Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) surged toward $3,924 before encountering resistance near the $3,950 zone, which aligns with an extended overbought condition on the short-term charts. Price remains supported by the ascending trendline from September lows, with immediate demand located around $3,878–$3,887.
If bulls defend this support zone, a fresh rebound toward $3,942 → $3,950 resistance is likely.
A rejection from the resistance zone could trigger consolidation or a pullback back toward the $3,878 support.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: Buy near $3,878–$3,887 (support zone retest)
Stop Loss: $3,875
Take Profit 1: $3,942
Take Profit 2: $3,950
Risk/Reward: ~1 : 5.16
🌍 Macro Background
Gold remains underpinned by Fed rate cut expectations, with markets pricing a 99% chance of a 25bps cut at the October meeting. The ongoing US government shutdown has delayed key macro data, intensifying safe-haven demand.
Hawkish remarks from Dallas Fed’s Logan briefly supported the US Dollar, but the market consensus points toward further easing.
Political uncertainty in Washington, combined with fragile labour market signals (ADP showing -32k jobs, ISM Services PMI down to 50), continues to support the bullish bias for gold.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,942 / $3,950
Support: $3,878 / $3,887
📌 Trade Summary
Gold remains technically bullish above $3,878 support, with near-term upside toward $3,950 as long as Fed rate cut expectations dominate sentiment. Any decisive break below $3,875 would neutralize the bullish bias and open a correction toward $3,820.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Xauusdbuy
10/ 6: Sell High and Buy Low Within the 3893–3946 RangeGood morning everyone!
Today is the traditional Chinese Mid-Autumn Festival, a day when families gather to enjoy mooncakes, admire the moon, and share the joy of family. This day symbolizes reunion. I also wish you all a happy family and everything goes well!
Gold has broken through the psychological barrier of 3900. Congratulations to those who seized this opportunity!
The price has now risen to around 3920. On the weekly chart, there is technically room for further gains. However, as prices rise, pullbacks are inevitable, making support crucial.
Currently, based on the 1H chart, support is found near 3908, followed by 3900/3893, and finally 3886.
For future trading, consider buying low and selling high around the 3893-3943 area. Maintain a good rhythm and pay close attention to the support levels mentioned above.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 - ASIA FORECAST - 06/10/2025Gold is trading around 3,886, holding just under the recent swing high (3,896–3,894) after a bullish continuation. The market is consolidating in a tight range while buyers defend support and await new catalysts.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily Chart (D1):
• Strong bullish structure intact, with price above the 20 EMA (3,846) and 50 EMA (3,791).
• RSI (78) → near overbought, suggesting limited upside unless momentum strengthens.
• Daily candle shows slowing momentum; still bullish but vulnerable to retracement if 3,862 fails.
1H Chart (H1):
• Price consolidating between 3,880–3,896 resistance and 3,862 support.
• MACD is positive but flattening, showing buyers losing short-term strength.
• Market structure: higher highs remain intact; 3,862 is the intraday key breakout/rejection zone.
15M Chart (M15):
• Price rejected 3,889–3,896 zone twice, creating short-term equal highs.
• A base is forming around 3,883–3,880. If broken, correction may extend toward 3,870.
• RSI ~55 → neutral, but momentum fading on lower TFs.
5M Chart (M5):
• Buyers defending 3,883, forming higher lows.
• Resistance remains at 3,889–3,896.
• Short-term indicators show mixed signals: MACD flattening, RSI ~58, suggesting potential breakout but risk of rejection if liquidity isn’t strong.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone
From 3,843 low → 3,896 high, the golden retracement sits at 3,870–3,862.
• If Asia session pulls back into this zone and holds, high probability for bullish continuation.
• A clean break below 3,862 = shift in structure toward deeper retracement (3,843 → 3,820).
⸻
🎯 High Probability Entries (Not Scalping – Asia Focus)
Bullish Setup:
• Buy if price retests and holds 3,870–3,862 golden zone, target 3,889 → 3,896 → 3,910.
