Abundant energy. Breaking through 4000?Gold continues its strong bullish trend, and the bullish outlook remains unchanged. Having already broken through the 3900 mark, the upside target could reach 4000.
Based on the cyclical rhythm, we expect continued unilateral gains in the early part of this week (Monday and Tuesday); be wary of a shift to a volatile upward trend or a reversal in the midweek (Wednesday and Thursday); Friday is likely to see a corrective rally, but if a reversal occurs midweek, there is a risk of a sharp correction on Friday.
Technically, gold maintains a healthy upward trend along its short-term moving average on the 4-hour chart. The bottoming out during the US trading session has completed the technical pattern repair, accumulating momentum for further gains. Although the current price is fluctuating at a high level, a new high is inevitable, as similar patterns have repeatedly demonstrated strong breakouts recently. Even if it maintains a high and narrow consolidation in the short term, there is a high probability that it will see a direct rise.
From the 1-hour level, the gold price is temporarily consolidating at a high level, but the small-cycle technical indicators have shown a certain degree of top divergence. This indicates that the short-term trend may continue to fluctuate at a high level and be strong, and we need to pay attention to the opportunity for bullish intervention after the correction. Watch for opportunities to enter the bull market after a pullback. The overall technical structure remains solid and supports a bullish outlook.
Trading Recommendation:
Continue to buy on a pullback to 3945, with a stop-loss at 3935. Profit range: 3970-3980-3990.
Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum Above Uptrend SupportAnalysis:
The 1-hour chart of XAU/USD shows a strong upward trendline, which has been consistently respected by price action. After a clear bullish momentum breakout around September 25th, gold has continued to post higher lows, confirming buyers’ control of the market.
Currently, gold is trading at $3,878, consolidating just below the $3,924–$3,935 resistance zone. The chart suggests two possible scenarios:
Continuation: If the price respects the upward trendline and breaks above the $3,924–$3,935 resistance, gold could aim for new highs, extending the bullish run.
Short-Term Pullback: A minor correction to retest the trendline is possible, but as long as the trendline holds, the bullish structure remains intact.
Technical Outlook:
Support: $3,855 / $3,785
Resistance: $3,924 – $3,935
Trend: Strongly bullish, supported by ascending trendline
Bias: Buy on dips towards the trendline, targeting a breakout above $3,935
Gold 1H – Liquidity Plays Between 3794 and 3918Gold on the 1H timeframe is fluctuating within a defined range after multiple ChoCH signals, with liquidity concentrated at both premium supply and discount demand. Current price action suggests engineered sweeps remain likely: upside liquidity sits near 3918–3916, while downside support aligns with 3794–3796. This dual structure sets up both tactical sell and buy plays depending on liquidity grabs.
From the macro perspective, gold traders are balancing caution ahead of upcoming U.S. data releases with the backdrop of a resilient dollar and persistent geopolitical risks. These drivers reinforce intraday volatility, where engineered liquidity hunts at extremes provide clearer opportunities.
⸻
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3918–3916 (SL 3925): Premium supply sweep zone. Downside targets at 3896 → 3872 → 3853.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3794–3796 (SL 3788): Discount demand aligned with structural lows. Upside targets at 3819 → 3853 → 3872+.
⸻
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Grab at 3918–3916
• Entry: 3918–3916
• Stop Loss: 3925
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3896
• TP2: 3872
• TP3: 3853
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand at 3794–3796
• Entry: 3794–3796
• Stop Loss: 3788
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3819
• TP2: 3853
• TP3: 3872+
⸻
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains liquidity-driven and range-bound, with engineered sweeps expected at both premium highs and discount lows. Flexibility is crucial: fade rallies into the 3918 supply zone, while preparing to scale into longs if liquidity clears into the 3794 demand base.
Gold Bullish Momentum: Layering Longs For Maximum Gain!🏆 XAU/USD | The Gold Robbery Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)
🎯 Plan Setup (Bullish)
Entry (Layering Style):
Using the Thief Layer Strategy 🕵️♂️ → Multiple Buy Limit layers
$3625
$3630
$3635
$3640
(Add more layers based on your own strategy & risk appetite)
Stop Loss (Thief SL):
@3610 (Adjust based on your own strategy & risk ⚠️)
Take Profit (Escape Point):
Target resistance zone @3690 🚪💰
⚡ Note: This is a flexible thief-style plan — adjust SL/TP levels as per your personal money management and execution style.
