Bullish trendCAPITALCOM:GOLD is consolidating the 4160-4170 as a very strong resistance. If it crosses. The next stop is around 4200. If it bounces back we can see 4140 as a support.
Xauusdlong
XAUUSD – Major H1 Supply Zone Rejection & Potential Drop Setup📉 Chart Analysis (H1 – Gold / XAUUSD)
1. Price at Strong Supply / Sell Zone
The red zone you highlighted represents a major H1 supply area, where price previously rejected.
Multiple wicks indicate selling pressure, showing buyers are weakening.
2. Current Price Reaction
Price is consolidating just below the supply zone.
This typically suggests liquidity building before a potential sell-off.
3. Bearish Confluence
The arrows show your anticipated movement:
retest → rejection → drop.
Structure supports this idea:
Lower highs forming near resistance.
Buyers failing to break above the supply area.
4. Downside Target
The green line represents the next significant support level, likely a demand zone.
This is a logical TP1 area for sellers.
5. Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bearish from supply zone.
Entry: Sell on rejection inside red zone.
TP: Green support area.
SL: Above the supply zone wick.
Gold price tries to return to 4194⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) edges lower in Thursday’s Asian session, slipping from Wednesday’s near two-week high, though losses remain limited. Expectations of lower US rates and optimism over a potential Russia-Ukraine peace deal are supporting broader risk sentiment, diverting some flows away from safe-haven gold amid light Thanksgiving-thinned trading
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
maintain uptrend above 4100, continue to accumulate and try to return to 4194. Market is optimistic about December interest rate
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4193 - 4195 SL 4200
TP1: $4180
TP2: $4170
TP3: $4150
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4063 - 4061 SL 4056
TP1: $4078
TP2: $4090
TP3: $4108
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GoldXAUUSD
- Change of Characteristics
- Completed " 1234 " Impulsive Waves
- Break of Structure
- Bullish Channel as an corrective pattern in Short Time Frame
- Order Block
How did gold perform after the PPI news?🧭 1. Trendline
Descending trendline (red – dynamic resistance)
Price has clearly broken out above the descending trendline.
Price is currently in a slight retest of this trendline → if it holds above 4,150–4,160, a short-term uptrend is confirmed.
Ascending trendline (hidden in the underlying structure)
Confluence support zone is around 4,107–4,110
→ This is a very strong area for a pullback if it occurs.
🧱 2. Support – Resistance
Key Resistance
4,209–4,212: Strong supply zone, also a confluence with the previous peak area.
4,240–4,242: 1.618 Fibonacci extension + peak in the major supply zone → important target.
Support
4.107 – 4.110: Confluence of:
Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618
EMA as support
Retest zone breakout
→ This is a priority buy area if the price pulls back.
📐 3. Fibonacci
The 0.5 – 0.618 Fibonacci of the rising wave is right in the green support zone → confirming strong demand.
The 1.618 Fibonacci extension points to 4.240 – 4.245 → most likely the final target of this rising wave.
BUY GOLD: 4107 - 4110
Stop Loss: 4097
Take Profit: 100-300-500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4209 - 4212
Stop Loss: 4222
Take Profit: 100-300-500 pips
Gold Trade Secured 150 PipsPrice swept SSL but was still bullish overall so i waited for a CISD and 15m engulfing bullish candle to target BSL
XAU/USD analysisFollowing the appreciation observed in October, the XAU/USD pair has entered a phase of consolidation, currently trading in the vicinity of 4.173 as it nears the apex of a symmetrical triangle formation. From a technical standpoint, the "Weak High" at 4.220 is a notable liquidity target, reinforcing the potential for upward momentum consistent with the prevailing bullish trend. Nevertheless, given the current price compression and the impending economic data releases, a prudent approach is advisable over immediate market engagement. A definitive breakout is required for clarity; a decisive breach of the 4.190 resistance level would confirm a bullish trajectory, whereas a close below 4.130 could exacerbate selling pressure. Consequently, the optimal strategy at this juncture is to await the asset’s departure from the consolidation zone to ascertain the market’s directional intent clearly.
XAUUSD - buy gold...XAUUSD was recently in a short term downtrend for a few weeks but has now shown some clear bullish movements ahead. XAUUSD (Gold) has broken out of a downward trend channel that was acting as strong resistance, The price is very likely to head to the next strong resistance level which is marked as the take profit zone (green line). Time to buy GOLD!
“BOS Confirmed — Demand Retest for Next Bullish Leg🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bullish Continuation Setup from High Probability Demand Zone 🆙
🔍 Chart Breakdown & Key Insights
Price created a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside → confirming bullish momentum ✔️
Retested the Demand Line + Support Zone → buyers defending strongly 💪
High Probability POI (previous accumulation zone) remains valid with liquidity swept below → smart money accumulation evidence 💰
Current pullback = healthy retracement into demand before potential continuation
🎯 Targets (With stickers)
🎯 Target Zone Price Region Sticker
TP1 → Retest recent high 4,165 – 4,175 🎯
TP2 → Liquidity above highs / extended target 4,180 – 4,195 🚀💸
TP1 hit possibility is HIGH due to bullish structure 📈
TP2 depends on strength of breakout ⬆️
📌 Trade Idea (High Probability Setup)
🟩 Buy Entry Zone:
➤ 4,120 – 4,130 (pullback entry at support)
🟢 Take-Profit:
➤ TP1: 4,170 – TP2: 4,190
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 – 1:3+ ✔️
🧭 Market Structure Sentiment
Factor Outlook
Trend Bullish 📈
Liquidity Upside still available 💧
Smart Money behavior Accumulation & continuation expected 💼
⚠️ Just watch if price breaks below the demand line → would weaken this bullish plan.
XAUUSD (Gold) Is heading UPWARDS! - time to buyA few days back XAUUSD (Gold) was in a short term downtrend but finally broke out of it. The price broke through the downward channel to the upside, the price also held onto strong support (the white trendline which acted as a support level). The price tested the white trendline several times but kept bouncing back each time it hit the support zone. The price then broke through all recent resistance zones and will very likely hit the next resistance zone which is marked as the "Take profit" area. BUY GOLD NOW!
Gold Short-Term Structure ObservationGold is moving within a steady upward structure after reacting from a previous demand zone. Price is now approaching an intraday support area, where it has shown multiple technical reactions in recent sessions. If the structure remains stable, the chart suggests potential continuation toward the upper range highlighted.
If you want, I can also make:
XAU/USD: Bullish Push to 4158?As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, FX:XAUUSD is eyeing a bullish push on the 1-hour chart , with price rebounding from a key support zone near cumulative sell liquidation, converging with a potential entry area that could ignite upside momentum if buyers defend against short-term dips. This setup suggests a reversal opportunity amid recent consolidation, targeting higher levels with strong risk-reward.
Entry between 4020-4032 for a long position🎯. Targets at 4158 (main). Set a stop loss at 3990 to limit exposure📊, yielding a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:3 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging gold's safe-haven appeal.🌟
Fundamentally , gold is attempting to stabilize above $4,000 after a sharp pullback, with early signs of a short-term rebound as markets digest fading Fed rate cut hopes and await key US data. Forecasts indicate an average of $3,675/oz by Q4 2025, but recent surges to $4,239 highlight volatility driven by ETF flows and central bank policies. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry Zone (Long): 4020 – 4032
🎯 Target (TP1): 4158
❌ Stop Loss: 3990
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: Approximately 1:3, offering a solid reward structure with defined downside.
What's your outlook on this setup? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
GOLD: Consolidation Won’t Change the Bullish TrendGold is showing a consolidative upward trend today. The intraday price first dipped to a low, then surged upward before pulling back, with bulls and bears engaging in fierce tussles around key levels.
Meanwhile, influenced by the confluence of factors such as interest rate cut expectations and geopolitical risks, it is expected to fluctuate within the range of 4,120 - 4,160 in the short term, and the underlying logic for its medium-to-long-term upward movement remains intact.
In the near term, close attention should be paid to the breakout of the 4,150 resistance level. If the price can stabilize firmly above this level, it may unlock new upside momentum to challenge the 4,200 mark.
On the contrary, if it continues to face resistance, the price may pull back to test the support around 4,100, or even the 4,040 - 4,060 support zone.
Watch out for U.S. economic data tonight! Better-than-expected figures could dampen rate-cut hopes, boost the dollar, and pressure gold,consider trimming positions or taking profits early. If data is weak, gold may break resistance: add positions in line with the trend but don’t chase highs.
Buy 4120 - 4125
SL 4115
TP 4145 - 4155 - 4165
Sell 4155 - 4160
SL 4170
TP 4130 - 4120 - 4110
Gold: Narrow Volatility on ThanksgivingGold is showing a narrow-range oscillatory downward trend today. Influenced by the early close of the market for the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday, trading activity has turned sluggish. With no major news catalysts to drive momentum, it’s difficult to break out of the oscillatory range in the short term. However, the medium-to-long-term uptrend remains supported by multiple core factors.
During the early Asian session, gold briefly touched a high of 4168 before pulling back, and has been fluctuating within the 4140 - 4170 range overall—consistent with market expectations of thin trading and narrowed volatility during holidays.
Initial support lies around 4140, where buying interest has gradually emerged to form effective short-term support.
Key support focuses on the 4120 - 4130 zone, which is expected to effectively slow down further downward movement.
Immediate resistance is near 4170. From today’s price action, the market has pulled back after rallying to this range.
If broken, we will monitor yesterday’s resistance level at 4180.
Trading Strategy:
Buy 4140 - 4145
SL 4135
TP 4160 - 4165 - 4170
Sell 4165 - 4170
SL 4175
TP 4150 - 4145 - 4140
XAUUSD - H2Let's see if today's price can keep 3x, that's good, otherwise it will test 4100 and then increase again
1. Current Market Structure
✔ Trend Bias:
The H2 structure is bullish; repeated BOS on the way up and no strong bearish CHoCH since the 25–26 Nov swing low.
✔ Price is currently trading around:
4,156 – 4,157
…inside a short-term bullish consolidation after breaking the internal equal highs.
2. Key Levels From Chart
🔵 Liquidity BUY zone (Demand)
4,098 – 4,120
This is a strong accumulation zone + FVG + volume node.
→ If price retraces deep, this zone is the best high-RR buy setup.
🔵 Intermediate support
4,131
4,143
Expect price to react here on shallow pullbacks.
🔴 Liquidity SELL zone (Major supply)
4,238 – 4,247
This aligns with the previous major swing high + imbalance.
→ Market is clearly magnetized upward toward this area.
🔴 First reaction zone
4,194 – 4,200
Internal supply + FVG + diagonal trendline.
→ Expect a pullback or intraday distribution here.
3. Expectation Path (Based on your projection)
Primary Scenario – Bullish Continuation
Likely path based on your structure:
Small retracement toward
4,143 → 4,131
Bounce upward targeting
4,171 → 4,194
Deeper reaction at 4,194–4,200 zone
(minor internal supply)
Final push into
4,238 – 4,247 liquidity sweep
This matches your arrow projection and current bullish momentum.
4. Alternative Scenario – Deep Retrace Into BUY Liquidity
If price fails to hold 4,131:
It will likely revisit the 4,098 liquidity BUY zone
Expect strong accumulation there
This would still be bullish unless the LOW at 3,998 – 4,000 gets broken
XAUUSD Watching Key Breakout ZoneGold is currently moving inside a rising structure while respecting the ascending trendline.
Price is retesting the mid-range level and showing a potential buildup near resistance.
If price breaks and holds above the marked horizontal barrier, further bullish continuation may develop.
Invalidation remains below the rising trendline.
If you want, I can also create hashtags or a short co
let wait#XAUUSD price is still bullish but we await for rejection below 4130 or above the 4167 on H1 closure. Now we sell on little retrace.
Below the rectangle 4150-4147 2 times breakout, target 4130, SL 4160.
Below 4130 holds reverse on buy which can maintain bullish retracement, then if possible the H1 close above 4167 then next target is 4182 which holds strong selling rejection.
gold needs await breakout#XAUUSD price is still bullish but we await for rejection below 4130 or above the 4167 on H1 closure. Now we sell on little retrace.
Below the rectangle 4150-4147 2 times breakout, target 4130, SL 4160.
Below 4130 holds reverse on buy which can maintain bullish retracement, then if possible the H1 close above 4167 then next target is 4182 which holds strong selling rejection.
GOLD Triangle Almost Over — Green Arrow to $8000+ Begins After WHere’s the fresh update on Gold that many of you have been waiting for.
In my previous idea I said we had two active scenarios:
🟠 Either we were still building wave C (orange arrow → deeper correction),
🟣Or wave C was already complete and the chart was finishing wave D inside a huge triangle (purple arrow), after which the final green arrow up would start.
My current view:
Wave D (purple arrow) is almost complete!
This means we are literally one step away from a new all-time high. Wave E of this giant triangle is going to form right now — and once it’s finished, Gold will explode upward with the powerful green arrow.
Reminder: my global target remains above $8000+ in the coming years 📈
That’s why we need to watch the completion of wave E very closely — this will be the last major buying zone before the real moonshot!
Stay tuned, I’ll post the exact entry zone as soon as wave E shows its final structure. Don’t miss it — follow and turn on notifications! 🔔
Who’s ready for new ATHs very soon? Let me know in the comments! 👇
XAU/USD Bullish Continuation Setup Toward 4,223 After Liquidity 1. Market Structure
The chart highlights a COCH (Change of Character) followed by a BOS (Break of Structure), signaling a shift from bearish to bullish structure.
Several smaller coch points confirm internal bullish structure building.
2. Liquidity & POI Zones
There is a clear liquidity sweep near the PDL (Previous Day Low), where price dipped into a demand zone to collect orders.
An Extreme POI (Point of Interest) sits below current price — this acted as the strong reaction zone for the bullish move.
PDH (Previous Day High) is marked as an early short-term target/liquidity area.
3. Expected Move
The projection (zig-zag line) indicates bullish continuation after a pullback into the POI zone.
The target is marked around 4,223.629, matching the red horizontal resistance line.
The EMA (9) serves as dynamic support, showing price respecting the bullish trend.
4. Probability Outlook
As long as price stays above the trendline and POI, the bias remains bullish.
A break below the POI would invalidate the setup and open the lower liquidity region again.
Gold (XAUUSD) at a very critical level, wait for a breakout !Gold is currently at a No-Trade-Zone. We need to wait for it to either break up or down before reacting. The video explains the idea in details.
Gold Setup: Breakout Levels MarkedGold is moving inside 4H symmetrical triangle and waiting for a proper breakout. Price is holding above the 4080-4120 and also above the rising trendline so the structure is still slightly bullish. If gold breaks above the upper trendline 4185 it can quickly move toward 4280 and then 4460. But if it breaks below the rising trendline 4060 and the support zone gold can fall toward 4000, 3900 and more to 3800.
Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 4080-4120 only if price shows support or a bounce
Breakout Buy: 4185 Above the upper black trendline
Targets: TP1 4280, TP2 4460, TP3 4555
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
XAUUSD:LIVE TRADEHello friends
Well, we had a decline that we found support for with Fibonacci, and you can see that there was good support from buyers at this point.
We also have a head and shoulders pattern, which is again a positive.
The downtrend line has also been broken, which is also a positive point.
Now, given the arrival of buyers, we can enter the trade and move with it to the specified targets.
Note that the first principle of trading is capital and risk management, so be sure to follow it and avoid emotional behavior.
*Trade safely with us*
