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XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Gold Under Pressure, 4,078 Remains KeyGold delivered choppy price action yesterday due to the news releases, with buyers failing to break above the 4078 resistance. The metal has now slipped lower and is currently testing the upper boundary of the Support Zone. With price still holding below both the MA50 and MA200, the sellers maintain the short-term advantage, as these moving averages continue to act as dynamic resistance. For buyers to step back in, we need to see a clean recovery above 4053 and then a confirmed break of the key 4078 level for buyers to attempt a move toward 4115. If selling pressure remains, a full test of the Support Zone (4027-3996) is likely. A break below this area could trigger a deeper correction into the HTF Support Zone (3968-3921). 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4053 4078 4115 Support: 4027 3996 3968 3921 🔎Fundamental focus: A batch of U.S. data — including Flash PMI and Consumer Sentiment revisions — could bring volatility after yesterday’s choppy moves. We also have political headlines and Fed speakers throughout the day, which may add intraday swings as markets react to fresh news.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
1
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Watching 4153 Support for Next MoveGold failed to break above 4234 resistance yesterday and pulled back to retest the 4153 pullback zone. Market structure has turned temporarily bearish, with price closing below the 50MA. If the 4153 support holds and price manages to reclaim the 50MA, a retest of 4234 resistance is likely. A clean break above 4234 could open the way toward 4,285. However, if selling pressure continues and 4153 gives way, we may see 4115 tested next. A break below the pullback zone could extend the decline toward the lower support area at 4074–4027, where buyers may look to re-enter. 📌Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 4197 4234 4285 4322 Support: 4153 4115 4074 4027
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
1
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Momentum Strong, Resistance AheadGold continued its bullish move, breaking above the 4074 and 4115 resistance levels and pushing up into the 4153 zone. Price is now showing early signs of slowing momentum at this level, which has acted as a reaction area in the past. Price is currently trading around 4128, still well above both the MA50 and MA200. However, buyers need to hold above 4115 to maintain the upside. A clean break above 4153 could open the way toward 4197 next. If price fails to hold above 4115, we could see a pullback first into 4074, and if selling pressure deepens, the 4027 level and the First Reaction Zone (3984–3955) remain key areas where buyers have previously stepped back in. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 4,153 4,197 Support: 4,115 4,074 4,027 3,984 3,955 3,921 3,884 🔎 Fundamental Focus This week remains highly sensitive due to ongoing developments around the U.S. government shutdown. Today is a U.S. bank holiday, meaning liquidity may be lower, we may see exaggerated moves and less stable price action.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Watching 3957–3918 for Buyer ReactionGold remains in consolidation after failing to break above the 4042 resistance yesterday. The rejection from the MA200, followed by a break below the 3989 support level. Price is now trading around 3982, approaching the First Reaction Zone (3957–3918). If this zone fails to hold, further weakness could expose the Support Zone (3884–3851), followed by the HTF Support Zone (3820–3781) as deeper reaction levels. To shift momentum back to the upside, buyers need to reclaim 3989 and 4042, with the MA200 continuing to act as a major dynamic resistance. 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 3989 4042 4090 4142 Support: 3957 3918 3884 3851 🔎 Fundamental Focus: There are no major economic releases on the calendar today, but traders should remain cautious as political headlines and broader fundamental developments can still drive sharp moves in gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Range-Bound Before Next MoveGold continues to trade in a tight range, holding just above the MA50 and approaching the MA200, as buyers attempt to regain short-term control. The metal is currently hovering around 4025, with price consolidating below the 4042 resistance — a key barrier that has capped upside attempts in recent sessions. If bulls manage a clean break above 4042, the next resistance stands at 4090, followed by 4120. However, failure to break higher could see price rotate back toward 3990 and the First Reaction Zone (3957–3918) for potential support. A deeper pullback below 3918 would shift focus toward the Support Zone (3884–3851) and the HTF Support Zone (3820–3781) — areas where stronger buying interest has previously emerged. 