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Xauusdlong

Quiet in FX Options — But Gold Is Heating Up Over the past 24 hours, major currency options saw little of interest. In contrast, precious metals — especially Gold — are attracting serious attention. Let’s break down the key developments: 🔹 Observation #1: A New Bullish (But Hedged) Portfolio Appears (See risk profile on screenshot.) A new SMART option portfolio has entered the market: Bullish bias, but with a built-in hedge — which reduces its predictive value. If price drops below $3,800, the portfolio starts generating profit for its owner (via the hedge). Built on the February 2025 futures contract, under an option series expiring in December 2025. 📌 Yes, it sounds confusing — and it is. Option series expire, but futures live on. This creates what we call "expiry risk" — a topic for another deep-dive article. 🔹 Observation #2: Put Activity at 3900 (Dec Series) There’s growing activity in puts at the 3900 strike — moderate bullish positioning or support. The bullish structure is hedged — not a pure directional bet. Bearish positioning remains active. Price has not yet shown signs of moving toward the main long setup. I’d recommend at least 2–7 days of observation before considering any reversal trades. 📌 And here's why: It’s rare for price to move immediately toward the target of a large, long-dated portfolio. More often, there’s a delay of several days — especially when expiry is still far out. Watch the flow. Trade only when the edge is clear. May the data-driven approach be with you!
COMEX:GCZ2025Long
by ClashChartsTeam
“Gold Rebounds from Demand Zone — Short-Term Recovery Ahead”Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour chart shows a strong corrective decline after forming an SMC trap near the 4,250–4,300 zone, where liquidity was swept before a sharp selloff. Price has now reached the High Probability POI (Point of Interest) around the 3,850–3,880 region, showing early signs of a bullish reaction. The recent candle structure indicates buyers are stepping in from this demand zone, confirming a potential short-term reversal. If momentum sustains, the first target zone lies around 3,950–3,980, aligning with minor resistance and previous imbalance fill. Outlook: 📈 Bias: Bullish correction (short-term) 🧭 Key Support: 3,850 – 3,880 🎯 Target: 3,950 – 3,980 ⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 3,840 may reopen bearish continuation toward 3,780
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
XAU/USD: Bullish Rally to 4225?OANDA:XAUUSD is priming for a bullish rally on the 1-hour chart , with price pulling back to a critical support zone after a sharp decline, forming a potential reversal point as buyers defend against further downside amid overall uptrend signals. This setup highlights a classic dip-buy opportunity near the confluence of support and recent lows. Entry zone between 4007-4037 for a long position. Target at 4225 near the resistance zone for attractive upside potential. 📊 Set a stop loss on a close below 3991 to manage risk effectively. 🌟 Keep an eye on confirmation through a bullish engulfing pattern or increased volume pushing above the entry, leveraging gold's volatility in response to USD movements. Fundamentally , today's US Initial Jobless Claims and Existing Home Sales data could introduce volatility to gold and the dollar—Jobless Claims are forecasted at around 233K, while Existing Home Sales are expected near 4.00M, potentially strengthening USD if figures beat expectations and pressuring gold prices. 💡 📝 Trade Plan: ✅ Entry Zone: $4,007 – $4,037 (buy zone near support) ❌ Stop Loss: Close below $3,991 🎯 Target: $4,225 (resistance zone / take-profit area) 💎 Risk-to-Reward: More than 1:4, offering a strong technical edge. What's your outlook on this trade? Share below! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Master_Hunter
2
analysis for Gold (XAU/USD) based on your 15-minute chart:he chart shows a descending channel (marked by “TRADE LINE”) that recently broke to the upside, suggesting a possible short-term bullish reversal. A strong resistance zone is visible near 4140–4160, where price has previously rejected multiple times. The target zone below is marked around 4042.57, which aligns with prior swing support. Key Levels Resistance: 4140 – 4160 Support: 4080 – 4060 Target (Downside): 4042 Upside Break Zone: Above 4160 could lead toward 4180+ Analysis Summary The price broke out of a short-term bearish channel, indicating potential for a bullish correction toward resistance (4140–4160). However, this zone is critical resistance; rejection here may trigger a pullback back toward 4080 or even the target at 4042. Momentum indicators suggest the move is reactive (short-term retracement), not yet a trend reversal. ⚙️ Trading Outlook Bearish Bias: Below 4140 → potential retest toward 4060–4040. Bullish Confirmation: Only above 4160 → continuation to 4180–4200. MIL:RACE MIL:LDO MIL:STLAM MIL:ENI MIL:STMMI MIL:STMMI MIL:ENEL MIL:MONC MIL:PRY MIL:TIT MIL:FCT MIL:AZM MIL:WBD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
Gold Price Analysis - Gold Breakout Levels 4200 vs 4040Gold is trading inside a tightening rising channel after forming a strong higher timeframe rejection from the ATH which pushed price into a corrective phase. Buyers have repeatedly defended the strong support zone near 4000-3980 creating a false breakout low followed by a controlled recovery showing that demand remains active. However, each rally into the weak-high resistance at 4160-4200 has shown fading momentum meaning sellers are still protecting this zone aggressively. Until price breaks out with a clean close and retest above this resistance gold will remain in a neutral to slightly bullish consolidation phase driven by stop hunts and choppy movements inside the channel. A successful breakout above 4200 can trigger a bullish continuation toward 4240 then 4320-4360 and possibly back to the ATH zone while a breakdown below 4040 rising support would shift the structure bearish again exposing the 3980 demand and potentially a deeper drop to 3900 if buyers fail there. In simple terms buyers still control support, sellers still control resistance and the next big move will come once one of these critical levels breaks with strength. ✅ Option 1-Strong Bullish Bias Gold is still respecting the rising channel and defending the strong support zone around 4000-3980. As long as price stays above the rising trendline bullish structure remains valid. A clean breakout above 4160-4200 will confirm continuation toward 4240 → 4320 → ATH retest. Buyers are still in the game, waiting for the breakout. ✅ Option 2-Neutral to Bullish Gold is consolidating inside a rising channel after rejecting the ATH. Support remains strong around 4000-3980 while sellers continue to defend 4160-4200. A breakout on either side will define the next major move. Above 4200 bullish continuation toward 4240 and 4320+. Below 4040 deeper pullback toward 3980 and possibly 3900. ✅ Option 3-Neutral to Bearish Gold is struggling to break above 4160-4200 showing seller strength at the top of the range. If price fails again and breaks below the rising channel near 4040 downside can accelerate toward 3980 and 3900 for liquidity. Bulls must hold support to avoid a deeper correction. Gold remains trapped between 4040 support and 4200 resistance inside a rising wedge. Buyers holding strong at the bottom but sellers still defending the top. Break above 4200 bullish continuation toward 4320. Break below 4040 bearish move to 3980-3900. Still a range waiting for breakout confirmation. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
Gold price accumulation - sideways range⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week slightly lower but holds above Friday’s low during the Asian session. Easing US-China trade tensions lift risk appetite and weigh on the safe-haven metal, as reflected in stronger global equities. Still, dovish Fed expectations and a softer US Dollar help limit further losses. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: The US and ASEAN weekend tariff policy has a negative impact on gold prices, mainly accumulating buying power waiting for interest rate cuts. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4236 - 4238 SL 4243 TP1: $4220 TP2: $4200 TP3: $4185 🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3987 - 3985 SL 3980 TP1: $3998 TP2: $4010 TP3: $4030 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
4
technical analysis for Gold (XAU/USD) based on your provided chaPrice: Around $4,112.53 Timeframe: 30-minute Trend Structure: Gold is trading within a rising channel, suggesting short-term bullish momentum after rebounding from a support level. 🧭 Key Technical Zones Support Level: $4,060 – $4,080 → This zone has held price multiple times and aligns with the channel’s lower boundary. Immediate Resistance: $4,125 → Minor horizontal resistance, currently being retested. Mid-term Resistance: $4,175 – $4,200 → The upper boundary of the short-term consolidation range. Main Target Zone: $4,381 → Marked as the projected bullish target; aligns with the top of the ascending channel. 📊 Pattern & Projections The chart shows a bullish continuation setup (possibly a flag or channel breakout in progress). Price recently bounced from support and is respecting the ascending trendline, hinting at a possible push toward higher resistance levels. A break above $4,125 could trigger momentum toward $4,175, then $4,225, and finally the target at $4,381. ⚠️ Risk Management Invalidation: A close below $4,075 (support zone) would invalidate the bullish scenario and could push price back toward $4,025 – $4,000. Stop-Loss (for buyers): Below $4,070. Take-Profit Levels: 1️⃣ $4,175 2️⃣ $4,225 3️⃣ $4,381 🟢 Summary Signal Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: Around $4,100 – $4,115 (after confirmation of support hold) Target: $4,381 Stop-Loss: $4,070 NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:AAPL CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! COMEX:GC1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! NYMEX:CL1! COMEX:SI1! CME_MINI:RTY1! CBOT_MINI:MYM1!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
Gold price analysis on March 24XAUUSD – Bears Still in Control Gold is trading sideways around the key resistance zone of 4145, indicating a strong struggle between buyers and sellers. However, the price has been repeatedly rejected at this zone, indicating that the bearish pressure is still dominant. If the current trend is maintained, the support zone of 3946 will be the next potential target for the sellers. Only when the price clearly breaks above 4145, the current bearish structure can be broken and the new buying trend is confirmed. 📊 Trading Strategy: SELL now at 4110 Target: 4022 – 3946 BUY setup: When the price breaks decisively above 4145
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TVS-Trader
XAU/USD 10-23-25After the recent runup with gold it has pulled back to the 23.6 fib level on the daily timeframe and actually pushed below showing strong support in the 3975 - 4040 daily zone. I would like to think that price will run right back up to retest the recent ATH of about 4382Gbut if I know gold in all her trickiness she will coast along at this 23.6 level then perhaps dip to the 38.2 or even the 50 then get a strong push back up to retest the high and from there probably come back down or push thru depending on macro economic and political events at that time. Going back a few months to May of this year you can kind of see how price experienced similar behavior when it was breaking thru the 3430 - 3505 daily zone which obviously is that real push thru the previous psychological ATH level of 3500. Now history is repeating itself as we push to stay above the recent psychological ATH of 4000 towards 4500. We shall see...
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ImRyanSteven
XAUUSD:Keep an eye on the 4,000 support mark📈The current price of London gold is 4,116.87 per ounce, up 28.36 from the previous trading day, with a percentage increase of 0.64%. So far today, the highest price has reached 4,137.35 per ounce, and the lowest is 4,065.47 per ounce. Currently, the price is in a state of fluctuating increase. 📝Market sentiment and fund flow: Judging from the recent market performance, the price of London gold has fluctuated violently. On October 21st, the price of London gold once dropped by more than 6%, and the decline continued on the 22nd, with the lowest reaching 4,002.89 per ounce during the Asian session. The significant decline in these two days was mainly due to the weakening of risk - off sentiment. The joint statement by the relevant parties in the Russia - Ukraine conflict in support of a cease - fire and the easing signals in Sino - US relations have weakened the safe - haven demand for gold. At the same time, the previous large increase in the price of gold had accumulated a large number of profit - taking positions, and the pressure on investors to take profits was relatively high. However, the price rebounded on the 23rd, indicating that market sentiment has recovered to some extent, but overall it is still relatively cautious. 