• SL below 3,855 (50–55 pips).
Bearish Setup:
• Sell only if price rejects 3,889–3,896 zone again with bearish confirmation.
• Target 3,870 → 3,862.
• SL above 3,902 (60 pips).
⸻
📅 Fundamental Outlook – Asia Session
• No major Asian data expected today.
• Market will position for US ISM PMI & Fed speakers later → possible volatility in NY.
• DXY remains firm near recent highs; if USD strengthens further, gold may face rejection under 3,896.
⸻
⚠ Key Levels to Watch
• Resistance: 3,889 – 3,896 / 3,910
• Support: 3,880 / 3,870 – 3,862 / 3,843
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold remains bullish overall, consolidating below 3,896 resistance. The golden zone 3,870–3,862 is the key for continuation; if it holds, expect buyers to push back toward 3,896 → 3,910. However, repeated rejection under 3,896 could trigger a correction into 3,870 → 3,862.
Gold XAUUSD: Double Top, Volume Profile, and VWAP Trade Plan📊 Gold (XAUUSD) has been trending higher overall, but recently formed a double top followed by a significant retracement ⚡. Despite that, price action is now beginning to show signs of a shift in structure back to the upside 📈.
🔎 In the video, we review both the VWAP and the anchored volume profile as part of the trade plan. For a potential long setup, I’ll be watching for price to break above the volume profile’s Point of Control (POC) 🎯.
❌ However, if price were to break below VWAP, that would invalidate the idea and I’d step aside until the next opportunity arises.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk appropriately.
XAU/USD – Buy Setup from Support Zone Targeting 39451. Trend Direction:
Price is moving inside an ascending channel (bullish structure).
Higher highs and higher lows confirm the uptrend.
2. Support Zone:
Marked between 3820 – 3800 USD, a strong demand area where buyers previously stepped in.
3. Entry Point:
Suggested Entry: ~3821 USD
This aligns with the support retest inside the channel.
4. Stop Loss:
Around 3794 USD, just below the support zone.
This protects against false breakouts to the downside.
5. Target Point:
3945 USD (channel resistance).
This gives nearly +120 pips potential upside.
---
Risk/Reward Analysis
Risk: ~27 points (3821 → 3794).
Reward: ~124 points (3821 → 3945).
R:R Ratio: ≈ 1:4.5 → very favorable.
---
Overall Analysis
Market is bullish inside the channel.
Best trade setup: Wait for price to retest support (3820–3800) and then buy.
As long as support holds, price has high probability to reach the target zone (3945).
If support breaks, trend may weaken, and gold could move lower outside the channel.
📌 Conclusion:
This is a buy-the-dip setup with strong reward-to-risk. Patience is key → wait for confirmation bounce from support before entering.
Safe-Haven Demand Keeps Gold on Fire🔶 Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)
📊 Technical Structure
Gold retreated after touching fresh highs, now consolidating between $3,844–$3,860. The chart shows repeated bounces from the ascending trendline support, suggesting buyers remain active. Key resistance stands at $3,881–$3,886, and a breakout above could open the way to $3,900 psychological level. The short-term bias remains bullish as long as support holds.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,837–$3,843 (long)
Stop Loss: Below $3,833
Take Profit:
TP1: $3,881
TP2: $3,886
TP3: $3,900
Risk/Reward: 1 : 4.21
🌍 Macro Background
Gold remains supported by macro factors:
Fed Policy: Despite hawkish remarks from Dallas Fed President Logan warning about persistent inflation, markets are still pricing in a 99% chance of a 25bps rate cut in October. The USD has rebounded slightly, but overall sentiment remains bearish for the dollar.
Government Shutdown: The ongoing US government shutdown suspends official BLS data releases. However, September’s NFP figures are expected to be published, keeping labour market focus alive.
Labour Market: ADP report showed a surprise drop of -32K private payrolls, adding pressure on the Fed to cut rates.
Safe-Haven Demand: Rising geopolitical tensions and fiscal uncertainty continue to fuel safe-haven inflows into gold.
Despite intraday pullbacks, fundamentals remain gold-supportive.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,881 / $3,886 / $3,900
Support: $3,843 / $3,837
📝 Trade Summary
Gold is consolidating but holding critical support. As long as price sustains above $3,837, bulls retain control. The suggested long entry near $3,843 targets the $3,881–$3,886 area.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – ASIA GOLD FORECAST🥇 XAUUSD – Asia Session Outlook (03/10/2025)
🔎 Market Context
Gold rejected 3890–3896 highs yesterday, triggering a sharp selloff to 3820 before rebounding toward 3855–3860. Price is now consolidating in the Fibonacci golden zone (3855–3865) – a key battleground for bulls and bears.
⸻
📊 Technical Outlook
• Daily trend: Still bullish, but showing exhaustion after multiple failed breaks above 3890.
• H1 structure: Lower highs remain intact unless 3875 is broken.
• Liquidity zones:
• Buy stops above 3875–3890
• Sell stops below 3830–3820
Indicators:
• RSI (M15): Neutral around 50 – no clear momentum edge.
• MACD (M5/M15): Bearish pressure fading, divergence forming.
• Moving Averages (H1): Price retesting short-term averages, acting as dynamic resistance.
⸻
⚡ Asia Session Scenarios
1. Base case (high probability):
Rejection at 3860–3865 → drift lower toward 3840–3830 liquidity.
2. Alternative case (lower probability in Asia):
Break & hold above 3875 → opens squeeze toward 3890.
3. Support play:
Bounce from 3830–3835 → intraday recovery back to 3855–3860.
⸻
🎯 High-Probability Scalping Setups (max 60 pips SL)
• Sell bias: 3860–3865 rejection
• SL: 3871
• TP1: 3845
• TP2: 3830
• Buy bias (only if defended): 3830–3835 bounce
• SL: 3825
• TP1: 3850
• TP2: 3860
⸻
📅 Fundamental Watch
• Asia session expected to remain quiet with low liquidity.
• Main volatility risk comes in London & New York with U.S. labor data later this week.
• Thin liquidity in Asia = potential for false breakouts before London volume sets direction.
⸻
✅ Professional View
Gold remains inside a critical golden zone. Without a decisive break of 3875 (bulls) or 3830 (bears), Asia is likely to consolidate.
📌 My bias → rejection of 3865 area and drift toward 3840–3830.
Only a clean breakout above 3875 changes short-term bias to bullish continuation.
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 - DAILY RESULTS 🥇
📆 02/10/2025
💰 GOLD TRADES RECAP 💰
🟢 BUY ✅ +210 PIPS
🔻 SELL ✅ +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY ✅ +210 PIPS
🟢 BUY ✅ +110 PIPS
🟢 BUY ✅ +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY ✅ +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY ✅ +20 PIPS
🟥 BUY ❌ -60 PIPS (SL)
🔻 SELL ✅ +110 PIPS
---
📈 TOTAL GOLD PROFIT: +680 PIPS 💸🔥
📊 9 Trades → 8 Wins | 1 SL
🎯 Accuracy: 89%
---
⚡️ GOLD delivered another strong session — scalps and swings stacked up consistent profits.
✅ Only 1 small SL
✅ 8 solid wins secured 📈
👏 Congratulations if you profited 🚀🚀🚀
— ElDoradoFx Team
"Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Continuation Towards 3910+"This chart shows the XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) 1-hour analysis. Price is currently trading around $3,877, holding above two key support zones at $3,864 (Support 1) and $3,852 (Support 2). The structure suggests a potential bullish continuation if price respects these levels.
The projection indicates a rise toward the 3910 level (new ATH target), followed by further upside toward resistance levels at $3,900, $3,916, and $3,942. The overall bias remains bullish as long as the price holds above the support zones, signaling opportunities for buyers to push the market higher.
10/2: Possible Double or Multiple Bottom, Key Support Near 3826Good evening, everyone!
Today, gold faced resistance and pulled back when it approached the 3900 level—something I had already reminded you of yesterday. Key support remains at 3848–3842, with stronger support at 3826–3814. Those who followed my trading guidance captured this move very well, and I believe some of you who only followed the strategy also made profits—congratulations to all of you!
Currently, the market is in a recovery phase after a sharp drop. On the rebound, pay close attention to resistance around 3852–3858 and 3867. The probability of a straight, one-way rally is low. I tend to believe the market is forming a multi-bottom structure here, which would give the next upward move more strength and a higher chance of testing—or even breaking above—3900. So, if the price pulls back before touching resistance or retreats after an initial test, there’s no need to panic—just stay alert for opportunities.
Another key point: on the 4H chart, important support has now shifted upward to around 3826. This level is critical—if it breaks, strong bearish sentiment could form on the 4H chart, potentially driving prices below 3800, with the next key support near 3780.
No matter how the market moves, as long as we keep pace with the rhythm, it’s always an opportunity to profit. The bigger the volatility, the higher the potential gains.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – US FORECAST (02/10/2025)🔎 XAUUSD Deep Technical & Fundamental Analysis – 02/10/2025 (US Session)
📊 Daily Chart (D1)
• Gold rejected 3,896–3,900 key resistance with a large upper wick, confirming strong supply.
• Current candle turning bearish, now pressing into 3,830 zone.
• Price remains above the 21 EMA and daily parabolic SAR, so medium-term trend still bullish but a retracement toward 3,820–3,800 support is underway.
• A daily close under 3,820 could shift momentum bearish into October.
⸻
⏰ 1H Chart
• Strong rejection after a liquidity sweep at 3,896.
• Break of structure (BOS) confirmed at 3,862 → sellers in control.
• Price testing 3,832 intraday support (last H1 low).
• MACD histogram deepening red, moving averages crossed bearish, RSI trending down.
• Unless bulls reclaim 3,860–3,862, intraday bias remains bearish.
⸻
⏱ 15M Chart
• Multiple CHoCH (change of character) moves after the sweep at 3,896.
• Strong momentum candles driving down into 3,832–3,827 liquidity pool.
• If broken, next downside targets = 3,820 and 3,805.
• Countertrend bounce possible only if 3,832 holds with divergence.
⸻
⏱ 5M Chart (Scalping Entries)
• Clear bearish momentum: continuous BOS with lower highs/lows.
• MACD & histogram deep in red, confirming strong sellers.
• Scalping levels:
• Sell continuation: Break & retest below 3,832 → TP 3,827 – 3,820. SL above 3,838 (~60 pips).
• Buy scalp (risky countertrend): If 3,832–3,827 demand holds with bullish candle pattern → TP 3,840–3,850. SL under 3,826 (~60 pips).
⸻
📌 Fibonacci Golden Zone
• From the last swing low → high, the golden retracement sits 3,820–3,832.
• This is where price is consolidating now.
• Break below 3,820 confirms bearish continuation.
• Hold above 3,832 could allow a bounce toward 3,850–3,860.
⸻
🌍 Fundamental Watch
• US ISM Manufacturing PMI (today) → already pressured gold after USD strength.
• Fed speakers later could increase volatility. Hawkish = bearish gold, dovish = bullish bounce.
• Dollar Index (DXY) firming, yields ticking higher → adds bearish bias to gold.
⸻
✅ High-Probability Trade Plans
🔻 SELL Setup (higher probability intraday)
• Entry: Break & retest 3,832.
• SL: 3,838 (≈ 60 pips).
• TP1: 3,827 / TP2: 3,820 / TP3: 3,805.
🔼 BUY Setup (countertrend scalp, lower probability)
• Entry: Bounce from 3,832–3,827 golden zone with bullish confirmation.
• SL: 3,826 (≈ 60 pips).
• TP1: 3,840 / TP2: 3,850 / TP3: 3,860.
⸻
📌 Summary:
Gold is under strong selling pressure after rejecting 3,896–3,900. The 3,832–3,820 golden zone is the key pivot.
• Break below 3,820 = bearish continuation to 3,805.
• Hold above 3,832 = possible bounce toward 3,850–3,860.
⚠️ Volatility will remain high with USD data & Fed comments today.
XAUUSD Swing Buy Setup – Pullback Entry & Targeting 3968Gold is in a clear uptrend channel (highlighted in pink).
Price is currently trading around 3882, near the upper-mid of the channel.
Projection:
The chart shows a possible short-term pullback toward the BUY ENTRY ZONE (3759 – 3718) before resuming the bullish move.
This aligns with retesting the lower trendline support of the channel.
Key Levels:
Buy Entry Point: 3759
Stop Loss: 3718 (about 40 points below entry zone, safe buffer under support)
Target (TP): 3968
Risk-Reward:
Entry: ~3759
Stop: ~3718 → ~41 points risk
Target: ~3968 → ~209 points reward
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): ~1:5 → Very favorable.
Pattern:
The move suggests a bullish continuation setup after a corrective retracement.
Expected bullish wave could push Gold to new highs above 3960.
📌 Summary:
✅ Bullish bias remains intact.
🔵 Best entry: wait for a pullback to 3759–3718 zone.
🎯 Target: 3968.
❌ Stop Loss: 3718.
This is a swing trade setup with strong upside potential if Gold respects the channel structure.
GOLD Best Places To Buy And Sell Cleared , 1000 Pips Waiting !Here is m y opinion on GOLD On 30 Mins T.F , We have a Huge movement To Upside since Last 4 weeks , started between 3870.00 to 3895.00 so we can buy and sell Gold This Week from 2 areas , 3870.00 will be the best place for Buy and 3895.00 will be the best place for Sell , now the price very near buy area so we can wait the price to retest the support area and then enter a buy trade and targeting 3895.00 and when the price touch it and give us a good bearish P.A , we can enter a sell trade and targeting 3870.00 , It`s All Depend On Price action .
Entry Reasons :
1- Highest Level The Price Touch It
2- Broken Res
3- New Support Created .
4- Clear Price Action .
Investing vs. Speculating: What’s the Difference?Hey everyone, you’ve probably heard the words “investing” and “speculating,” but do you really know what sets them apart? Both are about putting money in to make more money, but the mindset and approach are Totally different. Let’s break it down super simply:
What’s Investing? (4 Keywords: Long-term, steady, knowledge, patience)
Investing is like a marathon—it’s about the long game, focusing on things that grow in value over time. You’re aiming for steady, lasting profits, not a quick buck.
When you invest, you do your research. You really understand what you’re putting your money into.
You use knowledge—like studying a company’s finances (FA), looking at market trends (TA), or knowing the rules of the game (FM, RM).
You stay cool-headed, not getting swept up by hype or greed.
Investing isn’t about betting everything on one big win. It’s about protecting your money first, then letting profits grow slowly.
Think of it like planting a tree: you care for it, water it, and wait patiently for the fruit.
For example , let’s say you research a solid real estate deal. You believe a piece of land will grow in value over 3–5 years because it’s in a great spot with new roads being built. You buy it, hold on, and later sell it for a profit. Or you keep it, build a house, or rent it out for monthly cash while owning something valuable.
Investing like this isn’t fazed by short-term ups and downs—it’s all about the long-term payoff.
What’s Speculating? (4 Keywords: Short-term, fast, risky, flexible)
Speculating is like surfing—you jump in to catch a quick wave and make money fast by riding short-term price changes.
You know the term “riding the wave”? That’s it! You need waves to surf, right? If there’s no wave, you’re stuck.
Speculating works the same: it’s a bit daring, and you have to be ready to lose.
When you see a chance, you dive in fast or cut your losses quickly if things go wrong.
For example , back in the day, I got hyped up when Elon Musk tweeted about SHIBA coin. I jumped in, my money shot up 10 times in a short time, and I sold fast. Good thing, because the price crashed right after! If I hadn’t moved quickly, my account would’ve been wiped out.
Speculating is all about quick moves—”buy the rumors, sell the news”, and cashing in on the hype. It’s not about long-term value; it’s about grabbing profits fast. But it’s way riskier, and you can lose everything if you’re not sharp. Knowing when to stop is super important.
So, What’s the Key Difference?
Investing is all about patience.
Speculating is about being quick and flexible.
Someone asked me: “If I trade short-term but do research, is that investing?” Awesome question! But even with research, short-term trading is usually called speculating.
Why?
Because it’s focused on fast profits and higher risks, unlike the steady, long-term foundation of investing.
If you trade short-term with a solid plan, that’s cooler—pros call it systematic trading, way better than just guessing. But in general, short-term moves are still seen as speculating, not investing, because they don’t have that long-term vision.
Investing without a plan? That’s just gambling. (Investing + No plan = Gambling)
Speculating with a strategy? You’re thinking like a smart entrepreneur. (Speculating + Strategy = Entrepreneur)
Whether investing or speculating is better depends on you—your style and your game plan!
That said, choosing between investing and speculatingsometimes depends on each person's position. I’ll share more details in my next video.
If you agree with my opinion, drop a comment here!
I’m Anfibo , just sharing what I know about finance.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – GOLD FORECAST (02/10/2025)
🔎 Deep Technical Analysis (XAUUSD – 02/10/2025, London Session)
Current Price: 3,867
⸻
📈 Daily Chart
• The bullish trend remains intact with higher highs and higher lows.
• Price has tested 3,895–3,900 resistance zone, leaving an upper wick yesterday → clear sign of supply.
• Parabolic SAR dots remain bullish, but momentum is slowing.
• EMA20 sits far below at 3,771, leaving room for correction without breaking the structure.
⸻
⏳ H1 Chart
• Double top rejection forming at 3,872–3,875.
• RSI around neutral (50–55), showing lack of trend direction.
• MACD histogram contracting, signalling reduced bullish momentum.
• Key intraday support sits at 3,862–3,855. Break here → possible quick drop to 3,840–3,832.
⸻
⏱️ M15 Chart
• Price consolidates inside the Fibonacci golden zone (3,862–3,868).
• Liquidity sits above equal highs at 3,874 → if bulls break, stop runs could fuel a rally toward 3,888–3,895.
• If 3,862 fails to hold, short-term downside pressure opens into 3,855–3,852 and then 3,840.
⸻
⏱️ M5 Chart
• Sweep at 3,872 followed by immediate rejection.
• MACD flipped red with bearish momentum building.
• EMA alignment turning flat/down, suggesting short-term weakness.
⸻
🎯 Scalping Setups (Max 60 pips SL)
• Buy scalp:
• Entry: 3,862–3,864 support zone
• SL: 3,858
• TP1: 3,872
• TP2: 3,888
• Sell scalp:
• Entry: 3,872–3,874 rejection
• SL: 3,878
• TP1: 3,862
• TP2: 3,852
⚠️ Current higher probability = short scalps on failed rejections at 3,872, unless price decisively breaks above with strong volume.
⸻
✅ Overall Outlook
• Bias: Neutral-to-bearish below 3,875.
• Breakout upside trigger: 3,875 → target 3,888–3,895.
• Breakdown downside trigger: 3,862 → target 3,852–3,840.
• Golden zone (3,862–3,868) is the intraday pivot. Reactions here will define London’s move.
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold remains in a bullish consolidation phase after printing a fresh record high near $3,895, supported by safe-haven demand. On the 1H chart, price is consolidating between the Support Zone ($3,847–$3,840) and the Resistance Zone ($3,900–$3,905). A short-term pullback is visible, but the broader ascending channel structure remains intact, suggesting dips could be treated as buying opportunities.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,847 (near support zone)
Stop Loss: $3,837
Take Profit: $3,900 / $3,925 (extension if momentum sustains)
Risk/Reward: ~1 : 6
🌍 Macro Background
Gold’s rally is fuelled by a weaker USD, plunging US Treasury yields, and heightened Fed rate cut expectations. According to CME FedWatch, markets are pricing in a 98% chance of a 25bps cut in October and strong odds of another in December. The US government shutdown adds a political risk premium, while softer US jobs data (ADP: –32k private payrolls in September) reinforced dovish bets. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions (Ukraine conflict, Middle East uncertainty) continue to attract safe-haven flows.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $3,900 – $3,905
Intermediate Resistance: $3,925
Support Zone: $3,847 – $3,840
Deeper Support: $3,800
📌 Trade Summary
Gold is consolidating below $3,900, but the supportive macro backdrop keeps the bias bullish. Any dip toward the $3,847–$3,840 support offers a favourable long setup targeting $3,905–$3,925. Traders should watch today’s US ISM Manufacturing PMI and upcoming FOMC member speeches for volatility triggers.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAU/USD 4H Chart – Bullish Pullback Setup to Key Support ZoneAnalysis Overview:
📈 Trend:
The price is currently moving in an ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend.
Price has recently touched or slightly exceeded the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting a potential pullback.
🟦 Support Zone (Buy Zone):
Marked in blue, between 3,764.828 (Trade Entry) and 3,718.674 (Stop Loss).
This zone aligns with a previous consolidation area, which now acts as a strong support.
✅ Entry Plan:
Wait for price to retrace into the blue support zone.
Ideal entry around 3,764.828, possibly after a bullish signal (e.g., pin bar, bullish engulfing).
❌ Stop Loss:
Placed just below the support zone at 3,718.674, protecting the trade in case the structure fails.
🎯 Target (TP):
3,975.534 — This is labeled as the LABA TARGET POINT, near the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Risk-reward ratio appears favorable, roughly 4:1 if using the full range between entry and stop loss.
🧠 Trade Idea Summary:
Setup Type: Pullback to Support in Bullish Channel
Bias: Long/Bullish
Entry Zone: 3,764.828 (support)
Stop Loss: 3,718.674 (below structure)
Target: 3,975.534 (channel top)
Conditions to Watch:
Confirm reversal within the buy zone before entering.
Monitor for bearish breakdown if price closes below stop loss zone.
⚠️ Risk Management Tips:
Use proper position sizing based on your account size and stop loss.
Do not enter early; wait for confirmation (e.g., bullish candle pattern) in the support zone.
Keep an eye on macroeconomic news (e.g., NFP, interest rate updates) as gold is very sensitive to these events
Gold Going Up Hard , Can We Get 250 Pips From This Wave ?Here is My 15 Min Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , the price going up very hard without any correction so we should move with it and we have a 4H Candle closure above our Res 3872.00 And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 3872.00 , and we can be targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 4H Closure .
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - DON'T SELL IT TODAY AT ANY COST [01.10.2025]Hello, Anfibo's here!
OANDA:XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
OANDA:XAUUSD continues its impressive rally, printing new ATHs one after another. The buy zone recommendation around 3785 – 3795 from yesterday has already delivered nearly 🎯 1000 PIPS 🎯 in profit – an outstanding result that once again showcases the strength of this trend. Truly, the profits from gold are extraordinary – enough for me to say: “I can take my family on another vacation thanks to OANDA:XAUUSD !”
Looking ahead, unless there are major unexpected shifts in fundamentals, gold is poised to keep conquering new highs. With global geopolitical tensions still simmering, safe-haven demand remains robust, and this continues to fuel the bullish momentum. At this stage, we prioritize the buy side over sell side, until gold decisively breaks its trend structure.
Technical Outlook
Short-term trend: Strong bullish continuation on both H4 and Daily timeframes.
Momentum: Healthy and sustainable, with steady higher highs and higher lows.
SUPPORT KEY / BUY ZONES: 3870 - 3834 - 3816 - 3800
RESISTANCE KEY / SELL ZONES: 3904 - 3918 - 4000
Trading Plan Today
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: 3860 - 3871
SL: 3750
TP: 3915 - ATH
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: 3815 - 3820
SL: 3710
TP: 3870 - 3915 - ATH
Risk Management
- Favor long trades in line with the prevailing trend; sell setups only for intraday scalps at key resistances.
- Keep a Risk:Reward ratio ≥ 1:2.
- Control position sizing and avoid overtrading during consolidation phases.
- Stay alert to global news headlines, as unexpected geopolitical updates may trigger high volatility.
Conclusion
Gold remains in a strong bullish cycle, consistently breaking into new ATH territory. Our plan continues to focus on buying dips and breakouts, riding the prevailing uptrend.
Key strategy: Buy dips around 3800 - 3816 – 3870 .
Near-term targets: 3900 – 3920 – 3950, while higher levels remain possible if momentum persists.
Gold is rewarding those who stay aligned with the trend – and for now, the bulls are still firmly in control.
HAVE A NICE DAY FRIENDS!!!
Is This the Start of Gold’s Next Major Upside Trend?✨ GOLD vs USD Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing Trade) ✨
🟡 Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar)
📈 Plan: Bullish Outlook
The Thief Strategy 🥷 is in action — using a layering style of limit orders (multiple staged entries). Instead of a single "all-in" shot, we scale in like a smart thief sneaking layer by layer.
🔑 Entry (Layered Style):
Possible levels: 3720 / 3730 / 3740 / 3750 (you can increase layers depending on your own plan).
The idea: Build positions gradually instead of chasing the candle.
🔒 Stop-Loss Zone (Protect Capital):
3680 (nicknamed the “Thief SL” 🚨).
⚠️ Note: This is just my reference level. Please adjust to your own risk style — don’t just follow blindly.
🎯 Target (Profit-Taking Zone):
3860 (Trend Flip Alert ⚡ – High Voltage Zone).
Why? This area aligns with resistance + potential overbought conditions + trap vibes. That’s where I expect smart thieves to escape with their bags 💼.
💡 Reminder for the Thief OGs: I’m not recommending you copy my SL/TP blindly. The market is your playground — grab your profits your way, manage your risk your way.
🔎 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Radar)
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) → Strong inverse correlation with Gold. If DXY weakens, XAU/USD often rallies.
TVC:SILVER (XAG/USD) → Precious metals move in packs. Silver strength can be a leading indicator for Gold.
BLACKBULL:WTI (USOIL/USD) → Energy inflation links can push Gold higher as a safe haven.
SP:SPX (S&P 500 Index) → Risk-on/off sentiment. Equity weakness often boosts safe-haven demand for Gold.
📌 Key Takeaways:
Thief Strategy = Layered limit order entries (smart scaling).
🚨 Protect your capital with personalized SL — don’t just copy mine.
⚡ Watch for resistance traps near 3860.
📊 Always monitor correlated assets like DXY, Silver, Oil, S&P 500.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
📜 Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style Strategy shared just for fun & educational vibes. Not financial advice. Trade responsibly and manage your own risk.
#XAUUSD #GOLD #SwingTrading #TradingStrategy #LayeringStrategy #ThiefStyle #Forex #Commodities #TradingView






















