Gold Trading Plan: Holding Steady Ahead of Key Data📊 Market Context
Gold is trading steady around $3,760 in early Wednesday’s Asian session.
Traders continue to price in expectations of two more Fed rate cuts (October & December) after the 25 bps cut earlier this month.
The US PCE inflation report for August, due Friday, will be the key event that could set the tone for gold’s next big move.
With strong bullish sentiment intact but near-term correction risks in play, today’s focus will be on reaction levels within the Fibonacci zones.
🔢 Technical Levels (Chart H1)
🔴 Resistance / SELL Zone
3,829–3,838 (Fibo 1.5–1.618) → Strong reaction zone where price could face rejection and trigger a pullback.
🟡 Intermediate Resistance
3,777 (50% retracement of short-term correction) → Minor supply area to watch.
🟢 Support Zones / BUY Areas
3,735–3,740 → Short-term support, key for uptrend continuation.
3,710–3,700 (Fibo 50–60% retracement) → Important bullish reaction point, high-probability buy zone if tested.
📈 Trade Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation Setup
BUY: Look for confirmation at 3,735–3,740 or deeper support 3,710–3,700.
Targets: 3,777 → 3,829–3,838.
Stop Loss: Below 3,690 to protect against deeper correction.
2️⃣ Countertrend SELL Setup
SELL: Enter shorts only at 3,829–3,838 with strong rejection signals.
Targets: 3,777 → 3,740.
Risk Note: Treat as a tactical short within a larger bullish bias.
⚠ Key Notes
Expect sideways-to-bullish bias until Friday’s US PCE inflation report sparks higher volatility.
Use smaller sizing near resistance and confirm entries with candlestick signals.
Avoid mid-range trades between 3,760–3,777 to reduce noise risk.
💬 Community Discussion
📊 Will gold test the upper reaction zone at 3,829–3,838 before PCE data, or dip to the 3,710 buy zone first? Share your charts and strategies in the comments!
Xauusdanalysis
Gold "Cools Down": A Sign of a Coming Downturn?Gold "Cools Down": A Sign of a Coming Downturn? 📉🤔
Hello, investors!
Gold saw a notable correction on September 24, closing at $3,762.73/oz after reaching a historic high of $3,790.82/oz just one day earlier. Gold futures also dropped 0.5% to $3,795.80/oz. Is this a sign of a deeper correction or just a short-term profit-taking before key news?
Fundamental Analysis: Market "Holds Its Breath" Before the PCE Inflation Report
Yesterday's drop in gold seems to have little to do with the released U.S. economic data, as the USD index only had a slight rebound and housing data wasn't strong enough to cause such a major move. Instead, the most likely reasons are:
Cautious Profit-Taking: Investors are taking profits after a rapid run-up, aiming to mitigate risk before the upcoming PCE inflation report on September 26.
Fed Expectations: Despite short-term volatility, the market holds firm on its expectation that the Fed will cut rates in October and December with a high probability (94% and 77%). A low-rate environment and geopolitical concerns remain the core drivers supporting gold's price in the long term.
Technical Analysis: "Sell" or "Wait to Buy"?
Gold had a significant correction from the $3,770 area, indicating that a large number of profit-taking sell orders were triggered. However, the downtrend has paused and is now looking for a new balance point.
Outlook: With the current cautious sentiment, there's a chance gold may see further selling pressure in the short term. However, any deeper drop would be an excellent opportunity to buy back at a better price, as the long-term bullish momentum is still intact.
Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management):
Sell Zone: Zone $3766 - $3768, SL $3776
Buy Zone: Zone $3702 - $3700, SL $3692
The market is highly sensitive. Do you think this correction is a buying opportunity or a time to step back? Share your thoughts! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #Inflation #PCE #USD
XAUUSD – The SELL trend has been confirmed
Technical Analysis
After a strong rise hitting the resistance zone of 3770–3780, gold (XAUUSD) couldn't maintain momentum and started forming consecutive declines. This signals that selling pressure is dominating in the short term.
The 3767–3769 zone coincides with local resistance, a place where the market has reacted multiple times → confirming its role as a distribution zone.
Fibonacci Retracement levels from the latest upward wave show the 0.618 zone around 3700–3705 acts as short-term support, where technical rebound reactions may occur.
The 3673–3675 zone confluences with Fib 2.618 and EMA200 → strong support, considered the main Buy zone for long-term buyers.
RSI (14) is currently below 50, momentum leans towards decline, confirming the adjustment trend is prevailing.
Trading Scenario
SELL Scenario (trend-following priority):
Entry: 3767–3769
SL: 3775
TP: 3755 – 3740 – 3733 – 3710 – 3694
Buy scalping scenario (short-term support reaction):
Entry: 3701–3704
SL: 3698
TP: 3710 – 3722 – 3736
Buy zone scenario (priority for medium-term rebound):
Entry: 3673–3675
SL: 3666
TP: 3688 – 3696 – 3705 – 3720 – 3736
Price zones to watch
3767–3769: important resistance, priority Sell zone.
3700–3705: short-term support, potential Buy scalping area.
3673–3675: main Buy zone, confluence of support + Fibonacci.
3694 and 3736: important intermediate levels, where partial profit-taking is recommended.
The main short-term trend is leaning towards SELL, however, important support zones may provide opportunities for counter-trend Buys or trend-following Buys after price adjustments.
This is a reference scenario based on resistance – support and Fibonacci. Follow me if you love trading gold and want to read the latest analyses in the community.
Fed Cut Hopes & Geopolitical Risks Fuel Gold Rally📊 Market View
Gold is holding its bullish tone, trading firmly above 3750 USD/oz and refreshing daily highs in the European session. Investor sentiment is being lifted by rising expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue rate cuts into year-end, lowering borrowing costs and strengthening demand for non-yielding assets like gold. Meanwhile, geopolitical risks keep safe-haven flows alive, further reinforcing gold’s momentum.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price structure remains bullish above 3750, supported by trendline dynamics.
Buy liquidity zones identified at 3742–3740 (major demand) and 3757–3755 (scalp entry).
Key short-term resistance sits around 3778, with extended liquidity targets towards 3813–3815.
A rejection from the 3813–3815 sell zone could trigger pullbacks into demand areas.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance: 3778 ➡️ 3813–3815
Support / Buy Zones: 3757–3755 ➡️ 3742–3740
📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE (Main Setup): 3742–3740
SL: 3735
TP: 3748 ➡️ 3752 ➡️ 3756 ➡️ 3760 ➡️ 3770 ➡️ 3780 ➡️ …
✅ BUY SCALP (Aggressive Entry): 3757–3755
SL: 3750
TP: 3762 ➡️ 3766 ➡️ 3780 ➡️ …
✅ SELL ZONE (Liquidity Trap): 3813–3815
SL: 3820
TP: 3810 ➡️ 3805 ➡️ 3800 ➡️ 3795 ➡️ 3790 ➡️ 3780 ➡️ …
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Watch for fake breakouts near 3813–3815 — liquidity sweeps are common before reversal.
Prioritize long entries on confirmed pullbacks, avoid chasing price in the middle range.
Keep position sizing modest as volatility could spike on Fed commentary or geopolitical updates.
✅ Summary
Gold remains in a strong bullish phase, fueled by Fed rate cut expectations and geopolitical tensions. Strategy: buy dips at 3757–3755 or 3742–3740, targeting 3770–3780, while watching for short-term rejection at 3813–3815 for potential sells.
📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for live intraday updates, liquidity-based trading setups, and high-probability strategies on XAUUSD.
Gold Record Highs Under the Lens of ATAI VPA & VPRCGold Analysis Report
In recent days, as gold has reached new historical highs, two analytical tools have been used to assess the market conditions:
- ATAI Volume analysis with price action V 1.03
- ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer (VPA)
It is important to emphasize that the gold market is heavily influenced by global economic and political events, and precise volume data is not publicly available. The only volume data considered here comes from OANDA. For this evaluation, a 70-day period has been chosen to study the broader behavioral and volume pattern of gold over the past two months.
Bull Trap Risk Detection (ATAI Volume analysis with price action V 1.03)
In this indicator, Bull Trap detection is based on the interaction of price behavior and order-flow volume. The logic is as follows:
1. Bull Sweep (False Breakout with Long Wick)
- If price exceeds the recent high (`high_level`) but closes back below it, and the upper wick of the candle makes up a sufficiently large fraction of the total range, then a Bull Sweep is detected.
- Formula:
upper_wick_ratio = (high - max(open, close)) / (high - low)
Condition: upper_wick_ratio >= trap_wick_threshold (e.g., 0.6)
2. Bull Break
- If the close is above the breakout level without a long wick, it is treated as a Bull Break.
3. Mismatch Condition
- If the candle is bullish (close > open) but delta ≤ 0 or seller ratio > 50%, then there is a mismatch between price action and order flow.
- Formula (simplified):
mismatchBull = (close > open) and (delta <= 0 or seller_ratio > 0.5)
4. Dominance Inversion
- If buyer volume ranks highest in the lookback window, but cumulative seller volume is greater than buyer volume while the candle is bullish, a dominance inversion occurs.
- Condition:
domInvBull = (rank_buy == 1) and (sum_sell > sum_buy) and (close > open)
5. Low Volume Breakout
- If a bullish breakout occurs with total volume less than the average total volume, then the breakout is flagged as low-volume.
- Condition:
lowVolBull = isBullBreak and (TF_tot < avg_tot)
The module assigns scores to these conditions:
- Sweep: +2
- Break: +1
- Mismatch: +2
- Dominance Inversion: +2
- Low-volume Break: +1
If total score ≥ trap_score_risk (default = 3), then a Bull Trap Risk is flagged. If, within `trap_confirm_bars`, price reverses and closes back below the breakout level, then Bull Trap Risk Confirmed is displayed.
Complementary View (ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer – VPA)
The VPA indicator, with its left (C→B) and right (B→A) wings and offset capability, allows a parallel evaluation of flow balance. In the current gold chart, the right wing (B→A) reflects weakness on the buyers' side, reinforcing the Bull Trap risk detected by the previous indicator. This alignment strengthens the probability of a bearish scenario.
However, the extent of any downward path will depend on the pivotal price levels where the largest buy and sell volumes were registered over the past 70 days. These are represented by points B1 and S1, clustered around the 3409 USD level.
Notes
- On lower timeframes, accuracy in buy/sell volume calculation depends on the data window. Here, a 1-minute timeframe was selected, which provides ~74 days of buy/sell flow data.
- Gold remains highly sensitive to political and economic news globally.
- This analysis is based solely on mathematical calculations and volume/behavioral pattern recognition. It must not be interpreted as investment advice of any kind.
XAUUSD – Pressure at 3777 zone XAUUSD – Pressure at 3777 zone, adjustment scenario and trend-following buy
Technical Analysis
After a strong upward move, gold (XAUUSD) is now approaching the resistance zone of 3777–3780, where it converges with the Fibonacci expansion cluster and the old resistance structure. This is a price area prone to short-term selling pressure, and a decisive point for the next trend.
EMA200 (H1: 3685) is still clearly sloping upwards → the main trend remains upward, but the market is in a state of range expansion, with a potential adjustment phase before continuing upward.
RSI (14) is currently oscillating around 57–60, indicating that the upward momentum has cooled, not yet entering the overbought zone but posing a risk of divergence if a new peak is formed without accompanying momentum.
Volume Profile levels and support zones 3738–3740 / 3719–3722 / 3661–3665 will be where buyers can react to protect the main trend.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Sell adjustment at resistance zone:
Entry: 3777–3780
SL: 3784
TP: 3755 – 3742 – 3730 – 3705
Scenario 2 – Short-term scalping buy:
Entry: 3738–3740
SL: 3734
TP: 3747 – 3755 – 3770
Scenario 3 – Trend-following buy (priority when deep adjustment):
Entry: 3719–3722
SL: 3715
TP: 3728 – 3740 – 3765 – 3780
Price Zones to Watch
3777–3780: critical resistance, potential Sell zone.
3738–3740: nearby support, suitable for scalping buy.
3719–3722: main Buy zone for recovery, confluence of support structure.
3705: deep support, target if adjustment trend expands.
Outlook
The major trend for gold still leans towards upward, however, the 3777–3780 zone currently plays a decisive role. Sellers can take advantage of short-term Sell to catch the adjustment phase, while buyers should wait for prices to pull back to support zones to enter trend-following orders.
This is a reference scenario based on technical analysis, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses and prepare well for your trading plan.
Daily Plan: What’s Next After the All-Time High Correction?📊 Market Context
Gold is struggling to recover from yesterday’s pullback after hitting a record high at 3791 USD/oz. In the Asian session on Thursday, price action remains cautious as traders await U.S. mid-tier data and further speeches from Fed officials for fresh momentum. While the long-term trend remains bullish, the current pause highlights how sensitive gold is to short-term liquidity sweeps and macro catalysts.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
ATH zone sits at 3791, with sellers reacting strongly from that level.
Price is currently trading below the downtrend reaction zone 3755–3757, showing near-term weakness.
Buy-side liquidity remains intact at 3712 and deeper at 3688–3686 (CP + OBS Buy Zone).
Sell-side liquidity zone identified at 3775–3777, likely to attract reactions if retested.
Larger liquidity magnet lies at 3824–3830, but only if bulls regain momentum above 3777.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance / Sell Zones: 3775–3777 - 3791 - 3824–3830
Support / Buy Zones: 3712 - 3688–3686
📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE (Main Setup): 3688–3686
SL: 3680
TP: 3696 - 3700 - 3705 - 3710 - 3720 - 3730 - …
✅ SELL ZONE (Liquidity Reaction): 3775–3777
SL: 3782
TP: 3770 - 3765 - 3760 - 3750 - 3740 - 3730 - …
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Stay alert for false breakouts around 3775–3777, as price may sweep liquidity before reversing.
Avoid chasing entries mid-range; wait for price action confirmation in the buy/sell zones.
U.S. data and Fed commentary could trigger volatility spikes — adjust risk accordingly.
✅ Summary
Gold is consolidating after its record high at 3791, with traders waiting for new catalysts. The plan today: buy dips at 3688–3686, targeting a recovery towards 3720–3730, while looking for short-term sells at 3775–3777 if rejection occurs. A break above 3777 would re-open the path towards 3824–3830.
📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING on TradingView for real-time liquidity setups and BIGWIN strategies as gold approaches its next critical levels.
Gold prices are correcting and entering a period of volatility.Gold prices rebounded slightly after a sharp drop on Wednesday and are currently fluctuating slightly.
From a news perspective, speculation about the continued effectiveness of the Federal Reserve's rate cuts and the entry of global central banks into an era of monetary easing have led to a depreciation of the US dollar, while non-US currencies have temporarily appreciated due to the depreciation of the US dollar. Excessive money supply will also lead to global currency depreciation.
Gold prices have continued to fluctuate at high levels, testing support at 3750 and 3715. However, they are still some distance from a top-bottom reversal. However, the upward rebound in early Asian trading coincided with a new top-bottom reversal, with resistance concentrated around $3750.
There are currently two positions that need attention, the pressure position of 3750 and the support position of 3710. If either direction is broken within this range, the trend will continue. Short-term volatility is a normal trend, and we should accept this periodic correction.
On Thursday, Quaid recommends a light short position at 3750, with a move to long positions appropriate if the price touches 3710-3715. Focus on a breakout of the 3750-3710 range.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS OF CURRENT TRENDSLiamTrading – XAUUSD Today's Scenario: Opportunities at Key Price Levels
Gold continues its strong upward momentum, currently oscillating around the 376x–377x range after a series of breakouts. The technical structure on the H1 chart indicates the market is forming clear resistance and support zones, suitable for short-term trading plans.
Technical Analysis
RSI is cooling off from high levels, indicating the potential for a short-term correction.
