Black FridayUp to 80% OFF

Xauusdbuy

Gold Price Analysis - Gold Showing Strong Reversal SignsGold is currently trading around $4,230, showing a mild pullback after making an all-time high near $4,380. The market has corrected toward its main support zone around $4,120–$4,166 (Fib 0.5–0.618 region). This zone is acting as a crucial demand area, aligning with the ascending trendline, which suggests potential for bullish continuation if price holds above it. In the short term, a retest of the support is likely before a possible bounce toward the resistance at $4,401–$4,420. If bulls regain strength above $4,250, momentum could quickly shift upward, targeting new highs. However, a confirmed 4H candle close below $4,110 may open the door for deeper correction toward $4,050–$3,950. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $4,379 → $4,401 → $4,541 Main Support: $4,120–$4,166 Trendline Support: $4,100 area 🔹 Buy Zone: - Primary Buy Zone: $4,120–$4,166 (Fib 0.5–0.618 area + trendline support) 🔹 Buy Trigger: - Buy Trigger: Break and 4H close above $4,250 - Upside Target: $4,379 → $4,401 → $4,450 Summary Gold remains bullish in the bigger picture but is currently in a retracement phase. - Holding above $4,120 keeps buyers in control. - Breaking below $4,100 turns the short-term trend bearish, opening room for a deeper correction. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
XAUUSD analysis – 1H OB SetupThe overall market structure remains bullish, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows. Currently, price is showing signs of a controlled pullback after a strong impulsive leg, and the most probable scenario is a retest of the 1H Order Block around 4110–4130. That zone holds unmitigated buy orders and sits right below local equal lows — a perfect liquidity pocket before continuation. We’ll wait for price to sweep that area and confirm a new bullish leg through a lower timeframe confirmation (BOS + FVG + OB alignment) before entering longs. If the zone reacts cleanly, the next target will be the recent highs (around 4270–4300). Only a clean break below 4100 would invalidate the bullish scenario for now. 📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD 📚 Daily setups & educational trades
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProfitaminFX
XAU/USD: Bullish Surge to 4400?As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, OANDA:XAUUSD is setting up for a bullish surge on the 4-hour chart , where price is bouncing off a solid upward trendline, converging with the EMA 50 as dynamic support and a key support zone, signaling potential continuation of the uptrend amid recent consolidation. This confluence creates a strong buying opportunity if buyers hold the line against short-term pullbacks. Entry zone between 4090-4165 for a long position. Targets at 4380 (first) and 4400 (second) near the resistance zone, delivering a risk-reward ratio close to 1:3 . Set a stop loss on a close below 4090 to mitigate downside risks. 🌟 Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above the entry with building volume, capitalizing on gold's safe-haven appeal in uncertain markets. Fundamentally , no major news events are observed in the economic calendar today. However, key Chinese data releases such as the PBoC interest rate decision and Q3 GDP could indirectly influence gold through global risk sentiment and commodity demand. 💡 📝 Trade Plan: ✅ Entry Zone: $4,090 – $4,165 (buy zone near trendline + EMA 50) ❌ Stop Loss: Close below $4,090 🎯 Targets: TP1: $4,380 (initial resistance) TP2: $4,400 (major resistance / extended target) 💎 Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:3, offering a strong technical edge. What's your take on this gold setup? Comment below! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Master_Hunter
4
GOLD:Ranging between 4200-4280,awaiting guidance from news flows📈Gold exhibited a trend of surging higher and then pulling back today. In the early session, stimulated by news of localized conflicts in the Middle East, risk-aversion sentiment picked up, driving gold prices higher. After the opening, prices surged rapidly to 4,273.99. However, signs of de-escalation emerged afterward, cooling risk-aversion sentiment. Meanwhile, factors such as early signs of a decline in U.S. auto loan rates and fading expectations of a Fed rate cut led some funds to shift from gold to U.S. dollar assets, resulting in a drop in gold prices. 📝From a technical perspective, the key resistance level above is around 4280. If gold can hold firmly above this level, it may form a short-term bottom structure and further test the 4362 level. A break above the previous high of 4379 would open the door to further upside. The support level below is near 4200; if this support fails to hold, gold prices may fall further to 4150 or even lower. 📝From a fundamental perspective, there are many uncertain factors in the market. While there are hints of news such as a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire and China-U.S. trade negotiations, the outcomes remain uncertain. If the negotiations do not go smoothly, it may once again benefit gold. Additionally, the probability of a U.S. government shutdown has increased, which provides some support for gold prices. ♦Overall, the Gold is likely to fluctuate within the 4200–4280 range in the short term, waiting for further guidance from fundamental news. Buy 4220 - 4225 TP 4235 - 4245 - 4255 SL 4210 Sell 4270 - 4275 TP 4265 - 4255 - 4245 SL 4280 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (20/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)Gold is currently trading around 4,228 after failing to sustain above 4,260 in the previous session. The pair has entered a corrective phase, forming a near-term lower high structure on intraday charts. Despite the pullback, the broader bullish trend remains intact, but momentum has temporarily shifted bearish. The upcoming London session will determine whether buyers step in from key retracement zones or if a deeper retracement develops. ⸻ 📊 2. Technical Breakdown ✅ Daily (D1) • Overall trend remains bullish with a corrective dip. • Last candle shows a bearish wick from the 4,260 rejection zone. • RSI cooling from overbought territory → indicating controlled correction. ✅ Bias: Bullish long-term, corrective near-term. ✅ 1H Chart (H1) • Price broke minor intraday support and is currently consolidating near 4,228. • Trading below 50 EMA, indicating reduced short-term momentum. • Minor lower highs forming → sellers in control short-term until a bullish reclaim occurs. 📉 Bias: Neutral to bearish below 4,241, bullish above 4,241. ✅ 15M–5M • Price structure shows intraday descending sequence. • Small bullish attempts seen near 4,220–4,230, but no confirmed reversal yet. • Momentum (MACD) still bearish but stabilizing. 📌 Bias: Waiting for either rejection or continuation signal around key zones. ⸻ 📐 3. Fibonacci Analysis Swing Low: 4,197 Swing High: 4,260 Level Price Confluence 38.2% 4,241 Minor intraday resistance & EMA zone 50% 4,229 Current consolidation price 61.8% 4,220 Trendline + previous demand 78.6% 4,209 Liquidity sweep zone ✅ Golden Zone: 4,229 – 4,220 → key reaction area for bullish continuation. ⸻ 🎯 4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios ✅ A) Bullish Continuation (Primary Bias if Golden Zone holds) ✔ Entry Trigger: Bullish confirmation inside 4,229–4,220 🎯 TP1 → 4,241 | TP2 → 4,250 | TP3 → 4,260 🛑 SL: Below 4,209 ⸻ ✅ B) Momentum Buy (Break & Retest) ✔ Trigger: Break & retest above 4,241 (Fib + EMA reclaim) 🎯 TP1 → 4,250 | TP2 → 4,260 | TP3 → 4,279 🛑 SL: Below 4,229 ⸻ ⚠️ C) Bearish Continuation (Countertrend) ✔ Trigger: Break & retest below 4,220 🎯 TP1 → 4,209 | TP2 → 4,197 | TP3 → 4,180 🛑 SL: Above 4,236 ⸻ 📰 5. Fundamental Watch Time Event Impact All day Middle East sentiment risk Supports gold if tensions rise London open DXY reaction Strong USD = pressure on gold Later US session PMI data expected Can shift intraday direction DXY currently weak near 104.50 → supports possible rebound in gold if structure holds. ⸻ 📌 6. Key Technical Levels Resistance Support 4,241 4,229 4,250 4,220 4,260 4,209 4,279 4,197 📍Trendline support aligns strongest around 4,220. ⸻ 📣 7. Analyst Summary Gold is in a corrective pullback phase inside a long-term uptrend. The Golden Zone (4,229–4,220) is the key battleground between bulls and bears. If price reacts positively and H1 structure shifts bullish above 4,241, continuation toward 4,260 is likely. However, failure to hold above 4,220 could extend the retracement toward 4,197. ⸻ 🎯 8. Final Bias Summary Condition Outlook ✅ Holds 4,229–4,220 Expect bullish continuation 📈 Breaks & retests above 4,241 Momentum reversal confirmed ❌ Breaks below 4,220 Bears take control toward 4,197 ⚠️ Break above 4,260 Bull run continuation resumes 📌 Awaiting London confirmation from Golden Zone for bullish re-entry.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
XAUUSD-GOLD 1H Chart—SELL Setup with 3 Profit TargetsHello Guys, Here’s my 1-hour XAUUSD-GOLD analysis for you. These are the exact SELL levels I’ll be watching: 🔵SELL level: 4285.9 🔴 Stop level:4335.3 (or adjust based on your own margin) 🟢 TP1: 4264.8 🟢 TP2: 4232.1 🟢 TP3: 4185.0 Risk-to-reward ratio on this setup: 2.05 If XAUUSD-GOLD reaches these levels, I’ll definitely take a SELL position. Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses. Thanks to everyone supporting me!
TVC:GOLDShort
by TraderTilki
7
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (20/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) closed the previous US session with a rebound from the lower H1 liquidity sweep around 4,186 and is currently pushing back toward the intraday structure resistance near 4,252–4,263. The broader uptrend remains intact but momentum has weakened, suggesting the market is deciding between bullish continuation or deeper retracement. The daily timeframe printed a bearish rejection wick from the previous high at 4,379, showing potential exhaustion but not yet a confirmed reversal. ⸻ 🧭 2. Technical Breakdown ✅ D1 (Daily) • Strong bullish structure remains intact. • Last candle shows rejection from 4,379 high with moderate selling pressure. • RSI cooling from extreme (77 → mid 70s), still bullish but losing momentum. ✅ Bias: Bullish unless 4,186 is broken. ✅ H1 (1-Hour) • Price rebounded strongly after sweeping 4,186. • Currently consolidating under 4,263 intraday resistance. • MACD shows early bullish cross but lacks strong histogram expansion (watch momentum). ✅ Bias: Neutral to bullish above 4,216. ✅ 15M–5M (Intra-session) • Short-term bullish structure forming higher lows. • Clear break/retest setup forming around 4,252–4,263. • If bulls fail here, next liquidity target is lower at 4,216–4,200. ✅ Bias: Reactive — breakout or rejection zone incoming. ⸻ 📐 3. Fibonacci Analysis (Last swing move) Swing Low: 4,186 Swing High: 4,252 🎯 Golden Zone (61.8–50%) = 4,216 – 4,225 ✅ This aligns with EMA50 H1 zone & previous liquidity rejection → highly reactive zone. ⸻ 🎯 4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios ✅ A) Bullish Continuation (Main Setup) 📍 Break & Retest Buy Above: 4,263 🔁 Retest Zone: 4,252–4,256 🎯 TP1 4,279 | TP2 4,300 | TP3 4,320 🛑 SL Below: 4,240 📉 B) Pullback Buy (Golden Zone) 📍 Wait for pullback into 4,216–4,225 (Fib + EMA + demand zone) 🎯 TP1 4,252 | TP2 4,263 | TP3 4,279 🛑 SL Below: 4,200 ⚠️ C) Bearish Intraday Sell (Countertrend / only if confirmed) 📍 Break & Close Below: 4,216 🔁 Retest Zone: 4,216–4,225 🎯 TP1 4,200 | TP2 4,186 | TP3 4,171 🛑 SL Above: 4,235 ⸻ 📰 5. Fundamental Watch (Asia Session) Factor Impact DXY sideways Neutral Yields cooling Supports gold No major Asian news Technical flow will dominate Market awaiting US session catalysts Potential low volatility early ⸻ 📍 6. Key Technical Levels Level Type 4,379 Major High 4,263 Intraday Resistance 4,252 Current intraday cap 4,225 Fib support 4,216 Fib confluence 4,200 Key psychological support 4,186 Last liquidity sweep low ⸻ 📘 7. Analyst Summary Gold is stabilizing after a retracement from 4,379 and currently retesting mid-range liquidity. The bias remains bullish, but continuation requires a clean break above 4,263. A healthy corrective entry lies at 4,216–4,225 if price dips first. A strong bearish case only activates if price breaks and sustains beneath 4,216. ⸻ ✅ 8. Final Bias Summary Bias Why ✅ Bullish above 4,225 Aligned with Fib + trend structure ⚠️ Neutral between 4,225–4,263 Waiting for breakout or pullback ❌ Bearish only below 4,216 Would trigger deeper retracement 📌 Game Plan → Buy Break At 4,263 or Wait For Golden Zone 4,216–4,225. 📌 Only sell below 4,216 with confirmation. ---------------------- 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 📱 📆 WEEKLY PERFORMANCE: 13/10/2025 → 17/10/2025 --- ✅ MONDAY 13/10/2025 🔻 SELL +30 pips 🟢 BUY +210 pips 🟢 BUY +360 pips --- ✅ TUESDAY 14/10/2025 🟢 BUY (Swing) +2,970 pips 🟢 BUY +50 pips 🟢 BUY +210 pips 🔻 SELL +20 pips 🔻 SELL LIMIT +160 pips 🟢 BUY +20 pips ❌ BUY –40 pips (SL) 🟢 BUY LIMIT +40 pips 🔻 SELL +110 pips 🔻 SELL +60 pips --- ✅ WEDNESDAY 15/10/2025 🔻 SELL +60 pips 🟢 BUY +60 pips ❌ SELL –40 pips (SL) 🟢 BUY +60 pips 🟢 BUY +50 pips 🟢 BUY (Swing) +1,970 pips 🔻 SELL +20 pips 🔻 SELL +110 pips --- ✅ THURSDAY 16/10/2025 🟢 BUY +210 pips 🟢 BUY +75 pips 🟢 BUY +230 pips 🟢 BUY LIMIT +210 pips 🔻 SELL LIMIT +210 pips --- ✅ FRIDAY 17/10/2025 🔻 SELL +20 pips 🟢 BUY +20 pips 🟢 BUY +210 pips 🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 pips 🔻 SELL LIMIT +110 pips 🟢 BUY +50 pips ❌ BUY –30 pips (SL) 🟢 BUY +200 pips 🟢 BUY +100 pips 🟢 BUY +400 pips --- 🤑 BTC/USD WEEKEND TRADES 🟢 BUY +2,400 pips 🔻 SELL +400 pips --- 📊 WEEKLY TOTALS 🏆 GOLD NET PIPS +8,565 pips 💰 BTC/USD NET PIPS: ✅ +2,800 pips 🚀 TOTAL GAIN +11,365 pips 📈 TOTAL SIGNALS: 38 ✅ WINS: 35 ❌ SLs: 3 🎯 WIN RATE: ✅ 92% --- 🔥 Massive GOLD swing wins + strong intraday consistency + BTC power = another high-performance week! If you stayed disciplined and followed our strategy — you banked big 📈💎 👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
Gold: Outlook for Next Week📈The recent strong bullish momentum in gold finally saw a technical correction on Friday. After Friday’s pullback, the previous robust upward trend has softened slightly. Gold came under pressure at the intraday high around 4379 and pulled back to a low near 4186, representing a nearly 200 downward move. This perfectly illustrates that the stronger the bullish momentum, the larger the pullback range,bulls and bears complement each other. I have also repeatedly warned everyone against chasing long positions at high levels, as such trades carry significant risks. In practice, I also timely reminded everyone to take profits and exit positions, emphasizing that risk awareness must be a top priority. 💎Outlook for Next Week When the market opens next week, we will first focus on the resistance around the 4280-4295 range. If this level fails to be broken, gold will likely enter a short-term technical correction phase, and the current bullish cycle will be put on hold temporarily. we should currently focus on the short-term resistance around the 4280-4295 range, with key attention on the resistance near the 4315-4325 level. On the downside, monitor the support around the 4185-4195 range. If the bulls fail to achieve a sustained breakthrough above these resistance levels, gold will likely enter a period of oscillating correction in the subsequent sessions. For trading operations, prioritize seizing opportunities within the aforementioned range. Adopt a "watch more, trade less" approach for prices in the middle of the range,avoid chasing trades recklessly and wait patiently for entry points at key levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
Gold Performance Recap for the week📝This week, the price of Gold first rose and then fell. The specific trend is as follows: Monday: Gold broke through the 4059 mark in the Asian trading session, setting a new historical record Tuesday- Wednesday: The price continued to rise. Thursday: Gold reached a maximum of 4298.64. Friday: First, the price surged after the opening, reaching a high of 4379.44, followed by a sharp decline, touching a low of 4186.17. As of now, the price of Gold is 4247.02, continuing to fall compared to the previous day's closing price. 💎The driving factors are as follows: 💡Upward factors in the early stage 1-Impact of Federal Reserve's loose policy expectations: The Federal Reserve launched a new round of interest - rate - cutting cycle in September. The market anticipates that there may be two consecutive interest - rate cuts in October and December. The expected decline in both nominal and real interest rates has increased the attractiveness of holding non - interest - bearing assets such as gold. 2-Surge in geopolitical risks and safe - haven demand: Factors such as the escalation of the China-US trade war and the US's containment of China's chip sector have intensified market panic, and funds have accelerated their inflow into gold as a safe haven. 3-Drive from global central banks’ gold purchase demand: According to data from the World Gold Council, global central banks’ gold reserves increased by 166 tons in the second quarter of 2025. The People’s Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for 11 consecutive months, which has strengthened market confidence in gold. 💡Downward factors in the later stage: 1-Technical level: The 4280 - 4330 area is a key monthly - level resistance zone. On Friday, Gold broke through the important support level of 4280, triggering a large number of stop-loss orders for long positions. Program based trading triggered SL selling, forming a vicious cycle of "breakdown - SL - further decline". 2-Change in risk appetite: On Friday, US President Trump made moderate remarks on trade issues. Market safe-haven sentiment cooled rapidly, leading to a sharp sell-off of gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
5
Watch Support at 4200–4180, Focus on Buying at LowsGold witnessed a historic level of volatility today. Setting aside the impact of the U.S. jobless claims data, the main factor behind the sharp move was the continuous price surge that built up heavy selling pressure. As prices climbed higher, market sentiment turned extremely fragile—any small piece of news triggered panic selling, causing the market to collapse rapidly. Currently, gold is approaching the 4200 level, with an intraday drop of nearly $200. From a short-term technical perspective, there is a need for gold prices to rebound, so the immediate trading bias can lean toward buying on dips. Pay close attention to the strong resistance near 4300, and the minor resistance around 4355, which has moved down from 4360. Remember, profitability in trading is a long-term process—steady and consistent gains are the true path to success. The market is now extremely sensitive, like a frightened bird, where even the slightest disturbance can trigger large fluctuations. Avoid the mindset of trying to get rich from a single trade, and focus instead on patience and discipline. Also, since it’s Friday, keep in mind that the weekend brings a high level of uncertainty in terms of geopolitical or economic news. Plan your trades wisely and ensure proper risk management. Wish everyone a smooth weekend and successful trading!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Gold: Today's predictions and operations have been verified👏Today, our predictions and operations for gold have been verified by the market. We accurately predicted key price levels and risks, and avoided potential losses from the decline in advance: ✔1-Trend Direction Prediction: We clearly stated that "if gold breaks below $4,280 today, it will trigger a further decline". The subsequent market trend was consistent with this judgment—after touching the key support level, gold fluctuated downward as expected. ✔2-Risk Factor Prediction: We took into account the market characteristic of "traders closing positions early to exit on Fridays" in advance, and predicted that the superposition of multiple factors would make the downward trend uncontrollable. The subsequent market sentiment and fluctuation rhythm confirmed this risk. ✔3-Effectiveness of Operational Decisions: We reminded everyone early to "take profits in advance around $4,350 and stop trading", which successfully helped avoid the potential margin call losses caused by the subsequent uncontrolled trend. This decision was fully in line with the market trend. 🎉Today, we have successfully concluded this week’s trading and work. Next week, we will continue to provide you with more accurate market interpretations and operation references from a professional analytical perspective. Finally, we wish you all a relaxing and pleasant weekend in advance!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
Trap Alert: Gold’s Pullback Could Fuel the Next Bounce!Gold continues to retreat in the short term, currently testing the strength of support at 4300. From the current technical perspective, although gold has repeatedly come under pressure at the 4370-4380 area, forming a multiple top structure in the short term, limiting upside potential in the short term, as gold continues to decline, the current resistance area has shifted down to 4235-4245. Although gold is retreating under pressure, the overall bullish trend remains strong until it breaks below this key area. The current support structure after the top-bottom conversion lies in the 4290-4280 area. If gold cannot fall below this area during the pullback, then gold still has the potential to rebound to the 4230-4240 area. Therefore, even if we see gold prices continue to retreat, we should not rush to short gold during this pullback. Instead, consider short-term trading: We can continue to try to go long on gold with the 4290-4280 area as support. Of course, for short-term trading, the rebound target can be aimed at the 4320-4330 area!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WaveRider_Steffen
1
Trapped in Shorts — Is There Still a Chance to Recover?During yesterday’s session, gold retested the 4200 support level and quickly rebounded, breaking above the 30 resistance and maintaining strong momentum throughout the consolidation phase. Not only did it hold the current bullish trendline, but it also decisively broke through the 50 resistance. After completing the support–resistance switch, today’s opening saw a surge driven by positive data and remarks from Fed’s Kashkari, sending prices soaring toward 4380. The bullish breakout has further strengthened the technical outlook for gold. So far this week, gold has surged nearly $400, marking an impressive 8.8% gain—a truly remarkable move in the gold market. This unexpected rally likely caused heavy losses for many short positions—hopefully, none of you were caught in the squeeze. For those holding trapped positions, it may be wise to hold on temporarily; a pullback toward 4300 is still possible today. That area could provide a chance to reduce losses—or even turn them into profits with proper management. Trading Strategy: Continue to follow the prevailing trend—look for buying opportunities on pullbacks rather than chasing highs. Key supports are seen around 4326 (30M), 4309–4300 (1H), and 4314/4278 (2H). If prices stabilize above these zones, the bullish momentum could extend further.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Gold: Oscillated - Plummeted - ReboundedFrom an intraday trend perspective, gold surged to near 4379 – 4380 in the early hours of the morning , the morning session saw gold oscillate between 4350 and 4370. It then experienced a sharp drop, falling to around 4280 at one point, before rebounding again. Overall, after hitting a new all-time high, gold traded in a high-level range during the day due to technical correction needs and complex market sentiment. For the short term, focus should be on the support zone around 4280 – 4300. If it breaks below 4280, further downside may follow. On the upside, the key resistance level to watch is 4380; a strong break above this level is expected to push gold to 4395 – 4410 during the day. Buy 4320 - 4330 TP 4350 - 4360 - 4370 SL 4300 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (17/10/2025, US SESSION)Prepared by: ElDoradoFx Premium 2.0 Analyst Team ⸻ 🧭 Market Overview Gold has entered a corrective phase after failing to break and sustain above 4,379, the current weekly high. During the London session, price fell sharply to 4,305–4,313, testing the ascending trendline support and the Fibonacci Golden Zone from the latest bullish swing. The daily chart remains bullish in structure, but intraday momentum has shifted bearish short-term, suggesting a potential retest deeper into support before a continuation to the upside. ⸻ 📊 Technical Breakdown 1️⃣ Daily Chart (D1) • Structure: Uptrend intact — higher highs & higher lows. • RSI: 85.0 → Overbought, signaling possible cooling phase. • Support Zone: 4,290–4,273 (near 38.2% retracement). • Bias: Medium-term bullish; short-term correction. 2️⃣ 1-Hour Chart (H1) • Price broke minor structure at 4,336 and tapped the lower channel. • Currently consolidating around 4,313, forming potential base support. • 50EMA flattening; momentum slowing. • Bias: Neutral to bearish short-term until 4,336 is reclaimed. 3️⃣ 15M–5M Chart • MACD bearish, histogram red — short-term selling pressure. • RSI rebounding from oversold (33) — early signs of intraday support reaction. • Liquidity below 4,300 remains uncollected — could attract a final sweep before reversal. ⸻ 📐 FIBONACCI ANALYSIS (Last Swing: 4,273 → 4,379) Level Price Confluence 38.2% 4,336 EMA50 / previous structure 50.0% 4,326 Key mid-range 61.8% 4,318 Trendline & intraday liquidity 📊 Fibonacci Golden Zone → 4,318–4,336 This remains the key reaction zone for re-entry confirmation or next leg down if broken. ⸻ 🎯 HIGH-PROBABILITY TRADE SCENARIOS ✅ BUY SETUP (Primary Bias – After Confirmation) • Break & Retest: Above 4,336, confirming buyers reclaim control. • Retest Zone: 4,330–4,336 • Targets: • TP1 → 4,350 • TP2 → 4,363 • TP3 → 4,379 • Stop-Loss: Below 4,318 (Re-entry within Golden Zone only if we see bullish engulfing / strong volume candle.) ⸻ ⚠️ SELL SETUP (Active Short-Term Bias) • Break & Retest: Below 4,305, confirming downside continuation. • Retest Zone: 4,305–4,313 • Targets: • TP1 → 4,290 • TP2 → 4,273 • TP3 → 4,250 • Stop-Loss: Above 4,336 (This would confirm Golden Zone break and shift momentum bearish toward 4,273.) ⸻ 🚀 BREAKOUT BUY (Aggressive) • Trigger: Break & retest above 4,379 (previous high). • Retest Zone: 4,372–4,379 • Targets: 4,395 → 4,410 → 4,428 • Stop-Loss: Below 4,355 ⸻ 🕐 FUNDAMENTAL WATCH • DXY: Hovering around 104.90 — slight rebound causing gold weakness. • Bond Yields: Stable; no risk-off catalyst for new gold strength yet. • Upcoming US Data: Michigan Consumer Sentiment — could add volatility later. • Institutional Flow: Still net-long on gold, suggesting corrections are accumulation phases. ⸻ ⚙️ KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS Type Levels Resistance 4,336 / 4,363 / 4,379 Support 4,318 / 4,305 / 4,273 Trendline Support 4,305 (critical for maintaining bullish structure) ⸻ 🧾 Analyst Summary Gold remains bullish overall, but short-term momentum has shifted bearish following repeated rejections from 4,379. Current retracement into 4,318–4,305 is a critical decision zone — if this holds, expect recovery toward 4,350–4,379. However, a clean break below 4,305 confirms a deeper pullback toward 4,273–4,250 before the next major wave higher. ⸻ 📈 Bias: Bullish above 4,318 – Watch for re-entry confirmation. 📉 Alternative Bias: Bearish below 4,305 – Short toward 4,273.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX