Fed Rate Decision May Trigger a Decline in Gold PricesDespite heightened tensions in the Middle East providing safe-haven support, gold failed to break through the 3450–3455 resistance zone today and instead pulled back to the 3400–3386 support area.
This decline was mainly driven by two factors:
Iran expressed willingness to resume nuclear talks, easing geopolitical tensions and weakening safe-haven demand.
Growing expectations that the Fed will keep rates unchanged this week strengthened the DXY, reducing gold's appeal.
That said, inflation concerns persist, offering medium-term support to gold. On the technical front, the 3378–3340 consolidation zone may serve as secondary support, while stronger trend support lies in the 3310–3289 range—a level that may only be tested under extreme bearish conditions.
For now, the primary support to watch is 3386–3373, with short-term rebound resistance around 3400–3420.
Trading Suggestion:
Ahead of the Fed’s rate decision tomorrow, consider buying on dips, as today’s decline may lead to a technical rebound. Then reassess the market’s response to key support and resistance levels to determine further action.
Xauusdbuy
Fed Rate Decision May Trigger a Decline in Gold PricesDespite heightened tensions in the Middle East providing safe-haven support, gold failed to break through the 3450–3455 resistance zone today and instead pulled back to the 3400–3386 support area.
This decline was mainly driven by two factors:
Iran expressed willingness to resume nuclear talks, easing geopolitical tensions and weakening safe-haven demand.
Growing expectations that the Fed will keep rates unchanged this week strengthened the DXY, reducing gold's appeal.
That said, inflation concerns persist, offering medium-term support to gold. On the technical front, the 3378–3340 consolidation zone may serve as secondary support, while stronger trend support lies in the 3310–3289 range—a level that may only be tested under extreme bearish conditions.
For now, the primary support to watch is 3386–3373, with short-term rebound resistance around 3400–3420.
Trading Suggestion:
Ahead of the Fed’s rate decision tomorrow, consider buying on dips, as today’s decline may lead to a technical rebound. Then reassess the market’s response to key support and resistance levels to determine further action.
Gold: Key Levels Amidst Bull-Bear ClashDaily Technical Analysis
Daily Chart
Gold trended sideways-up last week, repeatedly testing upper resistance without a decisive breakout, though bullish momentum remains robust 🚀💪. The Bollinger Bands are expanding upward with price near the upper band, moving averages in bullish alignment, and MACD forming a golden cross above the zero axis with an expanding red histogram—signaling a dominant long-term uptrend 🔥📈!
4-Hour Chart
After reaching an intraday high of 3451, price corrected lower, forming small bearish candles that indicate short-term bearish momentum 📉🔻. However, moving averages still maintain a bullish order, with initial support at the psychological level of 3400. If price stabilizes here, further upside may resume 📈🚀. MACD has formed a bearish cross at high levels with a nascent green histogram, suggesting near-term correction is needed ⚠️🔄!
1-Hour Chart
Price is in a correction channel after retreating from highs, suppressed by short-term moving averages 📉🔽. Note that 3382 acts as a key prior support—if price pulls back to this zone, it may trigger bullish rebounds 💪🔥! RSI hovers around 50, indicating balanced long-short forces with an unclear near-term direction 🤷♂️🔀.
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Gold Outlook: Bulls Defend Support Amid Rising Geopolitical RiskGold (XAU/USD) remains within a strong bullish structure on the 4-hour chart, trading inside an ascending channel. Recently, price attempted to break above the key resistance near $3,450 but failed, leading to a minor pullback toward the mid-channel area around $3,428–$3,430, where buyers are currently defending support. The key support remains at $3,394–$3,400, which also coincides with the ascending channel’s lower boundary.
As long as price holds above this level, the bullish trend remains intact, and there is potential for a breakout above the $3,450 resistance zone. If a breakout occurs and price closes above $3,450 on the 4-hour chart, the next bullish targets would be around $3,475 and then $3,500–$3,510. On the downside, if price fails to hold $3,394, it may trigger a short-term bearish correction toward the next support zone around $3,380–$3,370.
Overall, gold is currently in a consolidation phase inside the $3,394–$3,450 range, with a bullish bias above $3,394. A breakout above $3,450 may trigger strong upward momentum, while a break below $3,394 could open the door for a deeper correction.
🔑 Key Levels
Support: ~$3,394–$3,400 (channel floor) and intermediate support at $3,430–$3,440 .
Resistance: Immediate resistance zone is $3,445–$3,450, with broader upside potential toward $3,500+ if that break occurs.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Iran seeks peace, Israel strikes – Gold dip, buy opportunity🌍 Iran's peace overtures sent gold prices plummeting to 3382, but Israel is unlikely to accept the olive branch lightly. With no clear signs of de-escalation in the Middle East situation, it's advisable to continue going long at lower levels 📉→📈
Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu vows military strikes will continue until Iran's nuclear program and ballistic missile capabilities are fully dismantled—showing no signs of halting ⚡. While he claims regime change is not the objective, he notes that given the weakness of Iran's leadership, political upheaval could emerge as a collateral outcome of the operations 🌪️
🌍 Currently, only Iran is seeking peace, but Israel won't simply end the war🌍 Currently, only Iran is seeking peace, but Israel won't simply end the war
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3385 - 3390
🚀 TP 3410 - 3420
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Safe-Haven Demand Drives Gold Higher – 3500 Within ReachWishing everyone a peaceful weekend—despite turbulent times.
This weekend has been anything but calm. The escalating conflict in the Middle East continues to widen, with rising casualties. As always, war is often a pursuit of power by those at the top, while the real cost is borne by innocent civilians. Though we are mere observers from afar, it’s hard not to feel the weight of the situation.
From a geopolitical perspective, this conflict coincides with U.S.–Iran nuclear negotiations. Could this be a calculated move by certain powers to shift the balance in their favor? While it remains speculative, what’s certain is that the intensifying conflict is already shaking global financial markets.
In such a climate, safe-haven assets are clearly benefiting. Gold’s upward momentum appears firmly established, and oil’s direction hinges on the situation at the Strait of Hormuz. If the strait is closed, a surge in USOIL prices toward $100 would no longer seem unlikely.
Under the influence of such impactful news, traditional technical analysis plays a lesser role. The market direction is largely determined by sentiment, and chart patterns now serve more as entry point references rather than decisive indicators.
My trading outlook for Monday:
If gold opens with a bullish gap and rallies toward the 3480–3500 zone, this area could present a short-term selling opportunity—ideally executed with a quick in-and-out strategy;
If a pullback follows, look to build intraday long positions: aggressive traders may consider entries near 3430, while conservative ones can wait for a potential retest of the 3418 level.
One crucial reminder: News-driven markets are highly uncertain. Eventually, every war comes to an end, and when the demand for safe havens fades, so too will prices. Stay rational in your decisions, and always manage your risk appropriately.
Middle East tensions rise, gold eyes 3500 this week
🌍 Over the weekend, tensions in the Middle East escalated sharply, with geopolitical conflicts further intensifying. Multiple forces were drawn into the fray, the scope of conflict expanded continuously, and related military actions triggered widespread international concern, significantly increasing regional uncertainty. This geopolitical instability has had a profound impact on global financial markets, causing a notable decline in investors' risk appetite. Against this backdrop, gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has once again become the top choice for investors. The market expects that as the Middle East situation continues to ferment in the coming week, risk-averse sentiment will remain high, and gold is expected to continue benefiting from this trend, with a high likelihood of breaking through the key $3,500 mark 📈.
Additionally, this week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision and Chairman Powell's speech will also be key factors influencing the trend of gold prices. Recent U.S. economic data has been mixed, and fluctuations in inflation figures as well as subtle changes in the job market have left the market full of uncertainty about the Fed's monetary policy direction. If the Fed signals a dovish stance in its interest rate decision, hinting at the possibility of future rate cuts, gold prices will undoubtedly gain further upward momentum. A lower interest rate environment reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold while weakening the appeal of the U.S. dollar, thus prompting more funds to flow into the gold market. Conversely, if the Fed adopts a hawkish stance, emphasizing the maintenance of current interest rates or even hinting at possible future rate hikes, this will exert certain pressure on gold prices ⚖️.
Equally noteworthy is that U.S. President Trump will visit Canada from June 15th to 17th to attend the G7 Leaders' Summit. Trump's words and deeds in international affairs often carry significant influence and uncertainty. At this summit, his speeches and interactions with other world leaders may trigger a reassessment of the global economic and trade situation by the market, thereby causing fluctuations in gold prices 📊. For example, if Trump makes tough statements on trade policies, geopolitics, etc., it may exacerbate market concerns and push gold prices higher; if he conveys more positive signals of cooperation, market risk appetite may recover, and gold prices may face certain correction pressure. Therefore, investors need to closely monitor every move of Trump at the summit to timely grasp investment opportunities and risks in the gold market 👀
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3410 - 3415
🚀 TP 3480 - 3490
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAUUSD Long Position Gold is currently in a retracement with the potential for a further to the upside from the $3400 break-and-retest level. Last week we saw a massive rally to the upside for Gold after 2 days of indecision, during this rally, Gold broke above the $3400 resistance zone and now has the potential to use this level and platform to bounce further to the upside. On the 4 hour timeframe, Gold is comfortable trading above the 50 SMA and the $3400 potentially lays in the 45-55 zone of the RSI which is the sweet spot region indicating the need of a retracement and continuation of the the primary trend which is bullish. Will be looking to trade from $3400 with Stop loss below structure towards the $3445 resistance level.
Middle East Tensions Soar, Bulls Remain DominantBrief Update on Escalating Israel-Iran Conflict:
On June 14, Israeli forces airstruck Iran's Defense Ministry, nuclear facilities, and oil installations—causing a Tehran residential building to collapse and killing 60 civilians. 💥
Iran fired 50 ballistic missiles into Israel, damaging structures in Tel Aviv. A senior advisor to Iran's Supreme Leader died from injuries; Israel released a hit list of 9 Iranian nuclear scientists. ⚠️
Iran Nuclear Talks Developments:
Iran announced new nuclear safeguards without IAEA notice, warning NPT withdrawal if sanctioned. 🛑
June 15th U.S.-Iran talks canceled. ⏳
The Middle East situation is currently heating up 🌍💥. With the intensifying of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East over the weekend, gold is likely to continue to benefit from the boost of risk-averse sentiment next week and may break through the $3,500 mark 📈. The price of gold will also be affected by the Federal Reserve's decision and Powell's speech during the week 🏛️. In addition, US President Trump will visit Canada to attend the G7 Leaders' Summit from June 15th to 17th, and his speech at that time may also affect the fluctuation of gold prices, which is worthy of attention 🇺🇸🇨🇦
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3410 - 3415
🚀 TP 3480 - 3490
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAUUSD:Waiting to go long
For gold I am still bullish, do long, rather than blindly chase long.
Today's lowest reretreat to around 3408, from the short-term level or long willingness is stronger, the hourly level is a little pressure, trading can wait for the pullback before buying long, the important support below 3404. Short-term support looks at 3407-12
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3407-12
TP:3427-30
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
Gold price falls back and continues to go longFrom the 4-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10. The short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. The short position against the trend needs to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up to test the previous high.
Gold falls back to 3408-10 and goes long. Fall back to 3388-95 and add to long position. Stop loss at 3384. Target at 3445-3450. Continue to hold if it breaks.
The latest gold operation strategyTechnically, the daily level reminds us to focus on the key resistance range of 3455-3460: if this area fails to break through effectively, the price may face a technical correction; if it breaks through, it may open up further upward space. The 4-hour period chart analysis shows that the gold price maintains a unilateral upward trend, the Bollinger Band channel continues to expand, and the moving average system maintains a complete long arrangement. Two major support levels need to be monitored this week: 3420 constitutes a short-term long-short watershed, and if this position is maintained, the price will maintain its strong characteristics; 3410-3405 is a key trend support level. If it is not effectively broken, the long structure will continue.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to buy gold near 3420-3415, stop loss at 3407, and target 3440-3460
Gold Reclaims Bullish Zone—Perfect Time for a Swing EntryGold has once again reclaimed bullish momentum after breaking through the key support zone around $3,412, previously a stubborn ceiling that had acted as resistance multiple times throughout late May and early June. The break above this level—validated by a decisive green Supertrend flip—indicates a short-term trend reversal in favor of buyers.
After a brief consolidation phase, XAUUSD formed a solid breakout candle, confirming upward momentum. The current price action sits comfortably above the Supertrend line, which is now acting as dynamic support, while volume has picked up notably during the move up—an important confirmation of institutional interest and breakout strength.
Trade Setup Breakdown
• Entry: Above the $3,412 breakout area (now acting as support)
• Stop Loss: Below the key support zone, ideally near $3,373–$3,375 to allow for wick re-tests and avoid premature exits
• Target/TP: Resistance zone marked near $3,484–$3,500, which aligns with a prior consolidation ceiling from late April and early May. This target offers a risk-reward ratio of approx. 2.3:1, which is favorable for a swing position.
• Re-entry Opportunity: If gold retraces back to the $3,373–$3,383 zone (support cluster), it would provide a high-probability re-entry while keeping the same TP of $3,500.
Why the Bias Is Bullish
1. Structure Break & Supertrend Flip
The key breakout above previous resistance was clean and confirmed by the Supertrend flip to green, a historically reliable short-term bullish signal.
2. Volume Confirmation
Volume spikes on the breakout candles confirm real buying pressure—not just a false breakout or low-liquidity movement.
3. Support Retest Potential
The $3,412–$3,383 zone now forms a strong demand area where buyers are likely to defend their positions if price pulls back. This zone also aligns with historical congestion from earlier price action.
4. Macro Context (Not in chart but relevant)
Ongoing economic uncertainty, rising global tensions, and interest rate speculation continue to boost gold's safe-haven appeal. Traders are increasingly rotating into gold during periods of macro volatility.
Outlook
Gold is likely to continue climbing toward the $3,500 mark unless it closes below $3,373 on high volume. Bulls appear to be in control, and even a minor pullback could serve as a buying opportunity. As long as the price remains above the flipped Supertrend and $3,373 support, the bullish case remains intact.
XAUUSD: Analysis June 16Gold has a lot of momentum to increase and could head towards testing the all-time high around 3500 as there are too many risks emerging, from geopolitical developments to interest rate outlook, and tariffs. Major conflicts in the Middle East, Russia - Ukraine, trade war between the US and the rest of the world, ... are all sudden risk support that makes gold likely to surge in the short term.
Gold, after increasing around 3450 this morning, is currently correcting down. But overall, the uptrend with gold is still solid after breaking the downtrend channel. However, we should avoid buying in strong corrections.
The support area around 3400 will be the ideal place for us to BUY today.
And the resistance area 3440 - 3445 will be where we SELL.
GOLD H1 Intraday Chart Update For 16 June 2025Hello Traders,
Read GOLD intraday Chart carefully as WAR scenarios is still active, only if market breaks 3400 Psychological Level Successfully then we will consider or expect longer term selling
otherwise market remains Bullish
Disclaimer; Forex is Risky
Safe-Haven Demand Expected to Push Gold Prices Toward 3500Last week, intensifying conflict between Israel and Iran triggered a strong wave of risk-off sentiment in the markets.
As a result, we saw sharp rallies across major safe-haven assets and crude oil.
Over the weekend, tensions continued to escalate and even showed signs of further expansion.
Under such circumstances, it's clear that heightened geopolitical risk will continue to support gold prices.
However, 📍$3500 remains a major resistance zone at the moment.
If gold spikes to this level intraday, it’s very likely we’ll see a short-term pullback —
Whether due to profit-taking, cautious positioning by sideline capital, or selling pressure from trapped shorts above 3490,
⚠️ this kind of correction is a natural market reaction — driven by human nature.
Even with strong risk-off demand in place, after a $200 rally,
the market is still subject to volatility from profit-taking behaviors.
🔑 Trading Strategy for This Week
As long as tensions in the Middle East persist,
🎯 the primary bias remains bullish.
However, the entry point is crucial.
💡 Important notes:
Avoid chasing price after sudden spikes caused by breaking news.
Those spikes are not ideal buy zones — instead, look for short-term selling opportunities at those highs.
Once the price pulls back, assess the retracement level and key supports before looking to buy the dip.
We are now within a historically high price range,
which means any rally could trigger profit-taking from earlier longs.
While the overall trend may still head higher,
⚠️ you need to carefully evaluate the size of potential pullbacks and whether your account can withstand the associated risks.
📊 Technical Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3450-3455 (minor), 3468-3474 (previous high), and 3487-3499 (major historical high)
Support: 3420–3410 zone, and the deeper 3400–3386 range
Stay alert, trade wisely, and remember — in volatile geopolitical environments,
timing and discipline are more important than ever.
Unlock Gold's Secrets: A Daily Tape Reading Analysis for XAUUSDHey everyone! Today,
we're diving deep into XAUUSD (Gold) using a daily candle tape reading approach that aims to uncover critical turning points and price levels. If you're looking for an edge in understanding Gold's movements, this analysis could be a game-changer.
On the accompanying chart, you'll see yellow horizontal lines that highlight key bullish and bearish price levels. These aren't just arbitrary lines; they represent significant battlegrounds where buyers and sellers have historically shown their hand.
In addition, the vertical lines on the chart pinpoint specific days where we've observed a change in trade direction or a potential reversal. It's important to note that these shifts can sometimes occur within one or two candles before or after the marked day, so keep an eye on the immediate vicinity.
We're interpreting these price levels with a 3% to 5% tolerance, allowing for the natural ebb and flow of the market around these crucial points.
Key Price Levels to Watch:
Bullish Price Levels:
3477.67: A critical zone where bullish momentum has historically taken hold.
3522.40: Another strong support level that could propel Gold higher.
3562.30: Watch this level for signs of continued upward pressure.
3631.31: A significant resistance-turned-support level that could signal a strong bullish continuation.
Bearish Price Levels:
3323.72: A key level where bearish pressure has often intensified.
3245.09: If this level breaks, it could indicate further downside for Gold.
3165.42: A crucial support level; a breach here could accelerate a downtrend.
3077.23: The ultimate test for the bears; a break below could signal a more substantial correction.
__________________________________________________________________________________
What are your thoughts on these levels? Have you noticed similar patterns in your own XAUUSD analysis? Share your insights in the comments below!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance
XAUUSD:Touching $3500 One More Time Gold is currently extremely bullish and we expect price to touch 3500$ region one more time before it may reverse. you can set your own target based on your risk. Gold will remain volatile in coming weeks and we want all of you to trade safe.
Good luck and trade safe.
Team Setupsfx_
XAUUSD:[GOLD]: First Drop And Then Reverse! Comment Your Views! Gold touched $3350 but was rejected at that level, dropping around 3288. The price shows some minor support at this region, which we’re currently monitoring. If it breaks through, it could touch our buying zone, reversing the trend. You can set three targets based on your own analysis and bias. Please use accurate risk management while trading.
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can assist us:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_🚀❤️
#XAUUSD[GOLD]: Massive Boost For Buyers, Incoming More Volume! Gold has been moving as expected in our previous chart. We anticipate a smooth bull market in the coming days, with a target price region of 3400$. There are three specific targets you can aim for.
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_🚀❤️
#XAUUSD[GOLD]:At Critical Level, Bullish Swing Is Very LikelyHey There Everyone,
So, gold prices took a bit of a dip, hitting 3250 gold. But guess what? They bounced back like a rubber ball and reached 3332! And here’s the exciting part: they broke through that pesky bearish trend line. This means they’re probably going to retest that line to confirm the trend.
Right now, it looks like they’re at a potential retest point, and that’s where things could get really interesting. If strong bullish volume comes in, the price could skyrocket! There are three possible targets here: 3332, 3362, and 3420.
Now, here’s something important to keep in mind: next week, there are some big news and events coming up that could totally shake things up in the gold market. And let’s not forget about price manipulation. If someone tries to mess with the price, it could drop back to 3250 and then reverse course. So, it’s crucial to have backup plans in case of any unexpected twists.
The US dollar is also going to be all over the place due to upcoming news, which could disrupt the gold market and other currencies. So, it’s best to trade cautiously today and next week. The price can be a bit unpredictable, so take your time to do your own analysis and assess your risk before making any moves.
Good luck and trade safely! We wish you all the best in your trading journey!
Cheers,
Team Setupsfx_
XAUUSD: Another Important Update On Gold Prices! We recently posted an idea analysis on Gold, but our first entry was invalidated due to the heavy sell-off. We expect a smooth move from the current price point. However, please remember that the market conditions will remain volatile and uncertain due to important economic data being published tomorrow.
Good luck, trade safely!
Team Setupsfx_