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Xauusdanalysis

XAU/USD Key Support Test & Probable Trend ReversalTrend Duration Analysis From the Trend Duration markings: Recent Trend Durations Noted Previous uptrend: 21 candles Prior downtrend: 10 candles Earlier uptrend: 37 candles Your indicator suggests the probable length of the current downtrend may also approximate 21 candles, similar to the previous major cycle. Right now, the downtrend is in early stages and may continue slightly lower into your SUPPORT LEVEL before reversing. 3. Key Levels (from chart) Support Zone 4,035 – 4,000 (largest highlighted accumulation zone) This is the critical support on the chart. Price has touched the upper area already. Secondary Demand Zones 3,980 3,950 3,900 These represent deeper liquidity pockets if the support breaks. Upside Targets After Reversal Based on your projection lines: 4,150 4,200 4,300 4,350+ (max extension on dotted projections) These levels match the Fibonacci-style structure visible on the right side. 4. Price Structure Analysis ✔ Bullish structure before drop Price formed a strong 37-candle trend up, creating a higher high. ✔ Sharp correction now The drop into support appears to be a classic liquidity sweep before a trend continuation. ✔ Support Reaction Expected Your chart clearly shows the expected bounce path marked with a blue dotted diagonal. If the support holds, we are likely to see: A higher low formation Trend reversal back into the projected targets 5. Probable Scenarios 🟢 Bullish Scenario (High probability) If price holds above 4,035 – 4,000, expect: Trend reversal up Recovery into 4,150 → 4,200 → 4,300 A full potential extension toward 4,350 – 4,400 This matches the indicator’s “Probable Length” of the next uptrend. 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Low probability but possible) If price breaks below 3,980, then: Market will target 3,950 and 3,900 demand Trend duration may extend beyond the predicted cycle But the chart suggests this is a less likely path. 6. Final Summary Gold is now in a bullish accumulation zone. Current downtrend is likely near completion (based on the 21-candle forecast). Support at 4,035 – 4,000 is the critical pivot zone. A bullish reversal toward 4,200–4,350 is the most probable move if support holds. Your chart essentially forecasts a buy-the-dip setup with upward continuation. CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:MES1! COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! NYMEX:CL1! CME:BTC1! COMEX:SI1! CME_MINI:RTY1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! CBOT_MINI:MYM1!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
XAUUSD(GOLD): View Remain The Same Major Swing Sell! Gold dropped to $4030 today, filling up the liquidity gap. However, it reversed nicely. Looking at smaller time frames, we notice heavy selling pressure, which is likely to push the price down towards our target one or two, if fundamentals support the view. Furthermore, we believe the price still has a high chance of going around our top entry around $4380. That area remains a key level if the trend is bearish in the longer term. We advise you to wait for further correction before making any decisions. Good luck and trade safely! Team Setupsfx_🏆❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Setupsfx_
24
XAUUSD Breakdown After Trendline Violation –Bearish ContinuationGold has broken below a long-held ascending trendline and slipped under the Ichimoku cloud, confirming a shift in market structure. After the breakdown, price is now forming potential pullback zones near 4130–4155, where sellers may re-enter. The chart highlights previous consolidation blocks, the trendline retest area, and projected bearish continuation levels. This setup suggests: Trendline break = bearish momentum shift Retest zones identified for possible short entries Lower targets likely if price rejects from resistance zones Ichimoku showing cloud resistance + bearish sentiment XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Strong Bearish Momentum After Trendline Breakdown 1. Major Trendline Break (Key Event) The chart shows gold breaking below a long-term rising trendline that had been respected for several sessions. This is the strongest signal of a trend reversal from bullish → bearish. Once price broke the trendline, momentum increased sharply to the downside. --- 2. Ichimoku Confirms Bearish Shift Price is trading below the Ichimoku cloud, meaning bearish momentum dominates. The cloud ahead is thin and declining, suggesting weak future support. Trend bias = Downtrend. --- 3. Key Pullback (Rejection) Zones Two major resistance areas are marked on your chart: Zone 1: 4130 – 4140 A shallow pullback zone where early sellers may enter. If price retests here and rejects, expect continuation downward. Zone 2: 4148 – 4155 The higher, stronger resistance zone. This aligns with: Broken trendline retest Ichimoku cloud edge Previous structure zone This is the ideal short-entry zone for institutional/smart money traders. --- 4. Structure Breaks Confirm Bearish Bias Market broke: Previous consolidation blocks Higher lows Support levels around 4080–4100 This indicates clear displacement and strong bearish intent.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Mira_Clara