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4042 4090 4120 Support: 3990 3957 3918 3884 🔎 Fundamental Focus: The ongoing U.S. government shutdown, now in its fifth week, has significantly disrupted the release of key economic data, leaving traders with limited insight into the real state of the U.S. economy. This uncertainty is keeping market sentiment cautious, with investors closely watching the few reports still being released — such as ISM Manufacturing PMI today — for clues on growth and inflation. The lack of reliable data continues to support safe-haven demand, with gold remaining sensitive to any signs of progress toward resolving the shutdown.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchYesterday’s analysis is playing out as expected — after breaking above the 3987 resistance, gold tested the 4042 level, but failed to sustain momentum and pulled back for a retest of 3987, now acting as short-term support. We need to see a clear break of either level to confirm direction, otherwise price may continue to range within this zone before the next move. A break above 4,042 could open the way for a push toward 4095 and 4137, while a break below 3987 would likely trigger a move back toward the Deeper Support Zone (3,944–3,884). 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4042 4095 4137 4178 Support: 3987 3944 3884 3820
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD | Testing Deeper Support ZoneYesterday’s analysis is playing out as expected — the first support zone has failed, and price is now testing the Deeper Support Zone (3,944–3,884). The continued downside momentum confirms that sellers remain firmly in control, with short-term sentiment still leaning strongly bearish. Gold is currently trading around 3,930, holding well below both the MA50 and MA200, reinforcing ongoing downside pressure. If buyers can defend this zone and push price back above 3,987, a corrective rebound toward 4,042 and 4,095 could follow. However, a clean break below 3,884 would likely open the door for a deeper decline toward 3,820–3,781, where dip-buyers may look to re-enter the market. 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 3944 3987 4042 4095 4137 Support: 3884 3820 3781 Despite the current correction, the overall bullish trend remains intact, with the recent sell-off seen as a healthy correction within the broader bullish trend. 🔎 Fundamental Focus: It’s a big week for the U.S., with the FOMC rate decision and press conference on Wednesday expected to draw most of the market’s attention. Before that, traders will be watching Consumer Confidence and Pending Home Sales data today. The backdrop remains tense with the U.S. government shutdown still unresolved, keeping overall sentiment cautious across markets.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Gold Rebounds Ahead of FOMCPrice is respecting the analysis well — after testing the Deeper Support Zone (3944–3884), gold saw a strong rejection. Price has since rebounded and is now trading around 4017, showing signs of short-term recovery after several sessions of heavy downside pressure. Gold has reclaimed the 4000 handle and moved back above the MA50, while also breaking the 1H structure to bullish. However, price still trades below the MA200, suggesting that short-term momentum has turned bullish. For continuation, buyers need to secure a close above 4042, which could open the path toward 4095 and 4137. On the downside, if price fails to hold above 3987, we could see another retest of 3944–3884, the same zone where buyers previously stepped in. 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4042 4095 4137 4178 Support: 3987 3944 3884 3820 🔎 Fundamental Focus: All eyes are on the FOMC events later today, with the Federal Funds Rate, FOMC Statement, and Press Conference scheduled in the evening.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD | Gold Under Pressure, Support & Resistance to WatchGold continues to trade under pressure, holding below both the MA50 and MA200, keeping short-term momentum firmly tilted to the downside. Price is currently hovering just below the 4,095 support level, with the market remaining range-bound within a broader corrective structure. Buyers will need a confirmed break above 4,137 to trigger a potential recovery toward 4,178 and 4,234. On the downside, the 4,042–3,987 Support Zone serves as an intermediate area to monitor for short-term reactions. A failure to hold this zone could extend the decline toward the Deeper Support Zone, which remains a major reaction area where dip-buyers are expected to re-enter the market. 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4095 4136 4178 4234 4285 Support: 4042 3987 3944 🔎 Fundamental focus: Gold remains under pressure as traders weigh ongoing U.S. government shutdown risks and delayed economic data, which have limited visibility into the real state of the economy. While short-term price action remains corrective, safe-haven demand and macro uncertainty are still expected to support gold on deeper dips toward key demand zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold continues its powerful ascent, extending gains and printing new all-time highs in nearly every session. Price is currently trending near 4,235 — an intraday resistance level — while momentum remains firm, showing sustained buyer dominance. If price reclaims and holds above 4,235, the next resistance sits at 4,257, followed by 4,280 as an extended upside target. Immediate support is seen at 4,205, and if a deeper pullback develops, watch the First Reaction Zone (4,176–4,150) for potential re-entry opportunities. The broader bias remains bullish with MA50 and MA200 continuing to provide dynamic trend support. 📌Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4235 4264 4280 Support: 4205 4176 4150 4112 4082 🔎Fundamental Focus: Markets are increasingly betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates sooner rather than later, boosting gold’s appeal as lower yields reduce the cost of holding the metal. At the same time, the U.S. government shutdown is adding another layer of uncertainty, freezing data releases and shaking confidence in fiscal management. Tensions between the U.S. and China, along with political instability in parts of Europe and Asia, continue to weigh on global risk sentiment. Meanwhile, central banks and large funds keep accumulating gold as a hedge against debt, inflation, and a weakening dollar. Together, these forces have created an environment with no clear ceiling for gold, as every dip is met with strong buying and momentum keeps pushing prices to new record highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchYesterday, we noted that gold was extended and due for a retracement. Price failed to hold above 4046 and sharply pulled back, testing the upper edge of the First Reaction Zone, which also aligns with the MA50, now acting as dynamic support. For bullish momentum to continue toward 4064 and 4080, price needs to reclaim and hold above 4046. Failure to do so could trigger another retest of the reaction zone and potentially a deeper pullback toward the lower support levels before buyers step back in. 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4046 4064 4080 Support: 4020 4000 3970 3937 3909 🔎Fundamental Focus | October 9, 2025 Today’s spotlight is on Fed Chair Powell’s speech, which is expected to set the tone for the day. Markets will be watching closely for any hints on rate-cut timing or comments addressing economic risks amid the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. Additional Fed officials — Bowman and Barr — are also scheduled to speak throughout the day, which could add layers of volatility if their remarks differ in tone from Powell’s. With U.S. data releases still limited by the shutdown, today’s Fed communications will be the key market driver.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold failed to hold above $3,883 yesterday, triggering a pullback into the $3,861 support where the 50MA is currently holding as dynamic support. Price is now consolidating just above this level. If bullish momentum continues, a retest of $3,883 is likely, with a breakout opening the path toward $3,903. A break below $3,861 would expose the $3,842–$3,828 supports, with risk of a deeper pullback into the First Reaction Zone and a possible 200MA test. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $3,883 $3,903 $3,920 Support: $3,861 $3,842 $3,828 $3,812–$3,796 (First Reaction Zone / MA200 confluence) 🔎 Fundamental Focus – Thu, Oct 2 The spotlight today is on US Unemployment Claims. 👉 With NFP tomorrow, traders should expect positioning swings and volatility around today’s data.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
#XAUSD Correction after Huge rally#XAUUSD Analysis 🔻 Bearish Trend (Correction) Following the huge rally #XAUUSD #Gold shows some signs of correction. Since price broke below the #ascending #trendline, momentum favors sell side. Key downside targets (#Fibonacci extensions & support levels): 1) 3,633 (1.272) 2) 3,624 (1.414) 3) 3,610 (1.618) Final bearish target zone: 3,595 – 3,584 If these levels don’t hold, price could slide further, but this zone is strong support. 🔺 Bullish Reversal Zones watch these levels for potential bounces: 3,633 – 3,624 → first reaction zone (short-term bounce possible). 3,610 – 3,595 → stronger support cluster. 3,584 → major support (if defended, could trigger a bigger bullish reversal). If price reverses upward, key resistance levels to break are: 3,646 (1.0 Fib, now resistance after being broken) 3,666 – 3,676 (Fib retracement levels) A confirmed bullish breakout above 3,690 – 3,707 would invalidate the bearish outlook. ✅ Summary: Bears are in control short-term, aiming for 3,595 – 3,584.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by earnwhileulearn
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold briefly broke above the $3,386 resistance, but failed to hold and has since pulled back, now trading around $3,376. The rejection highlights $3,386 as a key barrier, while price remains supported above the $3,363 level with the 50MA (pink) still trending upward. If buyers can reclaim and sustain above $3,386, the next upside targets are $3,406 and $3,422. On the downside, a break below $3,363 would expose the $3,347–$3,328 support zone, with further weakness opening the door toward the Secondary Support Zone ($3,304–$3,281). 📌Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $3,386 $3,406 $3,422 Support: $3,363 $3,347 $3,328 $3,304 $3,281
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,326, moving lower after repeated failures to reclaim the $3,344 resistance yesterday. Price is now testing the lower edge of the First Support Zone ($3,324–$3,344). It remains capped below both the 50MA (pink) and 200MA (green), which have flattened out, indicating a bearish or indecisive market structure. If sellers gain momentum and break below $3,324, focus shifts toward the Secondary Support Zone ($3,304–$3,281). A clean break under $3,281 would expose the HTF Support Zone ($3,254–$3,229). For buyers, only a sustained move back above $3,344 and the 200MA would shift momentum, opening the path toward $3,364 and $3,386. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $3,344 $3,364 $3,386 $3,406 Support: $3,324 $3,304 $3,281 $3,254 $3,229 📌 Fundamental Focus – Friday, Aug 22 Today’s spotlight is on the Jackson Hole Symposium, with key speeches from Fed Chair Powell, FOMC members, and President Trump expected to drive volatility. Markets will be highly reactive to policy signals and geopolitical remarks. ⚠️ Friday Risk Warning: Expect higher volatility, potential intraday manipulations, and sharp position adjustments as markets head into the weekend close. Liquidity often thins in late Friday sessions, so manage exposure carefully and avoid holding unnecessary risk over the weekend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchYesterday, we highlighted the need for a sustained move above $3,344 for bulls to gain control. However, gold failed to hold that level, with the 200MA providing firm resistance. Gold currently trading around $3,337, sitting just above the 50MA (pink) but still capped below the 200MA (green). This keeps the structure in a neutral-to-bearish stance, as short-term momentum has improved slightly, but the broader trend remains pressured under the 200MA. Buyers need sustained momentum above $3,344, it would open the path toward $3,364 and $3,386. A decisive reclaim of the 200MA would further strengthen bullish momentum. On the downside, failure to hold above $3,324 risks a move back into the Secondary Support Zone ($3,304–$3,281). A deeper breakdown would expose the HTF Support Zone ($3,254–$3,229). 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: • $3,344 • $3,364 • $3,386 • $3,406 Support: • $3,324 • $3,304 • $3,281 • $3,254 • $3,229 🔎 Fundamental Focus – Thursday, Aug 21 Today brings several key U.S. releases including Unemployment Claims, PMI data, and housing figures, alongside the start of the Jackson Hole Symposium. These events are likely to increase volatility in gold. ⚠️ Risk Management: Expect sharp intraday swings and possible fakeouts around data releases. Keep risk tight and wait for confirmation before committing to trades.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchPrice failed to break the $3,344 resistance yesterday, followed by a sharp move lower. It is currently trending just below the $3,324 resistance. Price remains capped under both moving averages, and the structure stays bearish. The first resistance is at $3,324. A sustained move above $3,344 is needed to shift momentum, opening the path toward $3,364 and $3,386. If buyers fail to reclaim this level, the downside bias remains intact, with risk of a test into the Secondary Support Zone ($3,304–$3,281). A clean break below that would expose the HTF Support Zone ($3,254–$3,229). 📌Key Levels to Watch Resistance: ‣ $3,324 ‣ $3,344 ‣ $3,364 ‣ $3,386 ‣ $3,406 Support: ‣ $3,304 ‣ $3,281 ‣ $3,254 ‣ $3,229 🔎 Fundamental Focus: The main event today is the FOMC Meeting Minutes , which could provide clearer signals on the Fed’s rate path and drive sharp moves in gold. ⚠️ Risk/Volatility Warning: High-impact news flow begins today with the Fed minutes and continues into Thursday’s data and Friday’s Jackson Hole Symposium. Expect increased volatility and fakeouts – manage risk carefully and wait for confirmation before entering trades.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is currently trading around $3,338, sitting just below the $3,344 resistance level. Price remains under both the 50MA (pink) and the 200MA (green), which continue to act as dynamic resistance and keep the short-term structure bearish. The recent bounce from the First Support Zone ($3,324–$3,344) shows buyers are still defending this area, but momentum is weak. A clean break and hold above $3,344 would open the path toward $3,364, with $3,386 as the next resistance. If price fails to reclaim $3,344, then a retest of the First Support Zone is likely. A deeper break could expose the Secondary Support Zone ($3,304–$3,281), and if selling pressure accelerates, the HTF Support Zone ($3,254–$3,229) comes into play. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: ‣ $3,344 ‣ $3,364 ‣ $3,386 ‣ $3,406 Support: ‣ $3,324 ‣ $3,304 ‣ $3,281 ‣ $3,254 ‣ $3,229 ⚠️ For now, structure favors range-bound to bearish price action unless gold can reclaim $3,344 and hold above the 50MA. 📌 Fundamental Overview This week is event-heavy with multiple Fed speakers, Wednesday’s FOMC Minutes, and Thursday’s U.S. jobless claims & PMI data all set to drive volatility. The spotlight will be on Friday’s Jackson Hole Symposium, where Powell’s speech could shape expectations for upcoming rate cuts. On the geopolitical side, Trump’s push for a Russia–Ukraine peace deal has raised uncertainty, with reports of territorial concessions being discussed. While no breakthrough has been reached, the headlines add to safe-haven demand for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,344 after failing to break $3,367 minor resistance and hold above the $3,353 level, with both the 50MA (pink) and 200MA (green) now sitting above price and acting as dynamic resistance. A break and sustained hold back above $3,353 would be needed to regain short-term bullish momentum, opening the path to $3,367 (minor resistance) and $3,380. Failure to reclaim $3,353 keeps the bias tilted bearish, with downside pressure likely toward $3,329 and $3,313 - $3,295. Current structure remains under pressure while price stays below the moving averages, with sellers holding the near-term advantage. 📋 Bullish Plan The $3,329–$3,313 zone aligns with main buy-side liquidity and a fair value gap on both the 1H and 4H charts — making it a high-probability reaction area. 📌 Key Levels Resistance: ‣ $3,353 ‣ $3,367 ‣ $3,380 ‣ $3,399 Support: ‣ $3,329 ‣ $3,313 ‣ $3,295 ‣ $3,281 🔎 Fundamental Focus – Fri, Aug 15 Busy session ahead with multiple high-impact US releases, including Core Retail Sales, Retail Sales, and Import Prices — key indicators for consumer demand and inflation trends that can directly affect USD and gold volatility. Later, we have Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations, which may influence market expectations for Fed policy. ⚠️ It’s Friday — expect high volatility spikes. Manage risk carefully and avoid holding unnecessary exposure over the weekend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Gold Medium to Short Term Outlook Gold has shifted into a bullish structure after reclaiming key technical levels. The strong impulsive move from below $3,300 into the $3,354–$3,370 resistance area reflects renewed buying interest, likely driven by improving sentiment and shifting macroeconomic expectations. If bulls maintain control and price breaks and holds above $3,354, we could see continuation toward $3,383 and $3,400, with $3,416 marking the next major higher-timeframe resistance. These levels will be critical in determining whether gold resumes a broader bullish trend or begins to stall into a deeper correction. On the flip side, if gold begins to fade below $3,354, then the $3,335–$3,305 pullback support zone will be key for potential bullish re-entry attempts. A sustained break below this area would invalidate the current bullish leg and expose the market to a deeper retracement toward $3,289–$3,267, with $3,241–$3,208 acting as the higher-timeframe support floor. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance ‣ $3,370 ‣ $3,383 ‣ $3,400 ‣ $3,416 Support ‣ $3,335 ‣ $3,305 ‣ $3,289 ‣ $3,267 ‣ $3,241 ‣ $3,208 🔎 Fundamental Focus Multiple high-impact U.S. data releases this week, including CPI, PPI, Retail Sales, and Unemployment Claims. Expect elevated volatility across sessions. ⚠️ Manage your risk around news times. Stay sharp.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader