rally back up to sweep the BSL again.POI (Point of Interest): Highlighted in purple around the 3,780 – 3,790 level, where price is expected to react.
BSL (Buy Side Liquidity): Marked in blue near the 3,860 – 3,880 zone, suggesting liquidity resting above recent highs.
SSL (Sell Side Liquidity): Marked in red near the 3,710 – 3,720 zone, showing liquidity below recent lows.
Price Action: Price made a strong bullish move upward, tapped into the BSL zone, then rejected sharply down toward the POI area.
Projection: The dotted arrow suggests a bullish expectation — price may retrace to the POI and then rally back up to sweep the BSL again.
Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD POSSIBLE NEXT MOVEGold (XAU/USD) Bearish Setup 📉
Gold is facing resistance and showing weakness at higher levels. A fresh selling opportunity is developing.
📍 Entry: Sell from 3802
🎯 Target: 3740
🛡 Stop-loss: Above recent resistance zone
If sellers maintain pressure, Gold could drop toward the 3740 support level. This is a high-probability short trade with good risk-reward potential.
XAUUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVEGold (XAU/USD) Sell Setup 📉
Gold is showing bearish momentum from resistance levels. Sellers are gaining control, and price is likely to move further down if the pressure continues.
📍 Entry: Sell from 3802
🎯 Target: 3740
🛡 Stop-loss: Above recent resistance
This setup provides a clear short opportunity with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. If momentum sustains, Gold can hit the 3740 target zone.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – GOLD FORECAST (30/09/2025)
📊 XAUUSD Deep Analysis (30/09/2025 – London Session)
Daily (D1):
• Gold rejected the 3,871 high, forming a strong bearish rejection candle.
• Structure remains bullish above 3,769–3,770, but today’s move shows correction pressure.
• Trend is intact while above the 10EMA (~3,769), with next support at 3,733–3,740.
1H Chart:
• Clear breakdown from 3,863–3,871 resistance.
• Price is now sitting around 3,802, testing 200 EMA + Fib retracement zone.
• Momentum indicators (MACD & histogram) show increasing bearish pressure, RSI cooling off from overbought.
15M & 5M Charts:
• Strong bearish momentum with BOS (break of structure) confirmed.
• 15M shows a descending channel, short-term support at 3,797–3,800.
• 5M chart oversold but still pressing lower, confirming short bias unless a sharp reversal forms.
⸻
🟡 Fibonacci Golden Zone
Using swing low 3,769 → swing high 3,871:
• 38.2% = 3,833
• 50% = 3,820
• 61.8% = 3,807
➡️ This zone (3,833–3,807) is now active support — price is inside it. If it fails, deeper retracement toward 3,782–3,769 is likely.
⸻
⚡ Scalping Opportunities (5M & 15M, 60 pip SL max)
🔹 Sell Scalps (preferred while below 3,833–3,840):
• Entry: 3,832–3,838 rejection
• TP: 3,820 → 3,812
• SL: ~3,844 (60 pips)
🔹 Buy Scalps (counter-trend, only if Fib support holds):
• Entry: 3,804–3,801 zone
• TP: 3,820 → 3,828
• SL: ~3,795 (55–60 pips)
⸻
📌 Breakout Levels to Continue Trend
• Bullish: Break & hold above 3,842 → recovery toward 3,858–3,871.
• Bearish: Break below 3,797 → opens 3,782–3,769.
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold is correcting inside the Fib golden zone (3,833–3,807). Short-term momentum favors sells on bounces, but buyers may defend 3,807–3,797. Scalpers can sell rejections under 3,833 or look for countertrend bounces from 3,807–3,810 with tight SLs.
Gold (XAUUSD) – 30 Sep | Waiting for Retest of Key Buy Zones🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 30 September
Hello Disciplined Traders,
Welcome to the Chart Is Mirror Community 👋
Market Context
• Gold remains in bullish momentum , with H4 aligned to M15 structure.
• Price is currently trading around 3852 (all-time high) .
• Recent key levels formed:
– Asia Day Low: 3825.8
– M15 OB: 3840–3838
– M15 Demand Zone: 3831–3825.8
Key Observations
• First potential POI for long setup: 3840–3838 (M15 OB).
• If not respected, watch the 3831–3825.8 demand zone + Asia day low as the next strong buy area.
• Keep in mind, market may sweep liquidity below the demand zone before a strong up move — so reaction at the zone is crucial.
Execution Plan
• Wait for price to retest either of the above POIs.
• Look for LTF confirmation before committing to long setups.
Stillness before execution — let price come to your levels, not the other way around.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Daily Trading Plan | Pump & Dump or Smart Money Move?Gold shocked the market with a sharp 70$ drop from 388x down to 380x, raising questions:
– Was this a sudden move from big players?
– Or just structured profit-taking by major funds?
The key lies in today’s intraday reactions around major Fibo & breakout zones.
📍 Key Levels to Watch
🔴 SELL Reaction Zone
387x → High-probability rejection area.
Only short if there’s a strong rejection candle.
🟢 BUY Support Zones
3780 (Retest Breakout + Trendline) → First dip-buy setup.
375x (Reaction Zone) → Stronger liquidity zone for potential reversal.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup
Entry: 387x SELL REACT (confirmation needed).
Target: 3800 → 3780.
Stop Loss: Above 3888.
2️⃣ BUY Setup
Entry: 3780 → 375x BUY ZONE.
Targets: 3838 → 387x.
Stop Loss: Below 3745.
⚡ Trading Notes
Expect volatility around 3800 psychological level.
Smart money may trap weak hands; wait for confirmation before entry.
Stick to planned R/R zones, don’t chase mid-range.
💬 Community Call
Do you think this 70$ drop is just profit-taking, or is Gold preparing for a deeper flush under 3800?
Drop your charts & views below 👇
The Unstoppable Rise of Gold**Technical Analysis (XAU/USD):**
Gold is trading around **$3,816**, showing continued bullish strength along the upward trend line. Price has respected higher lows, confirming buyers remain in control. Key short-term support levels are visible at **$3,797**, **$3,759**, and **$3,718**. As long as price stays above the **$3,718 zone** (major support), the bullish structure remains intact.
The chart indicates two bullish scenarios:
1. A direct continuation higher from current levels.
2. A potential retest of the **$3,797 – $3,759 zone** before another push upward.
Upside targets in the coming sessions stand between **$3,860 – $3,900**, with further momentum potentially extending beyond **$3,925**.
**Fundamental Analysis:**
* **Safe-Haven Demand:** Persistent geopolitical uncertainties and global economic slowdown fears are keeping gold attractive as a safe-haven asset.
* **Central Bank Policies:** If the Fed maintains a dovish stance or signals rate cuts, real yields may decline, further boosting gold.
* **Inflation Hedge:** Despite cooling in some regions, sticky inflation supports long-term gold demand.
* **Central Bank Purchases:** Record gold buying by global central banks continues to provide a solid floor under prices.
**Conclusion:**
Gold remains in a strong bullish phase, with technicals showing steady upward momentum and fundamentals reinforcing demand. Any dips toward **$3,759–$3,718** may offer buying opportunities as long as the trendline holds, while the broader outlook points toward further gains.
Gold price analysis September 30During the European session, gold is in a corrective phase with notable support zones around 3790 and 3760. These are key points to watch for market reaction: if buying pressure appears and holds these zones, the uptrend could continue with a target towards 3900.
On the contrary, the 3832 area is acting as a short-term resistance – if selling pressure returns here, the price is likely to retreat to lower support zones.
📌 Strategy: Prioritize looking for BUY opportunities when price rejection signals appear at 3790 or 3760.
Gold Prices Plunge from Historic PeakGold Prices Plunge from Historic Peak
As shown by the XAU/USD chart, yesterday gold prices reached a new all-time high, surpassing the $3,870 level for the first time. This rise was supported by concerns over the high likelihood of a US government shutdown.
According to media reports:
→ Vice President J.D. Vance stated that the US is heading towards a government shutdown, blaming the Democrats.
→ “We have very large disagreements,” said Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer.
Fears over the potential impact of a shutdown boosted demand for safe-haven assets, including gold. However, today XAU/USD has dropped sharply. What might this mean?
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
In our previous analysis of gold prices, we drew an ascending channel, which remains intact.
Within the context of this channel, it is worth noting that each time the price exceeds its upper boundary, this tends to trigger a correction, a consequence of the market being overbought (in most cases confirmed by the RSI indicator).
Yesterday, during heightened activity in the US trading session, gold prices moved significantly above the upper boundary of the channel, leaving the market vulnerable to a correction. For this reason, today’s decline during the European session can be explained by traders reassessing risks, as well as profit-taking after a rise of more than 11% since the start of the month.
Note the speed of the decline — it indicates strong conviction among the bears. Overall, yesterday’s rise combined with today’s sharp fall can be interpreted as a bearish engulfing pattern. This strengthens the case for a deeper correction towards the psychological $3,800 level, where the median of the channel lies (possible support levels are marked in purple).
Therefore, it is possible that bulls exhausted their momentum yesterday, and for an upward trend to resume, another consolidation period with the formation of a “bull flag” pattern may be required.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Time to Fade the Rally—Gold Shorts Aim for 3835–3825Driven by the market's risk aversion sentiment, gold continues to maintain its strong upward position and has now reached our long target area: 3850-3860 as expected. It is obvious that gold is still in a bull trend, but as gold prices have risen sharply, more and more high-level risks have accumulated. Therefore, it is actually very difficult to directly participate in gold long trading now.
But according to the current trend, it is not difficult to find that after each surge in gold, there is a trend of falling back and testing support. Therefore, even if gold is in an upward trend, there is still a need to retrace support locally, and the retracement range is relatively not small, and can reach a retracement space of $20-30, so there is enough profit space for short-term trading.
In addition, in the short term, gold is currently facing the influence of the trend channel resistance area of 3855-3865. The current upward momentum has converged and the willingness to rise has tended to weaken. Under the influence of the resistance in this area, gold may have a need to retreat in the short term.
So in the short term, we might first consider shorting gold with the 3855-3865 area as resistance, and first look at the target area of 3835-3825 area. Of course, to gamble on short-term retracement profits in an upward trend, you need to set up protection!
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) has extended its rally to a new all-time high above $3,870, but short-term charts show slight profit-taking pressure. Price action is consolidating within a narrow range between Support Zone $3,842–$3,846 and Resistance Zone $3,869–$3,873. As long as the support holds, the bias remains bullish with potential continuation towards higher resistance levels.
The ascending trendline is intact, suggesting the trend remains strongly upward. A decisive close above $3,873 could open the door to $3,900–$3,910 levels in the near term.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,846–$3,842 (Support Zone retest)
Stop Loss: $3,840
Take Profit 1: $3,873
Take Profit 2: $3,900
R:R Ratio: ~1 : 4.04
🌍 Macro Background
Gold’s rally is supported by geopolitical tensions, US government shutdown risks, and dovish Fed expectations. The USD remains under pressure as markets price in a 90% probability of a Fed rate cut in October and a 70% chance of another cut in December (CME FedWatch). Additionally, escalating geopolitical risks—Russia’s warning over US missile supplies to Ukraine and heightened Middle East tensions—are fuelling safe-haven flows into gold.
Meanwhile, US political uncertainty continues as President Trump’s last-minute negotiations with Congress failed to yield a budget agreement, keeping the government shutdown threat alive. This adds another layer of support for gold’s safe-haven demand.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,869 / $3,873 / $3,900
Support: $3,846 / $3,842
📌 Trade Summary
Gold remains in a bullish structure, with strong fundamental backing from Fed rate cut bets and geopolitical risks. Dips into the support zone near $3,846–$3,842 are likely to attract buyers, targeting $3,873 and potentially $3,900+. Only a break below $3,840 would weaken the bullish bias.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
(XAU/USD) Daily Analysis – Bullish Continuation Setup Toward $4,(Gold Daily - as of Sep 30, 2025)
Current Price: ~$3,851.68
Trend: Strong uptrend with price following a rising channel
Timeframe: Daily candles
Tool Used: TradingView
🧩 Key Chart Elements
Support Level Buy Zone (Blue Box)
Range: $3,459.10 – $3,625.44
This is the planned re-entry/buy zone.
Coincides with a previous resistance zone turned support, and the lower bound of the channel.
Trade Entry Point
Suggested entry near $3,625.44
Aligned with the lower edge of the blue support zone.
Stop Loss
Placed slightly below the blue zone at $3,459.10
This protects against a breakdown from the channel and invalidation of the setup.
Price Action Forecast (Pink Line)
Expectation of a short-term pullback into the buy zone.
Followed by a strong bullish continuation toward the target.
Target Point
$4,452.425 marked as the LABA TARGET POINT
Suggests a long-term upside potential of around +17% from current price levels.
Trend Channel
Price is respecting an upward sloping parallel channel.
This provides structure and validation for the projected bullish move.
📈 Strategy Summary
Element Value
Buy Zone $3,459 – $3,625
Target $4,452
Stop Loss ~$3,459
Risk/Reward Favorable
Trend Bullish
🔍 Final Thoughts
This is a momentum-based trend-following strategy:
Wait for a retracement into the support zone.
Look for bullish reversal confirmation (e.g. bullish engulfing, RSI bounce, etc.).
Enter long with stop just below the zone.
Hold for the move toward ~$4,450.
GOLD PLAN TODAY | XAUUSD SEP.30 ☄️ Gold Market Outlook 09/ 30 (Based on SMC) ☄️
📊Trend Analysis
🔤Price is at 3865+, marking a continuation of the strong bullish trend.
🔤Clear BOS (Break of Structure) at multiple levels confirms order flow remains bullish.
🔤Several FVGs are stacked below (3,850 – 3,835 – 3,800), acting as potential demand zones where Smart Money may retrace to fill liquidity gaps.
🔤No CHoCH (Change of Character) yet → trend bias stays bullish.
💡 Trading Plan
🔼Scenario 1: Buy on Shallow Retracement
Entry: 3850 – 3855 (first FVG zone).
Reason: Trend continuation, price often respects first FVG in strong bullish momentum.
Condition: Wait for bullish rejection on M5/M15.
🔼Scenario 2: Buy on Deeper Retracement
Entry: 3835 – 3840 (second FVG).
Reason: High-probability demand zone where liquidity may be collected.
Condition: Look for BOS upwards on lower timeframe before entering.
🔼Scenario 3: Breakout Buy
Entry: On a clean BOS above 3870 with retest confirmation.
Reason: If momentum continues without retracement, Smart Money may drive price higher directly.
Condition: Candle close above 3870 + retest as support.
Bulls are going wild. Is a pullback an opportunity?The gold market has recently demonstrated a strong, one-sided upward trend. Gold prices surged again on Tuesday, reaching a new all-time high, confirming the bulls' absolute dominance. The early Asian session low has become a key intraday turning point. As long as prices hold above this level, the short-term bullish trend will persist. Trading strategies should prioritize buying on dips.
Analysis of multiple technical charts indicates a bullish trend. The monthly chart indicates a solid long-term uptrend; the weekly and daily charts are also trading above key support levels, providing support for a medium-term upward trend. The four-hour chart is particularly crucial. After effectively breaking through resistance last Friday, short-term bullish momentum is strong. On the whole, the strategy should continue to follow the trend. The European session should focus on entering the market at key support and resistance levels. The focus on the lower side is the 3850-3840 support line. The short-term target on the upper side can be seen in the 3890-3900 area.
Operational Strategy:
Short at 3875-3880, stop loss at 3890, profit target at 3855.
Long at 3855-3850, stop loss at 3840, target at 3880-3890.
Swing trading, holding short positionsI executed the short trade as planned and added to the short position in batches as gold rallied. Current technical analysis is no longer valid; in the short term, gold's price is primarily driven by news events. Please remember, there is no market that only goes up and never goes down. Although most people are bullish at the moment, how many people really dare to chase the long position in an extreme rising market? Gold is currently setting new historical highs, but today gold is facing the end of the monthly line. In addition, the situation in the Middle East has eased. Once bad news comes, those who blindly go long will suffer huge losses. Therefore, in the short term, I am still inclined to short gold at the top. Since we adopt swing trading and have sufficient funds in the account, short-term floating losses are still within our controllable range. During this period, I will flexibly adjust the trading layout according to market trends. If you are currently in trouble with your short position, you can contact me for help.
XAU/USD - Bearish MomentumGold gave us a clean 3-Touch reversal pattern followed by a clean 1H retrace candle.
Expecting:
A lower time frame correction to confirm continuation.
Targeting 90% if price breaks impulsively to the downside.
Let price do the work, wait for the correction before entering short.
Gold 09/30 |Safe-haven flows surge | Gold sails toward new highs🟡 XAU/USD – 30/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News
US Politics : Meeting between Trump and bipartisan leaders ended without agreement → growing risk of a US government shutdown by Wednesday.
Conflict : Democrats demand concessions, Republicans fiercely oppose → wide gap remains, both sides blaming each other.
Market : Investors watch JOLTS data and speeches from 3 FED members, but political risks are the strongest catalyst for Gold.
Trend : Safe-haven flows keep pouring into Gold → increasing likelihood of testing new ATH.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : US political seas are stormy, Gold becomes the fortress of safety. The voyage toward ATH is widening.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis (H1)
EMA : EMA 34 (yellow) > EMA 89 (red) → bullish trend clearly dominant.
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone)
Near FVG: 3,856
FVG Scalping: 3,842
Big Volume Dock: 3,827
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
ATH test: 3,916 – 3,917
Market Structure : Gold broke out strongly, now trading around 3,870. Main trend remains bullish, with 3,842 – 3,827 as key anchor zones.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (main priority)
Buy Zone 1 – Scalping FVG
Entry: 3,842 – 3,844
SL: 3,835
TP: 3,846 – 3,849 – 3,852 – 3,859 – 3,8xx
Buy Zone 2 – Big Volume
Entry: 3,827 – 3,824
SL: 3,815
TP: 3,870 – 3,899 – 3,916
⚡ Sell (short scalp – high risk)
Sell Zone – ATH test
Entry: 3,917 – 3,920
SL: 3,925
TP: 3,899 – 3,870 – 3,856
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden sails are filled by safe-haven winds, pushing the ship close to ATH. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,842 – 3,827) is the ideal dock for sailors to position Buys. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,916 – 3,920) may unleash violent waves, suitable only for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. If the political storm from Washington breaks out, Gold’s voyage could surpass the peak and expand its horizon.”
📢 If you find the Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow for the earliest updates.
💬 What’s your view, crew? Will Gold conquer ATH around 3,917 this week?
No Room for SELL, Only BUY with Strong Market Flows📊 Market Context
Talks between Trump and US congressional leaders ended with no clear agreement, leaving the threat of a US government shutdown hanging over the market. Both sides continue to blame each other with no common ground in sight.
On the last trading day of the month, focus shifts to the upcoming JOLTS job openings data and speeches from three Fed officials. Combined with political uncertainty and strong safe-haven flows, gold remains heavily supported. For now, there’s no space for SELL setups — the primary direction is still BUY.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price has broken higher, continuing to print fresh ATHs with strong bullish momentum.
Main BUY Zone sits at 3846–3844 (confluence of FIB + CP zone).
Secondary support at 3827–3825 (volume zone) where strong reactions are expected.
If momentum persists, medium-term upside targets lie toward the 3923–3930 liquidity zone.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
BUY Zones: 3846–3844, 3827–3825
SELL Zone (Observation only – potential liquidity trap): 3923–3930
📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan
BUY ZONE 1: 3846–3844
SL: 3840
TP: 3850 - 3855 - 3860 - 3870 - 3880 - ???
BUY ZONE 2: 3827–3825
SL: 3820
TP: 3835 - 3840 - 3850 - 3860 - 3870 - 3880 - ???
⚠️ Risk Notes
Expect volatility with JOLTS data and Fed speeches today.
Avoid FOMO buying at highs — wait for price action confirmation at key zones.
Manage position size carefully as end-of-month trading can bring unexpected swings.
✅ Summary
Gold remains firmly in bullish territory, supported by political risks and macroeconomic uncertainty. Plan of the day: prioritize BUY entries at 3846–3844 and 3827–3825, with extended targets at 3880+ and potentially 3920+. Momentum is strong, and following the BUY side remains the higher-probability path.
📢 Stay tuned with MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates and BIGWIN setups!
Gold 1H – Will Rejection at 3904 Trigger Deeper Pullback?Gold on the 1H timeframe is approaching a premium supply zone between 3904–3902, where a rejection could spark a short-term retracement. Market structure shows multiple BOS on the way up, but the latest move may invite engineered liquidity sweeps into nearby demand levels. A defined discount demand area rests at 3811–3813, offering potential for continuation if price reacts positively.
From the macro side, today’s headlines highlight steady U.S. dollar strength as traders weigh inflation risks and upcoming Federal Reserve commentary. Meanwhile, geopolitical concerns in energy markets are sustaining safe-haven flows, contributing to intraday volatility in gold.
This setup aligns with a tactical two-sided strategy: fade rejections at premium supply while being ready to scale into dips around the defined demand zone.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3904–3902 (SL 3911): Premium supply area, with downside targets at 3890 → 3870 → 3850.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 3811–3813 (SL 3804, Demand Zone): Discount demand aligned with BOS, with upside targets at 3840 → 3855 → 3870+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Supply Rejection (3904–3902)
• Entry: 3904–3902
• Stop Loss: 3911
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3890
TP2: 3870
TP3: 3850
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Mitigation (3811–3813)
• Entry: 3811–3813
• Stop Loss: 3804
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3840
TP2: 3855
TP3: 3870+
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains volatile as it tests premium supply. Expect engineered sweeps before direction becomes clear. With the dollar firm and Fed commentary pending, intraday setups favor:
• Fading supply rejections at 3904–3902.
• Buying dips into 3811–3813 if liquidity is cleared.