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Xauusdanalysis

Is Gold Setting Up for a Bearish Move?Gold has faced rejection from the 30-minute resistance area near 4,012, followed by a break of structure to the downside indicating renewed bearish momentum. The market structure suggests a potential short-term continuation toward the 3,968 support zone as sellers regain control. Key Levels: Sell Entry: 4,000 Take Profit: 3,968 Stop Loss: 4,012 Reasoning: Technically, XAUUSD has rejected the resistance zone and confirmed a break of the structure, suggesting sellers are stepping in after a failed attempt to push higher. Lower highs and increasing bearish candles reflect momentum shifting in favor of the downside. Fundamentally, gold remains under mild pressure as investors await upcoming U.S. economic data, while a slightly firm U.S. dollar limits bullish extension in the short term. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own trading plan before executing any trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SwingTrade_Concept
1
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is consolidating near $4,000, following a rebound from the $3,948–3,957 support zone. The price faces strong resistance between $4,008–4,016, where there is a possibility to retrace back to the trendline. A rejection from this zone could confirm a short-term pullback toward support, while a decisive breakout above $4,023 may open the door to $4,050 and beyond. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $4,008 – $4,016 (resistance retest) Stop Loss: $4,023 Take Profit: $3,957 / $3,948 Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 3.8 🌐 Macro Background Gold extended its recovery for the second consecutive day amid renewed safe-haven demand, but the upside remains capped by the Fed’s hawkish stance. As FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani noted: “Gold trades with a positive bias for the second straight day, though remains capped below $4,050 amid mixed fundamental cues.” 【FXStreet】 The U.S. government shutdown concerns continue to weigh on sentiment, softening the Dollar slightly and supporting gold’s defensive bid. However, Fed Chair Powell’s hawkish tone—stating that another December rate cut “is not a foregone conclusion”—keeps the USD underpinned and limits further gold gains. In addition, the de-escalation in U.S.–China trade tensions has improved risk appetite, reducing safe-haven flows. This mixed backdrop leaves gold oscillating within a tight range ahead of key FOMC member speeches and month-end flows. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,008 – $4,016 Support: $3,948 – $3,957 Psychological Level: $4,000 📌 Trade Summary Gold trades near $4,000, balancing safe-haven support and Fed-driven headwinds. The short-term bias favours selling near resistance ($4,008–4,016) targeting the $3,957 zone, with stops above $4,023. A sustained close above $4,023 would invalidate this bearish bias. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
Gold Price Analysis October 31🟡 XAUUSD Update After a correction period, gold has formed a double bottom pattern, showing a clear reversal signal. The price has just broken out of the important resistance zone of 4026, reaffirming the main uptrend. Currently, the bullish momentum is still being consolidated, with the next target around the 4141 area. Technically, if the buying force is strong enough to push the price above 4141 – 4126, the uptrend will continue to expand, heading towards higher peaks in the coming time. The fundamental data is also supporting this bullish momentum. 📈 Trading Strategy: Prioritize BUYing with the trend BUY Trigger: When the price breaks the resistance zone of 4141–4126 BUY Now 🎯 Target: 4141 and above
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD Delivered Excellent profits [ 1500 pips in single Day ] Today I gave 2 Buy setups on mine in Early EU session and 2nd on N.y session. As I mentioned in today’s commentary session: • I took buy trades around 3930 & 3940 area My Tp was 3990 & 4010 , Both Targets went successfull. Secondly I gave another setup As always ,My strategy was to buy the dips, I took buy trades from 3967-3972 area and hold it 4010 - 4020. I’m very happy with the profits so far – . My medium-term target 4120 is achieved, Alhamdulillah. And I'm looking for new setup now towards ATH. Thanks to those who followed, trusted me, and made profits.
FX:XAUUSD
by Forexmaestro121
What is the purpose of this back-and-forth market manipulation?#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold prices have broken through short-term resistance due to news, and the hourly and 4-hour charts show prices above the middle Bollinger Bands. Therefore, we need to adjust our strategies accordingly. However, the market is currently fluctuating rapidly, and entering the market rashly in the short term still carries significant risks. Therefore, the wise choice is to wait and see, and enter the market only after the market stabilizes. In the short term, the upside resistance level to watch remains at 4030. If gold breaks through this level strongly during the US session, the price may test 4050. The initial support level to watch is 3980-3960. If the price retraces but does not break through this level, consider taking small long positions in gold in batches, with a target of 4010-4030. Temporary adversity is the best test for traders; setbacks only make us stronger. Success belongs to the confident, opportunity belongs to the pioneers, and miracles belong to the persistent! 💪💪💪
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC
Policy essence: "Eagle-wing rhetoric" concealing a loose coreThe trend significance of the interest rate cut decision: This interest rate cut is the second one in 2025, with a cumulative easing of 50 basis points, and the dovish forces in the voting results were significantly dominant - Milan's radical proposal to cut interest rates by 50 basis points was not passed, but the only opponent against the rate cut was Schmidt, with 10 votes in favor, highlighting the "loose consensus". This is a fundamental difference from the "consecutive rate hikes" tone in 2023. Historical data shows that the probability of initiating continuous easing within 3 months after the first rate cut is 83%, with the average gold price rising by more than 7%, and the current price has not reflected this trend. The liquidity booster from the termination of the balance sheet: The Fed clearly stated that it would completely end the balance sheet reduction on December 1st. The easing strength of this action has been severely underestimated by the market. From historical experience, within 1 month after the termination of the balance sheet reduction in 2019, the gold price rose by 4.2%, while the bank reserves have dropped to the critical level of 2.93 trillion US dollars, and the termination of the balance sheet reduction will directly release over 300 billion US dollars of liquidity. This "interest rate cut + balance sheet expansion" combination is precisely the core driving force for the rise of gold, and the price of 3924 US dollars underestimates this pricing. The misleading sentiment of Powell's statement: Powell emphasized that the interest rate cut in December is "not a certainty", which is actually a cautious statement in the absence of data - the US government shutdown led to the delayed release of data such as the September CPI, and the Fed needs to reserve flexibility for its policies. However, the non-farm payrolls added only 12,000 in October (far below the expected 113,000), and the core data of weak private sector employment has already laid the groundwork for the interest rate cut in December. Interest rate futures show that the probability of an interest rate cut in December is still 67%, and the speech did not completely reverse this. Today's gold trading strategy buy：3915-3925 tp:3940-3950 sl:3895
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Soboring today [10.30.2025]Hi traders, I'm here, Anfibo. XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan Trading Plan for Today: >>> SELL ZONE: ENTRY: 4135 - 4150 SL: 4165 TP: 4045 - 4010 - 4000 >>> BUY ZONE: ENTRY: around 3935 SL: 3915 TP: 4020 - 4080 - 4135 - ... Risk Management: - Prioritize Buy setups following the higher-timeframe trend; Sell only for intraday scalps. - Maintain a minimum Risk:Reward ratio of 1:2. - Avoid entries during major geopolitical or economic announcements. - Monitor the Head & Shoulders pattern closely — confirmation will guide the next major move. Conclusion: Gold has completed a healthy correction after its parabolic surge to $4,400, and the market is now regrouping around the $4,000 zone, with early signs of renewed bullish momentum. As long as $3,890 remains intact, the broader trend remains bullish, and I expect a potential rebound toward $4,200 in the near term. GOODLUCK, LOVE U GUYS!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
LiamTrading - XAUUSD: FED IMPACT AFTER FOMC NEWSLiamTrading - XAUUSD: FED IMPACT AFTER FOMC NEWS Hello Traders Community, The Fed’s latest rate decision has sent shockwaves through the market — Gold and BTC dropped sharply while the USD regained strength. The Fed cut interest rates for the second time this year, bringing them down to 3.75%–4%, but the announcement to end Quantitative Tightening (QT) on Dec 1, 2025, is the real game-changer. Now’s the time to stay calm, analyze the price structure, and trade according to plan. 📰 MACRO ANALYSIS: THE DOUBLE IMPACT FROM THE FED Rate Cuts (Supportive for Gold): The second rate cut should have boosted Gold, but much of this move was already priced in by the market. Ending QT (Strengthening the USD): The announcement of ending QT in December sends a strong signal — the Fed is rebalancing its policy stance. The USD’s rebound right after the news added selling pressure to Gold and BTC. Market Reality: Gold dropped sharply after the announcement and is now consolidating within a wide range. During the Asian session today, Gold moved nearly 70 points before correcting again. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: WIDE RANGE & BULLISH STRUCTURE Based on the current XAUUSD market structure: Structure: Gold is trading in a wide sideways range, but a bullish structure is gradually forming, showing signs of a sustainable Dow pattern. Strategy: Trade both directions to capture strong volatility — SELL at key liquidity resistance zones and BUY at deep liquidity support areas. 🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN) 🔴 SELL Scenario (Continuation Trade) – Sell at Short-term Resistance Entry: $4005 Stop Loss (SL): $4013 Take Profit (TP): TP1: $3990 | TP2: $3975 | TP3: $3960 | TP4: $3943 🟢 BUY Scenario (Recovery Trade) – Buy at Deep Liquidity Support Entry: $3907−$3909 Stop Loss (SL): $3902 Take Profit (TP): TP1: $3933 | TP2: $3954 | TP3: $3970 | TP4: $3999 The Fed’s decision has reshaped the short-term market landscape. The 70-point swing highlights Gold’s high liquidity — and its high risk. LiamTrading’s Advice: The bullish structure is building on lower timeframes. Be patient and wait for the ideal BUY zone at $3907 to catch the next potential recovery leg. Strict risk management is essential in this post-news phase. Are you ready to take advantage of this 70-point range? LIKE 👍 & COMMENT if you are!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Gold 30 Mints Resistance Rejection SetupGold is showing signs of weakness after retesting the 30-minute resistance area, following a clear break of structure. The market currently respects the lower high formation, suggesting a potential short-term correction toward the support zone as sellers regain control. Key Levels: Sell Entry: 3980 Take Profit: 3950 Stop Loss: 4000 Reasoning: Technically, the price has completed a structure break and is now retesting previous resistance, turning it into a new supply zone. Candlestick behavior shows bearish pressure, supporting a short setup. Fundamentally, stronger U.S. dollar sentiment and cautious risk tone before upcoming U.S. data keep gold under pressure. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own trading plan before executing any trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SwingTrade_Concept
Gold Under Pressure Sell Setup Near 3975XAU/USD is positioned near 3975, showing potential for a downside move as selling pressure builds and short term bullish momentum fades. If the current resistance holds, the pair could test the next support zone. Key Levels: Sell Entry: 3975 Take Profit: 3950 Stop Loss: 3995 Reasoning: Technically, Gold has stalled near 3975, forming a local ceiling. Price action suggests that sellers may push the pair lower toward 3950. Fundamentally, gold is facing headwinds from a firm U.S. dollar and rising interest rate expectations. Diminished haven demand and improving market sentiment in risk assets further limit upside potential. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SwingTrade_Concept
1
Gold's downward trend shows no signs of stopping sell on ralliesGold prices priced in the Fed's rate cut expectations yesterday, and quickly retreated after the data release. The bullish momentum was short-lived. After gold prices broke through $4000, almost everyone in the market believed a rebound was imminent. However, I maintain my view: yesterday's rebound was merely a corrective bounce after a sharp decline, just a sign of market recovery. The market is only rebounding, not reversing. Our short positions bought at 4020 have yielded substantial profits; you can refer to my post yesterday to verify its accuracy. The overall trend for gold remains bearish and volatile. Today, during the Asian session, we recommend selling on any rebounds. The 1-hour moving averages for gold continue their downward crossover and bearish alignment, and the price has now fallen back below the moving averages, indicating that the bears are still slightly stronger. After the Fed data release, the price quickly retreated after reaching 4007, and the resistance at the 4000 level suggests that selling on rallies is the best strategy. The bulls failed to hold above 4000, and the bears have the upper hand. Market conditions are constantly changing. Now that the bullish expectations have been priced in, gold has returned to a weak trend, and there is still room for further decline. The gold correction will continue. Today's trading strategy: Short gold at 3985-3995, with a target of 3930-3920.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Henry_Matthew
Today's gold trading strategyEconomic fundamentals: "Loose resonance" between employment and inflation The weak signals in the job market have been confirmed In October, the number of new non-farm jobs was at an all-year low, the proportion of long-term unemployed rose to 25.7%, and 6.4 million workers "wanted to work but withdrew from the labor market", indicating a continuous deterioration in employment quality. The "full employment" goal in the Fed's "dual mandate" has been threatened, and historically, whenever the new non-farm jobs were below 50,000, a rate cut would occur within the next three months, providing solid policy expectation support for gold. Substantial weakening of inflationary constraints Although the core CPI in September remained at 3%, the core PCE in August increased by only 0.2% on a month-on-month basis, and the trend has clearly declined. More importantly, Powell did not mention the "risk of inflation rebound" in his speech, but instead emphasized that "the tightening impact is still penetrating", suggesting that inflation is no longer the core contradiction of the current policy, which has opened up space for easing, providing "anti-inflation + interest rate hedging" dual support for gold. Today's gold trading strategy buy：3990-4000 tp:4010-4020 sl:3975
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
XAUUSD - Bears are taking over Gold remains under bearish pressure as it trades below key moving averages and fails to reclaim the 61.8% retracement zone. A confirmed 4H close below $3,920 would strengthen the case for a continuation toward the Fibonacci extension targets listed below. 🎯 Fibonacci Extension Targets (Bearish) Using the latest swing high to swing low: Target 1 (38.2%) → $3,832 Target 2 (61.8%) → $3,808 Target 3 (100%) → $3,776 Bias: Bearish continuation Confluences: Trend Structure: Price is forming lower highs and lower lows after rejecting from the previous swing high, confirming a bearish market structure. EMA Ribbon / Dynamic Resistance: The price is trading below the EMA ribbon, which is now acting as a strong dynamic resistance zone. Fibonacci Retracement: Price rejected from the 61.8% retracement level of the previous downswing — a key bearish retracement zone. Momentum Indicators: Bearish momentum increasing as candles close below the midline of the ribbon with low buying pressure. Volume/Confirmation: Decreasing bullish volume on retracement, followed by renewed selling pressure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VisionaryInsights
Gold: Trending downwards, 3980 is key.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD In the short term, gold is still digesting the hawkish impact of Powell's speech, and selling pressure remains heavy. From a technical perspective, yesterday's daily candlestick closed with a long upper shadow. The 4030 level has proven to be a strong resistance level for gold prices, while the daily MA5 moving average has continued to cross below the MA10 moving average, making 3980-3990 a key short-term resistance level. Only by breaking through this key resistance range can gold prices potentially test higher levels further. Otherwise, the market will remain in a weak and volatile state in the short term. On the support side, pay close attention to the double bottom support level formed on the hourly chart at 3920-3915. If this range is breached, gold prices may experience an accelerated decline, further testing 3880 or even 3850. Therefore, in the short term, European trading can try to short gold with a small position when the price rebounds to 3980-3990. The first target can be 3960-3950, and if the price falls sharply, the next target is 3920-3915.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Miracle-Walker_GC
XAU/USD – Gold in Equilibrium Zone: Sell Opportunities Around...🔍 Market Context Gold is currently consolidating within a triangle structure , showing short-term accumulation before a potential breakout. Buyers are trying to maintain a minor bullish structure, but the series of lower highs indicates that sellers still hold the upper hand. At the moment, price is reacting within the FVG 3,942–3,979 USD area, staying below the descending trendline. If this zone fails to break, selling pressure may return. 💎 Key Technical Levels • Bearish Order Block: 4,022 USD → main supply zone, aligning with the descending trendline. • FVG Zone 1: 3,979 USD → short-term liquidity test area. • FVG Zone 2: 3,942 USD → potential retracement zone before further downside. • Bullish Order Block: 3,882 USD → key support aligning with long-term bullish trendline. • Liquidity Zone: 3,789 USD → extended target if main support breaks. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Sell Setup – Reaction from Resistance Zone • Entry: 4,012 – 4,022 USD • Stop Loss: 4,035 USD • Take Profit: – TP1: 3,979 – TP2: 3,942 – TP3: 3,900 – TP4: 3,882 – TP5: 3,789 ✳️ “Sell the premium” – utilise supply and FVG reactions following Smart Money flow. 2️⃣ Buy Setup – Reaction from Demand Zone • Entry: 3,882 USD • Stop Loss: 3,865 USD • Take Profit: – TP1: 3,910 – TP2: 3,942 – TP3: 3,979 – TP4: 4,012 – TP5: 4,022 ✳️ “Buy the discount” – valid when strong absorption or reversal signal forms near the lower OB. 💬 Summary Current structure remains short-term bearish , yet the market is balanced. The most efficient approach is to sell near premium zones (4,022) and buy back near discount (3,882) . Expected range in the next 24–48 hours: 3,880–4,020 USD . 💡 Tagline: “Trade where institutions act — not where retail reacts.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 30/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure TVC:GOLD Gold rebounded from the $3,931–3,937 support zone, regaining traction above $3,950. The chart shows potential upside toward the $3,981–3,988 resistance zone, though price is still within a short-term range. If buyers maintain momentum, a break above $3,988 could open the way to $4,000. Conversely, failure to hold above $3,931 may trigger renewed downside pressure. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $3,937 – $3,931 (support retest) Stop Loss: $3,929 Take Profit: $3,981 – $3,987 Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 5.67 🌐 Macro Background Gold attracted safe-haven bids after snapping a four-day losing streak. As FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani notes: “The US Dollar drifts lower amid shutdown concerns, lending some support to Gold.” 【FXStreet】 The USD weakened despite the Fed’s hawkish stance, pressured by economic uncertainty from the prolonged U.S. government shutdown. The Trump–Xi meeting offered a softer equity market tone, reflecting lingering geopolitical caution. The Fed cut rates by 25 bps as expected, but Chair Powell rejected expectations of another December cut, limiting Gold’s upside. Traders now await FOMC member speeches for clues on the future rate-cut path. This combination leaves Gold supported by safe-haven demand but capped by Fed’s hawkish tilt. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $3,981 – $3,988 Support: $3,931 – $3,937 Psychological Level: $4,000 📌 Trade Summary Gold holds firm above $3,950 with renewed safe-haven flows, but faces resistance near $3,985. A bullish setup favours buying dips into support ($3,931–3,937) with targets at $3,987. Caution is warranted as Fed commentary could inject volatility. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
1
Gold /XAUUSD long🎯 Idea Summary: · Direction: Long · Instrument: XAUUSD (Spot Gold) · Primary Timeframe: 4H · Bias: Bullish (Counter-trend bounce) 📊 Technical Rationale: · Market Structure: The longer-term trend is still bullish, but price has corrected into a major support zone. Looking for a bounce. · Key Levels: · Support: $2315** (Previous Resistance), **$2300 (Major Psychological & Swing Low) · Resistance: $2340** (Recent Swing High), **$2355 (21 EMA) · Price Action / Pattern: Price is approaching the $2315 support. Watching for a bullish reversal candle (like a hammer or bullish engulfing) for a confirmation signal. · Confluence: · The $2315 level coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the last major up-move. · RSI is entering oversold territory (<30), suggesting selling pressure may be exhausting. ⚙️ Trade Setup: · Entry Zone: $2315 - $2320 (On a bullish confirmation candle) · Stop Loss: $2305 (Just below the key $2300 psychological level and the Fib level) · Take Profit Targets: · TP1: $2340 (First resistance, take 50% off) · TP2: $2350 (21 EMA & next resistance) · Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2.5 💡 Narrative / Fundamental Context: This is a mean-reversion play within a bull market.The confluence of a major Fibonacci level, prior support, and oversold RSI creates a high-probability zone for a technical bounce. A break below $2300 would signal a much deeper correction is likely. Disclaimer: This is my personal analysis and not financial advice. Trading commodities like gold carries a high level of risk. Always do your own research (DYOR) and manage your risk appropriately.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by Sthesh_Don_Billiato
1
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context Gold continues to weaken as renewed optimism over US–China trade relations reduces safe-haven demand. Despite the Fed’s dovish tone after the latest FOMC meeting, the Dollar remains relatively capped, offering limited support to bullion. However, the technical landscape remains bearish — the decisive break below the $4,000 handle signals a continuation of the downside structure that’s been unfolding since early in the week. 📊 Technical Analysis • Structure: Clear downtrend across H1–H4, with consistent lower highs and controlled liquidity sweeps. • Key Resistance: 3,985 – 4,000 (former support now turned supply). • Short-Term Targets:  – 3,925 – 3,930 → initial liquidity pocket.  – 3,880 – 3,860 → extended bearish target aligned with Fibo 1.618 extension. • Invalidation: Only a confirmed break & hold above 4,020 – 4,030 would shift bias neutral-to-bullish. 🎯 Trading Outlook If gold retests the 3,985–4,000 zone and fails to reclaim it, sellers are likely to extend control toward 3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC-driven volatility. Momentum remains bearish as long as the market trades below the 4,000 pivot — liquidity below 3,900 may attract smart money before any meaningful rebound. ⚜️ Summary This decline isn’t random — it’s a structural reset. The market is rebalancing after months of overextended bullish sentiment. Watch how price reacts between 3,920–3,880 — this zone could define the next shift in gold’s short-term direction. 📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight: “Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold price analysis on October 30Fundamental Analysis Gold prices remained confined within a familiar range, despite the volatility caused by the US Federal Reserve's key monetary policy decision on Wednesday. Powell noted that policymakers may be more cautious if this prevents them from releasing further reports on jobs and inflation. Markets are now pricing in a 67.8% chance of the Fed keeping rates unchanged at its December 10 meeting, compared with a 9.1% chance before the Fed's announcement. President Trump said he hoped to reduce US tariffs on Chinese goods in exchange for Beijing's commitment to curbing fentanyl precursor exports. Technical Analysis Gold gained ground in Asia and is eyeing a return to the 4000 handle, which could happen early today as more supportive news comes in. The weekly peak around 4025 will act as a stop for the price increase and act as a correction to find more buying momentum towards 4100. The BUY zone around 4025 is still good, buying power is still accumulating around here. If the trendline around 4025 is broken, Gold will fall deeply to 3865. Trading signals BUY GOLD 3925-3923 SL 3920 SELL GOLD 4025-4027 SL 4030 SELL GOLD 4095-4097 SL 4100
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader