Gold Price Analysis – Bullish Channel Points to $3,936+Gold is trading around $3859 and is moving within an upward channel, keeping the overall structure bullish. Price has recently tested support near $3844 and is showing signs of holding this zone. As long as gold stays above $3840, upside momentum may continue towards $3896 first, and then extend higher towards $3936–$3960 in line with the channel’s upper boundary. On the downside, a break below $3827 could trigger a deeper pullback towards $3793, which is the channel’s base support. In summary, gold remains bullish above $3840, but a drop below $3827 would shift momentum towards further correction.
Overall, the structure remains bullish while price stays inside the ascending channel, but short-term volatility and false breakouts should be expected.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance: $3896 → $3936 → $3960
- Support: Immediate support $3844 → $3827 → $3805
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Xauusdlong
Gold Eyes $3920–3950 as Bulls Defend $3800 ZoneGold is currently trading around 3830, after testing the higher zone near 3870–3880. The chart shows a pullback from the highs, and price is now entering a support & consolidation area around 3819–3805 (Fib 0.382–0.5 zone). This zone is crucial because it aligns with trendline support and previous breakout levels. If buyers defend this region strongly, gold has potential to resume upward momentum toward 3870–3880 (recent swing high) and then 3920–3955 (Fib extension and resistance zone).
On the downside, if 3800–3790 fails to hold, then a deeper correction toward 3760–3740 is possible before buyers step back in. Trendline and market structure are still bullish overall, so pullbacks are expected to be opportunities rather than trend reversals.
Summary:
Immediate support: 3819–3805, then 3787–3760
Immediate resistance: 3870–3880, then 3923–3955
Bias: Bullish while holding above 3790; upside targets 3920–3955.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold price increase - expect 3965 today⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) extends its rally to a fresh record high near $3,920 in early Asian trading on Monday, supported by safe-haven demand amid the prolonged US government shutdown and rising expectations of further Fed rate cuts. Lawmakers’ failure to pass spending bills for a fourth time deepens uncertainty and reinforces demand for the yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold uptrend, gold price FOMO as investors lose confidence in USD
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3964- 3966 SL 3971
TP1: $3955
TP2: $3940
TP3: $3930
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3841-$3843 SL $3836
TP1: $3855
TP2: $3870
TP3: $3887
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold buys above $3850Gold has been making some nice runs in the last two weeks as well as some clean pull backs which are signs of healthy trading. Because of this to be the case, I don't foresee Gold slowing down on the buying up.
If we consider that the highest liquidity pair XAU/USD, and the job market in America is uncertain at best. I think Gold will continue to run up with multiple healthy pullbacks as investors take profits at key levels.
With all that said, I think it is safe to take long positions on gold contingent on the price continues to trade within the regression channel (or above). The entry price would be $3850 with a tight stop loss at $3800
XAUUSD – Price Channel Rising Towards 4000 USD Next Week
Hello Traders,
Every day I share scenarios for you to reference and build your own strategies. And here is the outlook for next week – as gold is in a sustainable uptrend, approaching the psychological mark of 4000 USD.
Technical Outlook
On the H4 chart, gold continues to move within a clear upward price channel.
Every time the price touches the support trendline, a strong rebound occurs, indicating that buying pressure remains dominant.
This price channel has remained stable for many weeks, providing a basis for us to prioritize buying in line with the trend.
The target of 4000 USD is not far off, especially as the fundamental context continues to support the uptrend.
Fundamental Context
The market is expecting the Fed to continue cutting interest rates in October, providing a boost for gold.
Current U.S. financial and economic news is limited, as the U.S. government remains shut down.
Geopolitical factors have somewhat cooled, but gold still holds its position as an important safe-haven asset.
Trading Scenario
1. Buy (main priority):
Entry: 3860 – 3865 (at the rising trendline).
TP: 3960 – 4000.
SL: manage below the trendline.
2. Sell (backup if the channel breaks):
Condition: 3853 is breached.
At that point, a new trend will form, and the Sell scenario will be activated.
Conclusion
Main trend: Buy in line with the rising channel, aiming towards 4000 USD next week.
Sell should only be considered if there is confirmation of a break below 3853.
The market is in a critical phase, so be patient and wait for a good entry point to trade safely and effectively.
XAU/USD – Buy Setup from Support Zone Targeting 39451. Trend Direction:
Price is moving inside an ascending channel (bullish structure).
Higher highs and higher lows confirm the uptrend.
2. Support Zone:
Marked between 3820 – 3800 USD, a strong demand area where buyers previously stepped in.
3. Entry Point:
Suggested Entry: ~3821 USD
This aligns with the support retest inside the channel.
4. Stop Loss:
Around 3794 USD, just below the support zone.
This protects against false breakouts to the downside.
5. Target Point:
3945 USD (channel resistance).
This gives nearly +120 pips potential upside.
---
Risk/Reward Analysis
Risk: ~27 points (3821 → 3794).
Reward: ~124 points (3821 → 3945).
R:R Ratio: ≈ 1:4.5 → very favorable.
---
Overall Analysis
Market is bullish inside the channel.
Best trade setup: Wait for price to retest support (3820–3800) and then buy.
As long as support holds, price has high probability to reach the target zone (3945).
If support breaks, trend may weaken, and gold could move lower outside the channel.
📌 Conclusion:
This is a buy-the-dip setup with strong reward-to-risk. Patience is key → wait for confirmation bounce from support before entering.
"Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Continuation Towards 3910+"This chart shows the XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) 1-hour analysis. Price is currently trading around $3,877, holding above two key support zones at $3,864 (Support 1) and $3,852 (Support 2). The structure suggests a potential bullish continuation if price respects these levels.
The projection indicates a rise toward the 3910 level (new ATH target), followed by further upside toward resistance levels at $3,900, $3,916, and $3,942. The overall bias remains bullish as long as the price holds above the support zones, signaling opportunities for buyers to push the market higher.
Plan XAUUSD day: 02-oct-2025 📍Related Information:!!!
✨ Meanwhile, the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) came in slightly above consensus estimates, improving from 48.7 to 49.1 in September. This helped the U.S. dollar recover from a one-week low reached on Wednesday. However, the momentum quickly faded amid dovish expectations for the Federal Reserve, which continue to support the non-yielding yellow metal.
✨ According to the Wall Street Journal (WSJ), the United States will provide intelligence to Ukraine to support long-range missile strikes on Russia’s energy infrastructure. Trump approved the move, and U.S. officials are urging NATO allies to do the same. This keeps geopolitical risks in play and should help limit any corrective downside in the safe-haven precious metal, warranting some caution for bearish traders.
📍personal opinion:!!!
📉Gold price is heading toward 3900 (ATH) and then moving sideways 3860-3890.
📍Important price zone to consider : !!!
📉Resistance zone point: 3860 zone
XAUUSD Swing Buy Setup – Pullback Entry & Targeting 3968Gold is in a clear uptrend channel (highlighted in pink).
Price is currently trading around 3882, near the upper-mid of the channel.
Projection:
The chart shows a possible short-term pullback toward the BUY ENTRY ZONE (3759 – 3718) before resuming the bullish move.
This aligns with retesting the lower trendline support of the channel.
Key Levels:
Buy Entry Point: 3759
Stop Loss: 3718 (about 40 points below entry zone, safe buffer under support)
Target (TP): 3968
Risk-Reward:
Entry: ~3759
Stop: ~3718 → ~41 points risk
Target: ~3968 → ~209 points reward
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): ~1:5 → Very favorable.
Pattern:
The move suggests a bullish continuation setup after a corrective retracement.
Expected bullish wave could push Gold to new highs above 3960.
📌 Summary:
✅ Bullish bias remains intact.
🔵 Best entry: wait for a pullback to 3759–3718 zone.
🎯 Target: 3968.
❌ Stop Loss: 3718.
This is a swing trade setup with strong upside potential if Gold respects the channel structure.
XAU/USD 4H Chart – Bullish Pullback Setup to Key Support ZoneAnalysis Overview:
📈 Trend:
The price is currently moving in an ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend.
Price has recently touched or slightly exceeded the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting a potential pullback.
🟦 Support Zone (Buy Zone):
Marked in blue, between 3,764.828 (Trade Entry) and 3,718.674 (Stop Loss).
This zone aligns with a previous consolidation area, which now acts as a strong support.
✅ Entry Plan:
Wait for price to retrace into the blue support zone.
Ideal entry around 3,764.828, possibly after a bullish signal (e.g., pin bar, bullish engulfing).
❌ Stop Loss:
Placed just below the support zone at 3,718.674, protecting the trade in case the structure fails.
🎯 Target (TP):
3,975.534 — This is labeled as the LABA TARGET POINT, near the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Risk-reward ratio appears favorable, roughly 4:1 if using the full range between entry and stop loss.
🧠 Trade Idea Summary:
Setup Type: Pullback to Support in Bullish Channel
Bias: Long/Bullish
Entry Zone: 3,764.828 (support)
Stop Loss: 3,718.674 (below structure)
Target: 3,975.534 (channel top)
Conditions to Watch:
Confirm reversal within the buy zone before entering.
Monitor for bearish breakdown if price closes below stop loss zone.
⚠️ Risk Management Tips:
Use proper position sizing based on your account size and stop loss.
Do not enter early; wait for confirmation (e.g., bullish candle pattern) in the support zone.
Keep an eye on macroeconomic news (e.g., NFP, interest rate updates) as gold is very sensitive to these events
XAU/USD – Bullish Trendline Support Targeting 3,910–3,950Analysis:
The chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe shows a clear upward trajectory supported by a strong ascending trendline.
Support Trendline: Price recently retested the rising support line, confirming buyers are still defending this level.
Short-Term Pullback: After a sharp drop from the recent high around 3,820–3,830, price has stabilized near the trendline, signaling healthy retracement within a bullish structure.
Bullish Scenarios:
If price respects the support line, a rebound towards 3,870 and then 3,910 levels is expected.
A successful break above 3,910 may open the door toward the next resistance near 3,950.
Risk Factor: A sustained break below the support trendline would invalidate the bullish scenario, potentially dragging the price back towards 3,790 or lower.
Conclusion: Gold remains in a bullish trend as long as it holds above the support line. Traders may look for buying opportunities on dips, targeting 3,870 → 3,910 → 3,950 in the short term.
Gold Going Up Hard , Can We Get 250 Pips From This Wave ?Here is My 15 Min Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , the price going up very hard without any correction so we should move with it and we have a 4H Candle closure above our Res 3872.00 And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 3872.00 , and we can be targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 4H Closure .
Bulls continue to increase prices, waiting for ATH 3915⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Markets, via the CME FedWatch Tool, now price in a 97% chance of a Fed rate cut in October and a 76% probability of another in December. Growing bets on easing pressured the US Dollar, making Gold more attractive to overseas buyers. Bullion also drew support from fears of a potential US government shutdown, with Washington gridlocked over funding and the Labor Department warning it would halt key data releases, including Friday’s jobs report, if a shutdown occurs.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price returns, continues to create new ATH 3875 in Asian session. Maintain buying power and continue the uptrend
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3915- 3917 SL 3922
TP1: $3905
TP2: $3890
TP3: $3880
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3833-$3831 SL $3826
TP1: $3845
TP2: $3860
TP3: $3870
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
LiamTrading – Gold continues its “madness”LiamTrading – Gold continues its “madness”: Strong trend, but awaiting reaction at 3900
Gold has just recorded its 39th all-time high in 2025, now approaching the 3,900 USD/oz mark. This is not only a significant psychological threshold but also coincides with extended Fibonacci levels, making this area a sensitive market point.
Trend & Trendline
On the H4 chart, gold remains firmly within the upward channel formed since early September. Prices consistently bounce off the lower trendline and expand towards the upper boundary.
The lower trendline around 3760–3780 acts as dynamic support. If prices break below this area, a deeper correction scenario towards 3720–3730 will be triggered.
The upper trendline is currently “pressing” prices right at the 3897–3900 area, converging with Fibonacci 2.618. This is a strong resistance, potentially causing profit-taking reactions and creating a technical pullback.
Volume Profile & Liquidity
The 3800 and 3720 areas are dense volume clusters, indicating that large capital flows are positioned here. These are also potential Buy zones when prices correct.
The 3640–3650 area is a larger liquidity cluster, but will only be activated if there is a strong breakdown from the current trendline.
Reference Trading Scenario
Sell zone: 3897 – 3900, SL 3905, TP 3885 – 3862 – 3850 – 3833
Short-term Buy zone: 3797 – 3800, SL 3793, TP 3822 – 3840 – 3855 – 3872 – 3890
Medium-term Buy: 3720 – 3730, SL 3710, TP 3760 – 3800 – 3850
Conclusion
The upward trend remains very strong, but the 3897–3900 area will be a crucial challenge. If prices are rejected here, we may witness a correction back to the lower trendline before gold continues towards the larger target of 4000 USD.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. Please manage risk carefully and stay updated with the latest scenarios.
$4,000 per ounce – the golden target is almost here!Since the start of 2025, gold ( XAUUSD ) has been on a strong upward trend, gaining around $1,200 per ounce (+45%). By September 30, prices surged to an all-time high of $3,867 per ounce. This momentum is setting ambitious price targets and keeping the metal near historic levels. Amid shifting rate expectations and rising demand for safe-haven assets, platinum ( XPTUSD ) is also on the rise, holding above key levels and signaling renewed investor interest in precious metals.
Back in April, FreshForex analysts predicted gold would hit $4,000 per ounce — at the time, the price had just broken above $3,300. Less than six months later, gold has repeatedly set new all-time highs!
4 key drivers of the rally:
A dovish Fed and weaker USD . The market is pricing in more rate cuts — lowering the opportunity cost of holding gold. A softer dollar also makes the metal more attractive to international buyers.
Demand for safe havens . Rising global uncertainty (including risks of a U.S. government shutdown) is pushing capital into traditional shelters like gold — and records tend to be set during such events.
Central bank buying . For the third year in a row, official sector demand remains strong — especially from emerging market regulators — cushioning pullbacks and creating a firm price floor.
ETF inflows . Gold-backed exchange-traded funds are accumulating reserves, boosting investment demand and locking in higher price levels.
As financial conditions ease, uncertainty stays high, and institutional demand holds strong, gold remains a key asset for conservative strategies. While short-term corrections are possible, the upward trend is likely to continue unless core fundamentals reverse. FreshForex analysts believe the $4,000 mark will be crossed soon, and prices could reach $4,200 per ounce by year-end!






















