745–3750 range** and a strong demand zone (strong low) near the **3710–3715 level**. The chart indicates multiple **Break of Structure (BOS)** and **Change of Character (CHoCH)** points, showing shifts in market momentum. The projection drawn suggests a possible short-term downward move into the demand zone before a strong bullish reversal toward the upside, targeting the weak high area above **3760–3770**. This implies a bullish outlook once the price retests lower support levels.
LiamTrading – Gold might fake a move before dropping
Gold is trading around the 375x zone and may exhibit a “fake breakout” to higher levels before adjusting downward. The price structure on the H4 chart shows:
Strong resistance is located at the 3770–3773 zone, coinciding with the 0.786 – 1.0 Fibonacci extension area. This is a confluence zone where a bearish reaction is likely.
The main trendline remains upward, but the RSI is gradually weakening, warning that buying pressure is not as strong.
Short-term support lies at 3710–3713, also the 0.5 – 0.618 fibo zone, suitable for buy scalping orders.
Larger support is at 3688–3691, where it converges with the trendline bottom and key Fibonacci levels, considered a sustainable “buy zone.”
Trading plan reference
Sell: 3770 – 3773, SL 3778, TP 3756 – 3743 – 3725 – 3710
Buy scalping: 3710 – 3713, SL 3705, TP 3725 – 3736 – 3748 – 3760
Buy zone: 3688 – 3691, SL 3684, TP 3699 – 3710 – 3725 – 3736 – 3745 – 3760
In summary, gold may create a fake upward move to the 3770–3773 resistance zone before reversing for a correction. Traders should patiently wait for confirmation signals at key price zones to optimize entries and manage risks tightly.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you find it useful, follow for the fastest updates on upcoming scenarios, continuously updated in the community.
Market Analysis | GU, UJ & GOLD – Key Levels & Fundamentals Last week, we spotted ranges across USDJPY, GBPUSD, and XAUUSD, waiting for the big central bank moves to decide direction. Now, the ranges are breaking, except for USDJPY, which is still locked in.
In this video, I walk you through:
✅What happened last week, and why the price moved the way it did
✅The fundamentals and events that shaped sentiment
✅My outlook and key chart levels for the new week (Sep 22–26)
Timestamps:
00:00 – Intro
01:00 – GBPUSD: Breakout fails, dollar strength returns
07:10 – USDJPY: Still trapped in range, waiting for a catalyst
11:50 – XAUUSD: Breaks above range to test record highs
16:50 – Wrap up & key events to watch
This week’s focus will be on the Core PCE data, Powell’s speech, and S&P Global PMIs. These are the catalysts likely to drive sentiment across the dollar, yen, and gold.
Please note that this information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
FIBO MATRIX Trading Plan | Key Reaction Zones in Play📊 Market Context
Gold is attracting renewed buying interest as dovish Fed expectations limit USD upside to 3-week highs.
Uncertainty over the pace of Fed rate cuts, coupled with Trump tariff concerns and rising geopolitical risks, continue to fuel safe-haven demand.
All eyes now on this week’s US PCE inflation data – a key driver for the next move.
📍 Critical Price Levels (M30 Chart)
🔴 SELL Reaction Zones
3767 – 377x → Main corrective wave resistance (0.786 Fibo).
3810 – 3817 → Major SELL zone (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618).
🟢 BUY Support Zones
3725 → Short-term bullish wave support.
3690 – 3695 → Deeper pullback confluence (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618).
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup
Entry: 3767 – 377x (if rejection confirmed).
TP: 3750 → 3725.
SL: Above 3778.
2️⃣ BUY Setup
Entry: 3725 zone with bullish confirmation.
TP: 3760 → 377x.
SL: Below 3715.
3️⃣ Deep Correction BUY
Entry: 3690 – 3695 confluence zone.
TP: 3725 → 3760.
SL: Below 3685.
⚡ Trading Tips
Focus on clear Fibo reaction zones for entries.
Risk per trade: 6–8 USD to avoid stop-hunt volatility.
Target profits in 1R → 2R → 3R stages for optimal RR management.
💬 Community Discussion
Do you expect gold to break above 3770 before testing deeper supports, or will sellers take control early? Drop your charts and setups below 👇
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Fibo & Volume Profile AnalysisLiamTrading – XAUUSD Today's Scenario: Fibo & Volume Profile Analysis
Gold, after testing the 375x zone, has shown clear signs of weakening. On the H1 frame, the price structure is forming an adjustment phase as it aligns with key Fibonacci and Volume Profile levels. This is the time when the market begins to “filter” liquidity, creating opportunities for both short sell orders and buys at strong support zones.
Technical Analysis
Fibonacci indicates the 0.786 – 1.0 zone around 3756–3758 coincides with strong resistance and FVG, with a high potential for a reversal.
Volume Profile points out the POC zone around 3735–3740; if breached, it will pave the way for deeper downward pressure.
The confluence support zone 0.618 fibo + large volume around 3688–3691 is suitable for scalping buys.
Further, the 3648–3651 area is reinforced by VAL and the volume profile bottom, making it a strong long-term “Buy zone.”
Trading Plan Reference
Sell zone: 3756 – 3758, SL 3763, TP 3750 – 3748 – 3736 – 3710 – 3690 – 3655
Buy scalping: 3688 – 3691, SL 3685, TP 3701 – 3715 – 3728
Long-term Buy zone: 3648 – 3651, SL 3640, TP 3670 – 3688 – 3700 – 3718 – 3733 – 3755
In summary, gold is moving according to the technical structure with confirmation from Fibonacci and Volume Profile. Today's scenario prioritizes observing reactions around the sell zone 3756–3758 to find short opportunities, and waiting to buy at value zones 369x and 365x for the recovery wave.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you want the fastest updates on the next gold scenarios, follow me and join the community to not miss out.
XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves continues on H4XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves continues on H4, price returns below the trendline: prioritising the correction scenario
Hello Trader,
Based on the Wolfe Waves structure on the H4 frame and current price behaviour, gold has returned to trading below the trendline, indicating a weakening of short-term upward momentum and making way for a downward correction before the market decides the next trend. The upper area has created a clear “sell zone”; below, two defensive buying zones appear for both scalping and medium-term.
Main Technical Picture
Wolfe Waves: wave 5 completes near resistance, then price falls back below the trendline — aligning with the correction scenario along Wolfe's target line 1–4.
Trendline & price box area: the close below the rising trendline shows “acceptance” below; immediate resistance lies in the 375x–376x cluster (sell zone).
Momentum: MACD H4 slows down, histogram narrows → high probability of a pullback – retest before a new decision.
Detailed Trading Scenarios
1) Sell according to the correction trend (priority)
Entry: 3756 – 3759
SL: 3764
TP: 3745 → 3732 → 3715 → 3690 → 3672
Reason: the 375x area coincides with the sell zone + upper trendline; selling at retest offers a good R:R ratio.
Confirmation/Invalidation: if H4 closes above 3764 and holds, the short-term selling scenario weakens.
2) Buy scalping in the buffer zone
Entry: 3701 – 3703
SL: 3695
TP: 3715 → 3732 → 3745 → 3766
Note: only a rebound in the correction phase; close each level and move SL according to TP1.
3) Buy medium-term (strong base area)
Entry: 3648 – 3651
SL: 3644
TP: 3672 → 3698 → 3708 → 3722 – 3727
Reason: the 365x area coincides with the demand/accumulation volume on H4; suitable for catching a deep rebound along with the larger trend.
Management: this is a medium-term order, so divide the volume, close each step, and move SL to breakeven after TP1.
Refer to my scenario if you find it reasonable, trade accordingly, and if you enjoy trading gold with high-quality scenarios, follow me
Waiting for the data to be released. Continue to fluctuate?Gold is experiencing a volatile downward trend. On the 4-hour chart, prices are currently under pressure at $3,765. The short-term rebound has completed its technical pattern repair, suggesting further downward movement. The 1-hour chart shows prices trading near short-term support, while the short-term moving average has flattened downward, indicating weakening short-term momentum. Focus on the resistance area around 3,750-3,755 in the short term, while support remains around 3,715.
Gold is currently experiencing small fluctuations. Quaid recommends maintaining trading within the 3,755-3,715 range pending the release of the PCE data.
New analysis and trading strategies will be provided after the data is released.
XAUUSD – Downtrend Continues to be FavoredDowntrend Continues to be Favored (Wolfe Waves Pattern H4)
Hello Trader,
Gold is following the Wolfe Waves structure on the H4 chart, after bouncing off the upper resistance zone and returning below the trendline. This indicates that the short-term upward momentum has weakened, and the scenario of a downward adjustment continues to be prioritized at this stage.
Technical Analysis
Wolfe Waves are clearly formed, wave 5 has hit resistance and a reversal signal has appeared.
The price failed to hold above the upper trendline, while the MACD shows weakening upward momentum.
The 3746 – 3748 zone is considered the main “sell zone” in the short term.
Nearby support zones: 3709 – 3711 and deeper at 3675 – 3678. Further out, the area around 3650 is an important “buy zone” in the medium term.
Trading Scenarios
1. Sell with the trend (priority)
Entry: 3746 – 3748
SL: 3754
TP: 3733 → 3720 → 3702 → 3690
2. Buy Short-term Scalping
Entry: 3709 – 3711
SL: 3705
TP: 3722 → 3730 → 3745
3. Buy Deep Support Scalping
Entry: 3675 – 3678
SL: 3670
TP: 3688 → 3696 → 3710 → 3725
4. Medium-term Buy Zone
Entry: around 3650
This is a large volume accumulation zone, coinciding with strong support on H4. This area is suitable for considering medium-term buy orders if the price adjusts deeply.
Conclusion
In the short term, the bearish scenario continues to be favored, especially when the price stays below the 3748 zone.
Buy strategies should only be considered in the form of scalping or at the important buy zone around 3650.
The current gold market is still in a distribution phase, so patience is needed to observe candle confirmations at entry zones to optimize the R:R ratio.
This is today's XAUUSD trading scenario according to Wolfe Waves on H4. You can refer to it and combine it with your personal strategy for the best risk management.
Follow me to receive the latest scenarios when the price structure changes.
Gold – Waiting for the Perfect DipIn yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that after reaching a new ATH just under 3800, Gold could enter a correction, and that this corrective move should be seen as a buying opportunity.
Indeed, we’ve had a pullback, but it hasn’t gone deep enough to trigger my buy limit orders – which kept me on the sidelines for now.
Still, my idea remains unchanged: I expect a liquidity dip closer to the 3700 zone, which stands out as the key support area for buyers.
Trading Plan:
• I continue to look for buying opportunities on dips, ideally around 3700.
• If price holds this zone, the bullish structure remains intact and another run toward ATH levels becomes likely.
• However, if Gold breaks below 3700, the market could enter a deeper correction phase, and I will have to re-evaluate my bias and strategy.