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Xauusdlong

Gold continues consolidating; longs/shorts have opportunitiesAfter gold fluctuated at a high level yesterday, it pulled back during the U.S. trading session under the influence of news, with the lowest price touching 3717. The daily candlestick closed bearish overnight with a long lower wick. For today's short-term trading, we should continue to treat it as a high-range fluctuation. On the 4-hour timeframe, the Bollinger Bands are showing a narrowing trend. After consecutive bearish candles broke below the middle band, the price has been moving back and forth, and now it has stopped falling and rebounded in the short term, which means further correction is still expected. The strong support remains at the 3710 level, while the resistance levels to watch are 3765 , and the support levels to focus on are 3730, 3715, and 3710. In terms of operation, there are opportunities for both short positions and long positions. XAUUSD sell@3760-3765 tp:3740-3720 buy@3730-3735 tp:3750-3770 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChaselCecillia
3
Gold Bulls Eyeing $3,800+ – Key Buy Areas RevealedGold is currently holding inside a rising channel structure after making an ATH near $3,790. The market has pulled back from the high and is consolidating around key trendline support. The immediate buy area lies near $3,730–$3,740, which also aligns with the trendline support. A deeper dip towards $3,710–$3,715 could offer a stronger buy trigger zone if price retests. On the upside, gold will likely revisit the $3,790 ATH, and a sustained move above this level may extend towards $3,800–$3,820 in the coming sessions. Overall, the market bias remains bullish as long as price holds above the $3,710–$3,692 support region, with consolidations and pullbacks seen as part of the broader upward trend. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: - Resistance: $3,760–$3,765 - Support: Immediate support $3,730 and strong support $3,710–$3,715 📌 Buy Zone & Buy Trigger: - Buy Zone: $3,720–$3,730 - Buy Trigger: The buy trigger area is $3,760–$3,765, where a breakout above the descending resistance from the ATH would indicate renewed bullish momentum. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
Gold: still go long on pullbacksGold hit a high near 3790 yesterday, then retraced in the early morning. When prices rise a lot, everyone fears the high, but that’s no reason to short. Even with the pullback, yesterday’s big gains aren’t wiped out，so this isn’t weakness, but still strength. A rally followed by a pullback just means upward momentum slowed, not a top. So you can wait if you fear the high: don’t chase longs or go long, but never go against the trend to short at the top. In trends, remember: follow the trend, follow the trend, follow the trend. Today, gold tested 3750 in the morning then rebounded. Short-term momentum is still strong—no sustained pullback, and the market isn’t weak. Don’t short blindly; the bias is still long. Hold 3730, and gold will rally again. Even if 3730 breaks and it pulls back to 3700, it’s still a long chance. Buy 3750 - 3760 TP 3770 - 3780 - 3790 SL 3745 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CarterJordan
GOLD Very Bullish , Can We Buy Again And Get 200 Pips ?Here is My 30 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , the price going up very hard without any correction so we should move wit it and now we finally above 3760.00 With 4H Candle ! and we have a 4H Candle closure above it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 3760.00 , and we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore . Reasons To Enter : 1- Perfect Touch For The Area . 2- Clear Bullish Price Action . 3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A . 4- The Price Take The Last High . 5- Perfect 30 Mins Closure .
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Elite_Club
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold tested the $3,753 support during the Asian session and is currently trading around $3,775, holding just below the $3,782 resistance. A clean break above $3,782 would open the way to $3,796 and the major resistance at $3,806. Failure to break and hold above $3,782 could send price back towards $3,768–$3,753 and potentially deeper into $3,728. The moving averages may provide dynamic support on the way down. 📌Key levels to watch: Resistance: $3,782 $3,796 $3,806 Support: $3,768 $3,753 $3,728 $3,712 🔎 Fundamental Focus – Wed, Sep 24 Yesterday, Powell signalled caution, stressing that rate decisions remain data-dependent — keeping gold supported but vulnerable to swings. Today’s drivers: 🔶Trump speaks 🔶New Home Sales Expect sharp swings and volatility spikes. Manage risk carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Setup 23 Sept 2025Gold has shown strong bullish momentum, breaking above multiple resistance zones and forming a clean rally on the 15-minute chart. After this impulsive move, price is currently retracing, and a key support area lies around 3757–3759, which was previously resistance and may now act as support. A potential long setup forms if price taps into this level, offering a buying opportunity with a target at 3800, aligning with the next psychological resistance, while maintaining a protective stop loss around 3747. This setup reflects a classic resistance-turned-support trade with favorable risk-to-reward.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by QuinnReed_Charts
Gold breaks through high and falls back to continue to go longToday's gold morning situation mirrored that of last Friday and Monday. The US market saw a strong rise, closing strongly at a high in the early morning. This double-strength trend is extremely strong. Don't hesitate the next morning; the opportunity lies between 7 and 8 o'clock. Watch for a surge to the 3760 level. Same situation, same approach. So now, wait for a pullback to 3760 to see if there's a second leg up. Alternatively, give up and wait and see, waiting for peak signals and patterns to emerge before turning bearish! In short, we're currently in an accelerated peaking phase, and there's still room for growth above 3760. Gold Trading Advice: A dip in gold is the best time to buy. Don't worry about a further decline; the upward trend is already a major trend. Let's see when gold breaks through 4000.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by son571
1
Gold Analysis: Breakout Potential Toward $3,800Gold is trading around $3,715, showing strong bullish momentum after breaking out of the recent consolidation zone between $3,595 – $3,640. Price has respected the ascending channel and is now approaching the $3,725–$3,740 resistance zone, which is a key area to watch. A sustained break above this zone could open the way toward $3,760+ and possibly extend into the $3,800 region if bullish momentum continues. Gold is consolidating after a strong rally. Holding above the trendline is key—breaking below may lead to a deeper pullback, while a breakout above resistance could push prices toward $3,800. Despite short-term swings, the longer-term outlook stays bullish. On the downside, immediate support lies near $3,680–$3,660, followed by the support levels at $3,638 and $3,616. Holding above these levels will keep the bullish structure intact. 📌 Sell Zone & Sell Trigger: - Buy Zone: $3,660 – $3,680 area - Buy Trigger: A clean breakout above $3,725 – $3,740 resistance → Upside target $3,760 – $3,800. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
Gold Falls as Expected: Current Trend & Trading TipsThis morning's strategy already suggested shorting at the 3760 level. It not only accurately predicted the rebound high but also successfully locked in profits from the subsequent pullback. Looking at the current market trend, the 4-hour Bollinger Band has further contracted, with prices fluctuating repeatedly around the middle band, presenting an overall pattern of slow bullish consolidation and correction. Going forward, we need to focus on key levels: keep an eye on the resistance levels at 3765 and 3755, and pay attention to the support levels at 3730 and 3715. There are opportunities for both long and short trades in operations, with the core lying in entering positions at the right price points. Among these levels, the 3710 level remains an important strong support. XAUUSD sell@3760-3770 tp:3740-3730-3720 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChaselCecillia
1
Gold: Opportunities for both longs and shorts.Gold still pulled back downward overnight, which is the time window we reminded everyone to pay attention to yesterday. On the daily timeframe, the price has started to approach MA5. After a relatively large short-term gain, it is facing correction pressure. Today, focus on the support from MA10; there is also a need for a pullback on the weekly timeframe. However, note that there will still be an upward move after the correction—fundamentals have not changed, and the main trend remains intact. After the strong one-way trend shifted to consolidation, short positions can also be traded; there are opportunities for both short-term long and short positions, but it is necessary to seize the right levels. Pay attention to shorting on rebounds near the 3765/3770 resistance, and look to go long near the 3710 support and the daily MA10 level. Currently, price volatility is relatively high, so be sure to control risks properly. Buy 3730 - 3740 TP 3750 - 3760 - 3770 SL 3725 Sell 3760 - 3770 TP 3770 - 3775 SL 3758 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CarterJordan
Gold’s Decade Shines Less Brightly for Stocks: The New Rational Gold’s Decade Shines Less Brightly for Stocks: The New Rationale for the King Metal For over a decade, the narrative surrounding gold was one of stark contrast to the equity markets. As stock indices, powered by tech innovation and ultra-low interest rates, embarked on a historic bull run, gold was often relegated to the sidelines—a relic for the fearful, an underperforming asset in a world chasing yield. The 2010s were, without question, the decade of the stock market. Gold’s shine, by comparison, seemed dull. But a perceptible shift is underway. The latest rally in gold, which has seen it scale unprecedented nominal heights, is not the frantic, fear-driven surge of past crises. Instead, it appears to be driven by a more sober, strategic, and perhaps more durable force: the rational calculations of central banks and a fundamental rewiring of the global financial architecture. This new rationale suggests that gold’s resurgence may not spell immediate doom for stocks, as traditional wisdom would hold, but rather reflects a new, more complex macroeconomic reality where the two can coexist, albeit with gold casting a long, less brilliant shadow over the equity landscape. The Ghost of Gold Rallies Past: A Tale of Fear and Froth To understand the significance of the current rally, one must first revisit the drivers of previous gold booms. Historically, gold’s major upward moves were tightly correlated with periods of acute stress and negative real interest rates. The post-2008 financial crisis surge, which took gold from around $800 an ounce in 2008 to over $1,900 in 2011, was a classic "fear trade." The world was confronting a systemic banking collapse, unprecedented monetary experimentation in the form of Quantitative Easing (QE), and rampant fears of runaway inflation and currency debasement. Gold was the safe haven, the hedge against a collapsing system. Similarly, the spike in mid-2020, at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, was a panic-driven flight to safety as global economies screeched to a halt. These rallies shared common characteristics: they were often sharp, volatile, and ultimately prone to significant retracements. When the immediate crisis abated—when inflation failed to materialize post-2008, or when fiscal and monetary stimulus ignited a V-shaped stock market recovery in 2020—the rationale for holding a non-yielding asset weakened. Money flowed back into risk assets like stocks. Gold’s role was binary: it was the asset for when things were falling apart. In a functioning, risk-on market, it had little place. This created the perception of an inverse relationship. A strong gold price was a signal of market distress, and thus, bad for stocks. But this decade is different. The New Architects: Central Banks and Strategic Repatriation The most profound change in the gold market has been the transformation of its largest and most influential buyers: central banks. For years, the narrative was that developed Western central banks, holders of the world’s primary reserve currencies, were gradually diversifying away from gold. The modern financial system, built on the U.S. dollar, Treasury bonds, and other interest-bearing instruments, was deemed superior. That assumption has been decisively overturned. Since around 2010, but accelerating dramatically in recent years, central banks—particularly those in emerging economies—have become net purchasers of gold on a massive and sustained scale. The World Gold Council reports that central banks have been adding to their reserves for over a decade, with annual purchases hitting multi-decade records. This buying is not driven by panic. It is a calculated, long-term strategic move rooted in three key rationales: 1. De-dollarization and Geopolitical Hedging: The weaponization of the U.S. dollar through sanctions, particularly against Russia following its invasion of Ukraine, served as a wake-up call for nations not squarely in the U.S. geopolitical orbit. Holding vast reserves in U.S. Treasury bonds suddenly carried a new risk: they could be frozen or seized. Gold, by contrast, is a sovereign asset. It can be held within a nation’s own vaults, is nobody’s liability, and is beyond the reach of any other country’s financial system. For China, Russia, India, Turkey, and many nations in the Global South, accumulating gold is a strategic imperative to reduce dependency on the dollar and insulate their economies from geopolitical friction. 2. Diversification Against Fiscal Profligacy: Even for allies of the U.S., the sheer scale of U.S. government debt is a growing concern. With debt-to-GDP ratios at record levels in many developed nations and little political will to address them, the long-term value of fiat currencies is being questioned. Central banks are increasingly viewing gold as a perennial hedge against the fiscal and monetary policies of their allies—a form of insurance against the potential devaluation of the very government bonds that form the backbone of their reserves. 3. A Return to a Multi-Polar Financial World: The post-Bretton Woods era has been dominated by the U.S. dollar. There are increasing signs that the world is shifting towards a multi-polar system, with the euro, Chinese yuan, and possibly other currencies playing larger roles. In such a transitional period, gold’s historical role as a neutral, trusted store of value becomes immensely attractive. It is the one asset that is not tied to the economic fortunes or policies of a single nation. This central bank demand provides a powerful, structural floor under the gold price. It is consistent, price-insensitive buying (they are not chasing momentum but executing a strategy) that is largely divorced from the short-term sentiment swings of the stock market. This is the "more rational calculation" that makes the current rally fundamentally different and potentially longer-lasting. The Interest Rate Conundrum: Gold’s Old Nemesis Loses Its Bite For years, the primary argument against gold was simple: it offers no yield. In a world of rising interest rates, where investors can earn a attractive, risk-free return on cash or government bonds, the opportunity cost of holding gold becomes prohibitive. The theory held that the Federal Reserve’s aggressive hiking cycle from 2022 onward would crush the gold price. It didn’t. Gold not only weathered the storm but continued its ascent. This paradox reveals another layer of the new rationale. While nominal rates rose, real interest rates (nominal rates minus inflation) have been more ambiguous. Periods of high inflation meant that even with higher rates, the real return on cash and bonds was often negative or minimal. In such an environment, gold, as a traditional inflation hedge, retains its appeal. More importantly, the market’s focus has shifted from the level of rates to their trajectory. There is a growing belief that the era of structurally higher interest rates is unsustainable, given the colossal levels of global debt. Servicing this debt becomes exponentially more difficult as rates rise. Therefore, many market participants are betting that the current rate cycle represents a peak, and that central banks will be forced to cut rates sooner rather than later, regardless of the inflation fight. Gold performs well in a environment of falling rates, and this anticipation is being priced in now. Furthermore, high rates have begun to expose fragilities in the system, from regional banking crises in the U.S. to debt distress in emerging markets. In this sense, high rates haven't killed gold’s appeal; they have reinforced its role as a hedge against the consequences of high rates—namely, financial instability. A Less Bright Shine for Stocks: Coexistence in a New Reality So, what does this new, rationally-driven gold bull market mean for stocks? The relationship is no longer a simple inverse correlation. It is more nuanced, suggesting a future of coexistence rather than direct competition, but one where gold’s strength signals underlying headwinds that will dim the stellar returns equities enjoyed in the previous decade. 1. The End of the "Free Money" Era: The 2010s were built on a foundation of zero interest rates and quantitative easing. This environment was nirvana for growth stocks, particularly in the tech sector, as future earnings were discounted at very low rates, justifying sky-high valuations. The new macroeconomic order—one of higher structural inflation, larger government debt, and geopolitical fragmentation—is inherently less favorable to such valuation models. Gold’s strength is a symptom of this new order. It doesn’t mean stocks will collapse, but it does suggest that the era of effortless, broad-based double-digit annual returns is likely over. Returns will be harder won, more selective, and more volatile. 2. A Hedge Within a Portfolio, Not a Replacement: Investors are now likely to view gold not as a binary alternative to stocks, but as a critical component of a diversified portfolio. In a world of heightened geopolitical risk and uncertain monetary policy, holding a portion in gold provides stability. This means fund flows are not a simple zero-sum game between the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) and the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Institutions and individuals may increase allocations to both, using gold to mitigate the specific risks that now loom over the equity landscape. 3. Sectoral Winners and Losers: A strong gold price is a direct positive for gold mining stocks, a sector that has been largely neglected for years. This could lead to a resurgence in this niche part of the market. Conversely, the factors driving gold—higher inflation and rates—are headwinds for long-duration assets like high-flying tech stocks. The outperformance may shift towards value-oriented sectors, commodities, and industries with strong pricing power and tangible assets. The stock market’s shine may dim overall, but it will create bright spots in new areas. 4. The Signal of Sustained Uncertainty: Ultimately, a gold market driven by central bank de-dollarization and fiscal concerns is a barometer of persistent, low-grade global uncertainty. This is not the acute panic of 2008, but a chronic condition of fragmentation and distrust. Such an environment is not conducive to the explosive, confidence-driven growth that stock markets thrive on. It favors caution, resilience, and tangible value over speculative growth. Gold’s steady ascent is the clearest signal of this psychological shift. Conclusion: A Duller but More Enduring Glow The gold rally of the 2020s is not a siren call of an imminent market crash. It is the quiet, determined accumulation of a strategic asset by the world’s most powerful financial institutions. It is a vote of no confidence in the unfettered dominance of the current financial order and a bet on a more fragmented, uncertain future. For stock market investors, this does not necessarily portend a bear market. Instead, it heralds a more challenging environment where the tailwinds of globalization and cheap money have reversed. The dazzling shine of the stock market’s previous decade is likely to be replaced by a duller, more realistic glow. Returns will be more modest, risks more pronounced, and the need for prudent diversification more critical than ever. In this new era, gold and stocks will learn to coexist. The king of metals is no longer just a refuge for the fearful; it has become a strategic holding for the rational. Its decade may not shine with the same speculative brilliance as the stock market’s last bull run, but its light may well prove to be more enduring, illuminating a path through a landscape of greater complexity and risk. The lesson for investors is clear: the old rules are changing, and in this new game, gold holds a very strong hand.
SP:SPXLong
by bryandowningqln
Gold operation strategy, firmly bullish and unwaveringCurrently, gold's technical indicators still show an overbought condition, given its recent sharp upward trend. Therefore, some correction is expected. Support remains at the low level of 3746-3754. If this level is broken, a new downward trend could emerge in the short term. Overall, the upward momentum hasn't yet dissipated, but consolidation at these high levels could lead to a potential reversal. After yesterday's attempt to break through 3791, the bullish momentum weakened, requiring a brief pullback. Gold's upward trend pattern generally follows a "three steps forward, one step back" pattern, aiming for new highs. With both the international market and technical indicators pointing to further gains, the probability of a sustained downward correction is very low. Therefore, our trading strategy for today remains to buy on dips. From the 4-hour analysis, the effective support below is maintained at around 3746-54, and the upper pressure is focused on the 3800 line. The operation is mainly to go long on pullbacks. For the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Gold Trading Strategy: Buy on dips at 3756-60; add to positions on dips at 3746-50; stop loss at 3738; target 3790-3800.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by son571
1
Gold (XAU/USD) Cycle & Trend OutlookXAU/USD Update On the low time frame, Gold is testing the 3,776 resistance zone after a strong rally. Key levels: 3,776 → local resistance. A breakout and hold above this level would confirm continuation toward higher targets (3,800+). 3,762 – 3,657 → key support range. Holding this zone keeps the main uptrend intact. Upside scenario: If price breaks and confirms above 3,776, bullish momentum continues, extending the rally. Downside risk: Failure to hold 3,762 could trigger a pullback toward 3,657. A deeper breakdown below 3,657 would shift momentum bearish, targeting 3,314. Cycle support: 3,314 is the major cycle trend level that Gold must protect to maintain its broader bullish structure. 📌 Summary Above 3,776 → bullish continuation with potential new highs. Hold above 3,762 – 3,657 → main uptrend remains safe. Below 3,657 → correction risk toward 3,314 cycle level.
TVC:GOLDLong
by SatochiTrader
Gold All Time High Continue – Next Target?Gold is currently trading around $3688, just above the 3675–3680 breakout zone, which has now turned into a crucial support. Price is moving within an upward channel, but the recent breakout above equal highs and the labeling of a “weak high” suggest that buyers may still push towards the 3740–3750 resistance area before facing stronger rejection. A decisive break above the $3,700–3,750 zone would open the way to targets in the $3,800+ region and eventually toward $4,000 if the Fed proves dovish and ETF/central-bank demand remains strong. However, failure to hold above 3680 would shift momentum back towards the lower channel, where immediate supports lie at 3565, 3530, and 3498. A deeper breakdown below these levels would open the door for further downside towards the 3440–3400 zone. Any surprise hawkish Fed commentary, a meaningful USD recovery, or a quick drop in inflation expectations could trigger sharper mean-reversion. Buy Zone & Buy Trigger: - Buy Zone: 3670 – 3680 area - Buy Trigger: A clean breakout and 4H close above 3700 will be a buy trigger. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
Gold is advancing robustlyLooking back at the gold 4H chart, the price is moving steadily higher with limited pullback room—bullish momentum is absolutely strong! Gold has already moved above the 3700 key level, with an intraday high touching 3780. The technical outlook has improved significantly: short-term resistance to the upside lies in the 3800 zone, while the 3730 level has now turned into a support level, followed by the 3700 level below. Gold’s short-term support is relatively solid. A pullback in this bull market is a buying opportunity—simply continue to enter long positions on dips above 3730. Buy 3750 - 3760 TP 3770 - 3780 - 3790 SL 3745 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CarterJordan
Gold Ascending Triangle Breakout - Targets $3,800+This chart is not only for trading, it’s also for educational purposes and shows a long-term trade setup. You can see how the triangle pattern works here. On the monthly time frame chart shows a clear bullish structure: a rising lower-trendline (series of higher lows), a flat horizontal resistance across the highs (an ascending-triangle shape) and a breakout candle that closes above that horizontal resistance. That is a bullish monthly breakout => the path of least resistance is upward while the breakout holds. (Market context: gold was hitting fresh lifetime highs around 22 Sep 2025 as Fed easing hopes and safe-haven flows supported the move. Price structure & pattern (what the chart is telling you) Pattern: the formation is an ascending triangle — horizontal (flat) highs vs. rising lows. This pattern is bullish because buyers progressively step in at higher prices against a persistent overhead supply line. The measured-move technique for triangles (height of the pattern added to the breakout) is a standard way to estimate a conservative target. Trend: monthly trend is bullish — higher highs and higher lows inside a rising channel drawn above and below price. The breakout out of the triangle also cleared the upper channel midline, increasing odds of a run to the upper channel boundary. Confirmation to watch: a monthly close back below the breakout level and the rising trendline would weaken the bullish case. Practical Measured Target Using the measured-move method gives a conservative first target: Example estimate from the chart: take the triangle height ≈ (resistance ~3,450) − (swing low ~3,100) = 350. (3,450 − 3,100 = 350). Add the height (350) to the breakout level (~3,450) → 3,450 + 350 = 3,800 as the first measured target; extension toward the top of the longer-term channel puts price into the ~3,900–4,000 neighborhood if momentum continues. (This is the standard target method — actual numbers depend on the exact points you measure on the chart). Key levels Immediate resistance / near-term targets: 3,700–3,900 (measured target and channel top). Immediate support (first line): the breakout zone / prior flat resistance (now support) — roughly 3,350–3,450 on the chart. Secondary support: rising lower-trendline / channel mid — roughly 3,100–3,250. Strong structural support well below: 2,700–2,800 (major prior lows and horizontal red lines on the chart). Use these as rules-of-thumb zones: if price reclaims and holds the breakout zone, bulls remain in control; if price closes monthly back below the rising trendline, the bullish pattern has failed. Macro drivers & why the breakout matters now Interest-rate expectations and real yields are the dominant macro drivers for gold: falling real yields (and expectations of Fed rate cuts) make gold more attractive, and the 2025 rally has been powered by that dynamic. Central-bank buying, geopolitical uncertainty and demand flows are additional tailwinds. U.S. dollar: gold usually trades inverse to the DXY. Around the breakout date the dollar was not significantly stronger (DXY in the high-90s), which removes a major headwind for gold’s advance. If the dollar weakens further, that amplifies an upside path for gold; if the dollar rallies strongly, it increases the chance of a corrective pullback. Scenarios (how to think about probabilities) Bull case (highest probability while breakout holds): price follows measured-move to the ~3,800 region and then challenges the upper channel toward ~3,900–4,000 as momentum and lower real yields continue. Base case (consolidation): a breakout retest — price dips back to the breakout zone (~3,350–3,450), finds buyers, then resumes uptrend (this is healthy and common). Bear case (pattern failure): monthly close back under the rising trendline (and below ~3,100) — that would open a deeper correction toward 2,900–2,700 and reduce the bullish edge. Trade plan and risk management (long-term investors vs traders) Long-term investor (multi-year): if you believe in the macro thesis (lower real yields, central bank demand), holding through volatility is reasonable; consider layering in on pullbacks to the breakout zone (~3,350–3,450) with wider stops and position sizing for multi-year exposure. Tactical trader (swing/position): the conservative trade is to wait for a breakout retest to the former resistance (buy on confirmed support hold). Entry zone: ~3,350–3,450 with a stop below the rising trendline (e.g., below ~3,100 in the chart) and targets at measured-move (~3,800) and then the channel top (~3,900–4,000). If you prefer momentum entries, a clean monthly close above the breakout with continued follow-through on the next monthly candle is a valid trigger, but tighten stops. Always size positions so a failure (close below the rising trendline) does not blow you out — place stop levels outside normal monthly noise. Extra checks (what to watch next) Watch U.S. inflation prints, Fed commentary and the 10-year real yields — those will be the largest macro switches that could change the story. Watch DXY moves: a durable dollar rally would increase the odds of a deeper retracement. On the chart: volume/flow confirmation on the breakout (higher volume on breakout is healthier); monthly-MA alignment (longer MAs acting as support) — these help confirm sustainability. One-line conclusion Monthly chart shows a classically bullish ascending-triangle breakout with a conservative measured target near ~3,800 and upside extension possible toward ~3,900–4,000 if macro drivers (falling real yields, Fed easing expectations, weak dollar) remain supportive; a monthly close back below the rising trendline (~3,100 area on the chart) would invalidate the bullish scenario. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
continue to increase in price - bulls 3784⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) eases slightly after setting a fresh record high near $3,760 in Tuesday’s Asian session, as bulls take a breather amid overbought conditions and firm risk appetite in equities. Still, expectations of further Fed rate cuts following last week’s policy easing, along with persistent geopolitical tensions, keep the downside limited and underpin demand ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s speech later today. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price has huge buying power, continuing the upward trend to create new peaks. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3783- 3785 SL 3790 TP1: $3772 TP2: $3760 TP3: $3750 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3697-$3695 SL $3690 TP1: $3708 TP2: $3720 TP3: $3730 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
2
How Bitcoin Profits Are Fueling Gold's Record Surge In the intricate dance of global markets, a subtle yet significant choreography unfolded, revealing a profound shift in investor sentiment. As Bitcoin, the volatile flag-bearer of the digital asset revolution, stumbled, a powerful wave of capital appeared to flow into a more ancient store of value. Roughly an hour after Bitcoin’s pronounced drop, gold, the timeless emblem of wealth and stability, surged to notch yet another record high. This sequence of events was more than a random fluctuation; it was a clear signal of a sophisticated market maneuver: a profit rotation from the speculative froth of cryptocurrency into the hard certainty of precious metals. The divergence highlights a critical test of the "digital gold" narrative that has propelled Bitcoin for years. While safe-haven flows have traditionally sought refuge in bullion during times of uncertainty, the recent price action suggests a more complex, multi-layered dynamic is at play. Investors, having reaped substantial gains from the crypto market, appear to be de-risking and preserving those profits in an asset benefiting from its own powerful macroeconomic tailwinds. This "digital-to-physical shuffle" offers a compelling glimpse into the evolving relationship between these two assets and the strategic thinking of modern investors navigating a landscape of persistent inflation, geopolitical tension, and shifting monetary policy. Anatomy of the Divergence: Why Bitcoin Stumbled While Gold Rallied The recent price action did not occur in a vacuum. Bitcoin’s slide was a culmination of factors signaling potential "cycle exhaustion." The drop triggered a brutal leverage washout, with a massive volume of bullish crypto wagers liquidated, hitting smaller tokens particularly hard. This cascade of liquidations suggests that the recent rally was fueled by speculative excess, making it vulnerable to a sharp correction. The narrative of Bitcoin as a stable safe haven has been challenged, as its behavior mirrored that of a high-beta risk asset, sensitive to shifts in market liquidity and sentiment. Conversely, gold's ascent to a record high is built on a much firmer, multifaceted foundation. The rally is powerfully supported by several key drivers. A primary driver is the aggressive and sustained accumulation by the world’s central banks. For several years running, official sector buying has reached historic levels, with institutions in emerging markets leading the charge to diversify their reserves away from the U.S. dollar and hedge against geopolitical risk. This sustained, large-scale demand creates a strong underlying price support that is independent of speculative flows. Furthermore, expectations of monetary easing have further fueled gold's appeal. Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion, making it more attractive to investors. With markets anticipating a cycle of rate cuts, the macroeconomic environment appears highly conducive to further gold upside. Finally, ongoing geopolitical conflicts and stubborn inflation have amplified demand for gold as the ultimate monetary insurance policy. Faced with currency devaluation risks and systemic uncertainty, both institutional and retail investors have flocked to the yellow metal, which has a multi-millennia track record as a reliable store of value. This confluence of factors has propelled gold's rally, leading many market observers to revise their forecasts upward. The Rotation Thesis: Locking in Digital Profits in Physical Metal The most compelling aspect of the market action was the timing. The roughly one-hour lag between Bitcoin’s significant drop and gold’s subsequent rally is a tell-tale sign of a deliberate capital rotation. This is not the instantaneous reaction of an algorithmic panic, but the considered move of traders and fund managers observing a trend, assessing the risk-off sentiment, and redeploying capital. This is not the first time this pattern has emerged. In previous market cycles, steep liquidations in cryptocurrency futures have often been followed by noticeable inflows into gold-backed investment vehicles. The current scenario appears to be a larger, more pronounced version of this dynamic. Traders who have enjoyed Bitcoin's run-up are choosing to lock in those volatile, digital gains by moving them into a more stable asset that is itself in a powerful bull market. This rotation challenges the simplistic notion that Bitcoin is a direct substitute for gold. While both are seen as hedges against fiat currency debasement, their behavior reveals different risk profiles. Bitcoin's recent performance confirms its status as a high-risk, high-reward asset, often correlated with speculative liquidity and risk appetite. Gold, meanwhile, is reasserting its traditional role as a core wealth preservation tool and a hedge against systemic risk, supported by the immense and steady buying pressure from the world's central banks. The market seems to be making a clear distinction: Bitcoin is for speculation; gold is for preservation. Broader Implications: A New Dance for Modern Investors The divergence between gold and Bitcoin carries significant implications for investors and asset allocators. It serves as a powerful reminder that despite the maturation of the crypto market, gold’s role in a diversified portfolio remains unique and irreplaceable. The "digital-to-physical shuffle" is a new market dynamic that investors must understand and navigate. For institutional players, this rotation represents a sophisticated strategy to manage portfolio risk. After a period of high returns in a speculative asset, rebalancing into a stable asset with strong fundamentals is a prudent move. The rise of regulated investment vehicles for both gold and Bitcoin has made executing such cross-asset strategies more seamless than ever, suggesting this dynamic will become a more common feature of market corrections. Looking ahead, the outlook for both assets remains complex. Some analysts believe Bitcoin's correction is a healthy cleansing of speculative excess before it continues its upward trajectory. Others argue that Bitcoin's volatility and regulatory hurdles continue to limit its appeal as a true safe haven compared to gold. What is undeniable, however, is the structural bull case for gold. The powerful trend of de-dollarization and reserve diversification by central banks is not a cyclical fad but a long-term strategic shift. As nations continue to seek a neutral reserve asset to insulate themselves from geopolitical pressures and the weaponization of finance, gold is re-emerging as a tangible monetary anchor. In conclusion, the recent market events were a masterclass in modern market dynamics. Bitcoin's stumble, met with gold's powerful rally, was not a sign of the crypto market's demise, but rather its integration into a more sophisticated global financial ecosystem. It revealed a class of investors capable of harvesting profits from high-risk digital ventures and strategically redeploying them into the time-tested security of precious metals. While Bitcoin continues its volatile journey toward maturity, the episode was a resounding affirmation of gold's enduring power. In a world of increasing uncertainty, the ancient allure of physical gold is not just holding its own—it is shining brighter than ever. D
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Gold breaks through 3710 Since the Fed’s interest rate decision was announced, gold’s second attempt to break above the 3700 mark fell short, leading to a sharp subsequent decline. The market then began to question the uptrend and fear a deep correction. Last Friday, market sentiment was almost unanimously bearish on a pullback, with the view that after rebounding to 3670, gold would drop a second time and break below the 3630 level. However, I clearly stated in my article last week that we should use the area below 3620 as the defensive level and continue going long at 3650. Sure enough, gold surged to above 3680 in late trading on Friday. Currently, gold has broken through the critical resistance level of 3710 and continues to move higher. We can seek opportunities to go long at lower prices In our weekend analysis, we predicted that gold would continue its upward movement in the new week, with 3710 as the resistance level. As it turns out, gold indeed broke through 3710 today and kept moving higher. Buy 3680 - 3690 TP 3700 - 3710 - 3720 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CarterJordan
1