GOLD HIGH PROBABILITY SETUPS SOON!!!🚨 XAUUSD HIGH PROBABILITY SELL/BUY SETUP 🚨
* Here We Can See Clearly The Next Potential Moves For GOLD Coming Hours/Days.
* Keep Your Eyes Close On Your Trading Positions.
* Happy PIP Hunting Traders.
FXKILLA.
Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD — Intraday bullish if 3,996 holds — Targets 4,031 → 4,046Overview
Market printed CHOCH → BOS up intraday. I’ll look for a sell-side sweep into 3,996 (Bullish OB + FVG) and take confirmation longs toward BSL at 4,031 and extension 4,046. I’m not interested in chasing highs; I want liquidity → confirmation.
SMC Map (from your chart)
Buy-side liquidity (targets): 4,031.455, 4,046.774
Supply / Bearish OB: ~4,011
Mitigation zone: Bullish OB + FVG ~3,996.993
HTF Demand / Invalidation floor: 3,952.474
Structure: CHOCH → BOS up (intraday).
Playbook: sweep → BOS → FVG fill → OB entry.
Scenarios (reference levels)
Scenario 1 – Long (preferred)
Entry zone: 3,997–3,999 after a sweep of 3,996 + M5 BOS up and pullback (FVG fill).
SL: below 3,992 or below the M5 BOS swing low.
TP1: 4,011 (supply/OB).
TP2: 4,031 (BSL).
Runner: 4,046 (next BSL).
Management: take partial at TP1, move SL → BE; trail to structure.
Scenario 2 – Defensive short (reaction only)
Entry zone: 4,011–4,013 if price taps supply and prints M5 BOS down.
SL: above 4,016 or above reaction high.
TP1: 4,002 (intra support).
TP2: 3,996 (mitigation zone) → consider flip long if confirmation appears.
Invalidation: H1 close above 4,015 (supply reclaimed).
Notes & Session Timing
Focus on London Killzone; re-assess for NY if 4,011 breaks/holds.
No entries without confirmation (avoid FOMO at highs).
News/catalyst: manage size around data; protect gains into volatility spikes.
Risk
Partial at TP1, SL → BE post-confirmation. Risk per trade ≤ your plan. This is a personal view, not financial advice.
Market Analysis: Gold Stays FlatMarket Analysis: Gold Stays Flat
Gold price corrected gains, traded below $4,000, and started a consolidation.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price started a downside correction below $4,100 and $4,000 against the US Dollar.
- A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,985 on the hourly chart of gold.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold, the price formed a base above $3,915. The price remained in a bullish zone and started an upward move within a range above $3,930.
There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,975. The bulls pushed the price above the $4,000 and $4,010 resistance levels. A high was formed at $4,019 before the price saw a pullback.
The price dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,928 swing low to the $4,019 high, and the RSI declined below 50. Initial support on the downside is near $3,985, a bullish trend line, and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The first major area of interest for the bulls is near the 50% Fib retracement at $3,975. If there is a downside break below $3,975, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward $3,950. Any more losses might push the price toward $3,930.
Immediate resistance is near $4,020. The next major hurdle for the bulls is $4,030. An upside break above $4,030 could send Gold price toward $4,045. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward $4,090.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold Rejection at Resistance with Potential Bearish PullbackAnalysis:
The chart shows XAUUSD approaching a strong horizontal resistance zone around 4015–4020, a level where price has previously been rejected multiple times (highlighted in yellow). The market recently broke out of a falling channel, showing short-term bullish momentum, but now price is stalling again at this key resistance.
The grey zone above suggests a supply area, and the white arrow indicates a projected bearish move. As long as gold stays below this resistance, the probability of a downward correction increases.
A potential bearish target appears around 3900–3920 (previous support zone), where buyers may re-enter.
Key Points:
Strong multi-touch resistance at 4015–4020
Price showing early rejection signs
Bearish correction likely if price fails to break above resistance
Downside targets: 3920, possibly 3900
LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for...LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for a break at 4020 (H2)
After a week of accumulation, the price is pressing into the triangle peak between the descending trendline (from late October) and the ascending trendline (from 11/5). The advantage will lean towards an increase if 4020 is broken and sustained.
Technical Analysis (priority H2, Volume Profile – Trendline – S/R – Fibonacci)
Trendline & Structure
The descending trendline is blocking the recovery waves; the ascending trendline supports the adjustment waves.
Closing the H2 candle above the confluence zone ~4020 will confirm a clear upward movement.
Support / Resistance (S/R)
Main support: 3970–3972 (swing low & “Key level Support”).
Decision zone: 4014–4020 (break–retest zone).
Resistance: 4045 (medium-term), 4050 (supply for scalp orders), upper band 4105–4110.
Volume Profile (recent session / composite)
POC magnet: 4015–4017 → likely to have profit-taking/fluctuations; staying above POC turns this area into a launchpad.
LVN: around 4020 → beautiful break-and-go; failing to hold often pulls back to 4015/4010.
Fibonacci Extension (H2 swing)
1.618 coincides with 4045–4050 → first upward target.
2.272/2.618 creates a liquidity zone 4095–4110 → area may weaken/strong profit-taking.
Today's Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy on breakout
Entry: 4020–4022 after closing above trendline + retest holding 4018–4020
SL: 4014
TP: 4045 → 4070 → 4100–4110
Management: Take partial profit at 4045; move SL to break-even when reaching +1R. Staying above 4020 turns POC 4015–4017 into support.
Scenario 1b – Buy on pullback (before breakout, cautious volume)
Entry: 3998–4002 (“400x”) when there is an upward reaction at the ascending trendline
SL: 3988
TP: 4017 → 4045
Note: H2 closes below 3988 → cancel the order.
Scenario 2 – Sell scalp at resistance
Entry: 4048–4052 (confluence of Fibo 1.618 + supply zone)
SL: 4056
TP: 4040 → 4030 → 4020
Note: This is counter-trend. Ignore if H2 closes strongly above 4052.
Summary
The upward bias is confirmed when breaking–holding 4020, opening targets 4045 → 4070 → 4100+. Before that signal, trade within the range respecting POC 4015–4017 and ceiling 4045/4050. Risk per order 0.5–1%, move SL to BE when reaching +1R.
Gold 1H – Pullback Expected as USD Softens After Jobless Claims🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading within a corrective structure today as the U.S. dollar weakens slightly following higher-than-expected Jobless Claims.
Market sentiment remains mixed ahead of upcoming Fed speeches, which could provide clues about December policy expectations.
• A more hawkish tone could trigger a deeper downside move toward unfilled discount zones.
• Conversely, any dovish signals may push gold into a short-term liquidity grab before resuming its corrective trend.
Liquidity remains concentrated near the $4,030 area, where price may tap into resting buy-side liquidity before forming the next bearish leg.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure: Current bias shows corrective bearish intent following recent ChoCH → BOS sequence on H1.
• Premium Zone: The 4030–4028 region aligns with an unmitigated H1 supply — ideal for continuation shorts.
• Liquidity Sweep: Price may reach 4030 to sweep early breakout buyers before confirming downside continuation.
• Discount Zone: Strong demand sits at 3932–3934, overlapping with previous bullish displacement and unmitigated demand.
🔴 Sell Setup
• Entry: 4030 – 4028
• Stop-Loss: 4040
• Take-Profit Targets: → 3980 → 3964 → 3934 (major demand zone)
🟢 Buy Setup (Countertrend Reaction)
• Entry: 3932 – 3934
• Stop-Loss: 3925
• Take-Profit Targets: → 3964→ 3995 → 4020
(Only valid if liquidity sweep and bullish reaction occur at the demand zone)
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation at both zones to avoid premature entries.
• Avoid trading directly at the minor support around 3964 — it is not a valid SMC entry zone.
• Prioritize the sell setup; intraday bias remains corrective-bearish within a broader range.
• Secure partial profits at the first liquidity target and trail stops according to structure.
✅ Summary
Gold is likely to seek premium liquidity near 4030 before resuming its corrective move lower.
The 4030–4028 supply area offers a clean continuation-short entry, while 3932–3934 remains the strongest discount zone for reactive long setups.
Stay adaptable — the market maintains a mild bearish tone while waiting for further Fed guidance.
FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡
XAUUSD – WAITING FOR CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 💛 XAUUSD – WAITING FOR CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold today is still in a phase of hesitation – waiting for signals to confirm a new trend.
On the H2 chart, the price has broken the downtrend line and is retesting this line. The structure of “higher lows” indicates that buying power is gradually gaining the upper hand.
The previous peak around 4018 is currently the decisive point for the trend – if the price confirms a breakout above, the uptrend could extend towards the 4050 area.
Currently, the market is fluctuating within the range of 3964 – 4018, and needs to break out of this range to determine a clearer direction.
💹 2. ICT Perspective
📈 The price has broken the downtrend line and retested the structure on the H2 chart – an early signal for the potential formation of an uptrend.
🟣 The 3964–4018 area is a short-term liquidity accumulation zone before the price expands.
🔹 OB 4040–4042 coincides with significant resistance, suitable for short sell (scalp) orders if there is a strong reaction.
💫 When the price exceeds 4018, the uptrend structure will be confirmed and the expansion target could head towards 4050 – 4077.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan
💖 BUY Scenario (priority when confirmed)
Entry: above 4018 ｜ SL: 4011
TP: 4025 – 4033 – 4050 – 4077
💢 Short SELL Scenario (scalping)
Entry: 4040–4042 ｜ SL: 4046
TP: 4022 – 4015 – 3998
⚠️ 4. Important Notes
Clear confirmation is needed when breaking the 4018 area before entering a buy order.
If the price continues to fluctuate within the 3964–4018 range, trading should be limited.
Today is Friday, manage risk more strictly, prioritize accuracy in each order.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is showing positive signals 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions around the 4018 area – this could be the start of a new uptrend if clearly confirmed.
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) trades near $3,996, struggling to gain clear direction after a short-lived rebound. The chart shows price capped by a descending trendline and the Resistance Zone at $4,001–$4,005, while Support lies between $3,977–$3,981.
Technically, gold remains under mild downward pressure. Unless the price achieves sustained acceptance above $4,006, rallies are likely to attract sellers. A break below $3,980 could trigger fresh momentum toward $3,965, while holding above $4,000 may allow brief consolidation before another leg lower.
🎯 Trade Setup
Idea: Sell near resistance amid capped bullish momentum.
Entry: $4,000 – $4,005
Stop Loss: $4,006
Take Profit 1: $3,981
Take Profit 2: $3,977
Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 5.13
If gold decisively closes above $4,010, the short setup becomes invalid, signalling renewed upside toward $4,020.
🌐 Macro Background
Gold prices are finding moderate support as safe-haven flows return amid political uncertainty and weak U.S. data, while Fed rate cut expectations underpin sentiment.
As FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani reports, “Concerns over the economic fallout from the prolonged U.S. government shutdown and renewed Fed rate cut bets drive safe-haven demand for gold.” 【FXStreet】
Safe-Haven Demand: With the U.S. government shutdown entering its 38th day, investor sentiment remains cautious. The Congressional Budget Office estimates a 1–2% hit to GDP if the impasse continues.
Legal and Policy Uncertainty: The U.S. Supreme Court’s review of Trump’s 1977 emergency powers–based tariffs adds legal uncertainty to trade outlook, further boosting gold’s defensive appeal.
Labor Market Weakness: Private data from Revelio Labs indicated a net job loss of 9,100 in October, while government payrolls declined by over 22,000, pointing to labor market cooling.
Fed Rate Cut Bets: The CME FedWatch Tool now shows a 67% probability of a December rate cut, up from 60% a week earlier. This weighed on the U.S. Dollar, supporting gold despite intermittent profit-taking.
However, with gold struggling to break cleanly above $4,000, traders remain cautious—suggesting a “fade-the-rally” approach is still favoured until clear directional confirmation.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,001 – $4,005
Support: $3,977 – $3,981
Psychological Level: $4,000
📌 Trade Summary
Gold’s momentum remains mixed—safe-haven flows and Fed cut bets support dips, but strong resistance near $4,000 continues to cap rallies. The short bias remains valid below $4,006, with room for a move toward $3,970 or lower if sellers regain control.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAUUSD: Daily OTE & CRT Setup - Targeting the DrawdownTimeframe: Daily (1D) Chart Analysis: Smart Money Concepts (SMC) / ICT
Gold (XAUUSD) is setting up a high-probability move as it consolidates beneath the recent Daily OTE High. The daily candle is painting a potential CRT Manipulation phase before a distribution down to clear liquidity.
The Setup: Targeting the CRT Drawdown
Current Range (CRT): Price is currently held within the range of the last major daily candle, suggesting Accumulation/Distribution is in progress.
OTE High Resistance: The overhead resistance at $3,991.82 (OTE High) is critical. A potential short-term sweep above this level (the Manipulation phase of CRT) could occur to grab liquidity before the main move.
The Liquidity Target: The projected path indicates a clear run to the Daily OTE Major Low at $3,929.78. This level is a major magnet for liquidity and represents an excellent area for the next Accumulation phase and a potential long entry.
🎯 Trade Plan:
Bearish Bias: Favor a move down toward the $3,929.78 zone.
High-Probability Entry: Wait for price to enter the lower OTE zone at $3,929.78 and look for a lower-timeframe Market Structure Shift (MSS) or bullish Displacement for a long entry confirmation.
The path of least resistance is lower to mitigate the recent Daily high and collect the sell-side liquidity.
Greetings,
MrYounity
Gold is Ready For Bull From SupportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold bullI'm still bills on gold despite unexpected drop down respecting demand area highlighted in green ✅ but nerve-wracking though
XAUUSD: The resistance level at 4020 remains strongGold has attempted to break through the 4020 resistance level several times today but failed. Coupled with the fact that the U.S. initial jobless claims data has not yet been released, it has now re-entered a correction phase.
The resistance level at 4020 remains strong.
For support, the short-term level is still at 3960-3970,and the key previous low support at 3888-3890.
The trading strategy can still refer to our analysis from this morning.
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Stuck in Sideway channel [11.6.2025]Hi guys, Anfibo's here!
XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
At present, OANDA:XAUUSD is moving sideways within a well-defined H1 channel, showing signs of short-term consolidation after recent volatility. The market is currently lacking a clear directional bias, as both buyers and sellers are testing the upper and lower bounds of this intraday structure. Such conditions often favor range-trading strategies, where precision and timing become crucial for capturing short bursts of momentum.
In this context, our plan today remains straightforward and tactical — trade directly off the trendlines of the channel. In other words, we will look to buy at the lower boundary of the range and sell near the upper boundary, while also being prepared to switch positions if a breakout occurs in either direction.
Trading Plan for Today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
(1) ENTRY: 4015 - 4025
SL: 4030
TP: 4050
(2) ENTRY: 4060 - 4080
SL: 4090
TP: 4000 - 3955
Risk Management:
- Stick to small-to-medium positions within the range; increase size only on confirmed breakouts.
- Keep stops tight, as sideways phases tend to trigger false signals.
- Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 and avoid overtrading in choppy conditions.
- Reassess bias once the H1 channel is clearly broken.
Conclusion:
Gold is currently in a sideways consolidation phase within its H1 channel, awaiting fresh catalysts to determine direction. Until a decisive breakout occurs, the most effective approach is range trading — buying near support, selling near resistance, and reacting dynamically to any confirmed breakout.
The plan today is simple yet strategic:
Patience and discipline will be key to capitalizing on this quiet yet potentially explosive setup.
HAVE A NICE DAY, GUYS!
XAUUSD- Bullish setupGold is showing early signs of a bullish reversal after finding support around the lower green band and reclaiming the short-term trend zone. Price has broken above the descending structure with increasing momentum, suggesting potential continuation to the upside.
Bullish Confluences:
Bounce from lower volatility band support (oversold zone).
Break above local trend resistance and EMA ribbon.
Higher lows forming, showing renewed buying pressure.
🎯 Fibonacci Targets:
TP1: 38.2% – $4,049
TP2: 61.8% – $4,075
TP3: 100% – $4,117
As long as price holds above the recent breakout zone (~$3,995–$4,000), bulls remain in control. A clean move through the golden zone could confirm continuation toward higher targets.
Gold XAU/USD Bearish Bias Below 4025 Gold rebounded above $4,000 as traders assess the impact of U.S. labor data and the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting on rate expectations.
However, price is now testing a key resistance zone near 4025, keeping short-term sentiment cautious.
Gold stays bearish while below 4025, but a confirmed 1H close above this level would shift bias toward a bullish move targeting 4055–4105.
XAUUSD LONG SETUP INTRADAY ( NOV 06, 2025 )If you have doubt on our trades you can test in demo.
OANDA:XAUUSD LONG SETUP
EP: 3993.469
TP: 4017.410
SL: 3981.518
Trade Ideas:
Idea is clearly shown on chart + we have some secret psychologies and tools behind this.
Trade Signal:
I provide trade signals here so follow my account and you can check my previous analysis. So don't miss trade opportunity so follow must.
Gold Analysis and Trading StrategiesGold is currently in a range-bound market, failing to break through the 4000 level. The overall trend remains range-bound, with bulls struggling to gain traction. The market is expected to continue its sideways movement, but without a sustained break above 4000, gold will likely remain in a weak, range-bound market.
The 1-hour moving averages for gold are still in a bearish crossover pattern. After a period of consolidation within a triangle pattern, gold broke down on the 1-hour chart, and any rebounds are currently facing downward pressure. The 3990-4000 area remains a significant resistance zone.
Gold opened this morning around 3981, rallied to 3984, and then quickly plummeted to 3968. Based on the volatility, bears still have the upper hand, and market information suggests there is potential for further downward movement.
Today, I will still primarily focus on shorting, but there's one thing to note: the market's bull trap isn't over yet. Therefore, I won't be looking for the perfect shorting entry point. Instead, I'll be tentatively shorting in batches, for example, in the 3980-3985 area. If it climbs further, I'll wait for the 3990-3994 area, and then in batches in the 4000-4010-4020 area. Please don't blindly follow my advice. After all, we dare to operate this way with profits as a foundation. Without profits, blindly holding short positions may be counterproductive, and if there's an unexpected surge, the damage could be significant. Please be mindful of this.
If you don't have a gold trading plan or strategy and are struggling to achieve consistent profits, you can follow my updates. If you have any questions, feel free to message me privately.
XAUUSD SETUP-2 INTRADAY ( NOV 06, 2025 )If you have doubt on our trades you can test in demo.
OANDA:XAUUSD SHORT SETUP
EP: 4018.359
TP: 3994.222
SL: 4030.344
Trade Ideas:
Idea is clearly shown on chart + we have some secret psychologies and tools behind this.
Trade Signal:
I provide trade signals here so follow my account and you can check my previous analysis. So don't miss trade opportunity so follow must.
GoldXAUUSD
- Symmetrical Triangle as an corrective pattern in Short Time Frame
- Break of Structure
- Order Block
- Change of Characteristics
- RSI - Divergence
XAU/USD (Gold) 1H: Bullish BOS & Supply Zone Testthe price of Gold attempting to move higher after a significant drop earlier in the week. The key elements highlighted are:
Current Price Action: The price is currently trading around $3,987.20 and is testing a key resistance zone.
1H Supply Zone: A supply zone is identified between roughly $3,990 and $4,000. This area represents a concentration of selling pressure.
Break of Structure (BOS): There are multiple "BOS" labels, which indicate a Change of Character (CHoCH) or continuation of the trend.
The recent upward move has caused a BOS just below the supply zone, signaling an immediate shift towards bullish momentum.
1H Order Block (OB): A bullish Order Block (OB) or demand zone is identified at the bottom of the recent move, roughly between $3,930 and $3,950. This is a likely area for buyers to step in if the price retraces.
Stop-Loss Hunt (SSS): The "SSS" (likely standing for Sell-Side Liquidity or Stop-Loss Sweep) indicates an area of liquidity that could be targeted before the price moves up.
Bullish Scenario: The large arrow suggests a strong bullish expectation. The price is anticipated to break through the immediate 1H Supply zone (breaking the BOS at the high) and continue moving higher, potentially targeting levels above $4,040.
Gold: Support at 4006–3994, Resistance Near 4030Yesterday, gold broke above the 30-minute MA60 resistance and then pulled back to retest the level, successfully turning it into support. After confirming the support, price continued to grind higher today, reaching around 4020. The MA60 remains the core support for this upward structure. Unless the market enters a strong one-way rally, a pullback is likely, with the MA20/MA30 serving as secondary support levels during the process.
On the 4-hour chart, price is currently testing the MA60 resistance while moving averages still maintain a bullish alignment. If price can successfully complete a resistance-to-support shift around the 4006-3994 zone on the 4H timeframe, it may open the door for a move toward the 4080-4100 resistance region. The first key resistance sits near 4030. Therefore, if price pulls back after testing 4030 but holds above the 4006-3994 support zone, it will retain potential to test 4050/4080-4100 area.
Gold: High VolatilityYesterday, gold’s main structure followed a consolidation path, with the focus of its short-term structure edging slightly higher. The risk of price volatility today has increased. Combining the daily and hourly chart trends, the risk of volatility for gold will be very high in the next two days. Subjectively, we temporarily maintain the expectation of a technical correction pullback. Gold’s bullish performance has not been particularly strong, and with heavy resistance above, the trend has not reversed.
From the 4-hour chart, focus on the short-term resistance at the 4010 level, with secondary resistance at 4020-4025. For support, watch the short-term level at 3960-3970 and the key previous low support at 3888-3890. The bull-bear dividing line remains the 4040-4055 range. As long as this resistance range is not broken, I believe the trend has not reversed,on the contrary, any rebound presents opportunities to enter short positions.
We can enter short orders when rebounds encounter pressure. Operationally, it is recommended to continue shorting as long as rebounds fail to break key resistances.
Trading Strategy:
Sell 4010 - 4020
TP 3970 - 3960 - 3950
Buy 3920 - 3930
TP 3950 - 3960 - 3970
LiamTrading – Gold Confirms Medium-Term UptrendLiamTrading – Gold Confirms Medium-Term Uptrend
Gold has officially broken through the descending trendline, confirming a transition to a medium-term uptrend. After a prolonged accumulation phase, the market is beginning to show clear buying strength, and the potential for an extended rally is gradually forming.
Macroeconomic – Fundamental Analysis
The latest report from the World Gold Council (WGC) shows that central banks continued to increase their gold purchases significantly in September, totaling 39 tons, the highest level since the beginning of the year.
Most notably, the Central Bank of Brazil added 15 tons of gold to its national reserves for the first time this year.
Since the beginning of the year, net purchases by central banks have reached 200 tons, clearly reflecting a shift away from the USD amidst global economic and geopolitical instability. This capital flow provides a solid foundation for gold's medium- and long-term uptrend.
Technical Analysis
On the H2 chart, gold prices have broken the descending trendline, signaling a reversal and establishing a new upward structure.
The 3985–3988 zone is acting as dynamic support, potentially serving as a retest point before prices continue to rise.
The POC of the Volume Profile at the 4015–4017 zone is a short-term resistance, where the market may see profit-taking reactions before breaking higher.
The 4046 mark is considered a decisive area; if surpassed and maintained, the medium-term uptrend will be strongly reinforced.
Today's Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy in line with the uptrend:
Entry: 3986–3988 (may wait for retest confirmation)
SL: 3980
TP: 4020 – 4045 – 4090
Scenario 2 – Short sell at resistance:
Entry: 4015–4017
SL: 4023
TP: 4002 – 3986
Summary
Gold is signaling a clear establishment of a medium-term uptrend, supported by central bank buying flows. Traders should prioritize buying positions at strategic support zones and observe price reactions around the POC to confirm the next direction.
