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Xauusdanalysis

Gold (XAUUSD) 1D TF Symmetrical Triangle BreakoutOANDA:XAUUSD Symmetrical triangle consolidation (May–Aug 2025). Breakout confirmed in early September with a strong vertical rally. Volume/price action suggests a valid breakout, not a fakeout. Current Price: $3,635 ATH at $3,674 📌 Target Levels (charted white lines + structure) 1️⃣ $3,605 → Already tested/holding as immediate breakout validation. This is acting as the first resistance → now turned support. 2️⃣ $3,518 → Previous consolidation resistance. If price pulls back, this is the first major retest zone. A healthy retracement could wick into this area before resuming trend. 3️⃣ $3,428 → Secondary support and former supply zone. This is deeper correction territory. Break below this weakens momentum but doesn’t kill the bullish structure. ?️ $3,377 → The “?” zone is the triangle apex retest (classic in TA). If gold corrects sharply, this is the line in the sand where buyers MUST defend. Losing this would suggest a probable failed breakout and open more downside. 🎯 Forward Outlook Bullish Path: As long as price stays above $3,518– or a retest at $3,428 / $3,377 continuation toward $3,700+ and eventually $4,000 is very much on the table. 📉 Correction Path: A dip to $3,428–$3,518 would be a healthy reset after the parabolic move. Invalidation: A daily close below $3,377 would put the breakout at risk. Gold broke out of its triangle with power. Now, $3,605 is the “make or break” line. Hold above it, and bulls keep control with eyes on $3,700–$4,000. 👀 Lose $3,377, and the breakout fizzles into deeper correction. What do you think! 💡 let me know your view on this idea ? Always DYOR, Trade Safely, See you on the other side, -Jova
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jova-A
Gold: Fed Rate Cuts AheadGold: Fed Rate Cuts Ahead Gold trades near record highs at $3,665 as markets brace for the Fed’s policy decision. A 25 bps cut—the first this year—is widely expected amid labor market weakness. While the move is largely priced in, the spotlight is on Powell’s press conference and the updated dot plot for clues on the pace of future easing. A soft tone could pressure the dollar and push XAUUSD toward fresh highs, but underdelivery risks short-term pullbacks. Despite recent profit-taking, gold remains supported by safe-haven demand, strong retail interest, and expectations of further monetary easing. Traders are eyeing resistance near $3,700, while support holds around $3,640.
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by ProfessorSingapore
ANFIBO – GBPJPY H1 Medium-Term StrategyANFIBO – GBPJPY H1 Medium-Term Strategy I’d like to share my outlook on GBPJPY. The bullish channel on the H1 timeframe remains very strong and stable. This pair has been trending upwards for quite some time, with price reacting cleanly at both the upper and lower trendlines. Advantages: The structure is fairly straightforward, which makes it easier to identify entry points. Drawback: For traders targeting larger moves, profit potential may feel limited as the current range offers a maximum of around 100 pips. Trading Plan We continue to wait for opportunities within this channel, focusing on liquidity zones and key psychological levels for entries. Sell Setup Entry: 200.20 – 200.30 Stop Loss: 200.50 Take Profit: 200.00 – 199.85 – 199.70 Buy Setup Entry: 199.70 – 199.60 Stop Loss: 199.40 Take Profit: 199.85 – 200.10 – 200.35 – 200.55 – 200.80 – 201.00 Best of luck with your trades following this scenario, and keep an eye out for my upcoming updates.
Long
by ANFIBO_
XAUUSD H1 – Pennant + Head & Shoulders:XAUUSD H1 – Pennant + Head & Shoulders: Key Levels 3657 / 3627 Hello Traders, Gold started the week with a bounce of over 20 points from the rising trendline and is now consolidating inside a Pennant, which also lines up with a small Head & Shoulders on the H1 chart. The market is waiting for a breakout and confirmation to set the next clear move. What to Watch 3655–3660: Key reaction area (trendline + Pennant top). 3627: Critical support — if broken, it would invalidate the short-term bullish setup. Fibonacci: 1.618 mid-range, 2.618 lower — possible correction targets. MACD (12,26,9): Histogram has turned negative → short-term downside pressure, but no firm confirmation yet. Trading Scenarios Bullish Setup Entry: Retest around 3654–3657 Targets: 3663 – 3670 – 3680 → 3695 Stop: Below 3648 Bearish Setup Entry: Sell on a confirmed break, or on a retest at 3671–3674 Targets: 3663 – 3650 – 3633 – 3615 → 3595 → 3568 → 3540 Stop: Above 3679 markets now see a near-certain chance of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on 17 September, with some probability of a 0.50% cut still in play. If you find this analysis useful, drop your thoughts in the comments. I’ll share updated scenarios as soon as the structure shifts — follow me to get the latest insights quickly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD on retest completion of sweepsXAUUSD is on rising channel and following the retracement for sweeps. 2 Potential Zones to Re-Enter Longs Target: 3725–3730 What possible scenario we have? 1️⃣ 3672–3669 If price sweeps below 3674-3772 (equal low) and regains this level on the 1H, a buying opportunity opens up. 2️⃣ 3650–3645 Following the completion point of rising wedge and intersection points of structural support &trendine. 3️⃣ 3625–3630 A deeper, high-interest zone with inducement and H4 structural support All the entires should be taken once all the rules are applied
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
Gold at the Fed’s Crossroads: Bearish Windfall of 500–1000 PipsToday, we accurately grasped the rhythm of gold's fluctuations. In the previous trading idea, we clearly pointed out that gold is likely to reach the 3700-3710 area, and the latest trading plan is to continue shorting gold near this area, with the expected primary retracement target at 3680-3670. Obviously, even in the market's clamor for a rise, we are sticking to our trading logic, accurately grasping the volatility high near 3703 to short gold, and directly hitting TP: 3680. A very good short-term short trade! For the gold market, the next highlight will of course be the Federal Reserve’s announcement of its interest rate decision.Market expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve are rising, and there are also bets that there will be three rate cuts this year, with the first starting this week. Gold certainly lived up to expectations and, fueled by market expectations of a rate cut, soared all the way to over 3,700. So, what are my thoughts on the gold market regarding the upcoming Fed interest rate decision? In fact, judging from the current U.S. economic and inflation data, as well as current market expectations, there are only two possibilities for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision: a 25 basis point cut or a 50 basis point cut. If the Fed cuts rates by 25 basis points, falling short of market expectations, the gold market could experience a surge followed by a decline, with the inflection point likely located between 3705 and 3715. If the Fed cuts rates by 50 basis points, in line with market expectations, bullish sentiment will intensify, with buying funds continuing to push gold higher, potentially reaching around 3730-3735, where a turning point could occur. However, considering that gold prices already surged ahead of the Fed's rate announcement, this move is likely intended to create room for further declines. Furthermore, given the "buy expectations, sell the facts" phenomenon, gold is likely to experience a surge followed by a decline. Furthermore, I believe the Fed is likely to adopt a gradual approach to rate cuts, so I believe the most likely rate cut will be 25 basis points, with the inflection point likely located between 3705 and 3715. Therefore, we can focus on the opportunity to short gold in the 3705-3715 area. Even if gold continues to rise, we can pay attention to the short trading opportunities near the extreme area of 3730-3735. Once gold experiences a sharp pullback, it may trigger large funds to take profits and panic selling, and gold may continue to fall to around 3650 or even around 3630.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 17, 2025 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently rising. As of today, the upward move has lasted for 3–4 daily candles. Therefore, in the next 1–2 days, momentum is likely to enter the overbought zone. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is in the oversold area and starting to reverse. Once confirmed, we can expect at least 4–5 bullish H4 candles. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is already in the oversold zone and has turned upward, suggesting an immediate short-term rally. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: Price is moving within black wave v. Since black wave iii was extended, black wave v is likely to be approximately equal in length to black wave i. • H4 timeframe: Inside black wave v, we expect a 5-wave green structure to form. Currently, green wave 1 seems to have completed, and price is correcting within green wave 2. • H1 timeframe: Within green wave 1, a 5-wave black structure has been completed. Price is now developing a corrective black ABC pattern. Target zones for black wave C: • Target 1: 3675 • Target 2: 3657 Note: Wave 2 usually retraces to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of wave 1, which coincides with the 3657 zone. This is the key level to consider for a buy setup. Trading Plan • Buy Zone: 3658 – 3655 • Stop Loss: 3645 • Take Profit (TP1): 3677
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Fed Cuts Could Ignite a Breakout Above $3,700？📊 Technical Structure Gold (XAU/USD) is trading near $3,682 after bouncing from the support zone at $3,678 – $3,679. The chart highlights a bullish setup, with potential continuation towards the resistance zone $3,691 – $3,695. The short-term trendline break also supports renewed upside momentum, while buyers remain in control above the support base. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $3,678 – $3,679 (near support zone) Stop Loss: $3,677 (below support) Take Profit: $3,691 / $3,695 (resistance zone) Risk/Reward: ~1 : 7.17 🗝️ Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $3,691 – $3,695 Support Zone: $3,678 – $3,679 Major Resistance Above: $3,700 psychological barrier Key Support Below: $3,674 🌐 Macro Background Gold is firming up as markets await the FOMC decision, with traders widely expecting a 25 bps Fed rate cut—the first in 2025. The prospect of further cuts later this year supports gold as a non-yielding asset. However, easing US-China trade tensions and improved risk sentiment could limit haven flows in the short run. 📌 Trade Summary The technical setup favours a long entry near $3,679, targeting the $3,691–$3,695 resistance area. The bias remains bullish while gold holds above $3,678 support. Watch for volatility around the Fed decision later today. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
Scenario of Fed cutting interest rates stronglyGold prices are hovering at record highs and all eyes are on the US Federal Reserve. A surprise decision – even a “dramatic cut” as President Donald Trump has suggested – could be the catalyst for a new wave of price increases. Although the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by another 0.25 percentage points after its meeting on September 17, it is the language and tone of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech that will determine the next move for gold prices, according to the World Gold Council’s (WGC) weekly market report. Last week’s gold price action reflected a mix of inflation data and political turmoil. In the US, mixed inflation, a cooling labor market and weak consumer confidence kept expectations of interest rate cuts high.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold Price Analysis September 16Gold started the new week with a strong daily candle, reinforcing the current uptrend. The target of 3700 is getting closer and is likely to be reached this week if the uptrend continues to be strong. Corrections to the support zone are considered golden opportunities to find buying points in the direction of the trend. Potential BUY zones today: 3657 and 3621 - monitor price reaction here to find confirmation signals for BUY orders. The main trend is still up, prioritize buying strategies following the recovery to optimize profits.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Bulls Walking on Thin Ice1. Yesterday’s action In yesterday’s analysis I said that although the chart looks bullish, Gold bulls should be very careful. After all, price had already climbed 4,000 pips in less than a month, and such complacency usually doesn’t end well. During yesterday’s session, XAUUSD spiked above 3700, quickly reversed, and touched the newly formed support at 3675. From there, price attempted another push higher. Now we are once again back at support. 2. Key question Will the 3670 zone hold, or are bulls about to lose control of the market? 3. Why caution is needed • The chart is still bullish overall, but the structure is becoming increasingly concerning. • If bulls lose the 3670 zone, I don’t expect a quick rebound from 3650. • Instead, the market is more likely to continue lower, with at least a move toward 3620. 4. Trading plan • From my perspective, buying here is very risky, even riskier than selling. • I remain out of the market, waiting for a GOOD entry to sell. • My target is a 700–1000 pip as usual, which I believe will come to the downside, not the upside. 5. Conclusion Gold’s chart may still look bullish, but risk is shifting quickly. Chasing longs here could be dangerous — patience and discipline are key until the right sell opportunity appears 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
17
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Strategy for TodaySharing my personal outlook on gold for the day. The primary trend in XAUUSD remains extremely strong, with price posting successive new highs over the past two weeks. Notably, buying pressure has been consistently robust across sessions, while pullbacks have been brief and limited to the lower M15–M30 timeframes. Yesterday, gold broke out of a Pennant pattern to the upside and is now consolidating around 3,680. On the H4 chart, this level coincides with a key Fibonacci area, adding confluence to the technical picture. From an Elliott Wave perspective, I expect Wave 3 to complete around 3,700, followed by a corrective Wave 4 towards 3,660 – a zone that has previously acted as solid support. Thereafter, gold could enter its final Wave 5, with potential to extend towards the 3,740+ region. Trade ideas (for reference): Buy 3658 – 3656, SL 3651, TP 3674 – 3688 – 3700 – 3715 – 3730 – 3744 Sell 3697 – 3700, SL 3705, TP 3688 – 3672 – 3660 – 3650 Sell 3740 – 3744, SL 3748, TP to be assessed based on price structure at that time Key additional levels to monitor: 3673 – 3663 – 3635 and 3721, as these zones may trigger reactions and offer opportunities for scalping. This represents my personal view on gold for today – I hope it proves useful in your trading decisions. Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
9/17: Ahead of Rate Decision, Trade Within 3668–3706 RangeGood morning, everyone! Yesterday, after breaking above 3682, the price reached the 3692–3702 area before pulling back. Those of you who carefully followed the strategy should have caught this move. At the moment, the price is near support. Ahead of the interest rate decision, the main support lies around 3670–3658, while resistance is in the 3700–3706/3712 area. Trading can be focused within the 3706–3668 range. The key today is the interest rate decision. If the price falls before the news, then buying opportunities may arise during the announcement. If the price rises beforehand, look for selling opportunities after the news. I’ve marked today’s intraday trading range on the chart for reference. You can plan trades based on the price area. If anything is unclear, feel free to leave me a message.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Gold Battlefield – Sept 17, 2025Hello traders, tomorrow’s gold stage is lit by one spotlight: FOMC. Price has just kissed fresh highs near 3699–3703, and now hovers at 3693, as if the market is pausing to breathe before the next strike. Gold has climbed over 4000 pips without a healthy pullback — the question everyone is asking: is this distribution or just another recharge before bulls explode higher? On the Daily chart, momentum is hot. RSI presses high, EMAs are spread wide, and price sits way above the 21EMA. Buyers still dominate, but the market is overheating. The supply ceiling above 3700–3730 holds the liquidity sellers wait for, while the demand base at 3640–3660 is the floor where old imbalances and OBs rest. On H4/H1, gold is boxed in: Support at 3675–3685. Resistance at 3695–3703. As long as price dances inside, it’s noise — the breakout will tell the real story. The buy cushion is 3675–3680, where EMAs cluster and structure aligns. Between them lies indecision, a battlefield of liquidity grabs. Scenarios? 🔸 If gold holds above 3680 and breaks 3695 with force, bulls target 3720–3730. 🔸 If rejection repeats at 3700 and price slips under 3680, doors swing open to 3660–3650, maybe the long-awaited pullback. Tomorrow is not about chasing the middle — it’s about patience. Wait for the extremes, the BOS, the CHoCH, the slowdown. With FOMC on stage, both sides can be swept before the real move begins. Here’s the map: Above 3700 → trap zone for sellers. Around 3680 → key seat for buyers. In between → we only watch the fight. Trade smart, trade precise, and remember: the edge belongs to those who wait for confirmation at the levels that matter. 🚀 What’s your take – does gold push through 3700 or are we finally due for that deeper pullback? Drop your thoughts 👇, hit that like & follow GoldFxMinds for tomorrow’s live precision updates ✨
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
The trend after 3700 mark is more worth looking forward to!Gold has been hitting new highs recently. Yesterday, it broke through the previous high of 3674 in the US market and surged towards 3685. Despite a brief pullback in early trading, it surged back to 3698 in the European session and even broke through 3703 in the US market, maintaining a clear bullish trend. The current pullback is a normal technical correction and has little impact on the overall uptrend, but instead builds momentum for a subsequent surge. The key support level at 3670 is currently under consideration. This level has become a short-term dividing line between bulls and bears. A break below this level will clearly indicate a bullish advantage, but a potential decline should be viewed with caution. Above this, focus on the 3705 level. A break above this level could test the 3710-3720 area, and a strong breakout could open up further upside potential. Trading strategies should include a light short position near 3705 to capture profits on pullbacks, waiting for a pullback to the 3685-3675 area to stabilize before entering a long position. The bullish trend continues to target the 3700-3705 area. The overall strategy remains to prioritize buying on dips, with a secondary focus on selling on higher levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
ANFIBO | XAUUSD got ATH on 09.16.2025 and what?Gold has made a new breakout by breaking through the sizeway zone and rising to a new ATH. The plan is that we need to pay attention to the price zone around the 3700 resistance. Today's plan is as follows: 💚 SUPPORT ZONES: 3675 - 3655 ❤️ RESISTANCE ZONES: 3700 - 3705 - 3745 ✅ BUY SCALP: around 3675, SL 3670, TP 3700 - 3745 ❌ SELL SCALP: 3700 - 3705, SL 3710, TP 3675 - 3655 ✅ SWING BUY: 3550 - 3560, SL 3540, TP 3625 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN ❌ SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN Hope is right!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
The opportunity is right in front of you, don’t miss it!Yesterday, the technical analysis of gold showed a rapid downward retreat in the Asian session, breaking through the 3630 mark and stabilizing and rebounding. It fluctuated and consolidated around the 3630 mark in the European and US sessions, and finally ushered in a strong rise by bulls. The price of gold accelerated to break through and stand above the 3670 mark to set a new historical high. The gold bulls rose as expected, and there are still new highs above, so we are patiently waiting for gold to continue to rise. When it falls back, we will continue to look for opportunities to enter the market and go long. Yesterday, we responded flexibly around the key points, and made precise arrangements with two-way thinking to achieve a double kill of long and short, a steady harvest, and perfectly reach our goals. Today we continue to wait for further declines. After all, all indicators are bullish. Don’t guess the top if the bulls are strong. If the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision is on Thursday, then the line around 3700 will also be within reach. At present, don’t blindly chase the longs above the 3680 line. If your current trading is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid investment pitfalls. Welcome to communicate with us! From the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3670-3360. If it pulls back to this position, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3650. As long as the daily closing level does not fall below this position, any pullback is an opportunity to go long, and the main tone of participating in the trend will remain unchanged. I will provide you with the specific operation strategies at the bottom, please pay attention to them in time. Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to around 3675-3360, target 3690-3695. If it breaks, look at the 3700 line.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
1
False Break at 3700:Retreating Toward 3680-3670Currently, the highest price of gold has reached around 3699, and it is only one step away from the 3700 mark! I have to say that against the backdrop of significantly increased market expectations for interest rate cuts, the resonance of technical and news factors has pushed up gold prices. The current bullish momentum is strong, and there has been almost no obvious pullback during the rise. At this stage, most of these are tricks played by big funds, and it is actually difficult for retail investors to participate in long transactions. Therefore, at this stage, I will not rush to chase the rise in gold prices. From an intraday perspective, gold still has the potential to hit the 3700-3710 area, so my latest trading plan is to continue shorting gold near this area. With gold bulls so strong, why I am still optimistic about a gold pullback. The main reason is that the current market is facing a critical time window. The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision tomorrow, but I think the Federal Reserve may announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut in a step-by-step manner, rather than the 50 basis points expected by the market. If the rate falls far short of market expectations, gold could experience a significant pullback or even a crash. However, the sharp rise in gold prices near the Fed's rate decision suggests it may be an attempt to reserve room for further declines. In addition, based on the current trading volume, the small trading volume may not be able to support the continued upward trend of gold. It is for this reason that while I avoid chasing high gold prices, I also always remain optimistic about gold shorts. Therefore, at this stage, I would consider shorting gold in batches based on market price performance. By effectively raising the average entry price, we can reap the first bite of the pie after gold prices fall. However, we must note that short-term support for gold currently lies in the 3680-3670 area, with strong structural support below that at 3660-3650. Therefore, in order to lock in profits in time, these two support areas will be our primary target areas for short trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
President Trump Speaks, Israel Strikes—What’s Gold Gonna Do?Hey Guys, It’s been a while since I dropped a gold chart. Got a ton of requests—so here’s a fresh swing setup for you. Fundamentally, President Trump recently said “Trump says his patience with Putin is running out.” That kind of statement adds fuel to gold’s upside. Plus, Israel’s attacks in the Middle East are also pushing gold higher. Right now, gold’s in a resting phase. But I’m expecting a move toward $3700 either this week or next. Technically, I’m seeing a clean bull flag pattern. I always work with both fundamentals and technicals. That’s why my swing target is $3700. Every like you send is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these setups. Big thanks to everyone backing me.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TraderTilki
64