XAU/USD Bullish Trade Setup Buy from POI Zone towards 3668TargetXAU/USD (Gold) – 1H Analysis
✅ Trend: The market is in a clear bullish trend with higher highs & higher lows. Price is trading above both EMA 70 (3,547) and EMA 200 (3,486), confirming strong upward momentum.
📌 Key Levels:
POI Buying Zone: 3,554 – 3,576 (strong support area)
Target Point: 3,668 – 3,669
Support Line: Still respected, adding confluence to the bullish setup.
📈 Strategies Applied:
Trend Following: Bullish as long as price stays above EMAs.
Support & Resistance: Buying zone aligns with strong support.
EMA Strategy: Price above EMAs = buy signal.
Price Action: Retest of POI zone before moving up.mm
🎯 Trade Idea:
Entry: Around 3,555 – 3,576 (buying zone)
Stop Loss: Below 3,547 (EMA 70 / zone invalidation)
Target: 3,668 – 3,670
⚡ Summary: Market remains bullish, correction into the POI zone is a good buying opportunity aiming for new highs.
Xauusdforecast
Gold Technical Analysis (XAU/USD# Gold Technical Analysis (XAU/USD)
On the 30M chart, several important factors suggest a potential correction:
1️⃣ The **Green Trendline** has been broken, with the key level at **3471**.
2️⃣ A possible **Retracement of the bullish leg** is aligned around the **3480 zone**.
3️⃣ The **Inducement structure** also confirms this corrective scenario.
🔻 With these confluences, the probability of a pullback towards the **3480 region** increases, marking it as a critical demand/retracement area.
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📉 **Trade Idea (Educational):**
- **Entry:** 3585
- **Take Profit 1:** 3575
- **Take Profit 2:** 3555
- **Take Profit 3:** 3525
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📊 **Key Levels to Watch:**
- 3471 (broken trendline)
- 3480 (retracement target)
- 3323 (deeper correction zone)
⚠️ This outlook and trade idea are for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
XAU/USD Bullish Setup – OB Zone to $3,590 TargetChart Overview (XAU/USD – 30m):
Current price: $3,534
Price is in a strong bullish channel (higher highs & higher lows).
Market forming an ATH (All-Time High) and consolidating.
📌 Strategies Applied:
1. Trendline Strategy:
Price respecting support & rejection lines inside ascending channel.
Trend remains bullish as long as price holds above support.
2. Order Block (OB) Zone:
Identified buying zone at $3,501 – $3,514.
Strong support + liquidity area → possible rebound point.
3. Moving Averages (EMA):
EMA 70 (3,508) and EMA 200 (3,464) both acting as dynamic support.
EMA alignment confirms bullish momentum.
4. Risk–Reward Setup:
Entry near OB Zone: $3,501 – $3,514
Stop-loss: below $3,500
Target: $3,590 (R:R ~ 1:3).
✅ Summary:
Gold is in a strong bullish trend 🚀. The OB Buying Zone aligns with EMA support, offering a low-risk long entry. As long as $3,500 holds, price likely pushes towards the target zone $3,589 – $3,590.
Gold Price Analysis – Testing Resistance near Sell ZoneAnalysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around 3,551.40, showing minor intraday losses (-0.03%). The chart indicates a strong resistance zone between 3,556–3,563, identified as the “sell zone,” with an All-Time High (ATH) slightly above at 3,578.12. Price is consolidating beneath this resistance, struggling to break higher.
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) below suggests a potential retracement toward 3,511–3,520 if sellers gain momentum. The Ichimoku cloud shows mixed signals, with price hovering around the equilibrium, indicating indecision in the short term.
A break above 3,563 could trigger bullish continuation toward ATH, while rejection at this level may lead to a pullback into the highlighted FVG region.
Gold Technical Analysis (XAU/USD)# Gold Technical Analysis (XAU/USD)
Gold has already broken two important trendlines (Yellow and Blue), while the **Green trendline** is still holding as the last short-term support.
- Key levels marked: **3471 – 3404 – 3436 – 3323**
- The price reaction around the **Green trendline** will be critical.
- If broken, we could expect a deeper correction, especially considering the **last trading day of the week**, when markets usually seek balance.
🔑 Watch for possible correction waves (Elliott count on chart) with a potential drop toward the **3323–3360 zone**.
⚠️ Note: This analysis is educational only and not financial advice.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to Watch | 04/09/25Gold dropped sharply into the Pullback Zone during the Asian session after the strong rally into the $3,584 resistance. Price is now trending near the $3,550 level, with the 50MA providing dynamic support.
If buyers can reclaim momentum above $3,550, the path opens toward $3,584, and a clean break there would target $3,608. On the downside, failure to hold above $3,525 risks a deeper retracement into $3,506, with extended weakness pointing toward $3,483 and the lower support zones.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,550
$3,584
$3,608
Support:
$3,525
$3,506
$3,483
$3,462
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Rest of the Week
Markets now turn to the U.S. labor data cluster:
Thursday: ADP Employment, Jobless Claims, ISM Services PMI
Friday: NFP, Unemployment Rate, Wage Growth
These figures are likely to be the main catalysts for gold as the week wraps up.
⚠️ Risk Note: Expect elevated volatility, false breaks, and sharp intraday reversals around data drops. Stay disciplined on risk sizing and avoid chasing moves.
Gold Analysis – Fibonacci & Supply/Demand Zones🟡 Gold Analysis – Fibonacci & Supply/Demand Zones
On the 45m timeframe, Gold has entered a Supply zone after the recent rally, showing signs of weakening bullish momentum.
🔎 Possible Scenario:
Formation of a corrective structure around 3,482 – 3,508
Retracement levels to watch:
0.382 → 3,434
0.5 → 3,411
If broken, extension toward 0.618 → 3,388 is possible.
📉 The corrective move could extend to around -2.35% (≈ 82$).
📌 Key Demand zones remain critical for potential bullish reactions.
⚠️ Invalidated if Gold closes and holds above 3,508.
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✍️ Personal analysis – for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
Gold: False Breakout at 3500 – 3400 or 3600 Next?Gold Outlook: Historical Highs Above $3500 – Consolidation or Deeper Correction Ahead?
Gold has once again updated its all-time highs above the $3500 mark, confirming the strong bullish trend that has been dominating the market in recent months. However, immediately after this breakout attempt, we saw a corrective pullback triggered by a short-term strengthening of the U.S. dollar. This raises a key question for traders and investors: is this just a temporary pause before new highs, or the beginning of a deeper correction phase?
Macro & Fundamental Drivers
U.S. Dollar & Fed Expectations:
The probability of a September rate cut is now estimated at 90%, which remains one of the strongest supportive factors for gold. Nevertheless, temporary USD strength is weighing on the metal in the short term. Importantly, markets are increasingly focused on concerns regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve, with political pressure (particularly from Trump) casting uncertainty over the Fed’s policy path.
Geopolitical Risks:
Escalating geopolitical tensions are also adding fuel to safe-haven demand. Recent reports highlight intensified strikes by the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Russian territory, raising fears of further escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. This factor continues to support defensive assets like gold, even in the face of short-term dollar strength.
Upcoming U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI:
Today’s key macro event is the release of the ISM Manufacturing PMI. Consensus expects a modest rise to 49, which would still leave the index in the contraction zone.
If the data meets or exceeds expectations, the USD could receive temporary support, keeping gold under pressure.
If the data misses expectations and shows further weakness, it could accelerate dollar selling and act as a catalyst for gold to retest or break above historical highs.
Technical Picture
Gold’s sharp rejection above $3500 suggests that the market is not yet ready for a sustainable breakout. At the same time, the long-term bullish structure remains intact. The key levels to watch in the short term are:
Resistance: $3485, $3500, $3505
Support: $3467.6, $3441, $3423
A sustained move below $3490–3485 may open the way for a deeper correction into the 3440–3420 support zone. On the other hand, a successful defense of these levels could lead to another retest of $3500–3505, though at this stage the market does not yet show strong momentum for an immediate continuation higher.
Trading Scenarios
Bearish Case (short-term): Failure to hold above $3485 may trigger selling pressure toward 3467–3440, and possibly even 3423 in the near term.
Bullish Case (medium-term): Any dip toward the support zone could attract buyers, especially if fundamentals (weak ISM PMI / dovish Fed expectations / geopolitical tensions) align. A confirmed breakout above $3505 would signal continuation toward new record highs.
🔑 Bottom Line: Gold remains in a bullish long-term uptrend but faces short-term correction risks. Today’s ISM Manufacturing PMI release could be the decisive factor for immediate direction. Watch closely whether bulls can defend the 3485–3490 zone or whether bears push the price lower toward support levels before the next leg higher.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,478 after a strong bullish rally, breaking through multiple resistance levels last week. Price surged above $3,440 and is now consolidating just below the $3,483 resistance, with short-term momentum supported by the MA`s.
If buyers can secure a clean break and hold above $3,483, the next upside target sits at $3,506, followed by $3,525. On the downside, initial support lies at $3,462, with deeper retracement levels at $3,440 and the Support Zone. A break back below $3,393 would weaken momentum and shift focus toward the Secondary Support Zone ($3,371–$3,350).
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,483
$3,506
$3,525
Support:
$3,462
$3,440
$3,417
$3,393
$3,371
$3,350
🔎Fundamental Focus – Week of Sept 1–6
It’s a heavy week for U.S. data with ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Job Openings, ADP Employment & Jobless Claims, and Friday’s NFP report. These releases will set the tone for Fed expectations and could bring sharp moves in gold. Markets will be especially sensitive to labour data as it shapes the path for rate cuts.
Gold (XAU/USD) – 4H AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) – 4H Analysis
🔹 Key Structure
If price respects the white line at point c, a potential Head & Shoulders formation may develop, signaling a possible bearish reversal.
However, if the orange dynamic line acts as a liquidity-driven trendline, then price could follow the red projection, pushing the market higher toward ATH (All-Time High) levels.
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🔹 Break of Descending Trendline
On Friday, the descending resistance line was broken to the upside.
This break could be interpreted as a fake breakout if the market fails to hold above it.
For confirmation of a true breakout, we need to see continuation and acceptance above the broken trendline.
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🔹 Bearish Scenario (Head & Shoulders Valid)
If the c-leg completes and rejects the white line:
Expect a Head & Shoulders pattern.
Price may retrace toward 3,360 → 3,344.
A close below 3,344 would strengthen bearish continuation.
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🔹 Bullish Scenario (Liquidity Trendline Active)
If the orange liquidity trendline holds, buyers may push price higher.
Breaking above 3,420 – 3,446 with strength could target ATH extension zone above 3,500.
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🔹 Trading Plan
Wait for confirmation: Avoid premature entries as current breakout might be fake.
Bearish bias: Valid if rejection occurs at point c with H&S pattern confirmation.
Bullish bias: Valid if orange line holds as liquidity dynamic and price sustains above 3,420.
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✅ Bias: Neutral → Waiting for confirmation (H&S vs Liquidity Push)
🎯 Key Levels: 3,344 (bearish confirmation) / 3,420–3,446 (bullish breakout)
❌ Invalidation: Strong close above ATH zone
gold on multiple price decline#XAUUSD price on yesterday D1 shows bullish decline on sell, base on past candle on same TF we expect price not to overcross the 3416-3430 limit.
Buy from 3410 to 3416 which holds sell, sell from 3416 target 3390-3384. Stop loss above 3426.
If the next H1 close above 3420-3423 then 3430 which holds another sell will come.
XAUUSD 15m – EW Short SetupHi fellow traders,
On the 15m XAUUSD chart, I am applying Elliott Wave principles to capture a potential short move. Price action is unfolding within an ending diagonal pattern, and I am anticipating the final leg down as wave (v).
Additional confluence is provided by the red-shaded supply zone, which coincides with the projected entry area and strengthens the probability of a reversal at this level.
I am entering at 3335.37, with a Stop Loss at 3345.30 serving as the invalidation level. My Take Profit is set at 3307.64, targeting the next key support area.
Good luck and trade safe.
Gold Trade Set up Aug 28 2025OANDA:XAUUSD
www.tradingview.com
price is making HH/HL on the daily 4h and 1h time frames so overall im bullish. There is a 1h FVG formed and HL acting as SSl that is being tested, so if price closes above HL i will look for internal structure on the 5m to target BSL around 3409 but if price closes under HL it can come to test lower SSL around 3385 before continuing up
Gold (XAU/USD) – 30m – AMD (Accumulation / Manipulation / DistriGold (XAU/USD) – 30m – AMD (Accumulation / Manipulation / Distribution)
🔹 Phase 1: Accumulation
The market showed a period of range-bound price action in the lower zone, where liquidity was building up.
This phase indicates that smart money was collecting positions, creating the base for the next move.
The price respected the liquidity trendline and showed a gradual shift of demand.
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🔹 Phase 2: Manipulation
A clear stop-hunt / liquidity grab occurred above the accumulation range.
This move is characterized by a false breakout above the consolidation zone, designed to trap early buyers.
The spike in volume and quick rejection signals the transition into distribution.
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🔹 Phase 3: Distribution
Price moved into the 3,406 – 3,410 area, marking the distribution zone.
This is where supply overtakes demand as institutional players offload positions.
Strong rejection candles confirm sellers are active here.
Risk of reversal is high, and any long trades are considered risky at this point.
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🔹 Outlook & Trading Plan
If price holds below 3,406, we can expect a downward continuation toward 3,377 and potentially the 3,368 liquidity pool.
Any short entry should ideally align with rejection signals in the distribution phase.
If the market breaks and sustains above 3,410, it invalidates the distribution setup and indicates continuation of bullish momentum.
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✅ Bias: Bearish under 3,406
🎯 Targets: 3,377 – 3,368
❌ Invalidation: Above 3,410
Analysis: mohsen mozafari nejad
Adminstration of persiaux king academy
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,400, pushing higher after reclaiming the $3,386 level, with the next target at $3,406. A clean break and sustained hold above $3,406 would open the path toward $3,422.
On the downside, failure to clear resistance could trigger a pullback into the $3,386 support, with deeper weakness exposing $3,363 and the $3,347–$3,328 support zone.
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,406
$3,422
Support:
$3,386
$3,363
$3,347
$3,328
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Thursday, Aug 28
Today’s focus is on U.S. Prelim GDP and Unemployment Claims, both high-impact releases likely to move gold. Pending Home Sales also on the calendar.
⚠️ Volatility expected — watch for sharp moves and possible fakeouts around release times.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold briefly broke above the $3,386 resistance, but failed to hold and has since pulled back, now trading around $3,376. The rejection highlights $3,386 as a key barrier, while price remains supported above the $3,363 level with the 50MA (pink) still trending upward.
If buyers can reclaim and sustain above $3,386, the next upside targets are $3,406 and $3,422. On the downside, a break below $3,363 would expose the $3,347–$3,328 support zone, with further weakness opening the door toward the Secondary Support Zone ($3,304–$3,281).
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,386
$3,406
$3,422
Support:
$3,363
$3,347
$3,328
$3,304
$3,281
Unlocking Gold’s $3,600 Rally Before the Crowd /Best Entry Point1️⃣ General Overview
Gold remains in a corrective phase. Unless we see a clear 4H close above 372, bearish corrective pressure will stay stronger. However, certain zones may trigger bullish reactions if respected.
2️⃣ Key Levels
353 → First potential reversal area.
364 – 373 → Upside targets if 353 closes above this price on the 4H timeframe.
378 → Breakout level; above it price opens the way to higher targets.
382 – 392 – 402 → Next resistance levels if price closes above 378 on 4H timeframe.
335 → Strongest potential weekly buy zone if tested.
329 – 335 (ideal 35–29 range) → Ideal buy zone, though less likely to be visited this week.
3️⃣ Trade Scenarios & Setups
🔹Bullish Setup:
4H close above 353 → look for a move toward 364 → 373 → swing/open target.
4H close above 378 → momentum extends to 382 → 392 → 402.
Above 402 → new analysis will be required.
🔺 Bearish Setup:
4H close below 353 → decline toward 335 (strong weekly buy zone).
An extended drop into the 35–29 range = an ideal buy setup, but the probability is low.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,370 after the Asian session rally, which began with a manipulation-style dip lower, followed by a sharp bullish candle driving price into the $3,386 resistance. Price was rejected at this level and is now consolidating just above the $3,363 support.
Structure remains constructive as long as gold holds above $3,363, with both the 50MA (pink) and 200MA (green) starting to slope upward, providing short-term bullish momentum.
A clean break and hold above $3,386 would open the path toward $3,406 and potentially $3,422. On the downside, failure to defend $3,363 would expose the $3,347–$3,328 support zone, with deeper losses shifting focus back toward the Secondary Support Zone ($3,304–$3,281).
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,386
$3,406
$3,422
Support:
$3,363
$3,347
$3,328
$3,304
$3,281
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Tuesday, Aug 26
Key events today: Durable Goods Orders, Consumer Confidence, Richmond Manufacturing Index, plus FOMC speakers. Data may drive volatility in gold.
⚠️ Expect intraday swings — manage risk and wait for confirmation.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,362 after last week’s strong bounce, with price now holding above the $3,347 support. The recovery has pushed price back above both the 50MA (pink) and 200MA (green), signaling improving short-term momentum.
Immediate resistance sits at $3,363, and a clean break and hold above this level would open the path toward $3,386 and potentially $3,406. On the downside, failure to hold above $3,347 would risk a retest of the First Support Zone ($3,328–$3,347), with deeper pressure exposing the Secondary Support Zone ($3,304–$3,281).
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,364
$3,386
$3,406
$3,422
Support:
$3,347
$3,328
$3,304
$3,281