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Xauusdanalysis

GOLD: Bullish! Continue To Buy! The +FVG Is Holding!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Nov. 3 - 7th. Gold has completed the pullback into the Weekly +FVG. It has moved sideways since, but inching higher. Buys are valid. They have the highest probability. Sells become valid only after a bearish break of market structure! Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by RT_Money
XAUUSD Acceptance Rule at 4 000 - Map for 3-7 Nov 2025Context, in plain language Gold finished Friday near 3 998.4 on my feed and sits right on the round 4 000 pivot. October was a runaway month with fresh records. In the final week of this rally phase the market will test whether price can live above four thousand or if it needs another breath. The plan below keeps things simple. I work from one decision line, a short event ladder, and a fixed risk template. Education only. Why four thousand matters Round numbers concentrate liquidity. They create noise on the first touch then clarity on the second. At four thousand you will see stop runs in both directions and you will see fast fades. The edge comes from trading acceptance rather than touch. Acceptance for me means two closes on the execution timeframe above or below the line. I use four hour for structure and fifteen minute for triggers. If you prefer one hour or five minute, keep the logic exactly the same and do not chase the first spike. What can move price this week It is a data led week. Monday brings ISM Manufacturing. Tuesday brings JOLTS. Wednesday brings ADP in the early morning and ISM Services late morning. Friday is the Employment Situation. The Federal Reserve cut the policy rate last week and said future steps depend on incoming data, so these releases are live for gold. I treat Monday as tone setting, Wednesday as positioning, and Friday as the weekly verdict. Times are Eastern. If you trade from Europe, align your session planning the night before. Levels to work with if Friday’s close is your anchor Immediate map • 4 000 is the decision line. • 4 050 to 4 060 is the first upside gate from the early October stall area. • 4 100 opens if services data or jobs come in soft and real yields ease. • 3 950 to 3 920 is first support on pullbacks where late sellers often get trapped. • 3 880 to 3 800 is the larger retest zone from the September breakout. I draw one bold line at 4 000. I shade two narrow boxes at 4 050 to 4 060 and 3 950 to 3 920. I leave the wider retest box lighter at 3 880 to 3 800. No extra overlays. No spaghetti. The clarity helps when the tape speeds up. How I will trade it Before New York I check two things. The dollar index trend. The ten year real yield tone. If both rise together I will be patient with longs and I will only buy strength that proves acceptance over four thousand with time. If both slip together I will allow a second test long that holds above four thousand and I will target the first gate at 4 050 to 4 060. If the event hits and the first move rips through four thousand I do nothing. I wait for the pause. The second test is the trade. Triggers Long idea • Event passes and the second test holds above 4 000 with two closes on fifteen minute. • Dollar fails to make a higher high on the hour. • Target 4 050 to 4 060 first, then trail toward 4 100 only if the day opens up. • Invalidation below 3 980 on a five minute close or a clear failure back inside the pre release range. Short idea • Clean rejection of 4 000 after the event. • Dollar and real yields bid together. • Target 3 950 to 3 920 first. Leave room for 3 880 only if the day does not bounce. • Invalidation above 4 020 on a five minute close. Risk template I size so that a normal day’s pullback does not force me out. A simple rule is to keep per trade risk inside one third of the five day ATR. I place stops beyond the opposite edge of the zone I am trading. I never move a stop closer because the candle looks scary. I take partials into the first gate only when the day’s range is already near the expected move for that session. If spreads widen during the release I stand aside for five minutes. This alone will save you from many avoidable losses. Common traps to avoid Do not trade the first touch at four thousand. The tape loves to run stops there. Do not fade a break that holds for thirty minutes above the decision line. The whole edge is acceptance. Do not add size in front of Friday’s Employment Situation. This report resets everything. Finally do not forget that gold can gap through levels on macro surprises. The way to survive that is small size, predefined exits, and a plan to do nothing if liquidity is thin. Event ladder for the week Monday. ISM Manufacturing sets the opening tone. Tuesday. JOLTS shapes labor cooling views. Wednesday. ADP and ISM Services drive pre positioning into Friday. Friday. Employment Situation at the open. I go reactive only after the first five minutes settle. How to set up your chart Timeframe four hour for structure. Timeframe fifteen minute for triggers. Draw a single line at 4 000. Shade the two narrow zones at 4 050 to 4 060 and 3 950 to 3 920. Add a lighter box at 3 880 to 3 800. Nothing else. If you must watch the dollar, keep it on a separate chart. The goal is to make the decision obvious when the release hits. Three rule bullets that define the model • Trade acceptance, not touch, at 4 000. Wait for two closes to confirm. • Use the event ladder to scale risk. Light early. Normal only after the day’s release. • Place invalidation beyond the opposite band of the zone you are trading. Education and analytics only. No investment advice.
FX:XAUUSD
by exlux
XAUUSD 4H Technical & Fundamental Weekly ForecastGold remains consolidative after strong rejection at the 4H Resistance Area near 4,100, with a visible break of structure to the downside confirming a shift in short-term momentum. The price is currently stabilizing near the 4H Support Zone at 3,965–3,980, as the market awaits high-impact U.S. data later in the week. Key Levels Support: 3965 — 3980 Resistance: 4010 — 4035 liquidity zone: 4000 Reasoning: Technically, the 4H structure shows a clear lower-high formation after the resistance rejection, signaling that sellers are regaining control. The support zone between 3,965–3,980 will act as a key decision area — a break below could extend the bearish leg, while a bounce might trigger a short-term recovery. Fundamentally, this week’s focus is on U.S. economic data, including the ISM Manufacturing & Services PMI, ADP Employment, and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) reports. Stronger-than-expected numbers could strengthen the U.S. dollar and pressure gold prices, while weaker data might support a short-term rebound. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always confirm your own entries and apply proper risk management before trading.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SwingTrade_Concept
XAUUSD Weekly Analysis (03 – 07 Nov 2025)This chart is a technical market outlook for XAUUSD (Gold/USD) — specifically for the first week of November — prepared by B RED FX. Let’s break it down step by step 👇 🧭 Overall View The market currently has a short-term bearish bias (downtrend). However, a temporary upside pullback (short-term upward correction) is expected during the week. 📈 Key Level – 4025 This level acts as a critical pivot point for the week — meaning price behavior around 4025 decides whether the trend continues down or reverses upward. If price breaks and sustains above 4025: Bullish scenario activates. Upside targets: 4096 4158 4160 These areas are marked as Supply Zones (where selling pressure might return). If price fails to hold above 4025 and breaks below 3961: Bearish continuation expected. Downside targets: 3880 3850 3840 These are previous weekly lows / Demand Zone — potential buying interest area. 🧩 Zones Highlighted Supply Zone 1: 4115 – 4096 → Possible short-term resistance / selling area. Supply Zone 2: 4220 – 4185 → Stronger resistance zone for higher upside target. Demand Zone: 3854 – 3819 → Potential rebound area if price drops further. 🔍 Text Annotations on Chart “SHORT TERM PULLBACK EXPECTED FROM HERE” — Indicates a possible small bounce upward before further direction is decided. 🔥 and 🌊 icons — Represent bullish and bearish reaction zones (buy/sell points). “BUY” and “SELL” icons — Visual clues for potential trade directions based on breakout or rejection zones. 🧠 Summary Scenario Key Trigger Target Levels Bias Bullish Break above 4025 4096 → 4158 → 4160 Short-term bullish Bearish Break below 3961 3880 → 3850 → 3840 Continuation bearish 💬 Conclusion The chart suggests: Market is bearish overall but could see a short-term pullback. 4025 is the make-or-break level for this week’s direction. Traders should watch for a confirmed breakout or rejection near this zone before taking positions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Bilalxau
Gold (XAUUSD) TRADING SETUP FOR NEXT WEEKGold (XAUUSD) is consolidating near $4,000 after a record rally, with key U.S. data and Fed commentary expected to drive the next breakout or breakdown in the coming week. --- 🟡 TradingView Idea: Gold Spot – Calm Before the Catalyst? Timeframe: 4H Current Price: $4,003.15 Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish Pattern: Ascending Channel Indicators Used: Price Action, Volume, Trendlines --- 📌 Market Context Gold has cooled off after touching all-time highs, now hovering near the upper boundary of a rising channel. The recent candles show indecision, with lower volume and tight price action—classic signs of consolidation. Traders are waiting for macro triggers before committing to the next move. --- 🔍 Technical Highlights - Channel Resistance: Price is testing the upper trendline (~$4,015–$4,020). A breakout could target $4,100+. - Volume Tapering: Declining volume suggests reduced conviction, often preceding a sharp move. - Candlestick Structure: Wicks on both sides indicate tug-of-war between bulls and bears. --- 🗓️ Upcoming Events (Nov 4–9, 2025) These could be the catalysts that break gold out of its range: - Nov 5 – U.S. CPI Data: A key inflation report that could influence Fed rate expectations. - Nov 6 – Fed Officials’ Speeches: Traders will watch for clues on rate cuts or policy shifts. - Geopolitical Watch: Easing U.S.–China tensions and Middle East developments may reduce safe-haven demand. - U.S. Funding Bill Talks: Any gridlock or uncertainty could reignite gold buying. --- 🎯 Trade Setup - Bullish Scenario: Buy breakout above $4,020 with confirmation (volume + candle close). Target: $4,100–$4,150 Stop Loss: $3,980 - Bearish Scenario: Short rejection near $4,020. Target: $3,950–$3,920 Stop Loss: $4,030 --- 💬 Drop your thoughts below—are you positioning for the breakout or fading the resistance?
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Sudhir-Sirohi
Gold vs USD – Bearish Breakout Playbook for Smart Day Traders🏆 GOLD SCALPERS UNITE! XAU/USD Bearish Heist Plan 💰⚡ 📊 ASSET OVERVIEW XAU/USD | Gold vs. U.S. Dollar | Metals Market Trade Type: Day Trade Setup 🎯 Bias: Bearish 🐻📉 🎭 THE HEIST PLAN Alright, gold diggers and chart bandits! 👀💎 Time to put on our bearish masks because this precious metal is looking HEAVY! We're eyeing a potential drop from the clouds back down to reality. Let's break down this professional robbery... I mean, trading strategy 😏 🔥 TRADE SETUP BREAKDOWN 🎯 ENTRY ZONE Entry Price: Market execution available after Moving Average breakout @ $2,740.00 (Wait for confirmation before entering the vault!) 🛑 STOP LOSS SL Level: $2,860.00 Place your stop loss ONLY after the breakout confirmation at the mentioned price level ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This is an aggressive stop placement. Manage your position size accordingly! Not financial advice—trade at your own risk, legends! 🎁 TAKE PROFIT TARGET TP Level: $2,660.00 LSMA acting as strong resistance zone 💪 Overbought conditions detected on multiple timeframes ⚡ Bull trap potential in play—don't get caught! 🪤 📌 NOTE: These are reference levels based on technical analysis. You're the captain of your own ship! 🚢 Adjust targets and stops according to YOUR risk tolerance and trading plan. 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS HIGHLIGHTS ✅ Moving Average breakout confirmation required ✅ LSMA resistance convergence zone ahead ✅ Overbought momentum signals flashing ✅ Classic bull trap formation developing ✅ Risk-to-reward ratio favors bears on this setup 💱 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH Keep your eyes on these bad boys for confluence: TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): Inverse correlation—if DXY pumps, gold typically dumps 📉 OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Precious metals cousin—usually moves in sync with gold FX:EURUSD : Risk-on/risk-off sentiment indicator—watch for dollar strength 💵 COMEX:GC1! Futures: Direct gold futures contract for institutional flow confirmation 📊 Key Correlation Point: Strong dollar = Weak gold. Watch DXY breakouts and EUR/USD weakness for additional bearish confirmation on XAU/USD! 🎯 ⚡ RISK MANAGEMENT REMINDER Listen up, trading thieves! 🎩 This setup has a wider stop loss, which means: Position sizing is CRITICAL 🔐 Never risk more than 1-2% of your account per trade The market doesn't care about your feelings—protect that capital! 💪 Partial profit-taking is your friend on the way down 📊 📢 FINAL WORDS Gold bugs, this bearish setup is cooking! 🔥 But remember—the market is the ultimate boss, and it doesn't follow our scripts. Stay nimble, stay disciplined, and most importantly, stay profitable! 💎🙌 Watch those key levels, manage your risk like a pro, and let's see if this precious metal comes back down to earth! 🌍📉 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #XAUUSD #Gold #GoldTrading #ForexSignals #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #BearishSetup #MetalsTrading #TradingView #ForexStrategy #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #SwingTrading #RiskManagement #ForexCommunity #ChartAnalysis #TradingIdeas #MarketAnalysis #GoldForecast #USDOLLAR ⚡ Trade safe, trade smart, and may the pips be ever in your favor! ⚡
SAXO:XAUUSDShort
by The-Thief
Gold Next Target $50003 Nov 2025, Kuala Lumpur Malaysia - Why I Think Gold can Reach $5000/oz Executive Summary Macro tailwinds: The Federal Reserve has shifted dovish by cutting rates and pausing balance-sheet reduction, which lowers the opportunity cost of holding gold. Institutional & central bank demand: Central banks remain meaningful net buyers ETFs and institutional flows are turning positive again. Structural supply constraints: Mining grades are declining, capex rises, and new supply is sluggish making supply less responsive to price. Market sentiment & risk climate: Despite the rally to ~US $4,000/oz, gold retains safe-haven appeal amid fiscal deficits, inflation uncertainty and geopolitical risks. Current Market Landscape Spot gold is trading near US $4,000/oz, after a strong 2025 advance. The market is in a “buy-the-dip” mode. Media and analyst sentiment is “cautiously bullish” safe haven narrative remains intact even with mixed economic data. Institutional positioning: Managed-money funds still carry net longs in the futures market; ETF flows recently slowed but positive structural trend remains. Key Fundamental Drivers Monetary policy & real yields The Fed cut policy rate (e.g., Oct 29) and paused QT reducing the real cost of holding non-yielding gold. Real yields (10-yr TIPS) remain around ~1.5–2%: such levels create a friendly backdrop for gold. Fiscal deficits & debt dynamics US federal deficit remains large (e.g., FY2025 > US$1.8T) and yields/duration risks are elevated. Investors increasingly view gold as a hedge. Demand from central banks & institutions Q3 2025: Central banks added ~220 tonnes of gold still well above long term averages. ETFs and institutional flows are showing renewed interest an important supporting driver for price continuation. Supply side constraints Global gold mine production is increasing slowly but new supply is constrained by declining ore grades, higher capex, and permitting issues so gold supply is relatively inelastic. Sentiment & Positioning Managed-money net longs remain elevated, signaling structural bullishness but also warns of potential shakeouts during corrections. ETF flows after strong inflows earlier in the year, some recent outflows could signal short-term consolidation rather than trend reversal. Risk sentiment elevated geopolitical risk, inflation concerns, and economic uncertainty keep the safe haven bid for gold alive. Supply–Demand Picture (2025) Demand side: Central bank purchases + institutional/ETF inflows are major drivers. Supply side: Mining output growth is limited; new, large scale expansions are rare and take many years. Less responsive supply = higher upside potential when demand ramps. Path to US $5,000/Oz Base case (bullish grind): Real yields stable or falling (≤ ~1.5–1.8%) Central banks continue buying, institutional flows turn net positive Supply remains tight → A move to US $4,500-4,800/oz over next 3–6 months; $5,000 becomes realistic if momentum picks up. Bull extension case (fast breakout): Real yields drop sharply, Fed signals further cuts Strong inflows into ETFs and increased physical demand Geopolitical shock or inflation surprise → Potential overshoot to US $5,200-5,500/oz. Risk (bear detour): Real yields rise considerably (>2%) Strong USD rally, large ETF outflows → Possible pullback to US $3,550-3,900/oz – still a structural buy zone if fundamental drivers remain intact. What Are Institutions & Banks Doing? Central banks: Still net buyers Q3 2025 saw ~+220t of purchases, indicating that official sector continues accumulating gold. Institutions (ETFs, funds): After earlier strong inflows, there have been short-term outflows—a typical healthy consolidation in a larger uptrend. Miners & producers: Higher gold prices improving margin, but many companies warn that future supply growth will be slow—supporting the tight supply narrative. Technical & Action Plan Key support zones: ~US $3,900-3,950 (last major pullback); if breached, next structural support is ~US $3,550-3,600. Momentum trigger: A clear rebound and hold above ~US $4,250-4,300 would open space toward ~US $4,500-4,800. Breakout validation: To aim for US $5,000, gold needs to clear its recent highs, hold above, and see confirmation via inflows & yield dynamics. Suggested post headline: “XAUUSD Structural Path to $5,000: Central-Bank Buying, Low Real Yields, Tight Supply. Pullbacks = Opportunity.” Suggested call to action: “Watch for support around 3,900–3,950; a clean rebound and hold above 4,300 could trigger the next leg. Managing risk with stop-loss below 3,550 in case of real-yield shock.” Key Risks to Mention -A surprise hawkish turn by the Fed (inflation too strong) → Real yields spike, USD rallies. -Prolonged ETF outflows or liquidity crunch hitting gold. -Rapid supply response (unlikely short-term but possible long term). -Geopolitical de-escalation reducing safe-haven demand unexpectedly. Zezu Zaza 2048
TICKMILL:XAUUSDLong
by Zezu_Zaza
$XAU will hit $5,555 Incredible Price In 2026Gold Price Showing Bullish Accending Triangle Pattern in chart, this pattern move Upward Direction and price up ATH area. than price Consolidate this area than price Move Up $4,545, $4,747, $4,949 area and $5,252 area in 2026, Surprised Price Will Be $5,555 best of the year of Gold. TVC:XAU Buy Position Setup Three Buy Zone of Golden Fibonacci levels, areas is $3,933, $3,980, $4,029, it's a Key Support area. Stoploss area $3,815 and it's Strong Support areas. Dynamic Resistance area Is new ATH area $4,398, and Three Target area, $4,103, $4,233, $4,375, of 11.11% Roi. if price up Retested than Breakout Key Support area. #gold #smartmoneyconcept #highlight #XAU #SUBROOFFICIAL Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Digital asset prices are subject to high market risk and price volatility. The value of your investment may go down or up, and you may not get back the amount invested. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and Binance is not available for any losses you may incur. Past performance is not a reliable predictor of future performance. You should only invest in products you are familiar with and where you understand the risks. You should carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives and risk tolerance and consult an independent financial adviser prior to making any investment.
