GOLD Resistance Cluster Above!
HI,Traders !
#GOLD made a bearish
Breakout of the support
Cluster of the rising and
Horizontal support levels
Which is now a resistance
Cluster round 3661$ then
Went down and made a local
Pullback on but we are bearish
Biased mid-term so we
Will be expecting a further
Bearish move down this week !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
Xauusdanalysis
Gold Not Bottomed Yet:Selling Rallies Remains Key After a deep V-shaped rebound to near 3673, gold fell sharply again, hitting a new low near 3627. Clearly, after the rate cut, most investors took profits, driving gold prices down. As gold's center of gravity shifts downward, the current short-term resistance area has shifted to 3660-3670.
From the current structural perspective, gold is shifting from strength to weakness, with bears gradually recovering and taking control. Following the sharp rally, there is also a need for a technical pullback. While gold has rebounded slightly, there are no clear bottoming signals. I believe gold has not yet reached a low and is likely to continue to test the 3625-3615 area. If this area is broken, it will open up further downside potential, potentially extending the downward trend to around 3580.
XAUUSD – Trading Plan for the New York SessionHello traders,
The last two trading sessions have been very successful, and I hope they have helped build your confidence in approaching the markets. Today, I will share my perspective on the next steps for gold during the New York session.
Trend Outlook
Gold has declined sharply and reacted well at the liquidity zones and support areas I highlighted earlier.
Although the market has bounced twice from these levels, which may lead some to expect a recovery, my view is that the overall structure still favours the sellers. It is unlikely we will see a significant correction during this session.
Towards the end of the US session, trading volumes may ease, but I believe the downward move will continue, albeit at a slower pace.
Trading Strategies
Sell Setup
Zone: 3642 – 3644
SL: 3648
TP: 3635 – 3627 – 3615 – 3600
Buy Setup 1
Zone: 3613 – 3615
SL: 3608
TP: 3625 – 3638 – 3645
Buy Setup 2 (longer-term)
Zone: 3595 – 3598
SL: 3590
TP: 3610 – 3625 – 3638 – 3645 – 3670
Conclusion
For the New York session, the priority remains to follow the bearish bias, seeking Sell opportunities on the lower timeframes. Buy trades should only be considered at the strong support zones mentioned above.
Stick to the plan and take positions when the setups align.
Follow along to share ideas and receive the quickest updates as the market evolves.
Gold Market Deep Dive – Fed Cut, Price Action & What’s Next📊 FX:XAUUSD Gold Market Deep Dive – ECONOMICS:USINTR Cut, Price Action & What’s Next
Close (Sep 17): Gold ended at $3,657 , after spiking to a fresh ATH at $3,707 on
👉 Classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” : price rallied from the $3,635 buy zone (Sep 15) , peaked on announcement day, then corrected lower.
🚨 Record High → Sharp Pullback
Rallied +$50 in two sessions, then sold off just as fast.
Price now retracing toward $3,635 support zone (prior demand).
JPMorgan’s Sell the News warning came true—profit-taking hit hard, as many ignored the caution signals.
🏦 Two Paths Ahead
Path A: Bounce from current level (aligned with 38.2% Fib retracement ) → recovery rally.
Path B (more likely): Support break → dip to $3,620–$3,610 before finding footing.
⚖️ Either way, the overall trend remains bullish . This was a healthy correction overdue after a parabolic climb.
🌍 The Bigger Story
YTD still up +40%, record highs intact.
Catalyst for selloff wasn’t bearish fundamentals—it was position unwinding .
Central bank demand, inflation hedging, and TVC:DXY weakness continue to underpin long-term upside.
Deutsche Bank’s 2026 gold forecast: $4,000/oz .
ETF demand rising.
📉 Technical Map – Bulls vs. Bears
⚡ Short-term weakness:
Intraday “strong sell” signals across MAs/oscillators.
RSI cooling, MACD momentum fading.
Current floor: $3,635 zone → key decision point.
⚡ Supports to Watch:
$3,635 (current)
$3,620 → $3,610 (deeper correction if broken)
⚡ Resistance:
$3,685 → $3,707 (ATH zone) – breakout reignites bullish trend
🔍 NFX Market Insight
Gold’s reaction isn’t trend-breaking—it’s profit-taking + healthy correction .
If $3,635 holds → recovery toward ATH.
If it fails → dip into $3,610s before resumption.
Bigger picture: Fed cut = bearish USD , so the bullish gold trend remains intact.
⚠️ This content is for informational/educational purposes only, not investment advice.
ANFIBO | XAUUSD on my view today??? [09.18.2025]Hello traders! It’s me, Anfibo. As usual, I’d like to share my personal view on gold OANDA:XAUUSD for today’s session.
On the H4 chart, gold continues to hold firmly within the upward channel, showing no major signs of weakness. The latest H4 candle closed as a bullish hammer with a long lower wick and a strong body, indicating aggressive buying absorption and solid reactions around the trendline.
In my view, as long as price stays above 3,620 USD, the bullish structure on H4 remains intact, and buyers still maintain control.
On H1, price is currently trading around 3,671 USD, and I expect it to retest yesterday’s FOMC gap near 3,678 – 3,680 USD. This is a sensitive area because it aligns with multiple confluences:
> Fibonacci retracement 0.618.
> Trendline confluence.
> Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Together, these factors make 3,678 – 3,680 a strong short-term resistance, worth considering for a counter-trend sell scalp setup.
Here’s my personal plan today:
>>> BUY SCALP:
ENTRY: around 3.645
SL: 3,640
TP: 3,679 – 3,690
_________________
>>> SELL Scalp
(1) ENTRY: 3,670 – 3,674
SL: 3,676
TP: 3,655 – 3,650
(2) ENTRY: 3,678 – 3,680
SL: 3,685
TP: 3,650 – 3,645
My approach remains the same: buy at strong support, sell at confluence resistance, and never take trades without clear risk management in place.
Besides technicals, don’t overlook today’s Unemployment Claims data. This release could trigger volatility and potentially break through key levels. Personally, I’ll wait for the market’s reaction to the news before committing to larger positions.
>>> Final Thoughts:
- H4 trend: still bullish above 3,620.
- H1: likely retest of resistance at 3,678 – 3,680.
- Plan: BUY around 3,645 – SELL around 3,678 – 3,680.
- Stick to risk management, and stay mindful of U.S. news flow to avoid being caught off guard.
Goodluck guys! ;)
Gold price analysis September 18✏️ #XAUUSD – Gold Price Analysis Today
After the interest rate data was released, gold returned to test the important support zone and quickly saw buying pressure again. As long as the 3657 zone remains stable, the uptrend is likely to continue. The 3675 resistance zone will be the first challenge – if broken, the price could surge and move towards the target of 3720, even extending the rally to higher levels.
Conversely, if 3657 is broken, gold could retreat to a deeper consolidation zone with the next support around 3620.
📉 Notable Trading Zones
🔸 BUY when price reacts at 3657
🔸 BUY around deep support zone 3620
⭐ Target: 3720
🔺 Support: 3657 – 3620 – 3600
🔻 Resistance: 3675 – 3699 – 3720
Do you have the courage to follow me and take a long position?Gold, as expected, reached our target trading range and then fell, hitting our desired profit-taking level, resulting in good profits for our short positions. Just now, gold briefly dipped to around 3627 before rebounding quickly. If the US session tonight sees gold test the support level of 3635-3625 without breaking below it, consider going long on gold; the short-term target could be 3655-3670.
Gold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for ItselfGold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for Itself
Gold Market Outlook
Gold continues to demonstrate a well-structured bullish cycle, characterized by steady momentum and clean trend development. The market has transitioned from a prolonged consolidation phase into a sustained directional move, where each breakout is validated by controlled retracements. This reflects strong participation and confidence from larger players.
The sequence of market shifts and break-of-structure signals highlight how short-term pullbacks are consistently absorbed, turning into fuel for further expansion. Price action is orderly, with no signs of erratic volatility, showing that buyers remain in control and liquidity is being managed efficiently.
Overall, gold is moving in line with the broader macro sentiment. The rhythm of accumulation, expansion, and continuation suggests that the current cycle has not yet exhausted its potential. While interim pauses are expected, the structural integrity of the trend continues to favor upside development over the medium term.
The trend remains unchanged. Short sell on rebound#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
The price of gold fell below the MA5 moving average and the trend turned bearish. In the short term, gold rebounded again. If it touches 3662-3672, you can consider shorting gold again. The short-term target remains unchanged. We can continue to see 3633. If the bears are strong, it is even expected to touch the 3600 integer mark. Just follow and you will make money, let the winning rate and facts speak for themselves.
Gold 1H – Retail Sales Impact Before FedGold on the 1H timeframe is trading near 3,682 after a strong BOS. Liquidity is now stacked above the premium resistance at 3,700 and below the fresh FVG demand at 3,669–3667. With U.S. Retail Sales scheduled today at 19:30 VN time, volatility may spike intraday, but broader positioning remains cautious ahead of the Fed’s rate decision this week. Expect engineered sweeps into premium before retracements back into demand.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,700 – 3,698 (SL 3,707): Premium resistance for engineered sweep/rejection targeting 3,690 → 3,680 → 3,670.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,669 – 3,667 (SL 3,660): Fair Value Gap demand aligned with retracement into structure, targeting 3,680 → 3,690 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,641 – 3,639 (SL 3,632): Deep discount support zone targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,685+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,669–3,667)
• Entry: 3,669 – 3,667
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,690
TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for a liquidity sweep into the FVG zone before New York open.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Sweep (3,641–3,639)
• Entry: 3,641 – 3,639
• Stop Loss: 3,632
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,655
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,685+
👉 Strong R:R if price hunts stops below structure before Retail Sales data.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,700–3,698)
• Entry: 3,700 – 3,698
• Stop Loss: 3,707
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,680
TP3: 3,670
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium supply before fading lower.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Retail Sales may provide short-term volatility, but Fed expectations will dominate the week. Smart money is likely to run both sides of liquidity: fading premium near 3,700–3,698 while protecting buys at 3,669–3,667 and 3,641–3,639. Trade with reduced size and confirm structure on H1 closes.
9/18: Trade Within 3674–3638 Range, Watch Resistance Near 3670Good morning, everyone!
Those who followed yesterday’s strategy should have made good profits—congratulations!
Currently, the price is hovering near the 3658 support. For today, the main resistance is around 3670–3680. If this level is broken and held, there’s potential to retest the 3700 area. If not, the bullish momentum may weaken.
On the 1H chart, if the next move forms a strong bullish candle (medium/large green candle) to break through, the probability of further upside will increase, giving bulls more opportunities. However, if the price continues to face heavy resistance without breaking, watch out for bears who may launch an attack. Key supports to watch are 3647 and 3636–3632. If these levels break, the 1D trend will show a reversal, with a drop below 3600 very likely, and deeper corrections possibly extending to the 3560 area.
Intraday strategy:
Trade within the 3674–3638 range.
If the 3680 resistance is broken strongly, look for buying opportunities on a pullback or consider selling near 3688 or higher.
If 3650 breaks, look to sell on rebounds near resistance, or consider buying opportunities below 3630.
Adjust trades flexibly according to market changes.
Gold Price Falls After Fed DecisionGold Price Falls After Fed Decision
Yesterday, as expected, the Fed lowered its rate from 4.25%–4.50% to 4%–4.25%. Although rate cuts are generally seen as supportive for gold, the XAU/USD chart shows bearish price dynamics: after a short-term spike above $3700 (a new all-time high), gold retreated sharply, forming a long bearish candlestick (marked with a red arrow).
This may be explained by the fact that expectations of a rate cut had already been priced in, while at the press conference the Fed Chair struck a less “dovish” tone than the market had hoped for. While Jerome Powell did voice concerns about the labour market, he gave no clear signal of readiness for aggressive or rapid further cuts.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
At the start of the week, we:
→ drew a steep ascending channel (shown with orange lines);
→ suggested a potential move lower towards the orange dashed line (an additional support line plotted beneath the channel).
Indeed, the dashed line acted as support today. What are the possible scenarios?
Bearish view:
→ the long upper shadow of the candlestick marked with the arrow clearly points to strong selling pressure;
→ the price only briefly broke above the psychological $3700 level – a bull trap (or Liquidity Grab in Smart Money Concept terms);
→ $3675 has flipped from support to resistance.
Bullish view:
→ the dashed trendline has confirmed its role as support – it may help the price move towards the midline of the orange channel;
→ the $3600–$3625 area looks like solid backing. Following the rally in early September, gold repeatedly found support there without falling below it.
Considering that in early September the price was around $3450, the market still looks bullish overall. However, as we recently outlined three reasons why gold’s advance could stall, it now seems that the black line, drawn through lower lows, may serve as another bearish signal – this time on the lower timeframe.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis – September 18, 2025Looking at XAUUSD on the 15-minute chart, the price has shown some retracement after touching the higher levels earlier today. Below are the key levels to watch for potential entry:
Resistance Levels:
3,668.00: The price has struggled at this level. If price pushes above here, we could see further upward movement toward 3,677.00.
3,677.68: Key resistance zone, watch for any rejection at this level.
Support Levels:
3,661.77: Potential support where the price has previously reacted. A bounce here could offer an entry for longs, targeting higher levels.
3,658.56: Next support zone. If price drops further, this level could act as a buy zone.
3,650.25: Major support zone, if the price breaks lower, this will be the next area of interest.
Potential Scenarios:
If the price holds above 3,661.77, expect a bullish continuation towards 3,668.00 and potentially 3,677.68.
A drop below 3,658.56 could lead to further downside toward 3,650.25.
Note: Be cautious of market volatility and ensure proper risk management. Keep an eye on volume and price action near key levels.
Greetings,
MrYounity
XAU/USD 1H – Bullish Continuation from Demand Zone .Key Observations:
Uptrend Structure:
Price has been consistently making Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), confirming an overall bullish market structure.
Break of Structure (BOS) levels confirm continuation of the trend.
Market Structure Shift (MSS):
Recently, price created a short-term shift downward (MSS) but retraced into a POI zone (demand area) near 3,646 – 3,659.
Current Setup:
The price bounced from the POI zone and is now recovering upward.
A long position was marked with entry near 3,659, Stop Loss at 3,646, and Target around 3,709.
Bias:
As long as price holds above 3,646 (POI zone), bullish continuation is favored.
If broken below 3,646, bearish correction could extend further.
Gold Analysis: Strong Upside Potential from Key Support ZoneHey everyone, Ken here!
I'm keeping a close eye on XAUUSD, and right now, gold is approaching a very important support zone that I’ve shared before. This level is not only reinforced by strong buying pressure but also aligns with the trendline, making the potential for a bounce here very high.
If price confirms support here through strong price action, such as long lower wicks or a bullish engulfing candle, I believe gold will reverse and target 3,724, a reasonable goal given the current market structure.
However, if price breaks and holds below this support zone, the bullish trend will be invalidated, and we could see a sharp decline.
This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always assess your setups and ensure proper risk management when trading!
Good luck with your trades!
Gold sees steady buying pressure in recent hoursGold sees steady buying pressure in recent hours
Gold fell to $3,637 on Thursday after the Fed cut rates by 0.25% but hinted at a slower path ahead. Prices later rebounded, trading near $3,670. The dollar strengthened as investors scaled back bets on aggressive easing, with Chair Powell stressing a meeting-by-meeting approach amid labor market risks.
Despite the dip, gold remains up 39% this year, supported by Fed policy expectations, geopolitical tensions, and central-bank buying. In India, limited recycling of jewelry and coins signals confidence in further price gains.
Traders should watch upcoming Fed meetings—slower cuts could keep the dollar firm and weigh on XAUUSD.
Gold (XAUUSD) – 18 Sep | Watching 3644–3637 Demand Zone for Long🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 18 September
Market Context
• Yesterday’s FOMC event caused extreme volatility, with price spiking to a new all-time high at 3707.5 , followed by sharp selling.
• M15 structure remains bearish, but our key demand zone from yesterday’s analysis is still valid.
• Market may look to grab sell-side liquidity below this zone before any potential move up, so caution is key.
Key Zone to Watch
• Demand Zone : 3644 – 3637 (strong area of interest for potential buy setups).
• Monitor price reaction here before committing capital.
Execution Plan
• Wait for price to respect 3644 – 3637 demand zone
• Look for LTF confirmation before planning a long setup
• If zone is invalidated, step aside and wait for deeper levels
Let price come to your zone — patience turns setups into opportunities.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Bull Fever Cools:The Market Still Owes Us a WaterfallAs I expected, the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and Powell did not show a clear dovish tone in his speech. Gold fell from 3707 to around 3646, with a drop of $610. Our short positions at 3685 and 3700 that we had ambushed overnight won as expected, and we successfully locked in a profit of 750 pips in the news market.
Although the Federal Reserve is inclined to take a hawkish approach to rate cuts, gold has rebounded from around 3646. Although it has performed relatively weakly, the downward momentum has slowed down and a unilateral downward trend has not formed. Overall, it is still in the high-level fluctuation range. So we can't rush to short gold at the moment. Because gold still has the possibility of rebounding back to the 3675-3685 area, and may even be expected to rebound back to the 3690-3700 area. After all, gold did not effectively fall below 3650 during the decline.
Although the decline in gold prices did not change the overall structure, it weakened the market's enthusiastic bullish sentiment in the short term, and the technical resistance also moved down to the 3675-3685 area, followed by the 3695-3705 resistance area. If gold rebounds to the resistance area, we can try to short gold, and the short-term retracement target is set in the 3655-3645 area. Once gold falls below this area, it is expected to continue the downward trend to the 3635-3625 area. Of course, it is not ruled out that gold will fluctuate widely in the 3690-3650 area.
Therefore, we can still make very good profits from the perspective of profit margin by shorting gold at the resistance areas of 3675-3685 .
Gold Rejected at $3,700 – Correction Ahead?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around $3,662 and moving within an upward channel structure, but showing signs of weakness near the resistance zone. Price recently tested the $3,698–$3,700 resistance area and failed to break higher, creating a potential short-term top (marked as a weak high). This rejection signals that sellers are gaining strength. If price fails to sustain above $3,675–$3,698, it increases the probability of a deeper correction toward the lower channel and demand
Overall, Gold remains vulnerable to correction unless bulls reclaim and sustain above $3,700, which would invalidate the bearish setup and reopen the path toward $3,725–$3,750.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
- Resistance: 3670 – 3690
- Support: 3625 – 3600
📌 Sell Zone & Sell Trigger:
- Sell Zone: 3675 – 3680 area
- Sell Trigger: If Gold retests and rejects the $3,690–$3,700 resistance zone, it becomes a valid sell entry with confirmation of bearish rejection.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold's Reversal: Analyzing the Fed's Surprise MoveThe gold market's movements last night were unpredictable and far from simple. After hitting a new historical peak of $3,707.40/oz, gold unexpectedly turned around and fell to $3,681.39/oz, despite the Fed cutting interest rates by 0.25% as expected! So, what exactly happened?
Fundamental Analysis: The Fed's Decision and Powell's "Cold Shoulder"
Rate Cut as Expected: The Fed cut interest rates by 0.25%, marking the first reduction this year after three cuts in 2024. This move, along with the forecast for two more cuts this year, met market expectations and initially sent gold soaring.
USD and Bond Yields Fell: Lower interest rates weaken the USD and reduce bond yields, making gold more attractive. This was the initial reason for gold's new peak.
Powell's "Hawkish" U-Turn: Everything changed when Fed Chair Jerome Powell spoke. He made surprisingly "hawkish" comments, suggesting the Fed doesn't need to rush its rate cuts and that today's action was just a "risk management" move.
The Aftermath: This statement poured cold water on expectations for a more aggressive rate-cutting path. Powell was clever—he both met market expectations and appeased political pressure (especially from the Trump administration), but he also kept investors in a state of caution and uncertainty. As a result, bond yields and the USD bounced back, putting selling pressure on gold.
Outlook: This shock might be temporary. Fundamentally, the Fed's start to a loosening cycle is still a positive long-term signal for gold. Gold may be impacted in the short term, but the bullish trend remains intact.
Technical Analysis: Volatility and Key Levels
Gold showed unpredictable swings after the news. After a quick drop to the $363x area, it bounced back very quickly. This shows that buying power at strong support levels is still robust.
Key Support: $3624, $3612, $3600, $3584, $3569
Resistance: $3667, $3675, $3686, $3700
Today's Key Level: The $364x range. If gold holds above this level by the end of the European session, we will favor long positions for the US session.
Trading Setups (Strict Risk Management is Advised):
Buy Scalp
Zone: $3639 - $3637
SL: $3633
TP: $3642 - $3647 - $3652 - $3657 - $3667
Buy Zone
Zone: $3606 - $3604
SL: $3596
TP: $3614 - $3624 - $3634 - $3644 - $3664
Sell Scalp
Zone: $3674 - $3676
SL: $3680
TP: $3671 - $3665 - $3660 - $3655 - $3645
Sell Zone
Zone: $3686 - $3688
SL: $3696
TP: $3678 - $3668 - $3658 - $3648 - $3628
Note: The market is highly volatile. Be cautious with every trade. Will gold continue its rally or correct further? Share your thoughts below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Powell #CMEFedWatch
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook Following Fed Rate CutXAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook Following Fed Rate Cut
Good day traders,
The key event for September has now taken place: the Federal Reserve reduced interest rates by 25 basis points, its first cut this year. Market expectations also suggest a further 50 basis point reduction may be on the table at the next meeting. In his remarks, Chairman Powell emphasised a dual risk – inflationary pressures could re-emerge while signs of labour market weakness continue to build.
Technical Perspective
Gold printed an H1 candle closing beneath the ascending channel, which signals a potential breach of the medium-term uptrend.
The bullish side failed to sustain momentum following the rate cut, reflecting a cautious approach to initiating long positions at elevated levels.
Medium-term investors may prefer to await a deeper pullback before considering new long exposure.
That said, the downside is not yet fully confirmed, as price continues to oscillate near the upward trendline → immediate short positions carry a degree of risk.
Trading Scenarios
Sell Strategy
Scalping: 3676 – 3678 | SL: 3683 | TP: 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628
(Stop-loss may be adjusted to breakeven should price respond favourably, allowing trades to run longer).
Sell Zone: 3697 – 3700 | SL: 3705 | TP: 3680 – 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628
Buy Strategy
Scalping: 3634 – 3636 | SL: 3629 | TP: 3645 – 3660 – 3672
Buy Zone: 3600 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3633 – 3645 – 3660 – 3675 (extended)
Conclusion
Gold remains in a delicate phase in the aftermath of the Fed’s rate cut. Close monitoring of price behaviour around key support and resistance levels is essential before a clearer directional bias can be established.
Stay aligned with this outlook — I will provide timely updates should the market structure shift. Follow to receive the latest scenarios as price action unfolds.
Gold 1H – Dollar Strength Weighs Ahead of US DataGold on the 1H chart is testing deeper demand zones near 3,612–3,614 after repeated liquidity sweeps into 3,678 and 3,702. Sellers continue to defend premium supply, with engineered stop-runs fading quickly. Today’s US data releases and renewed dollar strength keep gold vulnerable to further downside unless discount demand zones show strong defense.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,678 – 3,680 (SL 3,685)
Premium intraday pocket for rejection targeting 3,675 → 3,670 → 3,665.
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,704 – 3,702 (SL 3,711)
Major premium supply trap for engineered sweep before continuation lower toward 3,670 → 3,655 → 3,640.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3,616 – 3,618 (SL 3,610)
Fresh deep discount demand zone, targeting recovery into 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+ if defended.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Intraday Premium Rejection (3,678–3,680)
• Entry: 3,678 – 3,680
• Stop Loss: 3,685
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,675
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,665
👉 Expect engineered liquidity grab into premium before NY session.
🔻 Sell Setup – Higher Premium Trap (3,704–3,702)
• Entry: 3,704 – 3,702
• Stop Loss: 3,711
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,670
TP2: 3,655
TP3: 3,640
👉 Smart money may sweep highs near 3,704 before extending bearish leg.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Reversal (3,612–3,614)
• Entry: 3,616 – 3,618
• Stop Loss: 3,610
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,645
TP3: 3,655+
👉 Strong bounce potential if dollar retraces post-data; favorable risk/reward from deep demand.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
With US data and dollar strength in focus, gold remains heavy below 3,678–3,704. Favor short setups into premium sweeps, but monitor 3,612–3,614 closely for signs of accumulation. Trade smaller size until direction clarifies post-news.