📝Technical analysis: From the perspective of the 4 - hour cycle trend, the gold shows a trend of shifting from a bullish to a bearish rhythm in the short and medium term, forming a typical M - top pattern, which indicates that there may still be room for the price of gold to decline in the near future. However, the large - integer - level support of 4,000 per ounce is currently relatively clear, and in the short term, it may fluctuate within the range of 4,000 - 4,150. In terms of operation, it is mainly advisable to go short on rallies. The upper resistance level is in the range of 4,135 - 4,150, and the short-term support around the 4,065-4,070 range，then the key support level is in the range of 4,010 - 4,000. 💡In conclusion, the price has rebounded today, but due to the impact of the previous significant decline, it may fluctuate within the range of 4,000 - 4,150 per ounce in the short term, and the trend is uncertain. Investors need to closely pay attention to the changes in factors such as the geopolitical situation, Sino - US relations, and the Federal Reserve's policy. 💎Trading Strategy: BUY 4010 - 4015 SL 4000 TP 4030 - 4020 - 4070 Sell 4120 - 4125 SL 4130 TP 4100 - 4080 - 4060 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Clarke_analysis
Price still in upwards channelAlright, here's the thing with gold. Recently, the price dropped sharply, almost 6%, which might sound alarming. But when we look at the bigger picture, gold is still in an upward channel or a rising trend. What does that mean? It shows that, despite this dip, gold still holds its value in the long run. Think of it like a staircase—sometimes you step down a bit, but you're still climbing higher overall. This is good news for investors because it means gold continues to act as a safe haven and a reliable hedge against things like inflation or economic uncertainty. The short-term drop could be due to temporary factors, but the long-term trend gives confidence that gold remains strong.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by The_Wedger
Price still in upwards channelAlright, here's the thing with gold. Recently, the price dropped sharply, which might look alarming. But when we look at the bigger picture, gold is still in an upward channel or a rising trend. What does that mean? It shows that, despite this dip, gold still holds its value in the long run. Think of it like a staircase—sometimes you step down a bit, but you're still climbing higher overall. This is good news for investors because it means gold continues to act as a safe haven and a reliable hedge against things like inflation or economic uncertainty. The short-term drop could be due to temporary factors, but the long-term trend gives confidence that gold remains strong.
OANDA:XAUEURLong
by The_Wedger
GOLD REBOUNDS AS INVESTORS BUY THE DIP AFTER ETF SELL-OFFGOLD | Prices Rebound Despite ETF Outflows 💰 Gold prices recovered after an earlier dip triggered by the largest single-day ETF outflow in five months, signaling profit-taking and a technical correction. Despite investor caution, the metal maintains bullish momentum while trading above 4101, supported by safe-haven demand amid uncertainty ahead of U.S.–China trade talks. Technically, as long as gold trades above 4101, upside targets remain 4124 → 4163 → 4189. A clean 1H close below 4075 would shift momentum bearish, opening room toward 4053 and 4011. Pivot Line: 4101 Resistance: 4124 – 4163 – 4190 Support: 4075 – 4053 – 4011
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
Gold Rebounds from Extreme POI – Bullish Move Building UpGold?Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD) has shown a strong recovery after tapping into the Extreme Point of Interest (POI) zone, signaling the potential start of a bullish reversal. The chart indicates an SMC Trap (Smart Money Concept Trap), where liquidity was swept below previous lows to trigger sell stops before reversing upward — a classic smart money accumulation pattern. Price reacted sharply from the Extreme POI, forming higher lows, which confirms renewed buyer interest. The immediate target area lies around $4,180 – $4,200, aligning with the projected bullish arrow. Below, the High Probability POI remains as a deeper demand zone — a strong confluence area if price retests. 📊 Conclusion: Gold is showing signs of bullish structure recovery after liquidity sweep. Holding above the Extreme POI zone strengthens the case for continued upside movement toward $4,200 and possibly higher.