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Xauusdanalysis

Gold breaks through. Watch for key support levels.Gold continues to strengthen this week, hitting new all-time highs. So far, it has reached around 3791 and is currently fluctuating at a high level. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands continue to open upward, and gold will continue to run on the upper track of the Bollinger Bands in the short term. After a slight pullback, gold continues to strengthen. There may be periods of short-term volatility and pullbacks. A pullback will focus on the strong support at 3755. A small long position is recommended when the price retreats to this area. The profit range is 3775-3790.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
1
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold continues its strong rally, now trading around $3,755 after breaking out of the ascending channel. To sustain momentum, we need to see a confirmed hold above $3,753, which would open the way toward higher resistance levels. Failure to confirm this breakout could trigger a temporary pullback into lower support zones, with a potential retest of the 50MA if bears take short-term control. The higher price extends, the greater the risk of sharp swings and volatility spikes. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $3,768 $3,782 Support: $3,753 $3,728 $3,712 (MA50 retest zone) 🔎 Fundamental Focus – Tue, Sep 23 Key drivers today: US PMIs, Trump remarks + Richmond Index, and the main event — Powell speech. Gold’s rally is extended, so expect headline-driven swings and possible volatility spikes around these releases.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Liquidity Hunt & Bullish Continuation Setup | MMFLOW TRADING📊 Market Context Gold continues to show impressive bullish momentum, supported by global safe-haven flows amid geopolitical risks and a softer USD backdrop. After breaking through multiple resistance zones, price action is now consolidating near 3760, preparing for the next liquidity sweep. The market narrative is clear: institutional flows and ETF demand are driving momentum, but sharp pullbacks remain possible as liquidity zones above and below get tested. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4/2H) Price recently touched 3760, confirming bullish structure. Short-term support: 3725, acting as CP retest zone. Stronger support: 3689–3690, overlapping with OBS + FVG low zone. Resistance targets: 3788 (first liquidity pool) and 3805–3830 (large liquidity area). Structure remains bullish, but a pullback into demand zones before another leg higher is likely. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance / Sell Zones: 3760 ➡️ 3788 ➡️ 3805–3830 Support / Buy Zones: 3725 ➡️ 3689–3690 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1 (Shallow Pullback): 3725 SL: 3716 TP: 3760 ➡️ 3788 ➡️ 3805 … ✅ BUY ZONE 2 (Deep Liquidity Retest): 3689–3690 SL: 3680 TP: 3725 ➡️ 3760 ➡️ 3788 ➡️ 3830 … ✅ SELL SCALP (Liquidity Trap): Around 3805, only if rejection patterns confirm SL: 3810 TP: 3775 ➡️ 3760 ➡️ 3740 … ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Expect liquidity sweeps both above 3788 and below 3725 – don’t chase price mid-range. Pullbacks are opportunities; stay patient and wait for confirmations. News-related spikes (Fed or geopolitical) may cause abnormal volatility. ✅ Summary Gold remains in a clear bullish trend, with 3788–3805 as the next upside magnet. Plan: buy dips at 3725 and 3689–3690, while monitoring for short-term sell traps near 3788–3805. Patience and disciplined execution will be key as liquidity hunts unfold. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates, liquidity-based strategies, and BIGWIN setups on gold!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD 23 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs. This is continuing. As per my analysis of yesterday, dated 22 September 2025, whereby I mentioned price could potentially continue to print higher-highs. This is how price printed, showing little to no signs of pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a horizontal blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation, price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,780,515. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued with its bullish trajectory, printing all-time-highs. Although price has printed a number of bearish CHoCH's, I will apply discretion and not classify them as such due to the insignificance of the pullback relative to recent price action. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to print bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
The trend has not changed, continue to shortAfter yesterday's high-level fluctuations, gold prices retreated significantly in the US market due to news, hitting a low near 3717. Yesterday's daily gold price closed in the red, with the MA5 moving average near 3735. If today's daily closing price falls below the MA5 and reaches the MA10, bears will regain control of the market. Looking at the 4-hour Bollinger Bands, after breaking below the middle line, the price has fluctuated, briefly stabilizing near 3735. Currently, it is consolidating sideways, but if the European/US session breaks below 3735-3720, further declines to 3710-3700 are possible. The short-term downward trend is still under pressure and the market is in a weak state. Therefore, intraday gold trading is still mainly short selling, with long buying as an auxiliary. The main pressure range above is 3750-3765. If the rebound touches the upper resistance range without breaking it, you can continue to short gold. The short-term support is at 3735-3720 below. If it falls back but does not break through, you can go long with a light position. Strong support focuses on the previous top and bottom conversion of 3710-3700.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allen_Boswell
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is following the analysis — after failing to break the $3,782 resistance yesterday, price dropped into the First Reaction Support Zone. Currently trading around $3,741, the rejection has pushed price below the 50MA, keeping near-term pressure on the downside. A clean reclaim and hold above $3,753 could shift momentum back to test $3,768–$3,782. Failure to hold above the First Reaction Zone risks a deeper pullback into $3,712–$3,690, in line with the 200MA, which may act as dynamic support. If this breaks, sellers may target the Deeper Support Zone $3,665–$3,642. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $3,753 $3,768 $3,782 Support: $3,728 $3,712 $3,690 $3,665 🔎 Fundamental Focus – Thu, Sep 25 Heavy data day for USD with several high-impact releases: 🔴Final GDP q/q 🔴Unemployment Claims 🔶Core & Durable Goods Orders 🔶GDP Price Index 🔶 Existing Home Sales 👉 For gold, today’s data cluster is critical — stronger numbers could weigh on price, while weaker outcomes may support upside. Expect elevated volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
GOLD Breakout Done , Short Setup Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is My 30 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally Below 3750.00 With 4H Candle ! and we have a 4H Candle closure below it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can sell after the price go back to retest the broken area 3750.00 , and we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure above this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore . Reasons To Enter : 1- Perfect Touch For The Area . 2- Clear Bearish Price Action . 3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bearish P.A . 4- Over Bought . 5- Perfect 30 Mins Closure .
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by FX_Elite_Club
Gold: Correction Near 3700, Bulls Preparing for Another RunAfter printing a new ATH near 3800, Gold started a correction that pushed price as low as 3717. The decline from the highs is corrective in nature, not impulsive, which keeps the broader bullish structure intact. The key question now: has Gold finished its pullback, or will we see one more leg lower before the uptrend resumes? Why I favor upside continuation: • The 3700 zone stands out as a strong support area where buyers are expected to defend. • Momentum indicators show loss of bearish pressure, consistent with a corrective move. • The broader trend remains strongly bullish, with no structural break to the downside. If 3700 holds, a reversal from here could easily re-expose the 3800 zone and potentially new highs beyond it. Trading Plan: My strategy is to buy dips into support, especially around 3700, aiming for a continuation higher. Risk management is crucial to such elevated prices, but the bullish bias dominates as long as 3700 remains defended.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
1
Gold 1H – Will Gold Correction Extend Toward Discount Zones?Gold on the 1H timeframe is trading near 3,745 after repeated bearish pushes, with premium resistance clustered at 3,780–3,778 and a secondary resistance zone at 3,748–3,746. Discount demand remains positioned lower at 3,713–3,706 and deeper near 3,665. Recent CHoCH signals confirm short-term bearish pressure, suggesting engineered liquidity sweeps into resistance before potential retracements toward discount levels. Today’s headlines on renewed U.S. inflation worries and expectations of a slower Fed pivot are weighing on sentiment, while ongoing Middle East geopolitical tensions keep safe-haven demand alive. This dynamic may fuel intraday volatility, with liquidity hunts at resistance zones likely before directional clarity develops. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL GOLD LIQUIDITY 3,780–3,778 (SL 3,787): Premium resistance where sweeps may trigger rejection toward 3,760 → 3,740 → 3,730. • 🔴 SELL GOLD 3,748–3,746 (SL 3,755): Intraday resistance zone aligned with 0.5–0.618 retracement, offering downside targets at 3,730 → 3,720 → 3,715. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,697–3,699 (SL 3,692): Discount demand in line with liquidity magnets, with upside targets at 3,715 → 3,730 → 3,745+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Run (3,780–3,778) • Entry: 3,780–3,778 • Stop Loss: 3,787 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,760  TP2: 3,740  TP3: 3,730 🔻 Sell Setup – Intraday Rejection (3,748–3,746) • Entry: 3,748–3,746 • Stop Loss: 3,755 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,730  TP2: 3,720  TP3: 3,715 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand (3,697–3,699) • Entry: 3,697–3,699 • Stop Loss: 3,692 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,715  TP2: 3,730  TP3: 3,745+ ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note With U.S. inflation concerns and geopolitical risks keeping gold under mixed pressure, intraday strategies should focus on fading liquidity grabs into premium resistance while being prepared to buy dips at well-defined discount demand. Expect volatility around 3,780 liquidity sweeps before corrections extend toward the 3,713–3,706 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
Gold (XAU/USD) Short-Term Bullish OutlookThis gold (XAU/USD) 30-minute chart shows a recent price recovery after a bearish move, with support forming around the 3,722 zone. A change of character (CHOCH) suggests a potential bullish shift, supported by the rejection from the demand zone. The projection indicates a possible pullback before price continuation toward the 3,770 supply area, aligning with the weak high above. Overall, the chart signals short-term bullish momentum unless support breaks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gray_Trade_Insight
Gold "Cools Down": A Sign of a Coming Downturn?Gold "Cools Down": A Sign of a Coming Downturn? 📉🤔 Hello, investors! Gold saw a notable correction on September 24, closing at $3,762.73/oz after reaching a historic high of $3,790.82/oz just one day earlier. Gold futures also dropped 0.5% to $3,795.80/oz. Is this a sign of a deeper correction or just a short-term profit-taking before key news? Fundamental Analysis: Market "Holds Its Breath" Before the PCE Inflation Report Yesterday's drop in gold seems to have little to do with the released U.S. economic data, as the USD index only had a slight rebound and housing data wasn't strong enough to cause such a major move. Instead, the most likely reasons are: Cautious Profit-Taking: Investors are taking profits after a rapid run-up, aiming to mitigate risk before the upcoming PCE inflation report on September 26. Fed Expectations: Despite short-term volatility, the market holds firm on its expectation that the Fed will cut rates in October and December with a high probability (94% and 77%). A low-rate environment and geopolitical concerns remain the core drivers supporting gold's price in the long term. Technical Analysis: "Sell" or "Wait to Buy"? Gold had a significant correction from the $3,770 area, indicating that a large number of profit-taking sell orders were triggered. However, the downtrend has paused and is now looking for a new balance point. Outlook: With the current cautious sentiment, there's a chance gold may see further selling pressure in the short term. However, any deeper drop would be an excellent opportunity to buy back at a better price, as the long-term bullish momentum is still intact. Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management): Sell Zone: Zone $3766 - $3768, SL $3776 Buy Zone: Zone $3702 - $3700, SL $3692 The market is highly sensitive. Do you think this correction is a buying opportunity or a time to step back? Share your thoughts! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #Inflation #PCE #USD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – The SELL trend has been confirmed Technical Analysis After a strong rise hitting the resistance zone of 3770–3780, gold (XAUUSD) couldn't maintain momentum and started forming consecutive declines. This signals that selling pressure is dominating in the short term. The 3767–3769 zone coincides with local resistance, a place where the market has reacted multiple times → confirming its role as a distribution zone. Fibonacci Retracement levels from the latest upward wave show the 0.618 zone around 3700–3705 acts as short-term support, where technical rebound reactions may occur. The 3673–3675 zone confluences with Fib 2.618 and EMA200 → strong support, considered the main Buy zone for long-term buyers. RSI (14) is currently below 50, momentum leans towards decline, confirming the adjustment trend is prevailing. Trading Scenario SELL Scenario (trend-following priority): Entry: 3767–3769 SL: 3775 TP: 3755 – 3740 – 3733 – 3710 – 3694 Buy scalping scenario (short-term support reaction): Entry: 3701–3704 SL: 3698 TP: 3710 – 3722 – 3736 Buy zone scenario (priority for medium-term rebound): Entry: 3673–3675 SL: 3666 TP: 3688 – 3696 – 3705 – 3720 – 3736 Price zones to watch 3767–3769: important resistance, priority Sell zone. 3700–3705: short-term support, potential Buy scalping area. 3673–3675: main Buy zone, confluence of support + Fibonacci. 3694 and 3736: important intermediate levels, where partial profit-taking is recommended. The main short-term trend is leaning towards SELL, however, important support zones may provide opportunities for counter-trend Buys or trend-following Buys after price adjustments. This is a reference scenario based on resistance – support and Fibonacci. Follow me if you love trading gold and want to read the latest analyses in the community.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
Gold Record Highs Under the Lens of ATAI VPA & VPRCGold Analysis Report In recent days, as gold has reached new historical highs, two analytical tools have been used to assess the market conditions: - ATAI Volume analysis with price action V 1.03 - ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer (VPA) It is important to emphasize that the gold market is heavily influenced by global economic and political events, and precise volume data is not publicly available. The only volume data considered here comes from OANDA. For this evaluation, a 70-day period has been chosen to study the broader behavioral and volume pattern of gold over the past two months. Bull Trap Risk Detection (ATAI Volume analysis with price action V 1.03) In this indicator, Bull Trap detection is based on the interaction of price behavior and order-flow volume. The logic is as follows: 1. Bull Sweep (False Breakout with Long Wick) - If price exceeds the recent high (`high_level`) but closes back below it, and the upper wick of the candle makes up a sufficiently large fraction of the total range, then a Bull Sweep is detected. - Formula: upper_wick_ratio = (high - max(open, close)) / (high - low) Condition: upper_wick_ratio >= trap_wick_threshold (e.g., 0.6) 2. Bull Break - If the close is above the breakout level without a long wick, it is treated as a Bull Break. 3. Mismatch Condition - If the candle is bullish (close > open) but delta ≤ 0 or seller ratio > 50%, then there is a mismatch between price action and order flow. - Formula (simplified): mismatchBull = (close > open) and (delta <= 0 or seller_ratio > 0.5) 4. Dominance Inversion - If buyer volume ranks highest in the lookback window, but cumulative seller volume is greater than buyer volume while the candle is bullish, a dominance inversion occurs. - Condition: domInvBull = (rank_buy == 1) and (sum_sell > sum_buy) and (close > open) 5. Low Volume Breakout - If a bullish breakout occurs with total volume less than the average total volume, then the breakout is flagged as low-volume. - Condition: lowVolBull = isBullBreak and (TF_tot < avg_tot) The module assigns scores to these conditions: - Sweep: +2 - Break: +1 - Mismatch: +2 - Dominance Inversion: +2 - Low-volume Break: +1 If total score ≥ trap_score_risk (default = 3), then a Bull Trap Risk is flagged. If, within `trap_confirm_bars`, price reverses and closes back below the breakout level, then Bull Trap Risk Confirmed is displayed. Complementary View (ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer – VPA) The VPA indicator, with its left (C→B) and right (B→A) wings and offset capability, allows a parallel evaluation of flow balance. In the current gold chart, the right wing (B→A) reflects weakness on the buyers' side, reinforcing the Bull Trap risk detected by the previous indicator. This alignment strengthens the probability of a bearish scenario. However, the extent of any downward path will depend on the pivotal price levels where the largest buy and sell volumes were registered over the past 70 days. These are represented by points B1 and S1, clustered around the 3409 USD level. Notes - On lower timeframes, accuracy in buy/sell volume calculation depends on the data window. Here, a 1-minute timeframe was selected, which provides ~74 days of buy/sell flow data. - Gold remains highly sensitive to political and economic news globally. - This analysis is based solely on mathematical calculations and volume/behavioral pattern recognition. It must not be interpreted as investment advice of any kind.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ata_sabanci
Daily Plan: What’s Next After the All-Time High Correction?📊 Market Context Gold is struggling to recover from yesterday’s pullback after hitting a record high at 3791 USD/oz. In the Asian session on Thursday, price action remains cautious as traders await U.S. mid-tier data and further speeches from Fed officials for fresh momentum. While the long-term trend remains bullish, the current pause highlights how sensitive gold is to short-term liquidity sweeps and macro catalysts. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) ATH zone sits at 3791, with sellers reacting strongly from that level. Price is currently trading below the downtrend reaction zone 3755–3757, showing near-term weakness. Buy-side liquidity remains intact at 3712 and deeper at 3688–3686 (CP + OBS Buy Zone). Sell-side liquidity zone identified at 3775–3777, likely to attract reactions if retested. Larger liquidity magnet lies at 3824–3830, but only if bulls regain momentum above 3777. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance / Sell Zones: 3775–3777 - 3791 - 3824–3830 Support / Buy Zones: 3712 - 3688–3686 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE (Main Setup): 3688–3686 SL: 3680 TP: 3696 - 3700 - 3705 - 3710 - 3720 - 3730 - … ✅ SELL ZONE (Liquidity Reaction): 3775–3777 SL: 3782 TP: 3770 - 3765 - 3760 - 3750 - 3740 - 3730 - … ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Stay alert for false breakouts around 3775–3777, as price may sweep liquidity before reversing. Avoid chasing entries mid-range; wait for price action confirmation in the buy/sell zones. U.S. data and Fed commentary could trigger volatility spikes — adjust risk accordingly. ✅ Summary Gold is consolidating after its record high at 3791, with traders waiting for new catalysts. The plan today: buy dips at 3688–3686, targeting a recovery towards 3720–3730, while looking for short-term sells at 3775–3777 if rejection occurs. A break above 3777 would re-open the path towards 3824–3830. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING on TradingView for real-time liquidity setups and BIGWIN strategies as gold approaches its next critical levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Fibo & Volume Profile AnalysisLiamTrading – XAUUSD Today's Scenario: Fibo & Volume Profile Analysis Gold, after testing the 375x zone, has shown clear signs of weakening. On the H1 frame, the price structure is forming an adjustment phase as it aligns with key Fibonacci and Volume Profile levels. This is the time when the market begins to “filter” liquidity, creating opportunities for both short sell orders and buys at strong support zones. Technical Analysis Fibonacci indicates the 0.786 – 1.0 zone around 3756–3758 coincides with strong resistance and FVG, with a high potential for a reversal. Volume Profile points out the POC zone around 3735–3740; if breached, it will pave the way for deeper downward pressure. The confluence support zone 0.618 fibo + large volume around 3688–3691 is suitable for scalping buys. Further, the 3648–3651 area is reinforced by VAL and the volume profile bottom, making it a strong long-term “Buy zone.” Trading Plan Reference Sell zone: 3756 – 3758, SL 3763, TP 3750 – 3748 – 3736 – 3710 – 3690 – 3655 Buy scalping: 3688 – 3691, SL 3685, TP 3701 – 3715 – 3728 Long-term Buy zone: 3648 – 3651, SL 3640, TP 3670 – 3688 – 3700 – 3718 – 3733 – 3755 In summary, gold is moving according to the technical structure with confirmation from Fibonacci and Volume Profile. Today's scenario prioritizes observing reactions around the sell zone 3756–3758 to find short opportunities, and waiting to buy at value zones 369x and 365x for the recovery wave. This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you want the fastest updates on the next gold scenarios, follow me and join the community to not miss out.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Gold prices are correcting and entering a period of volatility.Gold prices rebounded slightly after a sharp drop on Wednesday and are currently fluctuating slightly. From a news perspective, speculation about the continued effectiveness of the Federal Reserve's rate cuts and the entry of global central banks into an era of monetary easing have led to a depreciation of the US dollar, while non-US currencies have temporarily appreciated due to the depreciation of the US dollar. Excessive money supply will also lead to global currency depreciation. Gold prices have continued to fluctuate at high levels, testing support at 3750 and 3715. However, they are still some distance from a top-bottom reversal. However, the upward rebound in early Asian trading coincided with a new top-bottom reversal, with resistance concentrated around $3750. There are currently two positions that need attention, the pressure position of 3750 and the support position of 3710. If either direction is broken within this range, the trend will continue. Short-term volatility is a normal trend, and we should accept this periodic correction. On Thursday, Quaid recommends a light short position at 3750, with a move to long positions appropriate if the price touches 3710-3715. Focus on a breakout of the 3750-3710 range.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
LiamTrading – XAUUSD IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS OF CURRENT TRENDSLiamTrading – XAUUSD Today's Scenario: Opportunities at Key Price Levels Gold continues its strong upward momentum, currently oscillating around the 376x–377x range after a series of breakouts. The technical structure on the H1 chart indicates the market is forming clear resistance and support zones, suitable for short-term trading plans. Technical Analysis RSI is cooling off from high levels, indicating the potential for a short-term correction. The upper price zone around 3818–3821 is a strong confluence of resistance, coinciding with wave peaks and Fibonacci extensions, making it prone to selling reactions. Conversely, the support zones at 373x and 370x show dense liquidity, serving as potential buying points when prices correct. The short-term Dow structure still leans towards an uptrend, but attention is needed at the sell confirmation zone if gold fails at the peak. Trading Plan Reference Sell Zone: 3818 – 3821, SL 3828, TP 3805 – 3785 – 3760 – 3732 – 3650 Buy Scalping: 3728 – 3731, SL 3723, TP 3750 – 3777 – 3790 Buy Zone: 3706 – 3709, SL 3700, TP 3725 – 3738 – 3750 – 3777 – 3790 In summary, the main trend still favors an uptrend, but with gold approaching strong resistance zones, the likelihood of a correction is high. Traders should patiently wait for reactions at the marked zones for optimal entry, while managing risk tightly. This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you're interested in gold scenarios, follow me for the fastest updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 25, 2025 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum • D1: Momentum on the daily chart has turned bearish, indicating that the main downtrend may continue. • H4: Momentum on H4 is about to turn bullish, suggesting a possible upward move today. However, if this bullish reversal fails to break the previous high, the downtrend will remain intact. • H1: Momentum on H1 is declining and about to enter the oversold zone. This downward move may need around 2 more H1 candles before entering oversold territory and reversing. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1: o The first target of wave 5 (yellow) was reached at 3789. o Price is currently reacting at this level. With D1 momentum turning bearish, there is a strong possibility that wave 5 (yellow) has already completed, meaning price could move towards 3632 and potentially break below it. • H4: An ABC corrective structure (blue) has formed, opening three scenarios: 1. The correction is complete → price rallies strongly, breaking the previous high to continue the uptrend. 2. Price rallies but with overlap, forming a Flat 3-3-5 pattern → price may rise toward the previous high at 3793. 3. Price remains in a zigzag structure → another decline may occur to complete wave C. 👉 Given the bearish momentum on D1, I lean more towards scenario 2 and 3. 👉 Note: In scenarios (1) and (2), price must hold above 3729, then break 3752, which could lead to a minimum rally towards 3777. • H1: Under scenario 3 (further decline to complete wave C): o Price may break below 3718. o Wave 5 (black) targets:  3713 (first target).  3698 (second target). ________________________________________ 🔹 Trade Plan • Buy Zone 1: 3729 – 3726 o SL: 3717 o TP: 3751 • Buy Zone 2: 3714 – 3711 o SL: 3703 o TP: 3751 ________________________________________ ⚠️ Important Note The market is likely in a corrective wave at a higher structure. • Characteristic: Price often shows overlapping moves. • Therefore: Manage trades carefully, avoid over-risking, as reversals can happen at any time – this is typical of corrective waves.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves continues on H4XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves continues on H4, price returns below the trendline: prioritising the correction scenario Hello Trader, Based on the Wolfe Waves structure on the H4 frame and current price behaviour, gold has returned to trading below the trendline, indicating a weakening of short-term upward momentum and making way for a downward correction before the market decides the next trend. The upper area has created a clear “sell zone”; below, two defensive buying zones appear for both scalping and medium-term. Main Technical Picture Wolfe Waves: wave 5 completes near resistance, then price falls back below the trendline — aligning with the correction scenario along Wolfe's target line 1–4. Trendline & price box area: the close below the rising trendline shows “acceptance” below; immediate resistance lies in the 375x–376x cluster (sell zone). Momentum: MACD H4 slows down, histogram narrows → high probability of a pullback – retest before a new decision. Detailed Trading Scenarios 1) Sell according to the correction trend (priority) Entry: 3756 – 3759 SL: 3764 TP: 3745 → 3732 → 3715 → 3690 → 3672 Reason: the 375x area coincides with the sell zone + upper trendline; selling at retest offers a good R:R ratio. Confirmation/Invalidation: if H4 closes above 3764 and holds, the short-term selling scenario weakens. 2) Buy scalping in the buffer zone Entry: 3701 – 3703 SL: 3695 TP: 3715 → 3732 → 3745 → 3766 Note: only a rebound in the correction phase; close each level and move SL according to TP1. 3) Buy medium-term (strong base area) Entry: 3648 – 3651 SL: 3644 TP: 3672 → 3698 → 3708 → 3722 – 3727 Reason: the 365x area coincides with the demand/accumulation volume on H4; suitable for catching a deep rebound along with the larger trend. Management: this is a medium-term order, so divide the volume, close each step, and move SL to breakeven after TP1. Refer to my scenario if you find it reasonable, trade accordingly, and if you enjoy trading gold with high-quality scenarios, follow me
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital