[WEEKLY] ANFIBO | Gold XAUUSD - Purple or Gray? [11.24 - 11.28]Hi guys, Anfiboโs here!
XAUUSD Weekly Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
OANDA:XAUUSD is entering a critical phase as price continues to consolidate within a tightening structure, signaling that a major directional move is likely to occur next week. After a period of strong volatility, the market is now compressing energy between the upper and lower boundaries of the current range. This setup is textbook for a breakโretestโcontinuation model, and thatโs exactly why my strategy for the upcoming week revolves around two clear scenarios: the โpurple arrowโ plan and the โgrey arrowโ plan.
The market will reveal its next major direction once either the upper boundary is broken or the lower boundary gives way. Until that happens, there is no reason to pre-commit to a biased direction โ we trade what price confirms, not what we predict.
Trading Plan for Next Week:
We will react based on breakout confirmation:
>>> Scenario #1: Break ABOVE the range โ Follow the โPurple Arrowโ plan (BUY)
If gold pushes through the upper boundary with strength and confirms a retest, we will switch to a bullish continuation plan.
Key Resistance Levels to Watch: 4147, 4243, 4340, 4356, 4377.
A clean break above structure opens the path back into macro bullish territory, where gold may attempt to revisit or even surpass recent highs.
>>> Scenario 2: Break BELOW the range โ Follow the โGrey Arrowโ plan (SELL)
Once price breaks and retests the lower boundary, we will look for sell setups targeting the ladder of support levels outlined below.
Key Support Levels to Watch: 4000, 3917, 3890, 3862, 3820, 3793, 3760
A bearish breakout from the range could trigger a multi-wave continuation pattern, giving us multiple opportunities to scale in according to structure.
Risk Management:
Trade only after confirmed breakouts โ avoid guessing tops and bottoms.
Keep tight SLs on retests to avoid liquidity hunts common during range boundaries.
Maintain Risk:Reward โฅ 1:2 across all setups.
Prioritize clean structure; avoid trading inside the choppy middle zone of the range.
Reassess bias immediately if the breakout fails or re-enters the range.
Conclusion:
Next weekโs market will be all about patience and reaction, not prediction. With gold coiling tightly, a breakout is imminent, and both the โpurple arrowโ (bullish) and โgrey arrowโ (bearish) plans give us a clear and disciplined roadmap. Whether price breaks upward or downward, we already know exactly where our key levels are and how we will execute. Stick to structure, wait for confirmation, and let the market choose the direction for us.
HAVE A POWERFUL NEW WEEK, GUYS!
Xauusdlong
Accumulated price zone 4100, there is a recoveryโ๏ธ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 11/24/2025 - 11/28/2025
โญ๏ธGOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) holds firm in Fridayโs North American session after Fed officials signaled the possibility of a December rate cut. The metal trades near $4,096, up 0.53%, after briefly touching $4,101.
Despite mixed US data and shifting rate expectations, XAU/USD has moved sideways for the past three days as traders remain uncertain about its next direction. Recent Fed commentary and the return of key economic releases suggest a steady economy with a strong labor market and persistent inflation pressures
โญ๏ธPersonal comments NOVA:
Gold price accumulates around 4100, showing signs of recovery when breaking the short-term downtrend
๐ฅ Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $4133, $4242
Support: $4033, $3982
๐ฅ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold Intraday Channel UpdateGold is currently moving within an ascending channel, with price reacting around the mid-range of the structure. The lower boundary of the channel is acting as a dynamic support zone, while the upper boundary remains the next reaction area to watch.
If price maintains stability above the lower trendline, the structure suggests space toward the upper channel region around the recent intraday highs. The chart highlights how price has been respecting both channel boundaries throughout the session.
This update focuses on the current market structure and key levels visible within the channel.
Gold trend in the last week of Novemberโ๏ธ1. Trendline
Descending Trendline (upper red line)
Acts as the main dynamic resistance.
Every retest results in rejection โ the overall trend remains bearish.
The 4.150 โ 4.160 zone is likely where price may retest the trendline before reversing lower.
Ascending Trendline (lower red line)
Previously the nearest dynamic support but has now been broken.
The downside breakout signals weakening momentum, favoring SELL setups.
โ๏ธ2. Resistance Zones
Resistance 1: 4.148 โ 4.150 (Fibo 0.5 โ 0.618)
Confluence of Fibonacci retracement and the descending trendline.
High probability that price will retest this area and reject strongly.
Resistance 2: 4.245 โ 4.250
The strongest resistance zone (Fibo 1.0).
Only reachable if a strong bullish pullback occurs.
โ๏ธ3. Support Zones
Support 1: 3.995 โ 4.000 & 4.028 โ 4.030
Confluence of static support + psychological level.
A technical bounce may appear here.
Support 2: 3.890 โ 3.900
The strongest support zone.
Main downside target if the price gets rejected from the upper resistance.
โ๏ธ4. Price Scenarios
โญ๏ธPrimary Scenario (Bearish)
Price pulls back to 4.148 โ 4.152, retests the descending trendline โ rejection โ moves down toward:
TP1: 3.995
TP2: 3.890
โญ๏ธAlternative Scenario (Bullish)
Valid only if:
Price breaks above the descending trendline
Closes above 4.160
โ Next target: 4.250
TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS
BUY GOLD: 3890 โ 3888
SL: 3878
TP: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4250 โ 4248
SL: 4260
TP: 100 โ 300 โ 500 pips
Gold is compressed; next weekโs US data will pick a side.Gold is being compressed, the upcoming US data week will decide which side gets squeezed.
Good evening everyone, Brian here with a view on XAUUSD on the H2 and H4 frames for the upcoming week.
Fundamental Analysis โ a "tailor-made" week for the USD
Next week is packed with US data, meaning gold will react more to numbers than narratives:
Core PPI, PPI, and Retail Sales
Initial Unemployment Claims
Prelim GDP q/q
Core PCE Price Index m/m โ the Fed's preferred inflation gauge
If inflation and growth come out weak, the market will lean more towards the slow growth / easing policy narrative. This usually pressures the USD and supports gold, especially as real yields gradually decline.
Conversely, stronger-than-expected data will strengthen the USD, raise yields, and create short-term downward pressure on gold. In such a context, price and liquidity areas around news releases will be more important than usual โ typically, fading emotional spikes back to structural areas is safer than chasing the initial move.
Technical Analysis โ triangle, FVG, and key support areas
On the H4 frame, gold is still trading within a broad triangle structure. The previous decline has stalled, with prices continuously reacting at the upward support line and around 4,000, but there has yet to be a clear breakout from the pattern.
When zooming into H1โH2:
The price has broken a short-term downtrend line and closed strongly above โ this is an early signal that selling pressure in this move is weakening.
The nearest support is around 4050โ4040, deeper is the support band 4000โ3998 (marked on the chart as important support). As long as it holds above 4,000, the structure remains positive.
Above, we have a very important confluence area around 4135โ4160 including:
Fibo 0.382 of the most recent main decline
An old fair value gap (FVG) and resistance block
Chart note: "Gold will go strong if it passes this price range" โ aligns with my view: if the price accepts above this area, the potential for a stronger upward move will open up.
Around 4100 is an area prone to a "large liquidity response" โ expect strong profit-taking and position restructuring if the price returns to this area.
Currently, I see the market as accumulating above 4,000 in a corrective pattern, with a slight upward bias as long as 4,000 is maintained.
Key Price Areas
Resistance:
4100 โ first liquidity area
4135โ4160 โ Fibo 0.382 + FVG + strong resistance
Support:
4050โ4040 โ nearest intraday support
4000โ3998 โ large frame support; if broken, it will change the picture
3940 area โ stronger support if 4k is breached
Trading Scenarios for Next Week
(All are for reference only, not investment advice.)
Scenario 1 โ Buy when the price adjusts above 4,000 (foundation for the next upward wave)
Idea: follow the forming upward bias as the price still respects the triangle support and the 4,000 mark.
