The Myth of Gold Reversals – Why Traders Keep Catching the KnifeGold is a master of deception.
It shows a clean wick into a zone, but reacts just enough to pull in early buyers or sellers — then rips straight through their stops like they weren’t even there.
The reversal looked real and the candles seemed perfect.
But the move? It was never meant for them.
This isn’t bad luck, but traders who survive aren’t trying to guess, they are the ones reading the reaction after the trap.
Let’s break down how these traps happen — and how Smart Money actually operates when XAUUSD is loading a real move.
🟥 Sell Trap – The "Instant Short" Mistake
Price pushes up into a clear reaction zone — maybe an OB, maybe an imbalance, a FVG, or a gap.
Structure looks stretched. Traders recognize a premium zone and decide it’s time to short.
The trap? Jumping in immediately on the touch, with no confirmation.
This is where Gold loves to trap sellers.
No M15 CHoCH/ BOS on M5 or real liquidity swept. Just a blind move and hope.
Price often pulls slightly higher — sweeping internal liquidity, triggering SLs — then shows a real rejection.
📌 Here’s what needs to happen before selling:
• First: look for a liquidity sweep (equal highs or engineered inducement)
• Then: price must shift — CHoCH or BOS on M15 or M5
• Finally: confirmation via bearish engulf, imbalance fill, or break + retest
• For experts: M1 can offer refined sniper triggers with minimal drawdown
💡 If none of this appears, it’s not a setup — it’s a trap.
🟩 Buy Trap – The "Wick Bounce" Illusion
Price taps a demand zone — again, a refined OB or imbalance, liquidity zone.
A long bullish wick forms. Some candles pause. It looks like a reversal.
But there’s no shift.Just hovering.
Many jump in long the second they see the wick. And then price breaks straight through.
📌 Here’s how to flip this trap into a real buy:
• Let price sweep liquidity below the zone — signs of a purge - true wick bounce
• Watch for a CHoCH or BOS on M15, M5, or even M1
• Look for a strong bullish engulf from the reactive level
• Confirm via imbalance fill or price reclaiming broken structure
📍 If all that happens — the trap becomes your entry.
If not? Stand down.
📊 What Smart Traders Actually Do Differently
They don’t chase wicks.
And never enter just because price tapped a line.
IT IS ALL ABOUT READING STRUCTURE AND PRICE ACTION.
Here’s how:
• Mark the highest probability reaction zones — above and below current price;
• Set alerts, not blind entries;
• Wait for price to come into their zone and then watch what it does there;
• Look for confirmation: CHoCHs, BOS, engulfing candles, FVG fills, clean rejections;
• And always keep one eye on the news — because Gold reacts fast and violently when volatility hits.
• Repeat this work daily until they learn how to recognize signs faster and more secure.
That’s the difference between chasing the reversal… and trading the move after the trap.
Because in this game, patience isn’t just a virtue — it’s survival.
And Gold? Well, XAUUSD has no mercy for those in a hurry and not studying its moves day by day, month after month and so on. Learn structure and price action even if you join any channel for help if you are serious about trading this amazing metal.
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Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more trading ideas and trading psychology.
Xauusdanalysis
Correction is not bearish, buy on rebound at low levelToday is critical. Yesterday, gold fell under the pressure of 3396. The next 3396 area is very critical, and it will be relatively weak below it. If it goes up, the market rebound will expand. Pay attention to 3405 or 3420 area, with the focus on 3420. As long as it is below here, it will be mainly bearish. Breaking through 3420, the market is expected to continue to rise and break yesterday's high to test the 3450 area, and then seek to fall again. On the downside, pay proper attention to the 3380 area, which is short-term support; the focus is on the 3370~3365 area, which is the next bull-bear watershed.
The daily line fell yesterday and included the previous day's big positive rise, which represents the current high-level fluctuation of the price. At present, we need to pay attention to the lower moving average support corresponding to SMA10 at 3367, while the moving average SMA30 is around 3351-53, the middle track is at 3344, and the moving average SMA60 is at 3330.
From the daily level: today's decline will not fall below 3351-53, and it is likely to be around 3367-70. We have the opportunity to participate in long orders near 3370.
