gold on short buy#XAUUSD price have reform above 3879, now we await breakout above the upper limit to continue short buy till 3895 for sell. Stop loss on buy 3870.
Above 3895 holds sell, target 3851, stop loss 3907
Xauusdlong
XAUUSD LONG 15 TF @3871price moving upward, we had clean break out from asian High.We can expect another retest before touching 3900
Gold Trade Set Up Oct 1 2025Price pushed higher in London session creating another ATH so i am still bullish. I want to see a test of either demand to see a continuation higher
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gold sideways#XAUUSD await 2 times breakout above 3893 to buy, target above 3910, stop loss at 3883.
Below the 3883 holds short bearish move, which will drop till 3876-3870.
XAU/USD 4H Chart – Bullish Pullback Setup to Key Support ZoneAnalysis Overview:
📈 Trend:
The price is currently moving in an ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend.
Price has recently touched or slightly exceeded the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting a potential pullback.
🟦 Support Zone (Buy Zone):
Marked in blue, between 3,764.828 (Trade Entry) and 3,718.674 (Stop Loss).
This zone aligns with a previous consolidation area, which now acts as a strong support.
✅ Entry Plan:
Wait for price to retrace into the blue support zone.
Ideal entry around 3,764.828, possibly after a bullish signal (e.g., pin bar, bullish engulfing).
❌ Stop Loss:
Placed just below the support zone at 3,718.674, protecting the trade in case the structure fails.
🎯 Target (TP):
3,975.534 — This is labeled as the LABA TARGET POINT, near the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Risk-reward ratio appears favorable, roughly 4:1 if using the full range between entry and stop loss.
🧠 Trade Idea Summary:
Setup Type: Pullback to Support in Bullish Channel
Bias: Long/Bullish
Entry Zone: 3,764.828 (support)
Stop Loss: 3,718.674 (below structure)
Target: 3,975.534 (channel top)
Conditions to Watch:
Confirm reversal within the buy zone before entering.
Monitor for bearish breakdown if price closes below stop loss zone.
⚠️ Risk Management Tips:
Use proper position sizing based on your account size and stop loss.
Do not enter early; wait for confirmation (e.g., bullish candle pattern) in the support zone.
Keep an eye on macroeconomic news (e.g., NFP, interest rate updates) as gold is very sensitive to these events
XAU/USD – Bullish Trendline Support Targeting 3,910–3,950Analysis:
The chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe shows a clear upward trajectory supported by a strong ascending trendline.
Support Trendline: Price recently retested the rising support line, confirming buyers are still defending this level.
Short-Term Pullback: After a sharp drop from the recent high around 3,820–3,830, price has stabilized near the trendline, signaling healthy retracement within a bullish structure.
Bullish Scenarios:
If price respects the support line, a rebound towards 3,870 and then 3,910 levels is expected.
A successful break above 3,910 may open the door toward the next resistance near 3,950.
Risk Factor: A sustained break below the support trendline would invalidate the bullish scenario, potentially dragging the price back towards 3,790 or lower.
Conclusion: Gold remains in a bullish trend as long as it holds above the support line. Traders may look for buying opportunities on dips, targeting 3,870 → 3,910 → 3,950 in the short term.
Gold Going Up Hard , Can We Get 250 Pips From This Wave ?Here is My 15 Min Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , the price going up very hard without any correction so we should move with it and we have a 4H Candle closure above our Res 3872.00 And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 3872.00 , and we can be targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 4H Closure .
Bulls continue to increase prices, waiting for ATH 3915⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Markets, via the CME FedWatch Tool, now price in a 97% chance of a Fed rate cut in October and a 76% probability of another in December. Growing bets on easing pressured the US Dollar, making Gold more attractive to overseas buyers. Bullion also drew support from fears of a potential US government shutdown, with Washington gridlocked over funding and the Labor Department warning it would halt key data releases, including Friday’s jobs report, if a shutdown occurs.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price returns, continues to create new ATH 3875 in Asian session. Maintain buying power and continue the uptrend
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3915- 3917 SL 3922
TP1: $3905
TP2: $3890
TP3: $3880
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3833-$3831 SL $3826
TP1: $3845
TP2: $3860
TP3: $3870
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
LiamTrading – Gold continues its “madness”LiamTrading – Gold continues its “madness”: Strong trend, but awaiting reaction at 3900
Gold has just recorded its 39th all-time high in 2025, now approaching the 3,900 USD/oz mark. This is not only a significant psychological threshold but also coincides with extended Fibonacci levels, making this area a sensitive market point.
Trend & Trendline
On the H4 chart, gold remains firmly within the upward channel formed since early September. Prices consistently bounce off the lower trendline and expand towards the upper boundary.
The lower trendline around 3760–3780 acts as dynamic support. If prices break below this area, a deeper correction scenario towards 3720–3730 will be triggered.
The upper trendline is currently “pressing” prices right at the 3897–3900 area, converging with Fibonacci 2.618. This is a strong resistance, potentially causing profit-taking reactions and creating a technical pullback.
Volume Profile & Liquidity
The 3800 and 3720 areas are dense volume clusters, indicating that large capital flows are positioned here. These are also potential Buy zones when prices correct.
The 3640–3650 area is a larger liquidity cluster, but will only be activated if there is a strong breakdown from the current trendline.
Reference Trading Scenario
Sell zone: 3897 – 3900, SL 3905, TP 3885 – 3862 – 3850 – 3833
Short-term Buy zone: 3797 – 3800, SL 3793, TP 3822 – 3840 – 3855 – 3872 – 3890
Medium-term Buy: 3720 – 3730, SL 3710, TP 3760 – 3800 – 3850
Conclusion
The upward trend remains very strong, but the 3897–3900 area will be a crucial challenge. If prices are rejected here, we may witness a correction back to the lower trendline before gold continues towards the larger target of 4000 USD.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. Please manage risk carefully and stay updated with the latest scenarios.
Gold Trade Set Up Our morning buy set up played out perfectly bouncing off 15m demand to secure 200 pips now i see a 15m supply that price can play off of before continuing higher so i have a sell limit placed there to target the most recent 15m demand
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$4,000 per ounce – the golden target is almost here!Since the start of 2025, gold ( XAUUSD ) has been on a strong upward trend, gaining around $1,200 per ounce (+45%). By September 30, prices surged to an all-time high of $3,867 per ounce. This momentum is setting ambitious price targets and keeping the metal near historic levels. Amid shifting rate expectations and rising demand for safe-haven assets, platinum ( XPTUSD ) is also on the rise, holding above key levels and signaling renewed investor interest in precious metals.
Back in April, FreshForex analysts predicted gold would hit $4,000 per ounce — at the time, the price had just broken above $3,300. Less than six months later, gold has repeatedly set new all-time highs!
4 key drivers of the rally:
A dovish Fed and weaker USD . The market is pricing in more rate cuts — lowering the opportunity cost of holding gold. A softer dollar also makes the metal more attractive to international buyers.
Demand for safe havens . Rising global uncertainty (including risks of a U.S. government shutdown) is pushing capital into traditional shelters like gold — and records tend to be set during such events.
Central bank buying . For the third year in a row, official sector demand remains strong — especially from emerging market regulators — cushioning pullbacks and creating a firm price floor.
ETF inflows . Gold-backed exchange-traded funds are accumulating reserves, boosting investment demand and locking in higher price levels.
As financial conditions ease, uncertainty stays high, and institutional demand holds strong, gold remains a key asset for conservative strategies. While short-term corrections are possible, the upward trend is likely to continue unless core fundamentals reverse. FreshForex analysts believe the $4,000 mark will be crossed soon, and prices could reach $4,200 per ounce by year-end!
gold selling from 3858.5#XAUUSD price have rejected following today drop below 3793, now price is trading at 3848, we await for breakout above 3858.5 to sell, target 3778, stop loss 3871.8 today high.
Any possibility of breakout above today high then we see a new high above 3876-3888 to sell.
Plan day 30-sep-2025Related Information:!!!
Trump has signed a proclamation adjusting the import of lumber, sawn wood, and derivative products into the United States. This comes alongside the 100% tariff on branded or patented pharmaceutical imports and the 25% tariff on all heavy-duty truck imports starting October 1, announced last week.
According to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, traders are pricing in a 90% probability that the Fed will cut borrowing costs by 25 basis points in October, and nearly a 70% chance of another rate cut in December. This keeps the U.S. dollar under pressure and supports the precious metal.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price corrected sharply to $3,800 before rebounding to $3,850, aiming for $3,900.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Resistance zone point: 3800-3850 zone
XAU/USD – Bullish Trendline Support Targeting 3,910–3,950Analysis:
The chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe shows a clear upward trajectory supported by a strong ascending trendline.
Support Trendline: Price recently retested the rising support line, confirming buyers are still defending this level.
Short-Term Pullback: After a sharp drop from the recent high around 3,820–3,830, price has stabilized near the trendline, signaling healthy retracement within a bullish structure.
Bullish Scenarios:
If price respects the support line, a rebound towards 3,870 and then 3,910 levels is expected.
A successful break above 3,910 may open the door toward the next resistance near 3,950.
Risk Factor: A sustained break below the support trendline would invalidate the bullish scenario, potentially dragging the price back towards 3,790 or lower.
Conclusion: Gold remains in a bullish trend as long as it holds above the support line. Traders may look for buying opportunities on dips, targeting 3,870 → 3,910 → 3,950 in the short term.
The Unstoppable Rise of Gold**Technical Analysis (XAU/USD):**
Gold is trading around **$3,816**, showing continued bullish strength along the upward trend line. Price has respected higher lows, confirming buyers remain in control. Key short-term support levels are visible at **$3,797**, **$3,759**, and **$3,718**. As long as price stays above the **$3,718 zone** (major support), the bullish structure remains intact.
The chart indicates two bullish scenarios:
1. A direct continuation higher from current levels.
2. A potential retest of the **$3,797 – $3,759 zone** before another push upward.
Upside targets in the coming sessions stand between **$3,860 – $3,900**, with further momentum potentially extending beyond **$3,925**.
**Fundamental Analysis:**
* **Safe-Haven Demand:** Persistent geopolitical uncertainties and global economic slowdown fears are keeping gold attractive as a safe-haven asset.
* **Central Bank Policies:** If the Fed maintains a dovish stance or signals rate cuts, real yields may decline, further boosting gold.
* **Inflation Hedge:** Despite cooling in some regions, sticky inflation supports long-term gold demand.
* **Central Bank Purchases:** Record gold buying by global central banks continues to provide a solid floor under prices.
**Conclusion:**
Gold remains in a strong bullish phase, with technicals showing steady upward momentum and fundamentals reinforcing demand. Any dips toward **$3,759–$3,718** may offer buying opportunities as long as the trendline holds, while the broader outlook points toward further gains.
Gold shatters 3800 — momentum is alive🚀 XAUUSD – Daily Plan
New ATH Above 3800 & FOMO Buying Still Driving the Market | MMFLOW TRADING
📊 Market Context
Gold has once again surged to a new all-time high above 3800 USD/oz, with bullish momentum still intact.
Concerns over a potential US government shutdown and renewed tariff discussions have weighed on the dollar.
Market expectations of imminent Fed rate cuts continue to underpin gold.
Fed speeches and incoming US data remain short-term catalysts for volatility, but the broader bias stays bullish.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Primary Trend: Strongly bullish – confirmed by Break of Structure (BOS) + Market Structure Shift (MSS).
OBB Buy Zone: 3787 – 3784, aligning with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement, offering strong demand support.
Sell Liquidity: Clustered around 3840–3843 (FE 1.618), where short-term profit-taking or liquidity traps are likely.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance / Sell Zone: 3840 – 3843
Support / Buy Zone: 3787 – 3784 (OBB)
📈 Trading Scenarios
✅ BUY SETUP
Buy Zone: 3787 – 3784 (OBB)
SL: 3779
TP: 3795 → 3800 → 3810 → 3820 → 3830
✔️ SELL SETUP (Liquidity Trap / Short-term Countertrend)
Sell Zone: 3840 – 3843 (FE 1.618)
SL: 3848
TP: 3830 → 3820 → 3810 → 3800
📌 Notes
Focus remains on buying dips in line with the dominant uptrend.
Short-term sells are only tactical plays within the liquidity zone (3840+).
Risk management is essential, as extended FOMO flows may drive price beyond targets.
XAUUSD is following the 3930 path !!!XAUUSD is still intact on bullish rising wedge channel trend towards 3930!!
In our previous commantary we are expecting 3845 within the next session which gold delivered during Tokyo session.
My stance on XAUUSD?
I'm expecting bit retracement for again pump.
✅️ First point of buying will be 3785-3795 area ,
-H4 candle should closes above it for healthy buyingtrade.
-My target will be 3830 then 3845.
In extension 3930!!
- Secondly if H4 candle closes below 3780 then our buying will be compromised & I will wait till the bottom major supply zone at 3745-3735 for buying.
Additional TIP: Buy the dips
XAUUSD Delivered Excellent profits Thanks to those traders who followed us and made profits 📈 🙏 keep grinding 💪.
I booked profits on -buying orders during Mondays session, entering around 3800 and exiting near 3835 , while my shorter term longs hit the 3845 target on today's Tokyo session hike.
Later, I placed a sell limit at 3865 which got triggered and closed automatically at 3845 TP.
Going forward, I’ll continue buying dips from my key entry zones as long as Gold holds above the 3780 support area and major supply at 3730 on the fractal.
Market just swept stoploss – time for the next 1000 pips BUY 📊 Trading Plan for Today
Main Trend: Gold has broken structure (BOS) and built strong bullish momentum. The recent sharp drop was a stoploss sweep – a liquidity grab before the next leg up.
Buy Zone:
CP Order Buy Zone: 3786 – 3784
Stop Loss: 3779
Targets (TP):
Short-term: 3820 – 3840 (Fib 1.0 – 1.272)
Long-term: 3870 – 3880 (Fib 1.618)
💡 Market Psychology
The sell-off flushed weak hands (stop hunts).
Liquidity is collected → 3786–3784 becomes a strategic buy zone.
Holding above this zone may trigger a 1000 pips bullish wave.
Gold Ascending Triangle Breakout - Targets $3,800+This chart is not only for trading, it’s also for educational purposes and shows a long-term trade setup. You can see how the triangle pattern works here.
On the monthly time frame chart shows a clear bullish structure: a rising lower-trendline (series of higher lows), a flat horizontal resistance across the highs (an ascending-triangle shape) and a breakout candle that closes above that horizontal resistance. That is a bullish monthly breakout => the path of least resistance is upward while the breakout holds. (Market context: gold was hitting fresh lifetime highs around 22 Sep 2025 as Fed easing hopes and safe-haven flows supported the move.
Price structure & pattern (what the chart is telling you)
Pattern: the formation is an ascending triangle — horizontal (flat) highs vs. rising lows. This pattern is bullish because buyers progressively step in at higher prices against a persistent overhead supply line. The measured-move technique for triangles (height of the pattern added to the breakout) is a standard way to estimate a conservative target.
Trend: monthly trend is bullish — higher highs and higher lows inside a rising channel drawn above and below price. The breakout out of the triangle also cleared the upper channel midline, increasing odds of a run to the upper channel boundary.
Confirmation to watch: a monthly close back below the breakout level and the rising trendline would weaken the bullish case.
Practical Measured Target
Using the measured-move method gives a conservative first target:
Example estimate from the chart: take the triangle height ≈ (resistance ~3,450) − (swing low ~3,100) = 350. (3,450 − 3,100 = 350).
Add the height (350) to the breakout level (~3,450) → 3,450 + 350 = 3,800 as the first measured target; extension toward the top of the longer-term channel puts price into the ~3,900–4,000 neighborhood if momentum continues. (This is the standard target method — actual numbers depend on the exact points you measure on the chart).
Key levels
Immediate resistance / near-term targets: 3,700–3,900 (measured target and channel top).
Immediate support (first line): the breakout zone / prior flat resistance (now support) — roughly 3,350–3,450 on the chart.
Secondary support: rising lower-trendline / channel mid — roughly 3,100–3,250.
Strong structural support well below: 2,700–2,800 (major prior lows and horizontal red lines on the chart).
Use these as rules-of-thumb zones: if price reclaims and holds the breakout zone, bulls remain in control; if price closes monthly back below the rising trendline, the bullish pattern has failed.
Macro drivers & why the breakout matters now
Interest-rate expectations and real yields are the dominant macro drivers for gold: falling real yields (and expectations of Fed rate cuts) make gold more attractive, and the 2025 rally has been powered by that dynamic. Central-bank buying, geopolitical uncertainty and demand flows are additional tailwinds.
U.S. dollar: gold usually trades inverse to the DXY. Around the breakout date the dollar was not significantly stronger (DXY in the high-90s), which removes a major headwind for gold’s advance. If the dollar weakens further, that amplifies an upside path for gold; if the dollar rallies strongly, it increases the chance of a corrective pullback.
Scenarios (how to think about probabilities)
Bull case (highest probability while breakout holds): price follows measured-move to the ~3,800 region and then challenges the upper channel toward ~3,900–4,000 as momentum and lower real yields continue.
Base case (consolidation): a breakout retest — price dips back to the breakout zone (~3,350–3,450), finds buyers, then resumes uptrend (this is healthy and common).
Bear case (pattern failure): monthly close back under the rising trendline (and below ~3,100) — that would open a deeper correction toward 2,900–2,700 and reduce the bullish edge.
Trade plan and risk management (long-term investors vs traders)
Long-term investor (multi-year): if you believe in the macro thesis (lower real yields, central bank demand), holding through volatility is reasonable; consider layering in on pullbacks to the breakout zone (~3,350–3,450) with wider stops and position sizing for multi-year exposure.
Tactical trader (swing/position): the conservative trade is to wait for a breakout retest to the former resistance (buy on confirmed support hold). Entry zone: ~3,350–3,450 with a stop below the rising trendline (e.g., below ~3,100 in the chart) and targets at measured-move (~3,800) and then the channel top (~3,900–4,000). If you prefer momentum entries, a clean monthly close above the breakout with continued follow-through on the next monthly candle is a valid trigger, but tighten stops.
Always size positions so a failure (close below the rising trendline) does not blow you out — place stop levels outside normal monthly noise.
Extra checks (what to watch next)
Watch U.S. inflation prints, Fed commentary and the 10-year real yields — those will be the largest macro switches that could change the story.
Watch DXY moves: a durable dollar rally would increase the odds of a deeper retracement.
On the chart: volume/flow confirmation on the breakout (higher volume on breakout is healthier); monthly-MA alignment (longer MAs acting as support) — these help confirm sustainability.
One-line conclusion
Monthly chart shows a classically bullish ascending-triangle breakout with a conservative measured target near ~3,800 and upside extension possible toward ~3,900–4,000 if macro drivers (falling real yields, Fed easing expectations, weak dollar) remain supportive; a monthly close back below the rising trendline (~3,100 area on the chart) would invalidate the bullish scenario.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
XAU/USD – Bulls Eyeing Breakout Toward 3,820From my point of view, Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of strength after rejecting support levels multiple times. The chart highlights a clear horizontal range where buyers have consistently stepped in around the 3,713 – 3,720 zone. This area is acting as a strong base, signaling that demand is present whenever price dips lower.
On the other side, resistance near 3,780 has been tested several times, and each rejection has been weaker than the last – which often signals that sellers are losing control. A breakout above this zone could unleash a strong impulsive rally.
Bulls continue to increase prices, creating new ATH⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
With little on the US calendar, Fed officials dominated headlines on Monday. St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem repeated his hawkish stance, warning that inflation expectations remain elevated despite rising risks of labor market weakness. New York Fed President John Williams noted that policy is restrictive enough to pressure inflation lower, while the labor market shows gradual signs of softening. Meanwhile, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack stressed that inflation is still too high and blamed tariffs for stalling the disinflation process.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Markets are positive, rising after expectations of a rate cut in October increased.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3900- 3902 SL 3907
TP1: $3890
TP2: $3880
TP3: $3870
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3819-$3817 SL $3812
TP1: $3828
TP2: $3840
TP3: $3850
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Trade Secured 150 PipsOur buy set up this morning played out perfectly bouncing off the 15m demand targeting the swing high
www.tradingview.com
