Inflation in the US has become a complex issue.Inflation in the US has become a complicated issue for the gold market. Rising consumer prices have forced the Fed to maintain a neutral monetary policy, keeping interest rates unchanged until 2025, increasing the opportunity cost of holding gold. However, high inflation also increases the risk that the US could fall into recession, which is supporting safe-haven demand for the precious metal.
On the other hand, a weakening labor market has economists predicting that the Fed will cut interest rates again this month despite high inflation to complete the other half of its mission.
Specifically, the number of weekly unemployment benefits in the US increased by 27,000 compared to the previous week, to 263,000, higher than the market forecast of 235,000. Today's jobless claims report is in the group of monetary policy dovish, who want to see the US Federal Reserve (Fed) cut interest rates more aggressively.
Meanwhile, annual US inflation, as measured by the consumer price index (CPI), increased in August, to 2.9% compared to the same period last year. This is the highest level since January and up from 2.7% in the July report.
Xauusdanalysis
9/12: Tug of War, Watch Resistance at 3658 and Support at 3623Good afternoon, everyone!
Key Supports
30M: 3643–3635
1H: 3637
2H: 3628
4H: 3630 / 3578–3571
1D: 3639 / 3591
Key Resistance
3658–3663
Intraday Trading Outlook
Prioritize selling at highs;
Consider short-term long entries near support, but keep trades quick and disciplined with tight stop-losses.
Yesterday, gold rebounded from 3623 but failed to break resistance, then pulled back to 3610 before bouncing again. With news-driven momentum, it broke through the 23–33 resistance zone, which aligned with our expectations. Currently, the 23–33 support is holding, while price is testing the 3658 resistance, putting the market in a consolidation phase. Technically, bears hold a slight advantage. Key levels to watch are 3637–3633/3623 supports, especially the 3628 level on the 2H chart — a breakdown here would severely weaken the bullish structure.
Today is Friday, and next week’s rate decision will provide clearer direction. Ahead of that:
If price remains in a tight range, risks are limited;
If bulls push higher, a post-news decline is likely (buy the rumor, sell the fact);
If bulls exit early or trigger a fake move, bears may take the lead, causing a deeper drop.
⚠️ Reminder: Volatility risk is high — avoid holding positions for too long and always set a stop-loss, regardless of profit or loss.
XAUUSD – Can Gold Extend Towards New All-Time Highs?XAUUSD – Can Gold Extend Towards New All-Time Highs?
Good day Traders,
During today’s Asian session, gold once again demonstrated solid buying interest. A confirmed break above 3658 would mark a significant resistance level, reinforcing the case for further continuation of the bullish trend.
Technical Outlook
The Fibonacci 2.618 extension has already produced a reaction, though in my assessment, liquidity in this zone has not been fully exhausted. This raises the prospect of another upward move to complete the liquidity sweep before any meaningful correction unfolds.
Given that today is Friday, a corrective pullback remains possible, as the market may look to rebalance flows and close the weekly candle at a comparatively lower level.
On the downside, a sustained break below the 3613 support would provide clearer confirmation of bearish momentum developing.
Trading Considerations
Selling Zone: Around 3688 (Fibonacci 2.618). A protective stop of approximately 6 dollars is advisable.
Buying Zone: Around 3558, with a suggested stop of roughly 8 dollars. This area offers potential for a more extended upward move in line with the broader trend.
Alternative Scenario: Should price close decisively beneath 3613, immediate short exposure would be justified as downward momentum takes hold.
This is my current outlook on gold for today. Traders are encouraged to align this perspective with their own analysis and apply disciplined risk management.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 12/09/2025
1. Momentum
• D1: Momentum is approaching the oversold zone. We should wait for a bullish reversal signal here to confirm a new upward move.
• H4: Momentum is currently in the overbought zone and preparing to reverse. This suggests price may continue sideways or move into a corrective decline.
• H1: Momentum is also in the overbought zone and about to reverse → the current upward move is weakening, and a short-term corrective pullback is likely.
2. Wave Structure
• D1:
The market is forming a 5-wave black structure. The current D1 momentum decline is nearly complete and may reach the oversold zone within 1–2 days, signaling that wave iv (black) is close to completion.
• H4:
Price is moving sideways. Since H4 momentum is preparing to turn down from overbought, wave iv (black) may still be in progress. We need to wait until H4 momentum moves into the oversold zone and reverses up to better evaluate the completion of wave iv.
• H1:
Price has been consolidating within a high liquidity zone (Volume Profile). The sideways and time-consuming behavior fits the nature of wave iv.
o A reliable confirmation of wave iv completion would be a breakout and daily close above 3657.
o If price fails to break this level and declines further, wave iv may develop into a triangle or complex corrective pattern.
o With both H1 and H4 momentum preparing to turn down, the scenario of wave iv continuing is more likely for now.
3. Trading Plan
• Scenario 1: If price breaks and closes above 3657, wait for a retest of this level to look for a Buy Breakout targeting wave v.
• Buy Zone 1:
o Entry: 3596 – 3594
o SL: 3585
o TP: 3669
• Buy Zone 2:
o Entry: 3557 – 3555
o SL: 3547
o TP: 3597
Gold Bulls Eye Fresh Highs Amid Fed Cut Bets 📊 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) is attempting to reclaim upside momentum after bouncing from the $3,632–$3,636 support zone. Price broke above the descending trendline, signalling potential bullish continuation if sustained above the support. Key resistance lies at $3,655–$3,658, aligning with prior rejection levels.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,633–$3,636 (Support retest zone)
Stop Loss: $3,632
Take Profit: $3,655 / $3,658
Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R): ~1 : 4.95
🌍 Macro Background
Gold edged lower to $3,630 earlier in the Asian session as profit-taking and a stronger USD weighed on the metal. However, Fed rate cut expectations remain strong, with markets fully pricing in a 25bps cut in September and Barclays projecting three consecutive cuts by year-end. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions continue to underpin safe-haven demand — Poland intercepting Russian drones and Israel’s strike on Doha highlight rising risks. This backdrop suggests dips could remain well-supported as traders await the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for further cues.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,655 / $3,658
Support: $3,633 / $3,636
Major Support Zone: $3,620
📝 Trade Summary
Gold remains underpinned by Fed easing expectations and geopolitical risks despite short-term profit-taking. The break above the trendline favours buying dips, with upside potential toward $3,655–$3,658. However, failure to hold $3,632 may trigger a retest of $3,620.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Gold at a Crossroad – 3645 Wall vs 3610 Base👋 Hello traders,
Gold is trading now around 3636 after printing the ATH at 3674. Since then, price has been rejected twice from the 3645–3650 supply zone, forming clear lower highs and showing signs of distribution.
🔸 HTF Picture (D1–H4):
Momentum is cooling, RSI is coming down from overbought, and EMAs are starting to lose their bullish slope. Structure is heavy under 3645, but the higher timeframe uptrend is still intact as long as 3610–3600 holds.
🔸 Key Levels:
Resistance: 3645–3650 → strong supply, rejection zone.
Support: 3610–3600 → structural base, must hold to avoid deeper correction.
⚡ Friday Context:
We have red USD news (UoM sentiment + inflation expectations). On top of that, it’s Friday, and gold often plays dirty before weekly close – fake spikes, liquidity grabs, and manipulation are common.
🎯 The battlefield is clear: 3610 vs 3645. If bulls defend the base, we could see another push higher. If sellers keep control below the wall, more downside opens.
📊 What’s your play here? Buy the dip or fade the wall?
👇 Drop your thoughts in the comments, hit the like button if this helps your trading, and don’t forget to follow GoldFxMinds for daily precision updates 🚀✨ ma refer la text, asta era textul
Gold XAU$, 1M TF, 18/03/2023 and the Odyssey to $3600OANDA:XAUUSD The Gold Odyssey: From $1,983 to $3,600 and Beyond
Once upon a time on TradingView back on March 18, 2023 (1M TF), gold (XAUUSD) was trading at $1,983.68. That’s when the chart of destiny was drawn — A bull flag breakout projection 75.14% with a bold target of $3,600.
⏳ 2 years, 5 months, and 22 days later, the projection hit on 08/09/2025— the beautiful patience and the satisfaction of this hodl is overwhelming.
Back in Q1–Q2 of 2023, many traders like @day0 echoed the same view. This cart was posted on the TradingView Gold community room walls multiple time getting MODED🤑 which went on for months😉 "GOLD CARTEL"
The journey was both technical and emotional — the "disciples of the (HODL) discipline" brought satisfaction as the chart aligned with macro reality. While I did take 10% profit at \$3,600 for validation of this projection, well the narrative isn’t over — now the charts point toward $4,000.
📈 The Timeline of Gold’s Rally
🔹March 18, 2023 – The Trigger
Gold surged post the Silicon Valley Bank collapse and accelerated central bank buying, breaking decisively above $2,000/oz.
🔹 2024 – The Sustained Rally
Through persistent inflation, geopolitical flashpoints, and a weakening dollar, gold extended gains. By year-end, it reached around $2,690/oz (+31%).
🔹 April 2025 – Breaching History
Gold shattered the $3,500/oz barrier, fueled by " record central bank accumulation " 🪙 and " dollar fragility ", cementing its safe-haven role.
🔹 April 9, 2025 – The Spike
The biggest daily jump since 2023, a 3% surge driven by bond sell-offs and safe-haven demand.
🔹 September 8, 2025 – The Mark of $3,600
Gold reached fresh record highs at $3,526/oz, supported by a weakening dollar, dovish Fed expectations, and global instability. The climax: $3,600 achieved — bulls eye 🎯.
The Chart Came First (March 18, 2023)
Gold was trading at $1,983.
A bull flag breakout projection pointed to $3,600, based purely on technical structure — no headlines, no hindsight.
“Gold’s journey from $1,983 to $3,600 wasn’t foretold by headlines — it was written in the charts first.
Exactly — this is a textbook example of that famous trader’s maxim:
"Show me the charts, and I’ll tell you the news.”
(TA + Philosophy):
When I first charted gold at $1,983 in March 2023, the bull flag projected a trajectory toward $3,600. At that time, there was no Silicon Valley Bank collapse, no April 2025 breakout, no Fed policy pivot — just a chart whispering its truth. Fast-forward 2 years, 5 months, and 22 days, every piece of “news” that followed — inflation spikes, central bank hoarding, bond sell-offs, dollar weakness — merely played its role as fuel for a path the chart had already mapped. This is the essence of market psychology: technical encode the collective positioning and pressure before fundamentals are written into the headlines. The gold move isn’t just about price — it’s about patience, conviction, and the timeless charting.
"nerves of steel with a Rush of Gold✨"
💡 Reflection:
The gold chart wasn’t predicting the exact news events (SVB collapse, Fed stance, dollar weakness). Instead, it revealed the underlying accumulation and pressure that would need some catalyst to unlock — and when those catalysts arrived, price delivered.
So yes — this is a perfect case study of “show me the charts and I’ll tell you the news.”
Thanks for reading,
Thank you Trading View
🌟Note:
This was never just a chart — it was a story of patience, macro forces, and market psychology converging. From $1,983 to $3,600, the bull flag wasn’t just a pattern, it was a prophecy. Now, as gold eyes $4,000, the question isn’t "if", but "when"
Always DYOR,
Trade Safely
-See you on the other side-
-Jova A
#XAUUSD in Consolidation After consolidating for months gold gave a bullish breakout. After a huge rally, before reaching its final target #XAUUSD #Gold taking a break now, before moving up further.
Currently it has formed a Bullish pennant formation.
Anyway being a technical trader, can get into entry after breakout confirmation.
XAUUSD – CPI Today: Liquidity Sweep Scenario & Trading Plan📊 Market View
Gold (XAUUSD) is sliding under short-term resistance (descending trendline), showing sellers are still in control short-term. On the M30 chart, buy-side liquidity levels are clearly stacked: 3,624 → 3,612 → 3,599 → 3,586.
👉 During the European session, expect a breakdown liquidity sweep toward these support zones before any bullish reaction.
📈 CPI View – US Session
Soft CPI (below expectations) → Weaker USD, lower yields → Gold may bounce strongly from 3,612 / 3,599 / 3,586 and retest trendline/resistance.
Hot CPI (above expectations) → Stronger USD, higher yields → Gold may break 3,612, sweep deeper to 3,599 or 3,586, then recover.
⚠️ High risk of news traps: the first reaction can reverse quickly. Wait for retests + confirmation candles before entering.
🔑 Key Levels
Dynamic Resistance (trendline): 3,643 – 3,646
React Zone FIB: 3,650 – 3,654
OBS Sell Zone: 3,665
Support/Liquidity Zones:
3,624.36 (key zone support BUY)
3,612.60 (CP/React FIB)
3,599.31 (BUY ZONE)
3,586.49 (END LIQUIDITY – BUY ZONE)
📌 Trading Plan
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,646 – 3,648
SL: 3,652
TP: 3,640 → 3,635 → 3,630 → 3,620 → 3,610 → ???
🔵 BUY SCALP: 3,612 – 3,610
SL: 3,605
TP: 3,616 → 3,620 → 3,625 → 3,630 → ???
🔵 BUY ZONE (Primary): 3,600 – 3,598
SL: 3,592
TP: 3,605 → 3,610 → 3,615 → 3,620 → 3,630 → 3,640 → ???
Backup BUY: (if liquidity sweep deepens) 3,58x
Hard SL: 3,578
❗ If 3,578 breaks, don’t rush to re-buy—CPI volatility can extend moves further.
⚠️ Notes & Risk
Reduce position size around the CPI release.
Always wait for confirmation (pin bar / engulfing / retest) before entering.
Use staggered TPs to lock in profits early.
An M30 close above 3,654 invalidates near-term shorts and opens 3,665.
✅ Summary
Gold could sweep liquidity into the buy zones before bouncing. Trade the reaction: SELL at 3,646–48 on rejection, BUY at 3,612/3,600 on clean bounce, and reserve backup BUY at 3,58x with tight risk.
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates and BIGWIN setups during CPI volatility.
XAUUSD – CPI Data Breakdown & Professional Insight | MMFLOW 🚀 XAUUSD – CPI Data Breakdown & Professional Insight | MMFLOW TRADING
📊 CPI Results (September)
Core CPI m/m: 0.3% (In line with forecast: 0.3%, previous: 0.3%)
CPI m/m: 0.4% (Above forecast: 0.3%, previous: 0.2%)
CPI y/y: 2.9% (In line with forecast: 2.9%, previous: 2.7%)
📈 MMFLOW Insight – What This Means for Gold (XAUUSD)
1️⃣ Headline CPI Beat Signals Sticky Inflation
The uptick to 0.4% m/m surprised markets and indicates inflationary pressures are not cooling as much as expected.
This strengthens USD short-term and pushes Treasury yields higher. The initial reaction is selling pressure on gold as traders price in a more hawkish Fed stance.
2️⃣ Core CPI Stability Offers Mixed Sentiment
Core CPI staying flat at 0.3% suggests underlying price pressures remain steady.
This tempers extreme hawkish expectations, leaving room for gold to recover after initial volatility, especially if yields stabilize.
3️⃣ Medium-Term Implications
Despite today’s stronger headline CPI, inflation remains on a downtrend y/y (2.9%), supporting the broader narrative of a Fed pivot in the coming months.
Central banks (esp. PBoC & EM countries) continue to accumulate gold, which underpins long-term bullish bias.
🔑 Technical Reaction Zones (M15/M30)
Resistance: 3,648 – 3,654 (Trendline/React FIB)
Support / Liquidity Zones:
• 3,624.33 – Key Zone Support BUY
• 3,612.54 – CP/React Zone FIB
• 3,599.23 – Major BUY Zone
🛠 Trading Approach After CPI
Expect whipsaw price action: an initial spike lower (USD strength) followed by potential recovery if buyers defend liquidity zones.
SELL Scalp: Only on strong rejection from 3,648–3,654 with tight SL.
BUY Opportunity: Watch for confirmed bounce signals at 3,624 / 3,612 / 3,599.
Stay nimble: CPI-induced volatility can sweep both sides before choosing direction.
✅ Summary
The hotter CPI print adds near-term pressure to gold, but the overall structure and central bank demand remain supportive. Expect liquidity sweeps before a potential bullish continuation.
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time execution updates, liquidity setups, and professional market insights during this volatile post-CPI session.
Gold 1H – Demand Sweep Before Premium ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,644 after multiple ChoCHs, showing engineered liquidity grabs. Price has defined clear demand footprints at 3,620 and deeper at 3,593, while premium supply is stacked near 3,673–3,680. This structure suggests a possible retracement into discount zones before expansion toward premium liquidity.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,620 – 3,618 (SL 3,613): Fresh demand block aligned with bullish order flow.
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,593 – 3,591 (SL 3,596): Deeper liquidity sweep, high R:R demand area.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,673 – 3,671 (SL 3,680): Premium supply pocket for short-term liquidity grabs.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Shallow Demand Reaction
• Entry: 3,620 – 3,618
• Stop Loss: 3,613
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,635
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,665+
👉 Expect a bounce from shallow demand before retesting premium zones.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Liquidity Sweep
• Entry: 3,593 – 3,591
• Stop Loss: 3,596
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,610
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,645+
👉 Ideal entry for swing traders seeking higher R:R after liquidity engineering.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,673 – 3,671
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,635
👉 Scalp opportunity at premium supply; bias remains bullish so manage risk tightly.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Bias remains bullish, but smart money may engineer a dip into 3,620 or deeper 3,593 demand before expansion. Cleaner setups favor buying dips; shorts from 3,673 are counter-trend scalp plays only.
XAUUSD Bears Hold the Line at 3650 zone – Next Stop 3570?In yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that in my view, OANDA:XAUUSD ’s correction is not yet complete and that we could be inside an unfolding ABC-type structure. I also suggested that the 3650 zone should be the main focus for bears.
Indeed, price rallied into that zone, consolidated in a small distribution phase, and then started to roll back down again.
At the time of writing, gold is trading at 3632, after retesting the 3623 recent low, which now acts as short-term support.
Looking forward, my idea remains unchanged: I expect another leg down, with 3570 as the next major target. For now, the 3650–3660 area acts as a strong ceiling, and if we look closely, one could even argue a potential double top is forming—if we discount the 3674 spike that marked the ATH.
On the other hand, a stabilization above 3660 would invalidate this bearish scenario and open the door for a new ATH. 🚀
Focus on CPI, 3640, 3620 long and short key pointsThe market focuses on CPI data, and in the short term 3640-3660 becomes the dividing line between bulls and bears for gold.
From the news perspective, due to the sharp decline in employment rate, the employment and economic environment in the United States have been affected, and a September interest rate cut is almost a foregone conclusion, which has prompted the recent continuous rise in gold prices. Whether the interim high of 3675 means that gold has peaked remains to be seen.
From a technical perspective, gold rebounded yesterday to correct Tuesday's decline, reaching a high of around 3657 before continuing its technically bearish downward trend and retreating to around 3640. Today, gold's overall volatility in the Asian and European sessions was limited, with 3640-3660 forming a short-term upper pressure, also becoming the dividing line between bulls and bears.
If the CPI data is bullish for gold, the first thing gold needs to do is to break through the short-term pressure of 3640-3660. Once it breaks through strongly and stabilizes above 3660, gold will continue to rise and is expected to set a new high of 690-3700.
On the contrary, if the CPI unexpectedly falls short, gold will only rebound tentatively but will be unable to break through the short-term suppression of 3640-3660, then the bears will officially counterattack and the market will briefly bid farewell to the bulls. A break below 3600 would target the key support level of 3580.
In summary, focus on the 3640-3660 resistance level and the 3620-3610 support level. If the European session sees a pullback to support without a break, a small, light position can be considered, For cautious traders, it's advisable to set the stop-loss order with a buffer of $3-5, depending on their account size.with a potential profit target of $10-$30. More conservative traders can wait for the CPI data before entering a trade.
Gold 1H – CPI Liquidity Play Before ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,633 after multiple ChoCHs and engineered liquidity grabs. With CPI news today, price is expected to sweep both premium and discount liquidity zones. The structure suggests engineered spikes toward 3,688–3,691 or dips into 3,595–3,592 before expansion.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,643 – 3,645 (SL 3,650): Premium supply pocket for short-term rejection.
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,688 – 3,691 (SL 3,696): Premium sweep zone targeting 3,680 → 3,670 → 3,660 → 3,650 with extended open target at 3,625.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,595 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Discount demand zone targeting 3,615 → 3,625 → 3,635 → 3,645 with extended open target at 3,685.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection (Intraday)
• Entry: 3,643 – 3,645
• Stop Loss: 3,650
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,620
TP3: 3,600
👉 Scalp opportunity if CPI spikes price into this supply zone.
🔻 Sell Setup – CPI Premium Sweep
• Entry: 3,688 – 3,691
• Stop Loss: 3,696
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,660
TP4: 3,650
Open: 3,625
👉 Expect engineered CPI move into premium liquidity before reversal.
🔺 Buy Setup – CPI Discount Sweep
• Entry: 3,595 – 3,592
• Stop Loss: 3,587
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,615
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,635
TP4: 3,645
Open: 3,685
👉 Ideal entry if CPI drives gold into deep discount demand before expansion.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
CPI will dictate volatility and smart money may sweep liquidity both sides. Key bias favors:
• Scalp sells at 3,643–3,645
• Deeper swing sells at 3,688–3,691
• High R:R buys at 3,595–3,592
Risk management is essential — expect fake-outs before expansion.
GOLD at Support , holds or not??#GOLD.. market just reached at his current supporting region.
That is around 3612 to 3618
Keep close that region and if market hold it in that case we can expect again bounce from here.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below 3612 on confirmation for further 20 points dip..
Good luck
Trade wisely
Focus on CPI, beware of unexpected surprisesThe market focuses on CPI data, which is unlikely to fluctuate significantly in the short term. Although it has fallen below the recent support of 3620, buying below is still strong, so don't chase the short position. From the news and other recent data, it can be seen that the weak US employment data has suppressed the economy, forcing the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. The current market basically assumes that 25 basis points has become a reality, so the possibility of positive CPI data is relatively high.
If the CPI data is positive for gold, it will first test the resistance level of 3640-3660. If the data triggers a strong rally, gold could potentially reach new highs, aiming for 3690-3700.
However, the previous NFP data was also crucial, but the result was a surprise. Therefore, we cannot rule out the possibility of a similar surprise with the CPI data. If the CPI data is bearish for gold, it will first test 3600 below. Once it falls below 3600, it will go to 3580.
The above content is just an analysis of the possible trend of gold, which you can refer to. If the European session retreats again to 3620-3610 without breaking, you can try to go long with a light position, and the ideal target is 3640-3660. If it falls below 3600, SL will be adjusted in time.
ANFIBO | I think XAUUSD on 11.10.2025 ???Well, today's gold price has broken the current H1 uptrend line, the price is currently around 3620, and is still holding on to the H4 uptrend line. We will need to pay attention to the following important resistance and support zones:
>> SELL SCALP: around 3670, SL 3677, TP 3600 - 3575
>> BUY SCALP: around 3580, SL 3570, TP 3665
>>> SWING BUY: 3560 - 3570, SL 3550, TP 3620 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
>>> SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Have a nice day guys ;)
GOLD Very Bullish , Can We Buy Again And Get 200 Pips ?Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3639.00 and we have a 4H Candle closure above it and we have a Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation ,and also we have a reversal pattern and the price closed above neckline , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy from 3639.00 when the price back to retest it , we need the price to go back and retest it and give us a good bullish price action and then we can enter , we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 15 Mins Closure .
6- Reversal Pattern .
Gold on the Edge: Risk-On Mood Pressures Bulls Ahead of CPI🔎 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) is consolidating between $3,624 minor support and $3,644 major resistance. The chart shows two possible pathways:
Bullish scenario: A breakout above $3,640–$3,642 resistance zone may trigger momentum toward $3,660–$3,672.
Bearish scenario: Failure to hold $3,624 support could lead to a sharper drop toward the broader $3,600–$3,598 support zone.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry (Long): Above $3,642 on breakout confirmation
Stop Loss: Below $3,640
Take Profit: $3,660–$3,672
Entry (Short): On rejection at $3,630–$3,633 or a clean break below $3,624
Stop Loss: Above $3,633
Take Profit: $3,600–$3,598
🌍 Macro Background
Gold price action is highly sensitive ahead of the U.S. CPI release. A softer print could reinforce Fed rate cut bets, weaken the dollar, and fuel upside for gold. Conversely, hotter-than-expected CPI may push the USD higher and pressure bullion lower. Geopolitical tensions (Poland drone incident, Middle East escalation) remain supportive for safe-haven demand, limiting downside risk.
📌 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,640 / $3,642
Support: $3,624 / $3,600
📝 Trade Summary
Gold sits at a pivotal zone, awaiting a CPI-driven breakout. Bulls need to reclaim $3,642–$3,644 to push higher, while bears will aim to break $3,624 to extend the correction.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAUUSD Bearish Reversal Potential from Local Highs?Price has shown a strong bullish run but is now hitting a confluence of key resistance levels, suggesting a possible short-term reversal.
Here are the key bearish confluences:
📉 Fibonacci Retracement Resistance:
Price rejected the 61.8% retracement (from a prior high), around 3645.49, a classic reversal level.
📊 Overextended Trend:
Steep rise through ascending Gann fan levels — typically unsustainable without a correction.
☁️ Ichimoku Cloud Rejection Zone:
Price touching the edge of the projected cloud — often a resistance area in bullish extensions.
🚩 Bearish Candlestick Formation:
Early signs of a reversal candlestick forming near resistance.
🎯 Fibonacci Downside Targets:
Target 1: 3653.39 (38.2% retracement)
Target 2: 3632.70 (100% retracement – measured move completion)
Target 3: 3609.60 (previous demand zone + possible fib cluster)
Entry Zone: 3645 - 3655
Target Zone: 3653 → 3632 → 3609
Invalidation: Break and close above 3662