Therefore, if the price touches 3370-3365 for the first time during the day, you can consider going long, with the target at 3390-3400; if the downward trend of gold continues during the day, you can go long again at 3355-3353, defend 3345, and exit the market after earning a difference of $10-20.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold fell as expected, can it reverse?📰 News information:
1. Initial unemployment claims data
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold has made a profit retracement correction as expected. The two-day rising market has led to an overly bullish sentiment in the market. Under this pattern, it is very easy to trigger an unexpected reversal trend, which is often a key opportunity to break the psychological defense line of retail investors in the market.
From the bottom of gold at 3244 to the high of 3439 this week, it can be found that the current 38.2% support position is near 3364. Moreover, the current daily SMA10 moving average position is also near 3364, SMA30 and the middle track of the Bollinger Band are near 3343, and SMA60 is near 3330.
From the daily line, if the daily line can stand above 3364, then there is still a possibility of refreshing the high of 3438 in the future. On the other hand, if the daily line falls below 3364, then 3438 may become the high point in July.
If there is a rebound in the morning, then 3384 in the white session will be the bottom support, and short positions must be participated in the European and American sessions. If the downward trend continues in the morning, there will be an opportunity to participate in long orders around 3370. At the same time, the possibility of further decline and reaching the middle line of 3343 cannot be ruled out. At the same time, if the 4H chart can form a head and shoulders top pattern, then the intraday long rebound point will not exceed 3410.
Therefore, on the whole, if it falls directly, it can be considered to go long when it first touches 3375-3365, and the target is 3390-3400; if the intraday decline is strong, the second trading opportunity is below 3355-3345, and the target is $10-20 before exiting.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3375-3365
TP 3390-3400
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
GOLD H1 Chart Update for 24 July 2025Hello Traders,
we got fall yesterday on RSI DIV and right now all eyes on 3350 Psychological level breakout if market successfully breaks that level then it will move towards 3330 or even 3315 level
some retracements remains pending around 3400-3412 zone GOLD will might retrace that zone before going further down
Reminder: PMI's day in the market
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Technical Analysis of XAUUSD – 1H July 24, 20251. Fibonacci Levels
The chart uses a Fibonacci range from 0 to 1, likely drawn from a significant low to a recent high.
The 0.5 Fibonacci level (around $3,360) is acting as a major support zone and price is currently testing this level.
2. Short-term Trend
Price broke above the previous high and formed a new high near $3,440, but then reversed sharply.
Now it’s pulling back toward a key support zone between $3,360 – $3,380.
3. Volume Analysis
Volume spiked at the top near $3,440, suggesting strong selling pressure or profit-taking.
Volume slightly increases again as price reaches support → possible buying interest at the current level.
4. Trendline (Yellow Line)
The ascending yellow trendline has been broken to the downside, signaling a break in short-term bullish momentum.
Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Bullish Rebound from Support:
If price holds above the $3,360 zone and forms bullish candles, we could see a recovery toward $3,400–$3,420.
That area can act as a short-term profit-taking zone.
Scenario 2 – Bearish Breakdown Below 0.5 Level:
If price breaks below the $3,360 support with strong bearish candles, it may drop further toward the Fibonacci 0 level (~$3,280).
Conclusion
Gold is at a critical decision point. Holding the $3,360 support could lead to a bullish bounce. Breaking it would likely confirm a short-term downtrend. Monitor the next few candles closely for confirmation.
Would you like a trade plan or entry/exit suggestion based on this chart?
Deep Pullback on XAUUSD Gold: What I'm Watching Now🚨 Gold Update & Trade Plan 🚨
Taking a look at Gold (XAUUSD) right now — it's been trending strongly in an uptrend 📈, showing impressive momentum over the past sessions. However, we've recently seen a deep pullback 🔻 that has tapped into a key liquidity pool 💧.
From this level, I'm anticipating a bullish reaction 🔁, and I’m eyeing a potential scalping or intraday opportunity. In the video, we break down:
🔹 Market structure
🔹 Price action analysis
🔹 Trend context
🔹 A complete trade plan
🎯 Entry, stop-loss, and targets are all discussed based on technicals — with precision and discipline.
This is my personal trading plan based on how I read the markets — not financial advice. Trade safe and stay sharp! ⚔️💹
The bearish wave recovery ends and a new bullish wave begins✏️ OANDA:GBPUSD After a long downtrend that touched the important support zone of 1.138 GBPUSD has recovered to the upside. The h4 candle has just closed above the accumulation zone of 1.345 to continue the upward momentum towards the peak of 1.367. The price line also created a trendline supporting the main uptrend of the pair, and the price line can follow the uptrend to the Target.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 1.345 - 1.338
Resistance: 1.360-1.367
Buy Trigger: Rejects above 1.345
Buy zone: 1.348-1.345
Target 1.367
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Gold will pause its rally today. Be cautious✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD continues to hit new highs this week. As the daily candle closes above the 3430 area, gold is creating a wide trading range of about 50 prices today. The uptrend may face a slight slowdown due to profit-taking psychology of some investors.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Rejection from 3445
Sell zone: 3463
Target: 3405
BUY trigger: 3402 (Price retests breakout zone and buyers react)
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Bullish Momentum Fading? Key Correction Levels Ahead XAUUSD – Bullish Momentum Fading? Key Correction Levels Ahead (23 July)
📰 Market Overview
Gold surged strongly overnight, driven by:
A speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, with no hints of resignation or major policy shift.
Rising geopolitical tensions between the US, China, and the EU — with the 1st of August marked as a key deadline.
A notable drop in US bond yields and the US Dollar, triggering increased demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
While today’s economic calendar is quiet, the market remains sensitive to sudden volatility.
📉 Technical Analysis
On the H4 chart, the recent bullish wave shows signs of exhaustion. Reversal candles are now forming on the H1 and M30 timeframes — suggesting a potential correction in the short term.
The 3412 – 3410 support zone will be critical. If price breaks below and invalidates the ascending trendline, we may see a deeper pullback toward lower liquidity zones (FVGs).
Below that, the 335x region offers strong confluence (Fibonacci 0.618 + previous demand zone), making it a prime area for potential long entries if price action confirms a bounce.
📌 Trade Setups to Watch
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3469 – 3471
Stop Loss: 3475
Take Profit Targets: 3465, 3460, 3455, 3450, 3445, 3440, 3430, 3420
→ Wait for a breakout and retest before shorting.
🔸 BUY SCALP: 3385 – 3383
Stop Loss: 3379
TP Targets: 3390, 3394, 3398, 3402, 3406, 3410
→ Ideal for intraday pullback entries with clear structure.
🔹 STRONG BUY ZONE: 3356 – 3354
Stop Loss: 3350
TP Targets: 3360, 3364, 3368, 3372, 3376, 3380, 3390, 3400
→ Great long-term entry zone with technical alignment (liquidity + fib levels).
⚠️ Risk Management Reminder
Even in low-news sessions, markets may spike unexpectedly due to political statements or liquidity sweeps.
Always respect your TP/SL levels — smart trading is protected trading.
💬 Patience breeds precision. Wait for the zone, trust the plan, and manage the trade.
XAUUSD (Gold) Buy Setup – VSA & Fibonacci Confluence✅ Entry Zone: 3,411 – 3,404 (Key demand zone + 50%-61.8% Fib retracement)
🎯 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,446 (previous swing high)
🎯 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,452 (extension target above resistance)
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Below 3,404 (beneath demand zone to avoid false breaks)
📊 Technical Insight:
Climactic volume seen on the initial rally signals strong professional interest in the move upward.
As price retraces, volume has decreased significantly, indicating lack of aggressive selling pressure (No Supply).
The shaded demand zone aligns perfectly with the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci retracement, suggesting a high-probability area for Smart Money accumulation.
Look for a Test Bar or Spring within this zone on low volume as confirmation of supply exhaustion.
If price confirms with a wide spread up-bar on increased volume from the zone, this will signal the beginning of a markup phase, in line with VSA principles.
📍 Bias: Bullish as long as price respects the demand zone. Aggressive traders can scale in near the demand area; conservative traders should wait for confirmation of demand dominance before entering.
XAUUSD Buy Setup – VSA + Smart Money Reaction at Demand Zone✅ Entry: Current price action (around 3,392)
🎯 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,415
🎯 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,446–3,452
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 3,381 (below the confirmed demand zone)
📊 Technical Insight (VSA-Based Analysis):
The sharp markdown into the demand zone occurred with expanding volume and wide spreads, a classic sign of stopping volume—potential smart money absorption of panic selling.
The second wide-range down candle was followed by lower volume and tighter spread bars, indicating supply exhaustion.
The market is forming a cause (accumulation) at the bottom of this drop, confirmed by:
No follow-through selling despite high volume
Narrow spread candles showing hesitation from sellers
Increasing volume on small up-bars, suggesting hidden buying
The zone aligns with previous structure and lies just above the 0.786 Fib retracement, adding further confluence to the bullish case.
GOLD - One n Single Support, holding or not??#GOLD.. market just reached at his current ultimate supporting area and that is 3385
Keep close it and if market hold it in that case we can see again bounce otherwise not..
Note: we will go for cut n reverse below 3385 on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Perfect profit on short position, long TP 3450#XAUUSD
Gold is in an upward trend from the daily chart. From the technical indicators, the SMA5-SMA10 moving averages are golden crosses, BOLL opens upward, the K line runs on the upper track of the daily Bollinger Band, and the MACD continues to increase, indicating that the bullish trend remains unchanged📈.
The approaching August 1st tariff deadline, coupled with uncertainties such as the Federal Reserve, provide short-term support for gold🔍.
📊The current lower support is at 3410-3400. If it falls back to this level during the day, you can consider going long. Gradually check 3430 and 3440 on the upside, and pay close attention to the breakthrough of the 3450 level🏅. If it effectively breaks through 3450, gold is expected to break through the historical high. If it encounters resistance near 3450 as in the previous trend, you can consider shorting📉.
🚀BUY 3410-3400
🚀TP 3430-3440
The callback continuity is poor, and the bulls are still strong📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Tariff retaliation
📈 Technical Analysis:
Trump continued to lash out at the Fed, but seemed to have backed off on whether to remove Fed Chairman Powell. The continuous rise of the gold index, once close to 3440, also ushered in a new high in more than a month. Next, we need to pay attention to whether gold can reach the 3450 mark.
Judging from the daily chart, there were three times when it touched around 3450 and then fell back. If it breaks through and stabilizes above 3450 this time, the historical high of 3500 may be refreshed. If it cannot effectively break through 3450, the probability of subsequent retracement is still very high.
From the hourly chart, the bottom support is almost at 3405-3400. However, the recent rhythm belongs to the consolidation of the Asian and European sessions, the US session has begun to rise, and the risk of serious overbought data indicators is still there. This is why I told everyone in the morning that we need to be vigilant about the current rise. Waiting for a pullback to go long is relatively more stable. I also explained in the morning that if it falls below 3405-3400, the decline may continue to around 3385. After all, the fundamental purpose of our trading is to make a profit, so we must minimize the foreseeable risks to the greatest extent possible.
On the whole, if there is an obvious stop-loss signal at 3405-3400, you can consider going long and looking at 3450. Once it falls below 3400, don't chase it easily, and pay attention to the possibility of a retracement below 3385.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3405-3400
TP 3440-3450
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold is surging, can it hit 3500?Due to the trade tensions caused by tariffs and the continued conflict between the White House and the Federal Reserve, gold continued to rise, and the current highest has reached around 3438. Obviously, after gold rose strongly and broke through the 3400 and 3420 areas, the bullish sentiment of gold has been ignited. Next, we need to pay attention to whether gold can test and stand firm at 3450.
Gold is currently extremely strong, and there is basically no room for retracement during the rise. As gold rises, the short-term support below has also moved up to the 3415-3405 area; and the upper side needs to pay attention to the breakthrough of the 3450 mark. If gold continues to break through 3450, then gold has the potential to challenge 3500 again; however, if gold still cannot effectively break through when it touches the area near 3500 again, the sentiment of gold cashing out and leaving the market may be stimulated, resulting in gold There may be room for retracement in the short term. If gold falls below 3400 during the retracement, the decline may continue to the 3395-3385 area.
Therefore, for the next short-term trading, we can first wait for the opportunity for gold to pull back, and then consider going long on gold with the 3415-3405 area as support; if gold does not give a chance to pull back, then when gold first touches the area around 3440-3450, we can consider starting to short gold.
Gold Price Analysis July 23📈 Gold Trend Analysis – Strong Uptrend but Signs of Slowdown
Gold continued to set a new peak for the week when closing the day above 3430 – confirming that the uptrend is still dominant. However, buying power is starting to slow down as the market formed a fairly wide range, around 50 prices in today's session.
Profit-taking pressure at high prices can create a short-term correction, opening up two-way trading opportunities for flexible investors.
🔑 Important technical levels (Key Levels):
🔻 Resistance zone & Sell zone:
3445: Price rejection zone – can consider selling if price fails to break through.
3463: Strong Sell zone – expect increased supply here.
🎯 Sell target:
3405: Nearest support, target for short-term sell orders.
🟢 Buy Setup:
3402: Breakout zone in US session – if price breaks strongly through this support with good volume, consider buying on the next uptrend.