Entry area: 4050โ4040 or any clean retest of the broken downtrend line on smaller frames
Area for cautious position addition: 4025โ4005 if there is a deep sweep to 4,000 with a strong rebound reaction
Stop Loss: below 3990โ3988 depending on risk appetite
Targets:
First: 4100 (liquidity area)
Second: 4135โ4140 (lower edge of FVG/resistance)
Extended: 4155โ4160 if a strong continuation move appears
Signals to wait for: wick rejection from support, bullish engulfing candle, or clear intraday structural phase shift to a series of higher highs and lows.
Scenario 2 โ Break & Retest Long above 4135โ4140
If the price does not give a deep adjustment but runs straight up:
Condition: H2/H4 candle closes clearly above 4135โ4140 and holds when retesting
Entry: when the price pulls back in a controlled manner to the 4135โ4140 area, turning this area from resistance to support
SL: below 4120
TP: 4180 โ 4200+ depending on momentum strength
This is the "gold goes strong" scenario as noted on the chart โ viewing the FVG/0.382 area as a launchpad for a larger impulse wave.
Scenario 3 โ Bearish scenario if 4,000 is broken
If fundamentals and cash flow turn against gold, decisively pushing the price below 4,000, the bullish view needs to be set aside.
Condition: daily candle closes clearly below 4000โ3998
Plan: wait for the price to retrace up to retest 4000โ4020 from below
Entry: short when rejection signals appear at that retest area
TP: 3960 โ 3940, then reassess the structure
When below 4,000, the triangle will break down, and the market is likely to hunt deeper liquidity areas before potentially forming a new medium-term upward wave.
In summary: as long as 4,000 holds, I prioritize the buy scenario on adjustments, respecting the upward potential to 4135โ4160 and beyond. If there is a decisive break below 4,000, the picture will reverse โ then retracements up will be opportunities to look for shorts.
Trade according to what the structure shows, not what I hope for. Manage risk tightly around next week's data points and let the major price areas "do the heavy lifting."
If this perspective helps you plan better, don't forget to follow Brian for weekly gold analysis and share your scenarios in the comments to compare.
Gold possible move Gold is currently bouncing from a rising trendline support around 4022โ4040, indicating buyers are still active in this zone. If price holds above this support, we may see a bullish move toward the first resistance at 4089, followed by 4133. A breakout above these levels can push price toward the upper target zone around 4212โ4243.
However, if price breaks below the trendline, further downside toward 3996 may follow.
BEAR TRAP? - PATH TO 5KIllustrated, I am trying to visualize what the path to 5k could look like SHOULD this be a bear trap and 4000 major support price to hold ground.
Fundamentals keep getting bullish for gold, and demand at a central bank level simply does not stop.
The Fiat currency as we know it, is slowly loosing credibility, and the major shift toward a digital era backed by gold is not fiction anymore and rather quite potential.
The US MUST do what it can to save their reputation and economy, by devaluating the USD dollar and re-valuating the price of Gold, in order to artificially lower their debt. At least that's one way they're trying to pull this off...
REMEMBER: The reasons for WHY things happen almost never matter; what truly matters is WHAT is happening...
Gold is stuck in a corrective phase, and in my humble opinion, it's closer to the next bullish move than many might think.
GOOD LUCK,
persa
XAUUSD Bullish Retracement Setup from Support Zone Toward Key Re1. Market Structure
Price is currently trading near a major support zone (~4055โ4060 area), highlighted in blue.
Multiple rejections from this zone in the past indicate strong buying interest.
The structure shows higher lows forming intraday, suggesting bullish pressure building.
2. Key Zones
๐ต Support Zone (Entry Region)
Marked around 4055โ4060.
Price dipped into this zone and bounced, showing a potential demand area for long positions.
๐ต Resistance Level (First Target Region)
Around 4081โ4098.
This is the first major resistance the price is likely to test after bouncing.
๐ต Final Target Zone
4120 area, the upper major resistance.
Previous highs around this level show strong selling interest historically.
3. Expected Price Movement
The chart suggests a potential bullish move:
Price bounces from the support (entry) area.
Climbs toward 4081 (minor resistance).
Retraces slightly.
Continues upward toward 4097โ4100.
Final push toward 4120 target zone.
This is a classic retracement + continuation bullish structure.
4. Trade Idea
Bias: Bullish
Entry: 4055โ4060 (support zone)
First TP: 4081
Second TP: 4097โ4100
Final Target: 4120
Stop Loss: Below 4050 (beneath support zone)
XAU/USD: Bullish Push to 4158?As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, FX:XAUUSD is eyeing a bullish push on the 1-hour chart , with price rebounding from a key support zone near cumulative sell liquidation, converging with a potential entry area that could ignite upside momentum if buyers defend against short-term dips. This setup suggests a reversal opportunity amid recent consolidation, targeting higher levels with strong risk-reward.
Entry between 4020-4032 for a long position๐ฏ. Targets at 4158 (main). Set a stop loss at 3990 to limit exposure๐, yielding a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:3 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging gold's safe-haven appeal.๐
Fundamentally , gold is attempting to stabilize above $4,000 after a sharp pullback, with early signs of a short-term rebound as markets digest fading Fed rate cut hopes and await key US data. Forecasts indicate an average of $3,675/oz by Q4 2025, but recent surges to $4,239 highlight volatility driven by ETF flows and central bank policies. ๐ก
๐ Trade Setup
๐ฏ Entry Zone (Long): 4020 โ 4032
๐ฏ Target (TP1): 4158
โ Stop Loss: 3990
โ๏ธ Risk-to-Reward: Approximately 1:3, offering a solid reward structure with defined downside.
What's your outlook on this setup? Drop your thoughts below! ๐
GOLD - Elliott Wave AnalysisGold has now confirmed a breakout from the contracting triangle, completing the B wave of the corrective structure. This breakout supports the expectation that price is preparing for a C-wave advance toward the upper Fibonacci cluster.
Current Structure
โข Triangle confirmed as wave B
โข Breakout aligns with the internal subdivisions
โข Wave (2) still unfolding as a W-X-Y / ABC-type correction
โข C-wave upside targets: 4140โ4180
โข Key fib levels: 0.618 = 4153, 0.764 = 4188
What to Expect Next
A clean impulsive rise is anticipated as the C-wave develops.
Invalidation remains below the B-wave low.
Completion of Wave (2) in the highlighted zone would maintain the broader bearish sequence.
Structure remains clear and the roadmap is intact.
XAUUSD:LIVE TRADEHello friends
Well, we had a decline that we found support for with Fibonacci, and you can see that there was good support from buyers at this point.
We also have a head and shoulders pattern, which is again a positive.
The downtrend line has also been broken, which is also a positive point.
Now, given the arrival of buyers, we can enter the trade and move with it to the specified targets.
Note that the first principle of trading is capital and risk management, so be sure to follow it and avoid emotional behavior.
*Trade safely with us*
NONFARM returns after many days of closure1. Trendline
Descending trendline (upper): Strong dynamic resistance, price is repeatedly rejected โ main trend remains bearish.
Ascending trendline (lower): Dynamic support, but has just been broken downward โ buying pressure is weakening.
2. Key Support Levels
3,926 โ 3,969 (Fibo 0.5โ0.618): Strong confluence zone, the main target if the ascending trendline breaks.
3,891 (Fibo extension 1.0): Deep support, potential area for a short-term bottom.
3. Key Resistance Levels
4,135 โ 4,155 (Fibo 0.5 + supply): Strongest resistance, price faced strong rejection here.
4,192 โ 4,200 (Fibo 0.618): Higher resistance, aligned with the descending trendline โ strong selling confluence.
Trade Ideas
BUY GOLD : 3948 โ 3950
Stoploss: 3938
Take Profit: 100โ300โ500 pips
SELL GOLD : 4148 โ 4150
Stoploss: 4160
Take Profit: 100โ300โ500 pips
XAUUSD (Gold) Is heading UPWARDS! - time to buyA few weeks ago XAUUSD (Gold) was in a short term downtrend but finally broke out of it. The price broke through the downward channel to the upside, the price also held onto strong support (the white trendline which acted as a support level). The price tested the white trendline several times but kept bouncing back each time it hit the support zone. The price then broke through all recent resistance zones and will very likely hit the next resistance zone which is marked as the "Take profit" area. BUY GOLD NOW!
The Arena of XAUUSD-GOLD: New Round BeginsMy friends, Good Morning,
I have prepared a gold analysis for you in a swing trading structure.
The timeframe of this analysis is 4 hours.
In my XAUUSD-GOLD analysis, I will open sell positions between 4124.0 and 4176.0.
My targets are: TP1 - 3995.0 and TP2 - 3969.0.๐
This analysis is purely for your information.
To my friends who support each of my analyses with their likes,
I share these analyses thanks to your likes, because every single like from you is my greatest source of motivation to keep posting.
I sincerely thank all my friends who leave a like. ๐
With respect and love.โค๏ธ
Gold Trade Set Up Asia Session Nov 19 2025Gold Pushed down during New York session sweep SSL but then closes above 4h swing low and BOS to the upside on the 1h and 15m so i want to see internal SSL swept along with a test of the gap to then wait for 5m-15m bullish engulfing candle and CISD to target PDH
Gold Price Outlook: Strong Support Rebound Toward 4,255XAU/USD โ Technical Analysis (16 Nov 2025)
Overall Market Context
Gold experienced a sharp decline after breaking out of its rising channel, reaching a major support zone between 4,050 โ 4,065. Price is currently stabilizing above that support, attempting to form a short-term base for a bullish correction.
1. Key Technical Zones
๐ต Major Support Zone (Strong Demand)
4,050 โ 4,065
This zone has acted as the first strong buy reaction after the breakdown.
Multiple wick rejections show aggressive buyers waiting here.
A clean break below โ opens deeper correction towards 4,025 โ 4,030.
๐ฆ Immediate Resistance Zones
4,100 โ 4,110
First intraday resistance.
Price must break above this to confirm bullish momentum.
4,120 โ 4,130
Secondary resistance.
A break above this confirms the reversal structure.
๐ฏ Main Bullish Target
4,255 โ 4,260
This aligns with:
Former channel midline projection
Fibonacci extension zone
Previous major swing high area on the chart
The chart clearly marks the bull target at 4,255.718.
2. Market Structure Breakdown
๐ป Previous Trend
Price was trading inside an ascending channel (yellow lines).
Broke down sharply โ entered correction phase.
Now attempting a bullish re-entry after hitting strong support.
๐ Current Price Behavior
Price is forming higher lows on the micro-trend after the spike down.
A short-term wedge/bull flag structure is developing.
Bulls are defending support aggressively.
3. Expected Move (Based on Your Chart Projection)
Primary Bullish Scenario โ๏ธ (Most Probable)
Hold above 4,070 โ 4,085
Break above 4,100 โ 4,110
Pullback retest
Push toward 4,130
Bull continuation toward the target 4,255
This matches the yellow arrow path drawn on your chart.
4. Bearish Alternative Scenario โ
If gold breaks below 4,050 with strong momentum:
Next support โ 4,025 โ 4,030
Deeper correction back toward 3,990โ4,000 zone becomes possible.
But currently buyers are controlling the support zone.
5. Summary
Structure: Reversal attempt after channel breakdown
Momentum: Neutral โ turning bullish
Key Level to Break: 4,110
Bull Target: 4,255
Support Holding: Strong
Bias: Bullish above 4,070, bearish only below 4,050 RUS:NG1! RUS:SI1! RUS:GD1! RUS:SV1! RUS:USDRUB.P RUS:MX1! RUS:NA1! RUS:RI1! RUS:IRUS.P RUS:PD1! RUS:ED1!
If you want, I can also generate:
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Trading signal in multiple languages
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Short-term & long-term forecast
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Buy/Sell zones with risk management
Just tell me!
XAUUSD - Time to buy gold...XAUUSD was recently in a short term downtrend for a few weeks but has now shown some clear bullish movements ahead. XAUUSD (Gold) has broken out of a downward trend channel that was acting as strong resistance, The price is very likely to head to the next strong resistance level which is marked as the take profit zone (green line). Time to buy!






















