A game for the brave. Please participate.Amidst the surging tides of the trend, every ship appears adept. But the true test isn't speed, but staying at sea. Survival is more important than success. Respect the market. Quaid hopes everyone can maintain a steady pace amidst volatility and reap their own wave of wealth.
Gold prices retreated after reaching a high of 4381 on Monday. Early analysis indicated a potential "double top" pattern.
Based on the previous daily fluctuations of around $100, initial expectations suggested a range-bound market fluctuation of 4381-4270. However, the actual trend far exceeded expectations. Prices plummeted from the 4381 high, triggering a sell-off, with the largest single-day drop reaching $300. This market action further demonstrates market uncertainty. Quaid advises everyone to maintain a cautious approach and strictly set stop-loss orders, whether long or short.
A sharp decline is always preceded by a rebound. Prices declined in early Asian trading, not incrementally. Irrational declines will eventually reverse. Don't be intimidated by the market at this time. Don't trade with a normal mindset. Position management is paramount. A 10-point stop-loss is completely unbearable right now, so reduce your position size to about one-third of your normal size.
When the market plummets or soars, you can open positions in batches to keep the total transaction loss within the controllable range of the account.
For short-term trading, you can enter short positions around 4130. I'll update specific trading strategies on the channel, so stay tuned.
Xauusdanalysis
GOLD (XAU/USD) Game Plan GOLD (XAU/USD) Game Plan
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment for GOLD remains extremely bullish, driven primarily by central bank accumulation.
Since 2023, global central banks — led by China — have been buying gold aggressively, creating a long-term demand base.
With the FED preparing to initiate QE while inflation remains elevated, risk assets like GOLD are expected to outperform as USD (DXY) weakens.
This macro setup builds a powerful bullish narrative that continues to favor long exposure on gold.
📈 Technical Analysis
GOLD has rallied for nine consecutive weeks since mid-August, reaching overbought RSI levels.
Currently, price is showing signs of retracement and consolidation, suggesting an accumulation phase may form before the next impulsive move.
The Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) around $4010, just below the HTF bullish trendline, acts as a critical support area where a potential deviation and bounce may occur.
📌 Game Plan
I expect GOLD to retrace toward the HTF trendline and Weekly FVG ($4017).
A deviation and bounce from this zone could trigger a new bullish leg.
However, I anticipate 1–2 weeks of accumulation before continuation.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
Gold Market Nearing a Bottom — Trade with CautionAfter yesterday’s sharp decline, the market is likely entering a gradual bottoming phase. As I mentioned on Saturday, there are still unfilled gaps at 4019–4024 and 3887–3898. If the bears remain dominant, the 4019 gap could be filled, though a move toward 3887 seems less likely unless major negative news triggers it.
During any rebound, pay close attention to the 4200–4250 resistance area. If prices fail to stabilize there, the weekly chart pattern will weaken, increasing the risk of a drop toward the 3887 gap. Overall, trade with caution in the near term — the market is being influenced by multiple factors, leading to heightened volatility and risk. Being cautious never hurts.
While making profits is important, protecting your account comes first — otherwise, gains mean little. If you prefer fewer, safer trades, focus on the key price zones mentioned above and observe the market more than you act. For those continuing with short-term or scalping strategies, be sure to control your target prices strictly, especially now as the broader trend direction is still being established.
Of course, everyone has his or her own trading methods and theories. I will not comment too much here, but just share my own views. If you think it is useful, use it. If it is not useful, just watch the fun.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (22/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 4,125, attempting a minor recovery after a strong bearish breakdown during the US session. Price found near-term liquidity around 4,106–4,100, where a short-term bounce is unfolding. Despite this pullback attempt, the overall structure remains bearish unless key resistance levels are reclaimed.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily Chart (D1)
• Strong bearish candle formed after rejection from 4,381.
• Price still above 20EMA and well above 50EMA, confirming a corrective move within a broader bullish trend.
• RSI cooling from overbought; now around mid-level, room for either further correction or bounce.
• MACD still positive but histogram weakening, suggesting potential retracement or pause.
Bias: Corrective bearish inside macro bullish trend.
⸻
1H Chart (H1)
• Clear bearish shift with BOS confirmed below 4,254 and 4,229.
• Rejection from 20EMA and 50EMA above (4,170–4,249) confirms intraday bearish bias.
• RSI recovering from oversold (26→38) indicating a potential pullback leg.
• If gold climbs into 4,160–4,198 zone and rejects, bearish continuation likely.
Intraday Bias: Bearish until H1 closes above 4,200–4,210.
⸻
15M Chart (M15)
• Minor CHoCH formed after bounce at 4,106, with price entering a corrective channel.
• RSI around 55 → short-term recovery phase.
• MACD histogram green but still shallow → possible retracement only.
• Price approaching first resistance around 4,140–4,150.
Short-term View: Pullback phase inside bearish structure.
⸻
5M Chart (M5)
• Series of higher lows forming → bullish momentum attempt.
• MACD positive with expanding green bars.
• RSI above 55 suggests buyers in short control, but nearing resistance.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone
Recent impulse: High 4,254 → Low 4,106
🔹 38.2% Fib = 4,160
🔹 50% Fib = 4,180
🔹 61.8% Fib = 4,198
✅ Golden Zone: 4,160 – 4,198
This zone aligns with intraday EMA resistance and H1 supply, making it a key sell area if rejection occurs.
⸻
🎯 High Probability Scenarios
✅ Bearish Continuation Setup (Preferred)
⚠️ Sell in the 4,160–4,198 Golden Zone upon bearish rejection.
🎯 Targets → 4,140 → 4,120 → 4,106 → 4,080
🛑 SL above 4,210
✅ Breakout Sell (Momentum Play)
⚠️ Sell below 4,106 (Break & Retest)
🎯 Targets → 4,080 → 4,060 → 4,040
🛑 SL above 4,120
⸻
🟢 Bullish Countertrend Setup (Lower Probability)
✅ Buy from 4,106–4,100 only if strong bullish engulfing + MACD flip appear.
🎯 Targets → 4,140 → 4,160 → 4,180
🛑 SL below 4,090
🟢 Bullish Breakout Setup (Structure Shift Only)
✅ Buy above 4,200 (Break & Retest)
🎯 Targets → 4,229 → 4,254
🛑 SL below 4,180
⸻
📅 Fundamental Outlook – Asia Session
• No major Asian economic catalysts early session → market may retrace or range.
• Traders likely positioning for NY session after heavy US selling.
• USD Index holding firm; any DXY weakness could extend pullback.
• Focus shifts to US jobless data and Fed sentiment later today.
⸻
⚠ Key Levels to Watch
Type Level Description
Resistance 4,140 / 4,160 First intraday rejection zones
Resistance 4,180 / 4,198 Fibonacci Golden Zone
Support 4,120 Minor intraday support
Support 4,106–4,100 Liquidity shelf
Support 4,080 Deep corrective target
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold is undergoing a corrective bounce within a bearish intraday trend. The Golden Zone (4,160–4,198) is the critical area for potential continuation sells if rejection is confirmed. A failure to clear 4,200 keeps sellers in control. Buyers only gain momentum above 4,200, or at deep retests near 4,106 with bullish confirmation.
🟢 Reversal Buy only if 4,106 holds with strength.
🔻 Main Scenario: Sell rallies from 4,160–4,198 zone.
📉 Break Confirmation: Sell below 4,106.
✨ Golden Zone: 4,160 – 4,198.
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 21/10/2025 🥇
📊 GOLD TRADE RESULTS:
🔻 SELL +210 pips
🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 pips
❌ BUY –40 pips (SL)
🟢 BUY +70 pips
🟢 BUY +100 pips
🔻 SELL +210 pips
🟢 BUY +270 pips
---
💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: ✅ +840 pips
📈 RESULT: 7 Signals → 6 Wins | 1 SL
🎯 ACCURACY: 86%
---
🔥 Solid upward momentum and precision in reversals — swing continuation played out beautifully 📈💎
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
Gold mania ends in a $4000 reality check? Thousands queuing for hours in central Sydney to buy gold last week was a potential warning sign that gold was vulnerable to correction.
Today, gold prices saw their largest one-day fall in over ten years. After several failed attempts to break above 4,400, resistance held and momentum reversed sharply.
The first key support now potentially sits near 4,000 (200% retracement).
Despite the correction, long-term outlooks might remain positive. Ongoing inflation risk, lower interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and U.S. government dysfunction are still ever present. This might be why Goldman Sachs raised its December 2026 price target to 4,900 per ounce, up from 4,300, citing
Silver also slumped more than 7%, marking their biggest daily loss since 2021, as overbought signals flashed extremes.
Gold Plunges — Buying Opportunity EmergesThe strength of the bears eventually caused the price to fall below 4100. After touching 4080, the volatility decreased. I believe that at this point, everyone should know how to trade next. That's right, it is to go long, but pay attention to position control to avoid directly overweighting. It is safer to buy in batches, because the bottom cannot be formed all at once. The probability of this is relatively small. During the rebound, pay attention to the resistance in the area around 4180-4200/4250. If there is a strong and rapid rebound, the price will most likely have some retracement. Therefore, if you are doing short-term trading, you should pay attention to controlling the target. Mid-line trading may also be a roller coaster, but the overall direction should be correct. However, you should also pay attention to the risks. That's all for today.
Xauusd Bullish SetupThis Gold (XAU/USD) analysis presents a bullish setup on the 30-minute chart. The price is expected to rebound from the support zone around 4097, where a buy limit trade is placed. The stop loss is positioned at 4046 to manage downside risk. The analysis targets an upward move towards 4165 (first take profit), 4227 (second take profit), and a final target at 4318, indicating strong potential for a recovery and continuation of the uptrend.
Gold (XAU/USD) Potential Bullish Reversal Setup – Entry Zone For**Analysis:**
The chart illustrates a possible bullish reversal scenario after a recent downward move in Gold (XAU/USD). The marked *Change of Character (ChoCH)* indicates an early sign of a trend shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
Price has entered a **consolidation zone** near the support area, where the **entry level** is highlighted. This zone suggests accumulation and potential preparation for an upward move.
The setup shows:
* **ENTRY:** Around current support, within the highlighted range.
* **STOP:** Below the recent low, providing risk control if the reversal fails.
* **TARGET:** The projection points to a **100% measured move**, aligning with a strong bullish continuation potential toward 4,700 levels.
If price maintains structure and confirms a breakout above the short-term resistance, it may initiate a new **bullish impulse phase**.
Accurately grasp every trading opportunity,do you dare to followGold prices fell sharply in the evening due to the news, with a daily drop of nearly $300. Judging from the daily chart, the large real negative line almost swallowed up all the gains last week, and the bears have absolute control over the market.
Since this morning, Allen has been reminding everyone to pay attention to the M-shaped double-top structure and be alert to the possible sharp market correction. Even if you fail to keep up with our trading rhythm, as long as you refer to my ideas and read them carefully, you can at least effectively avoid being washed out by the market.
As gold continues to fall, various voices have appeared in the market. Bros must keep their eyes open when referring to them. After all, not everyone is as brave as Allen in facing mistakes and losses.
As I said, the bears are currently dominating the market. Although the decline has stagnated slightly in the short term, the downward trend has not completely stopped. It will be difficult for the bulls to recover all their lost ground tonight. The current gold price is hovering around 4110. If it continues to fall, you can pay attention to the short-term support of 4060-4050 below. Try to go long with a light position, set a stop loss, and look for support at the 4000 integer mark if it breaks.
OANDA:XAUUSD
The M top has formed and the bull market has endedDuring the Asian session today, we took profits on our long position in gold and then entered a short position in the European session, both yielding substantial gains (this can be verified on my free channel).
Technically, gold prices are likely forming a short-term "double top" pattern. The current downward trend is quite clear, with the hourly low during the European session around 4168. Recently, gold triggered sharp declines after testing 4381 twice, indicating significant selling pressure above. Additionally, the rapid rebound to 4250 after breaking below 4200 last Friday was more of a buying defense driven by bullish sentiment. However, the probability of a rebound today is extremely low— the impact of last Friday’s plunge has not been fully absorbed, and today’s renewed slump has undoubtedly dealt a second blow to bullish confidence.
Attention should be focused on the 4180 support level below. If it is breached, the bullish trend for gold may come to a complete end.
Gold is currently in a state of panic selling. It is advisable to remain on the sidelines for now, and wait to enter the market until the selling sentiment subsides and the market stabilizes, so as to avoid losses from a market washout that triggers a double wipeout of both long and short positions.
Correct projection for GoldThe core conclusions of today's analysis on gold have all been verified by market trends, which can be summarized in three aspects: trend prediction, key level control, and trend logic:
1-Trend prediction verification: It was clearly stated this morning that "if it breaks below the key support level of 4280, it will enter a consolidation phase and may further drop to 4150". The current gold price is completely in line with this downward range, and the prediction is highly consistent with the actual trend.
2-Key level control: The previously emphasized resistance level at 4380 and support level at 4280 have both become the core boundaries of intraday price fluctuations.
3-We accurately captured "the restrictive effect of support and resistance levels on prices", and there were no deviations in the judgments on "short-term fluctuation rhythm and long-term trend direction", effectively providing clear range and direction references for trading operations.
Analysis and trading position for gold
Hello traders
The structure of the one-hour time frame is bearish for now
The algorithm for one-hour sellers has also been activated, but it has not yet pulled back to its equilibrium. In one hour, there are two pullback ranges, 4207 and 4232, which you can look for a trigger sell (this range has high validity until the defined TP is touched. If it gives the target first, this range will be merely a reaction). From these areas and TP, the one-hour sellers of this algorithm are defined at 4040, which is one with a daily support, the one-hour seller is liquidating here, which is also the daily support, so we can expect a good move from this support.
GOLD Finally Made Reversal Pattern , Short Setup To Get 400 PipsHere is my 4H Chart On GOLD , And finally the chart made a reversal pattern The price creating a very clear reversal pattern ( double top) and the price made a very good bearish price action now from good res area so we can enter a sell trade after the price back to retest the neckline to can use a small stop loss and targeting 200 to 400 pips , this is a good bearish movement after this massive movement to upside without any correction , so we will sell this pair for the next weeks .
Gold Forms Double Top — Bears May Target 4150Gold ultimately formed a double top, and the decline followed a similar pattern to last Friday. Similarly, it failed to hold above 4352 amidst volatility, falling to around 4317 before rebounding. However, the rebound also failed to effectively convert resistance near 41 into support, leading to a rapid decline! The price has once again returned to support near the MA30 on the 4H chart.
A rapid decline is often accompanied by a rebound, but if the rebound fails to break through resistance, it can only serve as a buffer during the downtrend. If the pattern arrangement and indicators also favor a bearish trend, the subsequent decline is likely to be even more drastic (absent breaking news).
Now the price has rebounded to the resistance zone, and the strong resistance is still around 4300. If the rebound cannot gradually recover, then we must pay attention to the trend support. If it falls below, a similar trend as marked in the figure is likely to appear, and the short position may point to around 4150 or even lower.
Gold: Resistance at 4380 is significant📈Today, during the Asian session, the Gold continued its bullish trend, with the price once surging to 4375, but failed to hold steady afterward and pulled back.
📝From a technical perspective, the overall upward structure of London Gold on the daily chart remains intact, and the short-term technical pattern still shows a relatively strong momentum. However, there is certain resistance around the 4380 level, as the price failed to break through it in the previous two attempts,If the resistance at 4380 is broken, it will open the channel for further upward movement, we will focus on the resistance zone around 4400–4440; if this support 4280 fails to hold, gold prices may fall further to 4150 or even lower.
📝Looking at the 4-hour chart, the immediate focus above is on the short-term resistance zone of 4380-4383, while the support zone below is 4280-4290. If the bulls fail to achieve a sustained breakthrough, the market is likely to enter a consolidation phase later. In terms of operation, it is advisable to trade within this range. Refrain from excessive actions or chasing trades at mid-range levels; instead, wait patiently for key levels to enter positions.
💎Trading Strategy:
Buy 4290 - 4300
TP 4320 - 4330 - 4340
SL 4280
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Gold Awakens – Bulls Target the 4240 ZoneGold is showing renewed buying pressure after rebounding from recent support near 4170. Price structure remains bullish on the short-term swing outlook, with higher lows forming and momentum shifting back toward resistance levels.
Key Levels:
Buy Entry: 4195
Take Profit: 4240
Stop Loss: 4170
Reasoning:
Technically, gold has stabilized above its short-term base and reclaimed key intraday zones, signaling improving buyer sentiment. The structure suggests a potential continuation toward the next resistance at 4240, supported by momentum recovery and stronger demand near the 4170 to 4180 area.
Fundamentally, lingering geopolitical concerns and U.S. yield fluctuations continue to support gold’s safe-haven demand, keeping the bias upward in the near term.
Disclaimer:
This content is for educational and market analysis purposes only — not financial advice.
Gold Double Top Forming – Correction Ahead?When an asset hits an All-Time High(ATH) , technical analysis can get a bit tricky because there’s no historical resistance above and the usual technical rules might have less impact. However, right now it seems like some technical principles are still visible on gold’s chart, at least on the 1-hour timeframe , and I’d like to share that with you.
At the moment, Gold has broken below the lower line of its ascending channel, the Support zone($4,320 – $4,279) , and the neckline of a Double Top Pattern . This could indicate the start of a short-term correction. Given how strong gold’s momentum has been in recent weeks, this correction might not last too long since gold remains very attractive globally.
From an Elliott Wave perspective , the formation of a double top pattern might signal the end of an impulsive wave and the beginning of a corrective phase .
I expect that in the next few hours, Gold could at least drop to the Double Top Pattern’s target around $4,183 . If Gold breaks the Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) , we could see a deeper correction .
Second target:$4,143
Stop Loss(SL): $4,385(Worst)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup): Entry (Buy Zone): 4,180 – 4,2Technical Overview:
Gold is currently in a retracement phase, testing a strong BUY ZONE between 4,180 – 4,200.
This zone has previously acted as a major support area, where buyers stepped in.
The chart shows a possible bullish reversal pattern forming near this zone, suggesting a potential rebound.
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup):
Entry (Buy Zone): 4,180 – 4,200
Target: 4,384
Stop-Loss: Below 4,160
Rationale:
The buy zone aligns with previous price reactions, confirming strong demand.
Wick rejections around 4,190 indicate buyer interest.
Price action suggests a possible V-shaped recovery or higher-low formation before continuation upward.
🟥 Bearish Scenario (Alternative):
If price closes below 4,160, the support zone will be invalidated.
In that case, exp TFEX:KKP1! TFEX:DELTA1! TFEX:JPY1! TFEX:EURUSD1! TFEX:GD1! TFEX:GF1! TFEX:USDJPY1! TFEX:GF101! TFEX:SVF1! TFEX:GO1! ect further downside toward 4,120 – 4,100.
⚙️ Summary Table:
Parameter Value
Trend Bias (Short-Term) Neutral to Bullish
Key Support (Buy Zone) 4,180 – 4,200
Target 4,384
Stop-Loss Below 4,160
Risk–Reward Ratio ≈ 1:3
📊 Conclusion:
Gold (XAU/USD) is approaching a critical support zone. As long as the price holds above 4,160, a bullish rebound toward 4,384 remains likely. However, a confirmed break below this level could trigger a deeper correction. TFEX:KEX1! TFEX:ICT1!
Time for GOLD To DROP! (is XAUUSD heading to the downside?)For weeks gold (XAUUSD) has been sky rocketing to the upside, however there have been many new signals indicating that it could be a bearish move to the downside. Nothing keeps going up forever! Gold has broken major support levels + trend line and channel breakout. Time to sell!
XAUUSD- 1H bullish setup🟢 Bullish Confluences:
Strong Rejection from Key Demand Zone
Price has sharply bounced from the lower green Keltner Channel band, indicating strong buyer interest around $4,245–$4,257.
This area aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the recent leg (4233.35 to 4297.76), a classic golden ratio zone for reversals.
Bullish Candlestick Reaction
A long lower wick shows clear rejection of lower prices and potential reversal strength.
Suggests that bulls are stepping in after a steep decline.
Keltner Channel Support Bounce
The price is reacting well from the lower Keltner band and may now aim toward the mid to upper bands as dynamic resistance, which aligns with key Fibonacci levels.
Fibonacci Retracement Overlay
The recent drop seems to be a corrective pullback, and the overlay of the Fibonacci retracement levels gives us clear potential targets on a bullish reversal.
🎯 Fibonacci Targets (Upside Levels):
Based on the move from the low around 4233.35 to the recent swing high around 4297.76, the bullish targets are:
Target 1 – 38.2% Level
📍 4322.36 First resistance and profit-taking zone.
Also aligns with mid-Keltner resistance.
Target 2 – 61.8% Level
📍 4337.57 Strong Fibonacci level where deeper pullbacks usually end.
May act as a major resistance zone if price continues upward.
Target 3 – 100% Extension / Full Move Recovery
📍 4362.17 Full recovery of the prior high.
If momentum remains strong, price may test this zone.
GOLD Resistance? what's next??#GOLD.. perfect move as per our last idea regarding gold cut n reverse area.
now market just broke his supporting region and if market hold that region than it will convert to resistance area.
that is around 4281-892 to 4287-88
keep close and holding or that region means we can expect a further dip .
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse above that region on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
What to do after the plunge? Strategy has been updatedGold opened higher today, testing the peak at 4381 before coming under pressure and declining. During the session, it pulled back to a low of 4317, rebounded to around the 4345 level, and then started a cascading drop. Currently, it is consolidating with fluctuations near 4266.
We have only executed one successful trade during the Asian session so far today, and all traders who followed the operation have gained good profits. As this wave of gold's decline is relatively rapid, for prudence, we can first observe the market temporarily and will inform everyone when there is an opportunity for operation.
Trading Strategy
Keep an eye on the trend during the European session.
If gold fluctuates weakly in the European session, we will go short when it rebounds in the US session.
If gold rebounds strongly in the European session, we will go long on gold when it pulls back in the US session.
I will update trading signals in real time in the channel. You can follow it if needed.






















