[WEEKLY] ANFIBO | Gold XAUUSD - Purple or Gray? [11.24 - 11.28]Hi guys, Anfibo’s here!
XAUUSD Weekly Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
OANDA:XAUUSD is entering a critical phase as price continues to consolidate within a tightening structure, signaling that a major directional move is likely to occur next week. After a period of strong volatility, the market is now compressing energy between the upper and lower boundaries of the current range. This setup is textbook for a break–retest–continuation model, and that’s exactly why my strategy for the upcoming week revolves around two clear scenarios: the “purple arrow” plan and the “grey arrow” plan.
The market will reveal its next major direction once either the upper boundary is broken or the lower boundary gives way. Until that happens, there is no reason to pre-commit to a biased direction — we trade what price confirms, not what we predict.
Trading Plan for Next Week:
We will react based on breakout confirmation:
>>> Scenario #1: Break ABOVE the range – Follow the “Purple Arrow” plan (BUY)
If gold pushes through the upper boundary with strength and confirms a retest, we will switch to a bullish continuation plan.
Key Resistance Levels to Watch: 4147, 4243, 4340, 4356, 4377.
A clean break above structure opens the path back into macro bullish territory, where gold may attempt to revisit or even surpass recent highs.
>>> Scenario 2: Break BELOW the range – Follow the “Grey Arrow” plan (SELL)
Once price breaks and retests the lower boundary, we will look for sell setups targeting the ladder of support levels outlined below.
Key Support Levels to Watch: 4000, 3917, 3890, 3862, 3820, 3793, 3760
A bearish breakout from the range could trigger a multi-wave continuation pattern, giving us multiple opportunities to scale in according to structure.
Risk Management:
Trade only after confirmed breakouts — avoid guessing tops and bottoms.
Keep tight SLs on retests to avoid liquidity hunts common during range boundaries.
Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 across all setups.
Prioritize clean structure; avoid trading inside the choppy middle zone of the range.
Reassess bias immediately if the breakout fails or re-enters the range.
Conclusion:
Next week’s market will be all about patience and reaction, not prediction. With gold coiling tightly, a breakout is imminent, and both the “purple arrow” (bullish) and “grey arrow” (bearish) plans give us a clear and disciplined roadmap. Whether price breaks upward or downward, we already know exactly where our key levels are and how we will execute. Stick to structure, wait for confirmation, and let the market choose the direction for us.
HAVE A POWERFUL NEW WEEK, GUYS!
Xauusdlong
Gold Intraday Channel UpdateGold is currently moving within an ascending channel, with price reacting around the mid-range of the structure. The lower boundary of the channel is acting as a dynamic support zone, while the upper boundary remains the next reaction area to watch.
If price maintains stability above the lower trendline, the structure suggests space toward the upper channel region around the recent intraday highs. The chart highlights how price has been respecting both channel boundaries throughout the session.
This update focuses on the current market structure and key levels visible within the channel.
Gold Setup Is TOO CLEAN to Ignore — Bulls in Control!In my view, Gold currently presents one of the cleanest technical structures across the entire market. Ideally, I would like to see a downside manipulation first, followed by a continuation move toward the 4110 area to sweep internal buy-side liquidity. Only after that, a potential retracement toward the 3900 zone becomes reasonable. Any bearish movement that occurs without first taking buy-side liquidity does not align with my plan, and in that case, I will not consider opening any short positions.
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GOLD Best Places To Buy And Sell Cleared , 500 Pips Waiting !Here is m y opinion on GOLD On 15 Mins T.F , We have a Good movement since Last 2 weeks , and we have a range now for 3 Weeks started between 4050.00 to 4099.00 so we can buy and sell Gold This Week from 2 areas , 4050.00 will be the best place for Buy and range between 4095.00 to 4099.00 will be the best place for Sell , now the price very near selling area so we can wait the price to retest the res area and then enter a sell trade and targeting 4050.00 and when the price touch it and give us a good bullish P.A , we can enter a buy trade and targeting 4099.00 , It`s All Depend On Price action , if we have a daily closure below our support then the price will go down more and more after huge movement to upside .
Entry Reasons :
1- Highest Level The Price Touch It
2- Broken Res
3- New Support Created .
4- Clear Price Action .
5- Clear Support & Res .
6- Price Range Cleared .
XAUUSD - Time to buy gold!XAUUSD (GOLD) was recently in a short term downtrend for a few weeks but has now shown some clear bullish movements ahead. XAUUSD (Gold) has broken out of a downward trend channel that was acting as strong resistance, The price is very likely to head to the next strong resistance level which is marked as the take profit zone (green line). Time to buy!
Accumulated price zone 4100, there is a recovery✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 11/24/2025 - 11/28/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) holds firm in Friday’s North American session after Fed officials signaled the possibility of a December rate cut. The metal trades near $4,096, up 0.53%, after briefly touching $4,101.
Despite mixed US data and shifting rate expectations, XAU/USD has moved sideways for the past three days as traders remain uncertain about its next direction. Recent Fed commentary and the return of key economic releases suggest a steady economy with a strong labor market and persistent inflation pressures
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price accumulates around 4100, showing signs of recovery when breaking the short-term downtrend
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $4133, $4242
Support: $4033, $3982
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold trend in the last week of November⚔️1. Trendline
Descending Trendline (upper red line)
Acts as the main dynamic resistance.
Every retest results in rejection → the overall trend remains bearish.
The 4.150 – 4.160 zone is likely where price may retest the trendline before reversing lower.
Ascending Trendline (lower red line)
Previously the nearest dynamic support but has now been broken.
The downside breakout signals weakening momentum, favoring SELL setups.
⚔️2. Resistance Zones
Resistance 1: 4.148 – 4.150 (Fibo 0.5 – 0.618)
Confluence of Fibonacci retracement and the descending trendline.
High probability that price will retest this area and reject strongly.
Resistance 2: 4.245 – 4.250
The strongest resistance zone (Fibo 1.0).
Only reachable if a strong bullish pullback occurs.
⚔️3. Support Zones
Support 1: 3.995 – 4.000 & 4.028 – 4.030
Confluence of static support + psychological level.
A technical bounce may appear here.
Support 2: 3.890 – 3.900
The strongest support zone.
Main downside target if the price gets rejected from the upper resistance.
⚔️4. Price Scenarios
⭐️Primary Scenario (Bearish)
Price pulls back to 4.148 – 4.152, retests the descending trendline → rejection → moves down toward:
TP1: 3.995
TP2: 3.890
⭐️Alternative Scenario (Bullish)
Valid only if:
Price breaks above the descending trendline
Closes above 4.160
→ Next target: 4.250
TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS
BUY GOLD: 3890 – 3888
SL: 3878
TP: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4250 – 4248
SL: 4260
TP: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
Gold prepares for the US trading session1. Trendline Structure
Upper trendline (descending – red)
Connects descending highs → acts as key dynamic resistance.
Price has been tested and rejected several times → medium-term trend remains down.
Possible bullish breakout zone: 4105 – 4110.
Lower trendline (ascending – red)
Connects higher lows → key dynamic support.
Price is approaching a convergence point, indicating an imminent breakout from the contracting triangle.
2. Resistance Zone
Strong resistance: 4090 – 4110
Coincides with the descending trendline and the previous supply zone.
If a breakout occurs and consolidation occurs above 4110 → further growth potential opens up.
3. Support Zone
Support 1: 4000 – 4004
Nearest demand zone.
If broken, the breakout of the lower trendline will be confirmed, leading to a sharp decline.
Support 2: 3955 – 3965
Fibonacci extension 2.618 + key low zone.
Deep downside target.
Trading Plan
BUY GOLD: 4004 – 4002
Stop Loss: 3994
Take Profit: 100–300–500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4104 – 4106
Stop Loss: 4114
Take Profit: 100–300–500 pips
“Gold Rebounding from Demand – Targeting Supply Line Retest🔍 Key Observations
📉 Supply Line (Downtrend Resistance)
Each rally is being capped by the descending supply line
📈 Demand Line (Ascending Support)
Buyers defending higher lows
Strong bullish reaction off support
💰 Liquidity Grab ($$$)
Liquidity was taken below swing lows — bullish signal
Smart money likely securing positions before pushing up
🟢 Bullish Confirmation
If price holds above demand line + support zone
Expect bullish continuation toward supply line retest
🎯 Suitable Target Levels
Target Level (Approx) Status
🥇 First Target 4,095 – 4,105 At supply line retest
🥈 Extended Target 4,120 – 4,130 Breakout continuation
📌 Trade Idea (Bullish Scenario)
Entry Zone: 4,055 – 4,065 🟩
Stop Loss: Below 4,025 ❌
Take Profit 1: 4,100 🎯
Take Profit 2: 4,125 🚀
RR Ratio: 1:2.5 – 1:3 📈
🧭 Market Sentiment
📍 Bias → Short-term Bullish
🛑 But… sellers may reappear at supply line
⚠️ Watch for fakeouts near the target
XAUUSD – Potential Distribution Phase Signaling Deeper Bearish TAnalysis of the Chart
Your chart shows a full market cycle structure based on Wyckoff + Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here’s a clean breakdown:
1️⃣ Previous Accumulation Phase (Left Side)
Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) labels confirming bullish intent.
CHoCH followed by accumulation zones.
Price gradually builds liquidity (SSL / price points).
Strong bullish impulsive leg begins after accumulation.
2️⃣ Strong Bullish Trend Continuation
Successive BOS levels show continuation of bullish strength.
Several mitigation blocks / filled imbalances visible.
Price aggressively pushes toward the premium ceiling zone.
3️⃣ Entry Into Distribution Phase (Top Right)
Market reaches Premium Ceiling Zone.
Signs of exhaustion appear:
Lower high formations
Reversal zone highlighted
Shift in character from expansion → distribution
4️⃣ Bearish Reversal Structure Forming
The chart shows:
A potential descending structure
Expectation of liquidity sweeps followed by deeper decline
First bearish target (Target One) around 3,902
Second bearish target (Target Two) around 3,700
These levels align with prior imbalances and discount pricing.
5️⃣ Market Psychology According to the Chart
Bulls losing momentum after premium pricing reached
Smart money distributing positions
Expecting a retracement toward major discount areas
Possible sweep of liquidity before continuation downward
Still Good Long R:R's (Gold)Setup
Bullish trend / Correction
Gold still above 50 day moving average
Daily RSI stable around 50 level
Has made a 50% correction of rally since breakout at 3400
Commentary
It seems likely gold needs to first complete an ABCD correction before moving higher - meaning one more lower low. However, support at 3920 could hold, offering good R:R opportunities - even if 4200 holds as resistance.
Strategy
Look for bullish reversals below 4000, above 3920 support
Wait for bigger pullback to the 61.8% Fib / demand zone under 3800
Gold is compressed; next week’s US data will pick a side.Gold is being compressed, the upcoming US data week will decide which side gets squeezed.
Good evening everyone, Brian here with a view on XAUUSD on the H2 and H4 frames for the upcoming week.
Fundamental Analysis – a "tailor-made" week for the USD
Next week is packed with US data, meaning gold will react more to numbers than narratives:
Core PPI, PPI, and Retail Sales
Initial Unemployment Claims
Prelim GDP q/q
Core PCE Price Index m/m – the Fed's preferred inflation gauge
If inflation and growth come out weak, the market will lean more towards the slow growth / easing policy narrative. This usually pressures the USD and supports gold, especially as real yields gradually decline.
Conversely, stronger-than-expected data will strengthen the USD, raise yields, and create short-term downward pressure on gold. In such a context, price and liquidity areas around news releases will be more important than usual – typically, fading emotional spikes back to structural areas is safer than chasing the initial move.
