Bearish Grip Tightens as 3585 Comes Into ViewAs gold continuously tests and falls below the 3650-3640 area, the space below has been opened to a certain extent. According to the current gold trend structure, as the candle chart shows a long upper shadow line near 3705, there are obvious signs of profit-taking, and there is strong selling pressure from above; a downward-opening trend channel is formed in the structural form, and the center of gravity of gold is gradually shifting downward. The bears are relatively stronger, and there is no obvious bottoming signal below at present. Gold still has the potential to continue to decline!
Although gold has rebounded slightly after several attempts at the 3635-3625 area, the strength of these rebounds has fallen far short of expectations, indicating relatively weak bullish momentum. As gold gradually moves downward, short-term resistance has shifted to the 3660-3670 area. Strong resistance is around 3685, but given the current rebound strength, it is unlikely that gold will reach this resistance area in the short term.
And I think gold will easily continue to decline and test the 3620-3610 area. Once gold falls below this area, the space below will be completely opened. Gold is likely to continue its downward trend to around 3585, and may even experience a deeper correction to around 3550.
Therefore, in a bearish market, we must firmly adhere to a short-gold trading strategy. If gold rebounds weakly to the 3655-3665 area, I would likely prioritize shorting gold. The short-term retracement target will first target the 3625-3615 area.
Xauusdanalysis
Gold After Fed Decision: Buy the Rumor, Sell the News?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) seems to have caught many traders by surprise, as many thought it would continue to create new daily All-Time High(ATH) with the Federal's interest rate announcement , but Gold followed the adage " Buy the rumour, sell the news ".
Gold started moving emotionally yesterday after the US interest rate announcement and made a new ATH($3,707.555) . Given the volume of yesterday's candle , it seems that Gold is having a hard time creating a new ATH.
Gold is currently breaking the Support lines , which is a sign of weakness in the bullish trend of Gold .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed the main wave 5 and we should wait for corrective waves . Do you agree with me!?
I expect Gold to at least decline after the pullback of the Support lines to the First target($3,614) .
Second Target: $3,599
Third Target: $3,577
Stop Loss (SL) = $3,677
Note: To enter a short position, it is better to wait for an upward correction, but depending on the movement of gold and your strategy, you can open a short position.
Do you think Gold can create a new ATH anytime soon?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold Cools Off: Is This a Buying Opportunity or A Warning Sign?Hello traders!
After a volatile session, gold prices fell yesterday (September 18th). The precious metal dropped 0.4% to $3,643.40/oz, while futures contracts lost 1.1% to $3,678.30/oz. This occurred after gold just set a new record of $3,707.40/oz on September 17th. Is this a sign of a major correction, or just a short-term profit-taking dip? Let's take a closer look!
Fundamental Analysis: The Market "Digests" the Fed's Message
While the Fed did cut rates by 0.25% as expected, the message from the meeting was not entirely "dovish." Fed Chair Jerome Powell raised doubts about the pace of future policy easing. He emphasized that the rate cut was just a "risk management" move to address a weakening labor market, not a firm commitment to aggressive easing.
USD Recovery: The Fed's cautious stance helped the USD index gain 0.5%, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.
Long-Term Drivers: Despite the short-term dip, experts remain optimistic about gold. The core growth drivers are still in place:
BRIC Central Bank Buying: Central banks, especially in China, continue to diversify their foreign reserves, reducing reliance on the USD.
Safe-Haven Demand: Ongoing geopolitical and trade tensions remain a key reason for investors to seek out gold.
Swiss Data Confirms: Data shows that gold exports from Switzerland to China jumped 254% in August 2025 compared to July, indicating that real demand is very strong.
Technical Analysis: Unpredictable Volatility
After the FOMC meeting, gold experienced wild swings, with resistance and support levels being broken quickly. The market is reacting more to macroeconomic news than to technical patterns.
Resistance: $3671, $3686, $3694
Support: $3647, $3632, $3612, $3598
Outlook: Today, we should still favor long positions if gold stays above the $365x level. However, if gold closes a candle below $364x during the US session, be cautious and consider a shift to sell positions.
