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Xauusdanalysis

GOLD (XAU/USD) BULLISH CONTINUATION SETUP AFTER RETESTChart Overview Timeframe: 1H (Hourly) Current Price: Around $4,338 Trend: Strong bullish trend within a rising channel Structure: Price broke slightly above the channel top and is now retesting the resistance level as potential new support 🔍 Detailed Analysis 1. Trend Structure Gold has been moving in a strong upward channel, showing consistent higher highs and higher lows. The breakout above the resistance channel suggests bullish continuation, but a short-term pullback or retest is expected before another leg up. 2. Key Levels Resistance Level: Around $4,350 – $4,370, now acting as support. Entry Zone: Around $4,313 – $4,338 (highlighted region). Stop Loss: Below $4,274 – $4,268 zone to protect against false breakouts. Target Point: Around $4,509 – $4,513, which aligns with the projected move from the breakout zone. 💹 Trade Plan (Bullish Setup) Entry: Wait for price to test and hold above $4,313 (confirmation candle or bullish rejection). Stop Loss: $4,274 – $4,268 (below recent swing low). Take Profit: $4,509 – $4,513. Risk/Reward Ratio: Roughly 1:4, which is excellent for a continuation trade. ⚠️ Market Sentiment Notes If gold fails to hold above $4,313, the move could turn into a deeper correction toward $4,250 – $4,200. Watch for strong bullish candles near the entry zone for confirmation. The setup remains bullish-biased, but patience for a clean entry is key. ✅ Summary: Bias: Bullish Setup Type: Pullback continuation Buy Zone: $4,313 – $4,338 Target: $4,509 – $4,513 Stop: $4,268
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
XAUUSD To Hot to Handle ( could be last setup on Bullish)XAUUSD is still on bullish Bias and holding the consolidation zone from 4330-4370 . Today market is creepy We have to be very careful. What are my conditions For Today's session? 1st- Currently market is moving at previous liquidity Gap at 4330-4325 area and I took multiple buys at 4320 and My stoploss are at my Breakeven. 2nd- if Market remains low and H1 candle closes below 4325 then we'll have Retracement towards 4290- 4270. Additional Tip: -BUY the Dips with stoploss my Ultimate next Perfect buy will be 4230-4240 Zone .
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
Interest rate cuts and safe-haven support gold. 4,400 is unstoppInformation Summary: Spot gold surged strongly in early Asian trading on Friday, surging over 1.2% to a record high of $4,379.38 per ounce. Gold prices have risen nearly 9% this week and are expected to continue rising for nine consecutive weeks. This surge is primarily driven by strong market expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts in October and December, coupled with a surge in SPDR gold holdings, which has boosted bullish sentiment. In addition to monetary policy expectations, multiple positive factors are fueling gold's upward momentum. The risk of a US government shutdown and the tense international trade situation continue to attract safe-haven funds to gold. At the same time, the continued gold purchases by central banks of many countries around the world and the long-term trend of "de-dollarization" have fundamentally consolidated the support for gold. Amidst increasing geopolitical and economic uncertainty, gold's safe-haven properties are becoming more prominent, and analysts believe that a challenge to the $4,400 mark may be just around the corner. Market Analysis: Technically, after a strong breakout above key resistance at $4,200, gold is now approaching the psychologically important $4,400 level, maintaining its short-term bullish trend. The trading strategy recommends focusing on whether the market can continue to be strong, but be wary of the risk of profit-taking at high levels. A conservative strategy should prioritize buying on dips, with the key support range moving up to $4,310-4,300. If prices fall back to this area and find effective support, it would be a good opportunity to go long with the trend, targeting a new high of $4,400. However, it is crucial to note that an unexpected break below $4,300 could trigger a significant technical correction, potentially leading to a deeper correction towards $4,250. Therefore, caution is advised when pursuing long positions at current highs, with strict stop-loss orders in place. Trading strategy: Buy stocks in batches when the price dips back to the 4320-4315 range. Set a stop-loss at 4310. Profit range: 4360-4370-4390.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Market_Trader1
Bulls are taking off. Please maintain your bullish strategy.Gold rose steadily after the Asian market opened on Thursday, reaching a high near 4242 before retreating. It reached a low near 4203 before continuing its advance, a so-called symbolic pullback. The magnitude of this move does appear to be favorable, offering traders an opportunity to enter the long position. However, this strong market also creates confusion for traders. Going long during the rally fears a price correction, while going short fears continued bullish momentum. Current trading is heavily influenced by luck. The US market continued its upward trend on Thursday, reaching a high near 4330. The strength continued in early Asian trading on Friday, reaching a high near 4380. Amidst this frenzied market, all we can do is patiently wait for a pullback before entering the long position. After all, conservative trading is more rational at this point. Support below is near 4315, a peak-to-trough reversal point. This level can also be considered as a short-term entry point. Faced with the absolute dominance of bulls, the market has become somewhat helpless, and continuing to chase long positions carries the risk of a pullback. Quaid recommends strictly controlling stop-loss orders to avoid significant losses from a deep price correction. Trading Strategy: Go long on a pullback near 4315-4310, with a stop loss at 4305 and a profit range of 4380-4390. Aggressive traders can enter the long position after a 20-point pullback, but please consider your trading capital carefully before entering.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Market_Trader1
1
Relentless Rally:Gold Won’t Rest Until 4500!?The 4300 series chapter has begun as expected, with gold continuing its strong upward trend, currently reaching a high near 4381. However, it is clear that after encountering resistance in the 4370-4380 area three times, gold has shown clear signs of a pullback. This could lead to the formation of a triple top structure in the short term, suppressing gold prices in the short term. However, relatively speaking, as gold continues to rise, testing the 4280 area during the pullback before rebounding again, technical support has shifted to the 4320-4310 area. Furthermore, the validation of the pullback and the current strong upward trend will strengthen the support in this area to a certain extent, thus supporting gold's rebound. Therefore, for the current short-term trade: 1. First, try to continue shorting gold with resistance at 4370-4380, targeting a pullback to the 4350-4340 area. 2. Once gold retraces to the 4320-4310 area, consider going long on gold, targeting the 4340-4350 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WaveRider_Steffen
XAU/USD 17 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis, however CHoCH positioning has moved closer to more recent price action. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS, however, I will apply discretion and not classify it as such due to the insignificant depth of pullback relative to recent price action. At the time of this analysis price is continuing to print bullish without pause, which, as a result, I am unable to confirm a fractal high. Current bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Intraday expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued bullish printing further ATH's. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS and has again reacted from discount of 50% EQ. Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high, priced at 4,380.990. Alternative scenario: As all higher timeframes are requiring a pullback, and we are seeing a narrowing of internal structure, price could target strong internal low. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold continues its historic rally, printing new all-time highs almost daily. Price is currently hovering around 4,356, consolidating just below the 4,385 resistance after a steep vertical move higher. Momentum remains strong, with price holding well above both the MA50 and MA200, confirming that buyers remain firmly in control. Immediate resistance sits at 4,385, followed by 4,406, 4,425, and 4,445. If price fails to break above 4,356, watch the First Reaction Zone (4,329–4,307) for a potential minor pullback. Failure to hold this zone could open the way for a deeper correction toward lower support areas in line with the moving averages. 📌Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4356 4385 4406 4425 4445 Support: 4329 4307 4280 4257 4235 4205 🔎 Fundamental focus: The U.S. government shutdown and ongoing U.S.–China trade tensions continue to cloud market sentiment, driving investors toward safe-haven assets. The uncertainty has created a “no-ceiling” environment for gold, where every dip is quickly absorbed and traders keep chasing fresh all-time highs amid strong momentum and risk aversion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (17/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)Prepared by: ElDoradoFx Premium Analyst Team ⸻ 🧭 Market Overview Gold remains in a strong bullish cycle, printing higher highs and higher lows across all major timeframes. However, after multiple rejections near $4,379–$4,380, the market is showing temporary exhaustion, hinting at a possible short-term retracement before continuation. RSI readings above 85 on the daily chart suggest the metal is overbought, yet momentum structure remains intact. ⸻ 📊 Technical Breakdown 1️⃣ Daily Chart (D1) • Structure: Clear bullish trend continuation. • RSI: 86.0, signaling potential short-term correction. • Key Support: 4,316 – 4,273 (previous resistance now turned support). • Bias: Bullish but extended — watch for retracement into 38.2%–61.8% Fib zone. 2️⃣ 1H Chart (H1) • Price rejected resistance at 4,379, forming a lower high with weakening MACD histogram. • 50EMA and 200EMA both sloping upward — overall momentum remains long-term bullish. • Support Zone: 4,336–4,318 (Fibonacci confluence). • Bias: Short-term corrective retracement expected before new buying momentum resumes. 3️⃣ 15M–5M Charts • Consolidation within a tight intraday channel. • Liquidity above 4,379 remains uncollected — likely target after correction. • MACD turning flat, confirming short-term pause. ⸻ 📐 Fibonacci Analysis (Last Swing: 4,273 → 4,379) Level Price Confluence 38.2% 4,336 Near EMA50 & intraday support 50.0% 4,326 Mid-channel support 61.8% 4,318 Trendline intersection / re-entry zone 📊 Fibonacci Golden Zone: 4,318–4,336 → Optimal area to look for bullish confirmation patterns before re-entry. ⸻ 🎯 High-Probability Trade Scenarios ✅ BUY SCENARIO (Primary Bias) • Break & Retest: Above 4,364, confirming short-term bullish continuation. • Retest Zone: 4,350–4,355 • Targets: • TP1 → 4,379 • TP2 → 4,395 • TP3 → 4,410 • Stop-Loss: Below 4,338 ⚠️ SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend Opportunity) • Break & Retest: Below 4,336, signaling potential correction phase. • Retest Zone: 4,336–4,345 • Targets: • TP1 → 4,318 • TP2 → 4,300 • TP3 → 4,273 • Stop-Loss: Above 4,355 🚀 AGGRESSIVE BREAKOUT BUY • Trigger: Clean breakout above 4,379 and candle closure. • Retest Zone: 4,372–4,379 • Targets: 4,395 → 4,410 → 4,428 • Stop-Loss: Below 4,355 ⸻ 📰 Fundamental Outlook • US Data: Light calendar until NY session; traders watching inflation expectations. • DXY: Below 104.80, maintaining downward bias, supportive for gold. • Yields: Neutral; no fresh upside momentum observed. • Global Sentiment: Slightly risk-off, benefiting gold as a hedge. ⸻ ⚙️ Key Technical Levels Type Levels Resistance 4,379 / 4,395 / 4,410 Support 4,336 / 4,318 / 4,273 Pivot Zone 4,350–4,355 (London liquidity area) ⸻ 🧾 Analyst Summary Gold remains structurally bullish while holding above 4,336, though an intraday pullback into the Fibonacci Golden Zone (4,318–4,336) would offer better long entry opportunities. A confirmed break above 4,379 can open a clean path toward 4,410–4,428. If 4,336 fails to hold, expect a healthy retracement toward 4,300–4,273 before the next bullish impulse. ⸻ 📈 Bias: Bullish above 4,336 — Corrective phase expected before continuation. 📉 Alternative Bias: Bearish short-term below 4,336 (retracement only).
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
XAUUSD: Prioritize Buying, Is the $5000 Target Still Distant?XAUUSD: "No More Gold to Sell" - Prioritize Buying, Is the $5000 Target Still Distant? Hello trading community, The Gold market (XAUUSD) is in a state of "extreme euphoria," continuously setting new highs. The upward momentum is driven not only by technical charts but also by extremely strong macroeconomic factors. This article will analyze why the strategy "Prioritize Buying on Dips" is optimal, and the $4400 level, though seemingly high, might not be the final stop. 📰 Macro Analysis: "No More Gold to Sell!" The market is witnessing a physical supply shock that cannot be ignored: Supply Shock: Japan's largest gold retailer has temporarily halted gold bar sales due to overwhelming buying demand. This is a clear signal that physical gold demand is far outstripping available supply. When physical gold is scarce, paper market prices must rise to reflect true value. Falling Bond Yields: The 10-year German government bond yield (representing Europe) has dropped to its lowest level since June. Lower yields make Gold (a non-yielding asset) significantly more attractive compared to holding bonds. Both factors are creating a "perfect storm" supporting the price rise of XAUUSD. 📊 Technical Analysis The M30/H1 chart shows a very sustainable parabolic uptrend: Trend: The uptrend is undeniable. Prices are moving in a steep upward channel, with all selling efforts quickly absorbed by buyers. Fibonacci Extension: Fibonacci extension levels are acting as the next price targets: Zone $4382 (Fib 2.273): Conquered. Zone $4407 - $4410 (Fib 2.407): This is a potential "Sell Scalping" zone, where a short correction might occur. Zone $4480 - $4483 (Fib 2.618): This is a strong resistance "Sell Zone," the next target for buyers. Volume Profile (VPVR): "Buy Retest" Support ($4290 - $4300): This is an extremely important liquidity zone, a former peak that has been broken and also an area with large accumulated trading volume. Buyers will strongly defend this zone. 🎯 Detailed Trading Strategy The main trend is Buying. Any Sell orders at this time carry high risk and should only be considered for short-term scalping to catch corrections. Scenario 1: Buy the Dip 📈 Entry Zone: Wait for price to correct to the "Buy retest" zone $4290. Stop Loss: $4280. Take Profit: $4312 - $4334 - $4372 - $4390. Scenario 2: Sell Scalping ⚡️ Entry Zone: Look to sell at the Fibo $4410 zone. Stop Loss: $4420. Take Profit: $4393 - $4380 - $4370. (Note: Counter-trend order, use small volume and take quick profits). Scenario 3: Sell at Strong Resistance Zone 📉 Entry Zone: $4480. Stop Loss: $4490. Take Profit: $4463 - $4442 - $4410. Summary The combination of a strong technical uptrend and a fundamental supply shock is pushing Gold into a new price cycle. The $4400 level has been conquered, and with this momentum, the long-term target of $5000 is no longer a fantasy. The wisest strategy is to "go with the flow," looking to Buy at key support zones. Wishing traders a successful week!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Gold 1H – Will Dovish Fed Bets Keep Gold Above 4300?XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold prices remain resilient near $4,365 as traders assess the shifting outlook for U.S. monetary policy. After softer inflation data earlier this week, market sentiment has turned cautiously dovish — investors are speculating that the Federal Reserve may cut rates sooner in 2026 if growth indicators weaken further. However, today's focus is on the U.S. housing and labor data, which could influence short-term volatility. A strong report may revive dollar demand and trigger profit-taking in gold, while weaker readings could boost safe-haven interest and push XAUUSD higher toward 4,400+. Expect intraday swings as liquidity hunts unfold before any decisive trend confirmation. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • The structure remains bullish, supported by consecutive Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a clean reaccumulation phase during the 4,230–4,270 consolidation. • Price recently tapped a premium supply zone near 4,400, where early sellers may attempt short-term reactions. • The discount demand zone at 4,300–4,302 aligns with a 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement and previous BOS support, offering a high-probability re-entry area for continuation. • Liquidity sweeps above 4,400–4,398 could attract institutional profit-taking before the next bullish leg resumes. 🔴 Sell Setup: 4400 – 4398 SL: 4410 TP targets: 4340 → 4315 🟢 Buy Setup: 4300 – 4302 SL: 4293 TP targets: 4345 → 4385 → 4410+ ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for M15 ChoCH/BOS confirmation before entering any setup. • Expect volatility during U.S. macro data releases — spreads may widen temporarily. • Use partial take-profits near intraday liquidity zones and trail stops once structure confirms bullish continuation. ✅ Summary XAUUSD maintains its bullish structure above 4,300. A short-term pullback toward the 4,300–4,302 demand zone could offer another opportunity for buyers to rejoin the trend. While profit-taking may occur at 4,400, the broader bias remains “Buy the Dip” unless a confirmed shift in structure occurs below 4,293.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
Gold Retests All-Time Highs – Bulls Still in Full Control📊 Market Overview Gold experienced a sharp intraday drop during the Asian session, testing the 4,280 – 4,279 USD zone before quickly recovering. Despite short-term volatility, it continues to close the week in green for the ninth consecutive time — confirming the strength of the ongoing bullish cycle. The broader fundamentals remain supportive: 💥 Persistent geopolitical tensions keep safe-haven demand high. ⚖️ US–China trade uncertainty and the risk of a prolonged US government shutdown weaken risk appetite. 💵 Fed rate-cut expectations and USD softness continue to favor gold upside. In short — Smart Money remains positioned long, and every dip still looks like a liquidity grab for re-accumulation. 🧠 Technical Structure (MMFLOW View) On the M30 timeframe, gold continues to respect an ascending channel, currently forming a liquidity trap and breakout setup around 4,280 – 4,330. Price action suggests gold may be completing a short-term corrective wave (B) before resuming the larger bullish impulse. The structure remains technically bullish, with all pullbacks showing strong rejections from demand zones. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 🟢 BUY ZONE (Primary Setup) Zone: 4,230 – 4,228 SL: 4,220 TP: 4,240 – 4,250 – 4,260 – 4,270 – ??? 🔵 CP ZONE BUY (Secondary Support) Zone: 4,284 – 4,285 SL: 4,275 TP: 4,300 – 4,315 – 4,330 – 4,340 – ??? 🔴 SCALP SELL (Liquidity Reaction Zone) Zone: 4,438 – 4,440 SL: 4,448 TP: 4,420 – 4,410 – 4,390 – ??? ⚙️ MMFLOW Scenarios 1️⃣ Primary Bullish Scenario: If gold holds above 4,280 – 4,284, expect continuation toward 4,380 – 4,438 (Liquidity Sell Zone). The 4,284 level is the key control point where Smart Money may look to re-enter long positions. 2️⃣ Alternative Correction Scenario: A clean break below 4,280 could drive price toward 4,249 – 4,243 (CP Buy Zone) before another bullish push higher. This structure still aligns with a Healthy Correction Pattern within a broader uptrend. ⚡ MMFLOW Insights Gold remains in a mid-term expansion phase, with both macro and technical alignment favoring continued upside. The 4,280 – 4,330 range acts as a Smart Money accumulation zone, preparing for a liquidity sweep higher. Medium-term upside target: 4,438 – 4,445 USD/oz (Liquidity Sell Zone). ⚠️ Trading Notes ✅ Always use a protective Stop Loss — volatility can spike during liquidity hunts. ✅ Avoid chasing entries at highs; wait for reaction around BUY ZONES. ✅ Focus on liquidity confluence zones (Fibo + CP Zone + Order Block) for the highest-probability setups. 🧭 Quick Summary Gold remains resilient despite early-session volatility. Watch BUY ZONES at 4,230 – 4,228 and 4,284 – 4,285 for possible long re-entries. Short-term target: 4,380 – 4,438 USD/oz. Bias: Bullish – Buy the dips, not the breakouts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold – Madness in MotionGold rose this week — so far (and I really want to stress so far ) — by around 10%. That’s massive by any standard. On Monday, I tried to catch a dip and missed it. Since Tuesday, I’ve been on the sell side — completely wrong on direction , yet somehow still managed to finish positive overall. Yesterday my stop got hit, but after what happened overnight, it turned out to be just a scratch. With this kind of volatility, a recovery of 250pips can happen in ten minutes. Looking at the chart — it’s bullish, no question. Should it be bought? Hmmmm... Looking at the volatility… for me, it’s become untradeable. Can it keep going higher? Of course. How high? Nobody knows. At this point, any prediction is just throwing numbers in the air. Trading corrections, as I’ve tried to do, is a guessing game. I’ve had some luck so far, but after yesterday's stop loss, I’m stepping aside. My take: stay out. Let others make money if they can. A 1,000-pip rise and an equal reversal — all while I was asleep (and trust me, I sleep very little) — is too crazy. Stops can be wiped for bulls just as easily as for bears. At some point, it will settle down and define its levels. Until then — it’s not for me anymore.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
21
Gold price analysis October 17GOLD UPDATE – The uptrend shows no signs of stopping The gold market is in the most “breathable” phase for the Buyers — almost every BUY strategy has brought profits overnight. The bullish momentum remains strong, showing that money continues to flow into this precious metal. The next target that Gold is aiming for is around 4450, and any correction can be seen as a “golden” opportunity to join the main trend. 📈 Trading strategy: BUY Trigger: when a price rejection signal appears at the support zones 4285 – 4242 – 4216 🎯 Target: 4450 👉 In this context, following the Buyers is still the only reasonable option. Observe the price reaction around the support zones and just “press the BUY button” when the signal appears.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD: Gold Retesting Demand Zone for Next Push!Key Observations:Strong Uptrend: There was a massive, sharp price surge, indicated by the series of large green (bullish) candlesticks, particularly the two immediately preceding the current candle. This suggests strong buying pressure.Current Candle Retracement: The most recent active candle is a red (bearish) candle, indicating a short-term sell-off or retracement is occurring immediately after the large bullish move.Key Support Zones: Two prominent blue rectangular boxes are highlighted, which represent potential demand or support zones. These zones are likely based on previous price action or institutional order flow.The upper zone (around $\$4,285$ to $\$4,305$) is the most immediate area of interest.The lower zone (around $\$4,240$ to $\$4,260$) acts as a secondary, deeper support level. Projected Price Action: The chart includes a hand-drawn path (often called a 'pathing' or 'projection'): The black arrow suggests the price will retrace down into the upper support zone. The green arrow suggests that once the price hits this zone, it will reverse and continue its uptrend, potentially reaching a new high. This is a classic "Buy the Dip" scenario in an established short-term trend. Volatility: Given the size of the recent candles, volatility is currently very high.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
Gold price analysis October 16GOLD UPDATE – The trend is still in favor of the buyers Gold continues to record new records during the day, showing that buying power is still absolutely dominant. In recent sessions, the simplest strategy – just “BUY” according to the trend – has brought good profits. At the moment, the most important thing is to wait for the price to adjust to the support zones to establish a new buying position. If you are still trying to “catch the top” of gold, maybe it is time to temporarily remove the Sell button and go with the main trend of the market. 📈 Trading strategy: BUY Trigger: When a price rejection signal appears at the support zone of 4180 – 4215 Target: Aim for the 4300 mark
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD: $4,400 Target Next! Gold Bull Run ContinuesKey Observations: Massive Uptrend: The chart clearly displays a strong, multi-day uptrend, marked by a series of high-momentum green (bullish) candlesticks. Recent Price Action: Price has recently surged, followed by a minor retracement (the most recent red candle), but remains near the top of the move. This indicates the primary momentum is still firmly to the upside. Key Support/Demand Zones:Immediate Demand (Yellow Box): A small yellow box is marked around the $\$4,250$ area. This represents a very recent, short-term support or 'flip' zone where price broke out and could potentially retest before moving higher.Deeper Demand (Blue Box): A larger blue box (around $\$4,130$ to $\$4,190$) represents a more significant, underlying demand zone. Projected Price Action: The hand-drawn path suggests a direct continuation with potentially only a minor dip: The path shows a small pullback toward the $\$4,300$ area (not explicitly marked by a zone) or a brief sideways move. The black arrow points to an anticipated strong push up to the final target, resuming the dominant uptrend without necessarily hitting the marked yellow or blue zones. Target: A dotted blue line at $\$4,400.69$ is the clear final target for this trade setup.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold surged to a fresh record near $4,380 before retracing lower, now consolidating around $4,320–$4,330. The support zone sits at $4,301–$4,290, while the resistance zone is located at $4,368–$4,377. Price action shows a sharp pullback from highs, but bulls still hold ground above the key support. A rebound scenario could see a push back toward the resistance, while a decisive break below $4,285 would invalidate the bullish setup. 🎯 Trade Setup (Bullish Scenario) Entry: $4,301–$4,290 (near consolidation & above support) Stop Loss: $4,285 Take Profit 1: $4,350 Take Profit 2: $4,368 Take Profit 3: $4,377 Risk/Reward: ≈ 1 : 4.91 🗝️ Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,350 / $4,368 / $4,377 Support: $4,301 / $4,290 🌍 Macro Background Gold remains supported by Fed rate cut bets, US-China trade frictions, and prolonged US government shutdown fears. Fed Policy: Powell and Waller signalled two more cuts this year, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold. US-China Tensions: Additional port fees and tariff threats fuel safe-haven demand. US Government Shutdown: Entering its third week, weighing on the USD and indirectly boosting gold. Geopolitics: Some easing in Ukraine risks could cap upside, but macro drivers remain gold-positive. 📌 Trade Summary Gold remains in a strong uptrend despite intraday corrections. A long setup near $4,301–$4,290 with stops under $4,285 offers a favourable risk-reward toward $4,368–$4,377. Safe-haven demand and dovish Fed expectations continue to support bullish momentum. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
Gold breaks through again. Watch for entry opportunities.Information Summary: Gold continued its upward trend in early Asian trading on Friday, reaching a new all-time high of 4,380. Trade tensions, the ongoing US government shutdown, and bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut all fueled gold's gains. Furthermore, a plunge in US bank stocks dragged down US stocks, fueling risk aversion that further accelerated gold's upward momentum. Concerns about the credit quality of the US economy and escalating friction over tariffs have also boosted demand for safe-haven assets. Furthermore, the renewed conflict between Russia and Ukraine, with the US supplying Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine, has heightened gold's safe-haven appeal. In an era of heightened global uncertainty, gold remains an asset worth watching. Traders are advised to closely monitor market expectations for the Federal Reserve meeting, news related to the international trade situation, and geopolitical developments. Market Analysis: Gold is hitting new highs daily. Recently, I've been reminding everyone to buy on dips. The bull market remains strong. On Thursday, the price surged by $177, reaching a high of 4380. If the market continues to break through 4400, the next target will be 4450. Gold bulls remain firmly in control, extending their record-breaking rally with no signs of fatigue. The 1-hour chart shows no significant pullbacks. In the short term, gold trading above 4300 is considered strong. Continue buying gold even if it retreats. Patiently wait for opportunities. Trading strategy: Short-term gold long position at 4310-4315, stop loss at 4300, profit range at 4370-4390; Key points: First support level: 4335, second support level: 4310, third support level: 4300 First resistance level: 4380, second resistance level: 4400, third resistance level: 4428
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Market_Trader1
Gold Bullish Continuation Toward 4,300 TargetTrend Direction: The overall structure is clearly bullish, with price continuing to rise after breaking previous resistance levels. Price Action: After a strong impulsive move upward, a small corrective phase (pullback) is visible — represented by the zigzag arrow — suggesting a healthy retracement before continuation. Key Zone: The highlighted blue-green box marks a demand or fair value gap (FVG) region where buyers previously entered strongly, likely acting as a support area for future pullbacks. Current Price: Around $4,195.84, maintaining bullish momentum. Target: The projection line points toward a target zone near $4,300, indicating the next resistance or profit-taking level. Overall Sentiment: Bullish continuation toward the upper target, provided the price sustains above the previous support zone around $4,100–$4,000.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
2
XAUUSD Delivered Excellent profits [1320 PIPs] Thanks to those who followed, trusted me, and made profits. As I mentioned in today’s commentary session: • I took buy trades around 4222 - ( 4234×2)& 4245 My strategy was to buy the dips, and I’m very happy with the profits so far – . My first target 42o0. is achieved, Alhamdulillah. And I'm looking for 4500 now **Additional Tip:** Selling against the current bullish bias isn’t advisable and buy the dips only ,wait and watch for new setup
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Forexmaestro121
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – GOLD (17/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold is currently trading around 4,362, maintaining strong bullish momentum after breaking the 4,350 psychological level. The market remains in an extended uptrend, but RSI and structure show overbought signs, so a short-term correction or retest may occur before continuation. ⸻ 🔍 Technical Outlook D1: Strong bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows. RSI (88.1) indicates extreme overbought — possible short-term pullback. H1: Price reached the top of the ascending channel at 4,379 (new high) and is now consolidating below. Momentum remains positive above 4,340, but divergence is forming. 15M–5M: Minor rejection from 4,379–4,380 resistance zone; MACD showing slowing bullish histogram — suggesting potential retest before next leg up. ⸻ 📊 Fibonacci Golden Zone (Latest Swing) Swing Low → 4,291 Swing High → 4,379 🎯 Golden Zone = 4,324–4,338 This aligns with 50EMA + channel midline — ideal retracement area for new buy entries if price dips. ⸻ 🎯 High Probability Entry Zones (Break & Retest) ✅ BUY SETUP (Main Bias) • Break & Retest: Above 4,363 → Retest zone 4,350–4,355 🎯 TP1 → 4,379 TP2 → 4,395 TP3 → 4,410 🛑 SL below 4,338 ⚠️ SELL SETUP (Short-Term Countertrend) • Break & Retest: Below 4,338 → Retest zone 4,338–4,345 🎯 TP1 → 4,324 TP2 → 4,310 TP3 → 4,294 🛑 SL above 4,355 🚀 BREAKOUT BUY (Aggressive Setup) • Break & Retest: Above 4,379 (new high) → Retest 4,372–4,379 🎯 TP1 → 4,395 TP2 → 4,410 TP3 → 4,428 🛑 SL below 4,355 ⸻ 🕐 Fundamental Watch • DXY slightly weaker near 104.85, favoring gold’s bullish continuation. • Yields remain capped — positive for metals. • No major Asia-session news expected — technicals will drive price action. ⸻ ⚠️ Key Levels Resistance → 4,379 / 4,395 / 4,410 Support → 4,338 / 4,324 / 4,310 ⸻ ✅ Summary Gold remains bullish while above 4,338 (Golden Zone support). A break & retest above 4,363 opens room for continuation toward 4,395–4,410. Failure to hold above 4,338 may trigger a healthy pullback to 4,310–4,294 before new buyers step in.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
GOLD (XAU/USD) – FINAL GRAND CYCLE ANALYSIS🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – FINAL GRAND CYCLE ANALYSIS "The Rise of Real Money in a Failing Fiat World" Elliott Waves | Fibonacci | Smart Money | Macro Fundamentals | Market Structure 📆 Date: October 12, 2025 📈 Current Price: ~$4,017/oz 🕰️ Timeframe: 1950s – 2060+ 🔍 Focus: Multi-decade forecast grounded in wave theory and fundamental macro shifts 🌐 SUPER CYCLE STRUCTURE – GOLD'S MONETARY EVOLUTION 🔵 Wave I (1971–1980): The Rebirth of Gold Gold surged from ~$35 to ~$850 after the collapse of the Bretton Woods system. Nixon ended USD-to-gold convertibility, exposing the world to pure fiat for the first time. Geopolitical shocks like the OPEC oil embargo and soaring inflation shattered trust in paper money. Gold reasserted itself as a monetary anchor , not just a commodity. 🔴 Wave II (1980–1999): The Great Rejection A 19-year bear market saw gold bleed down to ~$250. Volcker’s rate hikes tamed inflation; fiat regained trust temporarily. The dollar surged, stocks soared, and central banks sold gold reserves. This corrective wave reflected confidence in debt-based growth and fiat stability — a long, deceptive calm. 🟢 Wave III (1999–~2045?): The Real Money Renaissance This is the main secular bull market wave , subdivided into five impulsive macro waves. Gold is now in Wave iii of III — the most explosive, powerful phase — and will likely reprice in a way that reflects systemic risk, not just inflation. 📈 MACRO & MICRO STRUCTURE – CURRENT WAVE BREAKDOWN 🟢 Macro Wave I (1999–2011): The First Awakening Gold rose from $250 to ~$1,920. Triggered by the dot-com crash, 9/11, 2008 crisis, and early QE programs. This was the smart money accumulation phase , when institutions quietly began hedging systemic risk. 🔴 Macro Wave II (2011–2015): The Disbelief Phase Gold corrected 45% to ~$1,050. Fed tapering, rising dollar, and low CPI caused a temporary return to confidence in fiat. This reset investor sentiment and created institutional demand zones. 🟢 Macro Wave III (2015–~2026): The Fiat Reckoning (Now Unfolding) Subdivided into five micro-waves: Wave i (2015–2020): Broke out of 4-year base; fueled by Brexit, rate cuts, and China accumulation. Wave ii (2020–2022): ABC pullback post-COVID; reloaded from key SMC demand zones. Wave iii (2022–Now): We're here. Most vertical and extended move yet. Price currently at ~$4,000; next targets are $6,552, $22,744, and $78,940 , all aligning with Fibonacci extensions (2.618, 3.618, 4.618). Wave iv (projected 2026–2031): Likely major correction after parabolic move. Wave v (projected 2031–2045): Final blow-off top in Supercycle III. 🧠 FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERS – BY WAVE 🔹 Wave I Fundamentals (1999–2011): Post-dot-com capital rotation. 9/11 and geopolitical tension. 2008 GFC and collapse of banking trust. Introduction of QE and zero interest rates. Gold ETFs (like GLD) launched, enabling broader exposure. 🔸 Wave II Fundamentals (2011–2015): QE fatigue: “It didn’t cause inflation.” USD strength. Confidence returned to stocks. Retail dumped gold — but central banks quietly accumulated . 🔹 Wave III Fundamentals (2015–2026): $30+ trillion in global QE during COVID. Global real rates deeply negative. Energy crisis and supply chain fragility. War-driven risk premiums (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East, China-Taiwan). De-dollarization: BRICS accumulation, gold in cross-border settlements. Institutional shift toward real assets as fiat credibility wanes. 🔸 Wave IV (Projected 2026–2031): A likely correction tied to: CBDC adoption and capital controls. Temporary resurgence in tech or USD-based confidence. Reforms that appear to restore fiscal sanity. But this will be the last opportunity to enter before the endgame move. 🔹 Wave V (2031–2045+): Fiat collapse becomes mainstream. USD potentially dethroned. Gold-backed CBDCs or DeFi hybrids launched. Mass exodus from fiat into real money. Final revaluation of gold to reflect not inflation, but lost confidence in the entire financial system. 📐 FIBONACCI EXTENSIONS – PRICE TARGETS WITH WAVE ALIGNMENT 🟢 Wave I topped at 1.618 Fib ($1,887) — aligned with 2011 ATH. 🟢 Wave III (in progress): 2.618 Fib: $6,552 (expected peak of wave iii). 3.618 Fib: $22,744 (potential macro Wave III top). 4.618 Fib: $78,940 (if confidence fully collapses). 🟢 Wave V (projected): May extend toward $100,000–$250,000+ under systemic collapse or gold-backed reset conditions. All targets line up perfectly with logarithmic channel projections , Elliott wave extensions , and long-term order flow structure . 🧠 SMART MONEY CONCEPTS & PRICE ACTION CONFIRMATION ✅ BoS (Breaks of Structure) at each wave change validated bullish continuation (2016, 2020, 2023). ✅ Order Blocks and liquidity grabs created institutional entry zones — especially at 2018–2019 lows and 2022 dips. ✅ Demand zones respected across key Fibonacci retracements (0.382 and 0.618). ✅ Current wave iii is a textbook price discovery phase with minimal resistance. This entire market structure is institutionally driven , not retail fueled — a true stealth bull. 📊 MARKET CYCLE PSYCHOLOGY OVERLAY 1999–2004: Disbelief – “Gold is dead.” 2005–2011: Awareness – “Gold might work.” 2011–2015: Denial – “It’s just a bubble.” 2016–2020: Hope – “Maybe gold’s not done.” 2022–2026: Euphoria – “Gold will never go down.” 2026–2033: Fear → Capitulation – Wave IV 2033–2045: Mania – “Gold to the moon!” — Wave V blow-off. 🚨 FINAL SYNTHESIS We are witnessing the greatest revaluation of monetary value in modern history . Gold is transitioning from: A hedge against inflation → to A hedge against central banks → to A hedge against the entire fiat system. 📌 Final Position Summary: 🔄 Current Location: Wave iii of III of Supercycle III 🎯 Immediate Target: $6,552 (2.618 Fib) 💡 Medium-Term: $22,744 (3.618 Fib) 🔥 Parabolic Scenario: $78,940 (4.618 Fib) 💀 Systemic Reset Target: $100,000–$250,000+ 🧠 Conclusion: This is not just a chart. This is a map of the collapse of fiat trust and the ascendance of sound money . Gold is no longer just an asset — it’s insurance on the system. 🌊 "Those who understand the waves will ride them. Those who don’t will be swallowed by the tide." - FIBCOS 📘 Disclaimer: This is a structural, educational market outlook. Not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and risk management. #XAUUSD #Gold #GoldAnalysis #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #Commodities #InflationHedge #MacroEconomics #CentralBanks #BRICS #MonetaryReset
TVC:GOLDLong
by fibcos
2