XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold rallied strongly yesterday, reaching into the $3,422 resistance zone, but failed to hold above and has since pulled back to around $3,409. Price is consolidating just above the $3,406 level, with short-term momentum still supported by the 50MA (pink) and 200MA (green) trending higher.
For the bullish case to continue, gold needs a decisive break and hold above $3,422, which would open the way toward $3,445. If price remains capped, we may see a deeper correction, first into $3,386, then $3,363, and potentially retesting the First Support Zone ($3,347–$3,328).
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,422
$3,445
Support:
$3,406
$3,386
$3,363
$3,347
$3,328
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Friday, Aug 29
Today brings key U.S. data including Core PCE Price Index, Personal Income & Spending, Chicago PMI, and UoM Consumer Sentiment. These reports will give fresh signals on inflation and growth.
⚠️ It’s also the last trading day of August — expect higher volatility. Manage exposure carefully heading into the weekend.
Xauusdanalysis
Gold 29/08: Smart Money Targets 3444 or Sweeps 3395Market Context (SMC View):
• Gold rejected from 3423 liquidity zone and is retracing into discount.
• Demand sits at 3397–3395, which could provide a bounce if tapped.
• Premium supply zones above 3422 and 3442 remain attractive for shorts.
________________________________________
🔼 BUY SCENARIO
• Buy Zone: 3397 – 3395
• SL: 3389
• TP: 3405 → 3415 → 3425
________________________________________
🔽 SELL SCENARIO 1 (Price Action)
• Sell Zone: 3422 – 3424
• SL: 3430
• TP: 3412 → 3400
________________________________________
🔽 SELL SCENARIO 2 (Swing)
• Sell Zone: 3442 – 3444
• SL: 3452
• TP: 3425 → 3412 → 3400
________________________________________
📌 Conclusion & Notes
• Bias: Buy on dips at 3397–3395, then look for liquidity grab around 3422–3424 or extended sweep into 3442–3444 for short entries.
• 3422–3424 is the first intraday supply zone, while 3442–3444 is the major swing sell zone.
• Patience: wait for rejection/confirmation candles before selling.
• Protect capital: keep SL tight, as gold tends to hunt liquidity around round numbers.
Interest rate forecast to decreaseMarkets now expect the Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates as early as September. Traders have almost fully priced in a 25 basis point cut, with further easing likely in October and December, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
“Recent U.S. economic data have prompted us to revise our rate forecasts lower,” BofA said, citing signs of a cooling labor market. “Recent weakness in employment data, slowing job growth, and other signs of labor market slack could prompt the Fed to change its risk assessment.”
The bank also said political pressure on the Fed, including criticism from President Donald Trump, could continue to weigh on the dollar.
“The risks to the Fed’s independence are well recognized, but now markets must also factor in the implications of institutional weakness at statistical agencies,” the analysts stressed.
XAU/USD – End-of-Month Liquidity Sweep SetupGold is currently in a short-term corrective phase at the end of the month. Based on historical data, the past 4 months show that Gold tends to make a deep liquidity sweep towards the downside before resuming its bullish leg. This could once again be the case today.
📊 Key Observations:
Gold has shown repeated end-of-month wicks from 343x down to 335x zones.
Today’s focus: market may sweep liquidity below 3395 into the lower support zones before resuming higher.
Upcoming Core PCE data could trigger intraday volatility. If results align with the previous reading → short-term bearish pressure is expected before the larger bullish continuation.
📌 Key Levels & Zones
🔹 Resistance Zones
Supply Zone (3434 – 3436) → Ideal for short-term SELL setups.
Upper Resistance (3424 – 3435) → Breakout above this could open path to new ATH levels.
🔹 Support Zones
Key Support 1 (3395 – 3390) → First intraday liquidity area.
VPOC Zone (3376 – 3374) → Strong BUY zone, expect sharp reaction if price sweeps here.
Deep Liquidity Zone (3363 – 3355) → Extreme support; unlikely unless a major unexpected event occurs.
📌 Trading Plan
✅ BUY Zone
Entry: 3376 – 3374
SL: 3369
TP: 3380 – 3385 – 3390 – 3400 – 3410 – 3420 – ???
🎯 Best area to build long positions – aligned with VPOC & liquidity sweep expectations.
✅ SELL Zone
Entry: 3434 – 3436
SL: 3440
TP: 3430 – 3425 – 3420 – 3410 – 3400
⚠️ Short-term setup only – focus on Asian & London session corrections.
📍 Conclusion:
Expect liquidity sweep lower first before a bullish leg continues.
Watch 3395 – 3375 zones for BUY confirmations.
If price holds above 3375, Gold remains bullish heading into September.
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Trading ScenarioXAUUSD – Medium-Term Trading Scenario
Hello traders,
Gold is moving into the final stage of its flag formation. Medium-term traders are now waiting for a clear breakout confirmation, as that will determine the next medium- to long-term move. Once confirmed, the plan is to trade immediately in the breakout direction.
In the meantime, short-term and intraday traders continue to work inside the flag, taking scalping opportunities while price remains range-bound.
From my perspective, the probability of an upside breakout and continuation of the broader bullish trend is high after such a long period of consolidation. To optimise entries, buying near the lower boundary of the trendline makes sense, with stop-losses placed just below in case of a breakdown. A particularly important zone is the Fibonacci retracement 0.5 at 3354, which combines dynamic and static support with a key Fibonacci level. This is a strong area to build medium- to long-term long positions.
An earlier entry can also be considered around 3372, where the previous candle confirmed strong bullish momentum. In this case, stops should be kept tight, just under the nearest support.
The bullish case only fails if price breaks and closes firmly below the lower trendline, which would confirm a reversal.
That’s my view on gold for the coming sessions – stay patient, manage risk, and wait for the structure to confirm. What’s your outlook? Let’s discuss in the comments.
Gold Price Update: Trading Opportunities Amid Fed Drama and PCE!Fundamental Analysis: What’s Driving Gold’s Surge? 🌟
Gold Prices Surge: Spot gold closed the August 28 session up 0.6% at $3,416.14/oz, the highest since July 23. Gold futures settled at $3,466.10/oz, showcasing strong bullish momentum.
USD Index Drops 0.5%: A weaker dollar makes gold more appealing to foreign buyers, fueling the rally. 📉
Fed Uncertainty Grows: Tai Wong, an independent metals trader, notes, “Gold has been steadily climbing for over a week, partly due to concerns about the Fed’s independence. Pressure from Trump is raising fears that the FOMC may cut rates faster and keep them low longer—a bullish setup for gold.” The market now estimates an over 87% probability of a 0.25% rate cut at the Fed’s September 2025 meeting, per CME FedWatch. 🔥
Lisa Cook’s Legal Battle: Fed Governor Lisa Cook has filed a lawsuit, asserting that Trump lacks the authority to fire her. This unprecedented legal fight could reshape norms around the Fed’s independence, boosting gold’s safe-haven appeal. 🇺🇸⚖️
PCE Data in Focus: Investors are eagerly awaiting the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data today (29/08), the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. A softer-than-expected report could signal deeper rate cuts, propelling gold higher. Gold thrives in low-interest-rate environments and during economic uncertainty! 📊
Technical Analysis: Bullish Trend Persists, But Watch for a Reversal! 📉
Gold’s uptrend remains strong with no clear signs of reversal. Following yesterday’s data, gold saw a slight pullback to the 339x zone before resuming its rally, swiftly breaking through order blocks (OB) and approaching last month’s highs. However, with prices lingering near these peaks, a potential pullback looms. Here are the key levels and trading strategies:
Key Resistance: 3415 - 3428
Key Support: 3406 - 3397 - 3388 - 3374
Scalping Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3415 - 3417
SL: 3420
TP: 3411 - 3406 - 3398
Buy Scalp: 3398 - 3396
SL: 3393
TP: 3401 - 3406 - 3416
Swing Trading Opportunities:
Sell Zone: 3427 - 3429
SL: 3437
TP: 3421 - 3415 - 3406 - 3398
Buy Zone: 3389 - 3387
SL: 3379
TP: 3398 - 3406 - 3415
Gold is red-hot, but the 3415-3428 resistance zone could trigger a reversal if momentum fades. Scalpers can capitalize on quick trades at these levels for attractive risk-reward ratios. Swing traders should wait for confirmation at the buy or sell zones to maximize profits. Always manage risk tightly and stay alert for PCE-driven volatility today! 📉💡
Gold Price Update – Neutral Trend with Key Breakout Levels AheadAs of August 26, 2025, gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,375 and remains in a consolidation phase inside a symmetrical triangle. Price is holding between $3,170 support and $3,450 resistance, with $3,493 as a major supply zone. A breakout above $3,450–$3,493 could extend the rally toward $3,600, while a breakdown below $3,293–$3,170 may trigger a decline toward $3,000. Until a clear breakout occurs, the overall trend is neutral with a slight bullish bias due to the long-term uptrend still intact.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
- Resistance: $3,383 → $3,450 → $3,493
- Support: $3,317 → $3,293 → $3,232
- Breakout Zones: Below $3,293: Opens room to $3,170. Above $3,390: May lead to fresh highs toward $3,450+
Price has been ranging for months between $3,170 (Fib 0.618) support and $3,493 (supply/weak high) resistance. Market structure shows multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) signals, indicating indecision and sideways consolidation.
Gold 1hr Chart
Gold is in an uptrend, but watch $3,378 resistance for breakout confirmation; otherwise, expect a dip toward $3,345–$3,357 before resuming higher.
Buy Zone: $3,345 – $3,357 (ideal retracement support)
Buy Trigger: Break and close above $3,378 (confirmation for upside move)
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Will Gold Drop for Liquidity Before a Big September Rally?Gold has been consolidating at high levels, repeatedly testing resistance while waiting for end-of-month US data (Prelim GDP q/q & Unemployment Claims). These releases could act as the perfect trigger: a sharp liquidity grab before September’s rally – when USD weakness and Fed rate cuts are back in focus.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance 3400 → a clean break could send price quickly into 342x – 343x, retesting the old ATH.
Support 3370 → if broken, gold may dip into the 335x BUY zone for a strong setup.
📌 MMFLOW Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE
3356 – 3354
SL: 3349
TP: 3360 → 3365 → 3370 → 3375 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400+
❌ SELL ZONE
3424 – 3426
SL: 3430
TP: 3420 → 3395 → 3390 → 3385 → 3380 → 3370
🎯 MMFLOW View
End of month often brings sharp swings & liquidity hunts. Be prepared for a potential flush into 335x before the next leg higher.
👉 Stick to discipline, trade only around Key Levels, and avoid chasing price.
🔥 What’s your view – will Gold smash through 3400 first, or dip into 335x before the rally?
👇 Share your thoughts in the comments – let’s trade smart together!
XAU/USD — All Eyes on US Data, Gold Ready for a Big Move!
Gold continues to hold strong buying pressure despite the recovery of the USD (DXY). The market is now waiting for today’s key US economic releases during the New York session:
📊 USD Prelim GDP q/q → Forecast: 3.1% (Prev. 3.0%)
📊 USD Unemployment Claims → Forecast: 231K (Prev. 235K)
🔎 Possible Scenarios
1️⃣ If US data comes out strong → Gold could break down from the rising channel, targeting the VPOC 3374, and with heavier pressure even dip towards the 335x zone (though this might be harder to achieve).
2️⃣ If US data is weak / neutral → Gold is likely to continue its bullish leg, aiming at 3392 – 3398 and potentially extending to 342x – 343x to retest the previous ATH.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 3398 – 3400 → breakout could fuel a quick rally into 342x – 343x
Support: 3374 → break below opens room to 335x
Buy Zone: Watching for a sharp dip into 335x – 337x for clean long setups
🎯 MMFLOW Strategy
👉 Priority remains: wait for a liquidity grab / sharp dip to BUY in line with the broader trend.
👉 Be cautious — with this being the main economic release of the week, volatility can spike aggressively when the numbers hit.
🔥 What do you think?
Will Gold break higher into new ATHs, or will we see a liquidity sweep first before the next leg up?
💬 Share your view in the comments — let’s trade smart together!
Is the price of gold really going up? 3500?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) slips in Friday’s Asian session, pulling back from a five-week high near $3,425 as profit-taking and strong US GDP and jobless claims data lift the Dollar. Still, growing expectations of a September Fed rate cut, reinforced by dovish comments from NY Fed’s John Williams, help limit the downside for the non-yielding metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices increased thanks to expectations that the FED will cut interest rates in September. However, the large fomo market will cause the market to be too optimistic, requiring adjustments to accumulate before that time.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3437- 3439 SL 3444
TP1: $3430
TP2: $3420
TP3: $3410
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3366-$3364 SL $3359
TP1: $3375
TP2: $3383
TP3: $3390
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Price Analysis August 29✨ Gold Analysis Today
In the Asian session this morning, the Gold price reached 3320 and there was a slight profit-taking pressure from investors. Recent market developments show a familiar repeating scenario: Asia - Europe reduced and adjusted, while the US is often the place to trigger the rebound wave.
With the current picture, the intraday trading strategy still prioritizes buying when adjusting instead of chasing prices. Today's target is expected to be around 3328. Note, if the price breaks out, absolutely do not rush to sell, unless there is clear confirmation from the H4 candle showing that the downward pressure has returned.
🔑 Trading strategy:
Only wait for BUY at support zones when there is a signal confirming buying pressure.
Support zones to pay attention to: 3402 - 3390 - 3375.
Gold Price Analysis August 28📌 Gold Analysis – Daily Direction
The gold market is maintaining a fairly steady increase, gradually approaching important resistance zones of the week. Normally, in recent Asian-European sessions, the market often experiences a correction due to short-term profit-taking activities, then gives way to the US session to continue pushing the price up.
🔎 Price zones to pay attention to today:
3403: strong resistance zone of the week, prone to false breaks, so it is necessary to observe carefully before considering the DCA strategy.
3328: old accumulation zone, where selling pressure has appeared quite clearly.
💡 Trading strategy:
Buy trigger: wait for the price to adjust to around 3370 and a clear buying reaction appears.
Buy zone: around 3358, this is a strong support, you can consider increasing your position if the price holds.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook - 29 August 2025Gold remains in a highly reactive zone, with price currently consolidating near the $3410 handle. Institutional order flow shows a battle between bulls defending discount demand zones and bears attempting to exploit premium supply levels. By combining Daily, 4H, and 1H confluences, today’s analysis outlines the most execution-ready buy and sell zones with defined entries, stop-loss levels, and profit targets.
🔹 Primary Buy Zone – $3388 to $3396
This is the highest-probability demand area for today. On the Daily timeframe, the zone sits within a deep discount region of the last bullish leg, aligning with the broader macro bias. The 4H chart reveals a fresh, unmitigated bullish order block, while the 1H structure confirms a BOS (Break of Structure) and liquidity sweep beneath equal lows.
Momentum indicators support this view — RSI is approaching oversold levels, and MACD momentum is shifting bullish. Volume also highlights absorption, suggesting institutional accumulation.
Entry: $3392
SL: $3384
TP1: $3415
TP2: $3428
🔹 Secondary Buy Zone – $3365 to $3372
If the primary demand fails, the next strong support sits around $3365–$3372. This zone overlaps with a Daily breaker block and coincides with the 50% retracement of the previous swing leg. On 4H, liquidity is pooled just below $3370, while 1H imbalance (FVG) aligns with demand.
RSI divergence also strengthens the bullish probability here.
Entry: $3368
SL: $3358
TP1: $3390
TP2: $3410
🔹 Primary Sell Zone – $3425 to $3435
This is the strongest intraday supply zone. On the Daily timeframe, price approaches a premium level of the current retracement, while 4H charts show a fresh supply zone formed from institutional distribution. The 1H chart reveals liquidity buildup above $3428, creating an engineered high.
RSI is flashing bearish divergence at this level, with volume showing prior rejection and imbalance — confirming potential sell-side pressure.
Entry: $3430
SL: $3438
TP1: $3410
TP2: $3395
🔹 Secondary Sell Zone – $3448 to $3458
This zone sits higher, acting as a fallback supply level. It overlaps with a Weekly supply zone, while 4H structure confirms old consolidation highs resting here. If tapped, price is likely to engineer liquidity before displacement. ATR also shows exhaustion at this level, making it a potential reversal point.
Entry: $3453
SL: $3463
TP1: $3430
TP2: $3410
🏆 Executive Summary – Golden Zone
The Primary Buy Zone ($3388–$3396) is nominated as today’s Golden Zone. This area aligns with Daily discount, 4H unmitigated demand, and 1H structural confirmation. With multiple confluences (order block, BOS, liquidity sweep, RSI, MACD), it presents the highest reward-to-risk opportunity.
Golden Execution Idea:
Buy $3392 → SL $3384 → TP $3428 (≈1:4 RR)
Final Thoughts
Gold is currently positioned at a critical juncture, with well-defined buy and sell zones framing today’s opportunities. Traders should stay disciplined, execute only on confirmed setups, and remain aware of liquidity manipulation around key levels. The $3388–$3396 Golden Zone offers the most institutionally aligned trade for today, but alternative supply and demand levels provide structured backup scenarios.
GOLD MONTHLY OPENING UPDATESTrade at your own risk. I wait again below, but we are approaching september openning. we go down 3300 again.?
Goodluck.
this is only my idea and prediction, Congrats to my new investors.
you can message me here how I trade.
I only need another 1 who can join this coming september . I trade you wait only.
This is not a financial advice.
Trading is risky, beat the market or have patience on it.
Swing trader always win.
XAU/USD – Near-Term Trade Plan
📍 Current Price: 3416
🔼 Buy Setup
Entry: Above 3425–3430
Target 1: 3450
Target 2: 3480
Stoploss: 3395
🔽 Sell Setup
Entry: Below 3390
Target 1: 3360
Target 2: 3330
Stoploss: 3420
Right now, this is not a strong bullish breakout yet because volume is missing.
If gold closes above the upper trendline (around 3450+) with big volume, that’s a valid breakout → target = height of triangle (~300–400 points).
If it fails near resistance and comes back inside the triangle, expect pullback towards 3300–3250 zone (lower trendline).
GOLD at Major Resistance – Big Drop Incoming?Hello Traders! 👋
Gold (XAUUSD) is now testing a critical supply zone at 3425.86 – 3499.36 after weeks of sideways consolidation. This region has acted as a strong ceiling multiple times, and price is once again showing signs of exhaustion.
If sellers step in here, we could see a sharp bearish move targeting:
🟢 3176.40 (first demand zone)
🟢 2982.24 (major demand zone & final target)
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zone: 3425.86 – 3499.36
Current Price: 3409.58
Bearish Targets: 3176.40 → 2982.24
⚡ Bias: Bearish from supply rejection. However, a daily close above 3499.36 would invalidate this setup and open doors for new highs.
📌 Technical Confluence:
Strong resistance zone ✅
Previous rejections at this level ✅
Potential double top pattern forming ✅
What’s your take, traders? Will GOLD finally break higher or respect the supply zone and dump hard?
💬 Share your thoughts in the comments!
👍 Like & Follow for more market breakdowns!
I might be the first to start shortingAgainst the backdrop of strengthened expectations of interest rate cuts and Trump's continued tough stance, gold rose above the 3400 mark and continued to above 3410. The upward momentum was relatively strong and market sentiment was optimistic. But the more this happens, the more dangerous it feels! In fact, from a short-term perspective, the foreseeable target area above is: 3415-3425 area, which has only 100-150pips of room for growth from the current gold price. So I think there is no need to continue chasing long gold for the time being.
From the current structure, although gold is in a fluctuating upward structure, the trading volume is gradually decreasing after gold broke through 3410, proving that as gold continues to rise, the market has gradually become more cautious. Judging from the candlestick pattern, the trend line constructed from the highs of 3500 and 3440 is currently facing resistance near 3415, while the resistance of the trend line constructed from 3452 and 3440 is currently near 3425. Therefore, the current more obvious resistance area is in the 3415-3425 area. In comparison, there is a larger retracement space below, firstly in the 3395-3385 area, and then in the 3375-3365 area.
Therefore, at this stage, I will no longer aggressively chase the rise of gold; instead, I will start shorting gold in batches above 3410, and then patiently wait for gold to retrace!
8/28 Focus on Selling Above 3412Good evening, everyone!
Gold pulled back near 3398 earlier today but held above the 3386–3378 support before rallying again and breaking through the 3400 level. Price is now above 3410, with the next major resistance zones at 3412–3419–3427 (and previous highs at 3433–3438). These levels are likely to be tested multiple times, but the closer price gets to 3419–3427, the heavier the selling pressure will be.
📌 Key Supports: 3404–3398–3386
📌 Trading Plan: Above 3412, focus on sell setups first; then look for potential buy opportunities after pullbacks confirm support.
Stay calm, trade with the trend, and capture profits wisely.
gold on multiple price decline#XAUUSD price on yesterday D1 shows bullish decline on sell, base on past candle on same TF we expect price not to overcross the 3416-3430 limit.
Buy from 3410 to 3416 which holds sell, sell from 3416 target 3390-3384. Stop loss above 3426.
If the next H1 close above 3420-3423 then 3430 which holds another sell will come.
Divergence has appeared at H4 – TOP IS ABOUT TO BE FORMEDGold SMC Daily Plan – 28/08
________________________________________
Market Context (SMC perspective):
• Price is currently trading around 3395–3396 after an impulsive bullish run and showing early bearish divergence on H4, signaling a potential short-term top.
• Key resistance sits at 3400 – a clean break above could sweep liquidity towards 342x–343x, retesting old ATH.
• If 3370 support breaks, price could retrace deeper into the 335x BUY zone for a strong bullish setup.
________________________________________
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 3396–3400 (Sell Zone), 342x–343x (liquidity sweep area)
• Support: 3370, 3354–3352 (Buy Zone), 3325 (SL for buys)
________________________________________
SMC Zones & Liquidity Pools:
• BUY ZONE 1: 3354–3352 (below liquidity sweep under 3370)
o SL: 3347
o TP: 3365 → 3375 → 3385 → 3395 → 3400+
• BUY ZONE 2: 3380 – 3382
o SL: 3374
o TP: 3390 → 3400 → 3415 →3430 → 3450+
• SELL ZONE: 3408 - 3410 (above recent high)
o SL: 3416
o TP: 3390 → 3380 → 3375 → 3360
________________________________________
Plan & Scenarios:
1. Sell Scenario (Primary Bias – Divergence Play):
o Wait for liquidity grab above 3396–3399 (sweep into resistance)
o Enter short with SL above 3403
o Scale out profits at 3390–3380–3375; leave runner targeting 3360 if support breaks
2. Buy Scenario (Counter Play – Break & Retest):
o If price dips into 3354–3352 buy zone, look for bullish reaction (choch / BOS on lower TF)
o Enter long with SL below 3347
o Target 3365–3375–3385–3395–3400+
________________________________________
Confluence:
• H4 bearish divergence indicating exhaustion at top
• Untapped liquidity zones above 3396 and below 3370
• FVG and imbalance areas aligning with the 335x buy zone