Xauusdforecast
Bullish Continuation After BOS – Liquidity Sweep Into Support”Market Structure (HTF → LTF)
Overall bias: Bullish, but currently in a pullback / consolidation phase.
You can see a BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside earlier, confirming bullish intent.
After the impulsive move up, price is now correcting and ranging, not reversing yet.
2. Key Zones & Levels
🔵 Support Zone (Most Important)
Support range:
Upper: 4,972.93
Lower: 4,947.36
This is a demand / mitigation zone:
Previous structure support
Reaction zone after impulsive move
As long as price holds above this zone, bullish continuation remains valid.
👉 Loss of this zone = bullish idea weakens significantly.
🔴 Current Price Area (~5,014)
Price is sitting between support and resistance, showing:
Indecision
Liquidity grabs (wicking both sides)
The small zig-zag drawn suggests potential stop-hunt before expansion.
🟢 Resistance / Liquidity Above
Key resistance: ~5,046 – 5,050
This is where:
Prior highs formed
Sell-side liquidity was previously active
A clean break and close above this area is a strong continuation signal.
3. Target Area
Primary target: 5,060 – 5,065
Marked clearly as TARGET POINT
This aligns with:
Equal highs / liquidity pool
Premium area of the range
4. Fibonacci Confluence
The pullback respected:
0.5 – 0.618 retracement zone
This is classic bullish continuation behavior, not distribution.
5. Scenarios to Watch
✅ Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability if Support Holds)
Price dips into 4,972 – 4,947
Shows rejection / displacement up
Breaks 5,046
Expands toward 5,060 – 5,065
Gold Buyers Defending 4,990 – Upside Expansion AheadWe had a strong impulsive move up from the February low → clear bullish momentum.
Price created a higher low and is now pushing toward previous resistance.
The current structure looks like a bullish continuation within an ascending channel.
🟢 Support Zone
Key support: 4,988 – 4,940
This zone aligns with:
Previous resistance turned support
Structure retest area
Bullish demand block
As long as price holds above this zone, buyers remain in control.
🎯 Targets
First target: 5,116 – 5,120 (recent liquidity / minor resistance)
Second target: 5,200 – 5,204 (major resistance & psychological level)
A clean breakout above 5,120 with strong volume could accelerate price toward 5,200+.
🛑 Invalidation
Below 4,907, bullish structure weakens.
A strong close below support would shift bias back to neutral or short-term bearish.
Overall Bias
Right now, this looks like a bullish continuation setup, not a reversal.
Dips into support are buy opportunities — chasing at resistance is risky unless there's a confirmed breakout.
Gold 4H🧠 Market Structure
Price is currently moving in a sideways consolidation after a strong bearish move followed by a recovery.
EMA 9 & EMA 15 are flat and tight → indicating low momentum & upcoming volatility expansion.
Market is trading inside a mid-range zone, not at premium or discount extremes.
🔴 Supply / FVG Zone
5239 – 5400
Major imbalance area
Previous aggressive selling pressure
High probability liquidity reaction zone
📌 Expect:
Liquidity grab
Fake breakout possibility
Strong volatility if tapped
🟢 Resistance
5000 Psychological Level
EMA cluster acting as dynamic resistance
Break & hold above required for bullish continuation
⚪ Demand Zone
4650 – 4700
Institutional reaction zone
Potential bullish mitigation area
Liquidity resting below
🟥 Major Support
4400
Structure invalidation level
Break = bearish continuation scenario
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price:
Closes strongly above 5000
Holds above EMA cluster
Shows increased volume
Targets:
5239 FVG
Possible continuation toward 5500 – 5590 liquidity zone
📉 Bearish Scenario
If price:
Rejects from 5000 resistance
Fails to hold EMA support
Breaks demand zone
Targets:
4650 liquidity sweep
Possible continuation toward 4400 support
⚠️ Market Conditions (Fundamental Drivers)
Recent gold volatility driven by:
Extreme precious-metal price swings and investor uncertainty
Analysts increasing bullish gold forecasts due to global instability
Strong central bank demand & bullish long-term projections toward $6100–$6300
High geopolitical tensions & policy uncertainty fueling safe-haven demand
🧾 Summary
Market currently in compression phase
Major move expected after breakout
Mid-range trading risky — wait for zone reactions
Bias remains macro bullish but technically neutral
XAUUSD 30M Bullish Structure – Higher High IncomingStrong impulsive move from the lower channel base (around 4,700 zone).
Higher highs + higher lows confirmed.
Price recently pulled back after tapping near 5,050–5,080 resistance area.
Current movement looks like a bullish continuation setup inside the channel.
🟦 Key Levels
Support Zone: 4,950 – 4,960
This area aligns with:
Previous structure breakout
Minor demand zone
Mid-channel dynamic support
Stop Loss Area: Below 4,930
Break below this would weaken short-term bullish momentum.
Target Zone: 5,090 – 5,102
This is:
Channel upper boundary
Previous rejection zone
Liquidity resting above highs
📈 Trade Idea Logic
As long as price holds above the 4,950 support area, bullish continuation toward 5,100 is valid.
However…
If price breaks and closes below 4,930 with momentum, expect:
Deeper correction
Possible move toward lower channel support
⚡ Momentum Insight
The recent push shows strong buyers stepping in after minor pullbacks. No major bearish structure shift yet — bulls are still in control.
Overall bias: Bullish continuation unless 4,930 breaks.
Support Zone Reaction with Upside Liquidity TargetMarket Read (from your chart)
Price swept sell-side liquidity and reacted strongly from the support zone
Clear BOS to the downside, then bullish reaction → looks like short-term bullish retracement / reversal
You’ve marked:
Support zone: ~4,800 – 4,826
Target / liquidity: ~4,940 – 4,943
This favors a scalp / intraday long with tight risk, not a swing.
🎯 Trade Setup (Small SL)
✅ Entry (Best & Safer)
Buy on pullback into demand
Entry: 4,826 – 4,830
Confluence area: prior reaction + support zone top
Wait for bullish candle close / rejection wick on lower TF (1–5m)
❌ Stop Loss (Tight)
SL: 4,800
Risk: ~26–30 points
If price closes cleanly below 4,800, the setup is invalid
This is a true small SL — no room for chop.
🎯 Take Profit Levels
TP1 (safe): 4,858 (range high / first liquidity)
TP2: 4,900
TP3 / Final: 4,940 – 4,943 (your marked target liquidity)
👉 After TP1, move SL to BE to protect capital.
⚠️ Aggressive Entry (Only if experienced)
Entry: 4,805 – 4,810
SL: 4,785
Higher R:R, but lower win rate
Invalidation
❌ No longs if:
Strong bearish close below 4,800
No bullish reaction inside the support zone
Summary
Bias: Intraday bullish retracement
Entry: 4,826–4,830
SL: 4,800
Target: 4,858 → 4,900 → 4,940
XAUUSD 1H Bullish Channel Breakout – 5,300 Target in SightPair: XAUUSD
Timeframe: 1H
Structure: Bullish channel continuation
🔎 Market Structure
Price is moving inside a well-defined ascending channel.
Higher highs + higher lows are intact.
Recently, gold bounced strongly from the channel support + demand zone.
Current price around 5,069 is sitting above short-term support and retesting breakout structure.
The trend is clearly bullish unless we lose that channel support.
📍 Key Levels
Support Zone (Buy Area):
5,015 – 5,000 (trend support + structure base)
Stop Loss (below invalidation):
4,985
If price closes below that, bullish structure weakens.
🎯 Upside Targets
Based on measured move + channel projection:
Target 1: 5,164
Target 2: 5,238
Target 3: 5,313
The 5,300+ area is major resistance and aligns with the 6% projected move shown on your chart.
📊 Trade Idea Logic
This looks like a classic:
Pullback
Consolidation
Break + continuation inside bullish channel
As long as price respects the trendline, dips are buy opportunities.
⚠️ What Could Invalidate?
Strong bearish H1 close below 5,000
Break and close outside lower channel
Until then, momentum favors buyers.
Gold 15M Structure Holding Strong – Buy the Dip SetupPair: XAUUSD (15M)
Structure: Clean ascending channel
Bias: Bullish continuation
Price is respecting a well-defined rising channel, making higher highs and higher lows. We just saw a strong push toward the upper boundary, which shows buyers are still in control.
🔍 What’s Happening Now?
Current price around 5058
Strong impulsive move from mid-channel to near the upper trendline
No major bearish rejection yet
Momentum favors continuation
This looks like a bullish breakout attempt from consolidation inside the channel.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Primary)
If price holds above 5027–5030 support zone, we can expect continuation toward:
🎯 Target 1: 5085
🎯 Target 2: 5105–5110 (major resistance / channel high)
That 5105–5106 area is key — previous projected resistance and target zone.
⚠️ Pullback Scenario
If price retraces:
Watch 5027–5030 (channel mid/support zone)
Deeper support near 5004–5005
As long as price stays above 5000 psychologically, bulls remain in control.
❌ Bearish Invalidation
A clean break and close below 5000–4995 would weaken the bullish structure and possibly shift momentum short-term.
📌 Overall Idea
Trend = Up
Structure = Healthy
Momentum = Bullish
Strategy = Buy dips inside channel, target upper boundary.
This is a textbook continuation setup — just don’t chase the top blindly. Let the market give you either a breakout confirmation or a controlled pullback entry.
XAUUSD/GOLD ASCENDING TRIANGLE BUY PROJECTION 09.02.26In this chart, we can clearly see an Ascending Triangle formation.
Price is making higher lows, while the resistance level on top remains flat.
This shows that buyers are getting stronger and pushing the market upward step by step.
Each time price pulls back, it respects the ascending trendline, confirming bullish pressure.
At the same time, sellers are unable to break below this support.
Once price breaks and closes above the resistance, it confirms a bullish breakout.
This is where we look for buy entries.
Entry: After the breakout or a small pullback to the trendline
Stop Loss: Below the ascending trendline
Take Profit: Measured move toward the next resistance zone
This pattern usually acts as a bullish continuation, especially when it forms after a strong move.
Risk management is key — never risk more than a small percentage per trade.
Follow the structure, wait for confirmation, and trade with discipline. 📈🔥
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 09.02.26This is Gold on the 1-hour timeframe.
First, we can see a clear rounding bottom pattern, which shows that selling pressure is weakening and buyers are slowly entering the market.
After this, price broke a key resistance level and then came back to retest the same area.
This retest was successful, confirming that resistance has now turned into strong support.
Price is currently moving inside an ascending channel, which indicates a healthy bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows.
Near the support zone, we can also see a liquidity sweep, where the market briefly moved down to trap sellers before pushing higher.
The price is now holding above the support area, and as long as this level is respected, the buy bias remains valid.
The upside target is placed near Resistance R1, as marked on the chart.
The green zone shows the profit target, and the red zone represents the risk or invalidation area.
Overall, the market structure is bullish, and buy setups are favored.
Always trade with proper risk management and never risk more than a small percentage of your capital.
Gold 15M Ascending Channel Breakout Setuparket Structure
Strong impulsive move up from the bottom of the channel.
Now consolidating near the mid–upper channel area.
Higher lows are intact → short-term bullish structure still valid.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
Price is holding above the 4,860–4,862 support zone, which aligns with:
Channel midline
Recent higher low
Intraday demand area
As long as price stays above this zone, momentum favors continuation toward:
👉 4,920 – 4,922 target zone
That’s your next liquidity pool / resistance area.
If buyers step in strongly, we could even see a push toward the channel high.
🔴 Bearish Risk
If price breaks and closes below 4,860, structure weakens.
That would invalidate the higher-low setup.
Could trigger a deeper pullback toward the lower channel boundary.
⚠️ Important Detail
There’s a visible rejection area (your circled zone) — sellers reacted there before.
If price struggles again under 4,890–4,900, expect short-term volatility before continuation.
💡 Overall Bias
Short-term bias: Bullish continuation above 4,860
Invalidation: Clean breakdown below support
Target: 4,920+
Pero – Daily Trading Plan | XAUUSD (06/02/2026)1️⃣ Market Context (Macro Narrative)
Gold remains in a corrective phase after a strong impulsive sell-off. Price is currently stabilizing inside a broader ascending structure, respecting a rising trendline from the recent swing low.
However, upside momentum is still weak and corrective, meaning rallies are likely to be sold until a clear breakout occurs.
👉 Primary bias:
Buy pullback at strong support (trend-following)
Sell is allowed only as short-term scalp near resistance
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown (Multi-Timeframe Logic)
Structure
Market completed a sharp downside leg → now forming range-to-corrective price action
Price is oscillating between Support Zone (4,579 – 4,682) and Mid-Range Resistance (4,963)
Trendlines
Primary ascending trendline (yellow dashed): long-term bullish structure
Upper channel / projection (white dashed): defines bullish expansion if breakout happens
Momentum (RSI)
RSI around mid-level (~45) → neutral to slightly bearish
Confirms range trading, not impulsive trend yet
3️⃣ Key Levels (Must Respect)
🟢 Support Zones
4,579 – 4,682 → Major BUY reaction zone (trendline + demand)
4,410 → Last defensive support (structure invalidation below)
🔴 Resistance Zones
4,963 → First sell reaction / rejection zone
5,157 → Mid-range resistance
5,380 – 5,423 → Strong resistance zone
5,400 → Major supply / structural ceiling
4️⃣ Trading Bias (Pero Rules)
Main direction: BUY (trend-following)
Sell: Scalping only, counter-trend, quick in & out
No chasing price
Wait for reaction on M5–M15
Strict SL – never widen
5️⃣ Execution Plan (Pero Style)
BUY GOLD 4682 - 4680
↠ Stop Loss 4657
→ Take Profit 1 : 50 ~ 100 pips
→ Take Profit 2 : 200 pips
→ Take Profit 3 : 500Pips - Open
SELL GOLD 5156 - 5158
↠ Stop Loss 5161
→ Take Profit 1 : 50 ~ 100 pips
→ Take Profit 2 : 200 pips
→ Take Profit 3 : 500Pips - Open
6️⃣ Invalidation
Strong H2 close below 4,579 → bullish structure weakens
Break & acceptance above 5,157 → bullish continuation toward 5,380 – 5,400
7️⃣Pero Mindset
⚡️ Psychology, discipline, and capital management are the three pillars that turn analysis into consistent profitability. ⚡️
GOLD (XAUUSD) 1H — Distribution, Not Reversal | Bearish Continua
This analysis is built on structure, liquidity, and market behavior — not opinions.
After a strong bearish displacement, Gold is showing signs of distribution beneath a descending trendline. The recent upside movement appears corrective rather than a true bullish shift, with price forming a lower high under a key SBR zone.
🔍 Market Structure:
• Strong impulsive selloff → bearish control remains intact
• Rejection from SBR resistance near 5100
• Descending trendline respected
• Current reaction around Support1 suggests a pause, not accumulation
📉 Execution Logic:
Primary Sell Bias remains valid while price trades below trendline resistance. The current structure reflects continuation behavior — not a “buy the dip” environment.
🎯 Liquidity Targets:
• TP1: 4797 — Near-term support liquidity
• TP2: 4546 — Major liquidity pool / higher timeframe support
Acceptance below Support1 increases probability of continuation toward lower targets.
🛑 Invalidation:
If price reclaims and holds above the trendline + SBR zone, bearish bias becomes invalid. No trade is also a position.
This is not about predicting tops or bottoms.
It’s about reading structure, waiting for confirmation, and executing with discipline.
If this breakdown aligns with your view, share your perspective below — always open to strong, logical discussion.
XAUUSD/GOLD Unemployment Claims &JOLTS Job Openings 05.02.2026XAUUSD (Gold) Trade Setup – News-Based Volatility Plan
“Let’s analyze the XAUUSD price action based on Unemployment Claims and JOLTS Job Openings data.
Gold is currently trading inside a high-impact news zone, and the market is clearly respecting key support and resistance levels.
Bullish Scenario – Buy Setup
If the news comes negative for the US dollar, gold is expected to move bullish.
Watch the Resistance R1 zone around 5100
Entry: Buy only after a clear breakout and retest above this level
Once price holds above resistance, we expect momentum continuation
Targets:
First move towards minor resistance
Final target near Resistance R2 / 5600 zone
Stop Loss:
Below the marked retest zone
Risk is clearly defined and controlled
Bearish Scenario – Sell Setup
If the news turns positive for the US dollar, gold can resume selling pressure.
Watch the Support S1 zone around 4566
Entry: Sell after breakdown and retest of support
Confirmation is required—no emotional entries
Targets:
Minor support first
Final target near Support S2 around 4277
Stop Loss:
Above the breakdown retest zone
Gold (XAUUSD) 15M | Sell Rally Setup from Channel ResistancePrice is moving inside a descending channel → clear bearish trend.
Overall structure shows lower highs & lower lows, so sellers are still in control.
📐 Key Technicals from the chart
Channel resistance rejected price multiple times.
The recent pullback failed near the midline / dynamic resistance of the channel.
Strong bearish impulse after rejection → confirms sell-on-rally behavior.
🎯 Trade Idea (as marked)
Sell entry: around 4900 – 4905
Stop loss: ≈ 4901 – 4910 (above recent structure & channel)
Targets:
TP1: 4860
TP2: 4823 (previous low / demand zone)
🧠 Confluence (why this works)
Descending channel resistance
Break & retest failure
Bearish continuation momentum
RR looks solid (~1:2+)
⚠️ Invalidation
A 15M close above channel resistance + holding above 4910 would weaken the bearish bias.
📌 Bias Summary
Intraday Bias: Bearish 🔴
Prefer sell rallies until channel breaks decisively.






