Suggested Trading Strategy (Use Strict Risk Management):
SELL ZONE
Zone: $3686 - $3688
SL: $3696
TP: $3678 - $3668 - $3658 - $3648 - $3638
BUY ZONE
Zone: $3616 - $3614
SL: $3606
TP: $3624 - $3634 - $3644 - $3654 - $3664
The market is highly sensitive to news. Always be cautious and avoid over-trading. Do you think this is a buying opportunity or a time to step back? Share your thoughts in the comments below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #USD #BRIC
XAU/USD 19 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 18 September 2025.
As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs.
Price previously, and has now for the second time, printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation, however, due to the insignificant nature of the pullback, particularly relative to previous price action, I will apply discretion and not classify previous iBOS, I also have marked this in red.
Price has continued with it's bullish trajectory, subsequently printing a bearish CHoCH. We are now trading within an established range, however, I shall continue to monitor price action with respect to depth of pullback relative to recent price action.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,703,240.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 18 September 2025.
Price has continued with its bullish trajectory, printing all-time-highs.
Previous price action printed a bearish CHoCH, subsequently printing higher, however, due to the insignificant depth of the pullback, relative to recent price action, I shall again apply discretion and not classify this an an internal high. This marked this in red.
Price has since continued bullish, printing a bearish CHoCH. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has reacted from an M15 demand zone, within discount of 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal high priced at 3,703. 240
Alternative scenario: All HTF's require a corrective move, price has since failed to target and close above weak internal high therefore, and in order to confirm HTF bearish pullback phase, price could target strong internal low, priced at 3,612.240.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD – Fibo Zones Poised for the Next Big Wave!📊 Quick Market Snapshot
Gold recently spiked to 3,707.40 USD/oz, briefly touching record highs before pulling back.
The USD’s 0.5% rebound made gold temporarily more expensive for non-dollar holders.
Despite short-term corrections, gold remains up 39% year-to-date, supported by strong safe-haven demand and ongoing market uncertainty.
🔢 Key Technical Zones (H1)
🔴 SELL ZONES
3,683.977 – Major resistance aligned with the descending channel.
3,669.089 – Secondary resistance where sellers may re-enter.
🟡 SUPPORT TARGET FOR SELLS
3,635.678 – Immediate support and the first downside target for shorts.
🟢 BUY ZONE
3,602.769 – Confluence of Fibonacci 1.5 & 1.618 extensions, strong potential for a bullish bounce if price dips.
📈 Suggested Trade Plan
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Trend Continuation
Look to SELL at 3,669–3,684 if price action shows rejection or reversal candles.
Take Profits: 3,635 → 3,602.
Risk Management: Move SL to entry once price moves favorably.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Catching the Dip
BUY at 3,602–3,605 only if there’s a strong reaction or reversal signal.
Take Profits: 3,635 → 3,669, leaving a partial position open if price breaks the descending channel.
⚠ Trading Notes
Expect higher volatility; reduce position sizing for safety.
Enter trades only with clear candlestick or volume confirmation at key zones.
Avoid chasing mid-channel prices—focus on well-defined liquidity areas for optimal entries.
💬 Discussion
📊 Will gold test the buy zone before a rebound, or will sellers defend resistance to continue the downtrend? Share your thoughts or charts in the comments to compare strategies!
Gold vs USD: Fibo Zones Ready for the Next Wave📊 Market Context
Gold is extending its pullback after the FOMC, retreating from above 3,700$ as the USD rebounds from multi-year lows.
The Fed’s dovish tone provides underlying support, while rising geopolitical risks could limit downside pressure.
Expect choppy price action as traders weigh USD strength against safe-haven demand for gold.
🔢 Technical Levels & Key Zones (M30)
OB SELL ZONE (Retest FOMC Bearish): 3683–3685 (SL 3690)
Ideal for short-term selling if price retests with weak bullish momentum.
Retest Support – Sell Zone: 3650–3652 (SL 3660)
Secondary area for potential bearish reaction.
Support Zone: Around 3630–3628
Watch for liquidity sweeps or rejection signals here.
FIBO 1.5 & 1.618 BUY ZONE: 3615–3613 (SL 3605)
Strong confluence for potential long entries if price flushes deeper.
📈 Trade Plan Scenarios
1️⃣ Bearish Continuation (USD Strength Holds)
Sell on retest of 3650–3652 or 3683–3685, confirming rejection candles.
Targets: 3630 → 3615 (Fibo buy zone).
2️⃣ Bullish Rebound (Fed Dovish + Geopolitical Support)
Buy dips at 3615–3613, or partial entries on signs of support at 3630–3628.
Upside Targets: 3650 → 3685, with extended potential toward ATH Zone 3,707 if sentiment flips bullish.
⚠ Risk Management & Notes
Volatility may spike on additional USD headlines or geopolitical developments—use smaller position sizes.
Wait for candlestick confirmation before entering trades at key zones.
Avoid chasing price near mid-range; focus on well-defined liquidity levels.
💬 Discussion
📈 Will USD strength continue pressuring gold, or will Fed’s dovish stance and geopolitical tension fuel a rebound? Share your view or your chart below!
XAUUSD – Primary Trend: SELL TodayTechnical Analysis
Gold yesterday reacted repeatedly around the 363x zone (three times) but was unable to break decisively lower. This indicates that the support in this area remains significant. However, selling pressure has been persistent and fairly strong.
This morning, the upward move almost absorbed the liquidity of the previous H1 bearish candle, and price is now undergoing a short-term correction. Notably, the POC from the Volume Profile of the accumulation zone has not yet been fully retested, suggesting a strong possibility of price revisiting that area before resuming the broader trend.
Taking all technical factors into account, today’s bias remains on the SELL side, particularly when price retests key supply zones.
Trading Scenarios
SELL (preferred):
Entry: 3667–3670
Stop Loss: 3675
Take Profit 1: 3655
Take Profit 2: 3640
Take Profit 3: 3626
Take Profit 4: 3610
BUY (short-term countertrend):
Entry: 3613–3615
Stop Loss: 3608
Take Profit 1: 3625
Take Profit 2: 3633
Take Profit 3: 3645
Take Profit 4: 3660
Key Levels to Watch
3670: Major resistance, confluence with POC – SELL bias remains dominant.
363x: Strong support repeatedly tested; a clean break would confirm stronger downside pressure.
3610–3615: Potential demand zone, may trigger a short-term rebound.
If the support is not broken, you can go long on gold#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
After breaking through the support level of 3635, gold quickly rebounded near 3627, but silver, which is also a precious metal, did not change much. It is obvious that the main funds are controlling the market behind the scenes. If the US market retests the support of 3635-3625 and does not break, you can consider going long on gold, with the short-term target at 3655-3670
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 19, 2025
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining, suggesting that the downtrend may continue until momentum enters the oversold zone. This process could take at least 2 daily candles, including the current one.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning upward, but repeated reversals at the oversold zone, along with overlapping price action, indicate that the market is in a complex corrective phase.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum has already turned upward, with 3 H1 bullish candles formed. It is expected that within 1–2 more candles, momentum will likely reach the overbought zone.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: The 5-wave black structure has been completed. The current correction is expected to last longer compared to the previous WXY triangle correction.
• H4 timeframe: Wave counting is complicated due to overlapping price movements. With momentum now recovering, wave B is likely unfolding, which will then be followed by the completion of wave C.
• H1 timeframe: A temporary channel can be drawn to observe price behavior. The market is likely in wave B (black), forming a Flat structure (ABC in blue). Wave C (blue) is projected to equal wave A (blue) at the 3667 level. This price zone also coincides with the boundary between high and low liquidity areas on the Volume Profile, making it a strong resistance zone for potential short entries.
Trading Plan
• Sell Zone: 3667 – 3670
• SL: 3680
• TP: 3644
Gold price analysis September 19Gold has recovered in the Tokyo session and is moving towards yesterday's US session resistance around 3672. The buying pressure is not strong enough to break the resistance in the European session, so be cautious with the possibility of a deep decline in today's weekend session, towards lower support zones around 3600.
The 3645 area - corresponding to the 50% level of the H4 candle - is playing an important support role. This is also the area where buying pressure is starting to accumulate and needs to be closely observed today.
📉 Trading plan:
SELL when the price is rejected around 3671
🎯 Target: 3600
📌 Note: Watch the price reaction at the 3645 area, if there is a confirmation signal from the buyers, this could be a reversal point to look for a BUY opportunity.
XAU/USD: Dip-Buyers Step In, Targeting a Fresh Push Higher📊 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,652 after slipping below the $3,660 handle. The chart shows that price is holding near the support zone at $3,640–$3,635, while sellers capped upside momentum at the resistance zone $3,678–$3,684. Current structure suggests range-bound consolidation, with potential for a bullish rebound if buyers defend the support area.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,635 – $3,640 (near support)
Stop Loss: $3,631 (below support zone)
Take Profit: $3,678 / $3,684 (resistance zone)
Risk/Reward: ~1 : 4.87
🗝️ Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $3,678 – $3,684
Support Zone: $3,635 – $3,640
Major Resistance Above: $3,700 round figure
🌐 Macro Background
Gold remains pressured after the Fed’s 25 bps rate cut, which was less dovish than markets hoped. Powell’s cautious rhetoric supported a USD rebound, weighing on bullion. Still, the Fed’s projection of two more cuts in 2025 underpins medium-term bullish momentum for gold as real yields could decline further. At the same time, geopolitical risks in the Middle East provide safe-haven support, limiting deeper downside.
📌 Trade Summary
The bias favours a long entry near $3,640, aiming for the $3,678–$3,684 resistance zone. Price action remains constructive as long as $3,635 support holds. A decisive break below could open downside risks toward $3,620.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - What's the next plan today?Hello guys! It's me, Anfibo.
My previous OANDA:XAUUSD plan with the Sell entry at 3,670 – 3,674 delivered more than 400 pips in profit, confirming that the market reacted exactly as anticipated.
At present, observing the price structure, gold has completed a 5-wave Elliott impulse and is now transitioning into an ABC corrective phase. This is a classic scenario following a strong impulsive leg, where the market needs to rebalance before determining the next trend.
At the same time, the current price zone is also showing signs of forming a Head and Shoulders pattern, adding another layer of reliable technical confluence. This suggests that downside pressure remains in play, at least until the pattern is fully developed.
Key short-term resistance levels to watch are around 3,690 – 3,700 (maybe we will get a sell signal here)
Meanwhile, immediate support levels can be found near 3,630 – 3,620 – 3,615, with a deeper support at 3,590, which will be decisive for the longer-term bullish structure.
The preferred strategy is to wait for price reactions at these resistance confluence zones to look for short-term Sell signals, in line with the ongoing ABC correction.
Here's My Trading Plan
>>> BUY SCALP
Entry: 3,620 – 3,615
SL: 3,610
TP: 3,650 – 3,670
>>> SELL Scalp
Entry: 3,670 – 3,675
SL: 3,680
TP: 3,620 – 3,590
Always set your Stop-Loss on every trade! Wishing everyone successful trading. XOXO
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - What's next?Hello guys! It's me, Anfibo.
My previous OANDA:XAUUSD plan with the Sell entry at 3,670 – 3,674 delivered more than 400 pips in profit, confirming that the market reacted exactly as anticipated.
At present, observing the price structure, gold has completed a 5-wave Elliott impulse and is now transitioning into an ABC corrective phase. This is a classic scenario following a strong impulsive leg, where the market needs to rebalance before determining the next trend.
At the same time, the current price zone is also showing signs of forming a Head and Shoulders pattern, adding another layer of reliable technical confluence. This suggests that downside pressure remains in play, at least until the pattern is fully developed.
Key short-term resistance levels to watch are around 3,690 – 3,700.
Meanwhile, immediate support levels can be found near 3,630 – 3,620 – 3,615, with a deeper support at 3,590, which will be decisive for the longer-term bullish structure.
The preferred strategy is to wait for price reactions at these resistance confluence zones to look for short-term Sell signals, in line with the ongoing ABC correction.
Here's My Trading Plan
>>> BUY SCALP
Entry: 3,620 – 3,615
SL: 3,610
TP: 3,650 – 3,670
>>> SELL Scalp
Entry: 3,670 – 3,675
SL: 3,680
TP: 3,620 – 3,590
Always set your Stop-Loss on every trade! Wishing everyone successful trading. XOXO
Gold Analysis using ATAI Volume Pressure AnalyzerIntroduction:
In this analysis, we use the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer indicator , which is based on the logic of separating buy/sell volume. The indicator retrieves volume data from a lower timeframe and reconstructs it on the host timeframe. This is achieved using the internal function, TradingView/ta/10 → tvta.requestUpAndDownVolume(lowerTF) , which extracts Up Volume, Down Volume, and Delta from the selected lower timeframe, enabling aggregation and evaluation of market pressure. One-tick data provides the highest precision but is limited in historical coverage; conversely, higher timeframes provide more historical depth but with relative accuracy.
In this daily chart, to calculate 20-period volume averages, the lowest timeframe that both preserved relative accuracy and provided sufficient historical data for 20 candles was 30 seconds , which was selected. This choice is reflected in the corresponding rows of the left and right columns of the HUD panel. It should be noted that in the gold market, the actual traded contract volume is not centrally available; therefore, the volume used in this method is based on tick volume (the count of price changes within each bar) . This serves as a proxy for activity and order flow intensity rather than absolute turnover. Accordingly, aggregates and deltas are interpreted on a relative basis and used to identify acceleration, volume spikes, and breakouts alongside price structure.
Trendlines and Market Direction
Beyond volume-based calculations, the indicator also visualizes directional bias through adaptive trendlines. The dotted orange and turquoise lines are drawn from successive pivot highs and lows over a 50-bar window, effectively capturing the slope of price movement. In the chart, these diagonals clearly reveal the transition: price has broken out of a mid-range accumulation zone and established a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, confirming a structural uptrend.
Complementing this, the blue horizontal line marks the base of the prior accumulation (support), while the red line highlights the resistance level at the top. The breakout above this framework, supported by bullish volume ratios shown in the HUD, validates that the market has shifted from neutrality into a sustained upward trend.
Labels and Market Conditions
The labels displayed on the chart — such as Accum, Breakout ↑, Sharp ↑, and Bull Trap Risk — are derived from explicit quantitative rules inside the indicator. These rules combine price levels, buy/sell volume deltas, and moving aggregates. Below, each label is explained with both its coding logic and its mathematical interpretation in plain language.
Accum (Accumulation)
Logic: |Δ| < ε ∧ Var(ΣV) → min
Meaning: The difference between buy and sell volume (Δ) is close to zero, and the variance of total volume ΣV is minimal over the chosen window. In simple terms, this marks a balanced market where buyers and sellers are matched, forming a neutral accumulation zone.
Breakout ↑
Logic: Pt > max(Pacc) ∧ Δ > 0 ∧ ΣV20 ↑
Meaning: The closing price Pt breaks above the maximum price of the accumulation zone (Pacc), while buy volume is greater than sell volume (Δ > 0), and the 20-bar aggregate volume ΣV20 is increasing. In simple terms, this confirms that buyers dominate and the market is breaking upward with sufficient volume support.
Sharp ↑
Logic: ΔP / Δt > θ
Meaning: The slope of price change (ΔP per unit time) exceeds a defined threshold θ. In simple terms, this indicates an accelerated move upward — a breakout with unusually strong momentum.
Bull Trap Risk
Logic: Pt < Pbreakout ∧ Δ ↓ ∧ ΣV20 ↓
Meaning: After an initial breakout, the price Pt falls back below the breakout level, while buy volume weakens (Δ decreases) and the 20-bar aggregate volume ΣV20 declines. In simple terms, this signals that the breakout has lost support and may have trapped buyers — hence the label Bull Trap Risk.
Trendlines and Guidance
The dotted trendlines are constructed from the slope of price and aligned with recent pivot highs (HH) and lows (LL). Mathematically, the slope is defined as:
m = (P_pivot2 − P_pivot1) / (t2 − t1)
where P_pivot are the price levels at successive pivots, and t are their bar indices. A positive slope (m > 0) indicates an upward trend, while m < 0 indicates a downward trend.
In this chart, the slope of the mid-band is clearly positive, and the label HH1 is printed at the breakout of the upper boundary. This confirms that the market has transitioned out of a ranging phase and into a structural uptrend characterized by higher highs and higher lows.
Horizontal Lines
The horizontal guidance lines (support and resistance) are calculated from the extremes over the last N = 50 bars:
S = min(P_t), R = max(P_t) for t ∈
The blue line marks support at the lowest low, and the red line marks resistance at the highest high. Together, these dynamic references highlight where order flow has historically concentrated and provide anchors for interpreting future price reactions.
Each of these labels therefore reflects a mathematical condition expressed both in code and in statistical terms. Together they describe a sequence of phases: balanced accumulation, directional breakout, acceleration, and potential failure traps. This structured approach translates raw volume and price data into actionable signals.
Conclusion: XAUUSD Market Outlook
The recent chart action combines signals from the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer with a secondary tool, the 20-period Linear Regression channel. This multi-tool perspective highlights the importance of cross-validation in market analysis.
Key Observations
- Volume Pressure Analyzer Signals: After a strong breakout and sharp upward momentum, the indicator has now triggered the label Bull Trap Risk . This label reflects weakening buy-side dominance, declining delta values, and a potential failure of the breakout to sustain order-flow support.
- Linear Regression (20-period): The regression channel illustrates a clear ascending path starting from the former accumulation zone. The latest red candle has closed outside the channel to the downside, confirming a loss of alignment with the prior uptrend.
- Structural Divergence: The combination of volume weakness (as flagged by VPRC) and structural channel break creates a divergence. Price remains elevated but lacks the necessary buy-side reinforcement, raising the probability of a correction or a full trend reversal.
Interpretation
This scenario indicates a transition risk: from a sharp bullish phase into either a corrective pullback or a potential distribution phase. The decisive factor remains the behavior of buyers and sellers in the next candles — whether buyers can reclaim the channel or sellers consolidate control.
Disclaimer
This XAUUSD analysis has been conducted using the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer indicator in conjunction with the supporting Linear Regression (20-period) tool. It does not constitute any form of financial advice regarding buying, selling, or holding positions. The analysis solely illustrates the dynamics of buyer and seller behavior in the market.
GOLD Resistance Cluster Above!
HI,Traders !
#GOLD made a bearish
Breakout of the support
Cluster of the rising and
Horizontal support levels
Which is now a resistance
Cluster round 3661$ then
Went down and made a local
Pullback on but we are bearish
Biased mid-term so we
Will be expecting a further
Bearish move down this week !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
Gold Not Bottomed Yet:Selling Rallies Remains Key After a deep V-shaped rebound to near 3673, gold fell sharply again, hitting a new low near 3627. Clearly, after the rate cut, most investors took profits, driving gold prices down. As gold's center of gravity shifts downward, the current short-term resistance area has shifted to 3660-3670.
From the current structural perspective, gold is shifting from strength to weakness, with bears gradually recovering and taking control. Following the sharp rally, there is also a need for a technical pullback. While gold has rebounded slightly, there are no clear bottoming signals. I believe gold has not yet reached a low and is likely to continue to test the 3625-3615 area. If this area is broken, it will open up further downside potential, potentially extending the downward trend to around 3580.
XAUUSD – Trading Plan for the New York SessionHello traders,
The last two trading sessions have been very successful, and I hope they have helped build your confidence in approaching the markets. Today, I will share my perspective on the next steps for gold during the New York session.
Trend Outlook
Gold has declined sharply and reacted well at the liquidity zones and support areas I highlighted earlier.
Although the market has bounced twice from these levels, which may lead some to expect a recovery, my view is that the overall structure still favours the sellers. It is unlikely we will see a significant correction during this session.
Towards the end of the US session, trading volumes may ease, but I believe the downward move will continue, albeit at a slower pace.
Trading Strategies
Sell Setup
Zone: 3642 – 3644
SL: 3648
TP: 3635 – 3627 – 3615 – 3600
Buy Setup 1
Zone: 3613 – 3615
SL: 3608
TP: 3625 – 3638 – 3645
Buy Setup 2 (longer-term)
Zone: 3595 – 3598
SL: 3590
TP: 3610 – 3625 – 3638 – 3645 – 3670
Conclusion
For the New York session, the priority remains to follow the bearish bias, seeking Sell opportunities on the lower timeframes. Buy trades should only be considered at the strong support zones mentioned above.
Stick to the plan and take positions when the setups align.
Follow along to share ideas and receive the quickest updates as the market evolves.
Gold Market Deep Dive – Fed Cut, Price Action & What’s Next📊 FX:XAUUSD Gold Market Deep Dive – ECONOMICS:USINTR Cut, Price Action & What’s Next
Close (Sep 17): Gold ended at $3,657 , after spiking to a fresh ATH at $3,707 on
👉 Classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” : price rallied from the $3,635 buy zone (Sep 15) , peaked on announcement day, then corrected lower.
🚨 Record High → Sharp Pullback
Rallied +$50 in two sessions, then sold off just as fast.
Price now retracing toward $3,635 support zone (prior demand).
JPMorgan’s Sell the News warning came true—profit-taking hit hard, as many ignored the caution signals.
🏦 Two Paths Ahead
Path A: Bounce from current level (aligned with 38.2% Fib retracement ) → recovery rally.
Path B (more likely): Support break → dip to $3,620–$3,610 before finding footing.
⚖️ Either way, the overall trend remains bullish . This was a healthy correction overdue after a parabolic climb.
🌍 The Bigger Story
YTD still up +40%, record highs intact.
Catalyst for selloff wasn’t bearish fundamentals—it was position unwinding .
Central bank demand, inflation hedging, and TVC:DXY weakness continue to underpin long-term upside.
Deutsche Bank’s 2026 gold forecast: $4,000/oz .
ETF demand rising.
📉 Technical Map – Bulls vs. Bears
⚡ Short-term weakness:
Intraday “strong sell” signals across MAs/oscillators.
RSI cooling, MACD momentum fading.
Current floor: $3,635 zone → key decision point.
⚡ Supports to Watch:
$3,635 (current)
$3,620 → $3,610 (deeper correction if broken)
⚡ Resistance:
$3,685 → $3,707 (ATH zone) – breakout reignites bullish trend
🔍 NFX Market Insight
Gold’s reaction isn’t trend-breaking—it’s profit-taking + healthy correction .
If $3,635 holds → recovery toward ATH.
If it fails → dip into $3,610s before resumption.
Bigger picture: Fed cut = bearish USD , so the bullish gold trend remains intact.
⚠️ This content is for informational/educational purposes only, not investment advice.
ANFIBO | XAUUSD on my view today??? [09.18.2025]Hello traders! It’s me, Anfibo. As usual, I’d like to share my personal view on gold OANDA:XAUUSD for today’s session.
On the H4 chart, gold continues to hold firmly within the upward channel, showing no major signs of weakness. The latest H4 candle closed as a bullish hammer with a long lower wick and a strong body, indicating aggressive buying absorption and solid reactions around the trendline.
In my view, as long as price stays above 3,620 USD, the bullish structure on H4 remains intact, and buyers still maintain control.
On H1, price is currently trading around 3,671 USD, and I expect it to retest yesterday’s FOMC gap near 3,678 – 3,680 USD. This is a sensitive area because it aligns with multiple confluences:
> Fibonacci retracement 0.618.
> Trendline confluence.
> Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Together, these factors make 3,678 – 3,680 a strong short-term resistance, worth considering for a counter-trend sell scalp setup.
Here’s my personal plan today:
>>> BUY SCALP:
ENTRY: around 3.645
SL: 3,640
TP: 3,679 – 3,690
_________________
>>> SELL Scalp
(1) ENTRY: 3,670 – 3,674
SL: 3,676
TP: 3,655 – 3,650
(2) ENTRY: 3,678 – 3,680
SL: 3,685
TP: 3,650 – 3,645
My approach remains the same: buy at strong support, sell at confluence resistance, and never take trades without clear risk management in place.
Besides technicals, don’t overlook today’s Unemployment Claims data. This release could trigger volatility and potentially break through key levels. Personally, I’ll wait for the market’s reaction to the news before committing to larger positions.
>>> Final Thoughts:
- H4 trend: still bullish above 3,620.
- H1: likely retest of resistance at 3,678 – 3,680.
- Plan: BUY around 3,645 – SELL around 3,678 – 3,680.
- Stick to risk management, and stay mindful of U.S. news flow to avoid being caught off guard.
Goodluck guys! ;)
Gold price analysis September 18✏️ #XAUUSD – Gold Price Analysis Today
After the interest rate data was released, gold returned to test the important support zone and quickly saw buying pressure again. As long as the 3657 zone remains stable, the uptrend is likely to continue. The 3675 resistance zone will be the first challenge – if broken, the price could surge and move towards the target of 3720, even extending the rally to higher levels.
Conversely, if 3657 is broken, gold could retreat to a deeper consolidation zone with the next support around 3620.
📉 Notable Trading Zones
🔸 BUY when price reacts at 3657
🔸 BUY around deep support zone 3620
⭐ Target: 3720
🔺 Support: 3657 – 3620 – 3600
🔻 Resistance: 3675 – 3699 – 3720
Do you have the courage to follow me and take a long position?Gold, as expected, reached our target trading range and then fell, hitting our desired profit-taking level, resulting in good profits for our short positions. Just now, gold briefly dipped to around 3627 before rebounding quickly. If the US session tonight sees gold test the support level of 3635-3625 without breaking below it, consider going long on gold; the short-term target could be 3655-3670.