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Xauusdforecast

Gold 15M Ascending Channel Breakout Setuparket Structure Strong impulsive move up from the bottom of the channel. Now consolidating near the mid–upper channel area. Higher lows are intact → short-term bullish structure still valid. 🟢 Bullish Scenario Price is holding above the 4,860–4,862 support zone, which aligns with: Channel midline Recent higher low Intraday demand area As long as price stays above this zone, momentum favors continuation toward: 👉 4,920 – 4,922 target zone That’s your next liquidity pool / resistance area. If buyers step in strongly, we could even see a push toward the channel high. 🔴 Bearish Risk If price breaks and closes below 4,860, structure weakens. That would invalidate the higher-low setup. Could trigger a deeper pullback toward the lower channel boundary. ⚠️ Important Detail There’s a visible rejection area (your circled zone) — sellers reacted there before. If price struggles again under 4,890–4,900, expect short-term volatility before continuation. 💡 Overall Bias Short-term bias: Bullish continuation above 4,860 Invalidation: Clean breakdown below support Target: 4,920+
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Market_Mind
Support Zone Reaction with Upside Liquidity TargetMarket Read (from your chart) Price swept sell-side liquidity and reacted strongly from the support zone Clear BOS to the downside, then bullish reaction → looks like short-term bullish retracement / reversal You’ve marked: Support zone: ~4,800 – 4,826 Target / liquidity: ~4,940 – 4,943 This favors a scalp / intraday long with tight risk, not a swing. 🎯 Trade Setup (Small SL) ✅ Entry (Best & Safer) Buy on pullback into demand Entry: 4,826 – 4,830 Confluence area: prior reaction + support zone top Wait for bullish candle close / rejection wick on lower TF (1–5m) ❌ Stop Loss (Tight) SL: 4,800 Risk: ~26–30 points If price closes cleanly below 4,800, the setup is invalid This is a true small SL — no room for chop. 🎯 Take Profit Levels TP1 (safe): 4,858 (range high / first liquidity) TP2: 4,900 TP3 / Final: 4,940 – 4,943 (your marked target liquidity) 👉 After TP1, move SL to BE to protect capital. ⚠️ Aggressive Entry (Only if experienced) Entry: 4,805 – 4,810 SL: 4,785 Higher R:R, but lower win rate Invalidation ❌ No longs if: Strong bearish close below 4,800 No bullish reaction inside the support zone Summary Bias: Intraday bullish retracement Entry: 4,826–4,830 SL: 4,800 Target: 4,858 → 4,900 → 4,940
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Moriss365
1
Pero – Daily Trading Plan | XAUUSD (06/02/2026)1️⃣ Market Context (Macro Narrative) Gold remains in a corrective phase after a strong impulsive sell-off. Price is currently stabilizing inside a broader ascending structure, respecting a rising trendline from the recent swing low. However, upside momentum is still weak and corrective, meaning rallies are likely to be sold until a clear breakout occurs. 👉 Primary bias: Buy pullback at strong support (trend-following) Sell is allowed only as short-term scalp near resistance 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown (Multi-Timeframe Logic) Structure Market completed a sharp downside leg → now forming range-to-corrective price action Price is oscillating between Support Zone (4,579 – 4,682) and Mid-Range Resistance (4,963) Trendlines Primary ascending trendline (yellow dashed): long-term bullish structure Upper channel / projection (white dashed): defines bullish expansion if breakout happens Momentum (RSI) RSI around mid-level (~45) → neutral to slightly bearish Confirms range trading, not impulsive trend yet 3️⃣ Key Levels (Must Respect) 🟢 Support Zones 4,579 – 4,682 → Major BUY reaction zone (trendline + demand) 4,410 → Last defensive support (structure invalidation below) 🔴 Resistance Zones 4,963 → First sell reaction / rejection zone 5,157 → Mid-range resistance 5,380 – 5,423 → Strong resistance zone 5,400 → Major supply / structural ceiling 4️⃣ Trading Bias (Pero Rules) Main direction: BUY (trend-following) Sell: Scalping only, counter-trend, quick in & out No chasing price Wait for reaction on M5–M15 Strict SL – never widen 5️⃣ Execution Plan (Pero Style) BUY GOLD 4682 - 4680 ↠  Stop Loss 4657 → Take Profit 1 : 50 ~ 100 pips → Take Profit 2 : 200 pips → Take Profit 3 : 500Pips - Open SELL GOLD 5156 - 5158 ↠  Stop Loss 5161 → Take Profit 1 : 50 ~ 100 pips → Take Profit 2 : 200 pips → Take Profit 3 : 500Pips - Open 6️⃣ Invalidation Strong H2 close below 4,579 → bullish structure weakens Break & acceptance above 5,157 → bullish continuation toward 5,380 – 5,400 7️⃣Pero Mindset ⚡️ Psychology, discipline, and capital management are the three pillars that turn analysis into consistent profitability. ⚡️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD (XAUUSD) 1H — Distribution, Not Reversal | Bearish Continua This analysis is built on structure, liquidity, and market behavior — not opinions. After a strong bearish displacement, Gold is showing signs of distribution beneath a descending trendline. The recent upside movement appears corrective rather than a true bullish shift, with price forming a lower high under a key SBR zone. 🔍 Market Structure: • Strong impulsive selloff → bearish control remains intact • Rejection from SBR resistance near 5100 • Descending trendline respected • Current reaction around Support1 suggests a pause, not accumulation 📉 Execution Logic: Primary Sell Bias remains valid while price trades below trendline resistance. The current structure reflects continuation behavior — not a “buy the dip” environment. 🎯 Liquidity Targets: • TP1: 4797 — Near-term support liquidity • TP2: 4546 — Major liquidity pool / higher timeframe support Acceptance below Support1 increases probability of continuation toward lower targets. 🛑 Invalidation: If price reclaims and holds above the trendline + SBR zone, bearish bias becomes invalid. No trade is also a position. This is not about predicting tops or bottoms. It’s about reading structure, waiting for confirmation, and executing with discipline. If this breakdown aligns with your view, share your perspective below — always open to strong, logical discussion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SarahXAUStructure
7
XAUUSD/GOLD Unemployment Claims &JOLTS Job Openings 05.02.2026XAUUSD (Gold) Trade Setup – News-Based Volatility Plan “Let’s analyze the XAUUSD price action based on Unemployment Claims and JOLTS Job Openings data. Gold is currently trading inside a high-impact news zone, and the market is clearly respecting key support and resistance levels. Bullish Scenario – Buy Setup If the news comes negative for the US dollar, gold is expected to move bullish. Watch the Resistance R1 zone around 5100 Entry: Buy only after a clear breakout and retest above this level Once price holds above resistance, we expect momentum continuation Targets: First move towards minor resistance Final target near Resistance R2 / 5600 zone Stop Loss: Below the marked retest zone Risk is clearly defined and controlled Bearish Scenario – Sell Setup If the news turns positive for the US dollar, gold can resume selling pressure. Watch the Support S1 zone around 4566 Entry: Sell after breakdown and retest of support Confirmation is required—no emotional entries Targets: Minor support first Final target near Support S2 around 4277 Stop Loss: Above the breakdown retest zone
OANDA:XAUUSD
by kripsonfx97
Gold (XAUUSD) 15M | Sell Rally Setup from Channel ResistancePrice is moving inside a descending channel → clear bearish trend. Overall structure shows lower highs & lower lows, so sellers are still in control. 📐 Key Technicals from the chart Channel resistance rejected price multiple times. The recent pullback failed near the midline / dynamic resistance of the channel. Strong bearish impulse after rejection → confirms sell-on-rally behavior. 🎯 Trade Idea (as marked) Sell entry: around 4900 – 4905 Stop loss: ≈ 4901 – 4910 (above recent structure & channel) Targets: TP1: 4860 TP2: 4823 (previous low / demand zone) 🧠 Confluence (why this works) Descending channel resistance Break & retest failure Bearish continuation momentum RR looks solid (~1:2+) ⚠️ Invalidation A 15M close above channel resistance + holding above 4910 would weaken the bearish bias. 📌 Bias Summary Intraday Bias: Bearish 🔴 Prefer sell rallies until channel breaks decisively.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Market_Mind
XAUUSD/GOLD 30MIN BUY PROJECTION XAUUSD / GOLD – 30 MIN BUY SETUP (05-02-2026) “This is the XAUUSD 30-minute buy projection. Gold broke a short-term support and then retested the same zone, confirming it as a strong demand area. Price is also respecting the 1-hour uptrend line, which indicates the overall trend remains bullish. 📍 Entry: Buy near 4919, after confirmation of support hold. 🛑 Stop Loss: Placed below the structure at 4850. 🎯 Targets: TP1: 5025 – First resistance TP2: 5100 – Second resistance TP3: 5165 – 1.618 Fibonacci extension, major liquidity zone 📊 Trade Logic: Support break and retest combined with higher-timeframe trend alignment suggests bullish continuation. ⚠️ Risk Management: Risk is strictly limited. Maximum 1% risk per trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
1
Pero – Daily Trading Plan (XAUUSD) | 05/02/2025Pero – Daily Trading Plan (XAUUSD) | 05/02/2025 1️⃣ Market Context (H2 Structure) On the H2 timeframe, the market has: ✅ Completed Wave 1 following a strong rebound from the recent low 📍 Price is now near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (~4,795) of Wave 1 → This is a textbook area for Wave 2 completion ➡️ This supports the view that the current pullback is a healthy correction, not a trend reversal. Primary narrative for today: Wave 2 completion → look for BUY opportunities to hold into Wave 3, while SELL trades are limited to scalping only. 2️⃣ Elliott Wave Mapping (H2) Wave 1: Clearly formed from the 4,580 area up to ~5,090 Wave 2: Corrective move into the 0.5 – 0.618 Fibonacci zone Structure aligns with a typical abc correction Wave 3 (Expectation): As long as the 0.5–0.618 zone holds, the probability of an impulsive Wave 3 is high Wave 3 is usually fast and strong, ideal for BUY hold setups 3️⃣ Key Levels (Execution-Focused) 🟢 BUY HOLD ZONE (Priority) 4,795 – 4,725 Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618 Confluence with demand and structural support Ideal zone for Wave 2 completion 🔴 SELL SCALP ZONES (Secondary) 5,157 – intraday supply 5,380 – 5,400 – higher-timeframe resistance 4️⃣ Trading Bias ✅ BUY – Primary Focus Mindset: BUY Wave 3 → hold No chasing price Entries only after: Clear reaction at Fibonacci support Confirmation on M5–M15 ⚠️ SELL – Counter-Trend Scalping Only SELL only at resistance No trend reversal expectation No holding sell positions 5️⃣ Trading Plan – Pero Execution BUY GOLD 4579 - 4581 ↠  Stop Loss 4571 → Take Profit 1 : 100 pips → Take Profit 2 : 200 pips → Take Profit 3 : 500Pips - Open SELL GOLD 5157 - 5159 ↠  Stop Loss 5167 → Take Profit 1 : 100 pips → Take Profit 2 : 200 pips → Take Profit 3 : 500Pips - Open 6️⃣ Invalidation Rules ❌ H2 close below 4,580 → Wave 2 fails → Cancel all BUY-hold bias ❌ Mid-range consolidation → stay flat 🧠 Pero Key Note ⚡️ Psychology, discipline, and capital management are the three pillars that turn analysis into consistent profitability. ⚡️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Pero – XAUUSD Trading Plan | 04 Feb 2026Pero – XAUUSD Trading Plan | 04 Feb 2026 1️⃣ Market Context Gold volatility remains extremely high → not suitable for chasing trends Current structure suggests the market is trading within Wave 4 corrective phase Preferred approach for the day: range-based trading Sell rallies at premium zones, buys are short-term scalps only 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown Price is in a corrective pullback after a strong impulsive decline Elliott Wave perspective: Current move = Wave 4 correction Fibonacci retracement levels: 5133 – 5138 → shallow retracement zone 5252 – 5257 → 61.8% retracement (extreme resistance) RSI is recovering from oversold → room for one more push higher before rejection 3️⃣ Key Levels Resistance Zones (Sell Focus): 5133 – 5138 5252 – 5257 Liquidity Area: 511x zone – thin liquidity, possible stop-hunt before continuation or rejection Support Zones: 4900 4887 (key breakdown level) 4642 4️⃣ Trading Bias Primary Bias: Sell rallies during Wave 4 correction Secondary Bias: Intraday buy scalps only before price reaches 5135 Alternative Scenario: If price breaks and closes below 4887, expect momentum continuation to the downside 5️⃣ Execution Plan (Pero Style) BUY GOLD 4890 - 4888 ↠  Stop Loss 4885 → Take Profit 1 : 50 ~ 100 pips → Take Profit 2 : 200 pips → Take Profit 3 : 500Pips - Open SELL GOLD 5274 - 5276 ↠  Stop Loss 5269 → Take Profit 1 : 50 ~ 100 pips → Take Profit 2 : 200 pips → Take Profit 3 : 500Pips - Open 6️⃣ Final Note ⚡️ Psychology, discipline, and capital management are the three pillars that turn analysis into consistent profitability. ⚡️
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
XAU/USD – Bullish Continuation Above Key POI, Targeting Range ?🔍 Technical Analysis (45M) 🟢 Market Structure After a strong bearish impulse, Gold formed a solid base and shifted structure to bullish. A sequence of higher highs & higher lows is now respected along the upward trendline ✔️ Multiple pivot points confirm buyers are defending higher price levels. 📦 POI & Key Zones Extreme POI Point (Demand Zone): Major accumulation area that triggered the reversal 🟩 High POI Point (Supply → Mitigation Zone): Price broke above and is now holding as support — bullish sign. As long as price remains above this High POI zone, continuation is favored. 📈 Breakout & Price Action Earlier bearish breakouts to the downside failed, followed by strong bullish displacement. Current structure shows bullish consolidation above the High POI, suggesting continuation rather than reversal. Pullbacks into the High POI / trendline area are viewed as buy-the-dip opportunities. 🎯 Targets 🎯 Primary Target: 5,120 – 5,150 (Range High / Liquidity Grab Zone) 🎯 Extended Target (if momentum accelerates): 5,180 – 5,220 🛑 Invalidation Level: Sustained close below 4,950 would weaken the bullish continuation scenario. ✅ Conclusion Gold remains structurally bullish, supported by strong demand and trendline respect. Holding above the High POI keeps the path open toward the range high target. Expect shallow pullbacks before continuation 📊✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
3
Gold (XAUUSD) Holding Structure | Buy the Dip Opportunity📈 Market Structure Price is respecting a bullish ascending channel → higher highs & higher lows intact. Recent move shows healthy consolidation near the channel mid–upper range, not weakness. Buyers are still in control unless the channel breaks decisively. 🔑 Key Levels Support zone: 5,052 – 5,015 → This is the demand + pullback area. As long as price holds here, bullish bias stays valid. Immediate resistance: 5,080 – 5,100 Target zone: 5,180 – 5,200 (upper channel / liquidity area) 🎯 Trade Idea (Bullish Continuation) Buy on pullback into the highlighted support box Invalidation: Clean break & close below 5,015 TP: Previous highs → channel top → ~5,198 (your marked target) 🧠 Price Action Expectation Small dip / liquidity grab into support Strong bullish reaction Continuation move toward the upper channel resistance ⚠️ Risk Note If price accepts below the channel, expect deeper correction toward lower trendline. No chasing longs at resistance — wait for pullback confirmation. Bias: ✅ Bullish Setup Quality: ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (very clean structure)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Market_Mind
2
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation | Buy on Dip Setup (15M)Market Structure: Gold is moving in a bullish ascending channel, making higher highs and higher lows. Overall intraday bias remains bullish as long as price holds above channel support. Key Pattern: Price respected the rising channel after a previous harmonic/structure completion on the left. The recent consolidation near the upper half of the channel suggests bullish continuation rather than reversal. Support Zone: 4,830 – 4,860 This area aligns with channel support and previous demand. Holding above this zone keeps buyers in control. Entry Idea (Buy on Dip): Entry: ~4,829 Wait for bullish confirmation (strong bullish candle / rejection wick) from the support zone. Stop Loss: Below 4,790 A break below channel support would invalidate the setup. Targets: TP1: ~4,930 (near-term resistance) TP2: ~5,087 (channel upper boundary / projected move) Risk Sentiment: Favorable risk–reward, trend-aligned trade. Avoid buys if price breaks and closes below the channel. Bias: ✅ Bullish continuation while above support Invalidation: ❌ Sustained break below the rising channel
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Market_Mind
XAUUSD (Gold) – 15M OutlookGold is continuing its recovery after a clear bearish phase, with price printing a CHoCH and shifting short-term structure to the upside. The current move remains constructive while trading inside the broader discount zone. That said, price is now facing strong resistance around 4995, where previous structure, liquidity, and an unmitigated FVG converge. This area is acting as a decision point rather than a breakout zone. A pullback is likely, with price potentially revisiting the POI between 4840 – 4790, which aligns with demand, FVG support, and prior structure. A bullish reaction from this zone would offer a healthier continuation setup. Key Levels: Resistance: 4995 Support / POI: 4840 – 4790 Bias: Short-term bullish, but expecting a corrective pullback before continuation. ⚠️ Waiting for confirmation. Not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader