XAUUSD LONG SETUP 1:2 RR ( NOV 05, 2025 )If you have doubt on our trades you can test in demo.
OANDA:XAUUSD NEW LONG SETUP
EP: 3972.539
TP: 3996.226
SL: 3960.454
Trade Ideas:
Idea is clearly shown on chart + we have some secret psychologies and tools behind this.
Trade Signal:
I provide trade signals here so follow my account and you can check my previous analysis. So don't miss trade opportunity so follow must.
Xauusdanalysis
Gold Bearish Continuation After Range BreakdownThe chart shows that gold (XAUUSD) recently broke down from a clear consolidation range highlighted by the red rectangle. This range acted as a distribution zone where price repeatedly failed to break higher. Once the lower boundary of that range broke, sellers gained momentum, pushing price downward.
Price has now pulled back toward the broken structure, forming a corrective bullish move — likely a retracement before further downside. The projection on the chart suggests a lower-high formation followed by continuation to the downside.
Key observations:
Breakdown from consolidation: The range around 3960–4000 was rejected multiple times, confirming strong resistance.
Pullback to structure: Current bullish candles appear corrective, not impulsive.
Bearish projection: The chart shows expected continuation toward levels around 3929, 3900, and potentially lower.
Stop-loss area: The SL is clearly marked at 4000.234, above the former resistance zone.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Nov 05, 2025)
🔹 Momentum
D1 timeframe:
Daily momentum has reversed to the downside, suggesting that the dominant trend for the next 4–5 days is likely to be bearish.
H4 timeframe:
H4 momentum is currently turning upward, indicating a potential short-term bullish correction lasting 4–5 H4 candles.
However, since price action is within a corrective wave, short-term momentum signals can be noisy. Still, this minor rally can provide valuable observation opportunities.
H1 timeframe:
H1 momentum is now in the overbought zone and about to turn down.
I usually take entries when H1 and H4 momentum align, but right now they are out of phase, so the best move is to wait and observe.
The 3891 level will be a key area to monitor in the short term.
________________________________________
🔹 Wave Structure
D1 timeframe:
The corrective wave X (purple) within wave (4) (yellow) appears to be forming or nearing completion.
The downside reversal on D1 suggests that wave X might have already ended, and price could now be starting wave Y downward.
A break below 3892 would confirm that wave X is complete.
However, note that this X-wave retracement is quite shallow (around 0.283 of the previous W-wave), which reduces the reliability of the momentum signal — meaning we must stay cautious and monitor closely.
________________________________________
H4 timeframe:
On H4, the structure of wave X (purple) shows signs of a contracting triangle, anchored around the 4028 resistance zone with higher lows.
In this scenario, an a–b–c correction is expected, where wave b forms the triangle, and wave c could rise toward 4050–4149 to complete the X-wave.
However, the strong drop yesterday is weakening this scenario, though not invalidated yet.
→ The bullish scenario would be fully invalidated if price breaks below 3892.
Thus, we must monitor two possible cases:
1. Case 1:
Wave X is still in progress – supported by the current H4 momentum upswing.
If price breaks above 4028 when H4 momentum reaches overbought, it will strengthen this view.
2. Case 2:
Wave X has already completed as a triangle (abcde) shown on H1.
In this case, the ongoing H4 rally is just a corrective bounce, and once H4 momentum enters overbought and price fails to close above 4028, a new bearish leg is likely to start.
________________________________________
H1 timeframe:
The corrective X-wave (purple) seems to have completed as a triangle (abcde, black).
That means the market is now likely in wave Y (purple) on D1, where the main trend is bearish, and any upmove is only corrective.
Hence, the 3981 liquidity zone above is considered a high-probability sell area.
________________________________________
🔹 Trading Plan
• Sell Zone: 3981 – 3983
• Stop Loss: 4002
• Take Profit 1: 3892
• Take Profit 2: 3814
⚠️ Note:
Current volatility is extremely high — each H1 candle covers more than 200 pips.
Therefore, the stop loss range is wide.
👉 To manage risk effectively:
• Either avoid trading during this phase, or
• Reduce position size to keep account safety intact.
GOLD How to Trade the XAUUSD Range Breakout StrategyLet's cut straight to the chase on Gold (XAU/USD). Right now, the chart isn't giving us much to work with. We are locked solid in a textbook range-bound environment. 😒
If you compare this choppy, sideways action to the clear trends we've seen previously, the difference is stark. There is simply no directional conviction in the market at the moment; we're witnessing classic accumulation/distribution—or just plain indecision.
My focus is simple: Patience is your edge right now. I'm not interested in getting chopped up inside this consolidation zone. We are waiting for a concise, decisive move—a clean breakout—either above the high or below the low of this current range.. and a retest of the range. ⬆️⬇️
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above, followed by a successful re-test and fail. That's our green light for a long position, signaling momentum has shifted North. 🚀
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown and re-test of the range. That's the cue for a short opportunity, confirming bearish momentum. 📉
The breakout and re-test confirmation will be key. Until then, I'll stand aside and preserve capital. No setup, no trade. 🔥
StevenTrading – XAUUSD Strategy for Gold in an Upward Price...StevenTrading – XAUUSD
Strategy for Gold in an Upward Price Channel
Hello everyone, StevenTrading is back with today's gold perspective – a deeper analysis of price behavior as global capital flows are experiencing strong shifts.
The latest data shows that gold investment funds have recorded a net withdrawal of -7.5 billion USD in the past week as investors took profits after a historic rise. Notably, the previous week saw an inflow of +8.5 billion USD, reflecting the extreme volatility of capital flows.
In the last 4 months, gold funds have still attracted a total of +59 billion USD, indicating that institutional money continues to maintain a positive trend, despite short-term adjustments.
📰 Fundamental Analysis – Market Perspective
The main driver keeping gold strong is the rotation of capital between assets in a context where global liquidity remains abundant.
With persistent inflation and central banks maintaining a cautious stance, investors tend to take temporary profits but still hold a proportion of gold in their portfolios.
Short-term selling pressure is therefore just a phase of re-accumulation, not a signal of a trend reversal.
As long as global liquidity is not tightened, gold will maintain upward momentum in the medium to long term.
📊 Technical Analysis – Trading Strategy in the Price Channel
On the chart, gold is still moving within an upward price channel, with no signs of breaking the structure.
Currently, the price is fluctuating in the range of 396x – 404x, indicating a temporary equilibrium state.
The market still respects the upper and lower boundaries of the price channel, creating opportunities for short-term trading at the boundaries while waiting for clear breakout signals.
Main mindset: As long as the price holds the upward channel structure, prioritize Buying at the lower trendline and short Selling at resistance areas, waiting for confirmation signals to enter trades.
🎯 Trading Scenarios (Action Plan)
🔴 Sell Scenario – When the price fails at the resistance area:
If the price slightly breaks the resistance and then reverses, the sell setup will be activated.
Entry: Sell 3978 after confirming price rejection.
SL: 3985
TP: 3962 – 3946 – 3922
🟢 Buy Scenario – Buy when the price bounces from the trendline:
If the price adjusts to touch the upward trendline and bounces strongly, this is a favorable entry area in line with the trend.
Entry: Buy 3993 after confirming trendline reaction.
SL: 3985
TP: 4010 – 4048 – 4103
📌 Steven's Notes
The overall structure still leans towards an uptrend, but the market is in a liquidity hunting phase, suitable for short-term and flexible trading.
Maintain discipline, only enter trades in areas with clear confirmation, and always manage risk strictly.
This week's success comes from patience and precision in every entry.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Buyers Need 3989 BreakAfter breaking below the 3989 support level yesterday, gold tested the First Reaction Zone as anticipated, where buyers stepped in and defended the area.
Price is now trading around 3968, but still below both the MA50 and MA200, which keeps short-term momentum bearish.
For buyers to regain control, we need a clear break and hold above the 3989 level. A break above this area could open the move toward the 4042 resistance, with 4090 possible if momentum continues.
If price fails to reclaim the 3989 level, we may see another retest of the Reaction Zone. Failure to hold that area could expose the lower Support Zone and potentially the HTF Support Zone below.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
3989
4042
4090
4120
Support:
3957
3918
3884
3851
3820
3781
🔎 Fundamental Focus:
Today has a few medium-to-high impact U.S. releases, including ADP Employment, and ISM Services PMI, which could influence intraday volatility. Later in the session, President Trump is scheduled to speak, which also has the potential to move markets depending on tone and messaging.
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Sideway Channel H1 [10.29.2025]Hi traders, Anfibo's here!
XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
At present, OANDA:XAUUSD is moving sideways within a well-defined H1 channel, showing signs of short-term consolidation after recent volatility. The market is currently lacking a clear directional bias, as both buyers and sellers are testing the upper and lower bounds of this intraday structure. Such conditions often favor range-trading strategies, where precision and timing become crucial for capturing short bursts of momentum.
In this context, our plan today remains straightforward and tactical — trade directly off the trendlines of the channel. In other words, we will look to buy at the lower boundary of the range and sell near the upper boundary, while also being prepared to switch positions if a breakout occurs in either direction.
Trading Plan for Today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
ENTRY: 4060 - 4080
SL: 4090
TP: 4000 - 3955
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: 3940 - 3950
SL: 3930
TP: 4000 - 4045 - 4070
Risk Management:
- Stick to small-to-medium positions within the range; increase size only on confirmed breakouts.
- Keep stops tight, as sideways phases tend to trigger false signals.
- Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 and avoid overtrading in choppy conditions.
- Reassess bias once the H1 channel is clearly broken.
Conclusion:
Gold is currently in a sideways consolidation phase within its H1 channel, awaiting fresh catalysts to determine direction. Until a decisive breakout occurs, the most effective approach is range trading — buying near support, selling near resistance, and reacting dynamically to any confirmed breakout.
The plan today is simple yet strategic:
“Buy at the trendline, sell at the trendline — and flip when the channel breaks.”
Patience and discipline will be key to capitalizing on this quiet yet potentially explosive setup.
GOODLUCK GUYS!
Gold Rebuilds Structure Above $3940, Eyeing $4030 Liquidity Pool
🔍 Market Context
Gold is attempting to regain bullish momentum as safe-haven demand remains supported by rising geopolitical tensions and uncertainty around the upcoming US ADP employment data.
The market continues to oscillate between risk aversion and rate expectations — with the Fed’s hawkish tone keeping the Dollar capped but steady.
At the same time, capital flow rotation from equities into defensive assets is quietly supporting the metal’s structural recovery, with gold holding above key liquidity levels despite intraday volatility.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1–H4)
After forming a double-bottom structure near $3,938, XAU/USD has reclaimed the 38.2% retracement zone (3,974–3,975) from its previous bearish leg.
This area now acts as a pivot zone, separating short-term bullish continuation from potential retracement.
The chart reveals a classic liquidity cycle shift:
Phase 1: Sweep of downside liquidity below 3,930, marking an internal structural low.
Phase 2: Expansion leg reclaiming short-term FVGs, signaling a potential smart money accumulation phase.
Phase 3: Repricing toward upper liquidity targets aligned with Fibonacci extensions.
Key Technical Zones:
• 💎 Liquidity Base: 3,938 – 3,950 (recent demand re-entry area)
• 🎯 Rejection Zone 1: 3,974 – 3,999 (previous inefficiency block)
• ⚙️ Target Zone: 4,033 – 4,045 (1.272–1.618 Fibo extensions, liquidity pool)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 3,920 would shift structure back to distribution.
🎯 MMFLOW Scenario
If gold sustains above the 3,950 support cluster, buyers are likely to extend the retracement toward 3,999–4,033 where resting liquidity sits.
A clean rejection from 4,000 could trigger an intraday pullback — but as long as price holds above the 3,938 OB base, the bullish recovery structure remains intact.
The short-term narrative favors controlled accumulation, suggesting that smart money is building positions into liquidity zones before the next impulsive move.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Liquidity isn’t random — it’s engineered. Every move leaves a footprint, and gold is tracing its next one above $3,950.”
XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING, TARGET 4040XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING, TARGET 4040 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
My perspective on gold today is still to prioritize buying, as there hasn't been a clear deep decline.
The price is currently consolidating in a narrow range, needing more time to build momentum before breaking out.
I will wait to buy again at the OB area – where there is high liquidity, this is a zone likely to see strong price reactions.
The best scenario today: the price may sell off slightly at FVG, then drop to OB to trigger the buy setup.
💹 2. Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
💜 Price Structure: Gold still maintains a short-term uptrend, the main trend hasn't been broken.
💎 Liquidity: Liquidity is concentrated below the 3940 area – a potential buying OB.
💫 FVG: The 3975–3980 area is a zone where a slight bearish reaction may occur.
⚙️ Order Block (OB): 3938–3945 is a crucial support zone, with the potential for a strong price rebound from here.
📈 Main Target: 4040 – a high liquidity zone, coinciding with a large frame FVG.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Scenarios
💢 Short SELL (scalping)
Entry: 3980 | SL: 3988
TP: 3972 – 3960 – 3940
💖 Main BUY (priority)
Entry: 3940 | SL: 3932
TP: 3952 – 3968 – 3990 – 4012 – 4035
✨ 4. Important Notes
🔹 Observe price reactions at FVG and OB before taking action.
🔹 If the price exceeds 3988, the bearish scenario is temporarily invalidated.
🔹 The main direction is still to buy according to the Smart Money trend – only consider short selling when confirmed.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is still following the Smart Money Flow trajectory,
patiently waiting for the price to reach a favorable zone to act 💪
This is not an investment recommendation, just a personal perspective based on the ICT method.
If you find it useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2
to stay updated with the latest gold insights every day.
Another Volatile Day for Gold: Is the Next Leg Down Loading?Yesterday was just another volatile session for Gold...
After testing the waters above $4,000, price reversed sharply during the New York session, dropping to around $3,930.
A brief consolidation followed, and by the time of writing, Gold already rebounded toward $3,970, reclaiming the $3,960 support area.
Despite this recovery, the overall structure remains bearish — as long as price fails to stabilize above $4,000, sellers maintain control.
📉 Outlook:
I continue to expect another leg down, with $3,915 as my next focus, followed by the recent low around $3,885.
Gold & Silver Outlook | Central Bank Buying & Correction (5 Nov)🟡 GOLD & SILVER MARKET ANALYSIS - November 05, 2025
Central Bank Buying:
Global central banks remain in accumulation mode after adding 1,000+ tonnes in 2024.
* China: 2,298t | India: 879t | Russia: 2,335t
* Emerging markets’ gold purchases +30% YoY, driven by de-dollarization and inflation hedging as USD reserves fall below 58%.
Silver Demand & Deficit:
* Industrial use hits 680M oz (+11% YoY) — a record.
* Solar PV: 232M oz | EVs: 90M oz
* Deficit: 215M oz — extending into 2025 as mine output stays flat.
📈 Outlook: Range $47–$55/oz, with potential breakout as green tech ramps.
ETF & Market Sentiment :
* Gold ETFs (GLD): +$3.6B inflows in Oct, but -$2.1B outflows in Nov on profit-taking.
* Silver ETFs: Mixed flows, cautious sentiment.
* Gold RSI: ~68 → short-term pullback risk.
* Forecast: Inflows could rebound in Q1 if Fed resumes easing.
Futures & Positioning :
* CME Gold OI: 528,789 contracts (+WoW)
* Implied Vol (Dec): 21.1% | Call/Put Bias: 60/40 (bullish skew)
* Silver Vol: ~25% — traders shifting to policy-driven long bets.
Macro Drivers :
* Fed: 25bps cut + hawkish tone (CPI 2.6%)
* U.S.–China Truce: Reduces tariffs, softens safe-haven demand.
* BRICS: Advancing gold-backed settlement systems.
* Dollar Share: Falls to 58% of global reserves.
Performance & Forecast :
* Gold: $3,941/oz | -1.5% today | +50% YTD
* Silver: $48/oz | -1.0% today | +66% YTD
📊 Projection: Gold eyes $4,400 | Silver targets $57 by mid-2026.
🕐 Astro Window (UK Time): 1:00 PM–4:30 PM bullish spike expected.
Bias : Short-term correction likely → overall bearish bias until supports retest.
Check chart for buying/selling levels.
Gold Accumulates on Support, 3,952 USD is the Gateway for a New🔍 Market Context
Gold is oscillating within a symmetrical triangle pattern , reflecting price compression and waiting for a breakout signal.
Buyers still maintain a short-term bullish structure, but the series of lower highs indicates increasing selling pressure.
The 3,959–3,964 USD zone is currently the “balance point” — if this area is breached, the downtrend could extend to the lower liquidity zone around 3,929–3,921 USD .
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Resistance Zone: 4,020 – 4,040 USD → the main resistance area of the triangle, where strong reactions are likely.
• Support Zone: 3,959 – 3,964 USD → the support area maintaining the bullish structure.
• Liquidity Zone: 3,929 – 3,921 USD → low liquidity area, potential to attract price stop sweeps before reversing.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Prioritize when price holds above support
• Entry: 3,959 – 3,964 USD
• Stop Loss: 3,940 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,985
– TP2: 4,020
– TP3: 4,040
– TP4: 4,096
✳️ “Buy the discount” – Buy at the trendline convergence support area when confirmation signals appear (rejection or bullish ChoCH).
2️⃣ SELL Setup – Scenario if support breaks
• Entry: 3,950 – 3,955 USD (after candle closes below support zone)
• Stop Loss: 3,970 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,935
– TP2: 3,925
– TP3: 3,912
✳️ “Sell the breakdown” – Sell when support is clearly breached, targeting the lowest liquidity zone (3,921 USD).
💬 Summary
Gold is in a phase of accumulation before major volatility .
If it holds above the 3,952 USD zone → prioritize BUY following the bullish structure .
If it breaks below 3,952 USD → SELL following the breakout towards the Liquidity Zone.
The scenario will be clearly confirmed when the current symmetrical triangle is broken.
💡 Today's Tagline:
“Liquidity defines direction — follow where the money hides.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 11/04/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) rebounded from the Support Zone ($3,929–$3,938), aligning with the ascending trendline drawn from late October lows. The price is attempting to recover toward the Resistance Zone ($3,985–$3,994) but remains within a broader corrective structure.
The bullish momentum looks corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting that unless gold breaks above $3,995 convincingly, sellers may re-emerge near resistance. The rising trendline remains a short-term guide; holding above $3,940 keeps the rebound bias valid.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,929 – $3,938
Stop Loss: $3,925
Take Profit 1: $3,985
Take Profit 2: $3,994
Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.95
🌐 Macro Background
Gold is stabilizing near $3,950 after a sharp 1.8% sell-off on Tuesday, following renewed USD strength. As FXStreet’s Dhwani Mehta notes, “Gold is licking its wounds near $3,950... but downside risks remain intact ahead of U.S. data.” 【FXStreet】
USD Dynamics: The Dollar entered a bullish consolidation phase after the risk-off rally, with traders reducing bets on further Fed cuts this year. The CME FedWatch Tool shows less than a 70% chance of a December rate reduction.
Market Sentiment: The global tech-led equity sell-off drove risk aversion, causing investors to cover equity losses by selling gold positions.
Upcoming Data: Traders now focus on U.S. ADP employment and ISM Services PMI, both of which could reshape expectations for Fed policy. Strong readings could strengthen the USD and weigh on gold; weak figures might lift gold on renewed rate-cut bets.
Overall, gold’s short-term recovery remains fragile. A rebound toward $3,985–$3,995 could face resistance unless U.S. data disappoints.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,985 – $3,994
Support: $3,929 – $3,938
Trendline Support: $3,940
Psychological Level: $3,950
📌 Trade Summary
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing a corrective bounce after finding support near $3,930. While the setup allows for a short-term long trade toward $3,985–$3,994, traders should remain cautious as the broader sentiment stays bearish. A break below $3,925 would invalidate the rebound and reopen the path toward $3,900.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAUUSD (Gold) 3H Analysis & SMT Divergence with XAGUSD🪙 XAUUSD (Gold) 3H Analysis & SMT Divergence with XAGUSD 🕵️♂️
The 3-hour chart for XAUUSD shows a strong bearish expansion, creating a potential opportunity at the current lows.
Current XAUUSD Price: Trading around $3,936.55.
Key High (CRTH): The high at approximately $3,979.27 is the primary "Buy Side Liquidity" zone. A push above this would invalidate the current bearish structure.
Key Low (CRTL): The low at $3,931.01 is the current "Sell Side Liquidity" target.
SMT Divergence Alert (XAUUSD vs. XAGUSD)
We are observing a potential Smart Money Technique (SMT) Divergence at these lows:
XAUUSD (Gold): Has successfully taken out the recent internal low (sweeping liquidity at $3,931.01 or below).
XAGUSD (Silver): Silver appears NOT to have made a lower low, or has only made a shallow sweep, compared to Gold.
This bullish SMT divergence suggests that the overall pressure on the precious metals sector might be weakening, and Gold's latest dip could be a liquidity grab (Liquidity Sweep) before a strong move up.
Scenario Watch (SMT-Driven):
Bullish Reversal: A sharp volume-driven rejection of the current low, confirming the SMT. Price would likely reclaim the internal structure and aim for the CRTH at $3,979.27 as a primary target.
Bearish Continuation (SMT Failure): If XAGUSD now follows XAUUSD and makes a sharp lower low, the SMT would fail. Both metals would then likely push lower toward key support near $3,917.50 for Gold and its corresponding low for Silver.
What is Silver showing on its low, and does this SMT confirm a potential accumulation phase for XAUUSD?
Greetings,
MrYounity
Gold: Focus on Selling, Watch Resistance at 3960–3975Gold bounced after pulling back to the 3948–3921 support zone yesterday, but was capped by the 4H MA5 and fell back toward support again. On the 30-minute chart, the price action currently shows signs of a potential rebound, with the MA60 serving as the key upside resistance in today's session.
As mentioned during yesterday’s live updates, if the 3948–3921 support area breaks, the next major level to watch will be the 3800 psychological mark along with support from the daily MA60. At that stage, trading strategies should be adjusted based on real-time market behavior and sentiment.
Overall, the short-term bias remains bearish, favoring trend-following sell setups. For medium- to longer-term traders, gradual long positioning can be considered. However, volatility remains elevated in this phase, so risk control is essential—manage position size carefully and avoid emotional trading.
ElDoradoFx – GOLD SESSIONS ANALYSIS (05/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold closed the US session bearish at 3,932, extending its downside move under the descending trendline and rejecting from the key supply area at 3,953–3,960. The structure, momentum, and RSI alignment all confirm a continuation bias to the downside — the market remains in a controlled sell-off phase unless bulls reclaim 3,954 with volume.
⸻
📊 Technical Outlook
🔹 D1: Gold is in the second leg of a corrective pullback after peaking at 4,046. The RSI at 46 and fading MACD histogram show room for continuation toward the 100EMA near 3,870.
🔹 H1: Price has consistently printed lower highs and lower lows. All EMAs (20 < 50 < 200) slope downward. The most recent break below 3,940 confirms renewed seller strength.
🔹 15M–5M: Consolidation inside a tight bearish channel, forming minor liquidity traps above 3,940–3,946 before further declines. Momentum is stable to the downside, with no bullish divergence detected.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone (Swing 3,953 → 3,932)
• 38.2% = 3,940
• 50.0% = 3,943
• 61.8% = 3,946
🎯 Golden Zone: 3,940 – 3,946 (Rejection zone for re-entry shorts)
⸻
🎯 High Probability Trade Setup (Chosen Bias: SELL)
📉 SELL SCENARIO (High Probability)
✅ Sell Entry Zone: 3,940 – 3,946 (Golden Zone retest)
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ 3,925
2️⃣ 3,915
3️⃣ 3,900
4️⃣ Extended target 3,880 (swing projection)
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 3,954
⚡ Confirmation:
– Price rejection at 3,946 or bearish engulfing candle
– RSI stays below 45
– MACD momentum bars remain red
💡 Rationale:
Structure, EMAs, and momentum fully aligned to downside; the 3,940–3,946 area is a low-risk, high-probability retest before the next leg down.
⸻
📈 BUY SCENARIO (Low Probability)
⚠️ Buy Zone: 3,910 – 3,900 (strong low zone / liquidity pool)
🎯 Targets: 3,932 → 3,940
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3,890
⚡ Only if: Strong bullish divergence forms with RSI <30 and MACD crossover.
⸻
📰 Fundamental Watch
• Asia: Low volatility expected early session; traders waiting for European cash flow.
• DXY: Holding above 106 supports bearish gold momentum.
• No major news, but volatility could spike from dollar liquidity flows ahead of midweek positioning.
⸻
📌 Key Levels
Type Levels Notes
Resistance 3,940 / 3,946 / 3,954 Golden Zone / Rejection Area
Support 3,928 / 3,915 / 3,900 Short-term targets
Break Sell Trigger < 3,928 Confirms continuation
Break Buy Trigger > 3,954 Invalidates bearish setup
⸻
✅ Expert Summary (Final Bias)
Gold remains in bearish continuation mode, with clean confluence between structure, EMAs, and momentum.
🎯 Expect short opportunities from 3,940–3,946 aiming toward 3,915–3,900.
📉 Bias: Bearish continuation until proven otherwise.
⸻
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📊 Live precision | Consistent gains.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💎 GOLD RESULTS
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +70 PIPS
🔻 SELL +30 PIPS
🟢 BUY +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +20 PIPS
🔻 SELL +240 PIPS
---
▶ LIVE TRADING SESSION
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🔻 SELL +170 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 TOTAL PIPS GAIN: +610 PIPS
📊 9 Trades → 9 Wins | 0 SL | 0 BE
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━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
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XAUUSD 1H: Order Block and Liquidity Targets for Potential LongKey Observations:
Break of Structure (BOS): Price has recently broken below a previous low, labeled BOS (Break of Structure). This indicates a shift to a bearish market structure in the short term, often leading traders to look for a retracement before a continuation of the downtrend.
Order Block (OB): A crucial area is highlighted and labeled OB (Order Block). This is a zone where significant institutional selling or buying pressure is believed to have entered the market previously. In this context, the OB is a potential resistance/supply zone that the price may retest.
Liquidity ($$$): Two levels above the current price are marked with $$$. These represent liquidity pools, which are areas where stop-loss orders from short sellers or buy-stop orders from breakout traders are likely resting. Institutional traders often target these zones to fuel their own trades.
The first $$$ (around 3,990) is an immediate target or a minor swing high.
The second $$$ (around 4,010-4,015) is a higher target, representing a more significant swing high.
Proposed Trade Scenario: The solid black line and the dotted arrow show the projected price path:
A retracement (pullback) into the Order Block (OB) zone (around 3,960 - 3,975).
A reversal within or near the OB, leading to a rally (buy/long).
The price targets are the liquidity ($$$) levels.
Current Price Action: The price is currently around 3,937.83, which is below the main Order Block, suggesting the price has already reacted to the BOS and is deep into a decline. The anticipated setup is a counter-trend move (a bullish reaction after a bearish move) or a re-accumulation phase before a larger move.
Support and trend line coincide, pullback to buy.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
So far, gold has failed to break out of the converging triangle boundary to choose a clear trading direction, but as time goes on, the price is gradually approaching the end of the triangle, and the battle between bulls and bears may come to a critical decision during the NY session. Looking at the hourly chart, multiple attempts to break through the 4000 resistance level have failed, confirming the pressure above, and gold prices may see further pullback in the short term. The support zone below coincides with the upward trend line, which may be the key area for gold to test during a pullback. Therefore, continue to pay attention to the support level of 3970-3960. If the price retraces to the support level during the NY session and does not break down, you can try to go long on gold with a small position.
technical analysis of the chart you shared (U.S. Dollar Index Current Price: 100.112
Bias: Bullish short-term
Timeframe: 15-min
The chart shows a clear bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows forming. The price recently bounced from a minor support zone around the 100.00 level and is showing momentum to the upside.
📊 Key Levels
Support Level: 99.750 – 99.850 (major zone from previous lows)
Buy Zone: 100.000 – 100.050 (minor support/entry zone)
Target Point: 100.460
⚙️ Analysis Summary
Price has broken above short-term resistance and is now retesting the buy zone, suggesting a possible continuation higher.
The ascending trendline (dotted white line) supports this bullish bias.
The yellow zigzag projection indicates expected consolidation before a push upward.
🎯 Trading Plan (Based on Chart Setup)
Entry Zone: Around 100.000 – 100.050
Stop Loss: Below 99.900 (below structure support)
Take Profit: 100.460 (target zone)
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3
🔍 Conclusion
The chart suggests a short-term bullish scenario for DXY (U.S. Dollar Index). A successful bounce from the 100.00 zone could lead to a move toward the 100.46 target point. However, a break below 99.90 would invalidate the setup and shift bias to neutral or bearish. TVC:UKX FTSE:UKX FTSE:MCX FTSE:FBMKLCI FTSE:AIM1 FTSE:ASX FTSE:NMX FTSE:AW01 FTSE:JAPAN FTSE:GEISAC FTSE:FBM100 FTSE:AIM5 CBOEEU:BUK100P FTSE:XIN0 FTSE:AXX FTSE:XIN0U
Gold faces key resistance at 4030; continue shorting on rallies.Gold is currently in a consolidation phase, moving back and forth, constantly pulling and tugging. This has been the typical gold price action for a considerable period after major price movements, so it's important to get used to this rhythm. Don't assume a significant surge is imminent just because the price rises; this is currently just a corrective rebound. The overnight short position at 4020 yielded the expected profit. The article explicitly advised shorting, and gold ultimately fell as predicted. Continue to short on any rebounds during the Asian session.
Gold is still consolidating on the 1-hour chart, without a clear directional breakout. Current rebounds present opportunities to short. Multiple attempts to break through resistance levels haven't resulted in a significant upward breakout, indicating insufficient bullish momentum and a generally bearish bias. The 4030 level is a key resistance point. Until a strong, one-sided trend emerges, shorting at the trendline resistance is advisable. Only a break above 4050 could bring a bullish resurgence.
Gold's consolidation without breaking below 3960 suggests a possible trap for long positions. If this continues, a further collapse in gold prices is quite possible. Traders need to be adaptable to these situations. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to open a short position at 4000. If there is a strong upward movement, pay further attention to 4020-4030 to continue shorting. On the downside, focus on the 3930-3900 range.
XAU/USD (Gold) 15-Min Chart AnalysisCurrent Price: $4,005
Resistance Zone: $4,020 – $4,040
Gold is approaching a strong resistance area that previously triggered a pullback.
Trend Structure:
The market is moving inside a short-term ascending channel, but momentum shows signs of exhaustion near the upper boundary.
Key Observation:
A false breakout or rejection at the resistance could initiate a downward correction.
Bearish Signal Setup:
Entry Zone (Sell): $4,015 – $4,035 (look for rejection candles or bearish engulfing near resistance)
Target 1: $3,960
Target 2 (Main Target): $3,913
Stop Loss: $4,045 above resistance zone
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.5
Confirmation:
Wait for bearish confirmation candle on 15M or 30M timeframe.
Break below $3,980 will strengthen bearish momentum toward target.
Signal Summary (📉 Sell Setup):
Direction Entry TP1 TP2 SL
🔻 SELL 4,015 – 4,035 3,960 3,913 4,045 TMX:SXF1! TMX:CRA1! TMX:SXA1! TMX:FHO1! TMX:CGF1! TMX:CGZ1! TMX:FBA1! TMX:FSH1! TMX:SXM1! TMX:SXM1! TMX:FFL1! TMX:FOP1! TMX:FRW1! TMX:FFV1! TMX:FEQ1! TMX:FRQ1!






