Long
by SUBROOFFICIAL
XAU/USD Market Structure Reveals Potential Upside Move!🥇 XAU/USD: "Gold Heist Wealth Map" - Swing/Day Trade Blueprint 🚨 🎉 Ladies & Gentlemen, Thief OGs! Welcome to the Gold Heist Wealth Map for XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) — a cheeky, calculated swing/day trade plan to snatch profits from the metals market! 😎 This setup is designed with a thief-style layered entry strategy, bullish vibes, and a pro-level escape plan to dodge the "police barricades" (resistance zones). Let’s dive into this shiny opportunity with a fun yet professional edge! 💰 📈 Trade Setup: The Gold Heist Plan Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) Outlook: Bullish 📈 Strategy: Thief-Style Layered Limit Orders — multiple buy limit entries to maximize your loot! 🕵️‍♂️ Entry Levels: 🔔 Buy Limit @ 3850 🔔 Buy Limit @ 3880 🔔 Buy Limit @ 3900 🔔 Buy Limit @ 3930 Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite! Stack those entries like a master thief. 😜 Stop Loss (SL): Set at 3800 (the "Thief’s Exit Door"). 🚪 Note: This SL is my suggestion, but you’re the boss of your heist! Adjust based on your risk tolerance. 💸 Take Profit (TP): Aim for 4100 — a juicy target where a police barricade (strong resistance + overbought zone) might set a trap. Escape with profits before the market cuffs you! 👮‍♂️ Note: TP is my call, but take your loot when you feel the heat! Your trade, your rules. 😎 🛠️ Strategy Breakdown: Why This Setup? Thief-Style Layering: Using multiple buy limit orders spreads your entry risk across price levels, letting you sneak into the market like a pro. 🕵️‍♀️ Bullish Momentum: Gold’s been shining bright with macroeconomic tailwinds (USD weakness, inflation hedges). 📡 Resistance Watch: The 4100 zone is a psychological and technical barricade. Overbought signals + potential traps mean it’s time to cash out smartly. 🏦 Risk Management: The 3800 SL keeps your downside locked, but always tailor it to your account size and risk profile. ⚖️ 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD) Keep an eye on these correlated assets to boost your market awareness: OANDA:XAUUSD (Silver vs. U.S. Dollar): Silver often moves in tandem with gold. Watch for similar bullish setups or divergences. USD Index ( TVC:DXY ): A weaker USD typically fuels gold rallies. Monitor DXY for inverse correlation signals. 📉 OANDA:AUDUSD : Gold prices often align with the Aussie dollar due to Australia’s gold exports. A rising AUD/USD could support our bullish XAU/USD bias. 🇦🇺 Key Correlation Insight: Gold thrives in low-rate environments or when USD weakens. Check economic calendars for Fed rate decisions or inflation data (CPI, PPI) to time your entries. 📅 ⚠️ Disclaimer This Thief-Style Trading Strategy is for fun and educational purposes only! Trading involves risks, and you’re responsible for your own decisions. Always do your own research (DYOR) and manage risk wisely. No financial advice here — just a playful map to navigate the markets! 😄 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #XAUUSD #Gold #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #Bullish #Forex #MetalsMarket
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
1
Is the XAU/USD Breakout the Next Major Trade Opportunity?💰 GOLD vs USD — “Thief Trader’s Golden Breakout Playbook” ⚡️ Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar) Market: Metals Type: Day Trade Setup Bias: 🟢 Bullish plan – pending order after breakout 🧭 TRADE BLUEPRINT Entry Zone: Wait for a clean breakout above 4160.00 before entering. (Breakout confirmation > impulsive candle > retest optional) Stop Loss: “Thief SL” parked at 4040.00 — move only after breakout validation. 💡 SL isn’t mandatory — your money, your call! Target: Ride the move up to 4380.00, where strong resistance meets overbought traps. 🧨 Escape with profits before the crowd gets greedy! 💬 NOTE TO ALL “THIEF OG’s” Dear Ladies & Gentlemen, I’m not asking you to use only my SL or TP — they’re examples. You’re the master of your risk. Make money. Take money. Stay legendary. 💸 🧩 CORRELATION CHECKLIST Keep your eyes on these key pairs to confirm gold’s direction: TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): If the dollar drops, gold usually pops. OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Often follows gold’s mood — good double-check. FX:USDJPY & OANDA:USDCHF : Safe-haven cousins. If they fall, gold shines brighter. OANDA:XAUJPY : A stealth correlation — helps catch sentiment early. 🧠 Gold doesn’t move alone — it dances to USD rhythm and global risk tone. ⚙️ THIEF INSIGHT: Gold’s sitting near a major pivot resistance (4160) — a breakout signals momentum ignition. Risk/Reward is balanced: 4040 SL vs 4380 TP (~1:1.8). Institutional footprints suggest buy interest post-breakout zone. Stay sharp — watch volume spikes & candle closes above breakout line. 🏁 FINAL WORDS Trading isn’t robbery — it’s legalized patience. The real theft is done with discipline, not greed. Grab your profits like a pro, not a desperado. 🕶️💼 ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy — just for fun & education. Not financial advice. Always DYOR & trade responsibly. 🧠💰 #XAUUSD #Gold #DayTrading #Breakout #ThiefTrader #Forex #MetalsMarket #GoldAnalysis #USD #DXY #TradingView #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis #FunTrading #MarketPlaybook
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
3
GOLD: HAWKISH FED Pushing the Market? $4,085 is the Test!Hey community, Gold is sitting at a critical junction. The alignment of the Fed’s pressure and a key Supply Zone is creating a high-conviction trade setup. Let's break it down. I. FUNDAMENTALS: The Macro Headwinds 📰 Key Driver (The Bears' Argument): The Fed’s latest "hawkish" signals, with regional Presidents opposing further rate cuts, have significantly cooled market easing expectations. This solidifies the strong USD, creating heavy short-term pressure on non-yielding Gold. Performance & Record High: Despite the immediate pressure, Gold surged 53% this year, hitting an all-time high of $4,381.21/oz on October 20th, showcasing underlying bullish demand. Long-Term View: Morgan Stanley still supports Gold’s long-term climb (targeting $4,300/oz average by H1 2026), driven by expected rate cuts and economic instability. Geopolitics: Trade news (e.g., discussions on US-China tariffs) adds noise, but the Fed's interest rate stance remains the dominant factor. II. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: The Supply & Demand Zones 🎯 The prevailing structure on the H4 chart confirms a strong DOWNTREND (Bearish Bias). The recent rally is a correction, necessary to retest key supply before the next decline. 1. The Primary SELL Setup (Following the Trend) Optimal Supply Zone: $4,059 - $4,085. This is the key reversal zone where smart money is likely waiting to fill sell orders (discount zone for shorts). Strategy: Wait for price to reach the $4,059 - $4,085 zone. Look for a strong rejection or pattern shift on lower timeframes to confirm the SHORT entry. Ultimate Target (TP): The strong Demand Zone at $3,939 - $3,952. 2. The Counter-Trend BUY Zone (Bounce Potential) Strong Demand Area: $3,939 - $3,952. This is a major structural level where Gold is likely to find strong support. Strategy: If Gold sells off into this area, watch for buying pressure to catch a potential bounce. 🔑 FINAL TRADE CONCLUSION Best Strategy: Wait and SHORT at the $4,059 - $4,085 Supply Zone. This is where fundamental pressure (Fed) and technical resistance perfectly align. What's your take? Will the strength of the USD hold Gold down from here? Drop a comment! 👇 #XAUUSD #GOLD #FED #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #SupplyAndDemand #Bearish #TradingStrategy #PriceAction #MarketAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
XAU/USD Bullish Outlook - Strategic Entry & Exit Plan🟡💰 XAU/USD — “Gold Rush or Police Trap?” ⚡ Thief Strategy Playbook 🎯 Asset: XAU/USD “Gold vs U.S. Dollar” Market Type: Crypto / Metals Cross (Swing / Day Trade) Bias: Bullish 🟢 🔓 Thief’s Entry Game Plan (Layer Method) This isn’t your typical sniper-entry… this is the Thief Strategy™ — a layering style method using multiple limit orders for flexible accumulation. 💎 Layer Entries: 4000.00 ✅ 4025.00 ✅ 4050.00 ✅ (You can increase or adjust the layers based on your risk appetite & setup.) 🛡️ Stop Loss (Thief’s SL): @3950.00 “Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — I’m not recommending my SL; it’s just my escape route. Trade smart, take your profits, and move at your own risk.” 🎯 Target Zone — “Police Barricade Ahead 🚨” The 4200.00 zone acts as a strong resistance + potential trap area — heavy liquidity and overbought conditions live there. Be wise, secure the bag 💼, and slip out before the market cops show up. 📊 Key Technical Notes Momentum shows gold buyers reclaiming upper zones after liquidity grabs. Higher-timeframe structure: Still bullish unless 3950.00 breaks cleanly. RSI divergence & volume spike hint at layered re-accumulation potential. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch & Correlations 💵 TVC:DXY — Inverse correlation; stronger dollar → gold pullback risk. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD — Occasionally follows gold sentiment under risk-off conditions. 💹 TVC:SILVER (XAGUSD) — Often moves in tandem; can confirm metal-sector strength. 💱 FX:USDJPY — Watch for safe-haven flows; yen strength = gold demand uptick. ⚙️ Market Sentiment (London Session Focus) 📈 Bullish tone continuing through European hours. 🔍 Institutions layering bids near 4000–4050 liquidity pocket. ⏱ Short-term pullbacks expected before breakout continuation. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” 📜 Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy — just for fun & educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade responsibly — steal profits, not peace. 🕶️ #XAUUSD #Gold #ThiefTrader #SwingTrade #LayerEntry #Forex #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStrategy #GoldTrading #XAU #PriceAction #SmartMoney #LondonSession #TradingViewIdeas
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
Core Data and Event Analysis for the Super WeekCore Data and Event Analysis for the Super Week The upcoming week will see a dense window of key data releases and events, featuring "PMI + ADP Employment + Central Bank Rate Decision" — each with the potential to break the current range-bound market pattern for gold:​ Nov 3: Global Manufacturing PMIs​ Market expectations point to a reading of 49.2 for the U.S. October ISM Manufacturing PMI, while China’s SPGI Manufacturing PMI is projected to remain below the 50.0 expansion-contraction threshold at around 49.0%.​ - A U.S. PMI print below 48.5 would reinforce expectations of economic slowdown, fueling bets on monetary easing and lifting gold sentiment.​ - A reading above 49.5, however, could further weigh on gold prices by signaling relative economic resilience.​ Nov 5: U.S. ADP Employment Report​ As a leading indicator for nonfarm payrolls, the ADP report is expected to show 170,000 new jobs added in October.​ - If the actual figure falls below 150,000, the probability of a Fed rate cut in December may rise above 70%, directly driving gold to test the 4,040 USD resistance level.​ - A print above 200,000 could trigger a pullback in gold to the 3,970 USD support zone.​ Nov 6: Bank of England (BoE) Rate Decision​ Market sentiment is divided ahead of the BoE meeting: most institutions anticipate rates to stay unchanged at 4.0%, but Goldman Sachs forecasts a 25-basis-point cut.​ - Should the BoE initiate an interest rate cut cycle, it would boost global expectations for monetary easing, providing indirect support to gold prices.​ Nov 7: Collective Remarks by FOMC Members​ Five core members of the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will deliver speeches. Key focus will be on their comments regarding a potential December rate cut and inflation trends.​ - Hawkish signals (e.g., emphasizing persistent inflationary pressures) may trigger a short-term correction in gold.​ - Dovish comments (e.g., noting signs of softening in the labor market) are likely to act as a catalyst for gold to break above key resistance levels.​ Next week's trading strategy and analysis buy：4000-4010 tp:4025-4035-4100 sl:3995
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Gold Trend Analysis 4-Hour Time Frame Hi Traders The analysis for this week is ideal for me according to this flash move. Since the daily candlestick closed as a doji and indecisive, we mark the high and low range of this daily candlestick and refer to the 15-minute time frame. Depending on whether the high or low breaks or breaks out, we enter the trade. Considering the liquidity of 4050 and the remaining orders, the balance of 15 minutes, one hour and 4 hours, which are important numbers 4062, 4075 and 4090, the upward movement can be considered initially to hunt liquidity and attract orders in these ranges, and then continue the price correction until we have liquidities at the bottom of the price, including 3915 and 3886 ... Good luck
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by kinshinreza
XAU USD - Corrective wave ABC?Updte to previous post. Still long, awaiting the corrective structure to occur - firstly to break and hold under $4000 (key level). Downward channel - to $3800 which is another area of interest - reason being, it holds high volume at a structure point under $3800. So, we sit tight and await the corrective pattern to emerge and complete. Daily chart image shows my thought pattern and an opportunity I am waiting for price to revert to. I'm referring to the Daily price chart and key counts are in line with Wave counting and supply and demand curve trading levels based on fair value gap intervals of weekly trading sessions plotted to a daily chart at intervals of 60. Current wave - 3 of 5 in the Elliott wave count. Experiencing ABC corrective structure. Master Key for zones Red = Three Month Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily) Orange = Daily Risk Warning Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual. Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed. Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Focus on investing for long term positional moves Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. Thanks, LVPA MMXXIV
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LupaCapital
