GOLD POSSIBLY FOR THIS WEEK Gold (XAU/USD) Buy Setup 🚀
Price is showing strong bullish momentum after holding above key support levels. Market structure indicates buyers are in control, with confirmation from moving averages and volume.
📍 Entry Zone: Above current breakout level
🎯 Target: 3929
🛡 Risk Management: Always use stop-loss below recent support
This setup is based on price action + trend confirmation. If momentum continues, we can expect Gold to push higher towards the 3929 level.
Xauusdbuy
Plan day: 29-sep 2025 Related Information:!!!
U.S. inflation, as measured by the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, rose to 2.7% year-on-year in August from 2.6% in July, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported on Friday. The figure was in line with market consensus. Meanwhile, the core PCE Price Index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased 2.9% year-on-year in August, matching both the July pace and analysts’ estimates. On a monthly basis, headline PCE and core PCE rose 0.3% and 0.2%, respectively.
Markets are currently pricing in nearly an 88% probability of a Fed rate cut in October and a 65% chance of an additional cut in December, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, thereby supporting the non-yielding precious metal.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold extends gains, targeting $3,850.
“Gold (XAU/USD) – Breakout Play from Resistance (1-Hour ViewChart Structure & Key Levels
You’ve drawn a resistance zone above current price. The label “this is the resistance area here if break we will hold” points to a horizontal resistance line or zone.
You also show a descending trendline acting as dynamic resistance.
On the lower side, you mark LL (Lower Low) and LH (Lower High) points, implying the prior structure was in a downtrend or consolidation.
Your trade setup (green = target area, red = stop area) suggests you are expecting a break above resistance and a move upward with three target levels:
• TP1 at ~ 3,759.74
• TP2 at ~ 3,779.03
• TP3 at ~ 3,799.67
What Your Setup Implies (and Risks)
Bullish Bias on Breakout
You are expecting that if price breaks above the resistance zone + trendline, that resistance may flip into support, allowing the price to rally further. This is a classic breakout reversal expectation.
If the breakout is confirmed (with strong candle close above, ideally with volume), then the path is “clearer” for your targets.
Stop / Risk Control
Your red zone (stop area) is placed below the resistance/trendline region. If price fails and falls back below this, your trade idea would be invalidated.
Target Levels Logic
TP1 is relatively conservative, just above resistance.
TP2 and TP3 stretch further to capture the upside momentum if the breakout has strength.
Additional Considerations & Technical Tips
Confirm the Breakout
Don’t just enter on a quick wick above resistance. Wait for a sustained close above the zone (on your timeframe) to reduce the chance of a false breakout.
Check volume: higher-than-average volume on the breakout gives it more credibility.
Watch for Retest
Often after a breakout, price returns to retest the broken resistance (which now may act as support). This retest can offer a better entry with lower risk.
Manage Risk Aggressively
The more distant your TP3, the more room for price to reverse. Consider scaling out of the trade (taking partial profits as price hits TP1, TP2) to lock in gains.
Keep an Eye on Macro / Fundamental Factors
Gold (XAU/USD) is sensitive to U.S. monetary policy, the strength of the U.S. dollar, inflation expectations, and geopolitical risk.
For example, stronger U.S. data or hawkish Fed statements could work against a bullish breakout in gold.
Divergences & Momentum Indicators
Use RSI / MACD / ADX to check whether momentum supports your breakout idea. If momentum is weak or showing divergence, be cautious.
Timeframe Alignment
Make sure that higher timeframes (4H, daily) are not giving strong bearish signals conflicting with your breakout bias on the 1-hour chart.
Gold Soars Past $3,800: Can Shutdown Fears Push Gold to $3,900?📊 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) has surged to a record high above $3,800, confirming strong bullish momentum within a rising channel. Price action is currently holding above the support zone at $3,774–3,786, while eyeing the next resistance cluster at $3,837–3,848. Beyond this, extended targets sit near $3,910–3,922, aligned with Fibonacci 1.618–2.618 extensions. The structure remains buy-the-dip as long as the channel support holds.
