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Xauusdanalysis

Gold Near ATH – Fed Catalyst Incoming!🚀 Gold Holds Near Record Highs – Key Buy Zones Ahead of Fed Policy Shift 📰 Market Context Gold remains close to its record highs as traders brace for the U.S. Federal Reserve’s expected monetary policy easing this week. Market participants are also hunting for clues about potential rate cuts later this year. Adding fuel to the bullish sentiment, unprecedented pressure from former President Trump on the Fed—including attempts to remove Governor Lisa Cook—has become the latest catalyst. According to Goldman Sachs, this could send gold soaring toward the $5,000/oz mark over the longer term. 🔢 Technical & Fibonacci Outlook On the H1 chart, price has respected the uptrend trendline and is approaching key reaction levels: Fibo Reaction Zone – Bullish Breakout Support: Around 3,655 (potential first entry) Down Trendline Retest Zone: Around 3,624 (secondary entry for deeper pullbacks) Upper liquidity levels 3,727–3,738 mark the next reaction zone where sellers could appear. These Fibonacci levels align with prior breakout points, suggesting strong structural support. 🟢 Trade Ideas 1️⃣ BUY ZONE #1: 3,655 Stop Loss (SL): 3,645 Take Profit (TP): Risk–Reward 1:1 → 1:2 → 1:3 → Open for new ATH if momentum continues 2️⃣ BUY ZONE #2: 3,624 SL: 3,610 TP: Risk–Reward 1:1 → 1:2 → 1:3 → Open for new ATH| ⚠ Key Notes & Risk Management Monitor Fed announcements closely—volatility can spike during the policy release. Watch for liquidity grabs near 3,727–3,738; partial profits may be considered there. Always adjust your position size to account for potential whipsaws around high-impact news. This analysis is for educational and idea-sharing purposes only, not financial advice. 💬 Discussion 📊 Do you expect the Fed’s decision to fuel a breakout toward a new all-time high, or will gold face heavy profit-taking at liquidity zones? Share your perspective below!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold 1H – Breakout Liquidity Trap Ahead of ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,652 after sweeping discount liquidity and reclaiming structure. Price has tapped into the breakout zone and is now positioned between premium scalp supply and higher liquidity pools. The structure suggests engineered plays into 3,656–3,658 or deeper liquidity toward 3,672–3,674 before expansion. Discount demand remains protected at 3,614–3,612. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,672 – 3,674 (SL 3,679): Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640. • 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,656 – 3,658 (SL 3,663): Short-term premium sweep zone for intraday liquidity grabs targeting 3,645 → 3,640. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,614 – 3,612 (SL 3,607): Discount demand block aligned with bullish order flow targeting 3,630 → 3,640 → 3,655. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Scalp Rejection • Entry: 3,656 – 3,658 • Stop Loss: 3,663 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,645  TP2: 3,640 👉 Intraday scalp opportunity if price sweeps into shallow premium liquidity. 🔻 Sell Setup – Deeper Premium Sweep • Entry: 3,672 – 3,674 • Stop Loss: 3,679 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,660  TP2: 3,650  TP3: 3,640 👉 Expect engineered sweep into higher premium before reversal. 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand Reaction • Entry: 3,614 – 3,612 • Stop Loss: 3,607 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,640  TP3: 3,655 👉 High R:R play if price retraces to protected demand before expansion. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Smart money is likely to manipulate both premium and discount zones around the breakout point. Bias favors: • Scalp sells at 3,656–3,658 • Swing sells at 3,672–3,674 • Discount buys at 3,614–3,612 Risk management is critical — expect liquidity sweeps both sides before real expansion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Complacency Before the Fall? Bulls in Control, But For How Long?Yesterday, I was debating whether last week’s consolidation was a rectangle (suggesting continuation) or, in fact, a triple top (hinting at correction). I began the session with a slightly bearish bias, but the reversal from support and the subsequent breakout above the consolidation’s resistance forced me to reevaluate. The breakout was clean, momentum followed, and the market even printed a new ATH at 3689. Unfortunately, my pending buy order wasn’t filled, so I remain flat for now—an important reminder that in trading, sometimes discipline keeps you safe, even if you miss an opportunity. Technical outlook: • Price broke above resistance, confirming bullish control. • The 3660 zone now acts as key support—any dips into that area can be treated as potential buying opportunities. • The measured target for this breakout points toward 3710, which could represent the next objective for the bulls. But here’s the psychological twist: The market feels euphoric and complacent at this moment. Historically, reversals from this type of mindset tend to be brutal. Traders get comfortable, start believing in endless uptrends, and that’s exactly when the trapdoor opens. Medium-term, I still anticipate a significant correction. Timing it is always the hardest part, but acknowledging the risk helps keep emotions under control. For now, bulls clearly hold the wheel—but they may not realize they’re driving toward a cliff. 🚀 Stay sharp, trade the trend, but don’t forget that markets punish overconfidence.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
21
World gold price today September 16, 2025New York manufacturing fell sharply in September, slipping into recession, according to the latest data from the New York Federal Reserve. The Empire State Manufacturing Index fell to -8.7, down from 11.9 in August and well below the forecast of -5.0. This is the first time the index has returned to negative territory since June. New orders and shipments fell sharply, inventories continued to decline slightly, while employment held steady but average hours worked fell. Input prices remained high, selling prices rose moderately and spending plans remained weak. Businesses expect conditions to improve in the coming period, but sentiment remains generally cautious. Immediately after the report was released, gold prices rebounded and then remained flat, trading around $3,642/ounce. Global markets are awaiting the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), which begins on Tuesday morning and ends on Wednesday afternoon, with a statement and press conference from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. The FOMC is expected to deliver a 25 basis point interest rate cut, the first since November 2024.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 16, 2025 Momentum • D1: Momentum is currently in an uptrend, suggesting that price may continue to rise for the next 5–6 days. • H4: Momentum is turning downward, indicating the possibility of a correction today. • H1: Recently showed a bullish reversal signal, but now there are signs of weakening again. This suggests that the downward move on H1 may not yet be complete. Wave Structure • D1: Yesterday’s daily candle created a new high, which indicates that wave iv (black) has likely been completed. The market is now developing in wave v (black). • H4: Wave iv (black) is likely finished. With H4 momentum turning lower, wave 1 of wave v (black) may already be completed, and the market is now entering a corrective phase. • H1: Wave v (black) is unfolding into a 5-wave structure (green). Combined with weakening H4 momentum, there are two possible scenarios: 1. This is wave 4 (green), with a maximum correction level around 3662. 2. This is wave 2 of wave v (black – D1), with a potential correction target around 3657. Since both scenarios point to a similar price zone, we select 3662–3660 as the buy entry zone. Trading Plan • Buy Zone: 3662 – 3660 • SL: 3650 • TP: 3698
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
9/16: Watch Support at 3668–3652, Resistance at 3700✍️Good morning, everyone! Key Support: 3668–3656 Key Resistance: 3700 Yesterday, gold repeatedly tested the 3643–3648 resistance area. During the pullback, the trend support held, and after consolidating, the price broke through resistance strongly. The overall move was in line with expectations (if it can stay above 3643–3658, it may test around 3668 with a chance of setting new highs). After yesterday’s breakout, the price is now consolidating at high levels. Whether the bullish trend can be maintained depends mainly on support in the 3668–3656 (3648–3643) area. As long as this support holds, bulls may remain in control until tomorrow’s interest rate decision, with the possibility of testing the psychological level of 3700. During the consolidation, trading can be focused around the 3682–3662 area. If the price breaks out, selling opportunities may appear near 3692–3702, while buying opportunities can be considered around 3648–3636.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
GOLD: No Bears In SightGold is still bullish. If price pulls back, the 3660–3665 zone is my POI. If momentum keeps driving and we get a breakout above 3690, my target will be 3725. Gold has pushed well beyond the 3660 liquidity pool, confirming buyers strength. (H1) Impulsive leg from 3642-3677 left behind some imbalances below: 3660–3665 FVG (fresh demand). 3635–3642 (deeper support if volatility spikes). As long as gold holds above 3660, buyers remain in control. (M15) Price is consolidating just under 3680, showing short-term exhaustion after the run. Liquidity rests above 3685–3690, which could be swept next. We also have equal lows at 3665 which may get tested if a pullback occurs. Pullback Buy (High-Probability) Entry Zone 3660–3665 SL 3650 TP1 3685 TP2 3700 TP3 3725 Breakout Buy (If No Pullback) Entry Break above + Retest 3690 Stop Loss 3680 TP1 3705 TP2 3725 Invalidation: H4 close below 3650, which would open retrace toward 3635.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Dynamic-Dani
Rally Before the Fed: A Trap or Treasure for Bears?Gold hit a new high again, and the current highest has reached around 3685. After gold consolidated at a high level for several trading days, the bulls launched a strong attack again, and it seems that there are signs of trying to hit 3700. However, the current gold market is at a critical node and cycle, so I do not advocate continuing to chase gold; on the contrary, I will choose to short gold at every high as the gold price rises! Gold rose sharply as the Federal Reserve was about to announce its interest rate decision, and hit a new high again! Against the backdrop of interest rate cut expectations, it is easy to push market sentiment to a climax! When the market is caught in a long-term frenzy, it may also be an opportunity for large funds to quietly exit the market. Therefore, I think the purpose of gold's sharp rise before the Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision is very clear. The first is to reserve room for decline for the news market in advance, and the second is to attract most retail investors in the market to take over. So I think the turning point of gold is coming soon! So for short traders, I think this rise is not a risk, but an opportunity! Gold may collapse based on the phenomenon of "buying expectations and selling facts", so I think we need to short gold at its rallies before the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision. However, I would like to point out that when shorting gold in batches, we must control the number of lots traded to reduce trading risk! For short-term trading, I believe we can short gold in batches above 3680, with a short-term retracement target of 3660-3650. If gold falls below this area, it may even continue to retrace to the current rising point of 3635-3625.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
GOLD BULLISH TREND: Possible Buys From 3,640This week, my idea is for gold to continue pushing higher toward the all-time high liquidity. Price has recently broken structure to the upside, which confirms the bullish trend we’ve been seeing. With this continuation, a new nearby demand zone has formed that I’ll be watching closely. Ideally, I’d like to see a pullback into that point of interest to allow proper accumulation before the next move up. Confluences for GOLD Buys: - Structure break to the upside confirms the bullish trend - Clean, unmitigated 3hr demand zone below - Higher and lower time frames both showing bullish control - DXY remains bearish, which supports the bullish bias on gold - No major news expected to disrupt the move P.S. If gold respects the ATH and rejects it, breaking below my demand, then I’ll either look for short-term sells or wait for a deeper demand zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
XAU/USD Stalls Slightly above 3650 – Bulls Losing Steam?Gold printed fresh all-time highs at 3674 last week, only to reverse sharply and settle into a sideways structure between 3620–3655. The current debate: is this simply a consolidation box that will fuel another breakout, or is the market quietly building a distribution top that could resemble a triple top pattern (if we ignore the spike to ATH)? Technically, the momentum has clearly cooled. The 3355–3360 area continues to cap the upside, turning into a stubborn barrier that bulls haven’t been able to overcome. From a fundamental angle, the Fed’s rate cut is already baked into the price. The focus is now on Powell’s guidance. With inflation pushing higher, a cautious and balanced tone is more likely than a dovish surprise. Cross-checking with other pairs, XAU/EUR and XAU/GBP are already pressing their support levels. That relative weakness suggests the gold complex as a whole may be closer to a downside break than to a new leg up. For now, I’m flat. But unless bulls regain control quickly, I’ll be watching for failed rallies after London open as potential short setups.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
21
Gold - How High Will It GO?📢 NFX Market Update – FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD just broke out of the bullish flag formation on the hourly timeframe, pushing through key resistance with conviction. This breakout signals strong bullish momentum and supports the continuation of the uptrend, especially as it aligns with our ABC Elliott Wave structure. If buyers sustain this momentum, new highs could be printed ahead of Wednesday’s FED rate decision, with potential for an even stronger rally post-decision - similar to the price action observed during the recent NFP release. I remain bullish on gold here, but I’d love to hear your views as well in the comment below. More insights are covered in the video.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by niclaxfx
Gold Correction After ATH – Bearish Waves Ahead?Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has been in a correction mode for the past four days after creating a new All-Time High (ATH) . The question is whether the correction will continue or not. Over the past 4 days, US indices were released, but Gold was not greatly affected by these indices, although the manner in which the US indices were announced was in favor of Gold ( Maybe gold is saturated with buying. ). Gold is currently trading in the Support zone($3,644-$3,636) and near the Support line. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed the Double Three Correction structure(WXY), and we can expect bearish waves . I expect Gold to break the Support zone($3,644-$3,636) AFTER breaking the Support line and fall to at least $3,624(First Target) . Second Target: Support lines Stop Loss (SL) = $3,662 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
11
Gold 1H – Fed Week: Liquidity Sweeps Before FOMCGold on the 1H timeframe is ranging around 3,643 after a series of ChoCH/BOS prints. Liquidity is stacked above the intraday buy zone at 3,658–3,656 and higher at 3,676–3,678, while discount liquidity sits near 3,615–3,613. With markets pricing a potential Fed cut this week and dot-plot guidance in focus, expect engineered spikes into premium followed by mean reversion before any sustained move. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,676 – 3,678 (SL 3,683): Premium resistance for engineered sweep/rejection targeting 3,665 → 3,655 → 3,645. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,658 – 3,656 (SL 3,651): Intraday demand inside prior consolidation targeting 3,665 → 3,670 → 3,675+. • 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,615 – 3,613 (SL 3,610): Discount demand at the base of structure targeting 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Intraday Reclaim (3,658–3,656) • Entry: 3,658 – 3,656 • Stop Loss: 3,651 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,665  TP2: 3,670  TP3: 3,675+ 👉 Look for a sweep into the zone and an H1 close back above 3,656 to confirm order-flow continuation. 🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount Sweep (3,615–3,613) • Entry: 3,615 – 3,613 • Stop Loss: 3,610 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,645  TP3: 3,655+ 👉 High R:R if liquidity runs into protected demand before New York session. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Sweep to Resistance (3,676–3,678) • Entry: 3,676 – 3,678 • Stop Loss: 3,683 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,665  TP2: 3,655  TP3: 3,645 👉 Expect stop-run above recent highs into premium; invalidate on strong H1 close above 3,683. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Into Fed week, smart money often runs both sides of the book. Bias today favors: discount buys at 3,658–3,656 and 3,615–3,613, and a premium fade at 3,676–3,678. Use reduced size, wait for structure confirmation, and avoid holding through any unexpected Fed headlines or USD spikes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold (XAUUSD) 6H – Bullish Order Flow With Key Liquidity TargetsOn the 6H timeframe, Gold shows a clear bullish order flow. Price recently tapped into the daily bullish FVG and reacted strongly to the upside, which supports my bullish bias. From here, I expect the first target to be the buy-side liquidity around 3657. If momentum continues, the next objective could be a revisit to the all-time high. ⚠️ However, if price closes below 3612, this would shift the bias short-term bearish, with potential downside toward 3592. Overall, I remain bullish for now, as long as price respects the key support levels. 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌 🔎 DYOR 💡Wait for the update!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by VahidTradingCR
2
Gold Bullish Supercycle? Key LongTerm Fibonacci Targets Revealed📰 Macro & Market Context Gold has decisively broken its long-standing consolidation range (3,272–3,560), signaling a shift in the macro trend. The breakout comes amid continued global uncertainty, inflation concerns, and speculation about interest rate adjustments—factors that historically favor gold as a safe-haven asset. Daily candles show strong bullish momentum, suggesting that the market may enter a sustained rally over the coming months. 🔢 Fibonacci Outlook for the Long Term Immediate Support Zones: 3,556–3,588 (0.786 Fibo) – Likely first retest area on any pullback. 3,521 (0.618 Fibo) – Deeper retracement zone if volatility spikes. Upside Long-Term Targets: 3,775–3,877 – First cluster of resistance on the way up. 3,923–3,934 (1.618 Extension) – Major Fibonacci extension and potential top for the next bullish leg. A successful break above 3,934 could open the door for new all-time highs beyond 3,950+. 📈 Strategic Outlook The broader trend remains bullish as long as price holds above 3,556–3,521. A pullback into these zones would be a healthy correction in a strong uptrend, potentially offering long-term buying opportunities. Long-term traders may consider scaling in on dips while watching for confirmation candles or volume surges near these Fibonacci levels. ⚠ Risk Considerations Global macro events (interest rate decisions, geopolitical tensions) could trigger sharp volatility. A sustained break below 3,474 would challenge the bullish narrative and could lead to a return toward the old range (around 3,272). 💬 Discussion Prompt 📊 Are you positioning for a multi-month rally, or do you expect a deeper correction before new highs? Share your long-term Fibonacci targets in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 15/09/2025 1. Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is about to enter the oversold zone. At the beginning of next week (Monday), D1 may officially enter the oversold area and start reversing upward. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is also approaching the oversold zone and preparing to reverse. This opens the expectation of a bullish move within the next 1–2 sessions. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining, so there may be one more short-term drop to push H1 into oversold conditions before a potential reversal. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: Price is still within wave iv (black). In terms of time, wave ii (black) took 7 daily candles to complete. According to the principle of alternation, waves 2 and 4 often differ in nature. With D1 momentum about to reach oversold, there is a high probability that wave iv (black) is near completion. • H4 timeframe: Price is moving sideways, which is consistent with the characteristics of wave iv. If in the next session H4 momentum reverses upward and reaches overbought while price still fails to break above 3657, then the corrective structure may evolve into a triangle or a double three (WXY). • H1 timeframe: An ABC corrective structure seems completed, but instead of rallying, price continues to consolidate within the liquidity block at 3657 – 3631. This suggests a more complex structure is unfolding, either a triangle or a WXY combination. With D1 momentum heading into oversold, the expected downside range is 3631 – 3595, which also aligns with the nearest high-liquidity zones on the chart. ________________________________________ 3. Price Zones & Targets • Breakout level: o 3657 → A strong candle close above this level would confirm a buy signal. • Support / Buy zones: o 3631 – 3632 → Possible bottom of the current correction. o 3593 – 3596 → Scenario if wave iv develops into a WXY structure. • Wave v (black) target: o Projection: 3709 (main target). ________________________________________ 4. Trading Plan 1. Buy Breakout 3657 o SL: below breakout candle o TP: 3709 2. Buy Zone 3632 – 3630 o SL: 3622 o TP: 3709 3. Buy Zone 3596 – 3593 o SL: 3585 o TP: 3709 ________________________________________ 👉 Summary: Both D1 and H4 momentum are approaching oversold, signaling that wave iv (black) may soon complete. The preferred strategy is to wait for confirmation at liquidity zones (3631 – 3595), or for a strong breakout above 3657, to join the next bullish wave v (black) targeting 3709.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Daily Market Analysis of XAUUSDCurrently, XAUUSD is oscillating within the range of 3626 to 3646. Volatility is expected to remain limited until the Fed makes a decision on interest rate cuts. It is advisable to conduct relatively small-scale transactions where possible to avoid losses stemming from other unofficial news related to the policy. Buy 3625 - 3635 TP 3645 - 3655 - 3675 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CarterJordan
Gold pulls back ahead of Fed decisionGold pulls back ahead of Fed decision Gold slipped below $3,645 as markets await a Fed rate cut. Profit-taking and a stronger dollar weigh on XAUUSD. Traders expect a 0.25% cut, if the Fed signals further cuts, gold could regain momentum, while a cautious stance may limit gains. Traders should also watch U.S. retail sales and industrial production data , along with U.S.–China developments, as both will directly impact the dollar and XAUUSD
SAXO:XAUUSDShort
by ProfessorSingapore