XAUUSD Excellent week closing As i discussed throughout my Friday's session
What was my stance & Postions:
I took buy in my early trade before NY session and target was 4236 which xauusd delivered
I have waited for Gold to deliver decent pullback from supply area which i mentioned 4245-46 and I found such on $4245-4250 Structural supply test. I have engaged big Lot set of Selling orders ($4265 Stop) and closed my orders on $4204 & 4200 in extension .
I want to take this moment to congratulate the traders who followed my calls and patiently held their orders. Great job — enjoy the profits and have a great weekend.
Xauusdforecast
GOLD Best Buy and Sell area
( OANDA:XAUUSD ) At the beginning *Inverse Head & Shoulders* pattern, alongside an **ABC corrective wave** upwards, with clear Fibonacci retracements and volume profile zones.
Let’s break down the analysis into six key points:
---
# ✅ **1) Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern**
* We have a clear **Left Shoulder**, **Head**, and **Right Shoulder** formation.
* The **neckline has been broken**, signalling a strong bullish reversal.
* Typically, the target is measured from the head to the neckline, which aligns roughly with **Target 1 at 4217** on the chart.
---
# ✅ **2) Elliott Wave Analysis**
The chart outlines an **A → B → C upward corrective wave**:
### Wave A
An initial impulsive move upward, indicating a trend change.
### Wave B
A retracement to the 0.618 – 0.705 Fibonacci levels, which is very typical for gold.
### Wave C
Expected to reach the labelled targets:
* **C ≈ A** at about 4217
* **1.272 – 1.618 of A** around 4236 to 4248
This alignment supports the target levels shown.
---
# ✅ **3) SMC Zones (Smart Money Concepts) **
We can see three key elements:
### **🔵 Demand Zone**
Around **4202 – 4195**
The price has bounced strongly from this area, indicating:
* Liquidity absorption
* Entry of large buyers
* This zone acts as a strong **order block (OB)**
### **🔴 Liquidity Pools Above**
At the target levels (4217, 4236, 4248), we see likely stop hunts. The price tends to gravitate there to trigger stops and fill orders.
---
# ✅ **4) Volume Profile (VPVR) Analysis**
The chart shows:
### ✔ Point of Control (POC) around:
**4208 – 4210**
Currently, the price is trading above the POC, suggesting that:
🔹 Buyers are in control
🔹 Any dips to this zone are likely just retests rather than trend reversals
---
# ✅ **5) Expected Scenario**
## 🔵 Main Scenario (Bullish)
As long as the price stays above **4202 – 4208**, gold is expected to target:
### 🎯 **TARGET 1 → 4217**
(The first liquidity level)
### 🎯 **TARGET 2 → 4236**
(Approx. 100% extension of wave C)
### 🎯 **TARGET 3 → 4248**
(The final target of the C wave)
---
# ✅ **6) Alternative Scenario (Bearish Failure) **
Only if the price breaks:
❌ **Below 4195**
❌ And closes below it on the 15-minute chart
In that case, we might see a decline towards:
**4164 – 4151** (the 1.618 and 2.00 Fibonacci extensions downward)
---
# 📌 **Conclusion**
Overall, the analysis suggests:
### ✔ Short-term trend: **Bullish**
### ✔ Buy zone: **4195 – 4205**
### ✔ Stop loss: **Below 4192**
### ✔ Targets: 4217, 4236, 4248
The price action, wave structure, and volume profile all support this bullish scenario.
FX:XAUUSD
---
Gold Big Sell-Off Ahead? Gold Showing Clear Bearish SignalsAs expected, Gold delivered a classic early-month liquidity grab, creating a false move before reversing. Price tapped the 4H bearish Order Block and reacted with strong downside aggression, confirming bearish intent.
At this stage, I would like to see a retracement into the 1H bearish OB at the 4254–4224 zone, which sits firmly in premium, along with a fill of the 1H FVG at 4235–4220. Once these areas are mitigated, the path toward the 4100–3900 region opens up.
My first partials/first target would be taken around the 4100 level.
XAUUSD Buy Setup – Breakout Zone & Targets |12AM OutlookGold (XAUUSD) is holding above the invalidation zone and showing signs of recovery after a sharp dip. Price is currently near 4,198, with an entry zone around 4,210. If bullish momentum continues, the upside targets are:
Target 1: 4,220
Target 2: 4,230
This analysis is based on breakout structure and trend alignment. Risk is defined with invalidation below 4,194. Always confirm with your own analysis before executing trades.
DISCLAIMER : THIS IS JUST FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE I AM NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR
Gold (XAUUSD) Poised for a $100 Upside: Fibonacci Buy Zone in FoGold traders are eyeing a decisive move in XAUUSD, with technical setups pointing toward a potential $100 upside by the end of next week. Anchored in Fibonacci analysis, the current structure offers a compelling opportunity for disciplined buyers.
📊 The Setup
Buy Zone: 4184 – 4194
Stop Loss: $10 below entry
Target: $100 upside
This zone aligns perfectly with Fibonacci retracement levels, a tool that has consistently delivered reliable signals in volatile markets. The confluence of price action and Fibonacci geometry suggests that gold is preparing for a bullish breakout.
🔑 Why This Zone Matters
Fibonacci Precision: The 4184 – 4194 range is not arbitrary; it reflects a mathematically derived support area where buyers historically regain control.
Risk Management: A tight $10 stop loss ensures minimal downside exposure while keeping traders positioned for the larger move.
Reward Potential: With a $100 target, the risk‑reward ratio is highly favorable, offering 10:1 potential returns.
📈 Market Context
Gold has remained resilient amid global uncertainty, with investors continuing to treat it as a safe‑haven asset. Technical traders are now watching closely as price consolidates near key levels. Should momentum align with Fibonacci projections, the upside could materialize swiftly.
🧭 Trading Psychology
Confidence in a setup is critical, but discipline is what turns analysis into profit. Traders following this plan must respect the stop loss and avoid emotional decisions. The Fibonacci framework has proven robust, but execution remains the trader’s responsibility.
Conclusion
The 4184 – 4194 Fibonacci buy zone offers a textbook opportunity for gold bulls. With a clearly defined stop and a bold upside target, this setup exemplifies the balance between risk control and profit potential. If gold respects the Fibonacci roadmap, next week could deliver a powerful rally.
Gold Uptrend Exhaustion & Reaction at Key Demand ZoneXAUUSD ANALYSIS)
2. Key Technical Structures
🔵 Ascending Channel
Clean respect of:
Lower trendline (support)
Midline (mean reversion area)
Upper trendline (profit-taking zone)
The final push overshot the channel → momentum exhaustion signal.
✅ Strong trend, but weak continuation from the highs.
🟡 Yellow Zone (Demand / Support)
This zone aligns with:
Prior higher lows
Channel lower boundary
Liquidity resting below equal lows
The sharp wick into this zone suggests sell-side liquidity grab.
✅ This is the first logical area for buyers to step back in.
3. The Dump & Reaction
The aggressive drop shows initiative selling (institutions).
Price did not consolidate before dropping → not healthy for bulls short-term.
Small bounce after the sweep = reaction, not confirmation.
⚠️ Important:
A reaction ≠ reversal. Confirmation is required.
4. The Drawn Projection (Blue Wiggle)
Your projected idea is logical:
Sweep liquidity
Strong rejection
Move back toward channel / target
However…
What must happen first:
✅ Strong bullish candle from demand
✅ Break above the last lower high (~4,205–4,210)
✅ Hold above the dotted equilibrium line
Without these → it’s only a hope trade.
5. Target & Risk Zone (Green / Red Box)
🟢 Target Area
Near previous high / premium zone
Logical profit target IF structure flips bullish again
🔴 Risk Area
Below 4,180–4,170
If price accepts here → bullish structure is broken
✅ Risk-to-reward looks good
❌ Probability depends entirely on confirmation
6. High-Probability Scenarios
✅ Scenario A: Bullish Continuation (Best Case)
Strong rejection from yellow zone
Break + close above 4,210
Retest holds → continuation to target
This is the trade you wait for.
❌ Scenario B: Bearish Continuation
Weak bounce
Lower high formed
Breakdown below yellow zone
→ Opens path toward 4,160 and below
7. Final Professional Take
Trend: Bullish → Under pressure
Momentum: Shifted bearish short-term
Zone quality: Yellow zone is valid
Entry quality: Only after confirmation
My honest advice:
> Do not trade the bounce blindly.
Let the market prove buyers are back
Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout Setup: Demand Zone Retest and Upside TarOverall Structure
The chart shows Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe, and it highlights:
A descending channel (blue parallel trendlines).
A support zone (yellow box).
A stop-loss zone (red area).
A long (buy) projection toward a high target point around 4,265.
1. Descending Channel
The price has been moving inside a clearly defined downward-sloping channel.
Currently, the price is:
Testing the upper boundary of the channel.
Showing signs of attempting a breakout.
This suggests momentum may be shifting.
2. Strong Support Zone (Yellow Box)
The highlighted yellow zone around 4177 – 4160 acts as:
A demand zone where buyers previously stepped in.
The chart suggests a potential retest of this area before a bullish push.
The projected price action line (blue sketch) shows:
Dip → retest support → breakout → rally.
3. Stop-Loss Zone (Red Area)
Under the yellow support sits a stop-loss / invalidation zone around:
4160.107 (marked explicitly)
This implies that if price drops below this level, the bullish scenario becomes invalid.
4. Bullish Target
The projected target is drawn high above the current price:
4265.369 – 4265.645
This is a large upward move, suggesting:
A breakout from the channel
A continuation to a new high
The vertical grey rectangle indicates the expected profit zone of the trade.
5. Trade Logic Implied by the Chart
Bullish thesis:
Step 1: Price dips back into 4177 → 4160 zone
Step 2: Buyers defend the zone
Step 3: Breakout above descending channel
Step 4: Rally toward 4265 target
This is a classic pullback-to-support before breakout structure.
Risk:
Break below 4160 invalidates the buy idea.
6. What This Chart Suggests
In summary:
Bullish signals:
A descending channel that often breaks upward after weakening momentum.
Strong demand zone highlighted.
Clear projection showing expected reversal and breakout.
Bearish risk:
If support fails, downside continuation is likely
XAUUSD Bullish Reversal Setup from Extreme POI – SSS Liquidity SChart Analysis
1. Market Context
The chart shows XAUUSD after a decline, now tapping into an EXTREME POI (Point of Interest).
Price reached a previous demand zone where strong reactions occurred before.
2. Liquidity Structure
Multiple areas are labeled “SSS” (Sell-Side Liquidity / Sell-Side Sweep).
Price appears to have:
Swept liquidity beneath local lows (SSS).
Tapped the extreme POI.
Shown an immediate rejection wick, indicating buyers stepping in.
This suggests the market may be exhausting sellers and preparing for a bullish leg.
3. Execution Zone
The grey region represents the entry zone (likely a demand imbalance / mitigation area).
The large blue box above marks the risk-to-reward projection for a long position.
4. Targets
You’ve placed two clear targets:
Target 1
A mid-range liquidity level at approximately 4217.279.
Represents a logical first take-profit based on prior structural inefficiencies.
Target 2
The upper area (labeled “TARGET”), aligning with:
Prior swing highs
A supply zone
A premium pricing zone (after retracement)
This would be the full TP for the bullish move.
5. Bias Summary
Bias: Bullish
Reason: Liquidity sweep + POI tap + structure showing potential for upside displacement.
The setup aligns with Smart Money Concepts:
Sweep → Mitigation → Displacement → Targeting Imbalances & Liquidity Pools
[WEEKLY] ANFIBO | Gold XAUUSD - Purple or Gray? [11.24 - 11.28]Hi guys, Anfibo’s here!
XAUUSD Weekly Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
OANDA:XAUUSD is entering a critical phase as price continues to consolidate within a tightening structure, signaling that a major directional move is likely to occur next week. After a period of strong volatility, the market is now compressing energy between the upper and lower boundaries of the current range. This setup is textbook for a break–retest–continuation model, and that’s exactly why my strategy for the upcoming week revolves around two clear scenarios: the “purple arrow” plan and the “grey arrow” plan.
The market will reveal its next major direction once either the upper boundary is broken or the lower boundary gives way. Until that happens, there is no reason to pre-commit to a biased direction — we trade what price confirms, not what we predict.
Trading Plan for Next Week:
We will react based on breakout confirmation:
>>> Scenario #1: Break ABOVE the range – Follow the “Purple Arrow” plan (BUY)
If gold pushes through the upper boundary with strength and confirms a retest, we will switch to a bullish continuation plan.
Key Resistance Levels to Watch: 4147, 4243, 4340, 4356, 4377.
A clean break above structure opens the path back into macro bullish territory, where gold may attempt to revisit or even surpass recent highs.
>>> Scenario 2: Break BELOW the range – Follow the “Grey Arrow” plan (SELL)
Once price breaks and retests the lower boundary, we will look for sell setups targeting the ladder of support levels outlined below.
Key Support Levels to Watch: 4000, 3917, 3890, 3862, 3820, 3793, 3760
A bearish breakout from the range could trigger a multi-wave continuation pattern, giving us multiple opportunities to scale in according to structure.
Risk Management:
Trade only after confirmed breakouts — avoid guessing tops and bottoms.
Keep tight SLs on retests to avoid liquidity hunts common during range boundaries.
Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 across all setups.
Prioritize clean structure; avoid trading inside the choppy middle zone of the range.
Reassess bias immediately if the breakout fails or re-enters the range.
Conclusion:
Next week’s market will be all about patience and reaction, not prediction. With gold coiling tightly, a breakout is imminent, and both the “purple arrow” (bullish) and “grey arrow” (bearish) plans give us a clear and disciplined roadmap. Whether price breaks upward or downward, we already know exactly where our key levels are and how we will execute. Stick to structure, wait for confirmation, and let the market choose the direction for us.
HAVE A POWERFUL NEW WEEK, GUYS!
GOLD SETUP: The Liquidity Grab That Could Change Your Month!There is intresting situation on Gold right now:
1) There is SMT with futures(on futures price went higher than previous high from November 13th
2) Have a lot of liqudiity down below which usually means that this liqudiity will be taken
3) strong uptrend on LTF
taking in consideration these factors and that it will be beginign of the month on Monday i will be looking for manipulation at market opening. If i see trend shift on LTF i will be looking for short position till 4110 area (4h OB) , if this wont happen i simply gonna skiip trading GOLD this week.
When price action is not clean and when its hard to see clear picture better to avoid such trade and just watch.
Like and follow if you like my analysis
Key-Resistance Liquidity Grab → FVG ShortIdea:
Price has reached a key resistance zone — a common place where smart money or institutions may hunt liquidity (stop-losses above resistance before reversing).
There is an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) / imbalance zone drawn below (green “POI / FVG” zone). In price-action trading, these FVGs often act like magnets: after a rapid move, price tends to retrace and “fill” the gap.
The plan: wait for a rejection at resistance (signaling liquidity grab is done), then short — target the FVG/POI zone where the market may come back to fill imbalance.
🎯 Trade Plan (Entry / Exit / Risk-Reward)
Parameter Plan
Entry After a bearish rejection (e.g. long upper-wick candle) near the resistance zone.
Stop-Loss Slightly above the resistance / recent swing high (to avoid being stopped by a false breakout).
Take-Profit (TP) Around / within the FVG / POI zone (green zone on chart) — where imbalance may be filled.
Risk–Reward Aim for at least 1 : 2 — ideally more, depending on how far the FVG is below resistance.
⚠️ What Makes This Setup Valid (and What to Watch)
FVGs mark market inefficiencies / liquidity gaps created by rapid moves, which often get revisited.
A reversal or rejection at a well-defined resistance zone gives signal that the liquidity hunt may be done and a move downward may begin.
But — if price breaks cleanly and strongly above the resistance (with momentum), the short trade becomes invalid.
Also, FVGs don’t always get filled. Entry should ideally wait for a clear rejection or confirmation, not just assume a fill.
gold on short buy retest#XAUUSD we await price to breakout from 4213 to buy which range from 4211 is now invalid.
Buy stop 4213 2 Times breakout possible or market entry, target 4230-35, SL 4205.
Below the 4205 will form range which will trigger bearish formation, but below 4195 holds the strong bearish movement.
XAUUSD Pullback Zone Buy Setup – Demand Re-Entry Toward Higher TMarket Structure & Price Action Analysis
Trend Context:
Price recently pushed into a higher-timeframe supply zone (the blue area) and rejected strongly, creating a short-term downtrend.
Pullback Behavior:
Price is currently retracing downward, breaking minor support levels and forming lower lows, but the bearish momentum appears to be slowing.
Demand Zone (Entry Area):
Your marked Entry zone (around 4177–4180) aligns with:
Previous consolidation
A prior breakout origin
A sweep of liquidity (the pin-bar wick marked with the red circle)
This makes it a high-probability demand area for a bullish reaction.
📌 Trade Idea Breakdown
Entry
Around 4177–4180 where price may retest the demand zone.
Confirmation
Look for:
Bullish engulfing
Strong rejection wick
Break of short-term structure (e.g., break above 4198)
Target
Re-test of the upper supply zone (around 4208–4215).
This aligns well with your green projection arrow.
🎯 Bias
Bullish from demand → Targeting supply, as long as price holds above 4177 and shows bullish confirmation.
If price breaks below this zone with momentum, bullish setup becomes invalid.
gold still on sell reverse#XAUUSD now we await price to breakout between the rectangle on 2 times breakout to sell. Price need to retest back below 4192 for buy reverse.
Sell limit 4226-4229 2 times breakout, target 4192, SL 4240.
Above 4244 still holds sell decline, below 4192 will start new formation on gold buy.
XAUUSD Analysis - Trendline Rejection & Potential Bounce Setup📊 XAUUSD 30-Minute Technical Analysis – Trendline Pressure & Key Demand Zone
This 30-minute XAUUSD chart shows gold currently trading under a clear descending trendline, indicating short-term bearish pressure. Price has rejected the trendline multiple times, confirming sellers are still active in the market.
🔻 Current Market Structure
Gold is forming lower highs and lower lows, respecting the downtrend structure. Recent candles show rejection from the trendline once again, suggesting a potential continuation toward the lower support zone.
🟦 Mini Reversal Zone (MRZ)
A key short-term demand area exists between 4,190 – 4,185 (marked in blue).
This zone has previously acted as a minor support, and the price may attempt a temporary bounce from here.
🟩 Major Demand Zone / Volume Burst Area
The stronger reversal area sits below the MRZ, highlighted in green.
This is where the chart indicates:
High buying volume previously entered the market
Bullish reactions were seen earlier
The next impulsive leg may start once price enters this volume burst zone
This zone will be crucial for spotting bullish reversal patterns, such as:
Bullish engulfing
Pin bar / hammer
Break and retest setups
🔍 What We Need
Inside the marked demand zones, we need a positive bullish pattern to confirm buyer strength. Entering without confirmation may be risky due to ongoing trendline resistance.
📉 Expected Price Path
The projected price movement shows:
A drop from current levels toward the MRZ
A potential short pullback
Final sweep into the Volume Burst Zone
A possible bullish reversal from that deeper area
If a strong bullish pattern forms in the green zone, buyers may push back toward the trendline and possibly attempt a breakout.
⚠️ Important Notes
Trendline remains the immediate barrier for buyers
Bearish continuation is possible until the deeper support zone is tested
Only bullish confirmation patterns can validate a reversal
✅ Short Summary (For Minds / Social Posting)
Gold is still under bearish pressure on the 30M chart, moving inside a descending trendline. Price is expected to test the Mini Reversal Zone and possibly drop deeper into the Volume Burst Demand Zone. A bullish reversal is only valid if a strong positive pattern forms in these areas.






















