BTC 1H🧠 Market Context
Bitcoin has just completed a liquidity sweep after an extended move, tapping into a high-timeframe supply/demand reaction zone. Price action is currently compressing, signaling that we’re approaching a decision point where momentum traders and HTF participants collide.
The recent impulse leg shows aggressive positioning, but follow-through volume is starting to fade — typically a precursor to either consolidation or a sharp expansion move.
🔑 Key Levels To Watch
Major Resistance / Supply: Previous breakdown region + liquidity cluster
Mid-Range Pivot: Intraday structure flip area
Primary Support: Demand zone aligned with prior consolidation base
Invalidation Level: Clean break + acceptance beyond HTF structure
These zones are not just horizontal levels — they represent orderflow interest areas where reactions are statistically more likely.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the mid-range structure and builds higher lows:
Expect continuation toward equal highs / resting liquidity
Break-and-retest of resistance could trigger expansion
Momentum confirmation: strong candle closes + increasing volume
Bias shifts bullish on structure confirmation, not anticipation.
📉 Bearish Scenario
Failure to reclaim reclaimed structure could signal:
Distribution inside resistance
Sweep-and-reverse pattern
Rotation back into lower demand zones
A clean breakdown below support with acceptance likely opens a fast-move liquidity vacuum.
⚠️ Trading Strategy
Avoid chasing mid-range noise
Let price come into levels
Focus on confirmations:
Structure breaks
Volume expansion
Reaction speed at zones
Remember: Location > Prediction.
🧭 Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is sitting at a high-probability reaction area. The next expansion move will likely come after liquidity is fully engineered around current consolidation.
Stay patient, trade the reaction — not the emotion.
Xauusdforex
Core Retail Sales m/m XAUUSD/GOLD FORCAST PROJECTION 10.02.26A negative reading indicates economic weakness, which puts pressure on the US Dollar and supports Gold.
Trade Plan:
Look for buy confirmation above the support zone
Expect higher highs and higher lows
Targets are placed near Resistance R1 and Resistance R2
Risk Management:
Risk–Reward Ratio: 1:4
Stop-loss below the support zone
Partial profit booking is advised near the first resistance
🔴 Scenario 2: If Core Retail Sales is POSITIVE – SELL GOLD
A positive reading strengthens the US Dollar, creating downside pressure on Gold.
Trade Plan:
Look for sell confirmation near resistance
Expect lower highs and strong bearish momentum
Targets are placed below Support S1, towards the lower demand zone
Risk Management:
Risk–Reward Ratio: 1:3
Stop-loss above resistance
Trail stop-loss after the first impulse move
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation Toward 5100 | Channel Respecting StrStrong impulsive leg up.
Followed by a controlled pullback (healthy correction, not a breakdown).
Price held above previous minor support and bounced.
Current consolidation looks like a bullish continuation flag inside the channel.
That orange circle area marks the rejection zone — buyers stepped in aggressively there.
📈 Trade Idea Breakdown
Entry: 5028.923
Stop Loss: 5018.312
Target: 5100.366
This setup makes sense technically because:
Entry is above short-term consolidation.
Stop is below structure support (not random — it protects against breakdown).
Target aligns with channel resistance and psychological 5100 zone.
Risk-to-reward is solid as long as structure holds.
🧠 What Needs to Happen for Bulls to Win
Price must hold above 5025–5020 zone.
Continued higher lows on lower timeframes.
Break above 5055–5060 area should accelerate momentum toward 5100.
⚠️ Invalidation
If price closes strongly below 5018–5020, that would:
Break minor structure.
Increase probability of a deeper pullback toward channel support.
Overall Bias
Still bullish as long as the ascending channel holds. This looks like a continuation setup, not a reversal.
If momentum kicks in, 5100 is very realistic.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL PROJECTION 11.02.26In today’s analysis, we are looking at XAUUSD on the 1-hour timeframe, and the market is showing a strong potential sell setup.
First, the market has been moving sideways this week, forming a clear range structure. Price is respecting both resistance and support levels.
Now, look at the top area — we can clearly see a Double Top formation near the resistance zone. This is a strong bearish reversal pattern, especially when it forms at a key resistance level.
Not only that…
We also have an Evening Star pattern, which is another powerful bearish confirmation signal. This increases the probability of a downward move.
📌 Current Situation:
Price is reacting from Resistance R1
Rejection candles are forming
Bearish structure is building
If price respects this resistance zone and fails to break above it, we can expect a strong downward movement.
🎯 Target Levels:
First target: Support S1
Final target: Support S2
As shown in the projection, the market may drop strongly toward the lower support zone if sellers take control.
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation Within Ascending Channel🔎 Market Structure (1H – Gold / XAUUSD)
Gold is trading inside a well-defined ascending channel, and price is currently consolidating near the upper mid-range after a strong impulsive recovery from the February low.
We had:
A sharp selloff
Strong V-shaped recovery
Now forming higher lows inside the channel
That tells us buyers are still in control structurally.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
Price is compressing just under the 5,100 – 5,105 resistance zone.
If we get:
A clean breakout above 5,105
Followed by continuation momentum
Then upside targets are:
🎯 5,198 – 5,200 (near-term objective)
🎯 Extended move toward channel high around 5,450 – 5,500 if momentum expands
The internal structure shows higher lows forming — that’s quiet accumulation behavior.
🔴 Bearish Risk
The key invalidation area is:
❌ 4,911 support zone
If price breaks and closes below 4,911:
Channel structure weakens
Deeper retracement toward 4,850–4,800 becomes possible
But right now? Sellers aren’t strong enough.
📊 Overall Bias
As long as price holds above 4,911 and respects the ascending channel, the bias remains bullish continuation.
This looks like:
Accumulation before expansion.
If momentum kicks in, this could move fast.
Gold Buyers Defending 4,990 – Upside Expansion AheadWe had a strong impulsive move up from the February low → clear bullish momentum.
Price created a higher low and is now pushing toward previous resistance.
The current structure looks like a bullish continuation within an ascending channel.
🟢 Support Zone
Key support: 4,988 – 4,940
This zone aligns with:
Previous resistance turned support
Structure retest area
Bullish demand block
As long as price holds above this zone, buyers remain in control.
🎯 Targets
First target: 5,116 – 5,120 (recent liquidity / minor resistance)
Second target: 5,200 – 5,204 (major resistance & psychological level)
A clean breakout above 5,120 with strong volume could accelerate price toward 5,200+.
🛑 Invalidation
Below 4,907, bullish structure weakens.
A strong close below support would shift bias back to neutral or short-term bearish.
Overall Bias
Right now, this looks like a bullish continuation setup, not a reversal.
Dips into support are buy opportunities — chasing at resistance is risky unless there's a confirmed breakout.
XAUUSD 1H Bullish Channel Breakout – 5,300 Target in SightPair: XAUUSD
Timeframe: 1H
Structure: Bullish channel continuation
🔎 Market Structure
Price is moving inside a well-defined ascending channel.
Higher highs + higher lows are intact.
Recently, gold bounced strongly from the channel support + demand zone.
Current price around 5,069 is sitting above short-term support and retesting breakout structure.
The trend is clearly bullish unless we lose that channel support.
📍 Key Levels
Support Zone (Buy Area):
5,015 – 5,000 (trend support + structure base)
Stop Loss (below invalidation):
4,985
If price closes below that, bullish structure weakens.
🎯 Upside Targets
Based on measured move + channel projection:
Target 1: 5,164
Target 2: 5,238
Target 3: 5,313
The 5,300+ area is major resistance and aligns with the 6% projected move shown on your chart.
📊 Trade Idea Logic
This looks like a classic:
Pullback
Consolidation
Break + continuation inside bullish channel
As long as price respects the trendline, dips are buy opportunities.
⚠️ What Could Invalidate?
Strong bearish H1 close below 5,000
Break and close outside lower channel
Until then, momentum favors buyers.
Gold 15M Structure Holding Strong – Buy the Dip SetupPair: XAUUSD (15M)
Structure: Clean ascending channel
Bias: Bullish continuation
Price is respecting a well-defined rising channel, making higher highs and higher lows. We just saw a strong push toward the upper boundary, which shows buyers are still in control.
🔍 What’s Happening Now?
Current price around 5058
Strong impulsive move from mid-channel to near the upper trendline
No major bearish rejection yet
Momentum favors continuation
This looks like a bullish breakout attempt from consolidation inside the channel.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Primary)
If price holds above 5027–5030 support zone, we can expect continuation toward:
🎯 Target 1: 5085
🎯 Target 2: 5105–5110 (major resistance / channel high)
That 5105–5106 area is key — previous projected resistance and target zone.
⚠️ Pullback Scenario
If price retraces:
Watch 5027–5030 (channel mid/support zone)
Deeper support near 5004–5005
As long as price stays above 5000 psychologically, bulls remain in control.
❌ Bearish Invalidation
A clean break and close below 5000–4995 would weaken the bullish structure and possibly shift momentum short-term.
📌 Overall Idea
Trend = Up
Structure = Healthy
Momentum = Bullish
Strategy = Buy dips inside channel, target upper boundary.
This is a textbook continuation setup — just don’t chase the top blindly. Let the market give you either a breakout confirmation or a controlled pullback entry.
XAUUSD/GOLD ASCENDING TRIANGLE BUY PROJECTION 09.02.26In this chart, we can clearly see an Ascending Triangle formation.
Price is making higher lows, while the resistance level on top remains flat.
This shows that buyers are getting stronger and pushing the market upward step by step.
Each time price pulls back, it respects the ascending trendline, confirming bullish pressure.
At the same time, sellers are unable to break below this support.
Once price breaks and closes above the resistance, it confirms a bullish breakout.
This is where we look for buy entries.
Entry: After the breakout or a small pullback to the trendline
Stop Loss: Below the ascending trendline
Take Profit: Measured move toward the next resistance zone
This pattern usually acts as a bullish continuation, especially when it forms after a strong move.
Risk management is key — never risk more than a small percentage per trade.
Follow the structure, wait for confirmation, and trade with discipline. 📈🔥
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 09.02.26This is Gold on the 1-hour timeframe.
First, we can see a clear rounding bottom pattern, which shows that selling pressure is weakening and buyers are slowly entering the market.
After this, price broke a key resistance level and then came back to retest the same area.
This retest was successful, confirming that resistance has now turned into strong support.
Price is currently moving inside an ascending channel, which indicates a healthy bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows.
Near the support zone, we can also see a liquidity sweep, where the market briefly moved down to trap sellers before pushing higher.
The price is now holding above the support area, and as long as this level is respected, the buy bias remains valid.
The upside target is placed near Resistance R1, as marked on the chart.
The green zone shows the profit target, and the red zone represents the risk or invalidation area.
Overall, the market structure is bullish, and buy setups are favored.
Always trade with proper risk management and never risk more than a small percentage of your capital.
XAUUSD 30M Bullish Structure – Higher High IncomingStrong impulsive move from the lower channel base (around 4,700 zone).
Higher highs + higher lows confirmed.
Price recently pulled back after tapping near 5,050–5,080 resistance area.
Current movement looks like a bullish continuation setup inside the channel.
🟦 Key Levels
Support Zone: 4,950 – 4,960
This area aligns with:
Previous structure breakout
Minor demand zone
Mid-channel dynamic support
Stop Loss Area: Below 4,930
Break below this would weaken short-term bullish momentum.
Target Zone: 5,090 – 5,102
This is:
Channel upper boundary
Previous rejection zone
Liquidity resting above highs
📈 Trade Idea Logic
As long as price holds above the 4,950 support area, bullish continuation toward 5,100 is valid.
However…
If price breaks and closes below 4,930 with momentum, expect:
Deeper correction
Possible move toward lower channel support
⚡ Momentum Insight
The recent push shows strong buyers stepping in after minor pullbacks. No major bearish structure shift yet — bulls are still in control.
Overall bias: Bullish continuation unless 4,930 breaks.
XAUUSD 30-min – High Probability Short Setup (SMC/ICT)🚨 HIGH PROBABILITY SHORT SETUP – XAUUSD 30-min
Entry Zone: 4,985 – 4,995
(Confluence: Order Block + FVG Fill + Previous Resistance)
Stop Loss: 5,010
(Above recent high and FVG)
Target 1: 4,880 (Liquidity Pool)
Target 2: 4,840 (Support Zone)
Target 3: 4,720 (Break of Structure Extension)
✅ WHY THIS SETUP WORKS:
BOS Confirmed – Market structure broken bearish
Order Block Resistance – Strong supply zone at 4,988.85
FVG Above Price – Likely to be filled before continuation down
Liquidity Below – Price drawn to 4,880 liquidity pool
CHoCH Present – Momentum shifted bearish
🎯 EXECUTION PLAN:
Wait for price to fill FVG/Order Block zone (4,985-4,995)
Enter short on bearish 30-min rejection candle
Stop Loss at 5,010 (above structure)
Move to breakeven after hitting 4,940
Take partial profits at 4,880 & 4,840
⚠️ RISK WARNING:
Only trade with confirmed rejection
Avoid if price breaks above 5,010
Monitor lower timeframe for entry timing
Pero – Daily Trading Plan | XAUUSD (06/02/2026)1️⃣ Market Context (Macro Narrative)
Gold remains in a corrective phase after a strong impulsive sell-off. Price is currently stabilizing inside a broader ascending structure, respecting a rising trendline from the recent swing low.
However, upside momentum is still weak and corrective, meaning rallies are likely to be sold until a clear breakout occurs.
👉 Primary bias:
Buy pullback at strong support (trend-following)
Sell is allowed only as short-term scalp near resistance
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown (Multi-Timeframe Logic)
Structure
Market completed a sharp downside leg → now forming range-to-corrective price action
Price is oscillating between Support Zone (4,579 – 4,682) and Mid-Range Resistance (4,963)
Trendlines
Primary ascending trendline (yellow dashed): long-term bullish structure
Upper channel / projection (white dashed): defines bullish expansion if breakout happens
Momentum (RSI)
RSI around mid-level (~45) → neutral to slightly bearish
Confirms range trading, not impulsive trend yet
3️⃣ Key Levels (Must Respect)
🟢 Support Zones
4,579 – 4,682 → Major BUY reaction zone (trendline + demand)
4,410 → Last defensive support (structure invalidation below)
🔴 Resistance Zones
4,963 → First sell reaction / rejection zone
5,157 → Mid-range resistance
5,380 – 5,423 → Strong resistance zone
5,400 → Major supply / structural ceiling
4️⃣ Trading Bias (Pero Rules)
Main direction: BUY (trend-following)
Sell: Scalping only, counter-trend, quick in & out
No chasing price
Wait for reaction on M5–M15
Strict SL – never widen
5️⃣ Execution Plan (Pero Style)
BUY GOLD 4682 - 4680
↠ Stop Loss 4657
→ Take Profit 1 : 50 ~ 100 pips
→ Take Profit 2 : 200 pips
→ Take Profit 3 : 500Pips - Open
SELL GOLD 5156 - 5158
↠ Stop Loss 5161
→ Take Profit 1 : 50 ~ 100 pips
→ Take Profit 2 : 200 pips
→ Take Profit 3 : 500Pips - Open
6️⃣ Invalidation
Strong H2 close below 4,579 → bullish structure weakens
Break & acceptance above 5,157 → bullish continuation toward 5,380 – 5,400
7️⃣Pero Mindset
⚡️ Psychology, discipline, and capital management are the three pillars that turn analysis into consistent profitability. ⚡️
XAUUSD/GOLD 30MIN BUY PROJECTION XAUUSD / GOLD – 30 MIN BUY SETUP (05-02-2026)
“This is the XAUUSD 30-minute buy projection.
Gold broke a short-term support and then retested the same zone, confirming it as a strong demand area.
Price is also respecting the 1-hour uptrend line, which indicates the overall trend remains bullish.
📍 Entry:
Buy near 4919, after confirmation of support hold.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Placed below the structure at 4850.
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 5025 – First resistance
TP2: 5100 – Second resistance
TP3: 5165 – 1.618 Fibonacci extension, major liquidity zone
📊 Trade Logic:
Support break and retest combined with higher-timeframe trend alignment suggests bullish continuation.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Risk is strictly limited. Maximum 1% risk per trade.
Pero – Daily Trading Plan (XAUUSD) | 05/02/2025Pero – Daily Trading Plan (XAUUSD) | 05/02/2025
1️⃣ Market Context (H2 Structure)
On the H2 timeframe, the market has:
✅ Completed Wave 1 following a strong rebound from the recent low
📍 Price is now near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (~4,795) of Wave 1
→ This is a textbook area for Wave 2 completion
➡️ This supports the view that the current pullback is a healthy correction, not a trend reversal.
Primary narrative for today:
Wave 2 completion → look for BUY opportunities to hold into Wave 3, while SELL trades are limited to scalping only.
2️⃣ Elliott Wave Mapping (H2)
Wave 1: Clearly formed from the 4,580 area up to ~5,090
Wave 2:
Corrective move into the 0.5 – 0.618 Fibonacci zone
Structure aligns with a typical abc correction
Wave 3 (Expectation):
As long as the 0.5–0.618 zone holds, the probability of an impulsive Wave 3 is high
Wave 3 is usually fast and strong, ideal for BUY hold setups
3️⃣ Key Levels (Execution-Focused)
🟢 BUY HOLD ZONE (Priority)
4,795 – 4,725
Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618
Confluence with demand and structural support
Ideal zone for Wave 2 completion
🔴 SELL SCALP ZONES (Secondary)
5,157 – intraday supply
5,380 – 5,400 – higher-timeframe resistance
4️⃣ Trading Bias
✅ BUY – Primary Focus
Mindset: BUY Wave 3 → hold
No chasing price
Entries only after:
Clear reaction at Fibonacci support
Confirmation on M5–M15
⚠️ SELL – Counter-Trend Scalping Only
SELL only at resistance
No trend reversal expectation
No holding sell positions
5️⃣ Trading Plan – Pero Execution
BUY GOLD 4579 - 4581
↠ Stop Loss 4571
→ Take Profit 1 : 100 pips
→ Take Profit 2 : 200 pips
→ Take Profit 3 : 500Pips - Open
SELL GOLD 5157 - 5159
↠ Stop Loss 5167
→ Take Profit 1 : 100 pips
→ Take Profit 2 : 200 pips
→ Take Profit 3 : 500Pips - Open
6️⃣ Invalidation Rules
❌ H2 close below 4,580
→ Wave 2 fails
→ Cancel all BUY-hold bias
❌ Mid-range consolidation → stay flat
🧠 Pero Key Note
⚡️ Psychology, discipline, and capital management are the three pillars that turn analysis into consistent profitability. ⚡️
Pero – XAUUSD Trading Plan | 04 Feb 2026Pero – XAUUSD Trading Plan | 04 Feb 2026
1️⃣ Market Context
Gold volatility remains extremely high → not suitable for chasing trends
Current structure suggests the market is trading within Wave 4 corrective phase
Preferred approach for the day: range-based trading
Sell rallies at premium zones, buys are short-term scalps only
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
Price is in a corrective pullback after a strong impulsive decline
Elliott Wave perspective:
Current move = Wave 4 correction
Fibonacci retracement levels:
5133 – 5138 → shallow retracement zone
5252 – 5257 → 61.8% retracement (extreme resistance)
RSI is recovering from oversold → room for one more push higher before rejection
3️⃣ Key Levels
Resistance Zones (Sell Focus):
5133 – 5138
5252 – 5257
Liquidity Area:
511x zone – thin liquidity, possible stop-hunt before continuation or rejection
Support Zones:
4900
4887 (key breakdown level)
4642
4️⃣ Trading Bias
Primary Bias: Sell rallies during Wave 4 correction
Secondary Bias: Intraday buy scalps only before price reaches 5135
Alternative Scenario:
If price breaks and closes below 4887, expect momentum continuation to the downside
5️⃣ Execution Plan (Pero Style)
BUY GOLD 4890 - 4888
↠ Stop Loss 4885
→ Take Profit 1 : 50 ~ 100 pips
→ Take Profit 2 : 200 pips
→ Take Profit 3 : 500Pips - Open
SELL GOLD 5274 - 5276
↠ Stop Loss 5269
→ Take Profit 1 : 50 ~ 100 pips
→ Take Profit 2 : 200 pips
→ Take Profit 3 : 500Pips - Open
6️⃣ Final Note
⚡️ Psychology, discipline, and capital management are the three pillars that turn analysis into consistent profitability. ⚡️
XAUUSD (Gold) – 15M OutlookGold is continuing its recovery after a clear bearish phase, with price printing a CHoCH and shifting short-term structure to the upside. The current move remains constructive while trading inside the broader discount zone.
That said, price is now facing strong resistance around 4995, where previous structure, liquidity, and an unmitigated FVG converge. This area is acting as a decision point rather than a breakout zone.
A pullback is likely, with price potentially revisiting the POI between 4840 – 4790, which aligns with demand, FVG support, and prior structure. A bullish reaction from this zone would offer a healthier continuation setup.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 4995
Support / POI: 4840 – 4790
Bias: Short-term bullish, but expecting a corrective pullback before continuation.
⚠️ Waiting for confirmation. Not financial advice.






















