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Xauusdanalysis

XAUUSD – End of Week U.S. Session | Trading SetupHello traders, Today's gold trading range is quite narrow. As of now, the gold price remains steady around the 366x region. The overall price structure hasn't changed from the previous scenario: we continue to wait to sell at the higher 367x level to secure a better position for the Sell signal. This approach helps optimize profit potential and aims for greater returns. Market sentiment today seems cautious. Following the release of interest rate news, most investors are staying on the sidelines, resulting in no significant changes in trading volume. Today's U.S. session trading scenario Sell Setup (priority) Sell Liquidity Zone: 3677 – 3680 SL: 3685 TP: 3650 – 3635 – 3627 – 3615 – 3600 Buy Scalping Buy Zone 1: 3613 – 3615 | SL: 3608 | TP: 3625 – 3638 – 3645 Buy Zone 2: 3595 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3610 – 3625 – 3638 – 3645 – 3670 Conclusion In the end-of-week U.S. session, the priority strategy remains to Sell at higher price levels to ensure a safe position and good profit expectations. Short-term Buy orders should only be considered when the price hits the strong support zones mentioned. Wishing everyone a disciplined and successful end-of-week trading session! Stay tuned for the quickest updates when the price structure changes.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
New Fed Governor Milan's remarks ignited the market#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD The rapid rise in gold prices this evening was primarily driven by news events. Newly appointed Fed governor Clarida, expressing gratitude for Trump's nomination, stated that he would leave the Council of Economic Advisers if Trump asked him to remain at the Fed. Simultaneously, Clarida reiterated his support for a 50 basis point interest rate cut. These comments further stimulated the market, triggering another wave of risk-averse sentiment. While the losses weren't due to technical factors, I don't deny that I did incur losses; facts are facts, and I never try to hide them, even if they're not my fault. This latest news-driven surge in gold is purely based on risk-averse sentiment; the price will likely fall again once the market digests the news. In the short term, pay attention to the 61.8% retracement level, around 3676. If gold encounters resistance and pressure at this level, it will likely continue to decline. On Friday, don't be overly greedy; take profits of $10-30 and exit your position to avoid the risk of holding positions over the weekend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading-Magician_G
3665-3625 box boundary, if not broken, continue to oscillate#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD I don’t know if you guys still remember that before the interest rate cut was announced, gold overall maintained a box-shaped fluctuation. Yesterday, gold continued the bearish trend of Wednesday, fluctuating downward, and rebounded after hitting a low of around 3627 in the evening. The overall trend was in line with our expectations. If you observe carefully, you will find that the current market has returned to the box range of 3665-3625. As the center of gravity moves downward, the resistance moves down to 3650-3660, while 3630-3620 below constitutes short-term support. If gold cannot effectively break through the box boundary in the short term, then the market may remain volatile today. From the perspective of the big cycle trend, if the intraday shock rebound fails to effectively break through 3665, it may form a head and shoulders top pattern in the future. Therefore, today's trading is mainly short selling. If the price falls back and touches the support but does not break, you can go long on gold with a light position.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading-Magician_G
Below 3670, shorting gold is still the main theme!After touching 3661, gold has repeatedly tested downwards today. However, this testing period repeatedly found support in the 3645-3640 area, failing to break further below. Judging from the current gold structure, gold as a whole shows a volatile and bearish trend. Although gold closed with long lower shadow candlesticks near 3627 and 3632 respectively, showing signs of bottoming out in the short term, it only exacerbated short-term volatility. Due to the obvious selling pressure from above, I expect that the rebound space for gold in the short term will be relatively limited. According to the current gold structure, gold will face resistance in the 3665-3675 area in the short term. According to the current market performance, it may be difficult to break through this horizontal area easily in the short term. After all, there is considerable selling pressure from above. So for short-term trading, as long as gold remains below 3670, we can boldly short gold! However, because today is Friday and gold has failed to fall below the 3645-3640 area many times, it is best not to have too high expectations for the retracement space. Perhaps the 3655-3650 area will be a reasonable retracement target in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Bulls Defend 3630 zone – Is the Reversal Already Starting?In my yesterday’s analysis, I argued that Gold could extend its correction towards 3620 and even 3570 if the move deepened. Indeed, during the day, price reached a new local low at 3628 before reversing sharply higher. For several sessions now, I have been pointing out the risk of a correction. But the main message remained clear: this is only a correction within a much larger bullish trend. So the key question today is: Is the correction over? 📊 Chart observations: • The structure is corrective, with overlapping price action. • After the Fed-triggered drop to 3635, price dipped again to 3628, and once more last night to 3632. Each of these dips has been quickly bought back, showing strong bull interest around the 3630 zone. • Despite this, we are still under the falling trendline, which means caution is required. ⚖️ Trading stance: This type of price action prompted me to close my short trades with around +550 pips profit. For now, I am adopting a wait-and-see approach but with a bullish bias in mind. 🟢 Two bullish scenarios I’m working with: 1. A fresh dip towards 3620 could provide a buying opportunity, as I would expect bulls to step in again. 2. If the price stabilizes above 3665–3670, I will consider the correction complete and start looking for long entries on strength. At this stage, patience is key. Let the market show its hand, but the evidence suggests that the bullish trend is preparing for another leg higher. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
7
Bearish Grip Tightens as 3585 Comes Into ViewAs gold continuously tests and falls below the 3650-3640 area, the space below has been opened to a certain extent. According to the current gold trend structure, as the candle chart shows a long upper shadow line near 3705, there are obvious signs of profit-taking, and there is strong selling pressure from above; a downward-opening trend channel is formed in the structural form, and the center of gravity of gold is gradually shifting downward. The bears are relatively stronger, and there is no obvious bottoming signal below at present. Gold still has the potential to continue to decline! Although gold has rebounded slightly after several attempts at the 3635-3625 area, the strength of these rebounds has fallen far short of expectations, indicating relatively weak bullish momentum. As gold gradually moves downward, short-term resistance has shifted to the 3660-3670 area. Strong resistance is around 3685, but given the current rebound strength, it is unlikely that gold will reach this resistance area in the short term. And I think gold will easily continue to decline and test the 3620-3610 area. Once gold falls below this area, the space below will be completely opened. Gold is likely to continue its downward trend to around 3585, and may even experience a deeper correction to around 3550. Therefore, in a bearish market, we must firmly adhere to a short-gold trading strategy. If gold rebounds weakly to the 3655-3665 area, I would likely prioritize shorting gold. The short-term retracement target will first target the 3625-3615 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Gold After Fed Decision: Buy the Rumor, Sell the News?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) seems to have caught many traders by surprise, as many thought it would continue to create new daily All-Time High(ATH) with the Federal's interest rate announcement , but Gold followed the adage " Buy the rumour, sell the news ". Gold started moving emotionally yesterday after the US interest rate announcement and made a new ATH($3,707.555) . Given the volume of yesterday's candle , it seems that Gold is having a hard time creating a new ATH. Gold is currently breaking the Support lines , which is a sign of weakness in the bullish trend of Gold . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed the main wave 5 and we should wait for corrective waves . Do you agree with me!? I expect Gold to at least decline after the pullback of the Support lines to the First target($3,614) . Second Target: $3,599 Third Target: $3,577 Stop Loss (SL) = $3,677 Note: To enter a short position, it is better to wait for an upward correction, but depending on the movement of gold and your strategy, you can open a short position. Do you think Gold can create a new ATH anytime soon? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
20
Gold Cools Off: Is This a Buying Opportunity or A Warning Sign?Hello traders! After a volatile session, gold prices fell yesterday (September 18th). The precious metal dropped 0.4% to $3,643.40/oz, while futures contracts lost 1.1% to $3,678.30/oz. This occurred after gold just set a new record of $3,707.40/oz on September 17th. Is this a sign of a major correction, or just a short-term profit-taking dip? Let's take a closer look! Fundamental Analysis: The Market "Digests" the Fed's Message While the Fed did cut rates by 0.25% as expected, the message from the meeting was not entirely "dovish." Fed Chair Jerome Powell raised doubts about the pace of future policy easing. He emphasized that the rate cut was just a "risk management" move to address a weakening labor market, not a firm commitment to aggressive easing. USD Recovery: The Fed's cautious stance helped the USD index gain 0.5%, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. Long-Term Drivers: Despite the short-term dip, experts remain optimistic about gold. The core growth drivers are still in place: BRIC Central Bank Buying: Central banks, especially in China, continue to diversify their foreign reserves, reducing reliance on the USD. Safe-Haven Demand: Ongoing geopolitical and trade tensions remain a key reason for investors to seek out gold. Swiss Data Confirms: Data shows that gold exports from Switzerland to China jumped 254% in August 2025 compared to July, indicating that real demand is very strong. Technical Analysis: Unpredictable Volatility After the FOMC meeting, gold experienced wild swings, with resistance and support levels being broken quickly. The market is reacting more to macroeconomic news than to technical patterns. Resistance: $3671, $3686, $3694 Support: $3647, $3632, $3612, $3598 Outlook: Today, we should still favor long positions if gold stays above the $365x level. However, if gold closes a candle below $364x during the US session, be cautious and consider a shift to sell positions. Suggested Trading Strategy (Use Strict Risk Management): SELL ZONE Zone: $3686 - $3688 SL: $3696 TP: $3678 - $3668 - $3658 - $3648 - $3638 BUY ZONE Zone: $3616 - $3614 SL: $3606 TP: $3624 - $3634 - $3644 - $3654 - $3664 The market is highly sensitive to news. Always be cautious and avoid over-trading. Do you think this is a buying opportunity or a time to step back? Share your thoughts in the comments below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #USD #BRIC
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAU/USD 19 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 18 September 2025. As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs. Price previously, and has now for the second time, printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation, however, due to the insignificant nature of the pullback, particularly relative to previous price action, I will apply discretion and not classify previous iBOS, I also have marked this in red. Price has continued with it's bullish trajectory, subsequently printing a bearish CHoCH. We are now trading within an established range, however, I shall continue to monitor price action with respect to depth of pullback relative to recent price action. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,703,240. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 18 September 2025. Price has continued with its bullish trajectory, printing all-time-highs. Previous price action printed a bearish CHoCH, subsequently printing higher, however, due to the insignificant depth of the pullback, relative to recent price action, I shall again apply discretion and not classify this an an internal high. This marked this in red. Price has since continued bullish, printing a bearish CHoCH. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price has reacted from an M15 demand zone, within discount of 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal high priced at 3,703. 240 Alternative scenario: All HTF's require a corrective move, price has since failed to target and close above weak internal high therefore, and in order to confirm HTF bearish pullback phase, price could target strong internal low, priced at 3,612.240. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD – Fibo Zones Poised for the Next Big Wave!📊 Quick Market Snapshot Gold recently spiked to 3,707.40 USD/oz, briefly touching record highs before pulling back. The USD’s 0.5% rebound made gold temporarily more expensive for non-dollar holders. Despite short-term corrections, gold remains up 39% year-to-date, supported by strong safe-haven demand and ongoing market uncertainty. 🔢 Key Technical Zones (H1) 🔴 SELL ZONES 3,683.977 – Major resistance aligned with the descending channel. 3,669.089 – Secondary resistance where sellers may re-enter. 🟡 SUPPORT TARGET FOR SELLS 3,635.678 – Immediate support and the first downside target for shorts. 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,602.769 – Confluence of Fibonacci 1.5 & 1.618 extensions, strong potential for a bullish bounce if price dips. 📈 Suggested Trade Plan 1️⃣ SELL Setup – Trend Continuation Look to SELL at 3,669–3,684 if price action shows rejection or reversal candles. Take Profits: 3,635 → 3,602. Risk Management: Move SL to entry once price moves favorably. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Catching the Dip BUY at 3,602–3,605 only if there’s a strong reaction or reversal signal. Take Profits: 3,635 → 3,669, leaving a partial position open if price breaks the descending channel. ⚠ Trading Notes Expect higher volatility; reduce position sizing for safety. Enter trades only with clear candlestick or volume confirmation at key zones. Avoid chasing mid-channel prices—focus on well-defined liquidity areas for optimal entries. 💬 Discussion 📊 Will gold test the buy zone before a rebound, or will sellers defend resistance to continue the downtrend? Share your thoughts or charts in the comments to compare strategies!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold vs USD: Fibo Zones Ready for the Next Wave📊 Market Context Gold is extending its pullback after the FOMC, retreating from above 3,700$ as the USD rebounds from multi-year lows. The Fed’s dovish tone provides underlying support, while rising geopolitical risks could limit downside pressure. Expect choppy price action as traders weigh USD strength against safe-haven demand for gold. 🔢 Technical Levels & Key Zones (M30) OB SELL ZONE (Retest FOMC Bearish): 3683–3685 (SL 3690) Ideal for short-term selling if price retests with weak bullish momentum. Retest Support – Sell Zone: 3650–3652 (SL 3660) Secondary area for potential bearish reaction. Support Zone: Around 3630–3628 Watch for liquidity sweeps or rejection signals here. FIBO 1.5 & 1.618 BUY ZONE: 3615–3613 (SL 3605) Strong confluence for potential long entries if price flushes deeper. 📈 Trade Plan Scenarios 1️⃣ Bearish Continuation (USD Strength Holds) Sell on retest of 3650–3652 or 3683–3685, confirming rejection candles. Targets: 3630 → 3615 (Fibo buy zone). 2️⃣ Bullish Rebound (Fed Dovish + Geopolitical Support) Buy dips at 3615–3613, or partial entries on signs of support at 3630–3628. Upside Targets: 3650 → 3685, with extended potential toward ATH Zone 3,707 if sentiment flips bullish. ⚠ Risk Management & Notes Volatility may spike on additional USD headlines or geopolitical developments—use smaller position sizes. Wait for candlestick confirmation before entering trades at key zones. Avoid chasing price near mid-range; focus on well-defined liquidity levels. 💬 Discussion 📈 Will USD strength continue pressuring gold, or will Fed’s dovish stance and geopolitical tension fuel a rebound? Share your view or your chart below!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
XAUUSD – Primary Trend: SELL TodayTechnical Analysis Gold yesterday reacted repeatedly around the 363x zone (three times) but was unable to break decisively lower. This indicates that the support in this area remains significant. However, selling pressure has been persistent and fairly strong. This morning, the upward move almost absorbed the liquidity of the previous H1 bearish candle, and price is now undergoing a short-term correction. Notably, the POC from the Volume Profile of the accumulation zone has not yet been fully retested, suggesting a strong possibility of price revisiting that area before resuming the broader trend. Taking all technical factors into account, today’s bias remains on the SELL side, particularly when price retests key supply zones. Trading Scenarios SELL (preferred): Entry: 3667–3670 Stop Loss: 3675 Take Profit 1: 3655 Take Profit 2: 3640 Take Profit 3: 3626 Take Profit 4: 3610 BUY (short-term countertrend): Entry: 3613–3615 Stop Loss: 3608 Take Profit 1: 3625 Take Profit 2: 3633 Take Profit 3: 3645 Take Profit 4: 3660 Key Levels to Watch 3670: Major resistance, confluence with POC – SELL bias remains dominant. 363x: Strong support repeatedly tested; a clean break would confirm stronger downside pressure. 3610–3615: Potential demand zone, may trigger a short-term rebound.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
2
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 19, 2025 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining, suggesting that the downtrend may continue until momentum enters the oversold zone. This process could take at least 2 daily candles, including the current one. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning upward, but repeated reversals at the oversold zone, along with overlapping price action, indicate that the market is in a complex corrective phase. • H1 timeframe: Momentum has already turned upward, with 3 H1 bullish candles formed. It is expected that within 1–2 more candles, momentum will likely reach the overbought zone. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: The 5-wave black structure has been completed. The current correction is expected to last longer compared to the previous WXY triangle correction. • H4 timeframe: Wave counting is complicated due to overlapping price movements. With momentum now recovering, wave B is likely unfolding, which will then be followed by the completion of wave C. • H1 timeframe: A temporary channel can be drawn to observe price behavior. The market is likely in wave B (black), forming a Flat structure (ABC in blue). Wave C (blue) is projected to equal wave A (blue) at the 3667 level. This price zone also coincides with the boundary between high and low liquidity areas on the Volume Profile, making it a strong resistance zone for potential short entries. Trading Plan • Sell Zone: 3667 – 3670 • SL: 3680 • TP: 3644
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Gold price analysis September 19Gold has recovered in the Tokyo session and is moving towards yesterday's US session resistance around 3672. The buying pressure is not strong enough to break the resistance in the European session, so be cautious with the possibility of a deep decline in today's weekend session, towards lower support zones around 3600. The 3645 area - corresponding to the 50% level of the H4 candle - is playing an important support role. This is also the area where buying pressure is starting to accumulate and needs to be closely observed today. 📉 Trading plan: SELL when the price is rejected around 3671 🎯 Target: 3600 📌 Note: Watch the price reaction at the 3645 area, if there is a confirmation signal from the buyers, this could be a reversal point to look for a BUY opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
XAU/USD: Dip-Buyers Step In, Targeting a Fresh Push Higher📊 Technical Structure Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,652 after slipping below the $3,660 handle. The chart shows that price is holding near the support zone at $3,640–$3,635, while sellers capped upside momentum at the resistance zone $3,678–$3,684. Current structure suggests range-bound consolidation, with potential for a bullish rebound if buyers defend the support area. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $3,635 – $3,640 (near support) Stop Loss: $3,631 (below support zone) Take Profit: $3,678 / $3,684 (resistance zone) Risk/Reward: ~1 : 4.87 🗝️ Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $3,678 – $3,684 Support Zone: $3,635 – $3,640 Major Resistance Above: $3,700 round figure 🌐 Macro Background Gold remains pressured after the Fed’s 25 bps rate cut, which was less dovish than markets hoped. Powell’s cautious rhetoric supported a USD rebound, weighing on bullion. Still, the Fed’s projection of two more cuts in 2025 underpins medium-term bullish momentum for gold as real yields could decline further. At the same time, geopolitical risks in the Middle East provide safe-haven support, limiting deeper downside. 📌 Trade Summary The bias favours a long entry near $3,640, aiming for the $3,678–$3,684 resistance zone. Price action remains constructive as long as $3,635 support holds. A decisive break below could open downside risks toward $3,620. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
3620 Fortress or 3680 Trap?Hello traders, today gold is caught in a fascinating battle between defense and deception. The higher timeframes still lean bullish, but intraday cracks are showing, and price is now dancing between major walls of liquidity. Let’s map it out step by step 👇 On the Daily chart, momentum is still supported by EMA5 above EMA21, yet the rejection wick from the Premium Supply Wall (3665–3680) signals exhaustion. On H4, a minor CHoCH under 3650 put us in a range between this supply wall above and the Mid-Range Support (3620–3630) below. Meanwhile, H1 shows the swing high at 3670 breaking down into 3640, with the Supply Trap (3660–3665) capping upside and the Defensive Buy Base (3610–3620) holding the floor. So what’s the play? 🟦 On the buy side, bulls will look to defend the 3620 Fortress, where OB + FVG + EMA100 meet. If that holds, price could rebound back toward the supply zones above. If it doesn’t, the road opens into the Deep Discount Stronghold (3580–3565), a last-resort H4 demand zone. 🟥 On the sell side, the Supply Trap (3660–3665) is already proving dangerous. Any strong rejection here can drive us lower. And above it, the Premium Supply Wall (3680–3695) remains the ultimate liquidity zone – either a breakout or a deadly trap for late buyers. But the real key lies in the Decision Zone (3645–3655). This is the battlefield pivot: hold above it, and bulls regain momentum into 3665–3680; stay below, and sellers tighten their grip, driving gold into deeper discount. 👉 In short: Above 3645–3655 → bulls can fight for higher ground. Below 3645–3655 → the path opens toward 3620 and 3580. 🔥 Gold is standing between the 3620 Fortress, the 3645 Decision Zone, and the 3680 Trap. Which wall breaks first? Will bulls defend or are we about to dive into discount? Drop your thoughts below 👇, smash like & follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper maps, and let’s keep staying two steps ahead of the market 🚀✨
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - What's the next plan today?Hello guys! It's me, Anfibo. My previous OANDA:XAUUSD plan with the Sell entry at 3,670 – 3,674 delivered more than 400 pips in profit, confirming that the market reacted exactly as anticipated. At present, observing the price structure, gold has completed a 5-wave Elliott impulse and is now transitioning into an ABC corrective phase. This is a classic scenario following a strong impulsive leg, where the market needs to rebalance before determining the next trend. At the same time, the current price zone is also showing signs of forming a Head and Shoulders pattern, adding another layer of reliable technical confluence. This suggests that downside pressure remains in play, at least until the pattern is fully developed. Key short-term resistance levels to watch are around 3,690 – 3,700 (maybe we will get a sell signal here) Meanwhile, immediate support levels can be found near 3,630 – 3,620 – 3,615, with a deeper support at 3,590, which will be decisive for the longer-term bullish structure. The preferred strategy is to wait for price reactions at these resistance confluence zones to look for short-term Sell signals, in line with the ongoing ABC correction. Here's My Trading Plan >>> BUY SCALP Entry: 3,620 – 3,615 SL: 3,610 TP: 3,650 – 3,670 >>> SELL Scalp Entry: 3,670 – 3,675 SL: 3,680 TP: 3,620 – 3,590 Always set your Stop-Loss on every trade! Wishing everyone successful trading. XOXO
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ANFIBO_
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - What's next?Hello guys! It's me, Anfibo. My previous OANDA:XAUUSD plan with the Sell entry at 3,670 – 3,674 delivered more than 400 pips in profit, confirming that the market reacted exactly as anticipated. At present, observing the price structure, gold has completed a 5-wave Elliott impulse and is now transitioning into an ABC corrective phase. This is a classic scenario following a strong impulsive leg, where the market needs to rebalance before determining the next trend. At the same time, the current price zone is also showing signs of forming a Head and Shoulders pattern, adding another layer of reliable technical confluence. This suggests that downside pressure remains in play, at least until the pattern is fully developed. Key short-term resistance levels to watch are around 3,690 – 3,700. Meanwhile, immediate support levels can be found near 3,630 – 3,620 – 3,615, with a deeper support at 3,590, which will be decisive for the longer-term bullish structure. The preferred strategy is to wait for price reactions at these resistance confluence zones to look for short-term Sell signals, in line with the ongoing ABC correction. Here's My Trading Plan >>> BUY SCALP Entry: 3,620 – 3,615 SL: 3,610 TP: 3,650 – 3,670 >>> SELL Scalp Entry: 3,670 – 3,675 SL: 3,680 TP: 3,620 – 3,590 Always set your Stop-Loss on every trade! Wishing everyone successful trading. XOXO
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ANFIBO_
2
Gold Analysis using ATAI Volume Pressure AnalyzerIntroduction: In this analysis, we use the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer indicator , which is based on the logic of separating buy/sell volume. The indicator retrieves volume data from a lower timeframe and reconstructs it on the host timeframe. This is achieved using the internal function, TradingView/ta/10 → tvta.requestUpAndDownVolume(lowerTF) , which extracts Up Volume, Down Volume, and Delta from the selected lower timeframe, enabling aggregation and evaluation of market pressure. One-tick data provides the highest precision but is limited in historical coverage; conversely, higher timeframes provide more historical depth but with relative accuracy. In this daily chart, to calculate 20-period volume averages, the lowest timeframe that both preserved relative accuracy and provided sufficient historical data for 20 candles was 30 seconds , which was selected. This choice is reflected in the corresponding rows of the left and right columns of the HUD panel. It should be noted that in the gold market, the actual traded contract volume is not centrally available; therefore, the volume used in this method is based on tick volume (the count of price changes within each bar) . This serves as a proxy for activity and order flow intensity rather than absolute turnover. Accordingly, aggregates and deltas are interpreted on a relative basis and used to identify acceleration, volume spikes, and breakouts alongside price structure. Trendlines and Market Direction Beyond volume-based calculations, the indicator also visualizes directional bias through adaptive trendlines. The dotted orange and turquoise lines are drawn from successive pivot highs and lows over a 50-bar window, effectively capturing the slope of price movement. In the chart, these diagonals clearly reveal the transition: price has broken out of a mid-range accumulation zone and established a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, confirming a structural uptrend. Complementing this, the blue horizontal line marks the base of the prior accumulation (support), while the red line highlights the resistance level at the top. The breakout above this framework, supported by bullish volume ratios shown in the HUD, validates that the market has shifted from neutrality into a sustained upward trend. Labels and Market Conditions The labels displayed on the chart — such as Accum, Breakout ↑, Sharp ↑, and Bull Trap Risk — are derived from explicit quantitative rules inside the indicator. These rules combine price levels, buy/sell volume deltas, and moving aggregates. Below, each label is explained with both its coding logic and its mathematical interpretation in plain language. Accum (Accumulation) Logic: |Δ| < ε ∧ Var(ΣV) → min Meaning: The difference between buy and sell volume (Δ) is close to zero, and the variance of total volume ΣV is minimal over the chosen window. In simple terms, this marks a balanced market where buyers and sellers are matched, forming a neutral accumulation zone. Breakout ↑ Logic: Pt > max(Pacc) ∧ Δ > 0 ∧ ΣV20 ↑ Meaning: The closing price Pt breaks above the maximum price of the accumulation zone (Pacc), while buy volume is greater than sell volume (Δ > 0), and the 20-bar aggregate volume ΣV20 is increasing. In simple terms, this confirms that buyers dominate and the market is breaking upward with sufficient volume support. Sharp ↑ Logic: ΔP / Δt > θ Meaning: The slope of price change (ΔP per unit time) exceeds a defined threshold θ. In simple terms, this indicates an accelerated move upward — a breakout with unusually strong momentum. Bull Trap Risk Logic: Pt < Pbreakout ∧ Δ ↓ ∧ ΣV20 ↓ Meaning: After an initial breakout, the price Pt falls back below the breakout level, while buy volume weakens (Δ decreases) and the 20-bar aggregate volume ΣV20 declines. In simple terms, this signals that the breakout has lost support and may have trapped buyers — hence the label Bull Trap Risk. Trendlines and Guidance The dotted trendlines are constructed from the slope of price and aligned with recent pivot highs (HH) and lows (LL). Mathematically, the slope is defined as: m = (P_pivot2 − P_pivot1) / (t2 − t1) where P_pivot are the price levels at successive pivots, and t are their bar indices. A positive slope (m > 0) indicates an upward trend, while m < 0 indicates a downward trend. In this chart, the slope of the mid-band is clearly positive, and the label HH1 is printed at the breakout of the upper boundary. This confirms that the market has transitioned out of a ranging phase and into a structural uptrend characterized by higher highs and higher lows. Horizontal Lines The horizontal guidance lines (support and resistance) are calculated from the extremes over the last N = 50 bars: S = min(P_t), R = max(P_t) for t ∈ The blue line marks support at the lowest low, and the red line marks resistance at the highest high. Together, these dynamic references highlight where order flow has historically concentrated and provide anchors for interpreting future price reactions. Each of these labels therefore reflects a mathematical condition expressed both in code and in statistical terms. Together they describe a sequence of phases: balanced accumulation, directional breakout, acceleration, and potential failure traps. This structured approach translates raw volume and price data into actionable signals. Conclusion: XAUUSD Market Outlook The recent chart action combines signals from the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer with a secondary tool, the 20-period Linear Regression channel. This multi-tool perspective highlights the importance of cross-validation in market analysis. Key Observations - Volume Pressure Analyzer Signals: After a strong breakout and sharp upward momentum, the indicator has now triggered the label Bull Trap Risk . This label reflects weakening buy-side dominance, declining delta values, and a potential failure of the breakout to sustain order-flow support. - Linear Regression (20-period): The regression channel illustrates a clear ascending path starting from the former accumulation zone. The latest red candle has closed outside the channel to the downside, confirming a loss of alignment with the prior uptrend. - Structural Divergence: The combination of volume weakness (as flagged by VPRC) and structural channel break creates a divergence. Price remains elevated but lacks the necessary buy-side reinforcement, raising the probability of a correction or a full trend reversal. Interpretation This scenario indicates a transition risk: from a sharp bullish phase into either a corrective pullback or a potential distribution phase. The decisive factor remains the behavior of buyers and sellers in the next candles — whether buyers can reclaim the channel or sellers consolidate control. Disclaimer This XAUUSD analysis has been conducted using the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer indicator in conjunction with the supporting Linear Regression (20-period) tool. It does not constitute any form of financial advice regarding buying, selling, or holding positions. The analysis solely illustrates the dynamics of buyer and seller behavior in the market.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by ata_sabanci