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Xauusdanalysis

XAU/USD: Wave 5 is already starting or the bulls' last hope?XAU/USD: Wave 5 is already starting or the bulls' last hope? 📈 Weekly Scenarios Bullish scenario: Price holds above ~$4,056-4,000, breaks through ~$4,267 → start of waves (5) up → target ~$4,380-4,455+. Consolidation: Price moves between ~$4,000 and ~$4,267, forming a base before the next major move. Bearish scenario: Break of support at ~$4,000 with volume confirmation → start of correction → target ~$3,820-3,943. ✅ Conclusion On the weekly timeframe, gold is at a key milestone: either a strong profitable rally (wave 5) begins, or a correction reverses. Main signals: holding above ~$4,000 and breaking through ~$4,267 is the way to the upside; a break below ~$4,000 is a signal for caution.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_Hive_Signals
XAU/USD | Day Trade Bullish Map – Can Gold Reach 3800 This Week?🏆 XAU/USD | Metal Market Wealth Strategy Map (Day Trade) 🥇 🎯 Plan: Bullish Wealth Heist The thief’s map is drawn — and today, the gold vault is our target. 🔑 Strategy Style (Thief Layering Method): Instead of a single-entry, this plan uses layered limit orders (multiple entry levels). Think of it as planting “buy traps” across the chart to secure the best loot. 📥 Entry Layers (Buy Limits): 3660 💰 3670 💰 3680 💰 3690 💰 3700 💰 (⚡ Add more layers if your style allows — the thief never comes with just one key!) 🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Door): SL @ 3630 (⚠️ Reminder: This is MY thief escape hatch. You’re free to place your own exit plan depending on risk appetite.) 🎯 Target (Loot Point): TP @ 3800 (near strong resistance, overbought zone & police patrol 🚨) — Remember: take profits where you feel safe. The thief escapes when the bag is full! 📊 Thief’s Key Notes This is a layering strategy, designed for dynamic entries & better position cost-averaging. XAU/USD often reacts strongly around resistance bands — watch for liquidity hunts before the move. Don’t marry the trade — grab profit, exit quick, and live to raid another day. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Check) OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Moves in sync with Gold, but can be more volatile. TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse correlation — if USD weakens, gold often rallies. FX:EURUSD : Another inverse play against USD, gold strength may reflect here. SP:SPX / PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 : Risk sentiment cousins — equity weakness often boosts gold. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style Strategy, shared for educational & fun purposes only. Not financial advice — trade at your own risk. #XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #DayTrading #TradingStrategy #ThiefTrader #FXCorrelation #Metals #Scalping #TradingView
FX:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
XAU/USD Metals Outlook: Bullish Path with Layered Buy Entry Plan🔥 XAU/USD: Thief’s Gold Heist Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 💰 🎯 Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) — The Shiny Metal’s Wealth Hunt!📈 Market: Metals Market 🏆 Strategy Vibe: Bullish Bandit Plan with a Thief-Style Layering Twist! 😎 🕵️‍♂️ The Thief’s Bullish Plan: Steal the Gold! We’re diving into the XAU/USD market with a bullish swing/day trade setup using a slick Thief Layering Strategy. This involves stacking multiple buy limit orders to catch the price at key levels. No boring single entries here — we’re building a multi-layered trap to snag those pips! 🪤 📊 Key Setup Details 🎯 Entry Levels: Deploy the Thief Layering Strategy with multiple buy limit orders at: 💰 3760 💰 3780 💰 3800 Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite! Stack those limits like a master thief planning a heist. 😏 🛑 Stop Loss: Thief’s SL set at 3720. Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this SL is my take — you’re the boss of your trades! Set your stop loss based on your risk tolerance. Trade smart, steal smarter! 💡 🎉 Take Profit Target: Aim for the Electric Shop High Voltage Trap at 3920. This zone screams strong resistance, overbought signals, and a potential trap for the unprepared. Escape with your profits before the market zaps you! ⚡️ Note: Thief OG’s, this TP is my suggestion. Grab your profits at your own pace and risk level — make it rain when you’re ready! 💸 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Dollar-Based Correlations) Keep an eye on these USD-based pairs for market synergy and correlation: FX:USDJPY : A stronger USD could pressure gold prices, so watch for inverse moves. If USD/JPY spikes, XAU/USD might dip. 📉 OANDA:USDCHF : Another safe-haven pair. If CHF strengthens, it could signal risk-off vibes impacting gold. 👀 TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): Gold often moves inversely to the dollar. A rising DXY could cap XAU/USD’s upside — stay sharp! 🧠 OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Gold’s shiny cousin often follows XAU/USD’s lead. Check for confirmation in silver’s price action. ✨ Why Watch These? Correlations help you spot market sentiment. If USD strengthens across pairs, gold’s bullish run might face resistance. Use these as your Thief’s Radar to time your entries! 🕵️‍♀️ 🔑 Key Points of the Thief Strategy Layering Entries: Multiple buy limits spread risk and increase chances of catching a favorable entry. Think of it as setting multiple traps for the price! 🪤 Risk Management: The suggested SL at 3720 keeps losses tight, but adjust based on your account size and risk tolerance. Resistance Watch: The 3920 zone is a high-voltage trap with overbought signals. Secure profits early to avoid getting caught in a reversal. ⚡️ Market Context: Gold thrives in uncertainty, so keep an eye on global events, Fed news, or inflation data that could spark volatility. 📡 ⚠️ Disclaimer This is a Thief-Style Trading Strategy crafted for fun and educational purposes. Trading involves risks, and past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis and trade at your own risk. Stay sneaky, stay safe! 😎 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #️⃣ #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #BullishSetup #ForexTrading #TradingView
VELOCITY:GOLDLong
by The-Thief
XAU/USD Technical Setup ‖ Bullish Momentum or Smart Trap?🏆 XAU/USD: The Golden Heist Blueprint | Swing & Scalp Strategy 💰 📊 Market Overview Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar) Market: Precious Metals Strategy Type: Dual Setup - Swing Trading (Bullish) & Day Trading/Scalping (Bearish) Risk Level: High Volatility Zone ⚠️ 🎯 The Master Plan 🚀 Bullish Scenario: "To The Moon" Setup Breakout Level: $4,400.00 Action: Direct long entry on confirmed breakout above resistance Logic: Clean break = institutional momentum shift 🔻 Bearish Scenario: Scalping/Day Trade Setup Breakdown Level: $4,050.00 Action: Short positions on confirmed break below support ⚠️ Trap Alert: Any pullback above $4,050.00 post-breakdown = potential smart money trap. Watch for false breakouts! 🛡️ Risk Management Zone Stop Loss (Pullback Buy Plan): $3,950.00 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This SL is based on my analysis for the bullish pullback scenario. You're the captain of your own ship! Adjust stops according to your risk tolerance, account size, and trading style. Never risk more than you can afford to lose. 🎖️ Profit Targets Buy Side Target: $4,600.00 Exit Strategy Notes: Strong resistance confluence at this level Overbought conditions likely Potential trap zone for late entries Recommendation: Scale out profits gradually rather than waiting for the full target Sell Side Target: $4,050.00 Exit Strategy Notes: Major support level - expect bounces High probability of liquidity grab at this zone Consider partial profit taking before reaching full target Recommendation: Trail stops as price moves in your favor ⚠️ Disclaimer: These targets are MY analysis, not financial advice. Take profits when YOUR strategy signals, not mine. Trail stops, scale out, or exit based on YOUR plan. Your money, your rules! 💪 🔗 Related Markets to Watch Correlated Assets: DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): Inverse correlation - Dollar strength = Gold weakness GC (Gold Futures): Direct correlation - Institutional positioning indicator XAUEUR (Gold vs Euro): Alternative safe-haven flow gauge US10Y (10-Year Treasury Yield): Inverse correlation - Rising yields pressure Gold BTCUSD (Bitcoin): Risk-on/risk-off sentiment indicator Key Fundamental Drivers: Fed monetary policy & interest rate decisions Inflation data (CPI/PCE reports) Geopolitical tensions (safe-haven demand) Real yields & opportunity cost 🔑 Key Technical Points ✅ Breakout Confirmation: Wait for candle close above/below key levels ✅ Volume Analysis: High volume breakouts = higher probability ✅ Smart Money Traps: Watch for failed breakouts and liquidity grabs ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Calculate before entry - minimum 1:2 recommended ✅ Market Structure: Respect higher timeframe trends 🎭 Trading Psychology Reminder This strategy has a playful "heist" theme for entertainment, but make no mistake — treat your capital with serious respect. The market doesn't care about our plans. Adapt, manage risk, and preserve capital above all else. Remember: No setup is guaranteed Always use stop losses Never risk your rent money Emotions are the enemy The market pays patient traders ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #XAUUSD #Gold #GoldTrading #ForexTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #Scalping #TechnicalAnalysis #PreciousMetals #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #Forex #GoldAnalysis #TradingIdeas #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #Breakout #SupportAndResistance #TradingView #ForexSignals Happy trading, and may the pips be ever in your favor! 🎯💎
SAXO:XAUUSD
by The-Thief
Gold: Building a bottom, but caution remainsWeekend Greetings! Over the past week, gold has been consolidating within the 4160–4000 range. Technically, this range suggests a short-term bottoming phase. However, given that prices recently reached new highs and have since formed a double-top pattern, it’s still too early to confirm a bottom. In the upcoming sessions, traders should remain cautious, avoid chasing highs, and be alert for potential bull traps or a fifth-wave decline, as mentioned last week. On the 4H chart, higher lows are being established, and Friday’s close was above both the MA5 and MA20, with the MACD maintaining a bullish configuration. The MA60 and MA30 are currently positioned around 4180 and 4163, respectively, serving as key resistance zones. If gold can hold above these levels, there’s a good chance it will approach or even reclaim the 4300 level. On the daily chart, gold remains supported by the MA20, with long lower wicks indicating active bullish participation, which favors further upside. However, the MA5 and MA10, located around 4154 and 4188, still act as short-term resistance. For a stronger bullish confirmation, the price needs to stabilize above 4160, ideally holding firm above 4180. On the 30M/1H charts, moving averages are closely aligned, showing short-term consolidation. Notably, the last three candles on the 30M chart form a Morning Star pattern, a typical bullish signal. If this formation remains intact after the market opens, prices are likely to move higher. From a fundamental perspective, no bearish news emerged over the weekend. Unless unexpected developments occur before the market opens, the technical outlook favors an upward move during Monday’s session.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
XAUUSD: Structure Broken! Can the Fed Rate Cut Save Gold?Gold has just completed its first losing week in 10, after a historic rally. Following the record peak of $4,381.21, Gold experienced a sharp correction driven by profit-taking and easing US-China trade tensions. However, weaker-than-expected US CPI data has strongly reinforced expectations for an upcoming Fed rate cut, creating a significant market conflict. I. MARKET CONTEXT ANALYSIS (H4) Structure: The prior bullish structure has been broken, shifting the bias to bearish in the short term. Liquidity: Market forces are now targeting key stop-loss zones to collect liquidity before the next major move. Strategy: We look to Sell when price pulls back to the Supply Zone (Premium) and Buy when price sweeps liquidity into the strong Demand Zone. II. DETAILED TRADING PLAN 1. SELL Scenario 📉 (At Supply Zones) Trade 1: Entry: $4,202 - $4,204 SL: $4,212 TP: $4,194 / $4,184 / $4,174 / $4,164 Trade 2: Entry: $4,252 - $4,256 SL: $4,272 TP: $4,236 / $4,216 / $4,196 / $4,176 2. BUY Scenario 📈 (At Demand Zones) Trade 1: Entry: $4,158 - $4,161 SL: $4,151 TP: $4,168 / $4,178 / $4,188 / $4,198 Trade 2 (Critical): Entry: $3,966 - $3,969 (Strong Demand Zone, post-liquidity sweep) SL: $3,949 TP: $3,989 / $4,009 / $4,029 / $4,049 III. RISK MANAGEMENT NOTE Capital: Always limit risk to ≤ 1% of capital per trade. Confirmation: Prioritize waiting for reversal confirmation on lower timeframes (M15/M5) to optimize Risk/Reward ratio. This is the decisive moment! Trade safe and good luck! #XAUUSD #Gold #GoldAnalysis #Forex #Trading #Fed #Inflation
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold Weekly Forecast Liquidity Retest or Correction Phase AheadGold is showing early signs of a technical slowdown after a strong bullish wave that tested the 4200–4300 resistance zone. Price may attempt a mild retest of this area early in the week, but if rejection continues, a deeper correction toward the 4000–3900 demand zone could follow. A clear weekly close above 4300, however, may trigger renewed bullish strength toward the 4400 region. Key Levels: Resistance: 4200 – 4300 Support: 4000 – 3900 Next Bullish Target (on break): 4400 Reasoning: Technically, the market structure shows a possible liquidity sweep near 4300, followed by bearish rejection candles, signaling weakening momentum. The Fibonacci retracement between 4000–3960 aligns with the Fair Value Gap, suggesting potential liquidity attraction before another bullish continuation. Fundamentally, the upcoming U.S. GDP, Core PCE, and FOMC remarks may drive volatility. Strong U.S. data or hawkish commentary could strengthen the dollar and pressure gold lower, while softer readings might offer temporary support to buyers. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and manage risk responsibly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SwingTrade_Concept
Trading strategy for gold next weekThe callback is in place and the rebound pattern has been established. The key support has precisely stabilized: Over the past two trading days, the gold price dropped to a minimum of $4085 before quickly rebounding. This position precisely coincides with the 0.618 retracement point of the previous upward trend. The technical support is quite strong. From the time chart, there have been multiple "bottoming and rebounding" trends in the $4085 - $4100 range, indicating that the buying pressure at the lower levels is strong and the short-term selling pressure has been largely released. The rebound trend has initially formed: Currently, the gold price has closed higher for two consecutive trading days and has broken through the short-term resistance level of $4100, forming a "two consecutive up days" trend. During the rebound process, the trading volume gradually increased, especially when breaking through $4100, the trading volume was 30% higher than that of the same period the previous day, indicating that the long-term funds have actively entered the market, and the short-term rebound trend has been initially established. Trading strategy for gold next week xauusd @ buy4060-4080 TP:4110-4130-4200
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Review of Gold's Performance This Week📝This week, the gold market experienced severe volatility, showing an overall trend of a sharp decline followed by a volatile rebound. The details are as follows: 📈Price Movement： On Monday, gold prices fluctuated between 4,218.32 and 4,354.88. On Tuesday, gold plummeted by 6.3% at one point, marking the largest single-day drop since April 2013. On Wednesday, it continued to fall, hitting a low of 4,003.43. On Thursday, gold fluctuated within the range of 4,065.47 to 4,154.52. On Friday, gold prices fell again, dropping below 4,060 at one stage with an intraday decline of over 1%, and finally closed at 4,110.55. 💡Influencing Factors： ✔The main reasons for the sharp volatility in gold prices this week include the following: After a rapid rise in early stages, gold was in an overbought state, creating technical correction pressure. Meanwhile, investors had a strong sentiment to take profits, leading to a large number of sell-offs. ✔In addition, the cooling of risk aversion, the strengthening of the U.S. dollar, and the fact that Federal Reserve officials entered a blackout period ahead of the interest rate decision that are resulting in a lack of remarks supporting interest rate cuts in the market also reduced the appeal of gold. ✔However, factors such as the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, geopolitical tensions, and market expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve provided certain support for gold prices. 💎Outlook for the Future: From a technical perspective: If gold breaks through 4,161, it may pave the way for a test of 4,200. If it continues to rise, traders may push gold prices above 4,250, or even target 4,300 and higher record highs. But if gold falls below 4,040, the next target will be the October 22 low of 4,004.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Clarke_analysis
Gold price analysis October 27GOLD ANALYSIS – Bullish wave structure remains intact From the current wave outlook, gold has started to form a sequence of bullish impulses following a period of corrective movement. The key point of focus right now is the resistance zone at 4146 — this area represents a crucial threshold for the next bullish leg. If buyers manage to push through this zone with strong momentum, the price could quickly retest or even break the all-time high (ATH) levels in the coming sessions. For the upcoming week, the BUY setup continues to be the primary strategy as long as the structure remains valid. The 4056 support zone serves as the main base of this bullish setup — a break below it could temporarily weaken the path toward ATH recovery. 📈 Trading Plan: BUY now: 4114 BUY trigger: Price rejection around 4056 Target: 4375
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
EURUSD Analysis week 44🌐Fundamental Analysis Business activity in Germany and the Eurozone continued to improve in October. This positive data helped the Euro maintain its strength in the European session. However, experts warn that the growth outlook remains fragile, despite the current favorable conditions. In the US, CPI inflation in September is forecast to increase to 3.1%, with core CPI rising 0.3%. A higher than expected figure could strengthen the USD and put pressure on EUR/USD; conversely, weak data would support the Euro's recovery in the US session. 🕯Technical Analysis EURUSD is making a strong upside recovery towards the resistance of 1.172. A break above the 1.162 zone would immediately become an important support zone supporting the EURUSD's upward momentum. The BUy strategy will be paid more attention next week. The weekly support zone of 1.158 will play a key role for the buyers, if this zone is broken, the pair will fall into a strong Downtrend. 📉Trading Signals SELL EURUSD 1.172-1.174 Stoploss 1.179 BUY EURUSD 1.158-1.15600 Stoploss 1.153
by TVS-Trader
Analysis of gold movement on the 4-hour time frameHi traders Gold has not been able to close a candle above the equilibrium range (4114) for the 4-hour time frame for now, but it can have an upward movement to the resistance areas, pick up the rising liquidity, and then return to close a candle below the 4-hour equilibrium range (it can stabilize below 4067, in which case it will pullback to 4067 and 4090 and towards the sell). For the resistances in question, 4171 - 4193 and 4208 - 4231 are two one-hour equilibrium resistances that the market has not yet pulled back to these numbers, and the 4-hour candle after the pullback should stabilize below these areas to confirm the continuation of the decline to low liquidity and sellers' TPs
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by kinshinreza
8
technical analysis for Gold (XAU/USD) based on your provided chaPrice: Around $4,112.53 Timeframe: 30-minute Trend Structure: Gold is trading within a rising channel, suggesting short-term bullish momentum after rebounding from a support level. 🧭 Key Technical Zones Support Level: $4,060 – $4,080 → This zone has held price multiple times and aligns with the channel’s lower boundary. Immediate Resistance: $4,125 → Minor horizontal resistance, currently being retested. Mid-term Resistance: $4,175 – $4,200 → The upper boundary of the short-term consolidation range. Main Target Zone: $4,381 → Marked as the projected bullish target; aligns with the top of the ascending channel. 📊 Pattern & Projections The chart shows a bullish continuation setup (possibly a flag or channel breakout in progress). Price recently bounced from support and is respecting the ascending trendline, hinting at a possible push toward higher resistance levels. A break above $4,125 could trigger momentum toward $4,175, then $4,225, and finally the target at $4,381. ⚠️ Risk Management Invalidation: A close below $4,075 (support zone) would invalidate the bullish scenario and could push price back toward $4,025 – $4,000. Stop-Loss (for buyers): Below $4,070. Take-Profit Levels: 1️⃣ $4,175 2️⃣ $4,225 3️⃣ $4,381 🟢 Summary Signal Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: Around $4,100 – $4,115 (after confirmation of support hold) Target: $4,381 Stop-Loss: $4,070 NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:AAPL CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! COMEX:GC1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! NYMEX:CL1! COMEX:SI1! CME_MINI:RTY1! CBOT_MINI:MYM1!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
Trading strategy for gold next weekThe low-level support has been verified through practical operations, and the rebound momentum is beginning to show. Strong support is clearly effective: In the past three trading days, the spot price of gold in London dropped to the lowest level of 4044.07 US dollars and then rebounded rapidly. This position has formed a short-term "iron bottom". Although the current price has experienced a correction, it has always remained above the 4100 US dollar threshold, and the trading volume during the correction process did not significantly increase, indicating that the short selling pressure is limited and the buying pressure at the lower level is strong. The rebound signal is beginning to emerge: After the release of the September CPI data, the gold price briefly rose by 30 US dollars. Although it subsequently fell back, it has broken the previous continuous decline trend. From the time chart, the 4100-4110 US dollar range has repeatedly shown a "bottoming out and rebounding" trend, with obvious short-term stabilization characteristics, and the rebound momentum is accumulating. Trading strategy for gold next week xauusd @ buy4060-4080 TP:4110-4130-4200
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
XAUUSD H4: Bullish Order Block (OB) and FVG Analysis for Long ?Key Annotations and Concepts CRT-H (Current Range Top - High): Key resistance or bullish target around $4,160. CRT-L (Current Range Top - Low): Key support or bearish target around $4,040. FVG (Fair Value Gap): The shaded gray area, a price inefficiency that price is often drawn to, currently around the $4,080 to $4,100 range. CISD (Current Intermediate Swing Down): A local low around $4,060 acting as an intermediate support. SMT (Smart Money Trap/Toolkit): The swing low that potentially trapped early sellers, leading to the subsequent rally. OB (Order Block): This is the new key annotation. It points to the last bearish (red) candle before the significant move higher. An Order Block is an area where institutional traders are believed to have placed large orders, and it is a high-probability zone for price to retrace to and find support for a continuation of the trend. This OB is located just above the CISD and within the area that launched the rally. Curved Arrow: Indicates the anticipated bullish direction towards filling the FVG and potentially targeting the CRT-H. The addition of the OB reinforces the idea that if price retraces further, this is a strong area of support before the anticipated upward move.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
Gold Breakdown Alert! Bears Aiming $3980 NextGold is currently showing a descending triangle / bearish channel pattern on the 15-minute chart. After testing the upper trendline resistance around 4113–4115, price has started to reject, indicating potential downward pressure. The trendlines show clear lower highs and lower lows, confirming a short-term bearish structure. Volume is also decreasing on upward moves, suggesting weakening buying momentum. 📉 Trade Setup (Scalping / Intraday) Signal: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD below 4105 Entry Zone: 4105 – 4110 Target 1: 4050 Target 2: 3980 Stop Loss: 4135 Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2 ⚙️ Technical Indicators Trendline Resistance: 4115 Support Zone: 4050 / 3980 Momentum: Bearish bias Structure: Lower highs forming under descending resistance 💬 Analyst View Gold may continue its short-term correction phase if it fails to hold above the 4110 resistance zone. A breakout below 4100 could trigger a fresh wave of selling pressure targeting the 4050 area initially. If bulls reclaim 4135, this analysis becomes invalid and could shift bias to neutral.
TVC:GOLDShort
by forexinworld
8
XAUUSD (Gold) seeking $4,000 region?As my H4 chart shows, gold did make a double top a few days ago and then crashed. You can give credit for this massive 3,800 points move to profit taking or economic uncertainty or any technical reason, maybe a combination but it really does not matter. What does matter is that we now have a double or triple top indicating that we have more room to the down side. I am seeing a medium term bearish move followed by a consolidation and now it may be that we will get a breakout (to the down side) to give us a bearish continuation. How far will we go? I have no idea but the round number 4,000 followed by 3,950 do make sense. If all this works out as I anticipate, it may be a good idea to close a partial position, move the stop to a level of small profit and then trail the price action. This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk so carefully managing your capital and risk is important. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by Tranquilo1154
1
Analysis of gold price trends next weekShort-term catalyst: Risk disturbances and technological stabilization form a synergy Geopolitical "tail risks" continue to escalate: The escalation of US sanctions against Russian energy giants, the intensification of competition in the technology sector between China and the US, coupled with the 23-day government shutdown crisis in the US, have continuously fuelled market risk aversion. What is even more alarming is that the new restrictions in the Russian energy sector have spilled over to the transportation costs of commodities, and if this potential risk unfolds, it will rapidly drive funds into gold. Stabilization after sharp decline validates support strength: On October 21, the spot price of gold in London dropped by more than 6% from its historical high of 4,381 US dollars, approaching the 4,100 US dollar mark, but then rebounded rapidly. On October 23, the intraday gain was over 1.27%, recovering most of the lost ground. This "sharp decline without collapse" trend fully confirms the strong support effect in the 4,000-4,100 US dollar range and also reflects the market's recognition of the long-term value of gold. Technical aspect presents "strong consolidation" characteristics: The daily chart shows that after the price decline, it still operates above the middle band (3,964.72 US dollars) of the Bollinger Bands, without disrupting the upward trend; the RSI indicator has dropped from the overbought zone to the middle-high level of 58.19, which is a healthy "cooling without breaking through". Currently, the price is in the stabilization stage after the correction, and as long as the key support is held, the second upward attack momentum will gradually accumulate. Trading strategy for gold next week xauusd @buy4040-4060 TP:4110-4150-4200
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
1
XAUUSD – CPI Cools, USD Weakens, and Gold Regains MomentumMarket Overview: Gold has regained bullish traction after the latest US CPI report showed softer inflation data, leading to a weaker USD and renewed buying across metals. CPI figures came in below market expectations (Core CPI 0.2% vs 0.3%, CPI m/m 0.3% vs 0.4%, CPI y/y 3.0% vs 3.1%), signalling lower inflation pressure and reinforcing bets that the Fed will stay dovish heading into November. As a result, gold bounced strongly from the 4,050–4,058 support zone, reclaiming key structure levels and stabilising above 4,100 USD/oz. Market sentiment remains risk-sensitive, but the short-term tone favours further upside correction, as long as gold holds above the trendline and liquidity support zones highlighted on the chart. Technical Outlook (H2): The market structure suggests gold has completed its correction phase and is attempting to form a new bullish leg. Price action shows a clean rejection at the 4,050 liquidity base, and the next immediate objectives are the 4,211 neckline and 4,260–4,342 supply zones. Key Technical Levels: Support / Buy Zone: 4,058 – 4,002 Liquidity Sweep Zone: 3,930 – 3,940 Resistance / Neckline: 4,211 Sell Zone Reaction Fibo: 4,260 – 4,342 Trading Plan – MMFLOW View 🔹 BUY Zone #1 (Continuation Play) Entry: 4,058 – 4,050 Stop Loss: 4,035 Take Profit: 4,155 → 4,211 → 4,260 🔹 BUY Zone #2 (Liquidity Sweep Scenario) Entry: 4,002 – 3,930 Stop Loss: 3,915 Take Profit: 4,058 → 4,155 → 4,211 Ideal setup if price retests liquidity before CPI-induced recovery continues. 🔹 SELL Zone(Reaction Trade) Entry: 4,260 – 4,342 Stop Loss: 4,355 Take Profit: 4,211 → 4,100 → 4,058 Weekly Bias & Summary: With CPI cooling and the USD losing momentum, gold’s structure points to a recovery phase, possibly extending into Wave III of the medium-term cycle. However, the 4,211 neckline remains the key pivot — a breakout above this zone could trigger momentum extension toward 4,260–4,340, while a rejection may result in another range-bound pullback. 🟡 MMFLOW Bias: Bullish while above 4,050 — dips remain opportunities to buy. Macro tone favours risk-on rotation, supporting gold’s upside into next week. 📊 Do you think gold will break 4,211 for the next bullish leg, or is another correction incoming before the real move? 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily institutional updates and Smart Money Flow structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
Last trading day. Watch for resistance levels.After the CPI data was released as expected, while the results appear bullish for gold, the market reaction was muted, and the price rebound was relatively weak. This is likely because the current gains may have already overdrawn all positive expectations, and the market needs a period of cooling off. On the 4-hour chart, gold prices rose on the data, returning to a range of fluctuations. The moving averages are showing a relatively flat trend. The 5-, 10-, and 20-minute moving averages intersect with the middle Bollinger Band in the 4100-4110 range, which also represents a significant short-term support level. The 30-minute moving average is nearing its intersection with the upper Bollinger Band in the 4170-4180 range. Based on technical indicators, watch for resistance at 4160 in the short term, with a breakout at 4180. Focus on support at 4100-4110 below. Quaid believes that as the last trading day of the week, the price may also fluctuate slightly around 4130. But if it suddenly starts to break upward, then we need to pay attention to the suppression situation above. When the price first hits around 4160 and fails to break upward effectively, short sell with a light position at this position and make a profit of 30-40 points. A happy weekend is coming, Quaid hopes everyone reaches their profit targets this week.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid_Wealth_Code
Analysis of the trend of gold next weekCurrently, the gold market is in a stage of "shock - upward movement driven by news". Although there is a battle between bulls and bears at the $4112 level, the upward opportunities next week are more worthy of attention. It is necessary to lay out in line with the trend and strictly control risks. The specific strategy is as follows: I. Core Logic: Key Factors Influencing the Gold Price Trend Next Week 1. **The medium - and long - term support foundation remains intact**: The Federal Reserve has already started the interest - rate - cutting cycle. Judging from the meeting minutes, officials tend to gradually continue to loosen policies. As a result, the cost of holding gold is getting lower and lower, and its attractiveness is naturally increasing. Moreover, global central banks are still continuously buying gold. This long - term and large - scale buying can underpin the gold price, making a significant decline highly unlikely. In addition, the output growth rate of the world's top ten gold - mining enterprises has only been 1.8% in the past three years, and the problem of tight supply will also support the price in the long term. 2. **Short - term positive signals are increasing**: There are new signs of tension in the Middle East situation. The Houthi militia in Yemen has attacked the cargo ships in the Red Sea, resulting in 18% of the world's container ships changing their routes, and the shipping costs have soared. The market's safe - haven demand has significantly rebounded. Once such geopolitical risks ferment, they will drive funds to flow into gold. At the same time, the gold price rebounded after falling to around $4000 this week, indicating that the buying support at low levels is very strong, and much of the previous pullback pressure has been released. 3. **Key events next week will determine the direction**: The market is closely watching the changes in relevant news. Whether it is the new dynamics of the Middle East situation or the policy signals from the Federal Reserve, they will directly affect the gold price trend. Judging from the recent fluctuations, as long as the support near $4000 is not broken, the possibility of an upward trend is greater than that of a downward trend. Trading strategy for gold next week xauusd @buy4040-4060 TP:4110-4150-4200
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1