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Xauusdanalysis

Gold is in a volatile market. Awaiting data releases.In the current market, the critical dividing line of $4,180 is not only a technical resistance level, but also a tipping point for the reshaping of market logic. The surge and pullback have become a shift in market momentum, fueled by an irrational exuberance fueled by bullish sentiment. The surge in gold prices over the past three months is essentially the product of a triple force: policy expectations, geopolitical risks, and central bank gold purchases. During this process, market sentiment shifted from cautious testing to frenzied pursuit of gains. The RSI indicator briefly crossed the overbought threshold of 80, suggesting that gold prices had broken free from fundamental support. This correction is also inevitable due to a technical correction. When gold prices reached the all-time high of $4,400, market structure shifted subtly: quantitative trading systems triggered stop-loss orders, institutional investors began taking profits, and retail investors' enthusiasm for the rally reached its peak. This pullback is not a trend reversal, but rather a temporary release of upward momentum. Like a spring that rebounds after being compressed to its limit, the market needs to oscillate through fluctuations to clear floating chips and accumulate energy for subsequent breakthroughs. The market is currently in a fundamentals "information black hole." The US government shutdown has delayed the release of key data such as the non-farm payroll report and CPI, creating a "policy expectations vacuum." In the absence of economic data guidance, investors are increasingly divided over the pace of the Fed's rate cuts. However, central bank gold purchases and geopolitical risks have limited downside potential, creating a volatile market with a "bottom and a ceiling." In the short term, gold will maintain a volatile pattern centered around $4,180. Quaid recommends buying low and selling high within the $4,180-$4,000 range, monitoring Fed policy signals and geopolitical developments. We should also be wary of data shocks after the US government shutdown ends and the risk of a sudden easing of geopolitical conflicts. A break below $4,000 could trigger a technical sell-off. Thus, short-term traders seek certainty amidst volatility. The current volatility in the gold market is essentially a technical correction within the bull market, not the end of the trend. The $4,180 level marks both a battleground for bulls and bears and a starting point for reconstructing market logic. For investors, remaining patient amid volatility and seeking certainty amid disagreements may be the best strategy to deal with the current market. The last trading day of the week, coupled with the release of CPI data, marks the first major data release since the US government shutdown, potentially triggering significant market volatility. Strategy implementation will remain in place until the CPI data is released. I will update the strategy in the channel after the data is released.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid_Wealth_Code
Today's trading strategy for gold is hoped to be helpful to you.Long-term and Medium-term Bullish Factors Continue to Gather Momentum The core drivers supporting gold price growth remain intact. The Federal Reserve has launched an interest rate cut cycle, and the market widely expects another rate cut at the end of October, with room for further monetary easing ahead. This continues to lower the cost of holding gold, steadily boosting its appeal. Uncertainties in global geopolitics persist, as potential risks in regions like the Middle East and Eastern Europe have not been eliminated. Coupled with weak performance in U.S. economic data, market demand for safe-haven assets remains robust. More importantly, the global central bank gold-buying spree shows no signs of stopping—central banks of China, India, and many other countries continue to increase their gold reserves, providing solid long-term support for gold prices and making a sharp decline highly unlikely. Short-term Correction Completed, Rebound Signals Emerge Previously, gold prices pulled back from highs to around $4,080, which has released the profit-taking pressure accumulated from the earlier rally and constitutes a healthy correction. Currently, prices have rebounded to $4,092, indicating strong buying support at lower levels and a pickup in bullish sentiment. On one hand, the negative news from earlier has been gradually digested. On the other hand, investors are starting to gradually enter the market and build positions in advance to capitalize on expectations of the Federal Reserve's rate cut, driving gold prices to edge higher and accumulating momentum for a short-term rebound. Today's Gold Trading Strategy xauusd @ buy4070-4080 TP:4110-4130 sl:4050
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Gold：The main strategy is to go shortToday the gold rebounded to a high of around 4144.5 before coming under pressure and declining. It then fluctuated after touching a low of around 4070. Regarding the current market trend, it is recommended to mainly trade based on technical trends: look for opportunities to go short when rebounds are under pressure. After all, the recent pullback and adjustment of the bullish trend have not yet come to a complete end. As the U.S. government shutdown continues, some important economic data has entered a vacuum period, leading to widespread market speculation. Currently, a series of major news events—including China-U.S. trade relations, geopolitics, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts—are all affecting market sentiment. After gold plummeted sharply at the start of the week and held the 4000 level, the bulls launched repeated counterattacks. However, the sustainability of this bullish momentum appears weak for now: gold surged to around 4144 in the morning session but came under pressure again, and has now broken below the 4100 level, turning weak in the short term with further downside potential. For resistance levels, pay attention to the short-term pressure around 4145-4150; for support levels, keep an eye on the short-term support around 4065-4070，At the same time, we must also be wary of Black Friday. If the support level is broken, gold is likely to continue falling to around 4000. Since gold is under pressure and struggling to break through, the main trading strategy should be to go short when rebounds encounter pressure. Avoid trading in the middle range adopt a "wait and see" approach and refrain from chasing trades impulsively. Instead, wait patiently for key levels to enter positions. 💎Trading Strategy: Buy 4060 - 4070 SL 4050 TP 4080 - 4100 - 4120 Sell 4100 - 4110 SL 4120 TP 4080 - 4070 - 4060 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Clarke_analysis
4H see W shape. Support is not broken and it is still bullish.Although gold has experienced a temporary pullback today, we remain bullish as long as the price remains above the upward trend line. While the hourly chart shows a downward trend, with moving averages diverging downward and technical indicators like the MACD forming a death cross, it appears that bears have regained control of the market in the short term. But from the 4H perspective, if the short-term decline continues and it can effectively rebound after touching the trend line and move out of the W-shaped structure, then gold will be expected to hit the 4135-4145 pressure again, and then gradually hit the 4160, 4200 and other periodic resistance levels until the bulls return. As time goes by, the support points on the short-term trend line are constantly moving up. If it falls back to 4050-4035, try to go long on gold in batches with light positions, and the target is 4090-4130. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Perfect_Allen
Bullish Gold XAUUSD Setup: Breakout, Retest & Trade OpportunityGold is currently bullish and beginning to break market structure 📈. Price is moving toward previous highs, which may act as resistance. Ideally, I’m watching for price to push through these highs, then retest the level for a potential long opportunity ✅. In the video, I break everything down clearly — including: 📊 Trend direction 🏛 Market structure 💹 Price action 📉 Volume profile analysis 🎯 How to plan the trade step-by-step ⚠️ This is not financial advice — educational purposes only.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
2
XAUUSD 4H Bullish SetupGold shows signs of short-term bullish momentum after forming a double bottom pattern near the lower green EMA ribbon, suggesting selling pressure is fading. The candles are now attempting to close above the short-term EMA cluster, hinting at a potential shift in momentum toward buyers. Bullish Confluences: Price has bounced from the lower Fibonacci zone, aligning with previous support around $4,045. The EMA ribbons are starting to compress, often a precursor to a trend reversal or breakout. Heikin Ashi candles show smaller wicks to the downside, signaling weakening bearish momentum. Potential Fibonacci Targets: Target 1: 4,120 – 4,130 (38.2% Fib retracement / first resistance zone) Target 2: 4,163 – 4,175 (61.8% Fib retracement / mid EMA ribbon resistance) Target 3: 4,220 – 4,250 (100% Fib extension / upper channel confluence) Invalidation: A 4H candle close below 4,045 would invalidate the bullish setup and suggest continuation of the broader downtrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VisionaryInsights
Gold Stuck Near $4,100 Ahead of CPI Market Pulse: Gold is holding steady around $4,100, caught between uncertainty and opportunity as traders brace for the US CPI release and new developments in US–China trade talks. The yellow metal has paused its recovery from $4,050 → $4,160, while the US Dollar and bond yields edge higher amid renewed geopolitical tension and surging oil prices. This is the classic “calm before volatility” moment — the market is simply waiting for data to decide the next wave. If CPI comes in softer or trade talks disappoint, liquidity could flood back into gold, breaking above 4,155–4,160 and opening the path toward 4,215 → 4,261. But a strong CPI surprise could flip sentiment fast — dragging price back into the 4,056 and 4,018 buy zones, where the next reaction will decide direction. 📊 Technical Outlook (M30) Price continues to coil within a tight structure between 4,100 – 4,155, forming a “spring compression” right below trendline resistance. Market flow suggests accumulation beneath 4,100, hinting that liquidity is building before the next expansion. Key Structure Zones: Resistance Pivot: 4,154 – 4,155 → Key breakout level Breakout Support (CP Zone): 4,056 – 4,060 Liquidity Buy Zone: 4,018 – 4,020 Sell Zone (Fibo Reaction): 4,215 – 4,261 🎯 Trading Plan – MMFLOW Style 🔹 BUY PLAN – Reaccumulation Base Entry: 4,056 – 4,060 Stop Loss: 4,045 Targets: 4,100 → 4,140 → 4,155 Focus on reaction candles & liquidity grab confirmation. 🔹 BUY PLAN – Liquidity Sweep Setup Entry: 4,018 – 4,020 Stop Loss: 4,005 Targets: 4,056 → 4,100 → 4,150 If liquidity sweeps this zone clean, watch for a sharp recovery flow. 🧭 Summary – MMFLOW View Gold is in “decision mode”, waiting for CPI and macro catalysts to trigger the next trend. The structure stays neutral-bullish as long as price holds above 4,056. A confirmed breakout above 4,155 may unlock a fast rally toward 4,215–4,260, while a break below 4,018 could open the door for one more liquidity flush. ⚜️ MMFLOW Bias: “No need to predict the move — just follow the flow when liquidity confirms.” 📊 Do you expect gold to break higher after CPI, or trap traders before reversing? 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily flow-based setups, structure breakdowns, and institutional insights.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
Gold price analysis on March 24XAUUSD – Bears Still in Control Gold is trading sideways around the key resistance zone of 4145, indicating a strong struggle between buyers and sellers. However, the price has been repeatedly rejected at this zone, indicating that the bearish pressure is still dominant. If the current trend is maintained, the support zone of 3946 will be the next potential target for the sellers. Only when the price clearly breaks above 4145, the current bearish structure can be broken and the new buying trend is confirmed. 📊 Trading Strategy: SELL now at 4110 Target: 4022 – 3946 BUY setup: When the price breaks decisively above 4145
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TVS-Trader
XAU/USD: US/RUSSIA TENSION RISING – WHERE NEXT FOR GOLD?Gold (£4,140/oz) has bounced back after a recent sharp drop from its record high. This strength is due to fresh US sanctions on Russia stirring geopolitical risk, and anticipation ahead of the key US Inflation Data (due 24/10). Fundamentals are putting a solid floor under the yellow metal. 📌 TECHNICALS & THE GAME PLAN The Crucial Resistance: $4,180 - $4,186 Action: Look to SELL if price hits this level and shows clear signs of rejection. Only BUY for a continuation if it breaks decisively above $4,186 (The "Line in the Sand"). The 'Sweet Spot' Support: $4,085 - $4,091 Action: Bias BUY. This is the ideal area for a 'Buy The Dip' trade, supported by strong macro-fundamentals and recent buying interest. The Safety Net (Stop-Loss): Below $4,057 If this level breaks, the pressure is on for a drop towards $4,000. 💡 VERDICT & STRATEGY Gold is currently consolidating. Given the fierce geopolitical news flow, the best strategy is to look for long entries around that crucial support zone. Ideal Entry: $4,085 - $4,091 Stop Loss (SL): Tight, just below $4,057 Target (TP): Aim for a re-test of $4,180 Keep your eyes peeled! And remember to watch that US Inflation figure! 🚀 #XAUUSD #Gold #ForexTrading #Geopolitics #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketAnalysis #Inflation #TradingStrategy #BuyTheDip #UKTraders
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold price is consolidating around 4100⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) slips below $4,150 in Friday’s Asian session, weighed down by a firmer US Dollar and cautious sentiment after recent sharp losses. The end of India’s Diwali festival may also curb physical demand. However, lingering US government shutdown risks, global trade tensions, and expectations of US rate cuts could lend support to the non-yielding metal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold's downward correction is still continuing, accumulating below 4200. Buying power is weakening and there is not much momentum to increase prices this week. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4217 - 4219 SL 4224 TP1: $4202 TP2: $4190 TP3: $4170 🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3954 - 3956 SL 3949 TP1: $3970 TP2: $3990 TP3: $4015 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
XAU/USD 10-23-25After the recent runup with gold it has pulled back to the 23.6 fib level on the daily timeframe and actually pushed below showing strong support in the 3975 - 4040 daily zone. I would like to think that price will run right back up to retest the recent ATH of about 4382Gbut if I know gold in all her trickiness she will coast along at this 23.6 level then perhaps dip to the 38.2 or even the 50 then get a strong push back up to retest the high and from there probably come back down or push thru depending on macro economic and political events at that time. Going back a few months to May of this year you can kind of see how price experienced similar behavior when it was breaking thru the 3430 - 3505 daily zone which obviously is that real push thru the previous psychological ATH level of 3500. Now history is repeating itself as we push to stay above the recent psychological ATH of 4000 towards 4500. We shall see...
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ImRyanSteven
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 23, 2025) 1️⃣ Momentum D1 Timeframe: • The D1 momentum is now in the oversold zone, suggesting a potential bullish reversal at any moment. • Once we see a D1 candle close with a bullish confirmation, it could trigger 3–5 consecutive bullish days ahead. H4 Timeframe: • The H4 momentum is currently overbought, indicating a possible downward correction during today’s session. H1 Timeframe: • The H1 momentum is now turning upward, meaning price may rise slightly or move sideways in the short term. • Watch two key liquidity zones: 4098 and 4143. If H1 momentum reaches the overbought zone around these levels, it will align with the H4 bearish momentum, creating a strong resistance area. ________________________________________ 2️⃣ Wave Structure D1 Structure: • The D1 momentum is preparing to reverse, showing that the current decline is weakening. • A short-term recovery wave is likely to appear soon. • As discussed in yesterday’s plan, we must observe the upcoming bullish move to confirm whether the recent downtrend has completed. H4 Structure: • The H4 momentum is overbought, meaning a bearish reversal may happen soon. • Price movement is slow and overlapping, suggesting that the next decline could be either: o Wave 4 of Wave Y (blue), or o A larger corrective phase if momentum fully shifts downward. H1 Structure: • The current formation may be developing as a Flat or a Triangle correction. o If it’s a Flat, the 4143 level is a potential completion zone for Wave C (black), after which price could resume its decline. o If it’s a Triangle, the pattern is not yet complete — confirmation will come when price breaks below the lower boundary, offering a Sell opportunity. 🎯 Target zone if the decline unfolds: • Based on the H4 momentum cycle (typically lasting 4–5 candles), • And according to Fibonacci projection, Wave 5 of Wave Y (blue) targets around 3927. ________________________________________ 3️⃣ Trading Plan • The current H1 candle range is very wide (300–400 pips), while my typical stop-loss size is 100–150 pips. • This makes limit orders risky in the current environment. • Therefore, it’s better to wait for clear confirmation before entering trades, rather than placing early limit orders. 🔹 Sell Zones: • 4143 and 4190 – expected top areas of this correction. • Additionally, if price breaks above liquidity zones and then retests, these can serve as Sell entries aligned with the H4 downward momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is consolidating between $4,132 resistance and $4,091 support. Price rejected from the resistance zone and is currently sliding lower. The structure shows a potential bearish continuation if sellers defend $4,128–$4,132, with downside pressure targeting the $4,091–$4,088 zone. 📌 Trade Setup Entry: $4,128–$4,135 (near resistance rejection) Stop Loss: $4,135 Take Profit: $4,091 → $4,088 Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1 : 5.26 🌍 Macro Background Gold remains under pressure as traders focus on U.S. CPI data (Sep) due later today, expected at 3.1% YoY. Renewed USD demand and seasonal demand slowdown after India’s Diwali festival are capping upside momentum. However, safe-haven flows could reemerge amid the prolonged U.S. government shutdown and US-China trade talks set during the APEC summit. The Fed is still expected to cut rates by 25bps in November and December, which provides medium-term support. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $4,128 – $4,132 Support Zone: $4,091 – $4,088 Breakout Levels: Above $4,140 = bullish invalidation, Below $4,085 = continuation lower 📋 Trade Summary The bias remains bearish intraday below $4,132 resistance. CPI data and trade headlines may cause volatility spikes. Short positions near resistance offer better R:R as long as $4,135 is not breached. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
XAU/USD – Gold Completes Liquidity Sweep Phase🔍 Market Context After a prolonged decline from the ATH GOLD 4,381 USD peak, gold has formed a Liquidity Sweep around the 4,010 USD area, where selling pressure was fully absorbed by strong buying forces from the demand zone below. The price structure shows signs of a Change of Character (ChoCH) for the first time since the peak, along with the emergence of an Order Block (OB) 4,081 USD – the starting point for a new upward momentum. This indicates a high probability that the market is entering a technical retracement phase , aiming to retest the upper FVG resistance zone, or even extend back to the ATH area if buying pressure continues. 💎 Key Technical Structure Liquidity Sweep: 4,010 – 4,020 USD → liquidity sweep bottom area, increased volume, confirming sell order absorption. Order Block (OB): 4,081 – 4,090 USD → recovery initiation zone; if price retests this area and holds firm → confirmation signal for the upward phase. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): • FVG1: 4,196 – 4,210 USD → first target for the recovery wave. • FVG2: 4,234 – 4,250 USD → next target, confluence with medium-term resistance. OB | ATH GOLD: 4,370 – 4,380 USD → major resistance zone, previous peak; if price breaks through → confirms a new upward trend. Current market structure: → Short-term: bullish recovery (recovering from the bottom zone). → Medium-term: waiting for a break of 4,234 to shift to a complete bullish structure. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Retest Order Block 4,081 USD Entry: 4,081 – 4,085 SL: 4,060 TP1: 4,196 TP2: 4,234 TP3: 4,370 ✅ Condition: Wait for the price to retest the OB 4,081 area, showing a confirmation signal for an increase (rejection / engulfing bullish) or a small BoS on M15. ➡️ This is a classic buy-the-dip setup after a Liquidity Sweep – high probability due to OB + ChoCH confluence + strong demand zone. 2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Break & Retest FVG 4,196 USD Entry: 4,196 – 4,200 SL: 4,180 TP: 4,234 → 4,370 ✅ Condition: Price breaks up the first FVG with good volume, then lightly retests without closing below 4,180. ➡️ Trend-following setup, riding the flow as price confirms a break of short-term resistance. 📉 Alternate Scenario – SELL Reaction at 4,234 USD (Short-term Scalp) Entry: 4,234 – 4,240 SL: 4,255 TP: 4,196 → 4,100 ✅ Condition: If price reacts strongly and fails at the second FVG without follow-up volume increase → a short adjustment may occur. ➡️ Short-term sell, only execute if no continuation confirmation at FVG2. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritize BUY following the main recovery trend, only SELL with clear reaction. Avoid FOMO buying in the middle range (4,130–4,180). If price closes H1 below 4,060 → invalidates recovery trend, pause all buy orders. 💬 Conclusion Gold has completed the Liquidity Sweep phase and is signaling a sustainable technical reversal . Two key areas to watch: 4,081 USD (OB Zone): first bounce support area. 4,234 USD (FVG Zone): area confirming new upward structure. If price holds OB and breaks through FVG, high chance gold will resume upward momentum towards the 4,370 USD (ATH GOLD) area. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Buy 4,081 USD → TP 4,234 / 4,370 USD. Sell reaction 4,234 USD only with clear reversal signal. 🔥 “Liquidity has been swept — now it’s time to ride the recovery wave.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 23/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold remains volatile. Choose an entry point.Gold experienced a dip on Wednesday, falling to 4004 before rebounding. It tested resistance near 4162 before falling again during the European trading session. It retreated twice to around 4010 during the US trading session before recovering above 4100 at the end of the day. Judging from the gold market's rhythm on Wednesday, despite some twists and turns, the main structure remained within the moving average range. The 10-day moving average provided strong support, while the 20-day moving average, at 4020 and 4000, formed a support band that effectively provided a short-term bottom. If gold continues to fluctuate and consolidate in the last two trading days of this week but does not fall below 4000, it could indicate a continued upward trend. If supported by positive fundamental news, gold could experience another short-term uptrend. If 4000 points falls, panic selling by bulls could intensify, potentially leading to further declines in gold prices in the short term. This could also create the risk of a stampede caused by a sell-off by bulls. Currently, the weekly MA5 remains near 4000, but the 20-day moving average has risen to 4035. In the short term, focus on the area around 4035, with the 4000 mark remaining the key level. On the upside, focus on the current intersection of the 5- and 10-day moving averages, around 4170-4180. From the 1-hour chart, there will also be some short-term resistance above 4145, so the approximate short-term range is expected to be between 4000 and 4180. A smaller range of 4035-4145 is also expected. In addition, the US September CPI inflation data, due to be released this Friday, is attracting much attention. If the report shows higher-than-expected inflation, it could boost the US dollar in the short term and put pressure on dollar-denominated gold prices. In the short term, we recommend going long around 4110, with a stop-loss at 4100 and a profit range of 4140-4160. Short-term resistance at 4160 has been persistent, so consider a short position with a profit of 30-40 pips.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid_Wealth_Code
1
Today's gold trading strategy is hoped to be helpful to you.Previously, the gold price dropped from above $4200 to $4065, which has released the profit-taking pressure accumulated during the rapid rise. This is a healthy adjustment. Currently, it has rebounded to $4116, indicating that the buying support at $4065 is strong, and the bullish sentiment in the market has begun to recover. On one hand, the negative news such as the easing of the situation in the Middle East has been gradually digested; on the other hand, investors have started to prepare for the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut and have begun to set up long positions in advance, pushing the gold price to gradually recover. $4065 became a key short-term support level. After multiple tests, it did not break through, forming a stable bottom signal. Currently, the rebound at $4116 is above the support level. As long as it does not fall below $4065, the short-term rebound trend is expected to continue, and it is likely to launch an attack towards $4150 or even higher levels in the future. Today's Gold Trading Strategy xauusd @buy4070-4080 TP:4110-4130-4150 sl:4050
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around 4121, consolidating after a modest recovery from the 4075 support zone. Price is currently caught between the MA50 and MA200, showing signs of indecision as buyers and sellers battle for short-term control. While the broader uptrend remains structurally intact, short-term momentum is still bearish to neutral, with gold struggling to close above the 4151 resistance. A decisive break above 4151 could pave the way for a corrective rally toward 4192 and 4227, where the MA200 may act as dynamic resistance. On the downside, if gold fails to hold above 4117, another retest of 4075 is likely. A clean break below this level could extend weakness into 4020, with 3984–3953 marking the deeper support base where dip-buyers are expected to become active again. 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4151 4192 4227 4279 Support: 4117 4075 4044 4020 3984 🔎 Fundamental focus: Even though gold is under short-term pressure, the overall trend is still healthy. Uncertainty in the global economy continues to support gold, and many traders see price drops toward key support levels as good buying opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
3
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (24/10/2025, ASIA)Gold (XAUUSD) closed NY around 4,120–4,126 after rebounding from the 4,070–4,090 intraday liquidity shelf, showing a clear recovery structure from the prior US session dip. Into Asia, price is now trading near 4,123–4,126, just under the descending H1 resistance / MA confluence. Momentum has turned positive intraday, but price remains in a potential lower high region unless bulls can reclaim 4,143–4,154. Asia will determine whether this is a corrective pullback inside a broader down-leg or the start of a higher-low recovery leg. ⸻ 🔍 1. Market Overview • Price rebounded strongly during late US, suggesting buyers defended sub-4,090 levels. • Current positioning is mid-structure, below major H1/H4 EMAs, suggesting recovery but not confirmed bullish reversal. • Asia likely to range or extend recovery toward key resistance zones before directional decision into London. ⸻ 🧭 2. Technical Breakdown 📅 Daily Chart (D1) • Strong bearish correction from 4,38x, followed by stabilization above 4,100. • Price currently rejecting lower and forming potential daily wick. • RSI ~59, showing room higher if momentum sustains. • MACD still above zero but tightening → awaiting confirmation candle. ✅ Bias: Neutral-to-mild recovery within macro bullish context. ⸻ ⏳ 1H Chart (H1) • Price rebounded from strong demand at ~4,070, set higher low, rallied toward 4,126 (current) but still below 4,150+ EMA confluence (yellow/white bands). • Descending resistance line still active. • RSI ~52, turning up. • MACD turning positive but recovery unconfirmed until above 4,143+. ✅ Bias: Recovery phase but facing resistance – bulls need break above 4,143–4,154 to confirm higher low structure. ⸻ 📉 30M Chart (M30) • Clear BOS to upside after breakout from consolidation. • Mid-term EMA support now rising from ~4,107–4,110. • However, recent rejection candle printed near resistance area. ✅ Bias: Pullback possible unless 4,110 holds. ⸻ ⏱️ 15M Chart (M15) • Price has tapped resistance zone ~4,126–4,130 multiple times. • Micro structure remains bullish from 4,070, but consolidation forming. • MACD shows deceleration; RSI flattening near 60. ✅ Bias: Short-term accumulation/consolidation, waiting for breakout or rejection. ⸻ 📍 5M Chart (M5) • Micro rejection from white MA cluster around 4,126. • Short-term support near 4,114–4,110. • If 4,110 fails, fast liquidity drop to 4,098–4,090 likely. ✅ Bias: Micro bullish but losing momentum at resistance. ⸻ ✨ 3. Fibonacci Golden Zone (H1 Impulse) Last confirmed impulse: Low 4,070 → High 4,126 • 38.2% = 4,105 • 50% = 4,098 • 61.8% = 4,091 ✅ Golden Zone = 4,105 – 4,091 (Ideal long area if pullback occurs and bullish confirmation appears). ⸻ 🎯 4. High-Probability Scenarios ✅ Bullish Continuation Setup (Preferred if pullback occurs) 🔹 Buy Zone: 4,105–4,098 (core entry) or deeper 4,091 🎯 Targets: 4,126 → 4,143 → 4,154 → 4,168 🛑 SL: Below 4,083 or safer below 4,070. ✅ Bullish Breakout Setup (Momentum) 🔹 Buy on breakout + retest above: 4,126–4,130 🎯 Targets: 4,143 → 4,154 → 4,168 🛑 SL: Back inside 4,115. ⸻ ⚠️ Bearish Reaction Setup (Sell at resistance) 🔹 Sell Zone: 4,143–4,154 (EMA confluence + descending trendline) 🎯 Targets: 4,126 → 4,110 → 4,098 → 4,091 🛑 SL: Above 4,160–4,165. ⛔ Bearish Breakdown Setup (Trend continuation lower) 🔹 Sell below retest of: 4,091 🎯 Targets: 4,070 → 4,058 → 4,046 → 4,024 🛑 SL: Above 4,105. ⸻ 📅 5. Fundamental Watch – Asia Session • No high-impact Asian data – flow & positioning-driven. • DXY mildly neutral – may allow gold extension. • Markets may stay cautious ahead of London session and FOMC sentiment later. • A quiet Asia session often respects fib zones & micro structure. ⸻ 📍 6. Key Technical Levels Type Levels 🔼 Resistance 4,126 / 4,130 / 4,143 / 4,154–4,168 🔽 Support 4,114–4,110 / 4,105 / 4,098 / 4,091 (Golden Zone) ⚠ Reversal Zone 4,143–4,154 📉 Breakdown Level 4,091 🎯 Golden Zone 4,105 – 4,091 ⸻ 📌 7. Analyst Summary Gold is currently in an intraday recovery phase, but still trading below significant H1 resistance & EMAs. The structure favors bullish continuation only if pullbacks into 4,105–4,098 hold or if price breaks and sustains above 4,130–4,143. A failure to break resistance and a drop below 4,091 would expose deeper retracement into 4,070 / 4,058. ⸻ ✅ 8. Final Bias Summary Condition Strategy ✅ Above 4,130 (confirmed) Bullish → aim for 4,143 / 4,154 ✅ Bounce from 4,105–4,098 Buy pullback → target 4,126+ ⚠ Rejection 4,143–4,154 Sell reaction → target 4,110 / 4,098 ⛔ Below 4,091 (retest) Bearish → target 4,070 / 4,058 📍Golden Zone (Buy Opportunity): 4,105 – 4,091 📍Breakout Confirmation: Above 4,130 📍Breakdown Confirmation: Below 4,091 ⸻ 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 23/10/2025 🥇 📊 GOLD TRADE RESULTS: ❌ BUY –40 pips (SL) 🔻 SELL +210 pips ⚖️ BUY LIMIT – BE 🔻 SELL +210 pips 🟢 BUY +210 pips ❌ BUY –60 pips (SL) 🟢 BUY +30 pips 🟢 BUY +100 pips 🟢 BUY +520 pips 🟢 BUY +210 pips --- 💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: ✅ +1,390 pips 📈 RESULT: 10 Signals → 7 Wins | 2 SL | 1 BE 🎯 WIN RATE (on executed trades): 78% --- 🔥 Strong momentum continuation with powerful upside breakouts delivering big gains 📈💎 👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
2
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold remains under downside pressure after failing to hold above the 4151 resistance yesterday, with price now trading around 4104. The metal continues to trade below both the MA50 and MA200, confirming that short-term momentum remains bearish within a broader corrective phase. If buyers can reclaim 4117 and 4151, a corrective bounce toward 4192 and 4227 may follow. However, failure to defend 4075 could trigger another wave of selling toward 4020, and potentially deeper into the 3984-3953 zone, where fresh demand could start building up. 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4117 4151 4192 4227 Support: 4075 4044 4020 3984 🔎 Fundamental focus: Gold continues to trade under macro uncertainty as the U.S. government shutdown drags on, delaying major data releases and weighing on investor confidence. The lack of economic transparency has led to erratic price swings, while persistent U.S.–China trade tensions and weaker manufacturing sentiment add further risk aversion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Weekly Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold vs. Dollar)Weekly Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold vs. Dollar) Weekly Scenarios Bullish scenario: Gold holds the ~$4,000 zone and breaks through ~$4,200 → next target in the range of ~$4,500–4,700. Consolidation: Price moves between ~$4,000 and ~$4,200, forming a base for the next impulse. Bearish scenario: Break below ~$4,000 with volume and a change in structure → possible decline to ~$3,900 or lower. ✅ Conclusion For the coming week, the technical picture for XAU/USD remains moderately bullish, but with a high degree of risk: Holding support at ~$4,000 and breaking resistance at ~$4,200 could trigger a significant rally. A break below ~$4,000 is a signal for caution and a potential correction. It's important for traders to react to volumes, breakout confirmations, and price behavior at designated levels.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_Hive_Signals
Gold：Perfectly confirms the prediction🎉Today's gold trend is in perfect alignment with the key levels we preset, and the upper resistance range has exerted a significant suppressing effect. ✔We clearly indicated in the morning that "attention should be paid to the upper resistance around 4,135–4,150". In the actual market movement, spot London gold hit a daily high of 4,154.52, which just tested the upper edge of this resistance range before fluctuating under pressure. It finally traded around 4,130 and never broke through the 4,150 resistance ceiling throughout the day. ✔Meanwhile, although it dipped to an intraday low of 4,065.47, this level fell entirely within our preset support range of 4,060–4,070. The price then rebounded quickly, which confirms the supporting effect around this zone. The overall trading rhythm is completely consistent with the core logic of our prediction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
XAU/USD – Gold Tests Final Structure Before Deciding New Wave“If the 3,950 USD zone is breached, the long-term uptrend may end.” 🔍 Market Context After reaching the historical peak ATH GOLD 4,391 USD , gold has sharply corrected and formed a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) on the H1 frame. Currently, the price is technically recovering to the Resistance – FVG – Fibonacci 4,216 USD zone, which was previously a distribution peak. The sellers are regaining short-term advantage, while the Order Block zone (3,953–3,960 USD) — the starting point of the strongest growth on H4/Daily — is becoming the most critical defense line of the uptrend. If this zone is decisively broken, the medium-term uptrend structure is likely to break and trigger a bearish expansion towards deeper liquidity zones like 3,689 USD. 💎 Technical Analysis Resistance – FVG – Fib Zone: 4,216 – 4,228 → confluence resistance zone FVG + Fibo 0.618, suitable for sell reaction. Liquidity Sweep Zone: 4,043 – 4,006 → intermediate liquidity sweep zone, temporary pause may occur. Order Block | Structural Base: 3,953 – 3,960 → H4 momentum zone → ATH; if breached, long-term uptrend structure invalidated. Liquidity Zone $$$: 3,689 – 3,685 → deep liquidity zone, potential target if OB is broken. Overall Structure: → Short-term: bearish corrective phase. → Medium-term: bullish remains if 3,950 is not breached. 📉 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Setup – Reaction at 4,216 – 4,228 USD zone Entry: 4,216 – 4,228 SL: 4,240 TP1: 4,043 TP2: 3,956 TP3: 3,689 ✅ Condition: Wait for clear reversal signal (strong rejection or bearish engulfing) on H1/M15 at FVG resistance zone. ➡️ Classic “Sell the Rally” setup – follow the flow after ChoCH, target key OB zone 3,953 USD. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reaction at Order Block 3,953 – 3,960 USD Entry: 3,956 – 3,953 SL: 3,940 TP: 4,043 → 4,216 ✅ Condition: Price holds OB and strong reversal signal appears (bullish engulfing / increased volume / small BoS structure turns bullish again). ➡️ This is the decision zone for medium-term trend: if it bounces strongly, buyers will regain control; if breached, gold enters a new deep decline cycle. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritize SELL when price retraces to 4,216 – 4,228 zone with reversal signal. BUY at 3,953 only with clear reaction; if broken, stop all buy orders. When price closes H4 candle below 3,950 → confirm bearish break, extend target to 3,689 USD. 💬 Conclusion Gold is testing the Order Block foundation of the long-term uptrend (3,953–3,960 USD) . If this zone holds, the market may rebound to 4,216 – 4,280; but if breached, gold is likely to open a deep decline phase to 3,689 USD – where a massive amount of liquidity is concentrated at the bottom. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Sell 4,216 – 4,228 USD if there is a clear reversal signal. Buy 3,953 – 3,960 USD if there is a strong reaction; If 3,950 is breached → confirm extended downtrend, prioritize SELL continuation. 🔥 “This Order Block built the last gold rally — if it breaks, the next leg down will be brutal.” ⏰ Time Frame: 1H – reference H4/Daily 📅 Update: 22/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent