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Xauusdanalysis

$4070 Gold: New Record! Was the Recent Dip a Sell Trap?Hello, traders! Gold just set a New Record at $4,070.5/oz (Futures). Up 54% YTD, this rally is strongly fueled by two core factors: 1) Confirmed Fed rate cut momentum (backed by FOMC Minutes) and 2) Overwhelming safe-haven demand due to global instability (US Shutdown, Middle East conflict). Technical Analysis & BUY Dips Strategy Confirmed The sharp pullback from $405x to $4000 (the Fib 0.5 zone) led many to suspect a reversal. However, buying pressure overwhelmed sellers and broke resistance at $402x. Technical Conclusion: The dip was a Sell Trap and merely a Consolidation phase. The primary bias is confirmed: BUY on Dips is the absolute priority. Risk Warning: Only if $4000 is cleanly broken on heavy volume does the risk shift heavily against long positions. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $4049, $4057, $4064, $4074, $4084, $4094 Support: $4021, $4009, $3992, $3978 Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY at Support) BUY SCALP: $4019 - $4017 SL: $4013 TPs: $4023, $4028, $4033, $4038 BUY ZONE (Strong Demand): $3992 - $3990 SL: $3982 TPs: $4000, $4010, $4020, $4030, $4040 SELL SCALP: $4056 - $4058 SL: $4062 TPs: $4053, $4048, $4043, $4038 SELL ZONE (High Risk): $4084 - $4086 SL: $4094 TPs: $4076, $4066, $4056, $4046, $4036 Can this momentum push Gold past $4100 this week? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #4070USD #ATH #Fed #BUYDIPS #SellTrap #TradingView
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Do you dare to follow the short selling?Judging from the hourly chart, gold rebounded after testing the lower support several times, and stagnated after rebounding to around 4040. After closing the hourly line with a doji, it formed a large negative line. This pattern means that gold may pull back to test the lower support in the short term. Secondly, gold is still under trend suppression in the short term, so we have good reasons to short it. If gold rebounds again to around 4030-4040, we could consider a light short position, with an eye on 4015-4000. For more real-time updates, please follow🌐
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allen_Boswell
2
Bearish setup on Gold (XAU/USD) in the 30-minute timeframeA sell position is highlighted just below the resistance area, marked by the red zone. The stop-loss is placed above the recent highs, protecting against a possible breakout continuation. The target is positioned near the next support level around 4020, giving a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. The downward arrow indicates the expected movement — a pullback from the resistance zone toward the lower support area. This setup suggests a short-term bearish correction within the broader bullish structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by fx_martin9
The support is stable. Buy on pullbacks.The strong pattern of the gold market continues, and prices continue to break through historical highs. This strong upward trend has become the new market norm, reinforcing investors' optimistic expectations. However, as gold prices continue to climb to new heights, market sentiment is tinged with a touch of caution, with some investors becoming uneasy about the excessive short-term gains and fearing the possibility of volatile fluctuations. Although there have been technical pullbacks recently, the pullbacks have been relatively small and have not changed the upward trend. In the current clear, one-way upward trend, a rational trading strategy aligns with the primary trend, viewing each pullback as an opportunity to enter long positions on dips rather than a sign of a trend reversal. Judging from the 4-hour chart, the current key support area is around 4000, which is an important watershed for judging the strength of the short-term trend. Trading strategies recommend buying on pullbacks, patiently waiting for prices to fall back to support levels before buying. Be wary of high-level volatility and avoid frequent trading during periods of uncertain direction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
Gold price analysis September 10Gold is still holding the uptrend and the only priority strategy at the moment continues to be BUY. The corrections in the Asian session are only seen as opportunities to increase buying positions, instead of worrying about the risk of price decline. Trading plan: BUY trigger: when there is a price rejection signal at important support zones 4008 – 3986 – 3945 Target: psychological resistance zone 4100 The main trend is still favorable for the buyers, so waiting to buy at support zones will bring more advantages than looking for opportunities to SELL against the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold (XAU/USD) remains firmly supported above the $4,000 psychological level, holding gains despite overbought conditions. The chart shows price respecting the ascending trendline support and consolidating near the mid-channel zone. Immediate resistance lies at $4,121 – $4,135, while the support base is aligned around $3,988 – $4,001. As long as the price maintains above the trendline, the bullish structure remains intact. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $4,002 – $3,988 (buy on dips near support) Stop Loss: $3,977 Take Profit 1: $4,121 Take Profit 2: $4,133 Risk-Reward (R:R): ~1 : 5.35 🌍 Macro Background The US government shutdown continues into its ninth day, weighing on confidence in the US economy and weakening the Dollar. At the same time, the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance—with September’s rate cut already delivered and further cuts projected in October and December—reduces the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding Gold. This has fuelled demand for the safe-haven asset. Meanwhile, Middle East risks have eased slightly after Israel and Hamas signed the first phase of the Trump peace plan, but broader uncertainty in global politics (US, EU fiscal tensions, Japan’s leadership changes) keeps safe-haven flows active. Thus, any dips are likely to attract strong buyers. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,121 / $4,133 Support: $4,002 / $3,988 📌 Trade Summary Gold continues to ride strong bullish momentum, supported by dovish Fed expectations and political uncertainties. Buying near support levels remains favoured, with targets set at $4,121 and $4,135. Pullbacks should be seen as opportunities to rejoin the uptrend. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
Volatility = Opportunity—Short Gold Now!Although gold is still maintaining a bullish trend, it has repeatedly fallen back to around 4030 after approaching or touching the 4050-4060 area many times, and has shown multiple high points with upper shadows in the candlestick chart. It can be clearly seen that after accelerating its rise, gold showed obvious signs of stagflation near the trend line resistance area of 4050-4060, and there were obvious signs of retracement after touching this resistance area. In addition, from the short-term structure, we can see that the current high is near 4059, and the left high is near 4050. If gold cannot effectively hold above 4050 during the next rebound, there will be signs of forming a head and shoulders top in the short term. Combined with technical divergence and overbought conditions, gold may usher in a good retracement in the short term. Combined with technical divergence and overbought conditions, gold could experience a significant pullback in the near term. We should first focus on the support below at 4030-4020, followed by 4000-3990. So in short-term trading, I still will not give up short trading to gain short-term retracement profits. Therefore, I still advocate considering shorting gold in the 4045-4055 area. As long as gold can effectively fall below 4030, it will inevitably continue its downward trend to the 4010-4000 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WaveRider_Steffen
1
10/8: Watch Resistance at 4050, Short First Then Go LongGood afternoon, everyone! Driven by global economic and geopolitical uncertainties, as well as strong market expectations for further Fed rate cuts, gold has surged past the 4000 mark today, setting a new all-time high. From a weekly perspective, the bullish momentum remains intact, and the uptrend still has room to extend. In the short term, some profit-taking and selling pressure after reaching new highs are normal technical corrections. If the price climbs to the 4040–4050 range, pay close attention to the 4010 level as potential support during any pullback. If gold trades below 4030, the main support area can be referenced around 4000–3986. Overall, the medium-term outlook remains bullish. For intraday trading, consider a buy-low, sell-high approach within the 4050–4011 or 4030–3992 range. However, if the price breaks above 4050 decisively, avoid chasing longs and instead look for potential short opportunities.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
10/9: Sell Orders Above 4050 Profited, Watch Support Around 4000In yesterday’s session, we clearly indicated that if gold breaks above 4050, traders should look for short opportunities — and this move has indeed delivered impressive profits. At present, the price is testing the 30-minute chart support area, though it is relatively weak. The key support zone lies on the 1-hour chart, around 4000–3990. From a strategic perspective, if the rebound fails to break above 4038, it signals weakening bullish momentum. In this case, selling near the highs remains the preferred approach while monitoring support around 4011–4000. If the support holds, short-term buying opportunities may arise. Be cautious when heavy selling pressure appears — close short-term positions promptly. Traders may choose to adopt a scalping approach for quick profits or consider a medium-term long position, though the latter requires stronger account capacity and risk tolerance.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 - (09/10/2025, Asia Session)Current Price: 4,041 Session Bias: Neutral-to-bullish (possible continuation if 4,031 holds) Market Structure: Gold consolidating after major rally, forming a potential re-accumulation phase inside an ascending channel. ⸻ 🕐 1️⃣ DAILY TIMEFRAME (D1) • The daily candle closed bullish but with a long upper wick, showing rejection near 4,059. • Structure remains firmly bullish, with price holding well above both EMAs: • 20 EMA: 3,978 • 50 EMA: 3,867 • MACD still positive, histogram extended but flattening → momentum slowing. • RSI at 78, signaling overbought conditions. • Parabolic SAR remains below price → trend intact. Summary: The daily trend remains bullish, but a short-term consolidation or correction is likely before a new leg higher toward 4,070–4,090. ⸻ ⏱ 2️⃣ H1 TIMEFRAME • Gold is moving inside an ascending channel, currently holding mid-range. • Support area between 4,033–4,018; resistance around 4,047–4,059. • The latest candles show lower highs forming, signaling potential temporary compression before breakout. • MACD histogram slightly negative, confirming minor correction mode. • RSI at 54 → neutral, suggesting possible bounce from support if buyers defend structure. • The 20 EMA (4,039) and 50 EMA (3,985) remain bullishly aligned → trend still intact. Observation: Asia could open with consolidation between 4,030–4,050 before a breakout. Bulls will likely defend the 4,033–4,018 zone for a re-entry attempt. ⸻ 📉 3️⃣ M15 TIMEFRAME • Price building a descending wedge structure — typically a bullish continuation pattern. • Immediate support: 4,033–4,030 • Resistance: 4,047–4,051 (weak high) • Fibonacci retracement from 3,984 → 4,059: • 38.2% = 4,032 • 50% = 4,021 • 61.8% = 4,010 ➤ Golden Zone = 4,032 – 4,010 • MACD histogram red but contracting — bears losing pressure. • RSI at 47, near mid-level → awaiting a confirmed impulse. Summary: The wedge plus golden zone suggest a potential bullish rebound if Asia session liquidity sweeps below 4,030–4,018 and reclaims above 4,033. ⸻ ⚡ 4️⃣ M5 TIMEFRAME (SCALPING STRUCTURE) • Market is ranging 4,032–4,046, inside compression. • Minor CHoCH and BOS signals visible between candles, confirming short-term equilibrium. • MACD showing convergence → early sign of potential breakout build-up. • RSI around 48 → balanced. Scalping Areas: • Buy scalp: from 4,033–4,028, confirmation candle close above 4,035, SL ≤ 60 pips. • Sell scalp: only if clean break below 4,018, retest, and rejection candle appears. ⸻ ✨ FIBONACCI GOLDEN ZONE (Current Swing: 3,984 → 4,059) Retracement Level Price 38.2% 4,032 50% 4,021 61.8% 4,010 ➡️ Golden Zone = 4,032 – 4,010 → Primary buy interest area if retested with bullish confirmation. ⸻ 🚨 BREAKOUT & RETEST LEVELS TO WATCH Direction Breakout Zone Retest Confirmation Target Zones Bullish Above 4,051–4,059 Retest 4,047–4,050 4,066 → 4,072 → 4,085 Bearish Below 4,018–4,010 Retest 4,014–4,016 4,000 → 3,990 → 3,970 ⸻ 🧭 ASIA SESSION OUTLOOK • Base Case (65% probability): Gold remains in consolidation early Asia, possibly sweeping 4,030–4,018 (Golden Zone) before resuming upward movement to 4,060–4,072. • Alternative (25% probability): Extended sideways compression 4,030–4,050 until London. • Low Probability (10%): Strong bearish break below 4,010 leading to deeper correction 3,990–3,970. ⸻ ✅ SUMMARY Gold remains bullish overall, but currently accumulating near intraday support after rejection at 4,059. Asia is expected to be range-bound with a bullish bias, focusing on: • Buy interest zone: 4,032–4,010 (Golden Zone) • Breakout confirmation: above 4,051 for 4,060–4,072 extension. • Invalidation: below 4,010 structure. Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 4,018 ⚪ Neutral 4,018–4,010 🔴 Bearish below 4,010 ⸻ 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 08/10/2025 📱 📊 DAILY MARKET RESULTS ✅ SELL +60 pips ✅ BUY +20 pips ✅ BUY +40 pips 💸 BTC/USD +1,700 pips ✅ SELL +110 pips ✅ BUY +20 pips ❌ SELL –40 pips (SL) ✅ BUY +210 pips ❌ SELL –40 pips (SL) ✅ BUY LIMIT +40 pips --- 🏆 GOLD TOTAL PIPS WON: +420 pips 📱 BTC/USD TOTAL: +1,700 pips 📈 COMBINED GAIN: +2,120 pips 📊 RESULT: 10 Signals → 8 Wins | 2 SL 🎯 ACCURACY: 80 % --- 🔥 Solid day of profits with powerful BTC moves and consistent gold trades! Another step toward closing the week in style 💪📈 👏 Congratulations if you profited ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
1
Gold faces a correction. Latest analysis.Analysts at Rabobank stated in a report that while threats to the Federal Reserve's independence have diminished the dollar's luster, it remains a major safe-haven asset, along with gold. The recent rise in gold prices has raised questions about the dollar's role as a safe-haven asset, she said. While the dollar faces risks, the depth of the US capital market means investors will be reluctant to abandon the greenback if geopolitical risks intensify. Gold experienced a volatile upward trend on Wednesday, stabilizing above 3985 before gradually rising, reaching a high of 4060 before retracing. Gold bulls are performing very strongly and are currently experiencing a volatile adjustment. If gold continues to rise, there is further room for growth. The lower support level will focus on around 4020, and further downward support will focus on the defensive price of $4,000. If the correction falls below 4,000, it means that the degree of retracement will be large, so stop loss in time and wait for the retracement to be completed. Overall, Quaid believes that gold remains in a bullish trend, and despite a minor correction, it is not yet over. Focus on the strong resistance range of 4050-4080 on the upside, and the support range of 4020-4000 on the downside. Trading Strategy: Place long orders in batches on a pullback to 4020-4010, with a stop-loss at 4000. Profitable range: 4050-4060-4080.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
Breaking Resistance: Gold Eyes $4,500 by Year-EndLooking at this weekly chart of Gold (XAU/USD), we can clearly see the explosive price action that has been building up. The price has been climbing steadily, with the 33-period EMA providing strong support along the way. The breakout above the resistance zone is a strong signal that the bullish momentum is gaining strength. However, the price is now approaching a key resistance level around $4,049, which could act as a significant hurdle. If this level holds, we might see some consolidation or a potential pullback before the next move up. Keep an eye on how the price interacts with the resistance — a break above could signal further upside, while failure to break could lead to a retest of lower support levels. It’s a crucial moment for Gold, and any confirmation above this zone could trigger a strong continuation of the uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by unichartz
Gold’s Swings Offer Bears a Profitable EdgeGold has currently reached a high of around 4050, but after reaching this area, the upward trend has been suppressed, and the upward momentum has weakened. Gold needs to retreat in the short term. Gold is currently under pressure in the 4050-4060 area. If gold shows obvious signs of stagflation in this area, then gold may usher in a good pullback at any time. However, because gold is currently in a strong upward trend, its structure and form are in an obvious bullish trend. Therefore, even if the gold market pulls back, the pullback is not expected to be too large in the short term. We should first focus on the support area below, 4000-3990. Therefore, in volatile markets, even if gold is in a strong bullish trend, gold shorts still have good profit opportunities due to volatility. So in the short term, we can consider trying to short gold in the 4050-4060 area, first aiming at the target area: 4010-4000 area. If you're short gold like me, we must be among the first to reap the benefits of a market correction. If you'd like to continue following my trading strategies and signals, be sure to follow me!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WaveRider_Steffen
4050-4030 oscillation, bullish trend remains the main trendGold is currently still in a bullish upward trend. Our core trading strategy remains unchanged, and the key points I reminded you of earlier this morning must be carefully considered. Judging from the trend, gold in the US market is basically oscillating back and forth in the range of 4050-4030. I mentioned before that gold has repeatedly tested 4030. Once it falls below, gold may test the support range of 4020-4010 below in the US market. This has been marked in the chart. I believe brothers can see it very clearly. At the same time, we should still take precautions on the upside. As time goes by, we can pay moderate attention to the short-term channel pressure around 4065. Once gold stabilizes above 4050, it will definitely touch around 4065. On the downside, we continue to monitor a break of 4030. If, while waiting for gold to fall back to the support range, it first rises and hits the channel resistance, you can retest gold shorts based on market trends. If you have any questions, you can leave me a message for help. If you think Allen's analysis is helpful to you, you can give it some encouragement by clicking the like button.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allen_Boswell
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Buy and Win [10.8.2025]Hi traders, Anfibo's here! XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan Technical Outlook: > SUPPORT KEY / BUY ZONES : 4026 - 4000 - 3942 - 3926 - 3909 - 3900 - 3890 > RESISTANCE KEY / SELL ZONES : 4086 - 4139 Trading Plan for Today: >>> SELL ZONE: ENTRY: 4082 - 4092 SL: 4102 TP: 4026 - 4000 - 3942 - 3926 >>> BUY ZONE: (1) ENTRY: 4025 - 4027 SL: 4019 TP: 4086 - 4139 - ATH (2) ENTRY: 3885 - 3900 SL: 3880 TP: 3940 - 3970 - 3995 - ... Risk Management: - Maintain a minimum Risk:Reward ratio of 1:2. - Manage position sizing carefully; avoid overtrading at psychological highs. - Monitor U.S. economic data and geopolitical news closely, as these could act as catalysts for corrective moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
4050-4030 oscillation, break to decide the direction#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD The hourly gold line in the U.S. market closed with a large positive line after a series of dojis, but it still did not break through the 4050-4030 oscillation range, proving that the bulls and bears in the current market are still fighting for dominance. As I reminded you before, once it falls below 4030, gold may test the support range of 4020-4010 in the US market. We can wait for gold to return to the support before going long, which is still a reference. Because we are still in an upward channel, the core trading idea remains unchanged. However, one thing that needs to be noted is that because the bulls and bears are fighting for the dominant low position, we also need to be vigilant on the upper side. As time goes by, once gold stabilizes above 4050, it will definitely touch the channel pressure near 4065 again. Therefore, the short-term main long and auxiliary short ideas remain unchanged. If the gold price rises first and touches the upper channel pressure while waiting for the gold to retreat, we can still consider shorting gold with a light position. See below for more real-time updates👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trading-Magician_G
Gold is strong. There is no way to guess the high point.Gold's strong upward trend continues. As prices climb, fluctuations are increasing, but the overall trend is very clear. Upside potential has opened up, and the magnitude is even greater than expected, with a very sharp upward trend. On Wednesday, gold prices held steady at the 4,000 mark. Previous predictions suggested that a break above 4,000 would open up further upside potential. The current trend is in line with expectations, and the peak is nowhere in sight. There will most likely be a small adjustment after the rise, but you just need to follow the market trend and continue to adhere to the principle of following the trend. On the 4-hour chart, the price is currently range-bound and correcting at a high level, but the K-line remains relatively strong above the short-term moving average. This kind of trend has appeared many times recently, and the strength of the sideways fluctuation and pullback after the rise is not strong. It is highly likely that gold will continue to rise in the 4-hour trend. The only caveat is that the Federal Reserve meeting minutes may bring some uncertainty to the market. Trading strategy: Buy near 4035, stop loss at 4025, profit range: 4060-4080.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Market_Trader1
1
XAUUSD on swing upside (currently holding Rangebound)XAUUSD is still maintaining the bullish streak Trapping the traders on intraday basis. I will buy gold on every dip till my Traget 4080 What will I do Today? I'm watching XAUUSD although I took small buy trade at 4028 when market makes liquidity sweeps -My target will be $4065 & 4080 In extension !! Additional Tip: 4030-4025 us support area if H4 remains above then you can buy to our targets If H4 closed below 4025 then market will test 3980.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
Will you follow the most precise layout on the entire network?#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD As gold continued to rise during the day, it once touched around 4040, and the price of gold once again entered a new upward channel. There are two parts of support below. The first is the small support near 4015, and the second is near 3990, which is the top and bottom conversion point of yesterday. Buying on dips back to support is the primary strategy, but caution should also be exercised against a potential pullback. Because first of all, according to the information revealed by U.S. Senator John Thune, the Senate will vote again on two short-term appropriations bills on the 8th and discuss the progress of the government shutdown. Once the agreement is effectively reached and the US government is able to reopen, the previous risk aversion sentiment will be effectively alleviated and gold may fall back. Secondly, as a major gold holder, China’s holiday is about to end. Once the Chinese market returns, it will definitely have a significant impact on gold. Therefore, you should be more cautious in your operations from today to tomorrow. The upper channel pressure is at 4050-4060. If it touches the channel pressure, you can try to short gold with a light position. See below for more real-time updates👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading-Magician_G