Gold (XAU/USD) 3H Technical AnalysisCurrent Price: $4,091.70
Trend: Short-term bullish continuation
Chart Structure: Breakout from descending channel
🔍 Chart Insights
Descending Channel Breakout:
Gold has clearly broken above the yellow descending channel, confirming a bullish breakout from the previous downtrend.
Support Level Zone (Purple Area):
Support Range: $4,000 – $4,050
This zone was a strong resistance earlier and has now flipped into support after the breakout.
Price is expected to retest this area before continuing higher.
Bullish Structure & Retest Pattern:
The yellow zigzag line indicates a likely scenario where price may pull back slightly to the support zone before continuing the upward move toward the next resistance levels.
Target Levels (Resistance zones):
First Target: $4,120 – $4,160
Second Target: $4,200
Main Target (Highlighted): $4,381
This aligns with Fibonacci extension and prior structural highs.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price holds above $4,050, the uptrend remains intact.
Momentum could push gold toward $4,200 → $4,380 in the next sessions.
Ideal entry area: near $4,050 – $4,070 (on successful retest).
📉 Bearish Scenario
A confirmed break below $4,000 would invalidate the bullish structure.
Downside targets: $3,940 → $3,880.
⚙️ Summary
Bias Entry Zone Support Resistance Target
Bullish $4,050–$4,070 $4,000 $4,200 / $4,380 $4,381 TFEX:GO1! TFEX:GD1! TFEX:GF1! TFEX:AEONTS1! TFEX:BANK1! TFEX:EURUSD1! TFEX:USD1! TFEX:USDJPY1! TFEX:S501! GPW:FW201! GPW:FPCO1! GPW:FPKN1! GPW:FW401! GPW:FUSD1!
Xauusdbuy
gold await breakout before buying or selling#XAUUSD price still bullish, but if the gap above 4110-4098 gets rejected then short bearish retrace is expected.
Sell at 4098 on 2 times breakout, target 4054, stop loss 4110.
Above 4103-4110 holds bullish continuation if the first breakout covers above there and H1 closure above the price.
Is Gold Setting Up a Swing Rally?XAU/USD Accumulation Highlights🏆 XAU/USD "GOLD VS U.S DOLLAR" - Metals Market Opportunity Blueprint 📊
Swing Trade | Bullish Wyckoff Accumulation 💎
📍 MARKET SETUP
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar)
Timeframe: Swing Trade (4H-Daily)
Pattern: Bullish Wyckoff Accumulation Phase ✅
Market Structure: Accumulation Zone Identified 🎯
🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY - LAYERING METHOD ("THIEF STRATEGY")
Multiple Limit Order Entry Points:
Using the Layering Strategy - Scale in with multiple limit orders at different levels for optimal position management.
Layer 1 Entry: $3,960 (33% Position Size) - First Entry Point 🔵
Layer 2 Entry: $4,000 (33% Position Size) - Second Entry Point 🟢
Layer 3 Entry: $4,040 (34% Position Size) - Third Entry Point 🟡
📌 NOTE: You can increase/adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and capital allocation. Flexibility is key to the Thief Strategy.
⛔ STOP LOSS
Recommended SL Level: $3,880 (Below Accumulation Base)
Risk Per Trade: Adjust based on your personal risk management strategy
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is NOT a recommendation. Adjust your stop loss according to YOUR OWN STRATEGY and RISK TOLERANCE. Your capital, your rules. 🛡️
🚀 PROFIT TARGET
Primary Target: $4,360 (Strong Resistance + Overbought Zone)
Key Resistance Levels:
⚡ Strong resistance confluence zone
Overbought signal indicates profit-taking zone
Be cautious of potential reversal traps near target
💰 DISCLAIMER: This is NOT a recommendation for exit points. Secure profits based on YOUR OWN RISK MANAGEMENT. Take gains when you're comfortable. 📈
📊 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR (CORRELATION ANALYSIS)
🔴 INVERSE CORRELATION (Move Opposite to Gold)
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) 📉
When DXY strengthens → XAU/USD weakens
When DXY weakens → XAU/USD strengthens
KEY POINT: Monitor DXY weakness as bullish trigger for gold rally
FX:EURUSD 💶
Strong negative correlation with gold
Euro weakness = Gold strength (Flight to Safety)
Watch for Euro breakdown below key support levels
🟡 POSITIVE CORRELATION (Move Together)
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver vs USD) 🔗
Typically moves 70-80% correlated with gold
KEY POINT: Confirms broader precious metals strength
If XAGUSD breaks resistance, XAU/USD usually follows
FX:GBPUSD (British Pound vs USD) 🏴
Weak positive correlation with gold
Weak GBP = Risk-off sentiment = Gold demand rises
Watch for GBP weakness as confluence signal
🔵 MACRO DRIVERS TO WATCH
US Treasury Yields (10Y, 2Y) 📊
Higher yields = Lower gold attractiveness
Lower yields = Higher gold demand
CRITICAL: Monitor Fed announcements & rate expectations
SP:SPX (S&P 500) 📈
Risk-on sentiment weakens gold demand
Risk-off sentiment strengthens gold
Market crashes = Gold surges (Safe Haven)
⚡ CONFLUENCE SIGNALS FOR THIS SETUP
✅ Bullish Confluence When:
DXY shows weakness/breakdown
XAGUSD confirms precious metals strength
Moving Averages align bullishly
Wyckoff accumulation phase completing
⚠️ Invalidation Signals:
Break below $3,880 SL (Accumulation base failure)
Strong DXY rally
Risk-on market rally (Equities surge)
💡 TRADER'S NOTES
🎯 Best Timing: Scale entries during DXY weakness or Fed pivot signals
📍 Sweet Spot: Layer entries $3,960-$4,040 range for optimal averaging
🛑 Risk Control: Never risk more than 2-3% per trade
💰 Profit Taking: Consider partial profits at each moving average resistance
⚖️ FULL DISCLAIMER
🔹 This analysis is for educational purposes only
🔹 Always conduct your own research & due diligence
🔹 Past performance ≠ Future results
🔹 Manage your risk responsibly
🔹 Your capital, your responsibility, your choice 🛡️
📌#XAU/USD #Gold #Swing Trade #Wyckoff #TechnicalAnalysis #FX #Metals #Trading #DayTrader #Accumulation #LayeringStrategy
Analysis of the Policy Support for the New High of the US DollarRecent economic data in the United States have shown a "weak recovery" feature - the labor market has cooled down (new job creation is lower than expected, the unemployment rate has slightly risen), consumer confidence index has declined, and core inflation is approaching the target range. As a result, the market's expectation for the Fed to cut interest rates in December has been further strengthened. Although there are still differences in policy statements, the broad direction of monetary easing has not changed. This provides "a bottom for the decline" for gold prices, significantly reducing the risk of a major correction.
Today's gold trading strategy
buy:4065-4075
tp:4080-4100
sl:4055
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (10/11/2025, LONDON SESSION)
⸻
1. Market Overview
Gold continues its strong bullish recovery, opening the London session around $4,078–$4,082 after a powerful rally from the $3,995–$4,000 base during Asia. The current upward leg has reached a temporary exhaustion zone near $4,085–$4,090, where RSI shows overbought readings and MACD momentum begins to flatten.
The market remains in a bullish intraday structure, but with limited upside space unless a clean breakout occurs above $4,090. Traders should expect a short-term retracement before potential continuation toward $4,105–$4,115.
⸻
2. Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1):
Price extends its recovery above the 50EMA, closing the previous session bullish at $4,012. RSI around 56 indicates steady buying momentum. The next major resistance aligns at $4,105–$4,115, with the bullish bias valid as long as price holds above $4,047.
🔹 H1:
Clear bullish structure with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming trend continuation. The price is now testing the upper boundary of the ascending channel, coinciding with RSI ~80 and a short-term liquidity sweep at $4,085. Minor correction toward $4,065–$4,055 is likely before continuation.
🔹 15M–5M:
Microstructure shows fading momentum after a clean rally. RSI divergence is forming (lower highs on RSI vs higher highs in price). MACD histogram is flattening, suggesting a short-term pullback phase. The EMA cluster (50–100–200) below $4,070–$4,055 serves as potential dynamic support for buyers to reenter.
⸻
3. Fibonacci Analysis (Last Swing 4,047 → 4,085)
• 38.2% = $4,070
• 50.0% = $4,066
• 61.8% = $4,062
🎯 Golden Zone: $4,070 – $4,062 (Primary intraday re-entry area for bullish continuation).
⸻
4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📈 BUY SCENARIO (Primary Bias)
• Entry Zone: $4,070 – $4,062 (Golden Zone)**
• Targets: $4,085 → $4,095 → $4,115
• Stop Loss: Below $4,055
• Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or CHoCH on 5M–15M timeframe from the Golden Zone.
• Confluences: Fibonacci alignment + intraday uptrend structure + EMA support + RSI rebound from 45–50 zone.
📉 SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend / Short-term Rejection)
• Entry Zone: $4,085 – $4,090 (Top of ascending channel + overbought RSI)**
• Targets: $4,070 → $4,060 → $4,047
• Stop Loss: Above $4,096
• Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle or RSI divergence (RSI 70+ with flat MACD histogram).
• Confluences: Liquidity sweep + RSI divergence + channel resistance.
💥 BREAKOUT SCENARIOS
• Bullish Breakout: Close above $4,090 → Retest $4,085 → Targets $4,105 → $4,115 → $4,130.
• Bearish Breakout: Close below $4,055 → Retest $4,062 → Targets $4,047 → $4,030 → $4,015.
⸻
5. Fundamental Watch
• Asia Follow-through: Gold’s rally supported by DXY easing below 106.
• London Session: Light economic calendar; traders watching for risk sentiment and bond yields before the US session.
• Outlook: Sentiment remains cautiously bullish unless DXY reverses or US yields spike unexpectedly.
⸻
6. Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,085 / 4,090 / 4,105 / 4,115
Support: 4,070 / 4,062 / 4,047 / 4,030
Golden Zone: 4,070 – 4,062
Breakout Triggers: >4,090 (Bullish) | <4,055 (Bearish)
⸻
7. Analyst Summary
Gold remains in a solid intraday uptrend but is showing early signs of momentum exhaustion near $4,085–$4,090. Expect a potential retracement to the $4,070–$4,062 Golden Zone before continuation. A clean breakout above $4,090 would confirm renewed bullish momentum toward $4,115–$4,130.
⸻
8. Final Bias Summary
📊 Bias: Bullish-to-neutral above $4,055; bearish only if price breaks below $4,047.
🎯 Focus: Look for buying confirmation from the $4,070–$4,062 Golden Zone or breakout above $4,090.
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
Gold Targets 4153 After Support ReboundGold is trading near $3,982, showing bullish momentum after rebounding from the support trend line around $3,922. The price is forming higher lows, suggesting potential upward continuation. If gold sustains above the support zone, it could target the resistance level at $4,039, with a further potential move toward the $4,153 target. However, a break below the support line may weaken the bullish outlook.
The basis for going long (3 major qualitative supports)Policy environment provides a safety cushion: The general direction of the Fed's easing cycle has not changed, and market expectations for subsequent interest rate cuts remain stable. The key support level formed earlier (around 4056 US dollars) is highly effective, and the possibility of a significant short-term correction is relatively low, providing bottom protection for the long position.
Funds situation shows positive signals: The futures market forms a positive premium for the spot price, reflecting the active layout intentions of the bulls; Global mainstream gold ETFs have ended their previous reduction and show signs of capital inflow, the recognition of the current price level by institutions has increased, further strengthening the support.
Technical patterns confirm the continuation of the trend: The gold price successfully broke through the upper edge of the previous consolidation range, and the breakout was accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume, which conforms to the strong feature of "volume-price correlation", the short-term trend inertia is still ongoing, and no signal of energy decay has appeared yet.
Today's gold trading strategy
buy:4035-4045
tp:4055-4065
sl:4020
Gold: 4050 brokenGold prices are showing an upward trend today, currently hovering around 4044, with the intraday high having broken through the key resistance level of 4050. This indicates that bullish momentum has strengthened in the short term, driving prices higher.
After breaking through 4050, the short-term resistance levels above lie in the 4060-4080 range. The short-term support level below is around 4020, which is a previous dense trading zone and thus has a certain supporting effect, while the key support level is at 4000.
In the short term, gold prices are expected to continue their upward momentum, but may face some resistance around 4060. If they can effectively break through this resistance level, prices may surge toward 4080 or even higher. Conversely, if they encounter resistance and pull back around 4060, they may consolidate within the 4020-4060 range.
Trading Strategy:
Sell 4050 - 4055
SL 4060
TP 4035 - 4025 - 4015
Buy 4030 - 4035
SL 4020
TP 4050 - 4060 - 4070
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) has broken above short-term descending trendline resistance and is now hovering near $4,045–$4,050, confirming renewed bullish momentum. The breakout was supported by strong buying from the $4,011–$4,017 Support Zone, where previous consolidation occurred.
The Resistance Zone lies between $4,054–$4,061, which may act as the next upside target before a potential pullback. The current structure suggests a bullish continuation setup, favouring buying on dips toward the newly established support around $4,011–$4,017.
🎯 Trade Setup
Idea: Buy on dip after breakout, targeting higher resistance.
Entry: $4,011 – $4,017 (support retest)
Stop Loss: $4,008
Take Profit 1: $4,054
Take Profit 2: $4,061
Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.65
If gold sustains above $4,061, it could extend further toward $4,080–$4,100, marking a continuation of the bullish breakout sequence.
🌐 Macro Background
Gold prices extended gains to around $4,050 in Monday’s Asian session, supported by renewed rate-cut expectations and weakening U.S. consumer sentiment.
FXStreet’s Lallalit Srijandorn noted that “Gold edges higher amid concerns over the U.S. economy as markets increase bets on Fed rate cuts.” 【FXStreet】
Labor Market Weakness: U.S. Challenger job cuts surged to 150,000 in October, the highest for that month in over two decades. The spike signals growing softness in the job market and fuels expectations that the Fed could act sooner to support growth.
Rate-Cut Expectations: According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets now price a 66% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December. Lower yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, reinforcing demand for the metal.
Consumer Sentiment: The University of Michigan (UoM) Index fell to 50.3 in November (vs. 53.6 in October), a three-and-a-half-year low, reflecting economic pessimism.
Shutdown Resolution: Reports from Bloomberg indicate the U.S. government shutdown could soon end as Senate Democrats support a funding deal. While this slightly eases safe-haven demand, it does not offset the dovish macro bias currently favouring gold.
Overall, the weakening labour data, falling consumer confidence, and rising rate-cut bets create a constructive macro environment for gold, especially if the Fed adopts a more accommodative tone into December.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,054 – $4,061
Support: $4,008 – $4,020
Psychological Level: $4,050
📌 Trade Summary
Gold broke above short-term resistance, with momentum shifting firmly bullish toward $4,060. The current bias favours buying dips near $4,011–$4,017, targeting the upper resistance band at $4,054–$4,061. A sustained break above this zone could open the path toward $4,080–$4,100.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Long-short gameGold is currently in a critical position, with the essence being the balance between "support from easing expectations" and "crowded positions + policy divergence". There is no clear unidirectional trend in the short term. The core of trading lies in "abandoning predictions and following signals". It is recommended that investors mainly adopt "breakout confirmation trading". During range-bound fluctuations, they should trade with light positions, selling high and buying low, and resolutely avoid heavy positions to bet on the direction. Pay close attention to the signals of a breakout above $4,027 and a breakdown below $4,000. Once the direction is confirmed, follow the trend and strictly enforce stop-losses. In the short term, if it can break above $4,027 with volume support, it will open up an upward space of $15 to $25. If it breaks below $4,000, it may test the support range of $3,984 to $3,963. If it remains range-bound, it is suggested to reduce trading frequency and wait for clearer signals. As a very short-term trade, it is necessary to maintain a "quick in and quick out" rhythm, focusing on short-term signals and changes in capital flow, without getting bogged down in medium and long-term logic.
Today's gold trading strategy
buy:3995~4005
tp:4015-4030
sl:3980
This week's gold price movementFor this week's gold price movement, it is expected to continue in a range-bound consolidation pattern. In terms of operation, it is recommended to adopt a "sell high and buy low" strategy within the range, with a key focus on the core consolidation interval of 3,970-4,030.
Specifically, when the gold price pulls back to around 3,970, one can consider establishing a light long position, with a stop-loss set below 3,950 to control risks, and the target range set at 4,000-4,010. When the price rebounds to around 4,030, one can attempt to establish a light short position, with a stop-loss set above 4,050 to avoid greater losses from a breakthrough of the resistance level, and the target range set lower at 4,000-3,980.
It should be reminded to investors that current market divergences are significant, and price fluctuations may exceed expectations. In actual operations, it is necessary to strictly control positions and avoid over-trading. Meanwhile, closely monitor changes in key news such as global macroeconomic data and Federal Reserve policy trends, and adjust operating strategies in a timely manner according to actual market conditions to respond to potential risks and opportunities.
Gold: Support Near 3986, Resistance Near 4030The current market narrative is driven by three key themes:
Volatility in the U.S. Dollar and Treasury yields
U.S. government shutdown risks impacting data releases and market sentiment
Forward guidance from major central banks regarding their policy rate paths
Whether gold can achieve a sustained breakout will primarily depend on:
A persistent decline in USD and Treasury yields
Increased safe-haven demand amid equity market volatility and rising macro uncertainty
Continued net capital inflows into gold, particularly from passive and long-duration allocation funds
If these conditions do not align, gold is likely to remain range-bound, forming a time-based consolidation pattern.
If they do align, resistance near 4100 may weaken, boosting bullish conviction and paving the way for a smoother breakout.
Technically, supply remains around 4030, yet the rising trendline remains intact and the 3948–3921 key support zone continues to attract buyers. Absent a major catalyst, price action is likely to remain consolidative in the near term.
On both the 1H and 4H charts, moving averages are converging, signaling range compression and an imminent direction choice. Upcoming macro headlines will likely act as the catalyst for the next major move.
Trading Plan:
Key intraday levels: 4030 resistance / 3986 support
Trade the range until a breakout occurs
If price breaks out, short-term momentum trades may be considered — but with disciplined targets
Conservative traders may wait for a pullback entry
Medium- to long-term investors can continue accumulating on dips, waiting for the market confirmation
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (10/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)1. Market Overview
Gold opens the Asian session consolidating near $4,000–$4,003, after the US session’s liquidity sweeps on both sides of the range. Price remains trapped between $3,985 support and $4,016 resistance, showing a symmetrical compression pattern.
The market sentiment is currently neutral, awaiting a breakout from this coil — which will likely set the tone for the London continuation.
⸻
2. Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1):
Price is stabilizing above the 50EMA with RSI around 51 — neutral but slightly leaning bullish. A daily close above $4,016 would reestablish bullish continuation toward $4,036–$4,050, while a drop below $3,975 could shift momentum back to bearish.
🔹 H1:
Gold is respecting the descending trendline from $4,027, while creating a higher-low structure from $3,985. The 200EMA near $4,006–$4,010 acts as key intraday resistance, currently rejecting buyers. EMAs are converging, signaling volatility buildup before expansion.
🔹 15M–5M:
Short-term CHoCH confirmed after liquidity sweep at $3,985, but momentum faded below $4,010. RSI sits around 48–50 and MACD shows flattening histogram — both suggesting indecision ahead of the Asian liquidity phase.
⸻
3. Fibonacci Analysis (Last Swing 3,984 → 4,027)
• 38.2% = $4,011
• 50.0% = $4,006
• 61.8% = $4,001
🎯 Golden Zone: $4,011 – $4,001 (Potential buy reaction area on retest)
⸻
4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📈 BUY SCENARIO (Primary Bias)
• Entry Zone: $4,006 – $4,001 (Golden Zone)**
• Targets: $4,016 → $4,027 → $4,036
• Stop Loss: Below $3,992
• Confirmation: Bullish engulfing candle or CHoCH on 5M from Golden Zone.
• Confluence: Support trendline + 61.8% Fib + EMA cluster + RSI recovery from 40–45.
📉 SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend)
• Entry Zone: $4,010 – $4,016 (Supply + 200EMA + trendline resistance)**
• Targets: $4,000 → $3,990 → $3,975
• Stop Loss: Above $4,020
• Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle with RSI divergence (60–65 range).
• Confluence: Strong horizontal supply + descending resistance + MACD bearish cross.
💥 BREAKOUT SETUP
• Bullish Break: Close above $4,016 → Retest $4,010 → Targets $4,027 → $4,036 → $4,050.
• Bearish Break: Close below $3,985 → Retest $3,990 → Targets $3,976 → $3,960.
⸻
5. Fundamental Watch
• Asia session: Low volatility expected before London liquidity expansion.
• DXY near 106.0 — holding steady, which could limit upside momentum until London.
• No major macro data during Asia; technical levels will dominate.
⸻
6. Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 4,010 / 4,016 / 4,027 / 4,036
Support: 4,001 / 3,992 / 3,985 / 3,975
Golden Zone: 4,011 – 4,001
Breakout Triggers: >4,016 (Bullish) | <3,985 (Bearish)
⸻
7. Analyst Summary
Gold continues to accumulate liquidity within a symmetrical range, trapped between 200EMA resistance and ascending support. A breakout above $4,016 could trigger bullish continuation toward $4,036–$4,050, while a rejection here would likely send price back to $3,992–$3,975 before a new leg forms.
⸻
8. Final Bias Summary
📊 Bias: Neutral-to-bullish above $3,985; bearish only below $3,975.
🎯 Focus: Monitor reaction at $4,006–$4,010 (EMA cluster) and watch for breakout confirmation beyond $4,016.
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🥇 GOLD – ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – WEEKLY PERFORMANCE (03/11/2025 TO 07/11/2025)
🔥 Massive week for PREMIUM 3.0 — consistent GOLD setups, BTC profits, and double LIVE session wins!
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📅 MONDAY 03/11/2025
🟢 BUY +120 PIPS
🟢 BUY +30 PIPS
🔻 SELL +90 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +200 PIPS
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
💰 GOLD TOTAL: +600 PIPS
---
📅 TUESDAY 04/11/2025
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +70 PIPS
🔻 SELL +30 PIPS
🟢 BUY +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +20 PIPS
🔻 SELL +240 PIPS
🎯 LIVE TRADING SESSION
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🔻 SELL +20 PIPS
🔻 SELL +170 PIPS
💰 GOLD TOTAL: +400 PIPS
---
📅 WEDNESDAY 05/11/2025
🔻 SELL +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +60 PIPS
🔻 SELL +60 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +260 PIPS
🔻 SELL +80 PIPS
🟢 BUY +110 PIPS
💎 BTC/USD TRADE: SELL +900 PIPS
💰 TOTAL DAILY GAIN: +1,570 PIPS
---
📅 THURSDAY 06/11/2025
🟢 BUY (Swing) +610 PIPS (from 05/11)
🔻 SELL +40 PIPS
🔻 SELL LIMIT +70 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +150 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 PIPS
🟢 BUY +110 PIPS
🔻 SELL +60 PIPS
❌ BUY -20 PIPS (SL)
🟢 BUY +100 PIPS
🎯 LIVE SESSION: BUY +120 PIPS | BUY +50 PIPS
💰 GOLD TOTAL: +1,350 PIPS
---
📅 FRIDAY 07/11/2025
🔻 SELL +60 PIPS
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🟢 BUY +90 PIPS
❌ BUY -40 PIPS (SL)
🟢 BUY +120 PIPS
🎯 LIVE SESSION: BUY +100 PIPS | BUY +125 PIPS | BUY +150 PIPS
💰 GOLD TOTAL: +645 PIPS
💎 BTC BONUS TRADES (Weekend):
SAT 08/11 → SELL +400 PIPS
SUN 09/11 → BUY +1,100 PIPS
---
📊 WEEKLY SUMMARY
🥇 GOLD TOTAL GAIN: +3,315 PIPS
💎 BTC/USD TOTAL GAIN: +2,400 PIPS
🚀 OVERALL TOTAL: +5,715 PIPS
✅ 48 Signals → 46 Wins | 2 SL
📈 Winning Rate: 96%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔥 Every setup, every session — verified precision and consistency!
Join ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 and level up your trading game.
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
XAU/USD) Technical Outlook – Potential Bearish Reversal Below Gold is currently trading near $4,001, consolidating just below a key resistance zone between $4,015 – $4,025. Price action has formed a rising wedge pattern, suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
The chart indicates that sellers could regain control if the price fails to break above the resistance level. A potential fakeout or retest of the upper resistance might occur before a sharp bearish move.
If bearish pressure confirms below $3,995, the next target lies around $3,965, aligning with the marked target zone and prior support.
Key levels to watch:
Resistance: $4,015 – $4,025
Support: $3,995 / $3,965 (target zone)
Bias: Bearish below resistance; potential short setup after rejection confirmatio EURONEXT:BE8Z2025 EURONEXT:BXF1! EURONEXT:CU6X2025 EURONEXT:ES6X2025 EURONEXT:AB6X2025 EURONEXT:AB7X2025 EURONEXT:AB8Z2025 EURONEXT:AG8Z2025 EURONEXT:AV6X2025 EURONEXT:AV8Z2025 EURONEXT:BL6X2025 EURONEXT:BL6X2025
Gold stood above the 4000 level againNon-Farm Payrolls data was once again suspended on Friday, and the market traded in a range-bound manner throughout the day. It hit a high around 4027 and a low around 3975, which aligned with the range I had indicated.
Judging from the closing price, gold stood above the 4000 level again. Bulls should continue to focus on the 4040-4055 zone, as the battle for this level will remain a key focus next week. If the rebound fails to break through this range, we can still enter short positions.
Recently, I have repeatedly provided the strategy of shorting in the 4010-4020 range, and all have been verified by the market.
Let’s wait and see how the market develops next week.
Next week's gold trading strategyFirst, clearly understand the current market fundamentals: International spot gold has firmly established itself at $3,990 per ounce (China's Shanghai Gold Futures Index has also risen to 919 yuan per gram), and it has reached a peak of $4,027 per ounce recently, with an increase of over 5% compared to the beginning of the year. It is currently in a "stabilized upward trend" channel. The core logic behind this rise consists of three points, which are also the basis for going long:
Global easing policies as a stabilizer: The Federal Reserve has clearly shifted to a rate-cutting cycle, and the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan have simultaneously released liquidity, with real interest rates entering the negative range. For gold, the "opportunity cost" of holding it has significantly decreased - there is no longer the need to worry about getting higher interest rates by depositing money in banks or buying bonds. The attractiveness of gold naturally increases.
Geopolitical risks continue to intensify: Conflicts in the Middle East and the prolonged situation in Ukraine have increased global uncertainty. Whenever there is any disturbance, investors rush to buy gold for hedging, and this demand will directly push up the price, forming a positive cycle of "the more turbulent, the higher the rise".
Collective increase in holdings by institutions and central banks: Global central banks are accelerating "de-dollarization" and diversifying their foreign exchange reserves by buying gold; hedge funds, sovereign funds, and other large funds are also increasing their holdings. Only the recent CFTC data shows that the non-commercial net long position in gold has continued to increase, and the entry of large funds provides strong support for the gold price.
Next week's gold trading strategy
buy:3980-3990
tp:4010-4020
sl:3970
XAU/USD – Holds Its Range, Preparing for a Year-End Expansion🔍 Market Context
Friday’s New York session closed with a two-sided liquidity sweep, yet gold managed to hold its structural balance, maintaining the same rhythm seen over the past two weeks — sideways to mildly bearish, but firmly supported.
This behavior shows that buyers are still defending key zones, especially around 3,940$ – 3,980$, which MMFLOW highlighted multiple times last week as the decisive liquidity floor.
From a macro lens, the Fed’s cautious tone has slowed expectations for aggressive rate cuts — but the probability of another reduction before Q1 2026 remains alive.
As we move toward the final stretch of the year, thinner liquidity and seasonal safe-haven flows could help gold establish a mid-term bottom, setting the stage for the next impulsive leg.
📊 Technical Structure (H4)
The current chart presents a clear 5-wave recovery structure within a tightening range — a classic setup before expansion.
Key Technical Zones:
• 💎 Support Zone: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + strong absorption area)
• 🎯 Wave 3 Target: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (first reaction zone)
• ⚙️ Extended Target / Wave 5: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 projection)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term structure, possible re-accumulation lower.
The structure remains sideways but constructive, and a confirmed breakout of the descending trendline could act as the catalyst for a year-end bullish continuation.
🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View
Smart money continues to accumulate within equilibrium zones, with every liquidity sweep appearing more like preparation than rejection.
As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the bullish bias remains valid — with a 60%+ probability of a move toward 4,130$+ in the short to mid-term.
Historically, November–December often brings portfolio rebalancing and policy easing cycles, both of which may serve as fuel for a potential gold rally into Q1 2026.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Accumulation isn’t waiting — it’s when big money quietly builds the next wave.”
Gold: Consolidation trend remains unbrokenGold has just tested the 4020-4030 resistance zone, only to pull back under pressure and retrace. This indicates that the resistance zone remains effective today. With the non-farm payroll data not being released, gold prices are expected to continue their sideways trend.
From the 4-hour chart perspective, focus on the short-term resistance at 4020-4030. The key pivot point for bull-bear dynamics lies at 4045-4055. For support levels, watch the short-term zone at 3960-3970, with critical attention on the previous low support at 3888-3890.
Our trading strategy, which was provided this morning, has already been validated by the market. We still recommend prioritizing short positions on rebounds for now, and caution against chasing the trend.
Gold Rejection at Resistance – Bearish Channel Targeting 3930📉 Analysis:
The chart shows a clear shift from an uptrend into a bearish correctional channel:
1. Uptrend Broken
Price previously followed a clean uptrend channel, making BOS (Break of Structure) swings upward.
A ChoCH (Change of Character) occurred, confirming momentum weakening.
2. Strong Resistance Zone
Price entered the 4018–4030 resistance level, marked as a weak high.
This zone acted as a reaction area, causing multiple rejections.
3. Bearish Channel Formation
After hitting resistance, price began forming lower highs and lower lows inside a falling channel.
The rejection line confirms sellers defending the zone.
4. Expected Bearish Leg
The projected path shows consolidation inside the channel followed by a sharp downward impulsive move.
Clean liquidity below supports the bearish scenario.
5. Targets
Major target: 3930
(Highlighted as the trader's target and matches channel support + demand zone.)
📌 Summary
Gold is rejecting the 4020–4030 resistance and forming a bearish channel. A continuation downward toward 3930 remains likely unless price breaks above the resistance with strong momentum.
Gold: Trade Flexibly Within the 3963–4030 RangeDue to the U.S. government shutdown, NFP data has been delayed for two consecutive months and the CPI cycle has also experienced its first full interruption. Congress is currently negotiating, and expectations suggest the government may reopen by mid-month — a positive sign for the market.
If October and November labor data are released together by the end of the month, along with the delayed CPI update, this could significantly reshape Fed policy expectations:
Strong jobs and sticky inflation → Fed may delay rate cuts
Signs of economic slowdown → Rate-cut expectations strengthen
A concentrated release of key economic data will likely increase market volatility. Opportunities and risks will rise together, so risk management is essential.
From a technical standpoint, yesterday’s intraday spike and pullback reflected the tug-of-war between safe-haven demand and risk aversion. Selling pressure above 4006 capped upside momentum, but dip-buying interest allowed price to reclaim the 4000 level. The tug-of-war continues.
On the 4-hour chart, moving averages are starting to converge, with price holding above the MA60 but no clear directional signal yet. Key resistance remains at 4030/4050/4080-4100, while support sits at 3988-3982, with the broader support zone at 3948-3921.
Short-term structure on the 30M and 1H charts is bearish, suggesting potential further downside. Therefore, the 3988-3982 support area will be critical — holding above it keeps room for a bullish reversal.
Trading Strategy:
Medium- to long-term: accumulate long positions gradually
Short-term: trade the range — sell highs, buy dips
If price breaks key levels, consider reversal trades; in this tug-of-war environment, flexible strategies may capture better opportunities
XAUUSD: Short on rebounds ahead of the Non-Farm PayrollsIt closed around the 3977 level on Thursday, with the lowest touching around 3964.4 before finishing in a range-bound move, which also hit the 3960-3970 zone I indicated yesterday. I also kept emphasizing yesterday not to chase long positions at high levels.
Gold faces heavy resistance above. The bulls can only break through if driven by significant bullish news; otherwise, we will continue to stick to shorting on rebounds. With the Non-Farm Payrolls report due this Friday, we will maintain the approach of shorting on rebounds during the morning.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, the immediate resistance above is focused on the 4020-4025 zone, with the key bull-bear watershed at 4047-4055. For short-term support, watch the 3960-3970 area, while the key support lies at the previous low around 3888-3890.
In terms of operation, I still recommend prioritizing shorting on rebounds. For mid-range levels, we should always adhere to observing more and acting less, be cautious about chasing orders, and patiently wait for entry at key levels.
Trading Strategy:
Sell 4010 - 4020
SL 4030
TP 3980 - 3970 - 3960
Buy 3920 - 3930
SL 3910
TP 3950 - 3960 - 3970
gold await breakout before entry#XAUUSD price still bullish until the 4019.9 breakout occurs which will target 4029 for bearish reverse.
Buy stop on short, 4019.9, target 4029, stop loss 4010. Sell from 4029 target 3991-3067.
Below 4002 on 2 times breakout hold strong bearish continuation, target 3967.
If H1 on above 4035 closure after 4029 breakout price is full bullish till 4060-70






