The upper price zone around 3818–3821 is a strong confluence of resistance, coinciding with wave peaks and Fibonacci extensions, making it prone to selling reactions.
Conversely, the support zones at 373x and 370x show dense liquidity, serving as potential buying points when prices correct.
The short-term Dow structure still leans towards an uptrend, but attention is needed at the sell confirmation zone if gold fails at the peak.
Trading Plan Reference
Sell Zone: 3818 – 3821, SL 3828, TP 3805 – 3785 – 3760 – 3732 – 3650
Buy Scalping: 3728 – 3731, SL 3723, TP 3750 – 3777 – 3790
Buy Zone: 3706 – 3709, SL 3700, TP 3725 – 3738 – 3750 – 3777 – 3790
In summary, the main trend still favors an uptrend, but with gold approaching strong resistance zones, the likelihood of a correction is high. Traders should patiently wait for reactions at the marked zones for optimal entry, while managing risk tightly.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you're interested in gold scenarios, follow me for the fastest updates.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 25, 2025
________________________________________
🔹 Momentum
• D1: Momentum on the daily chart has turned bearish, indicating that the main downtrend may continue.
• H4: Momentum on H4 is about to turn bullish, suggesting a possible upward move today. However, if this bullish reversal fails to break the previous high, the downtrend will remain intact.
• H1: Momentum on H1 is declining and about to enter the oversold zone. This downward move may need around 2 more H1 candles before entering oversold territory and reversing.
________________________________________
🔹 Wave Structure
• D1:
o The first target of wave 5 (yellow) was reached at 3789.
o Price is currently reacting at this level. With D1 momentum turning bearish, there is a strong possibility that wave 5 (yellow) has already completed, meaning price could move towards 3632 and potentially break below it.
• H4: An ABC corrective structure (blue) has formed, opening three scenarios:
1. The correction is complete → price rallies strongly, breaking the previous high to continue the uptrend.
2. Price rallies but with overlap, forming a Flat 3-3-5 pattern → price may rise toward the previous high at 3793.
3. Price remains in a zigzag structure → another decline may occur to complete wave C.
👉 Given the bearish momentum on D1, I lean more towards scenario 2 and 3.
👉 Note: In scenarios (1) and (2), price must hold above 3729, then break 3752, which could lead to a minimum rally towards 3777.
• H1: Under scenario 3 (further decline to complete wave C):
o Price may break below 3718.
o Wave 5 (black) targets:
3713 (first target).
3698 (second target).
________________________________________
🔹 Trade Plan
• Buy Zone 1: 3729 – 3726
o SL: 3717
o TP: 3751
• Buy Zone 2: 3714 – 3711
o SL: 3703
o TP: 3751
________________________________________
⚠️ Important Note
The market is likely in a corrective wave at a higher structure.
• Characteristic: Price often shows overlapping moves.
• Therefore: Manage trades carefully, avoid over-risking, as reversals can happen at any time – this is typical of corrective waves.
Gold price analysis September 25The corrective downtrend is heading towards the next important support zones 3701 and 3671. Today's strategy is still looking for better SELL points. Pay attention to price reactions at important support zones. If it is confirmed that buyers want to jump into the market, we can follow that buying force to execute BUY strategies. 3750 plays an important role today and the SELL strategy will no longer be effective when this zone is broken.
Gold (XAU/USD) Intraday Technical Analysis – H1Price Action & Trend
Gold has recently broken out of a sideways consolidation range (boxed area around 3,620–3,680 USD), showing strong bullish momentum.
The upward move peaked near the resistance zone around 3,780–3,790 USD, where selling pressure emerged.
Price is currently forming a potential ABC correction pattern:
(A) – initial retracement from the peak.
(B) – minor rebound, lower than previous highs.
(C) – projected continuation downward, suggesting further correction.
Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: 3,780–3,790 USD (recent swing high).
Immediate Support: 3,700 USD (minor psychological level and previous consolidation top).
Key Support: 3,660–3,670 USD (near lower bound of previous consolidation box, potential ABC (C) target).
Indicators & Technical Tools
Fibonacci Retracement:
0.382 retracement aligns around 3,710–3,715 USD.
0.618 retracement aligns around 3,670 USD, matching the expected (C) target.
Volume:
Slight increase during the upward impulse, but volume has tapered during the current correction, indicating a healthy pullback rather than a trend reversal.
RSI/EMA:
Price has pulled back from overbought conditions. EMA on H1 likely supports near 3,700 USD.
Trading Strategy
Short-term Traders (Intraday):
Consider short positions near 3,750–3,760 USD if ABC (C) continues.
Targets: 3,700 USD first, then 3,670 USD.
Stop-loss: Above recent swing high at 3,780 USD.
Medium-term Traders:
Wait for completion of ABC correction before entering long positions.
Strong buying opportunity near 3,660–3,670 USD with confirmation candle patterns.
Trend-followers:
Look for break above 3,780 USD with strong volume to resume the bullish trend.
Summary:
Gold is in a corrective phase after hitting a strong resistance zone. The ABC correction suggests that price may retest support around 3,670 USD before resuming the uptrend. Fibonacci and previous consolidation levels provide clear zones for entries, stops, and profit-taking.
Gold Price Forecast – Long Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
Gold price retraced from the 3777–3785 resistance zone and is currently consolidating during Asia Session. The chart indicates a solid support base around 3714–3723, while resistance is capped near 3777–3785. As long as price holds above support, the bullish bias remains intact, with potential to retest upper resistance.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry (Buy): 3723
Stop Loss: 3712
Take Profit: 3785
Risk/Reward (R:R): 1 : 5.62
🌍 Macro Background
Gold holds firm near $3,750 in early Asian trading, supported by expectations of further Fed rate cuts and elevated geopolitical risks. The Fed has already cut rates by 25bps in September, bringing the Federal Funds Rate to 4.00%–4.25%, with projections showing two more cuts this year and one in 2026. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, boosting demand.
Meanwhile, heightened geopolitical tensions — with NATO warning Russia over repeated airspace violations — continue to fuel safe-haven flows. However, Fed Chair Powell’s cautious comments about balancing labour market weakness with inflation risks may limit the upside momentum in the short term. Despite this, the medium-term structure still favours the bulls.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance (R): 3777 / 3785 / 3790
Support (S): 3723 / 3714
📝 Trade Summary
Gold remains supported by rate cut expectations and safe-haven demand. A buy setup near 3723 with stops below 3712 and target at 3785 offers a favourable risk/reward profile. Sustained momentum above 3785 could open the path towards the 3800 psychological level.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Gold (XAUUSD) – 25 Sep | Key Supply & Demand Zones in Focus🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 25 September
Hello Disciplined Traders,
Welcome to the Chart Is Mirror Community 👋
Market Context
• Gold remains in an H4 pullback with M15 downtrend aligned.
• Yesterday, price broke the key M15 HL 3736.6 , confirming a market structure shift to the downside.
• Price retested our first sell POI — 3750.5–3756 OB + S&R — and is now moving lower, in line with structure.
Key Observations
• A break below 3717.5 would confirm a new M15 BoS and strengthen the bearish bias.
• Next short POI : Strong supply zone 3765–3772 . Observe price reaction here for best short opportunities.
Potential Buy Zone
• If market breaks 3717.5 first, watch 3707.5–3695.5 demand zone for short-term long setup — but only with clear LTF confirmation .
Today’s focus: Let the structure guide you. Trade with patience and manage risk carefully.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
World gold prices are experiencing profit-taking. After soaring to nearly $3,800 an ounce, world gold prices are facing profit-taking. Rising US new home sales have put pressure on the precious metal.
According to a report released on Wednesday by the US Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development, new home sales increased 20.5% last month to an annualized rate of 800,000 units, compared to an adjusted rate of 664,000 units in July.
New home sales increased 15.4% year-on-year and are now at their highest level since February 2022.
Despite the decline, world gold prices still receive positive forecasts from experts. Bart Melek - Managing Director, Head of Global Commodity Strategy at TD Securities predicts that gold prices could reach $4,000/ounce in the short term as central banks, especially China and many emerging markets, will buy millions of ounces more to increase their reserve ratios.
The main reason is that the US Federal Reserve (FED) continues to loosen monetary policy as it enters 2026. There is a high possibility of another interest rate cut this year, or even two, although the FED Chairman did not confirm it clearly in his speech on Tuesday," Melek said in an interview on Tuesday.
Gold is under pressure. Is a correction underway?Gold is fluctuating at a high level on the daily chart, but short-term weakness is evident.
On the 4-hour chart, prices have fallen below the range and are currently under pressure near 3750. The candlestick chart continues to trade below the short-term moving average, indicating a generally volatile and weak pattern. The recent rebound has approached a key resistance zone, and a correction is likely after the rebound correction is complete.
Although a reversal has formed on the 1-hour chart, the price has stagnated near the pressure band, and the MACD technical indicator has shown a divergence signal. The price is gradually approaching the lower track of the Bollinger band, indicating that the short-term momentum is gradually weakening and there is a probability of turning to adjustment.
From a comprehensive technical perspective, gold faces downside risks in the short term. The strength of the correction and the performance of key support levels are key. Focus on the resistance level of 3750 on the upside and the support level of 3715 on the downside.
Trading Strategy:
Short around 3755, stop loss at 3765, profit at 3730-3720-3710.
Long around 3710, stop loss at 3700, profit at 3740 or above.
Daily chart shows a bearish rebound; expect further declines.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has fallen below 3735 and may continue its downward trend in the short term. Pay attention to the MA5 moving average support and the previous top and bottom conversion level of 3708. If it can hold 3712-3708, you can consider going long on gold with a light position, and the SL is given to 3700. Once it falls below 3712-3708, it may test 3685. Aggressive investors can enter in the evening, while conservative investors can wait for my specific trading strategy tomorrow.
Quick Gold Long: Playing the Rebound GameGold has now fallen below the 3755 area, disconfirming the ascending triangle formation in the short term. The price has continued to fall below the downward channel support around 37740, signaling a short-term shift from strength to weakness. However, since gold hasn't shown clear signs of a peak, and the decline hasn't been a cliff-like drop, but rather a volatile downward pattern, the current technical pullback remains within normal limits and hasn't reached the level of a reversal. Therefore, gold still has the potential to rebound after this pullback.
Gold has retreated to the 3730-3725 area. While the decline hasn't completely stopped, the decline has certainly slowed. Furthermore, this area offers some technical support. Gold may rebound in the short term after fluctuating within this area, potentially reaching the 3740-3750 range.
Thus, for short-term trading, we can initially consider going long on gold in the 3730-3725 area, with a short-term rebound target of 3740-3750.
Prices fell. Has a low been reached?The daily gold chart suggests a continued bullish trend. Consecutive breakouts confirm continued upward movement. The MACD indicator remains within overbought territory, indicating a modest rise and not signaling a lack of upward momentum.
In the short term, the 4-hour chart also suggests an upward bias for gold. Technical indicators are extending gains within positive territory, with prices retreating to the middle Bollinger Band and now overlapping the 20-day moving average. The MACD indicator has formed a golden cross and is trending downward. Gold remains above the 20-day moving average. While the longer-term moving average maintains an upward trend, it remains well below the 20-day moving average. Most indicators suggest a easing of bullish momentum.
Prices are currently retreating. For stable trading, it is recommended to remain cautious and wait for a price low before entering a long position.
Of course, if aggressive trading is desired, long positions around 3725-3730 are still an option.
Go long on pullbacks; avoid chasing highsToday, as long as it breaks through 3780, I will stop going long and continue to monitor the market 📊. If it climbs to around 3800, we can attempt short positions and set the SL properly ⚠️
I reminded everyone multiple times yesterday to exit long positions at 3790 to avoid pullbacks 📉, and our stance remains unchanged today: we still favor looking for long opportunities during pullbacks 🐂—under no circumstances should we chase long positions at high levels ⚠️
Buy 3750 - 3755
TP 3760 - 3770 -3780
Sell 3798 - 3800
TP 3780 - 3770 - 3760
SL 3802
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