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Gold Breakout Potential: Descending Wedge Signals Bullish ReversAnalysis: The XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) chart on the 45-minute timeframe shows price action forming a descending wedge pattern, a typically bullish reversal formation. The price has been compressing between lower highs and lower lows but is now testing the upper trendline resistance, indicating a possible breakout. Key observations: Trendline Breakout Zone: The narrowing wedge suggests weakening bearish momentum. A confirmed breakout above the trendline could trigger strong upward momentum. Targets: The projected upside targets are around 4,300, 4,400, and 4,500, aligning with previous resistance zones. Support Zone: Immediate support remains near 4,050–4,000, where the lower wedge boundary provides buying interest. Momentum Indicator: Gradual bullish recovery and decreasing downside pressure indicate renewed buyer strength.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
1
GOLD (XAU/USD) – FINAL GRAND CYCLE ANALYSIS🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – FINAL GRAND CYCLE ANALYSIS “The Rise of Real Money in a Failing Fiat World” Elliott Waves | Fibonacci | Smart Money | Macro Fundamentals | Market Psychology 📅 Date: October 22, 2025 📍 Current Price: ~$4,039/oz ⏳ Time Horizon: 1970s to post-2050 🎯 Focus: Multi-decade Elliott Wave structure signaling the endgame for fiat currencies 🌐 SUPER CYCLE NARRATIVE – GOLD’S MONETARY METAMORPHOSIS 🔵 Wave I (1971–1980): The Rebirth of Real Money Gold's first major secular rally began when the Bretton Woods system collapsed and President Nixon ended the U.S. dollar’s convertibility to gold in 1971. Gold soared from around $35 to nearly $875 by 1980. This wave was driven by runaway inflation, the oil embargo, and shattered confidence in fiat money. 🔴 Wave II (1980–1999): The Great Fiat Illusion Following the 1980 peak, gold entered a brutal 19-year corrective phase, falling to the $250 zone. During this time, the U.S. dollar gained strength, Volcker’s interest rate hikes reined in inflation, and a new era of debt-based prosperity and stock market euphoria unfolded. Gold was dismissed, even by central banks who sold reserves. Structurally, this corrective phase formed a complex WXYXZ pattern , setting the groundwork for the massive Wave III rally. 🟢 Wave III (1999–~2033): The Fiat Reckoning Has Begun This is the longest and most powerful supercycle wave and the one we are currently in. It is subdivided into five impulsive macro waves. As of now, gold is deep within Wave iii of III , the most explosive phase of the entire structure. The current rally is no longer driven by inflation fears but by existential doubts about the long-term viability of fiat currencies. 📈 Wave I of III (1999–2011): The Institutional Accumulation Gold rose from around $250 to $1,920 over this period. Triggers included the dot-com bust, 9/11, the 2008 global financial crisis, and the launch of the first gold ETFs like GLD. This wave marked the beginning of institutional interest in gold as a systemic hedge. 📉 Wave II of III (2011–2015): The Disbelief Correction Gold corrected nearly 45%, bottoming near $1,050. The narrative shifted — QE hadn't caused hyperinflation, the stock market was booming again, and faith in the dollar resurged. Retail abandoned gold, but institutional buyers quietly accumulated from newly created demand zones. 🚀 Wave iii of III (2015–~2026): The True Price Discovery Phase This is where we are now. Since 2015, gold has exploded upward, driven by COVID-era QE, negative real interest rates, geopolitical instability, and major central banks accumulating gold for cross-border settlements outside the dollar system. We are currently in the middle of this wave — micro wave (3) of iii — with price around $4,039. According to Fibonacci projections, this wave is expected to peak near $6,552 , corresponding to the 2.618 extension level . If bullish momentum continues, gold could overshoot toward $22,744 , matching the 3.618 Fibonacci extension and marking the likely top of macro Wave III. In an extreme scenario where fiat trust collapses entirely, the 4.618 extension projects a possible target of $78,940 . All of these levels align with the upper bounds of the long-term logarithmic channel, validating both structure and projections. But most likely this target is for Wave V TOP . 🟣 Wave IV (Projected: 2026–2033): The Great Shakeout After the parabolic run of Wave iii, a deep multi-year correction is likely. This correction — Wave IV — may retrace toward the long-term red trendline and could coincide with a temporary return to “faith” in fiat through reforms like CBDC rollouts or aggressive fiscal pivots. This wave could resemble a WXY pattern or large ABC structure and may unfold alongside capital controls, deflationary pressure, and a resurgent tech or dollar narrative. However, this will likely be the last major buying opportunity before gold enters its final, euphoric revaluation. 🟢 Wave V (2033–2045+): The Final Blow-Off Top Wave V is expected to be driven by an overt crisis of confidence in the global fiat system. Scenarios could include: Mass adoption of gold-backed or commodity-tied digital currencies Loss of global trust in the USD as the reserve currency BRICS or emerging alliances introducing gold into cross-border settlements Global central banks returning to physical gold as a monetary base The upside potential here is monumental. The 4.618 Fibonacci extension already targets $78,940 , but under full systemic collapse or monetary reset conditions, gold could reprice toward $100,000–$250,000 per ounce — not as a bubble, but as a return to its role as sound, base-layer money. 📐 Fibonacci Milestones and Structure Alignment Each major wave has closely respected its corresponding Fibonacci extension. Wave I topped around the 1.618 level ($1,887) . The ongoing Wave iii appears on track to reach the 2.618 level ($6,552) . From there, macro Wave III could stretch toward 3.618 ($22,744) . If Wave V extends fully, a 4.618 projection leads to $78,940 — all within the bounds of the established logarithmic trend channel. In a full-blown systemic reset, price could break even higher. These levels are not speculative but grounded in structural alignment with Elliott wave geometry , Fibonacci mathematic s, and long-term institutional order flow . 🧠 Smart Money Concepts & Technical Validations Smart money activity has left clear fingerprints across this cycle. Each break of market structure (in 2016, 2020, and 2023) confirmed higher time-frame bullish continuation. Institutional demand zones — especially during the 2018–2019 consolidation and 2022 pullback — were respected to the dollar. This cycle isn’t retail-driven mania — it's a stealth institutional accumulation that’s now evolving into price discovery. 📊 Market Psychology Across the Cycle Investor sentiment has followed classic psychology stages: From 1999 to 2004, disbelief reigned: “Gold is dead.” Between 2005 and 2011 came growing awareness: “Gold might work again.” The 2011–2015 correction brought denial: “It was just a bubble.” Hope returned in 2016–2020 as price quietly rallied. From 2022 to 2026, euphoria dominates: “Gold will never go down.” Wave IV will likely bring fear and capitulation between 2026 and 2033. Finally, Wave V will ignite mania: “Gold to the moon!” 🚨 Final Synthesis: What This All Means We are living through the largest repricing of monetary value in modern financial history. Gold is no longer just an inflation hedge — it’s becoming a hedge against the system itself . The structure on the chart doesn't just map price — it maps the collapse of fiat trust and the return of monetary sanity. Gold is transitioning from: A commodity hedge → To a central bank hedge → To a currency hedge → And finally, to a system hedge The current leg — Wave iii of III — is nearing its climax. After a correction in Wave IV, Wave V could take gold into previously unthinkable territory, not because gold changed — but because everything else did. 📌 Final Position Summary We are currently in wave (5) of iii of III — the most powerful segment of the bull run The next Fibonacci target is $6,552 The broader Wave III could peak near $22,744 After a correction (Wave IV), the final wave could send gold toward $78,940 , or even into the $100,000–$250,000 zone under extreme monetary reset conditions This is not a mere forecast — it’s a macro-monetary blueprint for the coming decades. 🌊 "Those who understand the waves will ride them. Those who don’t will be swallowed by the tide." – FIBCOS 📘 Disclaimer: This is an educational market outlook based on technical and macroeconomic structure. It is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and risk management. #XAUUSD #Gold #GoldAnalysis #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #Commodities #InflationHedge #MacroEconomics #CentralBanks #BRICS #MonetaryReset
TVC:GOLDLong
by fibcos
5