Gold remains strong. Latest analysis.Gold continued its upward trend, breaking all-time highs several times, reaching as high as 3790.97. It traded around 3780 in early US trading. Following the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate cut last week, market expectations of further easing this year, coupled with geopolitical uncertainty, have fueled demand for safe-haven and inflation hedging, pushing gold prices to explore a new equilibrium range.
The 1-hour chart shows that gold prices have recently been rallying around the middle Bollinger Band. Early in the Asian session on Tuesday, the price continued its upward trend, retreating slightly to touch the middle Bollinger Band before stabilizing and continuing its upward trend. It retreated in the European session, but remained stable near the middle Bollinger Band before rebounding to an Asian high of 3759.
Currently, the European session has broken through the highs strongly, and the US session is likely to continue its upward trend. A pullback near the 10-day moving average is expected, and above the middle band, the bullish trend remains. Considering the crossover points, the 3770-3760 area is a key focus. If it stabilizes, the bullish trend will continue, with the profit range focused on 3790-3800. A strong upward breakthrough could potentially reach the 3800 mark. Otherwise, a strong upward breakthrough will likely continue, and a volatile upward trend will likely persist.
Short-term trading strategy:
Go long around 3760-3770, stop loss at 3750, profit range 3790-3800.
Xauusdanalysis
How to accurately arrange long and short positions?Gold is currently standing firmly above the 3750 line, with a maximum impact of 3791, just one step away from the 3800 mark. The overall bullish momentum has not weakened. If gold can continue to stabilize above 3750, it means that the 3800 mark will most likely be tested. The short-term market is still in a strong bullish pattern. We are currently focusing on the 3760-3750 support zone. If this area can effectively stabilize, it will be an ideal entry point for short-term bulls and has a strong reference value. From the 4-hour cycle, the effective support below is maintained in the area around 3760-3750, while the upper pressure is at the 3800 mark, which is the key balance point between a strong breakthrough and a technical pullback. In terms of operating strategy, it is still recommended to maintain the idea of "low-long as the main and high-short as the auxiliary". Specifically, if the price falls back to 3750-3760 without breaking through, you can go long with a light position, and target around 3800 first; if the price touches the 3800 area, you can try to go short with a light position, but you must enter and exit quickly and strictly control the stop loss; in the middle position, you should wait and see, watch more and do less, to avoid repeated consumption of funds by range fluctuations. Overall, the current bullish trend of gold still dominates the market, but as the price gradually approaches the integer mark, market volatility may intensify. Short-term operations must be steady and cautious, control the rhythm, wait for key points to enter the market, and respond flexibly. This is the core idea at the current stage.
9/23: Focus on Shorts, Watch Support at 3712–3706Good morning everyone!
Gold extended its bullish momentum yesterday with a one-sided rally. After holding above 3680, price tested 3721 resistance, pulled back to 3712-3706 support without breaking, and then climbed further toward 3750.
📊 Technical Outlook:
30M chart shows bearish divergence, suggesting possible short-term pullback.
1H chart still supports the bullish structure, though momentum is slowing.
Daily close with a strong bullish candle confirms buyers remain in control, but profit-taking and psychological resistance near record highs could weigh on momentum.
📌 Trading Strategy:
Avoid chasing longs near 3750 and above; look for short opportunities in this zone.
Watch support at 3734-3728, with key zones at 3712-3706 / 3685. If support holds, consider long entries on pullbacks.
Market fluctuates repeatedly, focusing on Powell's speechLast night, gold still did not provide an opportunity to pull back and go long. Instead, it continued to rise near the end of the trading day. Gold rose again after opening this morning and once approached 3760 before falling back, maintaining a narrow range of high fluctuations during the day. The daily line closed with a positive sign, but the MA5 and MA10 moving averages did not move up accordingly, indicating that yesterday's rise in gold was purely caused by news. At this time, we should be more vigilant about gold rising and falling. Pay attention to the upper pressure of 3760-3770. If gold touches the upper side again in the short term and encounters resistance and pressure, aggressive investors may consider shorting with a light position and waiting for a pullback. The focus below is 3730, which was the trend suppression yesterday and also the dividing point between short-term gains and losses for bulls and bears. A more conservative approach is to wait for a pullback to 3740-3730 before buying gold.
Don't chase the rise when the market is bullishbe wary of Powell#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Sure enough, after suggesting last night that gold might reach 3760, gold continued to rise this morning, reaching a high of around 3759, which basically met our expectations. Yesterday's daily line closed positive again, but the MA5 and MA10 moving averages did not move up, indicating that yesterday's rise in gold was purely caused by news. At the same time, we should be alert to the possibility of a technical correction in gold. The price of gold has been rising continuously and is at a historical high. Any good news may trigger profit-taking, causing prices to fall. In the short term, focus on the resistance level of 3758-3768; only a break and sustained move above this level will give gold the potential to reach 3800. Otherwise, the price will likely correct. Today's trading focus is on the US session, with market attention on Powell's speech. If he signals an attempt to moderate market expectations for aggressive rate cuts, the dollar could rise, thus putting pressure on gold.
Key support levels to watch are around 3730, which was yesterday's trend resistance and a key level for short-term trend reversal. A break below this level could lead to a move towards 3710-3700. However, the market is still dominated by bulls. If the European session falls back to the support level of 3740-3730 and is not broken, go long on gold. The market trend is unpredictable and the technical analysis is already distorted. You can exit the market when you make a profit of $10-30. Don't be too greedy. Be sure to manage your position well and set a stop loss.
Gold fluctuated slightly. Waiting for an opportunity?Gold fluctuated upward on Monday, stabilized in the Asian session, and saw a sharp rise in the European and American sessions. The market on Monday continued the strong performance of last Friday, and gold performed strongly in the short term.
After recently breaking through the key resistance level of $3,703, gold broke through the previous high and set a historical high of $3,758. The $3,700 integer mark has changed from a resistance level to an important support level. The gold hourly moving average has formed a golden cross upward. The gold bulls are very strong upward. The gold highs are constantly being refreshed. The price pullback is an opportunity to go long.
From the 4-hour chart, the effective support below is maintained at around 3720-3725, and the key pressure above is maintained at 3770-3780. The resistance after breaking through will move up to the 3800 integer mark.
Trading strategy:
Go long around 3725, cover at 3715, stop loss at 3700, profit range 3750-3760-3780.
STEVEN XAUUSD – Buy Scenario Following the TrendTechnical Analysis
Gold continues to maintain a strong upward trend after breaking out of the previous accumulation zone. Currently, the price has tested the 3,742–3,744 area and is showing signs of pausing for a short-term correction.
The EMA200 H1 (3,662) is still sloping upwards, confirming that the main upward trend remains intact.
Fibonacci Retracement for the most recent rise:
The 0.786 level (3,738) coincides with the Volume Profile area – this is the first support for a short-term buy scenario.
The 0.618 level (3,707) aligns with the old resistance now turned support – a strong confluence, suitable for finding the main Buy point.
The RSI (14) is around 63–65, not yet in the overbought zone, indicating there is still room for growth.
Trading Scenario
Prioritize Buy following the trend
Entry 1: 3,738–3,740
SL: 3,730
TP: 3,750 – 3,760
Entry 2: 3,707–3,710
SL: 3,695
TP: 3,738 – 3,760 – 3,780
Price Levels to Watch
3,742–3,744: short-term resistance, may cause adjustments.
3,738–3,740: nearby support, suitable for quick Buy.
3,707–3,710: strong support, important Buy zone.
3,780–3,785: extended resistance, target of the upward trend.
This is a reference scenario, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses and scenarios in upcoming sessions.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 23, 2025
Momentum
• D1: Momentum is in an uptrend, currently on the 3rd bullish candle of the cycle. This suggests we may see at least 2 more bullish daily candles from now.
• H4: Momentum has turned bearish, indicating the possibility of a corrective decline within today’s H4 structure.
• H1: Momentum has already turned bearish and is approaching oversold territory. This shows the current decline is weakening, and a short-term rebound is likely. However, if momentum turns back up and enters the overbought zone but fails to break the previous high, another bearish leg may follow.
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Wave Structure
• D1: After completing wave 4 (yellow), price broke the previous high, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. Wave 5 (yellow) targets are projected at 3789.019 and 3887.117.
• H4: Wave 3 (yellow) has completed, followed by a corrective structure in a flat WXY pattern. Currently, price is rising steeply, suggesting wave 5 (yellow) is underway. With H4 momentum turning bearish, this pullback could correspond to wave 4 within the ongoing wave 5 (yellow).
• H1: Wave 3 (black) has formed with a complete 5-wave sequence (blue). Price is now in wave 4 (black), which could develop as a Zigzag, Flat, or Triangle correction.
Wave 4 (black) target zones:
1. 3729.447
2. 3709.732
3. 3696.422
Once H4 momentum turns bullish from the oversold region, the nearest level among these zones is the most likely end of wave 4.
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Trading Plan
Buy limit strategy at support zones:
• Buy Zone 1: 3730 – 3727
o SL: 3719
o TP: 3760
• Buy Zone 2: 3710 – 3707
o SL: 3696
o TP: 3729
If price extends lower, additional buy opportunities can be considered around 3696 or deeper levels marked on the chart.
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👉 The primary trend remains bullish, with wave 5 (yellow) in progress. The plan is to wait for wave 4 (black) to complete and then enter Buy positions in alignment with the larger uptrend.
Gold remains strong. 3800?In Tuesday's Asian session, gold hit around 3758 before retreating and currently fluctuating around 3743. While gold continues to hit new highs, the bullish trend remains. Monday's analysis suggests that after breaking through the resistance level of 3745, the upward trend will reach 3760, a level it has successfully reached.
The current market environment is characterized by geopolitical instability, rising risk aversion for gold, and the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. Therefore, gold is unlikely to experience a significant decline in the short term. Therefore, based on the strength of the trend, it is expected to rise to a high of 3780 in the short term. Further upward movement will only reach the 3800 level.
From a technical perspective, the Bollinger Bands on both the daily and 4-hour charts show strong unilateral strength, with continued upward breakthroughs and minimal corrections. In short-term trading, observe the changes in small cycles. The support point below the hourly line is around 3735. If the adjustment is too strong, it can be seen around 3710 below. In the short term, it is recommended to go long when it falls back to the 3735-3710 range.
XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves Forming on H4 ChartHello Trader,
On the H4 chart, gold is forming a fairly classic Wolfe Waves pattern. The fifth wave has completed, and the price is entering the critical resistance zone of 3760 – 3770, which is also a potential Sell Zone. With the current structure, the preferred scenario is a short-term downward correction before the main trend resumes.
Technical Analysis
The price has touched the 2.618 Fibonacci Extension and reacted downward, indicating profit-taking pressure.
The MACD still shows strong previous buying momentum, but the histogram is starting to weaken, aligning with the potential for a corrective wave.
Area 3760 – 3770: a critical resistance zone, coinciding with the fifth wave of the Wolfe Waves.
Trading Scenario
Sell Order According to Wolfe Waves
Entry: 3760 – 3770
SL: 3782 (above resistance zone)
TP: 3710 -3660 -3610 – 3620 (key level Wolfe target)
Sell when price confirms below the trendline
Entry 3727-3730
sl 3735
tp 3715-3700-3686-3665
Short-term Buy Scalping
Entry: 3705 – 3708
SL: 3700
TP: 3720-3730 – 3745- 3766
Note: This is just a short-term retracement strategy, counter to the correction, so risk management is crucial.
Conclusion
Short-term: Prioritize observing reversal signals at 3760 – 3770 for a Sell.
Medium-term: Wait for Buy opportunities around 3564 – 3574 to align with the main trend.
The market is entering a distribution and correction phase, so patiently waiting for candle confirmations at key areas will be key to optimizing entry.
This is the Wolfe Waves scenario I propose for gold during this period. Feel free to refer and adjust according to your own strategy.
Follow me for the fastest updates when the price structure changes.
Gold: Stabilized at 3700? New Week's Upside and Pullback TipsThe gold price has broken through the 3700 level for the third time 📈. Although there have been multiple pullbacks during this period, it has never fallen below the critical support range of 3600-3625 🔒, and the current selling pressure in the market has eased significantly.
Looking ahead to the new week, gold is expected to continue its steady upward trend. If it can stabilize above 3700 this time, the subsequent upward space can further target the 3730-3750 range; however, caution is needed: if the short-term rise is too fast, it may once again trigger profit-taking selling, leading to a gold price correction. In the event of such a correction, the 3640-3660 range will be a relatively safe entry level for buying on dips ✅
Buy 3680 - 3690
TP 3700 - 3720 - 3730
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold Possible MovementsGold is currently facing a rejection zone around 3740.
If the price rejects from this zone, we could see a move down towards the 3720 support level, before bouncing back upward.
However, if the 3720 support fails to hold and the market breaks below, then Gold may drop further to test its next strong support zone, from where a potential bullish reaction can be expected.
Gold breaks through 3710
Since the Fed’s interest rate decision was announced, gold’s second attempt to break above the 3700 mark fell short, leading to a sharp subsequent decline. The market then began to question the uptrend and fear a deep correction. Last Friday, market sentiment was almost unanimously bearish on a pullback, with the view that after rebounding to 3670, gold would drop a second time and break below the 3630 level. However, I clearly stated in my article last week that we should use the area below 3620 as the defensive level and continue going long at 3650. Sure enough, gold surged to above 3680 in late trading on Friday.
Currently, gold has broken through the critical resistance level of 3710 and continues to move higher. We can seek opportunities to go long at lower prices
In our weekend analysis, we predicted that gold would continue its upward movement in the new week, with 3710 as the resistance level. As it turns out, gold indeed broke through 3710 today and kept moving higher.
Buy 3680 - 3690
TP 3700 - 3710 - 3720
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Bullish Trend? Pullbacks as Opportunities?From the daily chart, gold has successfully reversed its previous weakness and firmly established itself above all major moving averages, demonstrating a clear bullish trend. Although gold prices may experience short-term high volatility, any pullbacks are expected to be limited.
Strong support has shifted to around 3700. The market is likely to maintain its upward momentum from this level until it breaks below. The primary upside target is 3745, and a break above this level will target the strong resistance area of 3760.
Gold prices continued to rise in the US market, with no signs of a pullback from the 3734 high. The 1-hour moving average remains bullish. Quaid believes that the current trading strategy remains to follow the market. The primary strategy is to wait for a pullback to around the 3715 support area to look for long opportunities. However, caution is advised regarding the current significant resistance level, as this level could potentially form a top and trigger a technical pullback.
Trading Recommendations:
Short at 3740-3745, stop loss at 3755. Profit range: 3720-3710-3700.
Go long on a pullback to 3710-3715, stop loss at 3700. Profit range: 3730-3750.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold 1H – Fed Signals & Geopolitics Keep Bulls ActiveGold on the 1H timeframe is trading near 3,705–3,710 after a strong BOS, holding inside a rising channel. Liquidity is stacked above at the premium resistance zone around 3,716–3,718, while demand sits lower at 3,687–3,689 and deeper at the FVG zone 3,654–3,656. Recent Fed dovish signals following last week’s rate cut, along with escalating geopolitical tensions, continue to support safe-haven demand. However, upcoming U.S. inflation data and Fed speakers could spark engineered sweeps into premium supply before retracements into discount demand zones.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,718–3,716 (SL 3,725): Premium resistance where liquidity sweeps may trigger short-term rejections targeting 3,710 → 3,700 → 3,690 .
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,687–3,689 (SL 3,680): Near-term demand zone aligned with channel structure, offering a pullback entry targeting 3,695 → 3,700 → 3,715+.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,654–3,656 (SL 3,647): Deeper discount support, attractive for longer setups targeting 3,670 → 3,685 → 3,700+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Pullback to Demand (3,687–3,689)
• Entry: 3,687–3,689
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,695
TP2: 3,700
TP3: 3,715+.
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Sweep (3,654–3,656)
• Entry: 3,654–3,656
• Stop Loss: 3,647
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,670
TP2: 3,685
TP3: 3,700+
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,716–3,718)
• Entry: 3,718–3,716
• Stop Loss: 3,725
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,710
TP2: 3,700
TP3: 3,690.
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🔑 Strategy Note
The Fed’s dovish tilt and safe-haven flows from geopolitical risks are sustaining bullish momentum, but intraday structure suggests smart money may first engineer stop-runs into premium resistance before retracing toward demand. Maintain buy-the-dip bias at defined support zones, while fading liquidity sweeps near 3,716–3,718 with caution. Volatility could increase as markets await fresh U.S. inflation data and Fed policy remarks.
EURUSD – H1 Trading Scenario
EURUSD is currently testing the rising trendline resistance, which also coincides with a prior liquidity accumulation zone during the previous bearish leg. A reaction from this area is highly likely.
That said, the corrective phase is not yet over, and several Fibonacci retracement levels remain untested. This leaves room to continue expecting further upside momentum.
The plan is to look for buy opportunities at zones where liquidity gaps (FVG) appear, with stops placed at nearby support levels. On the other hand, sell setups will be considered at Fibonacci retracement levels, prioritising short-term profit taking through scalping.
Trading Scenarios
Buy Setup
Entry: 1.1750 – 1.1760
Stop Loss: 1.1720
Take Profit: 1.1785 – 1.1810 – 1.1855
Sell Setup
Entry: 1.1820 – 1.1830
Stop Loss: 1.1860
Take Prfit: 1.1790 – 1.1765 – 1.1730 – 1.1710
You can use this scenario as a reference to shape your own trading plan. Stay tuned for my next updates to catch new setups in real time.
XAUUSD – Gold Trading (M30) – Price Momentum Near Record Highs📊 Market Overview
Gold is holding strong near 3,720 USD/oz, sustaining its bullish momentum after reclaiming record highs earlier this week. Support for gold remains firm on the back of:
The Fed’s dovish policy stance, signaling potential additional rate cuts later this year.
Persistent geopolitical risks maintaining safe-haven demand.
A robust 39% year-to-date gain, showing continued investor confidence in gold.
🔢 Key Technical Levels (M30)
🔴 Resistance / SELL Zone
3,754.073 – Major reaction area; expect sellers to defend this level for a possible pullback.
🟡 Intermediate Support
3,708.967 – First key area for a bullish bounce if price dips.
🟢 Support / BUY Zones
3,686.064 – Trendline confluence, strong candidate for new long entries.
3,671.728 – Secondary support zone if deeper correction occurs.
3,661.413 – Critical demand zone; breaking below may trigger a stronger bearish wave.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation (Primary Bias)
BUY: Look for price action confirmation at 3,708–3,686 or trendline retests.
Targets: 3,754 (main resistance), partial profits at 3,730–3,740.
Stop Loss: Below 3,671 to manage risk.
2️⃣ Countertrend SELL Setup
SELL: Enter shorts at 3,754–3,755 if strong rejection appears.
Targets: 3,708 → 3,686, move SL to entry once in profit.
3️⃣ Deep Correction Opportunity
BUY: Scale in at 3,661–3,662 if price flushes deeper, aligning with broader uptrend.
Targets: 3,708 → 3,754, leaving some positions open if bullish momentum resumes.
⚠ Risk Management Tips
Expect high volatility due to news flow and the dollar’s movements—adjust position size accordingly.
Confirm entries with candlestick patterns or volume spikes to avoid false signals.
Avoid mid-range trades between 3,708–3,754 without clear setups.
💬 Discussion
📊 Will gold push beyond 3,754 to test new highs, or retrace toward the buy zones first? Share your outlook or charts below to compare strategies!
The bullish trend remains strong; look for opportunities to buy Gold fluctuated upward today, reaching a new high driven by multiple factors. It was originally expected that gold would retreat to near the inflection point and then rise, but unfortunately the market did not give it an opportunity and the bears had no choice but to stop their losses. From a technical perspective, the gold price stabilized above the MA5 moving average, the hourly moving average spread out upward in a bullish arrangement, and the Bollinger Bands opened upward, indicating that the market bulls have completely dominated. Gold is currently retreating. The top and bottom conversion position below 3710-3700 is being watched in the NY market. If the support level is not broken after a pullback, we can consider going long on gold, with the target at 3730-3750.