🎯 Trade Setup (Long)
Entry: $3,786–3,774 (on retest of support zone)
Stop Loss: $3,768
Take Profit 1: $3,837
Take Profit 2: $3,910
Take Profit 3: $3,922
Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1 : 7.71
🌍 Macro Background
Gold’s rally is fuelled by safe-haven flows as the US government shutdown risk looms. Investors are moving into gold amid uncertainty over budget negotiations in Washington, with shutdowns historically boosting demand for safe-haven assets. At the same time, the Fed’s recent 25 bps cut and market pricing of another cut in October (88% probability) and December (65%) lower the opportunity cost of holding gold.
The August PCE inflation came in line with expectations (core +2.9% YoY, headline +2.7%), reinforcing the view that the Fed remains on a gradual easing path. However, hawkish commentary from Fedspeak later today could inject short-term volatility into the USD and cap gold’s momentum.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone 1: $3,837 – $3,848
Resistance Zone 2: $3,910 – $3,922
Support Zone: $3,774 – $3,786
📌 Trade Summary
Gold maintains a strong bullish structure, underpinned by Fed rate cut expectations and geopolitical + political risks. As long as $3,774–3,786 support holds, the bias remains long, targeting $3,837 initially and potentially $3,910–3,922 if momentum extends. Caution is warranted during Fed speeches, as hawkish tones could trigger short-lived pullbacks.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAU/USD Metals Outlook: Bullish Path with Layered Buy Entry Plan🔥 XAU/USD: Thief’s Gold Heist Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 💰
🎯 Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) — The Shiny Metal’s Wealth Hunt!📈
Market: Metals Market
🏆 Strategy Vibe: Bullish Bandit Plan with a Thief-Style Layering Twist! 😎
🕵️♂️ The Thief’s Bullish Plan: Steal the Gold!
We’re diving into the XAU/USD market with a bullish swing/day trade setup using a slick Thief Layering Strategy. This involves stacking multiple buy limit orders to catch the price at key levels. No boring single entries here — we’re building a multi-layered trap to snag those pips! 🪤
📊 Key Setup Details
🎯 Entry Levels:
Deploy the Thief Layering Strategy with multiple buy limit orders at:
💰 3760
💰 3780
💰 3800
Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite! Stack those limits like a master thief planning a heist. 😏
🛑 Stop Loss:
Thief’s SL set at 3720.
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this SL is my take — you’re the boss of your trades! Set your stop loss based on your risk tolerance. Trade smart, steal smarter! 💡
🎉 Take Profit Target:
Aim for the Electric Shop High Voltage Trap at 3920. This zone screams strong resistance, overbought signals, and a potential trap for the unprepared. Escape with your profits before the market zaps you! ⚡️
Note: Thief OG’s, this TP is my suggestion. Grab your profits at your own pace and risk level — make it rain when you’re ready! 💸
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Dollar-Based Correlations)
Keep an eye on these USD-based pairs for market synergy and correlation:
FX:USDJPY : A stronger USD could pressure gold prices, so watch for inverse moves. If USD/JPY spikes, XAU/USD might dip. 📉
OANDA:USDCHF : Another safe-haven pair. If CHF strengthens, it could signal risk-off vibes impacting gold. 👀
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): Gold often moves inversely to the dollar. A rising DXY could cap XAU/USD’s upside — stay sharp! 🧠
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Gold’s shiny cousin often follows XAU/USD’s lead. Check for confirmation in silver’s price action. ✨
Why Watch These? Correlations help you spot market sentiment. If USD strengthens across pairs, gold’s bullish run might face resistance. Use these as your Thief’s Radar to time your entries! 🕵️♀️
🔑 Key Points of the Thief Strategy
Layering Entries: Multiple buy limits spread risk and increase chances of catching a favorable entry. Think of it as setting multiple traps for the price! 🪤
Risk Management: The suggested SL at 3720 keeps losses tight, but adjust based on your account size and risk tolerance.
Resistance Watch: The 3920 zone is a high-voltage trap with overbought signals. Secure profits early to avoid getting caught in a reversal. ⚡️
Market Context: Gold thrives in uncertainty, so keep an eye on global events, Fed news, or inflation data that could spark volatility. 📡
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is a Thief-Style Trading Strategy crafted for fun and educational purposes. Trading involves risks, and past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis and trade at your own risk. Stay sneaky, stay safe! 😎
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#️⃣ #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #BullishSetup #ForexTrading #TradingView
Gold weekly setup for new athThis chart shows a 1-hour analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar).
Price is currently around $3,759, slightly above the key support trend line.
Important support levels are marked near $3,755, $3,735, and $3,723, where buyers may step in.
The short-term bullish scenario points to a possible rebound from support toward the $3,800 target, with a continuation higher to a new all-time high at $3,817.
If the price fails to hold above the support zone, it could retest lower levels before resuming an upward move.
Overall, the outlook suggests bullish momentum remains strong, with buyers targeting $3,800–$3,817, but the market may experience pullbacks before continuing higher.
Gold Bulls Eyeing $3,800+ – Key Buy Areas RevealedGold is currently holding inside a rising channel structure after making an ATH near $3,790. The market has pulled back from the high and is consolidating around key trendline support. The immediate buy area lies near $3,730–$3,740, which also aligns with the trendline support. A deeper dip towards $3,710–$3,715 could offer a stronger buy trigger zone if price retests.
On the upside, gold will likely revisit the $3,790 ATH, and a sustained move above this level may extend towards $3,800–$3,820 in the coming sessions. Overall, the market bias remains bullish as long as price holds above the $3,710–$3,692 support region, with consolidations and pullbacks seen as part of the broader upward trend.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance: $3,760–$3,765
- Support: Immediate support $3,730 and strong support $3,710–$3,715
📌 Buy Zone & Buy Trigger:
- Buy Zone: $3,720–$3,730
- Buy Trigger: The buy trigger area is $3,760–$3,765, where a breakout above the descending resistance from the ATH would indicate renewed bullish momentum.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Trade Setup - 27/Sep/2025Hi Traders,
I am biased for further upside in Gold.
The first trade that I will be looking for is from the highlighted zone and the price is already testing it.
If price corrects here , then I will expect it to drop further to the next marked POI.
Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan.
Disclaimer : This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.
XAUUSD | First Line of DefenseXAUUSD | Watching the First Support
On XAUUSD, I see the first major support around the blue box. That’s where I’ll be paying attention as price drifts lower.
When we get there, I’ll be watching the 1-hour CDV closely. A positive divergence would suggest buyers are absorbing and could set up a tactical bounce.
My track record speaks for itself: the win rate of my trades is listed below. Trading with me costs nothing. You can check my profile.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
I have a long list of my proven technique below:
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📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
Holding on to 3755, there will be new highsAfter gold broke through the triangle boundary, it meant that the short-term downward adjustment was over. After falling back to 3755, it rebounded again. Everything was in line with our expectations. The morning trend chart also confirmed our advanced trading vision.
In the short term, gold will rise rapidly. Don't chase the rise easily at high levels. It is possible that the main funds want to push up the price to sell. On the upside, pay attention to the suppression brought by the previous highs of 3780-3790. As gold prices rise, short-term resistance also turns into support. Judging from the hourly and 4H charts, the middle track support has also come to around 3755, and the MA5 moving average has also moved up to around 3755. Under multiple conditions, 3755 has become a solid short-term support level. If the support of 3765-3755 can be held, gold may hit a new high and reach 3800-3810. Therefore, if gold rises and reaches 3780-3790 in the evening, I may consider shorting gold with a light position. If gold retreats directly to the 3765-3755 range, we can consider going long on gold to target new highs.
Gold May Retest 3800 — How to Trade It?Today, gold pulled back to the 20 area and formed a short-term bottom confirmation on the 30M chart with several long lower wicks.
Next, watch the 58 resistance. If price breaks and holds above, bulls will gain a clear advantage, with a likely move to test 3800.
During this move, the 72–77 zone may provide resistance, but strong bullish momentum is likely to break through it.
If gold reaches around 3800 and pulls back, this level will become a new support zone.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – GOLD FORECAST (26/09/2025)🔍 Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis
Daily (D1)
• Gold is trading at 3,752, holding above the 10EMA and the 3,732 pivot support.
• Momentum remains bullish overall after the rally from early September, but candles show hesitation under 3,791 high → signs of consolidation before a potential new breakout.
• As long as 3,732 holds, the structure remains bullish.
⸻
1H (Intraday Structure)
• Price has broken above the descending trendline resistance (~3,748), now retesting this area.
• Support cluster: 3,745–3,740 (aligned with EMA + structure lows).
• Resistance zone: 3,752–3,755 (capping upside before 3,764).
• MACD: momentum just flipped positive, but histogram is shallow → momentum still fragile.
• RSI: mid-zone (~55) → suggests potential to expand higher if resistance breaks.
⸻
15M (Short-Term View)
• Price consolidating 3,745–3,752.
• Higher lows forming since Asian session → bullish micro-structure.
• MACD showing bullish divergence after last sweep of lows near 3,734.
⸻
5M (Scalping View)
• Strong sweep earlier at 3,751, rejection but held 3,747–3,745 base.
• Micro ascending channel → scalpers eyeing breakout confirmation.
• Momentum picking up, but volume still thin → London likely decides breakout direction.
⸻
📌 Fibonacci Golden Zone
Swing High 3,791 → Swing Low 3,732:
• 38.2% = 3,754
• 50% = 3,761
• 61.8% = 3,767
➡️ Golden retracement lies at 3,754–3,767 → exactly where London session resistance sits. A break into this zone will decide continuation vs. rejection.
⸻
🎯 Scalping Setups (Max 60 Pips SL)
✅ Buy Setup (Preferred if bullish momentum holds)
• Entry: Above 3,752–3,754 breakout & retest.
• SL: 3,746 (≈ -60 pips).
• TP1: 3,761
• TP2: 3,767 (Fib 61.8%).
• Reasoning: Break above golden zone support confirms bullish continuation.
✅ Sell Setup (If rejection at resistance)
• Entry: Rejection at 3,754–3,755 or confirmed break below 3,740.
• SL: 3,760 (≈ -60 pips).
• TP1: 3,734
• TP2: 3,722.
• Reasoning: Failure to hold golden zone leads to pullback toward London lows.
⸻
⚠️ Key London Session Levels
• Bullish Breakout: 3,754 → opens 3,761–3,767.
• Bearish Breakdown: 3,740 → exposes 3,734 then 3,722.
• Pivot Level: 3,745 (control zone for scalpers).
⸻
✅ Summary:
Gold sits at a decision point. If 3,752–3,754 breaks and holds, expect bullish continuation into 3,761–3,767 (golden zone). If rejected, scalpers can look for shorts back toward 3,734–3,722. London open will likely provide the breakout.
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading near $3,740, consolidating below the descending trendline resistance. The support zone lies at $3,723 – $3,719, while the resistance zone is around $3,761 – $3,765. The price structure shows a “buy-the-dip” bias as long as support holds, but near-term pressure remains capped by the downtrend line. A breakout above $3,765 could open the path toward $3,785.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,719 – $3,723 (support retest)
Stop Loss: $3,715
Take Profit: $3,764 / $3,785
Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1 : 5.4
🌍 Macro Background
Markets await the US Core PCE Inflation data later today – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. Stronger-than-expected PCE could strengthen the USD and pressure gold lower. On the other hand, a softer reading may revive rate cut expectations, supporting gold. Additionally, Trump’s new tariffs (100% on pharmaceuticals, 50% on cabinets, 30% on furniture, etc.) and ongoing geopolitical risks with Russia provide safe-haven flows that keep gold attractive. Despite the USD holding at three-week highs, investors continue to see gold as a hedge amid policy uncertainty and trade tensions.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,764 / $3,785
Support: $3,723 / $3,719
📝 Trade Summary
The overall structure favours a buy-the-dip strategy near support zones, with upside potential toward $3,764 – $3,785 if US PCE comes in softer. However, a stronger inflation print may trigger a deeper pullback below $3,719. Traders should stay alert for volatility around the data release.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
9/25: Buy at Lows, Watch Resistance at 3758–3763Good morning everyone!
Yesterday, gold rebounded from support but failed to break resistance, then continued its decline to around 3720, completing the divergence correction on the 30M chart. This downside move was well captured.
Currently, price is in a rebound phase:
3752–3758 is the key resistance zone. A clean breakout and consolidation above would give the bulls stronger momentum.
3733–3726 is the key support area. If price retests without breaking lower and forms bullish candles (especially strong bullish candles without long upper wicks), the probability of another upward move increases.
If volume supports a breakout, watch the 3770–3780 resistance area, as it may trigger further upside.
📌 Trading Outlook:
Trend setups:
Long opportunities below 3710;
Short opportunities above 3780;
If price breaks above 3770 and retests near 3760 without losing 3752, this could present another long entry.
Range setups:
Consider swing trades within the 3766–3726 range.
⚠️ Reminder: If your account condition is not favorable, avoid unnecessary trades. Focus on higher-probability setups to steadily grow profits while controlling risk.
Gold: Opportunities for both longs and shorts.Gold still pulled back downward overnight, which is the time window we reminded everyone to pay attention to yesterday. On the daily timeframe, the price has started to approach MA5. After a relatively large short-term gain, it is facing correction pressure. Today, focus on the support from MA10; there is also a need for a pullback on the weekly timeframe. However, note that there will still be an upward move after the correction—fundamentals have not changed, and the main trend remains intact.
After the strong one-way trend shifted to consolidation, short positions can also be traded; there are opportunities for both short-term long and short positions, but it is necessary to seize the right levels. Pay attention to shorting on rebounds near the 3765/3770 resistance, and look to go long near the 3710 support and the daily MA10 level. Currently, price volatility is relatively high, so be sure to control risks properly.
Buy 3730 - 3740 TP 3750 - 3760 - 3770 SL 3725
Sell 3760 - 3770 TP 3770 - 3775 SL 3758
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - A psychological zone $3800 ? [09.25.2025]Hi guys! Anfibo's here!
Overall Picture Today:
OANDA:XAUUSD is currently maintaining stability within the H4 bullish channel, reflecting the sustainability of the prevailing uptrend. Although no major breakout has occurred in recent sessions, the technical structure indicates that buyers still hold the advantage. However, the market is showing signs of stalling at a key resistance zone, so short-term trading plans should focus on resistance and support levels to optimize profits.
> SUPPORT KEY LEVELS: 3748 - 3733 - 3703
> RESISTANCE KEY LEVELS: 3768 - 3777- 3788 - 3799
Here's my Trading Plan today:
>>> SELL SCALP:
ENTRY: 3770 - 3765
SL: 3780
TP: 3720 - 3705
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: 3700 - 3705
SL: 3695
TP: 3760 - 3800
Always set stop-loss and good money management for success!
GOODLUCK GUYS!!!
Gold Price Forecast – Long Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
Gold price retraced from the 3777–3785 resistance zone and is currently consolidating during Asia Session. The chart indicates a solid support base around 3714–3723, while resistance is capped near 3777–3785. As long as price holds above support, the bullish bias remains intact, with potential to retest upper resistance.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry (Buy): 3723
Stop Loss: 3712
Take Profit: 3785
Risk/Reward (R:R): 1 : 5.62
🌍 Macro Background
Gold holds firm near $3,750 in early Asian trading, supported by expectations of further Fed rate cuts and elevated geopolitical risks. The Fed has already cut rates by 25bps in September, bringing the Federal Funds Rate to 4.00%–4.25%, with projections showing two more cuts this year and one in 2026. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, boosting demand.
Meanwhile, heightened geopolitical tensions — with NATO warning Russia over repeated airspace violations — continue to fuel safe-haven flows. However, Fed Chair Powell’s cautious comments about balancing labour market weakness with inflation risks may limit the upside momentum in the short term. Despite this, the medium-term structure still favours the bulls.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance (R): 3777 / 3785 / 3790
Support (S): 3723 / 3714
📝 Trade Summary
Gold remains supported by rate cut expectations and safe-haven demand. A buy setup near 3723 with stops below 3712 and target at 3785 offers a favourable risk/reward profile. Sustained momentum above 3785 could open the path towards the 3800 psychological level.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Go long on pullbacks; avoid chasing highsToday, as long as it breaks through 3780, I will stop going long and continue to monitor the market 📊. If it climbs to around 3800, we can attempt short positions and set the SL properly ⚠️
I reminded everyone multiple times yesterday to exit long positions at 3790 to avoid pullbacks 📉, and our stance remains unchanged today: we still favor looking for long opportunities during pullbacks 🐂—under no circumstances should we chase long positions at high levels ⚠️
Buy 3750 - 3755
TP 3760 - 3770 -3780
Sell 3798 - 3800
TP 3780 - 3770 - 3760
SL 3802
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