17
The bullish structure remains intact, we remain bullish.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD Looking at the hourly chart, the short-term resistance level is at 4210, which is also the high point of yesterday's NY session rebound. Although gold encountered resistance and pressure again during the day, as long as this resistance is broken, it will continue to test the 4245-4260 level. Gold has fallen back again, but the bullish structure has not been broken in the short term. The current pullback can be regarded as a technical correction, so I am still inclined to be bullish on gold. The daily MA5 has also risen to around 4160, which is exactly the important support level I emphasized yesterday. Therefore, if the price retraces to 4160-4145 again during the European session, we can continue to go long on gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 14/11/20251. Momentum D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is showing clearer signs of reversal. We need to wait for today’s close for confirmation. If D1 momentum truly reverses, I expect a strong bearish move next week. H4 Timeframe: H4 momentum is preparing to turn upward, so a short-term bullish move may appear on this timeframe. H1 Timeframe: H1 momentum is getting ready to reverse downward, so I expect a decline from the current H1 structure. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1 Wave Structure Price is still forming wave X. Yesterday’s D1 candle was bearish but not very strong. Today, we want to see another strong bearish candle to further confirm the possibility of a new decline on the daily timeframe. For now, we continue to observe today’s market reaction. ________________________________________ H4 Wave Structure On the H4 chart, we’re seeing two strong bullish candles, which is not what we want to see if the market is forming a top. A proper top should show strong downward momentum, while the pullback should appear as short-bodied candles. We now wait for the upward reversal of H4 momentum: • If price breaks above the high, it suggests the current high is not the real top but only a temporary corrective move, and the market may form a new higher high. • If price does not break the high, then once H4 momentum reverses downward, we can expect a stronger and deeper decline. (This section keeps your original meaning exactly, with smoother wording.) ________________________________________ H1 Wave Structure The recent decline resembles a clear 3-wave structure, creating three possible scenarios: 3 Possible Scenarios Scenario 1 – Correction Completed If the recent decline is a completed 3-wave structure, the correction may already be over. Combined with H4 momentum preparing to rise, price may form a new high once H4 enters overbought territory. ________________________________________ Scenario 2 – Wave A of a Flat or Triangle If the decline is only wave A, then a larger Flat or Triangle correction may be forming. • Price may revisit 4248 when H4 momentum reaches overbought. • After that, price may decline again but not deeply: o Flat: drop toward 4145 (wave A low). o Triangle: a shallower drop. • After completing this correction, price will begin a new upward swing. ________________________________________ Scenario 3 – Beginning of a 5-Wave Decline If the previous drop was wave 1 of a 5-wave bearish sequence: • The current rise is wave 2, meaning price must not break 4248. • When H4 reaches overbought and consolidates below the peak, price may drop sharply into wave 3. • Another possibility: H4 and H1 momentum “stick together”; once H1 reverses downward, price may fall aggressively — a typical wave 3 characteristic. ________________________________________ 4. Overall Bias While multiple scenarios are listed for monitoring, our primary expectation remains bearish, based on signals observed over the past several days. ________________________________________ 🎯 5. Trading Plan Sell Zone: 4211 – 4213 SL: 4231 TP1: 4145 TP2: 4096 TP3: 4046
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD Potential Reversal Zone & Bullish Channel Projection (45-1. Price Action Context Gold (XAUUSD) has been in a short-term downtrend, shown by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Price is currently trading around 4113 after a sharp drop. 2. Key Zone: RESISTANCE Turned SUPPORT The highlighted red zone around 4081 – 4103 is marked as a major support / demand zone. This appears to be a level where buyers are expected to step in. The squiggly black arrows indicate a possible liquidity grab or fake breakout before the true move begins. 3. Projected Bullish Recovery The gray vertical projection box and upward channel lines suggest the author expects: A bounce from the 4081–4103 support A move up through the channel A potential target around 4220, which aligns with the upper boundary of the projected ascending channel. 4. Trend Channel A rising channel has been plotted, projecting the potential direction over the next sessions. Price bouncing inside the lower area of the channel suggests: The down move might be ending Momentum could shift toward a bullish correction or even a trend reversal 5. Key Levels Highlighted Support zone: 4,081.888 4,103.142 Bullish target: 4,220.041 These levels are visually marked and consistent with a reversal strategy. 🧭 Overall Interpretation This chart proposes a bullish reversal setup, with traders watching for: A potential liquidity sweep at the support zone A bounce and consolidation A climb toward the upper channel area, with 4220 as a projected target This is a counter-trend reversal idea, so confirmation would be crucial (rejection wicks, bullish candle structures, RSI turning up, etc.).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
Gold faces a test at 4100; time to prepare for positioningGold’s Downtrend Intensifies: The decline in gold has accelerated, with the previous support at $4,150 now decisively broken. Based on prior price action, the next key support is located near $4,100, a level that the market tested twice during the earlier consolidation phase but failed to break, indicating strong structural support. At the same time, the ascending trendline also converges near this area, adding further reinforcement to the support zone. Therefore, $4,100 can be considered the key pivot level going forward. Should this level be breached, gold could face deeper downside risk, with a potential move back toward the $4,000 psychological level not out of the question. However, as noted, the $4,100 area carries significant support, so monitoring the price reaction closely will be crucial. If this level holds, long positions may be considered. If $4,100 breaks decisively, I believe momentum shorts (trend continuation trades) become viable.
TVC:GOLDLong
by James_AU
GOLD H1 – Gold Reacts to Mixed U.S. Inflation Data🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (14/11) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to trade within a balanced range as investors digest the latest U.S. inflation data. The CPI report showed cooling price pressures, while producer prices (PPI) are due soon — both shaping market sentiment toward the Fed’s December rate outlook. • Softer inflation supports a bullish bias if gold holds the discount zone. • Renewed USD strength could trigger short setups from premium liquidity zones. Institutional flows suggest engineered liquidity hunts before a decisive move resumes. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Structure: Gold remains in a short-term bullish correction after a strong sell-off, with recent ChoCH signaling a possible re-accumulation phase. • Premium Zone: 4300–4298 aligns with a previous unmitigated supply and internal liquidity — ideal for sell-side reactions. • Discount Zone: 4144–4142 overlaps with the last bullish OB and EMA100 area — a potential demand zone for continuation. • Liquidity: Resting buy-side liquidity sits above 4300, while inducement below 4140 could lure early longs before true accumulation. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,300 – 4,298 • Stop-Loss: 4,310 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,178 (previous BOS zone) → 4,144 (discount retest) → 4,110 (deep liquidity pocket) 📌 Valid only after a liquidity sweep and bearish BOS confirmation on M5–M15. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,144 – 4,142 • Stop-Loss: 4,135 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,185 (minor structure high) → 4,210 (liquidity void fill) → 4,300 (final premium reaction zone) 📌 Valid if price reclaims structure with bullish BOS confirmation. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Stay patient until U.S. PPI data confirms direction. • Avoid trades between 4175–4250 (low R/R consolidation area). • Scale out partials near liquidity pools and trail stops after confirmation. • Maintain disciplined risk exposure under 2%. Summary Gold is in an engineered equilibrium phase — liquidity pools are forming at both extremes. • Sell zone: 4300–4298 (premium reaction zone) • Buy zone: 4144–4142 (discount accumulation zone) Expect manipulation around mid-range levels before a clean directional move unfolds. 📍Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
34
XAUUSD: 4H Order Block Re-test for LongKey Zone Identified: The 4H / OB (4-Hour Order Block): An Order Block (OB) is a specific candlestick or candle group that market participants use to identify where large institutional orders were likely placed before a significant move. In this case, it appears to be a bullish order block identified on the 4-hour timeframe, which suggests strong institutional demand in that price range. The price is currently re-entering this identified grey rectangular zone (the 4H / OB) near the 4,120.00 to 4,145.00 area (based on the price scale). 'X' Label: The label 'X' likely denotes a previous Swing High or a Break of Structure (BOS) point that the initial upward move surpassed, confirming bullish momentum. The Trading Idea (Indicated by Arrows): The setup anticipates a buy (long) trade to be initiated from within or around the 4H / OB zone. The price is expected to bounce off this strong support area. The projected move is an upward rally targeting the level marked as Target around the 4,180.00 price level.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
Gold: Deploy based on key levelsGold exhibited a fluctuating and weakening trend today, with a pullback after a morning rally. It hit a high in the early session before gradually declining, closing slightly lower intraday, as bullish momentum waned in the tug-of-war between long and short positions. The 4-hour chart shows that the 20-period SMA is around 4150, and this average has moved above both the 100-period and 200-period SMAs, providing a degree of dynamic support for gold prices. This has limited the extent of the intraday pullback, preventing a sharp plunge. On the daily chart, the 20-day SMA sits at 4076, and current gold prices remain above all major moving averages, with the long-term bullish technical pattern still intact. As long as the support at the 20-day SMA holds, bulls are likely to retain control. A subsequent breakthrough above the 4220 high could see prices advance toward the 4300 level; conversely, a breach below key moving average support may trigger a deeper pullback. The primary support remains in the 4150-4160 range,holding this zone could avert further pullback, while a break of this short-term support would shift focus to the key 4100 level. For upward momentum today, a short-term rebound needs to first clear the 4180-4186 range to reignite upward drive. The critical resistance zone to watch is 4211-4215, which marks today’s intraday high and a key level for recent bullish attacks; a breakout here could pave the way for a move toward 4300. Trading Strategy: Buy 4150 - 4160 SL 4140 TP 4210 - 4215 - 4220 Sell 4210 - 4220 SL 4230 TP 4190 - 4180 - 4170 Avoid blindly chasing long positions at the high level of 4211-4215, and also refrain from random bottom-fishing near 4150. Wait for the market to give a clear direction before taking action.If no clear breakthrough signal emerges on the day, one may abandon the trade to avoid frequent operations.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by KingArthur_
XAUUSD: Focus on trading opportunities at these two levels todayMarket Review: Yesterday, the U.S. government struggled back into operation, and gold reacted with a sharp spike followed by an equally sharp reversal. During the U.S. session, prices once again tested the $2,240–$2,250 resistance zone, but failed to break through and subsequently plunged, giving back the entirety of the day’s gains. In yesterday’s trading strategy, I highlighted the $2,240–$2,250 resistance area, noting that failure to break above would provide a short opportunity. The nearly $100 price drop that followed should have allowed anyone who followed the strategy to secure substantial profits. Market Analysis: On the 1-hour chart, the key short-term resistance for gold is around $2,210—the rebound high from last night and also the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. As long as $2,210 fails to break, gold is likely to maintain a range-bound to bearish bias today, offering opportunities to position on the short side. Key support lies at $2,150, which coincides with a previous swing high and the lowest point of yesterday’s retracement rebound. If prices pull back to this level without breaking below, it provides a potential long entry setup. Trading Strategy: The strategy is straightforward $2,210 and $2,150 are today’s critical levels. As long as these levels hold, each offers an entry opportunity. It’s best to avoid chasing breakouts; instead, focus on selling high and buying low within the defined range. Overall, short setups from higher levels appear more favorable for today’s market conditions.
TVC:GOLDShort
by James_AU
Gold Faces Rejection at Resistance Zone – Potential Bearish CorrAnalysis: The gold price (XAU/USD) is currently testing a strong resistance zone near $4,235–$4,240, where previous bullish momentum appears to be slowing down. Sellers are showing interest in this area, suggesting a potential bearish reversal or correction phase. A clear support zone lies around $4,140–$4,150, which serves as the target for the expected downward move. If price breaks below this support, further declines could extend toward the next demand zone. However, if gold breaks and closes above the resistance zone with strong volume, it could invalidate this bearish setup and open the path to new highs. Key Points: Resistance Zone: $4,235 – $4,240 Support Zone: $4,140 – $4,150 Short-term Bias: Bearish correction expected Target: Support zone near $4,145
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS(14/11/2025, LONDON SESSION)1️⃣ Market Overview Gold begins the London session trading around $4,178–$4,183, recovering after an early sweep toward $4,159 and bouncing back into the intraday structure. Despite this recovery, price remains below the broken ascending trendline, which now acts as resistance, and under the broader descending trendline from $4,245. The current movement suggests a corrective pullback, with sellers defending the $4,183–$4,192 zone, as gold forms lower highs intraday. London volatility will determine whether the market rejects this retest (bearish continuation) or breaks above it (bullish reversal attempt). ⸻ 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown 🔹 Daily (D1) • Gold maintains a mid-recovery structure, holding above the 100EMA and trying to build above the 10EMA. • RSI ~61 shows mild bullish momentum but not strong enough to break the long-term descending trendline. • Major support remains at $4,028–$4,090, with resistance at the compression ceiling near $4,192–$4,209. 🔹 1H Chart • Structure remains bearish-to-neutral, following a clean BOS down from $4,209 into $4,159. • Current bounce is just a retest of the broken trendline. • RSI around 46 and MACD red but flattening → early signs of indecision, not reversal. • Critical resistance sits at $4,183–$4,192, aligned with retest structure + EMA cluster. 🔹 15M–5M • Intraday shows a BOS to the downside, then a corrective pullback. • Price is reacting inside a tight compression wedge between trendline resistance and EMAs. • Momentum on lower timeframes suggests sellers are waiting for rejection confirmation at $4,183–$4,192. ⸻ 3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis Last swing: 4,245 → 4,159 • 38.2% = 4,192 • 50.0% = 4,202 • 61.8% = 4,212 🎯 Golden Zone: 4,192 – 4,212 This is the primary high-probability sell interest area. ⸻ 4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios 📉 SELL SCENARIO (Main Bias) Sell Zone: 4,183 – 4,192 (Trendline retest + EMA cluster + FVG alignment) Targets: → 4,172 → 4,160 → 4,145 Stop Loss: Above 4,200 Confirmation Needed: • Bearish engulfing • BOS below 4,176 • RSI divergence on 5M–15M ⸻ 💥 BREAKOUT SELL SETUP Trigger: Break & close below 4,172 Retest: 4,174–4,176 Targets: → 4,160 → 4,145 → 4,130 Stop Loss: Above 4,185 ⸻ 📈 BUY SCENARIO (Countertrend) Buy Zone: 4,159 – 4,165 (Morning sweep demand + liquidity grab) Targets: → 4,176 → 4,183 → 4,190 Stop Loss: Below 4,154 Confirmation: • Bullish CHoCH • Strong wick rejection • MACD flip ⸻ 💥 BREAKOUT BUY SETUP Trigger: Break & close above 4,200 Retest: 4,192–4,195 Targets: → 4,209 → 4,225 → 4,245 Stop Loss: Below 4,188 ⸻ 5️⃣ Fundamental Watch • London session opens with higher volatility following overnight sweeps. • US PPI and consumer sentiment later today may set the direction for the next leg. • DXY stabilizing near 105.8, keeping pressure on gold until broken. • Markets remain sensitive to Fed tone and bond yield fluctuation. ⸻ 6️⃣ Key Technical Levels Resistance Zones: • 4,183 • 4,192 • 4,200 • 4,209 Support Zones: • 4,172 • 4,165 • 4,159 • 4,145 Golden Zone: ➡️ 4,192 – 4,212 Break Levels: • Sell Break Trigger: < 4,172 • Buy Break Trigger: > 4,200 ⸻ 7️⃣ Analyst Summary Gold is forming a corrective pullback into a major confluence zone. As long as gold remains below 4,190, the market favors bearish continuation toward 4,160 → 4,145. A breakout above 4,200 would invalidate the bearish structure and drive the market toward the 4,225–4,245 imbalance. This is a classic London-session compression → expansion setup. ⸻ 8️⃣ Final Bias Summary 📉 Primary Bias: Bearish below 4,190, targeting 4,160 – 4,145. 📈 Alternative Bias: Bullish only above 4,200, targeting 4,225 – 4,245. ⸻
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by ELDORADOFX
XAU/USD 14 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025. Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per yesterday's analysis, price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195 Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to...LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to explode, waiting for a breakout to choose direction! Gold is moving close to the lower trendline of the ascending channel, indicating an accumulation state – waiting to choose direction. The price has not broken the 4210 resistance zone, but neither has it breached the trendline, so today's fluctuation will revolve around this structure. If the buying force is strong enough and closes the H1 candle above 4210, the upward trend will be reactivated with a broader target. Conversely, if the price breaks below the trendline, gold may fall to the POC area according to Volume Profile/Fibonacci around 4126–4130, where it will prioritize finding buy signals according to the main trend. 🔍 Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci) H1 Ascending Channel: Price is testing the trendline for the second time → a pullback bounce is likely if the selling force is weak. Strong Resistance: 4210: hard resistance – needs to break to confirm an increase. 4230: extended area, coinciding with the channel peak – likely to have strong reactions. Important Support: 4174: intermediate support; breaking this level will trigger a short-term decline. 4126–4130: POC + large liquidity according to Volume Profile – the best buying area if a deep correction occurs. Market Signal: Weak candles in the 4180–4190 area indicate gold is waiting for USD information before making a move. 📈 Daily Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy according to trend (priority) Entry: 4126–4128 (POC + Volume Profile support) SL: 4120 TP: 4140 → 4156 → 4180 → 4198 Suggestion: Wait for a rejection candle or reversal pattern at 412x. Scenario 2 – Sell when breaking trendline (counter-trend) Condition: H1 breaks below trendline + retest fails Entry: 4174–4176 SL: 4182 TP: 4150 → 4135 → 4110 Note: Only sell when there is a confirmation candle; this is a short-term scalping order. Scenario 3 – Buy when breaking and holding above 4210 (Break & Retest) Entry: 4212–4216 SL: 4202 TP: 4230 → 4260 → 4285 🌍 Macro Analysis – USD under pressure from new tariff plans President Trump is preparing to cut tariffs on goods from many Latin American countries (beef, bananas, coffee...). Objective: reduce domestic food prices, lower import costs. This could weaken the USD when officially announced → gold benefits in the medium term. ⚠️ Invalid Conditions H1 closes below 4120 → loses upward structure, may slide to 4090–4100. H1 closes above 4230 → cancel all sell orders, prioritize buying on breakout. Which price area are you observing? Please comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD H1 – Watching 4178 & 4158 for the next impulsive reversalAfter reacting cleanly from the 4232–4236 Supply OB, Gold confirmed a shift in intent with a sharp CHoCH → BMS sequence, showing that buyers were trapped in premium and Smart Money has rotated the market back toward discount zones. The current structure suggests that price is seeking mitigation + liquidity below before any meaningful continuation. Two key Buy Zones stand out on the chart: 💎 Key Technical Zones OB BUY ZONE 4178–4174 (SL 4170) → First discount reaction zone and potential intraday long setup if M5 CHoCH confirms. OB BUY ZONE 4158–4154 (SL 4148) → Deeper mitigation area aligned with the previous displacement leg and liquidity resting below. OB SELL ZONE 4232–4236 (SL 4242) → Proven supply zone where yesterday’s reversal began. As long as price holds above the new Lower Low (4156), the broader structure remains corrective rather than bearish — setting the stage for a possible continuation toward 4205 → 4230 after liquidity is collected. 🪶 Execution View I’m waiting for price to dip into one of the Buy Zones, sweep liquidity, and show confirmation before looking for longs. Chasing price in premium offers no edge — value lies in patience and reaction. 🌙 💭 Karina’s Note Smart Money always rotates price from premium to discount before continuing. Read the intent, not the impulse. 💛 This is my personal view based on SMC principles – not financial advice. ✨ Like & Follow for daily Plan updates ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Karina_ilina
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Watching 4153 Support for Next MoveGold failed to break above 4234 resistance yesterday and pulled back to retest the 4153 pullback zone. Market structure has turned temporarily bearish, with price closing below the 50MA. If the 4153 support holds and price manages to reclaim the 50MA, a retest of 4234 resistance is likely. A clean break above 4234 could open the way toward 4,285. However, if selling pressure continues and 4153 gives way, we may see 4115 tested next. A break below the pullback zone could extend the decline toward the lower support area at 4074–4027, where buyers may look to re-enter. 📌Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 4197 4234 4285 4322 Support: 4153 4115 4074 4027
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
1
Gold (XAUUSD) SMC Breakdown: 3 Key Scenarios at Supply & Demand📊 OVERALL TREND 🔤Market structure remains bullish, driven by multiple BOS pushes from 4150 → 4230. 🔤Price later formed a bearish CHoCH, sending the market into a corrective phase. 🔤Price tapped into the major M30 bullish FVG around 4150–4165 and reacted strongly. 🔤Now price is retracing into a minor M30 FVG / supply zone around 4205–4215. 💡 TRADING PLAN 🔼 Scenario 1 — Bullish Continuation (Buy from Discount Zone) 🔤 Reasoning: Price reacted bullishly from the major FVG (4150–4165) and formed a bullish BOS. Current retracement may be a pullback into a demand area before continuation. 🔤 Entry Zone: Buy at 4195–4198 🔤 Entry Conditions: Bullish CHoCH on M5/M1 Bullish BOS confirming continuation Strong rejection candle or bullish engulfing 🔽 Scenario 2 — Bearish Rejection at Supply (Sell from FVG) 🔤 Reasoning: Zone 4205–4215 is a bearish FVG + supply created after bearish CHoCH. Price is testing this imbalance and showing reaction. 🔤 Entry Zone: Sell at 4208–4214 🔤 Entry Conditions: Bearish CHoCH on M5 Follow-through BOS to the downside Bearish rejection candle (pin bar / engulfing) 🕯 Scenario 3 — Liquidity Sweep → Trend Move 🔤 Reasoning: Market has liquidity resting on both sides (4215 highs & 4165 lows). Price may grab one side before choosing direction. Option A — Sweep Up then Drop (Bearish Setup) Price sweeps 4215–4220, then forms bearish CHoCH → Sell Price sweeps 4180–4185, then forms bullish CHoCH → Buy 🔤 Condition for both: CHoCH in the opposite direction on M5 Clear BOS confirmation Disclaimer: All content and signals shared are for general guidance and informational purposes only. This information should not be considered a substitute for certified financial advice. We assume no responsibility for any outcomes or consequences (positive or negative) that may arise from the use of these signals. All members are strongly encouraged to consult with their own qualified experts or advisors before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradeM_Gold_I
Gold Near Breakout Point — The Next Move Will Be BigGold is holding firmly inside a tight compression zone, and the market is signalling that a major breakout is loading. Despite yesterday’s pullback, buyers defended key demand levels, showing that bullish momentum is still alive as we approach the weekend session. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1) Price is currently moving inside a symmetrical triangle, with volatility compressing and liquidity building on both sides. Key observations from MMFlow structure: • Zone 1 – Support (Potential Reversal Area) 4,174 – 4,159 → Strong confluence of trendline support + Fibonacci 38.2% + liquidity sweep potential. → If price taps this zone, it's a high-probability long setup. • Zone 2 – Resistance / Breakout Line 4,207 – 4,212 → This is the key breakout ceiling. → A clean break and retest opens the door toward the next expansion wave. • Measured Move Target (MMF Expansion Target) 4,244 – 4,252 → Aligns with Fib 1.618 extension and previous liquidity pocket. 🎯 Trading Scenarios (MMFlow Style) 🟢 BUY Scenario (Primary Bias) Buy Zone 1: 4,174 – 4,159 SL: below 4,150 TP: 4,205 → 4,212 → 4,228 → 4,244+ Why? This zone carries the strongest confluence for a bullish reaction before the breakout. Ideal spot for Market Makers to reload. 🔵 BUY Scenario 2 (Break & Retest) Trigger: Break above 4,207 – 4,212 Entry: Retest of 4,207 SL: below retest wick TP: 4,228 → 4,244 → 4,252 Why? Breakout from triangle compression usually leads to fast displacement toward untested liquidity highs. 🔴 SELL Scenario (Short-Term Only — Not Preferred) Only valid if price fails to break 4,207 and forms a clear rejection. Entry: 4,207 – 4,212 SL: above 4,220 TP: 4,174 → 4,159 Note: This is a counter-trend micro-play. Primary bias remains bullish. 🧠 MMFlow Insight The market has been accumulating for multiple sessions, and every dip into demand is being bought aggressively. As long as price stays above 4,159, the bullish structure is intact. A breakout above 4,212 could be the ignition point for the next impulsive expansion toward 4,244 – 4,252.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Outlook | Smart Money Levels & Volatility Spike (Nov 14, 20OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS - Smart Money Moves the Market Today
📅 Updated: November 14, 2025
 🚀 Market Snapshot Gold surges toward $4,200 as the U.S. shutdown disrupts key macro data and uncertainty boosts safe-haven flows.
The DXY slips to ~99.25, reflecting investor hesitation amid data blackout and Fed silence. Macro Highlights: * 🏛️ Shutdown freeze: October CPI/Jobs data postponed — volatility spikes expected on reopening. * 🏦 Central Banks: +220t in Q3, +415t H1; China & Poland lead accumulation. * 🌍 Geopolitics: U.S.–China tariff heat + Mideast tension = sustained risk premium. * 💰 ETF Inflows: Heavy buying continues; gold reclaims post-ATH strength at $4,202 (+0.50%). 🧭 Smart Money Levels (Valid for Today) 🔴 Smart Money SELL ORDERS $4,293 – $4,279
💣 ~$85M+ in institutional orders
→ Expect sharp rejection and high-volatility spikes. 🟠 Scalp SELL Area $4,244 – $4,256
→ Ideal for quick fade setups with tight stops. 🟢 Smart Money BUY ORDERS $4,080 – $4,104
💸 ~$50M+ in buy-side liquidity
→ Strong accumulation zone; expect bounce setups. 📍 These are high-probability institutional footprints for today’s session. 🔍 Macro Catalyst Outlook * 🕒 CPI & Jobs Data: Still delayed → Expect “volatility bursts” when released. * 🏦 FOMC (Dec): 25bps cut odds ~47%. * 🌏 Geopolitical heat: * Tariff escalation & Mideast risk = 🟢 Bullish * Diplomatic cooling = 🔴 Pullback pressure Bottom Line: Market remains headline-driven and liquidity-sensitive. ⚡ Technical Outlook — Bullish but Overstretched * ✅ Break above $4,200 = continuation toward 4,250+ * ⚠️ RSI near 84 = expect volatility, not immediate reversal * 🟩 Holding $4,180 = bullish continuation * 🔻 Losing $4,180 = correction toward $4,150–$4,120 📌 Intraday Trade Levels (Nov 14, 2025) 🟢 Buy Zone: $4,180 – $4,200
→ Structural retest + central bank bids = strong support 🔴 Sell Zone: $4,230 – $4,250
→ Overbought liquidity pocket, short-term fade setup
→ Larger rejection expected around $4,244–$4,256 📈 Daily Range:
High: ~4,220
Low: ~4,190
Current: ~$4,202 🎯 Trade Plan — Simple & Tactical * Buy Dips: 4,180–4,200 → Targets: 4,230 / 4,250 * Sell Fades: 4,244–4,256 → Short-term scalp * Institutional Sell Wall: 4,279–4,293 → Major rejection zone * Break & Hold Above 4,250: Target 4,300+ 🧠 Final Take: Bulls in Control, Volatility Rising Shutdown chaos, data blackout, and global risk keep gold bid on every dip.
Until $4,180 breaks, the bulls hold the advantage.
Trade the reaction — not the prediction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS