XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold remains under downside pressure after failing to hold above the 4151 resistance yesterday, with price now trading around 4104. The metal continues to trade below both the MA50 and MA200, confirming that short-term momentum remains bearish within a broader corrective phase.
If buyers can reclaim 4117 and 4151, a corrective bounce toward 4192 and 4227 may follow. However, failure to defend 4075 could trigger another wave of selling toward 4020, and potentially deeper into the 3984-3953 zone, where fresh demand could start building up.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4117
4151
4192
4227
Support:
4075
4044
4020
3984
🔎 Fundamental focus:
Gold continues to trade under macro uncertainty as the U.S. government shutdown drags on, delaying major data releases and weighing on investor confidence. The lack of economic transparency has led to erratic price swings, while persistent U.S.–China trade tensions and weaker manufacturing sentiment add further risk aversion.
Xauusdanalysis
Weekly Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold vs. Dollar)Weekly Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold vs. Dollar)
Weekly Scenarios
Bullish scenario: Gold holds the ~$4,000 zone and breaks through ~$4,200 → next target in the range of ~$4,500–4,700.
Consolidation: Price moves between ~$4,000 and ~$4,200, forming a base for the next impulse.
Bearish scenario: Break below ~$4,000 with volume and a change in structure → possible decline to ~$3,900 or lower.
✅ Conclusion
For the coming week, the technical picture for XAU/USD remains moderately bullish, but with a high degree of risk:
Holding support at ~$4,000 and breaking resistance at ~$4,200 could trigger a significant rally.
A break below ~$4,000 is a signal for caution and a potential correction. It's important for traders to react to volumes, breakout confirmations, and price behavior at designated levels.
Gold:Perfectly confirms the prediction🎉Today's gold trend is in perfect alignment with the key levels we preset, and the upper resistance range has exerted a significant suppressing effect.
✔We clearly indicated in the morning that "attention should be paid to the upper resistance around 4,135–4,150". In the actual market movement, spot London gold hit a daily high of 4,154.52, which just tested the upper edge of this resistance range before fluctuating under pressure. It finally traded around 4,130 and never broke through the 4,150 resistance ceiling throughout the day.
✔Meanwhile, although it dipped to an intraday low of 4,065.47, this level fell entirely within our preset support range of 4,060–4,070. The price then rebounded quickly, which confirms the supporting effect around this zone. The overall trading rhythm is completely consistent with the core logic of our prediction.
XAU/USD – Gold Tests Final Structure Before Deciding New Wave“If the 3,950 USD zone is breached, the long-term uptrend may end.”
🔍 Market Context
After reaching the historical peak ATH GOLD 4,391 USD , gold has sharply corrected and formed a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) on the H1 frame.
Currently, the price is technically recovering to the Resistance – FVG – Fibonacci 4,216 USD zone, which was previously a distribution peak.
The sellers are regaining short-term advantage, while the Order Block zone (3,953–3,960 USD) — the starting point of the strongest growth on H4/Daily — is becoming the most critical defense line of the uptrend.
If this zone is decisively broken, the medium-term uptrend structure is likely to break and trigger a bearish expansion towards deeper liquidity zones like 3,689 USD.
💎 Technical Analysis
Resistance – FVG – Fib Zone: 4,216 – 4,228 → confluence resistance zone FVG + Fibo 0.618, suitable for sell reaction.
Liquidity Sweep Zone: 4,043 – 4,006 → intermediate liquidity sweep zone, temporary pause may occur.
Order Block | Structural Base: 3,953 – 3,960 → H4 momentum zone → ATH; if breached, long-term uptrend structure invalidated.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 3,689 – 3,685 → deep liquidity zone, potential target if OB is broken.
Overall Structure:
→ Short-term: bearish corrective phase.
→ Medium-term: bullish remains if 3,950 is not breached.
📉 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Reaction at 4,216 – 4,228 USD zone
Entry: 4,216 – 4,228
SL: 4,240
TP1: 4,043
TP2: 3,956
TP3: 3,689
✅ Condition:
Wait for clear reversal signal (strong rejection or bearish engulfing) on H1/M15 at FVG resistance zone.
➡️ Classic “Sell the Rally” setup – follow the flow after ChoCH, target key OB zone 3,953 USD.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reaction at Order Block 3,953 – 3,960 USD
Entry: 3,956 – 3,953
SL: 3,940
TP: 4,043 → 4,216
✅ Condition:
Price holds OB and strong reversal signal appears (bullish engulfing / increased volume / small BoS structure turns bullish again).
➡️ This is the decision zone for medium-term trend: if it bounces strongly, buyers will regain control; if breached, gold enters a new deep decline cycle.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritize SELL when price retraces to 4,216 – 4,228 zone with reversal signal.
BUY at 3,953 only with clear reaction; if broken, stop all buy orders.
When price closes H4 candle below 3,950 → confirm bearish break, extend target to 3,689 USD.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is testing the Order Block foundation of the long-term uptrend (3,953–3,960 USD) .
If this zone holds, the market may rebound to 4,216 – 4,280;
but if breached, gold is likely to open a deep decline phase to 3,689 USD – where a massive amount of liquidity is concentrated at the bottom.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Sell 4,216 – 4,228 USD if there is a clear reversal signal.
Buy 3,953 – 3,960 USD if there is a strong reaction;
If 3,950 is breached → confirm extended downtrend, prioritize SELL continuation.
🔥 “This Order Block built the last gold rally — if it breaks, the next leg down will be brutal.”
⏰ Time Frame: 1H – reference H4/Daily
📅 Update: 22/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
XAUUSD:Keep an eye on the 4,000 support mark📈The current price of London gold is 4,116.87 per ounce, up 28.36 from the previous trading day, with a percentage increase of 0.64%. So far today, the highest price has reached 4,137.35 per ounce, and the lowest is 4,065.47 per ounce. Currently, the price is in a state of fluctuating increase.
📝Market sentiment and fund flow:
Judging from the recent market performance, the price of London gold has fluctuated violently. On October 21st, the price of London gold once dropped by more than 6%, and the decline continued on the 22nd, with the lowest reaching 4,002.89 per ounce during the Asian session.
The significant decline in these two days was mainly due to the weakening of risk - off sentiment. The joint statement by the relevant parties in the Russia - Ukraine conflict in support of a cease - fire and the easing signals in Sino - US relations have weakened the safe - haven demand for gold.
At the same time, the previous large increase in the price of gold had accumulated a large number of profit - taking positions, and the pressure on investors to take profits was relatively high. However, the price rebounded on the 23rd, indicating that market sentiment has recovered to some extent, but overall it is still relatively cautious.
📝Technical analysis:
From the perspective of the 4 - hour cycle trend, the gold shows a trend of shifting from a bullish to a bearish rhythm in the short and medium term, forming a typical M - top pattern, which indicates that there may still be room for the price of gold to decline in the near future. However, the large - integer - level support of 4,000 per ounce is currently relatively clear, and in the short term, it may fluctuate within the range of 4,000 - 4,150. In terms of operation, it is mainly advisable to go short on rallies. The upper resistance level is in the range of 4,135 - 4,150, and the short-term support around the 4,065-4,070 range,then the key support level is in the range of 4,010 - 4,000.
💡In conclusion, the price has rebounded today, but due to the impact of the previous significant decline, it may fluctuate within the range of 4,000 - 4,150 per ounce in the short term, and the trend is uncertain. Investors need to closely pay attention to the changes in factors such as the geopolitical situation, Sino - US relations, and the Federal Reserve's policy.
💎Trading Strategy:
BUY 4010 - 4015
SL 4000
TP 4030 - 4020 - 4070
Sell 4120 - 4125
SL 4130
TP 4100 - 4080 - 4060
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
POSSIBLE XAUUSD SHORT SETUPANALYSIS
>Mon purged and reverted off last week high
>Tue price action formed the FRD(first red day )also closing below Mon lower high(swing low)
>Wed closed in breakout
>Thurs anticipation: purge and revert off wed high tapping into the FVGOB(fair value gap order block ) thats @ the FVG partition (4196.86 - 4179.29)
Gold May Form a Bull Trap Before Another DropUnder the current strong bearish sentiment, gold has filled the gap around 4019 and touched the MA20 support on the 1D chart, followed by a strong rebound of over $150. After reaching the MA10 near 4160, the price pulled back again and is now trading below 4100.
On the 4H chart, the downtrend remains intact, with psychological support around the MA30 (near 3910). If bearish momentum continues during the U.S. session, a move toward this support level cannot be ruled out.
Personally, I expect gold to first test resistance around 4180–4200 or even 4250, forming a potential bull trap before another leg down. However, if supported by positive news and strong volume, the market could reverse and push prices back above 4300.
Moreover, if the price truly dips into the 3950–3910 range, I see it as a great opportunity for long positions — one I definitely won’t miss!
Of course, this is just my personal view. Ultimately, we should always follow the actual price action and trade cautiously, managing risk wisely.
Analysis of Short-Term Gold Trading StrategyBased on the current market conditions, the price of gold has shown a certain degree of rebound, but it has not yet escaped the adjustment trend after the previous significant increase. At the price of $4110, the short-term upward momentum is insufficient, but the possibility of a decline still exists. Traders can seize the opportunity to carry out short selling operations in the short term, while strictly controlling risks. The specific strategy is as follows:
The rebound cannot reverse the adjustment trend.
Gold previously soared from a lower level to a record high of over $4,300. The rapid upward trend led to an "overbought" market, similar to the state where a fully drawn bow needs to be loosened. Although it rebounded slightly from around $4,065 to $4,110 over the past two days, this was more like a temporary "breather" during the decline rather than a reversal of the trend. The accumulated selling pressure has not been fully released yet.
Positive factors weaken, downward pressure emerges. The geopolitical tensions that had driven up the gold price have shown signs of easing. Many European countries support ceasefire and peace negotiations, which has led to a decrease in the demand for safe-haven assets. At the same time, many investors and institutions that had profited from the previous rally are now taking advantage of this rebound to sell and lock in profits, further exerting downward pressure on the gold price.
Obvious resistance signs for a rebound can be observed from the recent price trend. Gold has stalled when it reached approximately $4137, forming a clear "top" pattern. Currently, $4110 remains within this resistance range. As long as it fails to break above the key price level of $4150 or above, it is likely to continue to decline in the future.
Today's Gold Trading Strategy
xauusd @ sell:4120-4130
tp:4100-4090
sl:4150
Gold update- Bullish Reaction from Key Level..Price reacted beautifully from the 4000 key level / demand zone we marked last week.
We’re now seeing early bullish signs and structure holding.
At this stage:
I’m managing my current positions with the trend
No need to force trades — just letting price action develop
As long as structure holds, I remain bullish on gold for now
Risk is managed, emotions aside — focus is on what the chart is showing
I’ll update again after data/news prints or if structure changes.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (23/10/2025, US SESSION)Gold is consolidating near 4,110–4,115 after attempting a bullish recovery from yesterday’s dip. Current PA is compressing within a minor intraday wedge under key dynamic resistance (H1 200EMA). The US session is likely to determine whether gold continues its bullish correction toward 4,150–4,162 or loses momentum and re-tests liquidity zones below 4,098–4,083.
⸻
📈 Market Overview
• Recent bullish recovery but still trading below major H1 protections.
• Buyers attempting to hold above 4,110, forming higher lows since early London.
• Sellers are defending resistance around 4,126–4,132, aligned with descending structure.
• Momentum mildly bullish but weakening — breakout decision likely in US volatility.
⸻
🧠 Technical Breakdown
📅 Daily (D1)
• Still in macro bullish uptrend, recent rejection candle confirmed lower wick buying.
• Current candle showing attempt to recover after heavy retracement.
• RSI holding around 59 — neutral but leaning recovery.
• Failure to climb above 4,150 today risks another bearish D1 candle.
⏳ 1H (H1)
• CHoCH confirmed from previous bearish swing, but price is still under key EMAs.
• Trading just below H1 200EMA (approx. 4,150–4,153) — a critical supply zone.
• Multiple rejections around 4,125–4,132, signaling short-term resistance.
• RSI ~53, balanced but slightly bullish.
• MACD histogram showing steady green momentum but starting to flatten.
📍Conclusion: US session needs a breakout above 4,132 or a strong retest to confirm direction.
🕒 30M
• Price consolidating in a tightening wedge.
• 200EMA overhead at 4,150 acting as session ceiling.
• MACD still green but declining — buyers losing steam.
• A break below wedge support (~4,104–4,106) may trigger corrective wave.
📉 15M–5M
• M15: Sideways structure; BOS previously bullish but now stalling.
• M5: Shows liquidity sweeps & quick rejections near 4,126 zone.
• Buyers holding structure above 4,110, but momentum slowing.
📍Scalp buyers may wait for retracement or bullish engulfing confirmation.
⸻
📐 Fibonacci Golden Zone (Last Impulse: 4,088 → 4,137)
🔸 38.2% → 4,119
🔸 50% → 4,113
🔸 61.8% → 4,106
✅ Golden Buy Zone: 4,119–4,106
⚠ If 4,106 breaks decisively, deeper pullback to 4,098–4,083 liquidity pocket is likely.
⸻
🎯 High-Probability Trade Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation (Preferred if zone holds)
📍Buy Zone: 4,119–4,106 (Fib confluence + bullish PA confirmation)
🎯 TP1 4,126 | TP2 4,132 (local high) | TP3 4,148 | TP4 4,159 (H1 200EMA)
🛑 SL below 4,102
⚡ Aggressive Breakout Buy
📍Trigger: Break & close M15 above 4,132
🎯 TP1 4,148 | TP2 4,153 | TP3 4,162 | TP4 4,168
🛑 SL below 4,125
🔻 Bearish Reversal from Supply (Only if clear rejection at 4,132–4,148)
📍Entry: Bearish engulfing/confirmation at 4,132–4,148
🎯 TP1 4,119 | TP2 4,113 | TP3 4,106 | TP4 4,098–4,083
🛑 SL above 4,153
📉 Breakdown Sell (Stronger correction case)
📍Trigger: Clean break below 4,106
🎯 TP1 4,098 | TP2 4,087 | TP3 4,071–4,058
🛑 SL above 4,113
⸻
📅 Fundamental Watch – US Session
• US jobless claims & mid-tier USD data may fuel volatility.
• DXY strength could cap gold upside near 4,148.
• If US yields fall, gold may break 4,132 strongly.
⸻
📍 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,126–4,132 / 4,148–4,153 / 4,162
Support: 4,119 / 4,113 / 4,106 / 4,098 / 4,083
Trendlines:
🔻 Descending resistance capping at 4,132
🔺 Ascending intraday support at 4,110
⸻
🧾 Analyst Summary
Gold is coiling for a directional move during US session. Buyers still maintain short-term structure as long as price holds above 4,106–4,110. A bullish breakout above 4,132 may fuel an impulsive move into H1 supply at 4,148–4,159. However, repeated rejections could cause a deeper correction to 4,098–4,083 before any further bullish attempt.
⸻
📌 Final Bias Summary
✅ Bias: Mildly bullish above 4,106
⚠️ Rejection at 4,132 = short-term sell wave
📍 Buy dips > 4,106 | Strong buy only above 4,132
📍 Sell only on confirmed rejection or breakdown below 4,106
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 Team 🚀
⸻
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical AnalysisAnalysis:
Gold is currently trading around 4,120, showing a minor bullish correction within a descending channel. The price has bounced from the support buy zone (4,040–4,060), indicating buyer activity at this level. However, the structure remains bearish in the short term as long as the price stays below the descending trade line.
A possible scenario is a short-term pullback toward the upper trade line before another retest of the support zone. If the support holds again, a bullish reversal could target the 4,383 level, aligning with the upper boundary of the previous high.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060
Resistance (Trade Line): 4,180 – 4,200
Target (Bullish): 4,383
Outlook:
Neutral-to-bullish in the medium term if the support zone remains intact. A break below 4,040 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal further downside continuation. QSE:MRDS QSE:NLCS QSE:ERES QSE:QNBK QSE:FALH QSE:BLDN QSE:DUBK QSE:IGRD QSE:QIBK QSE:IQCD QSE:MEZA QSE:AKHI QSE:WDAM
XAU/USD 23 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 22 October 2025.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 20 October 2025 where I mention that price is to continue bullish, react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,185.910.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS and subsequently a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,004.280.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Is the correction over? Bearish resistance levels are expected.Gold's decline intensified during Wednesday's US trading session, partly due to silver's earlier break below $50, which dampened overall sentiment for precious metals. Overall, this decline was primarily driven by profit-taking and a technical correction.
Gold has been fluctuating above the 4,000 mark for the past two days. After these two days of volatile decline, the 4,000 level is crucial for mid-term strategies.
Thursday's Asian session saw slight fluctuations. If the European session sees a rebound, prices could rise again to test 4,130, followed by yesterday's high of 4,161. Therefore, continued strength in the European session is a prerequisite for the US market. Focus on resistance at 4,130 during the Asian session, and watch for resistance at 4,160 after a breakout.
Trading strategy:
Short around 4130, stop loss at 4140, profit range 4060-4050.
If it breaks through, watch for resistance at 4160 and try to trade again.
The trend line is not broken and the medium to long term is bull
Good morning, bros. Gold has fallen from its high of 4380, dropping nearly $380. This significant drop is relatively rare in the past six months. However, judging from the 4H cycle trend, the current gold price is still above the rising trend line. The 4000 mark is a defensive point for bulls. The decline will only continue after successfully breaking through 4000. Yesterday, the lowest point only retreated to around 4015-4005 before it began to rebound. Although it did not provide us with an ideal entry opportunity, it also confirmed the determination of the buyers below to hold on to the 4000 mark. Therefore, until a clear break below the trend line is achieved, our bullish outlook remains unchanged.
The gold price rebounded to around 4135 during the day and then fell back. As I told you yesterday, this position is a relatively dense trading area. I believe the current decline is the market accumulating strength to hit yesterday's rebound high, and it also provides us with a good opportunity to enter the long market. Pay attention to 4110-4100 below. If it retreats to this range, you can try to go long on gold in batches. The first target can continue to look at 4135-4145.
OANDA:XAUUSD
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (23/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around 4,125–4,132 after a sharp pre-London rally that broke the M30 descending trendline and printed a BOS on M15. Price tapped the M15 200-EMA / yellow band and the local swing high (4,132–4,138), then paused with RSI(15m) ≈ 70 → early overextension. H1 shows a constructive recovery, but the H1 200-EMA cluster sits higher at ~4,153–4,159, marking today’s first major supply.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily Chart (D1)
• Bullish response candle after the two-day liquidation; price defended the 4,00x shelf.
• Price remains above 20/50-DMA → macro uptrend intact, in corrective rebound.
• RSI ~59, turning up; MACD easing higher (momentum rebuilding).
Bias: Bullish rebound within broader uptrend.
⸻
1H Chart (H1)
• Clear intraday base at 4,004–4,024; successive higher lows into London.
• CHoCH printed; price now pressing the H1 50/100-EMA band and eyeing H1 200-EMA ~4,153–4,159.
• MACD rising from deep negative; RSI mid-50s → room higher before overbought.
Intraday Bias: Bullish while above 4,110–4,114; watch reaction at 4,148–4,159.
⸻
15M Chart (M15)
• Clean BOS through intra-range highs; impulsive leg 4,088.9 → 4,137.7 hit the M15 200-EMA and paused.
• RSI peaked ~70 (overbought); MACD strong but flattening → likely shallow pullback before next attempt.
Short-term View: Buy dips toward 4,119–4,106, or buy a clean breakout >4,138.
⸻
5M Chart (M5)
• Micro descending cap from the spike high; structure still higher-lows above 4,120–4,122.
• MACD easing; first support at the 5M MA stack 4,118–4,121, deeper pivot 4,112–4,114.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone
A) Intraday (M15 leg 4,088.9 → 4,137.7)
• 38.2% = 4,119
• 50.0% = 4,113
• 61.8% = 4,106
✅ Golden Zone (M15) = 4,119–4,106 → prime London dip-buy area.
B) H1 swing (4,004 → 4,137.7)
• 38.2% = 4,086–4,087
• 50.0% = 4,071
• 61.8% = 4,058
✅ Golden Zone (H1) = 4,071–4,058 (deeper discount if London retraces hard).
⸻
🎯 High Probability Scenarios
Bullish Continuation Setup (Preferred)
✅ Buy 1: 4,119–4,113–4,106 (M15 Golden Zone) on bullish rejection/engulfing.
🎯 TPs: 4,126 (fill) → 4,132–4,138 (weak high) → 4,148–4,153 (first supply) → 4,159
🛑 SL: below 4,102 (or structural low of entry leg)
✅ Buy 2 – Break & Retest: Above 4,138/4,140 (clean 5–15M close & retest).
🎯 TPs: 4,148–4,153 → 4,159 → stretch 4,168
🛑 SL: back inside 4,132
⸻
Bearish Correction / Fade Setup
⚠️ Sell 1 (Rejection): 4,148–4,159 (H1 200-EMA cluster / supply) with clear rejection wick or bearish engulfing.
🎯 TPs: 4,132 → 4,119 → 4,113/4,106
🛑 SL: above 4,162–4,166
📉 Sell 2 – Breakdown: Below 4,106 (loss of 61.8% of M15 leg) or aggressive below 4,096 (EMA stack).
🎯 TPs: 4,087 → 4,071–4,058 (H1 Golden Zone) → 4,046
🛑 SL: back above 4,113
⸻
📅 Fundamental Outlook – London Session
• Calendar light in EU morning; technicals lead.
• Watch DXY drift—soft dollar supports continuation higher; spike in DXY caps rallies near 4,148–4,159.
• US headlines later can inject volatility—don’t overstay at supply.
⸻
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 4,132–4,138 (weak high) / 4,148–4,153–4,159 (H1 200-EMA supply) / 4,168
Support: 4,126/4,122 (intra) / 4,119–4,113–4,106 (M15 Fib zone) / 4,096 / 4,087 / 4,071–4,058 (H1 Fib zone)
⸻
✅ Summary
London opens with bullish momentum after a confirmed M15/M30 breakout. The highest-quality long is a dip buy into 4,119–4,106 (M15 Golden Zone) with confirmation, targeting a sweep of 4,132–4,138 and a test of the H1 200-EMA supply 4,148–4,159.
If price reclaims 4,138–4,140, momentum continuation is favored.
Failure at 4,148–4,159 or a break below 4,106 shifts bias to a corrective leg into 4,087 → 4,071–4,058.
Break Confirmation:
• Buy above 4,138–4,140 (retest)
• Sell below 4,106 (retest)
Golden Zones: 4,119–4,106 (M15) and 4,071–4,058 (H1).
Gold Rebounds from Extreme POI – Bullish Move Building UpGold?Analysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) has shown a strong recovery after tapping into the Extreme Point of Interest (POI) zone, signaling the potential start of a bullish reversal.
The chart indicates an SMC Trap (Smart Money Concept Trap), where liquidity was swept below previous lows to trigger sell stops before reversing upward — a classic smart money accumulation pattern.
Price reacted sharply from the Extreme POI, forming higher lows, which confirms renewed buyer interest.
The immediate target area lies around $4,180 – $4,200, aligning with the projected bullish arrow.
Below, the High Probability POI remains as a deeper demand zone — a strong confluence area if price retests.
📊 Conclusion:
Gold is showing signs of bullish structure recovery after liquidity sweep. Holding above the Extreme POI zone strengthens the case for continued upside movement toward $4,200 and possibly higher.
Gold Breakout Potential: Descending Wedge Signals Bullish ReversAnalysis:
The XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) chart on the 45-minute timeframe shows price action forming a descending wedge pattern, a typically bullish reversal formation. The price has been compressing between lower highs and lower lows but is now testing the upper trendline resistance, indicating a possible breakout.
Key observations:
Trendline Breakout Zone: The narrowing wedge suggests weakening bearish momentum. A confirmed breakout above the trendline could trigger strong upward momentum.
Targets: The projected upside targets are around 4,300, 4,400, and 4,500, aligning with previous resistance zones.
Support Zone: Immediate support remains near 4,050–4,000, where the lower wedge boundary provides buying interest.
Momentum Indicator: Gradual bullish recovery and decreasing downside pressure indicate renewed buyer strength.
Gold's Historic Crash! MSS $4195: Waiting for SELL at $4185📰 CONTEXT (FUNDAMENTAL)
Gold suffered its sharpest drop since 2013 after hitting a record $4,398. The decline was mainly due to technical profit-taking, not major macroeconomic events. Long-term fundamental factors (inflation, uncertainty) still support Gold, but a short-term correction is necessary.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (1H Chart)
MSS Confirmed: Price made a strong break (Breakout) of the crucial support at $4,195 - $4,200. This zone has now flipped to become New Resistance (The ideal SELL zone).
The market is currently in a Technical Pullback phase.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN
The preference is to SELL at the Resistance re-test zone, aligned with the new market structure.
1. SELL Strategy (Pro-structure Trade)
SELL ZONE: $4183 - 4185
SL (Stop Loss): $4193
TP (Take Profit): $4175 - 4165 - 4155 - 4145
2. BUY Strategy (Counter-trend Scalp)
BUY ZONE: $4060 - 4055
SL (Stop Loss): $4030
TP (Take Profit): $4091 - 4114 - 4185
🔥 Expert Action: Wait for the price to pull back to the $4183 - 4185 zone to look for a SELL (Short) setup with a favorable R:R ratio.
Always remember to manage risk (SL 1-2% of capital).
Are you going to BUY or SELL? Leave your thoughts and Follow for the latest updates!
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XAUUSD: 800 Pips Secured, but Is the Correction Really Over?Yesterday, after revisiting the 4,000 support zone as expected and explained in my previous analysis, Gold bounced strongly and tested the area above 4,100.
That rally delivered around 800 pips profit on my long trade, and now the market is showing a mild pullback, consolidating around 4,085.
The key question now:
👉 Is the overall correction over, or is there still more to unfold?
From a technical perspective, as long as 4,000 remains intact, Gold retains its bullish potential toward the 4,200 resistance zone.
However, I prefer to stay patient at the moment — being flat at the time of writing — and will wait for a potential dip toward 4,050 or slightly below.
If the price shows a positive reaction in that area, I’ll consider re-entering long positions.
🎯 Upside targets:
• First: 4,150
• Second: 4,200
Keeping a positive risk-reward balance remains the main priority.
🚀 Let’s see if the market confirms the plan.
XAUUSD – Waiting for a Breakout to Confirm the Next Bullish WaveGold remains under pressure, trading slightly below 4,100 USD/oz despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and weak global sentiment.
On the higher timeframe, the structure still respects its ascending channel, showing no signs of a deep breakdown yet.
During the early Asian session, renewed buying interest has started to emerge, supported by a stable inflow of safe-haven demand.
Technically, price is attempting to form a bullish continuation structure (Dow wave) around the 4,110 zone.
If a breakout above this key level occurs, gold could accelerate toward 4,155, and potentially extend into a corrective bullish wave targeting 4,220–4,260, aligning with the Fibonacci retracement confluence and the CP/OBS sell zone on the chart.
Technical Outlook (M30):
Price action suggests a potential wave recovery structure forming after last week’s steep decline.
The 4,155 level acts as a key inflection point — it will decide whether bulls regain control or bears push for another correction.
Key Levels:
CP Zone Up / Breakout Base: 4,053 – 4,055
Short-Term Key Level: 4,110 – 4,115
Mid-Level Resistance: 4,155 (structure pivot)
Fibo Sell Zone / Wave End Target: 4,220 – 4,263
Trading Plan:
🔹 BUY Setup #1
Entry: 4,020 – 4,018
Stop Loss: 4,010
Take Profit: 4,030 → 4,035 → 4,040 → 4,050 → 4,060 → 4,100
Bias: Reaccumulation Phase (structure support)
🔹 BUY Setup #2 (Scalp Play)
Entry: 4,053 – 4,051
Stop Loss: 4,043
Take Profit: 4,060 → 4,070 → 4,080 → 4,090 → 4,100 → 4,150
Note: Ideal for intraday traders watching the breakout base.
🔹 SELL Setup (Liquidity Reaction Zone)
Entry: 4,263 – 4,265
Stop Loss: 4,273
Take Profit: 4,255 → 4,250 → 4,240 → 4,230 → 4,220 → 4,210 → 4,200
Summary:
Gold continues to consolidate above 4,050, showing signs of early recovery after the recent 3,000-pip correction.
The 4,155 level remains the key pivot for short-term direction — a breakout here could confirm a Wave 3–5 recovery structure, while rejection could bring one more pullback.
Macro and geopolitical uncertainty still favour safe-haven flows, keeping the bullish scenario valid as long as 4,000–4,020 holds.
📊 What’s your take — will gold break above 4,155 to start a new bullish wave, or reject and extend the correction further?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for institutional-style updates and daily structure-based setups.






