The gold-driven logic behind the US attack on VenezuelaThe "black swan" shock in the global crude oil market: Venezuela, as an important member of OPEC, produces 1.2 million barrels of oil per day (accounting for 1.3% of global crude oil supply), and controls 18% of the world's proven oil reserves. If the US military strike causes the paralysis of its oil facilities (such as the Maracaibo Lake oil field and the Caribbean Sea ports being bombed), global crude oil supply will instantly decrease by 1.2 million barrels per day. Coupled with the fact that the situation in the Middle East has not yet eased, the Brent crude oil price may soar from the current $85 per barrel to $120-130 per barrel, reaching a new high since 2022. The signal of restarting the inflation spiral: For every $10 increase in crude oil price per barrel, it will push up the US core CPI by 0.3-0.4 percentage points. If the oil price exceeds $120, the US CPI may return to above 4% in December 2025. This will completely reverse the market's expectation of "inflation moderation", and the demand for gold as an "inflation-resistant hard asset" will experience an explosive growth - during the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict, the inflation concerns triggered by the oil price increase led to a 5.8% weekly increase in gold prices. This scenario shock is even stronger, with a weekly increase of over 7%. Next week's trading strategy and analysis buy：4000-4010 tp:4025-4035-4100 sl:3995
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Gold is Ready For Bull From SupportHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ForexMasters2000
XAUUSD Forming Ascending TringleXAUUSD has recently completed a breakout from a long-term ascending triangle, showing strong bullish momentum that pushed prices above the key resistance area near 2,400, turning it into a solid support zone. After reaching a new high near the 4,300 level, gold has started a corrective phase, which appears to be a healthy retracement within the broader bullish trend. The market structure remains positive as long as price stays above the 3,900–3,950 demand zone, where fresh buying interest is expected to emerge. This correction could be the final consolidation phase before the next bullish wave targeting the 4,500–4,700 levels in the coming weeks. From a fundamental perspective, gold remains supported by global macro uncertainty and central bank demand. Weakening U.S. dollar sentiment, persistent geopolitical tensions, and increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve may initiate rate cuts in early 2026 continue to fuel investor interest in safe-haven assets like gold. In addition, strong accumulation from emerging market central banks and inflation concerns sustain the bullish outlook for precious metals. Technically, as long as XAUUSD holds above 3,900, the bias stays strongly bullish. Traders are watching for a potential retest of broken resistance turned support before continuation higher. A clear bullish rejection from these levels would confirm renewed momentum toward new record highs, offering a favorable risk-to-reward setup for long-term buyers.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
4
Gold - The most obvious top!🪙Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) will reverse soon: 🔎Analysis summary: After we witnessed a major breakout back in 2024, Gold has been rallying about +120% ever since. However, Gold is now approaching a monster resistance trendline of the long term rising channel. It is really just a matter of time until Gold will create its official top. 📝Levels to watch: $4,500 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TVC:GOLDShort
by SwingTraderPhilTV
31
XAU/USD Short to Longs idea Yes — I still believe Gold remains bullish overall. The recent downside movement looks like a healthy correction before price continues its rally upward. I’m noticing price building liquidity, so I’ll wait for a breakout and a clean tap into one of my key POIs. Currently, price is sitting in a 30min demand zone near a 2hr supply, where I expect a possible short-term reaction. After that, I’ll be waiting for the next solid buying opportunity — ideally from the 3hr demand around 3,860, or from a new demand that may form closer to current price this week. Confluences for Buys: - Price broke major structure to the upside and is now retracing - Liquidity above (trendline + Asia highs) waiting to be taken - 3hr demand around 3,860 could fuel the next rally - Bullish candlestick momentum remains strong - Higher time frames still show clear bullish structure P.S.If price breaks below 3,850 with clear bearish structure, I’ll consider a short-term bearish phase. Until then, I’ll stay focused on long opportunities in line with the dominant trend. Have a great trading week!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
1