Technical Analysis – triangle, FVG, and key support areas
On the H4 frame, gold is still trading within a broad triangle structure. The previous decline has stalled, with prices continuously reacting at the upward support line and around 4,000, but there has yet to be a clear breakout from the pattern.
When zooming into H1–H2:
The price has broken a short-term downtrend line and closed strongly above – this is an early signal that selling pressure in this move is weakening.
The nearest support is around 4050–4040, deeper is the support band 4000–3998 (marked on the chart as important support). As long as it holds above 4,000, the structure remains positive.
Above, we have a very important confluence area around 4135–4160 including:
Fibo 0.382 of the most recent main decline
An old fair value gap (FVG) and resistance block
Chart note: "Gold will go strong if it passes this price range" – aligns with my view: if the price accepts above this area, the potential for a stronger upward move will open up.
Around 4100 is an area prone to a "large liquidity response" – expect strong profit-taking and position restructuring if the price returns to this area.
Currently, I see the market as accumulating above 4,000 in a corrective pattern, with a slight upward bias as long as 4,000 is maintained.
Key Price Areas
Resistance:
4100 – first liquidity area
4135–4160 – Fibo 0.382 + FVG + strong resistance
Support:
4050–4040 – nearest intraday support
4000–3998 – large frame support; if broken, it will change the picture
3940 area – stronger support if 4k is breached
Trading Scenarios for Next Week
(All are for reference only, not investment advice.)
Scenario 1 – Buy when the price adjusts above 4,000 (foundation for the next upward wave)
Idea: follow the forming upward bias as the price still respects the triangle support and the 4,000 mark.
Entry area: 4050–4040 or any clean retest of the broken downtrend line on smaller frames
Area for cautious position addition: 4025–4005 if there is a deep sweep to 4,000 with a strong rebound reaction
Stop Loss: below 3990–3988 depending on risk appetite
Targets:
First: 4100 (liquidity area)
Second: 4135–4140 (lower edge of FVG/resistance)
Extended: 4155–4160 if a strong continuation move appears
Signals to wait for: wick rejection from support, bullish engulfing candle, or clear intraday structural phase shift to a series of higher highs and lows.
Scenario 2 – Break & Retest Long above 4135–4140
If the price does not give a deep adjustment but runs straight up:
Condition: H2/H4 candle closes clearly above 4135–4140 and holds when retesting
Entry: when the price pulls back in a controlled manner to the 4135–4140 area, turning this area from resistance to support
SL: below 4120
TP: 4180 → 4200+ depending on momentum strength
This is the "gold goes strong" scenario as noted on the chart – viewing the FVG/0.382 area as a launchpad for a larger impulse wave.
Scenario 3 – Bearish scenario if 4,000 is broken
If fundamentals and cash flow turn against gold, decisively pushing the price below 4,000, the bullish view needs to be set aside.
Condition: daily candle closes clearly below 4000–3998
Plan: wait for the price to retrace up to retest 4000–4020 from below
Entry: short when rejection signals appear at that retest area
TP: 3960 → 3940, then reassess the structure
When below 4,000, the triangle will break down, and the market is likely to hunt deeper liquidity areas before potentially forming a new medium-term upward wave.
In summary: as long as 4,000 holds, I prioritize the buy scenario on adjustments, respecting the upward potential to 4135–4160 and beyond. If there is a decisive break below 4,000, the picture will reverse – then retracements up will be opportunities to look for shorts.
Trade according to what the structure shows, not what I hope for. Manage risk tightly around next week's data points and let the major price areas "do the heavy lifting."
If this perspective helps you plan better, don't forget to follow Brian for weekly gold analysis and share your scenarios in the comments to compare.
Gold possible move Gold is currently bouncing from a rising trendline support around 4022–4040, indicating buyers are still active in this zone. If price holds above this support, we may see a bullish move toward the first resistance at 4089, followed by 4133. A breakout above these levels can push price toward the upper target zone around 4212–4243.
However, if price breaks below the trendline, further downside toward 3996 may follow.
BEAR TRAP? - PATH TO 5KIllustrated, I am trying to visualize what the path to 5k could look like SHOULD this be a bear trap and 4000 major support price to hold ground.
Fundamentals keep getting bullish for gold, and demand at a central bank level simply does not stop.
The Fiat currency as we know it, is slowly loosing credibility, and the major shift toward a digital era backed by gold is not fiction anymore and rather quite potential.
The US MUST do what it can to save their reputation and economy, by devaluating the USD dollar and re-valuating the price of Gold, in order to artificially lower their debt. At least that's one way they're trying to pull this off...
REMEMBER: The reasons for WHY things happen almost never matter; what truly matters is WHAT is happening...
Gold is stuck in a corrective phase, and in my humble opinion, it's closer to the next bullish move than many might think.
GOOD LUCK,
persa
XAUUSD Bullish Retracement Setup from Support Zone Toward Key Re1. Market Structure
Price is currently trading near a major support zone (~4055–4060 area), highlighted in blue.
Multiple rejections from this zone in the past indicate strong buying interest.
The structure shows higher lows forming intraday, suggesting bullish pressure building.
2. Key Zones
🔵 Support Zone (Entry Region)
Marked around 4055–4060.
Price dipped into this zone and bounced, showing a potential demand area for long positions.
🔵 Resistance Level (First Target Region)
Around 4081–4098.
This is the first major resistance the price is likely to test after bouncing.
🔵 Final Target Zone
4120 area, the upper major resistance.
Previous highs around this level show strong selling interest historically.
3. Expected Price Movement
The chart suggests a potential bullish move:
Price bounces from the support (entry) area.
Climbs toward 4081 (minor resistance).
Retraces slightly.
Continues upward toward 4097–4100.
Final push toward 4120 target zone.
This is a classic retracement + continuation bullish structure.
4. Trade Idea
Bias: Bullish
Entry: 4055–4060 (support zone)
First TP: 4081
Second TP: 4097–4100
Final Target: 4120
Stop Loss: Below 4050 (beneath support zone)
XAU/USD: Bullish Push to 4158?As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, FX:XAUUSD is eyeing a bullish push on the 1-hour chart , with price rebounding from a key support zone near cumulative sell liquidation, converging with a potential entry area that could ignite upside momentum if buyers defend against short-term dips. This setup suggests a reversal opportunity amid recent consolidation, targeting higher levels with strong risk-reward.
Entry between 4020-4032 for a long position🎯. Targets at 4158 (main). Set a stop loss at 3990 to limit exposure📊, yielding a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:3 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging gold's safe-haven appeal.🌟
Fundamentally , gold is attempting to stabilize above $4,000 after a sharp pullback, with early signs of a short-term rebound as markets digest fading Fed rate cut hopes and await key US data. Forecasts indicate an average of $3,675/oz by Q4 2025, but recent surges to $4,239 highlight volatility driven by ETF flows and central bank policies. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry Zone (Long): 4020 – 4032
🎯 Target (TP1): 4158
❌ Stop Loss: 3990
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: Approximately 1:3, offering a solid reward structure with defined downside.
What's your outlook on this setup? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
GOLD - Elliott Wave AnalysisGold has now confirmed a breakout from the contracting triangle, completing the B wave of the corrective structure. This breakout supports the expectation that price is preparing for a C-wave advance toward the upper Fibonacci cluster.
Current Structure
• Triangle confirmed as wave B
• Breakout aligns with the internal subdivisions
• Wave (2) still unfolding as a W-X-Y / ABC-type correction
• C-wave upside targets: 4140–4180
• Key fib levels: 0.618 = 4153, 0.764 = 4188
What to Expect Next
A clean impulsive rise is anticipated as the C-wave develops.
Invalidation remains below the B-wave low.
Completion of Wave (2) in the highlighted zone would maintain the broader bearish sequence.
Structure remains clear and the roadmap is intact.






