📊 Why This Plan? (Thief’s Market Analysis)
🔎 Real-Time Market Data (10 Sept 2025)
Price: $3,643.71
24h Change: +0.48%
Range: $3,620.90 – $3,644.56
🧠 Retail Sentiment (Contrarian Signal)
Long: 37%
Short: 63%
➡️ Retail crowd is heavily short → Contrarian bullish setup.
🏦 Institutional Sentiment (Commitment of Traders)
Net Long: +249,530 contracts
Long: 315,796
Short: 66,266
➡️ Institutions are firmly positioned long ✅
🌡️ Fear & Greed + Volatility
Neutral (shifting from Greed)
VIX <14 (52-week low) → Calm market backdrop
📉 Macro & Fundamentals
US jobs data: Weak (22K vs. 75K expected)
Fed rate cut probability: 99.4% (September meeting)
Central bank gold demand + geopolitical tensions supportive
Upcoming CPI/PPI = key catalyst
📐 Technical View
Price holding above $3,625 support
Ascending channel continuation
Overbought zone = caution for short pullbacks
🗝️ Key Takeaways (Thief OG Notes)
USD weakness + Fed dovish tilt = Gold tailwind
Retail shorts = bullish contrarian setup
Institutions backing the move higher
Short-term overbought → manage exits smartly
🔥 Related Markets to Watch
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver)
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
SP:SPX (S&P 500)
TVC:US10Y (US 10Y Treasury Yield)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD (Bitcoin correlation check)
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals #ThiefStrategy #TradingPlan #GoldBulls #MacroAnalysis #MarketSentiment
GOLD DAILY – MACRO PERSPECTIVE FOR LONG-TERM GOLD
Hello everyone 👋
Today is the weekend, let's review gold's movements to gain insights for the upcoming trading week.
The weekly candle closed at 3,886.5 – a high level that most investors did not anticipate. The nearly full bullish daily candle has strongly reinforced the main bullish trend of gold in the medium and long term.
🔎 Technical Perspective
Analyzing through Fibonacci extension, the next target for gold is at 4,000, coinciding with the 1.618 Fibo level and an important psychological resistance zone.
This is a confluence zone between technical and psychological factors, expected to have a strong reaction when the price approaches this area.
The current uptrend is almost unwavering, bolstered by macro factors – U.S. political instability is causing uncertainty for the USD.
💡 Macro Perspective
The U.S. government shutdown is indefinite, economic data is delayed, causing market confusion.
USD weakens, while gold becomes a safe haven.
This context continues to reinforce the long-term uptrend of gold, especially as investors seek value-preserving assets.
⚖️ Long-term Scenarios and Strategies
1️⃣ Long-term Buy Scenario:
Entry: 3,640 – 3,650 zone
Reason: This is a strong support area on the Volume Profile chart, where large liquidity is concentrated.
When the price returns to this area, the pressure of profit-taking and position unwinding from trapped traders will create a strong price rebound effect.
This is the most potential buying zone in the medium term.
2️⃣ Short/Medium-term Reaction Sell Scenario:
Entry: around 4,000
Reason: This is a confluence resistance zone of technical (Fibo 1.618) and psychological (round number) factors.
Prioritize short-term reactionary selling, capturing the pullback if gold hits a peak.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Trading on larger time frames requires capital and good management skills, as stop-loss ranges are wider compared to shorter frames.
Do not enter trades too early without confirmation signals from the price zone.
Always clearly define the time frame and profit expectations before entering a trade.
📈 Summary:
The long-term trend of gold remains bullish, with a medium-term target towards $4,000.
Buying around 3,640 is a beautiful price zone to accumulate a long-term position.
Sell reaction around 4,000 if there is a clear reversal signal.
👉 If you want to follow daily updated scenarios, follow me
Gold XAUUSD: Double Top, Volume Profile, and VWAP Trade Plan📊 Gold (XAUUSD) has been trending higher overall, but recently formed a double top followed by a significant retracement ⚡. Despite that, price action is now beginning to show signs of a shift in structure back to the upside 📈.
🔎 In the video, we review both the VWAP and the anchored volume profile as part of the trade plan. For a potential long setup, I’ll be watching for price to break above the volume profile’s Point of Control (POC) 🎯.
❌ However, if price were to break below VWAP, that would invalidate the idea and I’d step aside until the next opportunity arises.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk appropriately.
Gold: The Higher It Flies, the Louder the Correction WhispersAs explained in my Sunday video, the new all-time high for Gold is not a question of if, but how high it can rise once it firmly breaks above 3900.
Indeed, Gold has continued its unstoppable march, printing ATH after ATH, with the latest one formed during today's Asian session at 3977 — another almost 1,000 pips gained since Friday’s close.
At this point, there are two undeniable facts every trader recognizes:
1. The trend is extremely bullish.
2. A correction is long overdue.
________________________________________
Technical Outlook
The recent rally remains contained within an aggressive rising channel, but the overlapping highs in the last few hours reveal signs of exhaustion.
A confirmation for even a minor correction — and in this case, with Gold moving vertically, a 500-pip retracement would count as minor — would come with a break below the 3955–3850 zone.
Such a move would likely open the door for a retest of the 3900 area, which now serves as a key support.
________________________________________
Trading Plan
At the time of writing, I’m holding a short position, fluctuating near entry, with small alternating gains and losses.
While I do expect a pullback, I also keep in mind Keynes’s timeless reminder:
“The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.”
That’s why my stop loss is tight, and my focus is on discipline over prediction.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – ASIA FORECAST (07/10/2025)Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around 3,961, consolidating after reaching the weekly high at 3,970. The market remains firmly bullish, but momentum has started to slow near the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
The Asian session opens with mixed sentiment — traders are monitoring whether gold will break above 3,970 for continuation or correct toward 3,950–3,940 to gather liquidity.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily Chart (D1):
• The uptrend remains dominant, supported by the 20 EMA and 50 EMA — both widely separated, indicating sustained bullish strength.
• RSI is hovering near 80, confirming overbought conditions but not yet reversing.
• Parabolic SAR remains below price, showing the trend is still intact.
• A close below 3,938 would be the first early sign of cooling momentum; above 3,970, bulls remain in full control.
1H Chart (H1):
• The structure shows consistent higher highs and higher lows since 3,820.
• Price is currently testing the upper trendline resistance of the ascending channel (3,968–3,972).
• MACD remains positive, but histogram bars are flattening — signaling potential consolidation.
• RSI at 70–72 confirms mild exhaustion, suggesting limited upside before a pullback.
• The 20 EMA (3,951) and 50 EMA (3,938) are the nearest dynamic supports.
15M Chart (M15):
• Price action shows tightening range structure with a sequence of short-term BOS (breaks of structure) between 3,956–3,962.
• MACD histogram decreasing, indicating reduced bullish pressure.
• RSI around 65–68 supports potential short-term retracement.
• Immediate support seen at 3,954, with deeper liquidity sitting at 3,944–3,940, which aligns with the Fibonacci zone.
5M Chart (M5):
• The short-term intraday momentum is slowing after repeated rejections around 3,962–3,964.
• Minor bearish divergence spotted between price and RSI, hinting at a temporary pullback.
• The nearest micro-support zones are 3,956, 3,952, and 3,944.
• Short-term structure remains bullish unless 3,940 breaks decisively.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone (Intraday Focus)
From 3,922 swing low → 3,970 swing high
• 38.2% Fib: 3,952
• 50% Fib: 3,946
• 61.8% Fib: 3,940
➡ This defines the Golden Zone between 3,952 – 3,940, ideal for bullish re-entries if price retraces during Asia.
If price bounces from this zone with confirmation, we could see renewed upside toward 3,968 → 3,975 → 3,985.
If the zone fails and 3,940 breaks, deeper correction may follow into 3,925–3,918.
⸻
🎯 High Probability Entries
Buy Setup: Wait for rejection or bullish confirmation in 3,952–3,940 (Golden Zone).
🎯 Targets: 3,962 → 3,970 → 3,975
🛑 SL: Below 3,935 (≈60 pips)
Sell Setup: Short only on clear rejection from 3,968–3,972 resistance zone (double-top / bearish engulfing confirmation).
🎯 Targets: 3,954 → 3,946 → 3,940
🛑 SL: Above 3,975 (≈55 pips)
Intraday / Swing Plays (H1–H4):
• Buy: If 3,940–3,946 holds on retest, looking for continuation toward 3,985–4,000.
• Sell: Break and close below 3,938 opens downside toward 3,918–3,902.
⸻
📅 Fundamental Outlook – Asia Session
No major Asian macroeconomic events expected early in the session.
However, traders should monitor:
• China’s market sentiment (risk appetite or yuan strength often influences gold demand).
• Upcoming US data later in the day: Federal Reserve members speaking and trade balance data could affect USD volatility.
• US Dollar Index (DXY) remains steady around 105.10, showing no major pressure, giving gold space to range or slightly extend gains.
Overall tone remains risk-neutral for the session.
⸻
⚠ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 3,962 – 3,970 / 3,975 / 3,985
Support: 3,952 / 3,946 – 3,940 / 3,925 – 3,918
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold remains in a bullish structure but is losing short-term momentum near the top of the channel.
A retracement into the Fibonacci Golden Zone (3,952–3,940) may offer the best high-probability buy setup for continuation toward 3,970–3,985.
If sellers push below 3,940, expect an intraday correction into 3,925–3,918, where fresh liquidity could form for the next bullish leg.
The bias for the Asia session remains bullish but cautious, awaiting reaction near 3,952–3,940 for confirmation.
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 06/10/2025 🥇
📊 GOLD TRADES RECAP
✅ BUY +110 pips
✅ SELL +110 pips
✅ BUY +110 pips
✅ SELL +60 pips
✅ BUY LIMIT +150 pips
💰 TOTAL PIPS WON: +540 pips
🎯 RESULT: 5 Wins | 0 SL
📈 ACCURACY: 100 %
🔥 Flawless start to the week!
Strong setups, perfect execution, and consistent profits.
👏 Congratulations if you profited ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
FOLLOW US IN YOUTUBE FOR FREE DAILY FORECAST.
XAUUSD breakout ?XAUUSD market open with a significant bullihs rejection with a gap open sginaling potenial bigger move as past week there has been 2 significant breako fo structure has given fuel for the market to create a potential new all time high. Lowertimeframe price action is high bullish with multiple break of structure and liquidity sweep from the support level indicating trend continuation as smart money is still buying on a pullback.
XAU/USD – Eyeing $3,94x and Beyond: Gold’s Relentless RunGold opened the week with unstoppable momentum, breaking above the $3,900 milestone for the first time. Safe-haven demand, fueled by ongoing U.S. government shutdown risks and expectations of Fed rate cuts, continues to drive XAU/USD toward record levels.
Despite the USD bounce and equity optimism, Gold buyers remain firmly in control, keeping the $4,000 psychological level in sight.
🔎 Technical Outlook (H1 – FIBO Matrix)
📍 Reaction Buy Zones
3884 – 3880 (Fibo 0.5 Support) → Intraday pullback demand zone.
386x (Fibo 0.618 Support H1) → Stronger reaction base, key liquidity defense.
📍 Reaction Sell Zones
393x – 394x (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 Extension) → Current resistance zone.
4000 Psychological Round Level → Major sell liquidity trap, watch carefully for reversals.
🎯 Trade Plan
1️⃣ BUY Scenario
Entry: 3884 – 3880 / 386x with bullish confirmation.
TP: 3925 – 3940, extended hold toward $4,000.
SL: Below 3850.
2️⃣ SELL Scenario (Short-Term Scalp)
Entry: 393x – 394x, or rejection at $4000 psychological level.
TP: 3900 – 3884.
SL: Above 3952.
⚡ Key Insights
Trend remains bullish, dips into Fibo support zones are buy opportunities.
$3925 → first resistance test, $4000 → big psychological barrier.
Momentum is fueled by safe-haven flows; risk sentiment & Fed updates remain critical.
💬 Your Turn
Will Gold blast through $4,000 this week, or will sellers defend this psychological wall? Drop your setups below 👇
Gold surges to recordGold surges to record
Gold prices soared to new highs Monday, briefly $3,950 per ounce, as mounting expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts and prolonged U.S. government shutdown uncertainty fueled safe-haven demand. Markets now assign a 95.7% probability of a rate cut in October and an 84.1% chance of another in December, according to the CME FedWatch Tool—further supporting non-yielding assets like gold.
The shutdown has halted key economic releases, including employment and inflation data, leaving investors with limited visibility on U.S. economic conditions. Despite this data blackout, gold has surged nearly 50% year to date, driven by geopolitical risks, central-bank buying, and strong ETF inflows.
UBS recently lifted its near-term price target for gold to $4,200, citing lower real interest rates as reducing the opportunity cost of holding bullion. Until Washington breaks its budget deadlock, uncertainty is likely to keep gold firmly in demand.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – LONDON FORECAST (06/10/2025)Gold is trading around 3,946, pushing strongly upward after breaking out of last week’s consolidation zone. Buyers are firmly in control, supported by momentum across all intraday timeframes. Price is now testing a critical resistance area near 3,949–3,952, aligning with the upper boundary of a long-term ascending channel.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily Chart (D1):
The bullish trend continues strongly, with price maintaining distance above both the 20 EMA and 50 EMA, showing clear market strength.
• RSI is at ~79, indicating overbought conditions but not yet a confirmed reversal.
• The daily structure remains intact unless price closes below 3,876.
• Any dip into 3,920–3,910 may serve as a healthy pullback before continuation.
1H Chart (H1):
Price action shows clean structure — after a Break of Structure (BOS) at 3,886, gold has rallied impulsively.
• MACD histogram and signal lines remain strongly bullish.
• RSI sits around 74, confirming strong buying momentum.
• Nearest dynamic supports: 3,933, 3,925, and the 20 EMA at 3,918.
• Key resistance: 3,949–3,952, where we may see a short-term reaction or rejection.
15M Chart (M15):
Momentum remains bullish, but candles show early signs of exhaustion near resistance.
• MACD histogram is flattening but still positive.
• RSI is near 70, suggesting possible intraday correction before another push.
• Structure: Higher highs and higher lows remain consistent.
• Watch for a potential retest toward 3,933–3,931, which is the nearest Fibonacci 38.2% retracement from the last impulse.
5M Chart (M5):
The short-term trend remains bullish with a sequence of micro higher highs and clean BOS confirmations.
• Support levels to monitor: 3,940 → 3,933 → 3,925.
• MACD shows deceleration, implying price may temporarily consolidate before the next leg.
• Price above all EMAs (20 / 50 / 200) confirms strong buyer control.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone
The latest impulse leg on the M15 chart, from 3,922 (swing low) to 3,949 (swing high), places the Fibonacci Golden Zone (0.618–0.65) between 3,933–3,930.
➡ Scenario A – Bullish Continuation:
If gold retests this golden zone and finds support, expect renewed buying pressure with targets 3,949 → 3,960 → 3,972.
➡ Scenario B – Bearish Intraday Correction:
Failure to hold 3,930 could trigger deeper retracement into 3,918–3,910, still within the larger bullish structure.
⸻
🎯 High Probability Entries
🔹 Scalping (M5–M15, ≤ 60 pips SL):
• Buy Setup: Look for bullish confirmation (hammer/engulfing) near 3,933–3,930 (Fib Golden Zone).
🎯 Targets: 3,945 → 3,949 → 3,960
🛑 SL: Below 3,925 (≈60 pips)
• Sell Setup: Short only if price forms a double-top or bearish engulfing at 3,949–3,952 resistance.
🎯 Targets: 3,933 → 3,925 → 3,910
🛑 SL: Above 3,955 (≈55 pips)
🔸 Swing / Short-Term Intraday:
• Buy: On retracement to 3,925–3,918, if price respects structure and holds the EMA support.
🎯 Targets: 3,949 → 3,972 → 3,985
🛑 SL: Below 3,910
• Sell: Only if a confirmed break and retest below 3,918, which could open room for 3,902–3,886.
🛑 SL: Above 3,926
⸻
📅 Fundamental Outlook – London Session
No major UK or EU economic data during the morning session.
However, upcoming US Fed speeches and ISM services data later today could create volatility in the NY session.
• Hawkish Fed tone → bearish for gold (USD strength).
• Dovish tone or weak ISM data → bullish for gold (USD weakness).
DXY currently stable near 105.2, while yields show mild retracement — slightly supportive for gold intraday.
⸻
⚠ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 3,949 – 3,952 / 3,960 / 3,972
Support: 3,940 / 3,933 – 3,930 / 3,918 – 3,910
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold remains in a strong uptrend with price nearing overbought intraday conditions.
A pullback into the Fibonacci Golden Zone (3,933–3,930) may offer the best high-probability buy opportunity toward 3,949–3,972, as long as the structure holds above 3,918.
If sellers reject strongly at 3,949–3,952, expect short-term correction back to 3,933–3,925, providing new liquidity for the next bullish impulse.
XAUUSD – WEEKLY SCENARIO -ATH CONTINUES TO HOLD THE CHAIN
Hello trader 👋
Gold prices are currently moving sideways after a strong previous rally. The market is temporarily lacking momentum as the US government remains shut down, causing economic data delays – this reduces liquidity and makes many short-term traders hesitant to open new positions.
Currently, the price structure remains within an upward channel, but there are signs of accumulation and tug-of-war around key resistance – support zones. Therefore, the appropriate strategy during this period is “Buy at support zones, Sell at psychological resistance,” combined with POC (Point of Control) on the Volume Profile to identify the highest liquidity price areas.
⚙️ Technical Structure
The overall trend still leans towards bullish, however, short-term corrective waves may appear as the price approaches strong resistance zones.
Thick volume areas clearly shown on the chart are where large investors are accumulating or distributing orders.
RSI is currently in the neutral zone → no overbought signal yet, so the possibility of range-bound movement remains high.
⚖️ Detailed Trading Scenario
🔴 SELL ZONE (Strong resistance – prioritize reactionary selling)
Entry: 3,970 – 3,972
SL: 3,977
TP: 3,952 → 3,935 → 3,920 → 3,905
👉 Note: This is a psychological resistance zone – confluence between the upper edge of the price channel and the previous volume peak.
🔴 SELL SCALPING (short-term selling when support breaks)
Entry: 3,923 – 3,925 (wait for support break confirmation)
SL: 3,930
TP: 3,910 → 3,900 → 3,885 → 3,860
🟢 BUY ZONE (buy at support + POC volume profile)
Entry: 3,883 – 3,885
SL: 3,875
TP: 3,900 → 3,915 → 3,940 → 3,965 → 4,000
👉 This is a strong technical support zone, coinciding with the POC of the Volume Profile – high liquidity, high rebound potential.
💡 Insights & Notes
The upward price channel remains intact, but buying pressure is gradually weakening, making short-term corrections more likely.
Be patient and wait for direction confirmation before entering trades, avoid FOMO during sideways phases.
News is limited this week due to US political situation → market prone to tug-of-war, low volatility.
📌 Summary:
Buy at liquidity support zones (3,883–3,885).
Sell reactionary at psychological resistance zones (3,970–3,972).
Maintain a flexible mindset within the trading range, wait for clear confirmation signals to increase win rates.
Stay updated with new gold articles by following me
Gold Hits $394x! New ATH: Fed & BoJ Drive the Rally.Hello, traders!
Gold (XAU/USD) just had a massive breakthrough in the Asian session, setting a New ATH around $394x after breaching the $3900 barrier. This strength is underpinned by two major monetary policy factors: Fed rate cut expectations and the likelihood of the BoJ (Bank of Japan) delaying rate hikes due to the new Prime Minister.
Fundamentals & Technical Caution
Dual Drivers: The market anticipates two more Fed rate cuts this year, which, combined with the BoJ's dovish outlook, creates a strong foundation for Gold.
Safe-Haven: The ongoing US Shutdown and geopolitical tensions maintain demand for Gold as a safe haven.
FOMO Warning: The upward momentum is fierce, but you must avoid buying the high (FOMO). Prioritize Buying on pullbacks to FVG (Fair Value Gaps) to ensure safer entries.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $3954, $3963
Support: $3910, $3895, $3883, $3870
Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management):
BUY SCALP: $3910 - $3908
SL: $3904
TPs: $3918, $3928, $3938, $3948, $3958
BUY ZONE (FVG): $3895 - $3893
SL: $3885
TPs: $3903, $3913, $3923, $3933, $3943
SELL ZONE (High Risk): $3964 - $3966
SL: $3974
TPs: $3956, $3946, $3936, $3926, $3916
Are you ready to capitalize on this new momentum? Share your view below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Fed #BoJ #Shutdown #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #RateCuts
GOLD approaches the $4k mark:The upward wave hasn't stopped yetLiamTrading – GOLD approaches the $4000 mark: The upward wave hasn't stopped yet
Hello everyone,
Gold continues to maintain its impressive upward momentum as the DXY only slightly increases by 0.50% and is currently at 98.21 – a signal indicating that safe-haven flows still prioritize precious metals.
Currently, the technical structure on H1 shows gold is in a clear upward channel, with reaction zones accurately identified through Fibonacci and trendlines, aiming for the next major target of $4000/oz.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1)
Main trend: Strong increase, the Higher High – Higher Low structure remains solid
Main support zone: around 3890 – 3900, coinciding with the confluence of Fibo 1.0 + upward trendline
Psychological resistance zone: 3955 – 3999, corresponding to Fibo expansion 2.0 – 3.6
RSI is entering the 70+ zone, reflecting strong buying pressure but short-term correction signs need to be observed.
🎯 Today's Trading Scenarios
Buy scalping
📍 3909 – 3911
🛑 SL: 3904
🎯 TP: 3940 – 3955 – 3970 – 3990
Buy swing
📍 3888 – 3890
🛑 SL: 3882
🎯 TP: 3910 – 3925 – 3950 – 3975 – 3990
Sell scalping
📍 3956 – 3958
🛑 SL: 3964
🎯 TP: 3935 – 3910 – 3890
Sell swing
📍 3997 – 3999
🛑 SL: 4010
🎯 TP: 3975 – 3950 – 3925
🧭 Trend Analysis
With the current upward force and stable technical structure, the $4000 target is entirely feasible in the short term.
The preferred strategy is to BUY with the trend, waiting for pullbacks to optimize entry, avoiding FOMO at the peak.
Corrections to the support zone 3890–3900 will be a beautiful opportunity to open buy positions.
💡 I will continue to update detailed reaction zones & new plans in each session.
Follow me for the earliest updates on daily gold scenarios!
XAUUSD Delivered Excellent profits [ 600 pips]Thanks to those traders who followed us and made profits 📈🙏 keep grinding 💪.
I booked profits on buying orders during Friday session, entering around 3857-3855 and exiting near 3930, while my shorter-term longs hit the 3910 target on today’s Tokyo session hike.
Going forward, I’ll continue buying dips from my key entry zones as long as Gold holds above the bullish trend till 4000
GOLD IMPORTANTwithout any useless details going to read market :
this morning we experienced strong movement to 3920
IF FALL :
first step is 3888. there is so many bank trades.
if price keep falling it will support from 3870 then 3888 again and strong fall.
OTHE WAY :
if price keep rising to 3944 which is top of channel it will break it easily and keep rising to 4000 easily.
trade note :
now we are middle of channel which means it can do any movement and reach your SL's easy.
if price break 3888 i will sell it
if keep rising i wil buy it after 3944.
stay safe gold is so wild
check relative analyse too
"it's just good business"
Gold Eyes $3920–3950 as Bulls Defend $3800 ZoneGold is currently trading around 3830, after testing the higher zone near 3870–3880. The chart shows a pullback from the highs, and price is now entering a support & consolidation area around 3819–3805 (Fib 0.382–0.5 zone). This zone is crucial because it aligns with trendline support and previous breakout levels. If buyers defend this region strongly, gold has potential to resume upward momentum toward 3870–3880 (recent swing high) and then 3920–3955 (Fib extension and resistance zone).
On the downside, if 3800–3790 fails to hold, then a deeper correction toward 3760–3740 is possible before buyers step back in. Trendline and market structure are still bullish overall, so pullbacks are expected to be opportunities rather than trend reversals.
Summary:
Immediate support: 3819–3805, then 3787–3760
Immediate resistance: 3870–3880, then 3923–3955
Bias: Bullish while holding above 3790; upside targets 3920–3955.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Bulls on Fire! The 4000 Challenge BeginsWhen summarizing the trading on Sunday, it was clearly pointed out that gold would inevitably hit 3900 or even 3930 this week. However, it was unexpected that gold had reached 3920 so early. Although it retreated slightly after reaching around 3920, according to the current structure and trend, the bull trend has not ended yet and there is still room for growth.
Since gold has once again broken through the recent high of 3895, the double top structure constructed in this horizontal area has become invalid and temporarily has no resistance effect. In fact, after the top and bottom conversion, this position area may play a supporting role to a certain extent in the future. As gold breaks through 3900, market bullish confidence may expand unprecedentedly, and the enthusiasm for buying will be pushed to another level. As the center of gravity of gold moves up, the current technical structural support has moved up to 3880-3870; and the strong support is located in the 3850-3840 area.
If gold cannot effectively fall below these two key support areas during the retracement. Gold will continue to maintain its bullish trend and continue its strong upward trend. It is even expected to continue to set new highs and reach around 3930 or even 3950. Once gold rises and breaks through 3950, the 4000 mark will follow!
So in terms of short-term trading, we can first try to start buying gold in small batches in the area around 3880-3870. After all, the entry price is relatively high, so we must control the lot of transactions and set up protection.
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