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LiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of NovemberLiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of November Accumulation range 4047–3928, prioritize buying on breakout – watch for short at 4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) Overview: After the adjustment from the historical peak, gold is forming a bottom – accumulating in the price range of 4047–3928. The D1 structure still leans towards a medium-term uptrend if the price holds above 3928; the ~4200 area coinciding with a wide FVG + Fib 0.382 is a “liquidity pool” where strong reactions are likely. Macro Summary Hedge funds against public debt/deficit risks and net buying demand from some central banks/Asian blocs support the long-term trend. The expectation of a cooling interest rate path in 2026 helps reduce pressure on gold, but pullbacks may still occur before major technical milestones. Technical Analysis (D1 Frame – Trendline | S/R | Volume zone | Fibonacci) Accumulation Range: 4047 (top of the box) ↔️ 3928 (bottom of the box). D1 closing above 4047 confirms an upper range expansion; breaking 3928 triggers a deeper drop to lower Fib levels. Fibonacci of the latest upward wave: Price is oscillating around 0.618 → tendency to form a base. Deeper area if the base breaks: 0.5 ~ 3850 and 0.382 ~ 3710. Key Resistance: 4090–4120 (mid-box area), ~4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) – expected large liquidity/short-term reversal area. Important Support: 3990–4010 (psychological/trading buffer level), 3928 (lower range boundary – breakout point). Trendline: The medium-term uptrend remains if corrections do not close below 3928. Trading Scenario for the New Week Scenario 1 – Buy on trend when breaking the upper range Condition: D1 closes above 4047, retest holds firm at 4038–4047. Entry: 4048–4055 SL: 4018 TP: 4090 → 4120 → 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) Management: Take partial profit at 4090/4120, move SL to breakeven when reaching +1R. Scenario 1b – Buy at the bottom of the box (fade range) Entry: 3935–3945 (when there is a clear rejection candle/tail at 3928–3945) SL: 3895 TP: 3995–4010 → 4040–4047 Note: If D1 closes below 3928, cancel the plan and switch bias to the bearish scenario. Scenario 2 – Short reaction at the liquidity area 4200 Entry: 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) when a clear rejection appears on D1/H4 SL: 4225 TP: 4120 → 4047 → 4010 (extended target: 3850 if there is a breakdown signal) Note: Counter-trend order; reduce volume, exit quickly if D1 closes above 4205. Risk & Invalidation The medium-term bullish bias remains valid as long as D1 does not close below 3928. D1 closing below 3928 paves the way to 3850 (Fib 0.5), even 3710 (Fib 0.382). Strong news (CPI, employment, central bank speeches) may disrupt signals; wait for candle closure according to the chosen frame. Summary Gold is “spring-loaded” within 4047–3928. Priority plan: Buy on breakout–hold 4047 to target 4090–4120 and test ~4200; simultaneously watch for short reactions at 4200. If breaking 3928, switch scenario to bearish towards 3850 → 3710.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP...💛 XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP DECLINE 🎯 🌤 1. Overview Hello everyone 💬 Gold just wrapped up the week with a candle closing at the 4001 zone, after a slight increase and then holding steady within the upward channel on the H4 frame. The current sideways movement is causing many traders difficulty in finding short-term entry points. However, the 4090 zone still has an unfilled liquidity gap (FVG), which coincides with the upper edge of the price channel. This could be the next short-term target before the market adjusts for a deeper decline. From my perspective, gold might rise another step to sweep the liquidity in the upper region, then adjust back to the 3785 area – a crucial Fibonacci Retracement zone, where a strong reaction from buyers is highly likely. 💹 2. Technical Analysis 📈 The price structure is still maintaining an upward trend within the H4 price channel, with each subsequent low higher than the previous. 🟣 The 4090–4102 zone is an untested liquidity area, located at the channel peak – a high chance of a downward reaction. 🔹 Potential Buy zone around 3785–3789 coincides with Fibonacci 0.618 and a strong historical support area. 💫 Main Scenario: Price may rise to test the upper liquidity zone, then adjust down to the Buy Zone before forming a larger upward momentum. 🎯 3. Trading Plan Reference 💢 SELL Scenario (short-term) Entry: 4098–4102 ｜ SL: 4112 TP: 4078 – 4025 – 3998 – 3920 – 3875 – 3785 💖 BUY Scenario (long-term strategy) Entry: 3785–3789 ｜ SL: 3777 TP: 3810 – 3865 – 3925 – 3988 ⚠️ 4. Important Notes Prioritize short-term Sell if price reacts strongly at the 4090–4100 zone. Long-term Buy only if price adjusts deeply to the 3785–3790 zone. Avoid emotional trading – this is a liquidity accumulation phase before a major move. 🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2 Gold is on the right path of accumulation before forming a big wave 💛 Be patient and observe reactions at the two critical zones 4090 and 3785, as these could be the pivot points for the upcoming week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAU/USD – Retest Before Takeoff📊 Market Structure After several days of fluctuating within a narrow range, gold has finally broken through the main descending trendline extending from the peak of 4,108 USD. Buyers are currently controlling the short-term structure by continuously creating BoS (Break of Structure) in the price range of 3,965 – 3,980 USD. The Order Block 3,970 – 3,975 USD area has become an important dynamic support zone , converging with the newly formed trendline. If the price continues to hold above this area, there is a high possibility of a light retest to absorb liquidity before breaking out to higher resistance zones. Above, the Resistance 4,028 USD zone is the first barrier to overcome to confirm the medium-term uptrend, while the Liquidity Zone around 4,070 – 4,080 USD is the extended target of the breakout. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Order Block (Support): 3,970 – 3,975 USD → potential retest area. • Resistance Zone: 4,028 USD → first profit-taking point for buyers. • Liquidity Zone: 4,070 – 4,080 USD → extended target if resistance is successfully broken. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Scenario – Retest OB: If the price adjusts to the 3,970 – 3,975 USD area and a confirming candle signal appears (bullish rejection / engulfing): • Entry: 3,972 – 3,975 • SL: 3,960 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 4,028 • TP3: 4,070 → Prioritize trading with the trend after the uptrend structure is confirmed. 2️⃣ SELL Scenario – Reaction at Resistance: If the price hits the 4,028 – 4,070 USD area and there is a strong reversal signal: • Entry: 4,045 • SL: 4,065 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 3,985 → Short-term scalp, only activate if a clear rejection signal appears. 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is showing signs of transitioning from accumulation to range expansion . Breaking the descending trendline is the first signal for a new upward move, as long as the OB 3,970 area remains intact. Buyers can take advantage of pullbacks to increase their position, targeting 4,070 USD – where significant liquidity converges above. “Break the line, respect the retest — that’s where smart money joins the move.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 07/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold 4H – Key Liquidity Zones Ahead of US PMI & Fed Commentary🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Outlook | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold continues to consolidate within a tight 4H range as traders prepare for a week influenced by U.S. PMI releases, Fed speeches, and shifting rate-cut expectations. Mixed economic signals — including softer labor data but resilient manufacturing prints — have kept gold trapped between supply overhead and stacked demand levels below. Institutional flows remain cautious, with markets waiting for clarity on the Fed’s stance. This uncertainty often fuels liquidity-driven sweeps, making this week especially favorable for SMC-style setups. Short-term volatility is expected as price interacts with major liquidity pools on both ends of the range. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View) • Price is moving within a well-defined range structure, with repeated liquidity grabs on both sides indicating accumulation by larger players. • The latest 4H ChoCH signals continued hesitation from buyers near the mid-range, hinting that the market may engineer another sweep before committing to a directional leg. • A significant Premium Supply Zone at 4154–4152 sits just above recent equal highs — an attractive area for liquidity hunts followed by potential short-term distribution. • Conversely, the Discount Demand Zone at 3907–3909 aligns with previous structural reaction levels and sits below a liquidity shelf, making it an ideal zone for re-accumulation. • Expect engineered stop-hunts around mid-range liquidity (4000–4016) before a stronger move develops. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3907–3909 SL: 3900 TP targets: 3978 → 4003 → 4016 → 4125 Rationale: • Discount zone within the current 4H range • Liquidity resting below the structure lows • Potential accumulation before the next bullish impulse 🔴 Sell Zone: 4154–4152 SL: 4161 TP targets: 4080 → 4016 → 3978 → 3920 Rationale: • Premium supply positioned above equal-high liquidity • Likely area for a sweep before corrective downside • Confluence with previous 4H structure rejection ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 ChoCH or BOS confirmation inside each zone before entering. • Expect liquidity manipulation around 4000–4016, especially during US session opens. • Avoid entries 10–15 minutes before major Fed or PMI releases to limit spread expansion. • Scale partial profits at each structural target to lock in gains while letting runners play out. ✅ Summary Gold remains in a controlled 4H range with clear institutional footprints above and below the current price. Smart Money is likely to engineer a move into either the 4150 supply or the 3900 demand before choosing its next major direction. Both setups offer high-probability opportunities when combined with intraday confirmations. Stay patient, wait for liquidity sweeps, and respect structure. Premium sells remain valid at 4154–4152, while discounted buys are favored at 3907–3909. 🔔 FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
9
XAU/USD – Holds Its Range, Preparing for a Year-End Expansion🔍 Market Context Friday’s New York session closed with a two-sided liquidity sweep, yet gold managed to hold its structural balance, maintaining the same rhythm seen over the past two weeks — sideways to mildly bearish, but firmly supported. This behavior shows that buyers are still defending key zones, especially around 3,940$ – 3,980$, which MMFLOW highlighted multiple times last week as the decisive liquidity floor. From a macro lens, the Fed’s cautious tone has slowed expectations for aggressive rate cuts — but the probability of another reduction before Q1 2026 remains alive. As we move toward the final stretch of the year, thinner liquidity and seasonal safe-haven flows could help gold establish a mid-term bottom, setting the stage for the next impulsive leg. 📊 Technical Structure (H4) The current chart presents a clear 5-wave recovery structure within a tightening range — a classic setup before expansion. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support Zone: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + strong absorption area) • 🎯 Wave 3 Target: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (first reaction zone) • ⚙️ Extended Target / Wave 5: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 projection) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term structure, possible re-accumulation lower. The structure remains sideways but constructive, and a confirmed breakout of the descending trendline could act as the catalyst for a year-end bullish continuation. 🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View Smart money continues to accumulate within equilibrium zones, with every liquidity sweep appearing more like preparation than rejection. As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the bullish bias remains valid — with a 60%+ probability of a move toward 4,130$+ in the short to mid-term. Historically, November–December often brings portfolio rebalancing and policy easing cycles, both of which may serve as fuel for a potential gold rally into Q1 2026. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Accumulation isn’t waiting — it’s when big money quietly builds the next wave.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD Eyes 4000$ Breakout as Accumulation Phase Near Completion🔍 Market Context After a week of sideways consolidation within a broad range, gold (XAU/USD) is showing the first signs of structural recovery. The market is gradually carving a potential short-term bottom, hinting that the corrective phase may be ending — and a breakout from the range could be imminent. Despite the lack of new macro catalysts, sentiment remains underpinned by renewed safe-haven flows and expectations that the Fed will maintain its easing stance through early 2026. Traders are now watching closely whether the 4,000$ handle will finally give way — a key inflection zone that could trigger aggressive momentum buying if reclaimed. 📊 Technical Structure (H1–H4) Gold is currently trading above the intraday demand zone 3,969$–3,982$, maintaining a short-term bullish structure while compressing under resistance. The descending trendline and Fibo confluence near 4,019$–4,048$ act as the next critical reaction area for breakout confirmation. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Demand Zone: 3,969$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + ascending trendline confluence) • 🎯 Primary Resistance: 4,019$ – 4,048$ (trendline + Fibo 1.272/1.618) • ⚙️ Bullish Target: 4,046$ → 4,052$ → 4,090$ (extended range liquidity) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,960$ → risk of a deeper correction toward 3,940$. 🎯 MMFLOW Outlook Smart money appears to be absorbing liquidity within the 3,970$ zone, suggesting accumulation before expansion. If gold can break and sustain above 4,000$, the bias flips decisively bullish — opening the door for a range expansion toward 4,050$+. This could mark the beginning of a new impulse phase following weeks of compression. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “When volatility sleeps, liquidity quietly builds the next trend.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold: Consolidation trend remains unbrokenGold has just tested the 4020-4030 resistance zone, only to pull back under pressure and retrace. This indicates that the resistance zone remains effective today. With the non-farm payroll data not being released, gold prices are expected to continue their sideways trend. From the 4-hour chart perspective, focus on the short-term resistance at 4020-4030. The key pivot point for bull-bear dynamics lies at 4045-4055. For support levels, watch the short-term zone at 3960-3970, with critical attention on the previous low support at 3888-3890. Our trading strategy, which was provided this morning, has already been validated by the market. We still recommend prioritizing short positions on rebounds for now, and caution against chasing the trend.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by KingArthur_
XAUUSD – Consolidation Before Drop**Gold (XAUUSD) – Consolidation Before Potential Downside Move** Gold continues to hover in a consolidation range after the recent breakout and structural shift on the 3H chart. The bullish momentum that previously dominated has now slowed, indicating a possible distribution phase forming near the $4,050–$4,100 zone. The market structure shows repeated rejections at the upper boundary, suggesting that buyers are losing strength. With BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations in the recent candles and a clear lack of higher highs, a potential downside continuation could unfold once the current range is broken. If sellers take control below $3,978, the next liquidity targets lie around **$3,886** and possibly **$3,614**. This scenario aligns with the broader retracement expectation after a strong prior uptrend. However, a confirmed breakout above the consolidation area would shift the short-term bias back to bullish, with upside potential toward **$4,248** and beyond. **Market Outlook:** Neutral → Bearish **Bias:** Short-term corrective move expected **Key Levels:** * Resistance: $4,050 – $4,100 * Support: $3,886 – $3,614 **Tags:** #Gold #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSDforecast #GoldPricePrediction #GoldTrading #GoldMarket #Commodities #TradingViewIdeas
TVC:GOLDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE
17
Gold (XAUUSD) – 6 Nov | Watching Supply 4030, Demand 3990 Zone🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 6 November Hello Disciplined Traders, Welcome to the Chart Is Mirror Community 👋 Market Context • Gold continues to show bullish momentum after retesting the 3935–3915.6 demand zone . • As per our yesterday’s analysis , we expected a retest of the 3942.5–3936.4 POI zone for a long setup, but the market did not retrace that deep. • Instead, it formed a new support around 3956 and broke structure ( BoS ), confirming the M15 uptrend aligned with the H4 pullback phase . • During the morning session, the market respected structure and resumed its bullish momentum from the 3967–3963 demand zone . Key Observations • There is a supply zone around 4022.5–4030.9 , aligned with the M15 major LH level , where potential rejection can occur. • If the market respects this zone, we can plan a short setup with LTF confirmation targeting the 3990–3982.5 POI buy zone . • For bullish continuation, our buying POI zone 3990–3982.5 remains valid — if respected with LTF bullish confirmation , we’ll plan our next long setup accordingly. • If the market fails to hold this buy zone, it could retrace deeper to 3942.5–3936.4 , which will act as our next buy zone of interest . Execution Plan • Observe market reaction around 4022.5–4030.9 supply zone for short opportunities. • Watch 3990–3982.5 for potential long setups with confirmation. • If broken, the next key buy zone is 3942.5–3936.4 . • No confirmation, no entry — let structure lead your participation. Stillness between impulses defines precision. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartIsMirror
XAU/USD Intraday Plan — 3989 Support Holding, Next Stop 4042?Price has broken above 3989 and pulled back to retest the 50MA, which is now holding as support. If bullish momentum continues, the 50MA looks ready to cross above the 200MA, which would strengthen the short-term bullish momentum. The next resistance is at 4042. A clean break above 4042 could open the move toward 4090. If buyers fail to hold above 3989, price may slide back into the First Reaction Zone (3957–3918). Failure to hold that zone could bring the Support Zone and even the HTF Support Zone back into play. 📌Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 4042 4090 4142 Support: 3989 3957 3918 3884 3851 3820 3781 🔎 Fundamental Focus: Not many high-impact releases today. We do have several FOMC members speaking, along with Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations later. As always, keep in mind that geopolitical and broader macro sentiment continue to play a major role here — even with a quiet calendar, gold can still react to headlines.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Gold) | November 7, 2025 🔹 Momentum D1 timeframe: Daily momentum is turning upward, but just one more bullish candle will push it into the overbought zone. This suggests that the current upward move may not be sustainable, and a short-term correction could occur soon. H4 timeframe: H4 momentum is about to turn bullish from the oversold area. If this signal is confirmed, we can expect a short-term upward move. However, as the market is currently in a balanced state, even a small push from either buyers or sellers could shift momentum direction. Therefore, it’s better to observe carefully rather than act too early. 90M timeframe: Momentum on the 90-minute chart is turning downward, indicating a possible short-term pullback before any further advance. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure D1 timeframe: The ongoing rise in momentum indicates that wave X is still unfolding, meaning the corrective phase is not yet complete. H4 timeframe: Wave X is currently forming. The liquidity zone at 4028 remains a key level to watch. If the price breaks above this zone, the next target will likely be the upper liquidity zone at 4070. On the H4 chart, the green level around 4007 represents the highest-volume area, currently acting as a strong resistance. Combined with the H4 bullish momentum reversal, it shows buying pressure exists, but the resistance remains heavy, making the 4007–4028 region a key battleground. We should wait for a clear breakout before confirming the next direction. 90M timeframe: • A triangle-like structure seems to be forming, but it’s not yet complete, so confirmation is needed. • Waves a and b appear finished; the market may now be forming wave c (black) or wave d (black). • Since H4 momentum is turning bullish, if the price breaks above 4012, it will likely confirm wave c continuation. • Conversely, if the price drops toward 3950, completing a three-wave WXY (blue) structure, we can consider it wave d instead. Currently, wave c (black) is temporarily labeled since the structure already shows three subwaves completed. Therefore, I expect a decline toward 3950, where we can look for a short-term buy setup. ________________________________________ 🎯 Trade Plan • Buy Zone: 3952 – 3950 • Stoploss: 3935 • TP1: 3980 • TP2: 4000
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
StevenTrading – Gold M30 Plan | S/R – Trendline – POC/VAL ...⚡️ StevenTrading – Gold M30 Plan | S/R – Trendline – POC/VAL (Friday) 📰 Fundamental Analysis (Cash-flow & USD) Gold holds above the $4,000 mark thanks to increased safe-haven demand and expectations of early Fed easing. The market still bets on a rate cut in December, reinforcing the medium-term uptrend for gold. However, the USD's intraday rebound may limit the upside, so prioritize quick in/out strategies with strict discipline. 📊 Technical Focus (M30, no Fibonacci) Trendline: the downtrend line has been broken; price is accumulating above the trendline, inclined to wait for retest → continuation. Key Resistance – Support: Resistance: 4019 (confirmation gate/recent peak), 4040–4044 (strong supply cluster at the end of the day). Support: 4006, 3997–3999, 3982 (POC + VAL – large liquidity zone). 🎯 Trading Scenarios (Action Plan) 🟢 BUY – Follow the trend Scenario 1: Buy 3997–3999 · SL 3993 · TP 4005 → 4016 → 4032 → 4040 Logic: Pullback to thick liquidity support cluster coinciding with dense trading area; holding above trendline. Scenario 2: Buy 3982 · SL 3975 · TP 3990 → 4016 → 4040 Logic: POC + VAL are liquidity supports, expecting a rebound following the upward structure. 🔴 SELL – Only scalp reactions Scenario: Sell 4019 · SL 4025 · TP 4013 → 4002 Logic: Near resistance; only enter when M15–M30 shows clear rejection signals (pinbar/fake breakout engulf). Do not hold overnight. ⚠️ Risk & Invalidations Long invalidation: M30 candle closes below 3975–3980 → stop buying, wait for new structure. Sell scalp invalidation: M30 candle closes above 4025/4044 → stop selling, wait for pullback to buy. Risk ≤1%/trade, take profit at milestones; avoid chasing price in the middle zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAUUSD Forming Bullish MomentumGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around the 4,000 mark, showing strong bullish momentum after an extended breakout from a prolonged consolidation phase. The market has successfully cleared its previous resistance zone, which had acted as a ceiling for months, confirming a continuation of the broader uptrend. The pattern on the chart clearly reflects a breakout-retest-continuation structure, where gold has completed a healthy pullback phase and is now preparing for its next impulsive move to the upside. As long as price remains above the 3,900 support area, the bullish outlook stays intact, with buyers likely targeting the 4,300–4,500 region in the coming sessions. Fundamentally, gold’s bullish tone is being supported by a combination of softer U.S. dollar sentiment and growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may adopt a more dovish stance heading into 2026. Inflation data has shown signs of moderating, and U.S. Treasury yields have started to ease, which typically benefits non-yielding assets like gold. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions and central bank accumulation of gold reserves continue to add a strong layer of demand, keeping the metal well-supported even during short-term pullbacks. Looking forward, XAUUSD’s trend remains positive as long as market conditions sustain this risk-hedging narrative. Any dips toward 3,950–3,900 could offer fresh buying opportunities for swing traders targeting the next leg higher. The technical picture complements the fundamentals, suggesting that gold may be entering a new expansion phase toward the 4,500–4,700 zone if momentum persists. A clean daily close above 4,100 would likely confirm this next bullish wave, keeping the overall sentiment firmly in favor of the bulls.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Market volatility, trade steadily.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD As mentioned last night, gold prices failed to break below the important short-term support level of 3965, so we maintain our bullish view. Although the intraday volatility was not high, the consolidation process can be seen as gold accumulating positions in the short term. Market breakout requires patience. Currently, the daily MA5 and MA10 moving averages are converging around 3980, which is also where the 4-hour middle band is located. The key resistance level in the short term is in the 4015-4030 area. A break above this level could lead to further gains towards 4050-4080. It's important to be cautious given the recent volatile market with poor continuity. Therefore, even if a breakout occurs today, it is not advisable to rush to buy. Instead, wait for a pullback before entering the market to avoid being trapped by blindly chasing highs. The 3980-3965range remains the ideal entry point for bulls. Maintaining patience is always a key element in trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC
Maintain the morning's trading strategyDue to the government shutdown, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics failed to issue the October Nonfarm Payrolls report as scheduled, marking the second consecutive "absence" of the report. Therefore, for today's U.S. trading session, we will maintain the morning's trading strategy and continue to treat the market as a volatile trend. We will focus on short-selling on rebounds, adopt a "observe more, trade less" approach, refrain from chasing trades cautiously, and patiently wait for key levels to enter positions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by KingArthur_
Gold: Trade Flexibly Within the 3963–4030 RangeDue to the U.S. government shutdown, NFP data has been delayed for two consecutive months and the CPI cycle has also experienced its first full interruption. Congress is currently negotiating, and expectations suggest the government may reopen by mid-month — a positive sign for the market. If October and November labor data are released together by the end of the month, along with the delayed CPI update, this could significantly reshape Fed policy expectations: Strong jobs and sticky inflation → Fed may delay rate cuts Signs of economic slowdown → Rate-cut expectations strengthen A concentrated release of key economic data will likely increase market volatility. Opportunities and risks will rise together, so risk management is essential. From a technical standpoint, yesterday’s intraday spike and pullback reflected the tug-of-war between safe-haven demand and risk aversion. Selling pressure above 4006 capped upside momentum, but dip-buying interest allowed price to reclaim the 4000 level. The tug-of-war continues. On the 4-hour chart, moving averages are starting to converge, with price holding above the MA60 but no clear directional signal yet. Key resistance remains at 4030/4050/4080-4100, while support sits at 3988-3982, with the broader support zone at 3948-3921. Short-term structure on the 30M and 1H charts is bearish, suggesting potential further downside. Therefore, the 3988-3982 support area will be critical — holding above it keeps room for a bullish reversal. Trading Strategy: Medium- to long-term: accumulate long positions gradually Short-term: trade the range — sell highs, buy dips If price breaks key levels, consider reversal trades; in this tug-of-war environment, flexible strategies may capture better opportunities
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
XAUUSD: Short on rebounds ahead of the Non-Farm PayrollsIt closed around the 3977 level on Thursday, with the lowest touching around 3964.4 before finishing in a range-bound move, which also hit the 3960-3970 zone I indicated yesterday. I also kept emphasizing yesterday not to chase long positions at high levels. Gold faces heavy resistance above. The bulls can only break through if driven by significant bullish news; otherwise, we will continue to stick to shorting on rebounds. With the Non-Farm Payrolls report due this Friday, we will maintain the approach of shorting on rebounds during the morning. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the immediate resistance above is focused on the 4020-4025 zone, with the key bull-bear watershed at 4047-4055. For short-term support, watch the 3960-3970 area, while the key support lies at the previous low around 3888-3890. In terms of operation, I still recommend prioritizing shorting on rebounds. For mid-range levels, we should always adhere to observing more and acting less, be cautious about chasing orders, and patiently wait for entry at key levels. Trading Strategy: Sell 4010 - 4020 SL 4030 TP 3980 - 3970 - 3960 Buy 3920 - 3930 SL 3910 TP 3950 - 3960 - 3970
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by KingArthur_
XAUUSD: Bullish Structure Shift Targeting Liquidity Above OB ?Break of Structure (BOS): There's a clear "BOS" labeled, indicating that the price has broken above a previous lower high. This is typically interpreted as a shift from a short-term downtrend (or consolidation) to an uptrend (or a structural move higher). Order Block (OB): An "OB" (Order Block) is highlighted. This is a zone where a significant number of buy orders are believed to have been placed, making it a potential support area where price might retrace before moving higher. Sell-Side Liquidity (BOS/$$$): The areas labeled "$$$" above the recent high represent liquidity. These are points where stop-loss orders from short sellers or pending sell orders are clustered, making them attractive targets for institutional traders to drive the price toward, often causing a quick move through that level. Bearish Divergence (SMT): The "SMT" (Smart Money Technique) is marked, which often refers to a divergence between two correlated assets (like Gold and a US Dollar index) or a specific pattern where the low of one asset failed to reach the low of another, suggesting institutional manipulation or a short-term reversal (in this case, preceding the BOS). Projected Move: The arrows illustrate a common trading hypothesis: the price is expected to retrace to the Order Block (OB), find support there, and then rally to take out the Sell-Side Liquidity ($$$) above the previous highs.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
1
XAUUSD — Intraday bullish if 3,996 holds — Targets 4,031 → 4,046Overview Market printed CHOCH → BOS up intraday. I’ll look for a sell-side sweep into 3,996 (Bullish OB + FVG) and take confirmation longs toward BSL at 4,031 and extension 4,046. I’m not interested in chasing highs; I want liquidity → confirmation. SMC Map (from your chart) Buy-side liquidity (targets): 4,031.455, 4,046.774 Supply / Bearish OB: ~4,011 Mitigation zone: Bullish OB + FVG ~3,996.993 HTF Demand / Invalidation floor: 3,952.474 Structure: CHOCH → BOS up (intraday). Playbook: sweep → BOS → FVG fill → OB entry. Scenarios (reference levels) Scenario 1 – Long (preferred) Entry zone: 3,997–3,999 after a sweep of 3,996 + M5 BOS up and pullback (FVG fill). SL: below 3,992 or below the M5 BOS swing low. TP1: 4,011 (supply/OB). TP2: 4,031 (BSL). Runner: 4,046 (next BSL). Management: take partial at TP1, move SL → BE; trail to structure. Scenario 2 – Defensive short (reaction only) Entry zone: 4,011–4,013 if price taps supply and prints M5 BOS down. SL: above 4,016 or above reaction high. TP1: 4,002 (intra support). TP2: 3,996 (mitigation zone) → consider flip long if confirmation appears. Invalidation: H1 close above 4,015 (supply reclaimed). Notes & Session Timing Focus on London Killzone; re-assess for NY if 4,011 breaks/holds. No entries without confirmation (avoid FOMO at highs). News/catalyst: manage size around data; protect gains into volatility spikes. Risk Partial at TP1, SL → BE post-confirmation. Risk per trade ≤ your plan. This is a personal view, not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Karina_ilina