XAUUSD – 1H | OB / FVG Roadmap Price currently: 3539.7
🔴 1H Supply (Sell Zone): 3565 – 3575
🟩 1H OB #1: 3488 – 3470
🟩 1H OB #2: 3455 – 3440
🟦 1H FVG: 3405 – 3390
🟩 Deep 1H OB: 3382 – 3372
Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation:
If price holds above 3488–3470 OB, I’ll look for buys targeting 3565–3575 supply zone.
Acceptance above 3575 could open doors to continuation higher (new highs).
Invalidation: clean 1H close below 3470.
Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback:
If price fails to hold 3488–3470, next area for potential long setups is 3455–3440 OB, and then the unmitigated 3405–3390 FVG.
I will look for bullish CHoCH/BOS on 3–5m TF before entering.
Targets for rebound are 3530 (mid-range) and 3565–3575 (supply zone).
Execution: No blind orders – confirmation required on LTF.
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Xauusdanalysis
Gold/XAUUSD Intrday Move 04.09.2025Gold is currently trading near 3539, after retracing into yesterday’s demand zone at 3526–3531. This zone has shown strong reactions previously and continues to hold as a key level for buyers.
🔑 Key Reasoning
Demand Zone: Price is retesting 3526–3531, a strong support area where buyers previously stepped in.
Bullish Continuation Bias: The broader structure remains bullish, and as long as this zone holds, the outlook favors continuation to the upside.
Confirmation Level: A decisive close above 3542 would confirm bullish momentum and open the way for further upside.
Invalidation: A break below 3511 (recent low) would invalidate the bullish setup and shift bias to neutral/short-term bearish.
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: Buy from 3526–3531 demand zone.
Confirmation: Add positions if price closes clearly above 3542.
Stop-Loss: Below 3511 (recent low).
Targets:
First target: 3578 (recent swing high).
👉 Summary: Bias stays bullish above 3526–31 demand zone. A clean break above 3542 strengthens the case for continuation toward 3578, with invalidation below 3511.
Gold 04/09 – Smart Money Setup: Sell Scalp, Prep for Buy Zones🟢 Market Context
Gold is currently showing a short-term bearish setup after a ChoCH (Change of Character) near 3,536.556. The market is rejecting supply and forming liquidity sweeps around the 3,531–3,533 zone. Expecting price to pull lower toward demand areas before the next bullish leg.
________________________________________
📍 Key Levels & Trade Plan
🔴 Intraday Sell (Scalp Opportunity)
• Entry: 3,531 – 3,533
• Stop Loss: 3,535
• Target: 3,485
🟢 Swing Buy Zones
1. Buy Zone 1: 3,475 – 3,477
o Stop Loss: 3,470
o Target: 3,508 – 3,526
2. Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Discount): 3,441 – 3,443
o Stop Loss: 3,435
o Target: 3,500+
________________________________________
⚖️ SMC Bias
• Short-term: Bearish scalp from supply zone.
• Mid-term: Looking for liquidity grab and bullish reversal at demand zones.
• Long-term: Maintaining bullish order flow as long as deeper demand (3,441) holds.
XAUUSD – Liquidity Gap & Key Levels Before ADP/NFPAfter yesterday’s rally, Gold (XAUUSD) pulled back over 60 points, returning to the VPOC 3537 zone. This sharp move suggests a possible short-term ATH near 357x, where many SELLs were forced out while BUYs locked in profits.
Currently, Gold is in a correction phase ahead of ADP today and NFP tomorrow. With ADP expected at 73K vs. 104K prior, weaker data could support further upside if USD weakens.
The 60+ point drop shows profit-taking by big players and left liquidity gaps on both sides, bringing price back into the 353x–354x range. A breakout of this range will likely dictate today’s trend.
🔑 Key Resistance Levels
3540 - 3548 - 3560 - 3576
🔑 Key Support Levels
3526 - 3515 - 3502 - 3490 - 3476
📌 Trade Setups (MMFLOW Trading View)
BUY Scalp: 3502 – 3500
SL: 3494
TP: 3506 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ???
BUY Zone: 3477 – 3475
SL: 3470
TP: 3485 – 3495 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – 3550 – ???
SELL Scalp: 3559 – 3561
SL: 3566
TP: 3554 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – 3520 – 3510 – 3500 – ???
SELL Zone: 3574 – 3576
SL: 3580
TP: 3570 – 3560 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – ???
📊 MMFLOW TRADING View:
Today’s market context suggests continued correction before ADP/NFP. Sideway accumulation remains dominant in 353x–354x, but a decisive breakout will guide today’s direction.
Gold 03/09 – Smart Money Playbook: Buy the Dip, Sell the High🟢 Market Context
Gold maintains a bullish order flow after multiple BOS (Break of Structure) and ChoCH (Change of Character) confirmations. Price is currently consolidating near the 3,533–3,540 zone, with a clear FVG (Fair Value Gap) below. The market shows potential for liquidity sweep before another leg upward.
________________________________________
📍 Key Levels
• Resistance (Sell Zones): 3564 | 3575–3576 | 3586 | 3595
• Support (Buy Zones): 3528 | 3508 | 3494 | 3480–3478 | 3468
________________________________________
🛠️ Trade Ideas
✅ Buy Zone (Intraday Swing)
• Entry: 3480 – 3478
• SL: 3473
• TP: 3485 – 3490 – 3500 – 3515 – 3520 – 3530
📌 Expectation: Price to mitigate FVG and react from demand zone before continuation upward.
✅ Buy Scalp (Quick Reaction)
• Entry: 3501 – 3503
• SL: 3491
• TP: 3510 – 3525 – 3545 – 3550
📌 Expectation: Short-term liquidity grab above 3500 psychological level leading to bullish push.
❌ Sell Zone (Countertrend Play)
• Entry: 3575 – 3573
• SL: 3582
• TP: 3565 – 3555 – 3545 – 3530 – 3520
📌 Expectation: Strong supply zone where smart money may hunt liquidity before reversal.
________________________________________
🔑 SMC Insights
• BOS confirms bullish bias, but price may retrace to fill imbalance (FVG).
• Liquidity likely resting around 3480–3500 before a push to test 3575+.
• High probability of buying dips at demand and selling extreme supply zones.
Gold’s Next Move: DOWN!!!Although gold continues its strong upward trend, it still provides opportunities for pullbacks during the day. For example, it hit a low of 3470-3467 yesterday. Currently, the highest price of gold has reached around 3550. Gold continues to set new historical highs. There is no price behavior and technical resistance above it as a reference. But obviously, as long as gold remains above 3540, I will not choose to aggressively chase gold at high levels.
On the contrary, while gold is rising, I will still try to short gold at the top while setting protection. In terms of price behavior, gold started to rise from around 3322 and has reached around 3550 so far, with an increase of up to $228. Although there has been no decent retracement during this period, this strong momentum is indeed easy to form a combined force. However, once the market returns to rationality, the decline will definitely not be small. So at the current stage, I do not advocate going long on gold. On the contrary, I will actively look for opportunities to short gold!
In the short term, we first need to observe gold's performance in the 3540-3530 area. If gold cannot fall below this area during the retracement, it may have the potential to continue to rise. If gold falls below the 3540-3530 area, the first retracement target will be the 3525-3515 area. If this area is broken, it is likely to continue to 3500-3490.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 4/9/2025
Momentum
• D1: Currently showing bearish reversal signals. We need to wait for today’s daily candle close to confirm. If confirmed, it is likely that the recent rally has ended and the market will enter a corrective phase lasting several days.
• H4: Momentum is moving into the oversold zone, suggesting that the current downward correction may be close to completion. Afterward, a rebound is expected within the next 1–2 H4 candles.
• H1: Momentum is in the oversold zone and showing signs of turning upward, indicating a short-term bullish bounce is likely.
Wave Structure
• D1: The first bearish candle has appeared after a steep rally, suggesting a 5-wave structure. The ongoing correction will help determine whether this was the completion of a larger Wave 5 or just Wave 1 within Wave 5.
• H4: After reaching 3578, price turned lower. This likely marked the completion of black Wave 5, as well as the green wave and purple Wave iii. The market is now in the corrective phase of purple Wave iv.
• H1: Purple Wave iii has completed, including both black Wave 5 and green Wave v. An ABC corrective structure is currently forming, but its formation time is relatively short, which means extra caution is needed as the correction may not be fully completed or could extend further.
📍 Target zones for the completion of purple Wave iv:
• Zone 1: 3498
• Zone 2: 3469
Once purple Wave iv is completed, the uptrend is expected to continue into purple Wave v with projected targets:
• Target 1: 3602
• Target 2: 3667
Trading Plan
• Buy Zone 1: 3500 – 3498
o SL: 3490
o TP1: 3524
• Buy Zone 2: 3471 – 3469
o SL: 3459
o TP1: 3500
Gold Smashes Records: Trade the Fed Drama & Rate Cut Hype!Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold Keeps Breaking Records! 🌟
New Peaks: Spot gold hit a record $3,527.5/oz on September 2, with analysts predicting a climb to $3,600-$3,900 this year, potentially surpassing $4,000 by 2026 if economic and geopolitical uncertainty persists. Reuters polls show 2025 average price forecasts rising from $2,756/oz (January) to $3,220/oz (July). 📈
Fed Rate Cut Buzz: Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged rising job market risks, boosting bets for a September rate cut. “A weakening USD, fueled by rate cut expectations, investor aversion to US assets, and tariff-related economic uncertainty, supports gold,” says Ricardo Evangelista from ActivTrades. Gold thrives in low-rate environments! 🏦
USD Weakness: The USD has lost nearly 11% since Trump’s return to the White House in January 2025, making gold more attractive to foreign currency holders. 📉
Fed Drama: Trump’s criticism of Powell and attempts to oust Fed Governor Lisa Cook have raised fears about Fed independence, driving safe-haven gold demand. “Speculative bullishness stems from potential Fed interference and concerns over the USD’s safe status,” notes Carsten Menke from Julius Baer. ⚖️🇺🇸
Other Drivers: Middle East tensions, Russia-Ukraine conflict, and central bank buying (e.g., China’s PBOC added gold for the 9th consecutive month in July 2025). The World Gold Council (WGC) reports central banks plan to increase gold reserves while reducing USD holdings. “Rising gold prices and central bank accumulation are boosting gold’s share in reserves,” says Michael Hsueh from Deutsche Bank. Gold ETFs like SPDR Gold Trust saw holdings rise 12% YTD to 977.68 tons, the highest since August 2022.
Technical Analysis: Bullish Surge Continues, Prioritize BUY but Watch for Pullbacks! 📉
Gold keeps setting new highs, breaking through the round 3,500 level, dipping briefly to 3,469, then surging to 3,54x—near the Fibonacci extension 0.618. No clear reversal signals yet, so prioritize BUY if gold retraces to 3,52x or 3,51x. Bulls remain in control!
Key Resistance: 3,554 - 3,564 - 3,574
Key Support: 3,521 - 3,508 - 3,450 - 3,475
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp : 3,543 - 3,545
SL: 3,549
TP: 3,540 - 3,535 - 3,530
Sell Zone : 3,571 - 3,573
SL: 3,581
TP: 3,563 - 3,553 - 3,543 - 3,523
Buy Scalp: 3,510 - 3,508
SL: 3,504
TP: 3,513 - 3,518 - 3,528
Buy Zone: 3,475 - 3,473
SL: 3,465
TP: 3,483 - 3,493 - 3,503 - 3,513 - Open
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #Trump #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
Gold Price Analysis September 4✨ Gold analysis today ✨
In the Asian session, gold prices recorded a correction after a series of strong increases for many consecutive days. The market is moving towards important support zones, this will be a notable point to find trading opportunities.
🔹 Main trend: prioritize monitoring BUY orders at support, because the bullish force is still dominant.
🔹 With SELL orders, it is necessary to observe real-time price reactions to take advantage of short-term declines if any.
News calendar: today there is an ADP report - this could be a factor that triggers fluctuations, creating a correction for gold.
📌 Reference strategy:
BUY around the 3495 - 3458 area when there is a clear price rejection signal.
GOLD London Session Update – Sideways Before the Big MoveGold (XAUUSD) continues to consolidate within the 354x – 352x range, building a clear sideways structure after its recent strong rally.
📊 MMFLOW VIEW (London Session Focus)
The market is now in accumulation mode as the London session develops – volatility is expected to increase as liquidity builds up.
If price breaks above ATH 3546, momentum could quickly push gold towards the Liquidity Sell Zone 357x.
On the other hand, if 3526 support fails, we may see a liquidity sweep with price retracing into the FVG & Liquidity Buy Zone 3508 – 3480 before resuming the bullish trend.
🔑 Key Levels (London Watchlist)
Resistance: 3546 | 3564 | 3576
Support: 3526 | 3508 | 3494 | 3480
⚠️ During the European session, gold often builds false breaks to collect liquidity before the real move.
👉 Stay patient and wait for a clean breakout confirmation before committing to a position.
🔥 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time plans into the New York session – don’t miss the big move!
9/4: Short Squeeze Nearing End, Watch Key Support at 3500Good morning everyone!
🔹 Key Support Levels
30M Chart: 3547 / 3532–3528
1H Chart: 3521 / 3516–3509
2H Chart: 3541 / 3523–3480
1D Chart: 3514 / 3450
🔹 Key Resistance Levels
3563–3568 / 3578–3588
🔹 Intraday Trading Strategy
Focus on selling at higher levels; avoid chasing the rally.
Watch 3516–3509 / around 3500 as the main support zone. A short-term buy may be considered if tested, but positions should be taken with caution and closed quickly.
Yesterday, gold’s rally exceeded expectations. Although it encountered resistance near 3562 and briefly pulled back, the bulls managed to push prices further, reaching around 3578. This marks the late stage of the short squeeze, and a counterattack from the bears is almost inevitable. Meanwhile, external buying interest will likely turn more cautious at these elevated levels.
That said, the 3500 psychological level remains a critical battleground. Bulls are unlikely to give it up easily, and a rebound is very possible if prices revisit this area. However, bears will also defend aggressively, leading to a tug-of-war in the sessions ahead.
Therefore, it is crucial not to chase the rally. Secure profits in time — better to miss an opportunity than to hold onto losing positions. After a rally of over $200, the market needs to consolidate, even if a fake downside move occurs. Based on this outlook, today’s core strategy remains: sell on rallies.
Positive factors for gold and silver as safe-haven assetsUS economic data released on Wednesday showed a weaker JOLTS report on job vacancies. The report (June data) showed that US job vacancies fell to 7.437 million, down slightly from the previous month and the lowest level since April.
The report also showed that the labour market is slowing, with fewer people being hired. This is good for the doves in US monetary policy and also supports gold and silver bulls.
Global bond yields are rising (prices are falling), mainly due to concerns about inflation, government debt sales and fiscal discipline. This is also a positive factor for gold and silver as safe-haven assets, although capital gains are not a positive factor in themselves.
U.S. Treasury yields rose, with the 30-year bond now approaching 5%, while yields in the U.K., Australia and Japan also rose.
The sell-off reflected traders’ concerns about large government spending and the risk of inflation, with Bloomberg’s gauge of global bond yields down 0.4% on Tuesday.
Gold (XAUUSD) – 4 Sep | Bullish Bias, Watching 3547–3541 POI🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 4 September
Market Overview
Gold printed a fresh all-time high yesterday at 3578.6 , confirming the strength of the ongoing bullish trend.
The higher-timeframe structure ( H4 ) remains firmly bullish, with a clear series of higher highs and higher lows.
On the M15 chart, price action is in a healthy pullback phase — a normal reaction after such an extended bullish impulse.
Context
This pullback is currently resting inside the M15 Point of Interest (POI) zone at 3547.6–3541.5 .
This is a high-probability area for price to stabilize, build liquidity, and potentially set up for the next bullish leg.
What We’re Watching
🔹 3547.6–3541.5 (M15 POI Zone)
If this zone holds and price confirms strength on lower timeframes (micro-ChoCH / BoS), it can offer a clean long setup toward new all-time highs.
This would keep price in alignment with the higher-timeframe bullish structure.
If the zone fails and price breaks below with strength, we will stand aside and reassess structure for fresh demand areas before looking for long opportunities again.
Execution Plan
✅ Wait patiently for confirmation before entering — no impulsive buys inside the zone.
✅ Look for a shift in lower-timeframe structure that signals strong buyer presence.
✅ Manage risk strictly (our approach: 40 pips SL, 120 pips TP for a fixed 1:3 R:R).
Bias for Today
📈 Bullish Only — until this key zone is broken with conviction, H4/M15 structure continues to favor upside continuation.
Patience and precision are key — let the market confirm its intention before committing to a position.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
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XAUUSD Alert | Liquidity Grab or Trend Reversal?”XAUUSD Alert 🚨 | Liquidity Grab or Trend Reversal?”
Gold has recently pushed into the 3525 – 3550 rejection zone, a level that has historically acted as strong supply. After this extended bullish rally, price is now showing early signs of exhaustion. This could be a liquidity grab above resistance before the market corrects lower.
My expectation here is a short-term pullback. The first key area I’ll be watching is around 3450, which lines up with a smaller demand zone and could act as a temporary support. If buyers fail to defend that level, then I expect continuation toward the 3330 – 3320 zone, which is my final target and also a major higher-timeframe support point.
This level is very important because it was previously a strong base for accumulation, and if tested again, it could provide a potential long opportunity. However, if price breaks below 3320 decisively, it would open the door for a much deeper correction.
Overall, my short-term outlook is bearish retracement, but I’ll be closely watching how price reacts once we reach the deeper support levels.
“XAUUSD – Strong Sell Setup from All-Time High Resistance “XAUUSD – Strong Sell Setup from All-Time High Resistance 🚨📉”
Currently, gold has reached a strong resistance zone around 3575 – 3600, where price is showing signs of exhaustion after a strong bullish rally. This area is a key supply zone and could trigger profit-taking or fresh short entries.
From here, I am expecting a potential correction move.
1st Target: Around 3480 – 3450, where we can see a clear demand zone and previous consolidation.
If bearish pressure continues, the price may extend towards the final target at 3330 – 3320, which is also a key support point aligned with previous market structure.
Market structure shows a clear higher low formation earlier, which fueled this rally, but after tapping into resistance, a short-term pullback seems highly likely.
📌 Overall, short-term bias = bearish correction, while long-term trend remains bullish unless price breaks below the 3320 support zone.
GOLD breaks above $3500 – New ATH every day! What’s next?Gold (XAUUSD) is entering its hottest phase, moving 50–60 points per day with explosive volatility. Price is now reacting at a key FIBO extension resistance, where SELL pressure has appeared but still lacks strong confirmation on higher timeframes (H1–H2).
📊 MMFLOW VIEW
Sideway → Breakout → Consecutive All-Time Highs (ATH).
FVG zones & Key Liquidity levels are still supporting the BUY side.
SELL setups remain secondary and only valid with clear volume confirmation.
Main scenario: Wait for liquidity retest → Focus on BUY setups.
🔑 KEY LEVELS
Resistance: 3440–3446 (ATH) | 3564 | 3576 | 3586 | 3595
Support: 3528 | 3508 | 3494 | 3480 | 3468
🎯 MMFLOW PLAN
✅ BUY ZONE: 3481 – 3479
SL: 3474
TP: 3486 – 3490 – 3495 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – ???
✅ BUY SCALP: 3496 – 3494
SL: 3490
TP: 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ???
❌ SELL ZONE: 3576 – 3578
SL: 3584
TP: 3570 – 3565 – 3560 – 3555 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – 3520 – 3510 – 3500
⚠️ Warning: GOLD is in a high-volatility phase – wrong entries can get wiped out instantly.
👉 Be patient, wait for Key Levels, and stick to proper RISK MANAGEMENT above all.
🔥 This is the MMFLOW TRADING PLAN – follow us to stay updated and catch the next big moves in GOLD!
GOLD: RSI WEAKNESS – Potential Reversal IncomingFX:XAUUSD Gold has enjoyed a strong bullish rally since Jerome Powell’s dovish stance and hints at a possible rate cut. However, after breaking out of the long-term ascending triangle, we’re now spotting RSI weakness on H1 and H4, signaling potential bearish divergence and a trend reversal setup.
In this video, I break down:
✅ Why RSI is flashing weakness
✅ Key levels to watch for confirmation
✅ My ideal breakout entry below 3515
✅ Risk management tips for this setup
Don’t jump in too early! Wait for the next 4H candle close and proper formation before execution.
📊 Stay tuned, this could be a high-probability trade if the reversal confirms.
Gold Hits New ATH – Is a Bearish Crab Reversal Next?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise today after the release of the
ISM Manufacturing PMI index formed a new All-Time High(ATH) .
The question is what price range could the new ATH price range for gold be in?
Gold is currently moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($3,557-$3,531) .
From a pattern analysis perspective , it looks like Gold is completing a Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern . In fact, if we find a trigger at point D of the Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern , we can confirm this pattern.
From an Elliott wave theory perspective , it looks like Gold is completing wave 5 . This wave 5 could act as the end of the main wave 3 .
I expect Gold to drop to at least $3,501 in the coming hours .
Second Target: $3,481
Third Target: Support zone($3,474-$3,466)
Stop Loss (SL) = $3,559(Worst)
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
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Don't chase the rise of gold, wait for the retracement to 3500Gold retreated to 3470 yesterday before rebounding. Driven by safe-haven funds, it surged strongly, breaking through the 3500 resistance level and reaching an all-time high of 3546.
The main reason for the rise is market concerns about the UK's economic outlook. Coupled with the general rise in global bond yields, the UK's long-term borrowing costs hit their highest level since 1998 yesterday.
As for gold at this point, my view remains that it's best not to chase the rally. While the current state of gold is generally bullish, the more such times are, the greater the risks.
Especially with gold prices at their all-time high, you don't know where the top will be or where the pullback will begin. This creates the greatest uncertainty.
When it comes to trading, my philosophy has always been to avoid uncertain trades. I prefer to wait for better opportunities, as they are free.
What gold needs now is a pullback to support, which would provide momentum for further gains. However, yesterday's pullback to the crucial 3450 level wasn't reached. Currently, gold has broken through 3500, so 3500 has turned from pressure to support, so I will pay attention to 3500 next and wait to see whether it stabilizes before considering whether to enter the market.
📣If you have different opinions, please leave a message below to discuss
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Move 3.9.2025🔹 Bias: Bullish Continuation After Liquidity Sweep
Gold remains in a bullish structure overall, consolidating around 3538 after failing to clear 3547, which suggests liquidity engineering beneath current levels before continuation higher.
🔹 Key Demand Zone (3526–3531)
This zone marks prior accumulation and the origin of the last bullish impulse. A controlled dip into this area would allow liquidity sweep and re-entry of buyers, making it the critical zone to watch.
🔹 Liquidity Above 3547
Equal highs have formed near 3547, indicating liquidity resting above this level. A breakout here, once demand is respected, can provide fuel for a strong push toward the 3567 objective.
🔹 Risk Management (3515 Invalidation)
The invalidation point sits at 3515. A sustained break below this level would indicate absorption of demand and shift bias away from buyers. Until then, risk-to-reward strongly favors longs.
🔹 Trade Plan
Entry: Scale in within 3526–3531 after confirmation of order flow shift (CHOCH or strong bullish displacement).
Stop-Loss: Below 3515.
Take Profits: Partial at 3544/3547, trail stop to breakeven above 3547, final target at 3567.
👉 This breakdown balances structure, liquidity, and execution plan—giving traders both reasoning and a clear actionable path.