Gold Bullish Reversal Expected from D-FVG ZoneKey Observations and SMC Components:
D-FVG (Daily Fair Value Gap):
The most important element is the large shaded gray box at the bottom, labeled D-FVG. This indicates an Inefficiency or Fair Value Gap identified on the Daily timeframe, making it a powerful area of demand where institutional buying pressure is expected.
CRT-L and CRT-H:
CRT-L (Current Range Low/Bottom) is placed near the bottom of the D-FVG zone, marking a key support level.
CRT-H (Current Range Top/High) marks the high of the recent drop.
Current Price Action:
The price is currently at $3,974.61 and has been trending down. It is approaching the key support/demand zone (D-FVG).
Projected Move:
The curved line and green arrow indicate the anticipated price action: a continuation of the drop into the D-FVG zone, followed by a strong rejection and a reversal upwards (a rally).
The rally's TARGET is marked by a dotted line, sitting below the CRT-H level (around $4,020 - $4,030).
Trading Bias and Expectation
The overall bias is short-term bullish following the retracement. The analyst expects price to:
Retrace/Consolidate: Drop into the high-probability D-FVG demand zone (around $3,920 to $3,940).
Reverse and Rally: Find strong support in this zone, then reverse and move upwards to hit the intermediate TARGET.
Xauusdsetup
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (28/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold closed the US session around 3,982 after extending its sell-off from 4,048, confirming strong bearish continuation from the 4,38x top. The current structure remains heavy, with the H1 100/200 EMA acting as dynamic resistance and repeated rejections near 3,997–4,002.
Momentum indicators across intraday timeframes still favor sellers, but Asia may open with a brief corrective retracement before the next bearish leg toward 3,958–3,945 liquidity zones.
⸻
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1)
• Third consecutive bearish daily candle confirming continuation of the mid-term correction.
• Price now trades around 3,982, testing the mid-range zone between 3,880–4,020.
• RSI slipping near 50, signaling room for more downside before oversold conditions.
• MACD histogram remains negative but moderating — corrective phase within broader uptrend.
🧭 Bias: Bearish continuation inside medium-term correction; key support 3,880.
⸻
🔸 1H Chart (H1)
• Structure: Clear lower highs from 4,12x → 4,072 → 4,048 → 3,997.
• Strong break of structure below 3,985 → 3,971 confirms downtrend intact.
• Price remains below all EMAs and the descending trendline.
• RSI ~37 (slightly oversold); MACD momentum still negative.
📉 Intraday Bias: Bearish below 4,021; corrective only if price reclaims that level.
⸻
🔹 15M Chart (M15)
• Descending channel clearly defined; price rejected twice near 3,997–4,002.
• Pullbacks shallow, suggesting weak buyer interest.
• MACD histogram fading after short correction — selling pressure resuming.
⚠️ Short-term Bias: Sell rallies until clean BOS above 4,021.
⸻
🔹 5M Chart (M5)
• Micro downtrend confirmed with CHoCH back to the downside at 3,996.
• Price consolidating near 3,982, forming minor liquidity base pre-Asia open.
• RSI ~36; momentum weak but potential short-term rebound toward 4,000 before next drop.
🔎 Micro Bias: Intraday pullback expected; structure favors new lower high formation near 4,009–4,021.
⸻
3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis – Golden Zone
Last H1 swing: High 4,048 → Low 3,971
• 38.2% → 3,998
• 50% → 4,009
• 61.8% → 4,021 ✅
✨ Golden Zone = 4,009 – 4,021
This zone aligns with the descending trendline, the H1 EMA cluster, and prior supply rejection — making it the highest-probability short area for continuation.
⸻
4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
🟢 Bearish Continuation Setup (Preferred Scenario)
✅ Sell Zone: 4,009 – 4,021 (Golden Zone)
🎯 Targets: 3,985 → 3,971 → 3,958 → 3,945
🛑 Stop-Loss: Above 4,028–4,032
📈 Reasoning: Structural alignment with EMAs, Fib confluence, and trendline resistance.
⸻
⚡ Momentum Breakdown Setup (Continuation Trade)
✅ Sell Trigger: Break & retest below 3,971
🎯 Targets: 3,958 → 3,945 → 3,930 → 3,920
🛑 Stop-Loss: Back above 3,985
📈 Reasoning: Structural breakdown confirmation and liquidity grab continuation.
⸻
⚪ Countertrend Buy Setup (Low Probability)
✅ Buy Trigger: Clean 15M BOS + retest above 4,021
🎯 Targets: 4,034 → 4,048 → 4,072
🛑 Stop-Loss: Below 4,009
📈 Reasoning: Short-term recovery if DXY weakens or liquidity imbalance above 4,02x forms.
⸻
5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• Asia session quiet: no tier-1 data expected.
• Focus remains on USD index drift and post-US yield sentiment.
• If DXY holds firm above 106, gold downside pressure persists.
• Watch early Shanghai open flows — potential liquidity sweep near 3,971 before NY continuation.
⸻
6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Type Levels
Resistance 3,997 / 4,009 / 4,021 / 4,034 / 4,048
Support 3,985 / 3,971 / 3,958 / 3,945 / 3,930
Golden Zone 4,009 – 4,021
Break Sell Trigger < 3,971
Break Buy Trigger > 4,021
⸻
7️⃣ Analyst Summary
The market remains structurally bearish across all intraday frames, with strong EMA alignment and trendline rejection confirming continuation bias. Asia session likely sees a corrective bounce into the 4,009–4,021 Golden Zone, where the best-quality short setups align.
Only if buyers reclaim and hold above 4,021 will momentum shift for a potential relief rally toward 4,048/4,072. Otherwise, expect renewed pressure targeting 3,971 → 3,958 → 3,945.
⸻
8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
📉 Primary Bias: Bearish → Sell rallies into 4,009–4,021
📈 Secondary Bias: Bullish only above 4,021 (retested hold)
🎯 Targets: 3,985 → 3,971 → 3,958
✨ Golden Zone: 4,009 – 4,021
🛑 Invalidation: H1 close above 4,032
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 27/10/2025 🥇
📅 Smart setups. Steady profits.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔻 SELL +220 PIPS
🟢 BUY +145 PIPS
❌ BUY -60 PIPS (SL)
🔻 SELL +210 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 GOLD TOTAL PIPS WON: +515 PIPS
📊 4 Trades → 3 Wins | 1 SL
🎯 Accuracy: 75%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔥 Solid and precise session — trend moves respected technical zones perfectly.
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
XAUUSD/GOLD SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 27.10.25Pattern Context
There’s a descending triangle or M-pattern that has been broken to the downside.
Labels such as “BREAKED M PATTERN NECKLINE HERE” and “BREAKED TRIANGLE PATTERN” indicate bearish structure.
Trade Setup
The chart projects a sell limit order in the region around 4,062–4,083 (highlighted red zone).
Stop loss is above the recent high — around 4,083.185.
Entry appears to be at the retest zone near 4,062.189 (“BREAKER ZONE RETEST & SELL”).
The target (take-profit area) points toward temporary support at approximately 4,031.150, suggesting a bearish continuation.
Trend Lines
A broken uptrend line and triangle breakout support the short bias.
The blue uptrend line and black triangle structure confirm the confluence zone where the retest and rejection may occur.
Summary of Bias
Direction: Bearish (Sell setup).
Confirmation: Triangle & M-pattern breakdown, retest expected.
Risk Management: Stop above 4,083; target near 4,031 (risk-reward ratio ≈ 1:2 depending on entry).
GOLD Finally Bearish , Short Setup Valid To Get 300 Pips !Here is My 30 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally Below 4050.00 With 4H Candle And this never happened for a long time ! and we have a 4H Candle closure below it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can sell after the price go back to retest the broken area 4050.00 , and give us a good wicks as previous wicks ! and we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure above this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bearish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bearish P.A .
4- Over Bought .
5- Perfect 30 Mins Closure .
Today's gold trading strategyThe contradiction between supply and demand has set the price floor.
The gold market is currently facing a dual situation of "tight supply and strong demand". On the supply side, the global underground reserves of gold are only 20%, and the output of mined gold in 2025 can only maintain a slow growth of 3,000 tons. Moreover, new mines need 5-7 years to come into production, and there is simply no possibility of a significant increase in supply in the short term. The marginal production cost has risen to $1,500 per ounce, providing a strong support for the gold price. On the demand side, not only are global central banks buying gold in a frenzy, but the gold purchase volume is expected to exceed 10,000 tons in 2025. The private investment demand in Asian markets such as China and India is also surging. In 2024, the consumption of gold bars and coins in China increased by 46.02%. This supply-demand gap is difficult to fill in the short term and will inevitably push the gold price to rise.
Today's gold trading strategy
xauusd @ buy4050-4060
TP:4080-4100-4150
SL:4030
Gold Bearish Rejection from Supply Zone (OB + FVG Confluence)Key Observations and SMC Components:
Market Structure Shift (MSS): The label "MSS" suggests that the previous bullish market structure has been broken to the downside, indicating a potential shift to a bearish trend.
Order Block (OB): A bearish Order Block is identified (labeled "OB"), which is typically the last up-close candle before the strong move down. This zone is a high-probability area where institutional selling pressure is expected to resume.
H1 FVG (Hourly Fair Value Gap): Within the Order Block, an H1 FVG (or Inefficiency) is identified. This is an area where price moved strongly without overlapping all three candles, leaving a gap. Fair Value Gaps are often used as targets for price to retrace and "fill" before continuing the dominant move.
CRT-L and CRT-H:
CRT-L (Current Range Top/High) marks the top of the range before the sharp drop.
CRT-H (Current Range Low/Bottom) marks the low point of the current swing leg.
Projected Move: The large green arrow and the curved line indicate the anticipated price action: a retracement (pullback) upwards into the H1 FVG and the OB zone, followed by a rejection and a continuation of the downward move towards and potentially below the CRT-H low.
Current Price Action: The price is currently at the very bottom of the sharp drop, hovering around $4,041.48. The dotted line and arrow show the expectation of a rally into the shaded resistance zone.
Trading Bias and Expectation
The overall bias is bearish. The analyst expects price to:
Rally (short-term bullish retracement): Move up to the area between approximately $4,065 and $4,080 (the OB and H1 FVG zone).
Reject and Trend (long-term bearish continuation): Find strong resistance in the OB/FVG zone, and then reverse to continue the downtrend, aiming to break the CRT-H low.
GOLD (XAU/USD): THE FED & THE FINAL DIP – GET READY TO SHORT!1. MACRO OVERVIEW SUMMARY
Headwinds (Short-term): The agreed-upon US-China trade framework reduces tariff fears, putting near-term selling pressure on Gold.
Tailwinds (Mid-term): Weak CPI data (3% inflation) solidifies expectations for Fed rate cuts (weakening the USD) + Escalating Russia-Ukraine Tensions.
The Decisive Event: The FOMC decision on Wednesday will serve as the ultimate compass for Gold's next major move.
2. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE & TARGETS
Current Structure: Following the strong bullish impulse, Gold is in a major corrective phase. The recent price structure was broken, confirming that the short-term trend has shifted to bearish.
Anticipated Scenario: Gold has likely completed its retracement and is expected to execute the final drop to conclude the correction process before a potential reversal.
The Magnet (Target): The critical Value Gap on the daily timeframe (around $3,880 – $3,920) is the ultimate destination this final move is likely heading for.
WAITING FOR ENTRY: Gold is anticipated to rally slightly to retest the recently broken structure area before continuing its descent.
3. TRADING STRATEGY (BEARISH BIAS)
We favor a SHORT position, aligning with the final corrective down-move:
Ideal Entry Zone: $4,080 – $4,100 (Retest of the broken structure).
Take Profit (TP1): $3,970 (Nearest Demand/Support Zone).
Take Profit (TP2): $3,880 (Final Target at the major Daily Value Gap).
Stop Loss (SL): $4,135 (Above the key Supply Zone).
Crucial Note: Maintain strict risk management ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. This short move could finalize the major correction!
Where do you think this final drop will end? Comment below!
#Gold #XAUUSD #FOMC #Trading #TradePlan
XAUUSD 4H Short Setup: Selling the FVG RetraceKey Observations:
Recent Structure: The price has experienced a strong move down (impulse leg) followed by a small retracement and then further downside movement. The overall momentum is currently bearish.
Fair Value Gap FVG: The key focus is the Fair Value Gap FVG, marked by the blue/gray box. This is an area of price inefficiency left behind during the strong bearish move. It typically acts as a target for price to retrace to before the dominant trend continues.
Setup Rationale: The analysis suggests the current price movement (around 4,064.9 will see a retracement higher (green arrow up) to fill the FVG and potentially touch the liquidity zone marked by the red box (often representing an optimal entry or order block within the FVG.
Trade Projection: After reaching this inefficiency zone ($\sim\text{4,085}$ to $\sim\text{4,105}$), the projection is for a strong bearish continuation (green arrow down), aiming for the downside target in the green shaded area 4,045.
Conclusion:This setup anticipates a bounce into resistance FVG zone before a continuation of the selling pressure. The core strategy is selling a retracement in a short-term bearish market.
XAU/USD 27 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 22 October 2025.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 20 October 2025 where I mention that price is to continue bullish, react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,185.910.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS and subsequently a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,004.280.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
The triangle pattern breaks and looks at the directionLast week we repeatedly emphasized the importance of paying attention to the rising trend line of the 4H cycle. Until the price falls below this trend line, we will maintain our bullish stance. Although news of easing trade tensions between China and the United States over the weekend has brought a slight cooling to the market's tense mood, this has only temporarily suspended the bullish counterattack. Whether a real and effective consensus can be reached still requires attention to the APEC summit at the end of the month.
At the same time, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut this week is almost a foregone conclusion, which has provided some support for the rise in gold prices. This has also contributed to the current relatively flat trend in gold prices, without as much fluctuation as last week. In addition to the rising trend line that we have been paying attention to, there is also a small downward trend line in the 4H chart, which makes the current trend fall into a triangle consolidation range.
The short-term support below is 4060-4050, and the trend suppression above is 4120-4130. Before the triangle pattern breaks to determine the future trading direction, we can sell high and buy low around this range.
The current hourly moving average is arranged downward, and it is expected to test the lower support again. If it falls back to the lower support and does not break, we can consider going long on gold.
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle formation. The resistance zone lies between $4,104 – $4,113, while the support zone is marked at $4,050 – $4,055. The price has repeatedly tested both zones, suggesting market indecision. A breakout from this tightening structure could dictate the next directional move.
📌 Trade Setup
Entry: $4,061 (near trendline support)
Stop Loss: $4,050 (below support zone)
Take Profit: $4,113 (resistance)
Risk–Reward (R:R): ≈ 1 : 4.36
🌍 Macro Background
Renewed optimism surrounding US-China trade talks has reduced safe-haven demand, leading to gold’s decline near $4,065 earlier today. US Treasury Secretary Bessent confirmed that both sides reached a framework for discussion, with China expected to delay its rare earth policy by one year. At the same time, markets are nearly certain the Federal Reserve will deliver a 25 bps rate cut at the October FOMC meeting, with another cut possible in December. While trade optimism weighs on gold, rate-cut expectations continue to provide a safety net for the metal.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,104 / $4,113
Support: $4,055 / $4,061
Upside Target (if breakout): $4,130 – $4,150
📋 Trade Summary
Gold is trapped in a tightening triangle between $4,055 and $4,113. Traders may look for long entries on dips near $4,061 with targets at $4,113, aligning with Fed rate-cut expectations. However, renewed US-China optimism caps the upside. A decisive break below $4,050 would invalidate the bullish outlook and open the door toward $4,020.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAU/USD | Gold Under Pressure, Support & Resistance to WatchGold continues to trade under pressure, holding below both the MA50 and MA200, keeping short-term momentum firmly tilted to the downside. Price is currently hovering just below the 4,095 support level, with the market remaining range-bound within a broader corrective structure.
Buyers will need a confirmed break above 4,137 to trigger a potential recovery toward 4,178 and 4,234.
On the downside, the 4,042–3,987 Support Zone serves as an intermediate area to monitor for short-term reactions. A failure to hold this zone could extend the decline toward the Deeper Support Zone, which remains a major reaction area where dip-buyers are expected to re-enter the market.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4095
4136
4178
4234
4285
Support:
4042
3987
3944
🔎 Fundamental focus:
Gold remains under pressure as traders weigh ongoing U.S. government shutdown risks and delayed economic data, which have limited visibility into the real state of the economy.
While short-term price action remains corrective, safe-haven demand and macro uncertainty are still expected to support gold on deeper dips toward key demand zones.
Gold (XAUUSD): The Mother of All Traps is Set!🥇 Gold (XAUUSD): The Mother of All Traps is Set! 🤯
Don't let the drop fool you! Gold is meticulously setting up a high-probability reversal. This isn't just a market correction; it's a calculated liquidity grab before the real explosion happens. Smart Money is loading up! 🧠💰
The Current Play: The Turtle Soup Hunt 🐢🥣
Price is dropping towards a critical reversal zone. This drop is designed to liquidate early buyers and trap breakout sellers. Our focus is the precise area where all confluences align:
Liquidity Magnet: The price needs to sweep the BSL (Buy Side Liquidity) around 4,011 and 3,998.
The Entry POI: The ultimate reversal point is the Potential Turtle Soup zone around 4,040.35 to 4,030.51. This is where sellers get trapped! 🪤
The Foundation: This zone is further validated by the CRTL (Candle Rotation Theory Low) and the prior SMT (Smart Money Technique) divergence. This is a fortress! 🏰
🚀 The Massive Rally Target
Once the low is swept and the trap is sprung, we expect an aggressive expansion:
First Target: Reclaim the recent high around 4,122.38 (CRTH + TS high).
Ultimate Target: Price will be magnetized towards the Bearish FVG 4H overhead (starting at 4,161.43). Filling that gap is the ultimate objective.
🔑 Key Trading Rules:
Patience is Profit: WAIT for the wick to pierce the 4,030 area.
Confirmation: Look for a low-timeframe (1m/5m) Market Structure Shift (MSS) after the sweep. That's your entry signal!
Risk Management: Stop-loss safely below the liquidity sweep.
Who's catching this massive XAUUSD reversal? Hit the like button if you're waiting for the sweep! 👇
Greetings,
MrYounity
XAUUSD 1D: Short Setup – Retracement to FVG Before DropKey Observations:
Market Structure Shift (MSS):
A recent large bearish candle (the red candle around October 20th) appears to have broken below a significant short-term low, which is often termed a Market Structure Shift (MSS) in institutional trading concepts. This indicates a potential change from bullish to bearish momentum.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): An unfilled price area (marked by the gray shaded box) has been identified as a FVG.
This zone often acts as a magnet where price is expected to return to "fill" the inefficiency before continuing its main direction.
Liquidity/Return Levels (CRT-L and CRT-H):The Current Range Top CRT-L marks the top of the price inefficiency or the potential area where price could reverse after filling the FVG.
The Current Range Low CRT-H marks the level where price has recently closed.Projected Move: The analysis suggests a short-term relief rally or retracement (dotted line) to move higher into the FVG area 4160$ to 4210$. Once the price moves into or near the FVG and potentially the CRT-L, the expectation is a strong bearish rejection (large green arrow) that would push the price back down, possibly towards or below the recent low CRT-H.
Conclusion:The dominant short-term bias is bearish, but a temporary bullish retracement is anticipated to fill the Fair Value Gap before the bearish continuation.
XAU/USD: Wave 5 is already starting or the bulls' last hope?XAU/USD: Wave 5 is already starting or the bulls' last hope?
📈 Weekly Scenarios
Bullish scenario: Price holds above ~$4,056-4,000, breaks through ~$4,267 → start of waves (5) up → target ~$4,380-4,455+.
Consolidation: Price moves between ~$4,000 and ~$4,267, forming a base before the next major move.
Bearish scenario: Break of support at ~$4,000 with volume confirmation → start of correction → target ~$3,820-3,943.
✅ Conclusion
On the weekly timeframe, gold is at a key milestone: either a strong profitable rally (wave 5) begins, or a correction reverses.
Main signals: holding above ~$4,000 and breaking through ~$4,267 is the way to the upside; a break below ~$4,000 is a signal for caution.
XAU/USD | Day Trade Bullish Map – Can Gold Reach 3800 This Week?🏆 XAU/USD | Metal Market Wealth Strategy Map (Day Trade) 🥇
🎯 Plan: Bullish Wealth Heist
The thief’s map is drawn — and today, the gold vault is our target.
🔑 Strategy Style (Thief Layering Method):
Instead of a single-entry, this plan uses layered limit orders (multiple entry levels). Think of it as planting “buy traps” across the chart to secure the best loot.
📥 Entry Layers (Buy Limits):
3660 💰
3670 💰
3680 💰
3690 💰
3700 💰
(⚡ Add more layers if your style allows — the thief never comes with just one key!)
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Door):
SL @ 3630 (⚠️ Reminder: This is MY thief escape hatch. You’re free to place your own exit plan depending on risk appetite.)
🎯 Target (Loot Point):
TP @ 3800 (near strong resistance, overbought zone & police patrol 🚨)
— Remember: take profits where you feel safe. The thief escapes when the bag is full!
📊 Thief’s Key Notes
This is a layering strategy, designed for dynamic entries & better position cost-averaging.
XAU/USD often reacts strongly around resistance bands — watch for liquidity hunts before the move.
Don’t marry the trade — grab profit, exit quick, and live to raid another day.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Check)
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Moves in sync with Gold, but can be more volatile.
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse correlation — if USD weakens, gold often rallies.
FX:EURUSD : Another inverse play against USD, gold strength may reflect here.
SP:SPX / PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 : Risk sentiment cousins — equity weakness often boosts gold.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style Strategy, shared for educational & fun purposes only. Not financial advice — trade at your own risk.
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #DayTrading #TradingStrategy #ThiefTrader #FXCorrelation #Metals #Scalping #TradingView
XAU/USD Metals Outlook: Bullish Path with Layered Buy Entry Plan🔥 XAU/USD: Thief’s Gold Heist Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 💰
🎯 Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) — The Shiny Metal’s Wealth Hunt!📈
Market: Metals Market
🏆 Strategy Vibe: Bullish Bandit Plan with a Thief-Style Layering Twist! 😎
🕵️♂️ The Thief’s Bullish Plan: Steal the Gold!
We’re diving into the XAU/USD market with a bullish swing/day trade setup using a slick Thief Layering Strategy. This involves stacking multiple buy limit orders to catch the price at key levels. No boring single entries here — we’re building a multi-layered trap to snag those pips! 🪤
📊 Key Setup Details
🎯 Entry Levels:
Deploy the Thief Layering Strategy with multiple buy limit orders at:
💰 3760
💰 3780
💰 3800
Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite! Stack those limits like a master thief planning a heist. 😏
🛑 Stop Loss:
Thief’s SL set at 3720.
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this SL is my take — you’re the boss of your trades! Set your stop loss based on your risk tolerance. Trade smart, steal smarter! 💡
🎉 Take Profit Target:
Aim for the Electric Shop High Voltage Trap at 3920. This zone screams strong resistance, overbought signals, and a potential trap for the unprepared. Escape with your profits before the market zaps you! ⚡️
Note: Thief OG’s, this TP is my suggestion. Grab your profits at your own pace and risk level — make it rain when you’re ready! 💸
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Dollar-Based Correlations)
Keep an eye on these USD-based pairs for market synergy and correlation:
FX:USDJPY : A stronger USD could pressure gold prices, so watch for inverse moves. If USD/JPY spikes, XAU/USD might dip. 📉
OANDA:USDCHF : Another safe-haven pair. If CHF strengthens, it could signal risk-off vibes impacting gold. 👀
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): Gold often moves inversely to the dollar. A rising DXY could cap XAU/USD’s upside — stay sharp! 🧠
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Gold’s shiny cousin often follows XAU/USD’s lead. Check for confirmation in silver’s price action. ✨
Why Watch These? Correlations help you spot market sentiment. If USD strengthens across pairs, gold’s bullish run might face resistance. Use these as your Thief’s Radar to time your entries! 🕵️♀️
🔑 Key Points of the Thief Strategy
Layering Entries: Multiple buy limits spread risk and increase chances of catching a favorable entry. Think of it as setting multiple traps for the price! 🪤
Risk Management: The suggested SL at 3720 keeps losses tight, but adjust based on your account size and risk tolerance.
Resistance Watch: The 3920 zone is a high-voltage trap with overbought signals. Secure profits early to avoid getting caught in a reversal. ⚡️
Market Context: Gold thrives in uncertainty, so keep an eye on global events, Fed news, or inflation data that could spark volatility. 📡
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is a Thief-Style Trading Strategy crafted for fun and educational purposes. Trading involves risks, and past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis and trade at your own risk. Stay sneaky, stay safe! 😎
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#️⃣ #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #BullishSetup #ForexTrading #TradingView
XAU/USD Technical Setup ‖ Bullish Momentum or Smart Trap?🏆 XAU/USD: The Golden Heist Blueprint | Swing & Scalp Strategy 💰
📊 Market Overview
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar)
Market: Precious Metals
Strategy Type: Dual Setup - Swing Trading (Bullish) & Day Trading/Scalping (Bearish)
Risk Level: High Volatility Zone ⚠️
🎯 The Master Plan
🚀 Bullish Scenario: "To The Moon" Setup
Breakout Level: $4,400.00
Action: Direct long entry on confirmed breakout above resistance
Logic: Clean break = institutional momentum shift
🔻 Bearish Scenario: Scalping/Day Trade Setup
Breakdown Level: $4,050.00
Action: Short positions on confirmed break below support
⚠️ Trap Alert: Any pullback above $4,050.00 post-breakdown = potential smart money trap. Watch for false breakouts!
🛡️ Risk Management Zone
Stop Loss (Pullback Buy Plan): $3,950.00
⚠️ Disclaimer: This SL is based on my analysis for the bullish pullback scenario. You're the captain of your own ship! Adjust stops according to your risk tolerance, account size, and trading style. Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
🎖️ Profit Targets
Buy Side Target: $4,600.00
Exit Strategy Notes:
Strong resistance confluence at this level
Overbought conditions likely
Potential trap zone for late entries
Recommendation: Scale out profits gradually rather than waiting for the full target
Sell Side Target: $4,050.00
Exit Strategy Notes:
Major support level - expect bounces
High probability of liquidity grab at this zone
Consider partial profit taking before reaching full target
Recommendation: Trail stops as price moves in your favor
⚠️ Disclaimer: These targets are MY analysis, not financial advice. Take profits when YOUR strategy signals, not mine. Trail stops, scale out, or exit based on YOUR plan. Your money, your rules! 💪
🔗 Related Markets to Watch
Correlated Assets:
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): Inverse correlation - Dollar strength = Gold weakness
GC (Gold Futures): Direct correlation - Institutional positioning indicator
XAUEUR (Gold vs Euro): Alternative safe-haven flow gauge
US10Y (10-Year Treasury Yield): Inverse correlation - Rising yields pressure Gold
BTCUSD (Bitcoin): Risk-on/risk-off sentiment indicator
Key Fundamental Drivers:
Fed monetary policy & interest rate decisions
Inflation data (CPI/PCE reports)
Geopolitical tensions (safe-haven demand)
Real yields & opportunity cost
🔑 Key Technical Points
✅ Breakout Confirmation: Wait for candle close above/below key levels
✅ Volume Analysis: High volume breakouts = higher probability
✅ Smart Money Traps: Watch for failed breakouts and liquidity grabs
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Calculate before entry - minimum 1:2 recommended
✅ Market Structure: Respect higher timeframe trends
🎭 Trading Psychology Reminder
This strategy has a playful "heist" theme for entertainment, but make no mistake — treat your capital with serious respect. The market doesn't care about our plans. Adapt, manage risk, and preserve capital above all else.
Remember:
No setup is guaranteed
Always use stop losses
Never risk your rent money
Emotions are the enemy
The market pays patient traders
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#XAUUSD #Gold #GoldTrading #ForexTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #Scalping #TechnicalAnalysis #PreciousMetals #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #Forex #GoldAnalysis #TradingIdeas #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #Breakout #SupportAndResistance #TradingView #ForexSignals
Happy trading, and may the pips be ever in your favor! 🎯💎
Gold: Building a bottom, but caution remainsWeekend Greetings!
Over the past week, gold has been consolidating within the 4160–4000 range. Technically, this range suggests a short-term bottoming phase. However, given that prices recently reached new highs and have since formed a double-top pattern, it’s still too early to confirm a bottom. In the upcoming sessions, traders should remain cautious, avoid chasing highs, and be alert for potential bull traps or a fifth-wave decline, as mentioned last week.
On the 4H chart, higher lows are being established, and Friday’s close was above both the MA5 and MA20, with the MACD maintaining a bullish configuration. The MA60 and MA30 are currently positioned around 4180 and 4163, respectively, serving as key resistance zones. If gold can hold above these levels, there’s a good chance it will approach or even reclaim the 4300 level.
On the daily chart, gold remains supported by the MA20, with long lower wicks indicating active bullish participation, which favors further upside. However, the MA5 and MA10, located around 4154 and 4188, still act as short-term resistance. For a stronger bullish confirmation, the price needs to stabilize above 4160, ideally holding firm above 4180.
On the 30M/1H charts, moving averages are closely aligned, showing short-term consolidation. Notably, the last three candles on the 30M chart form a Morning Star pattern, a typical bullish signal. If this formation remains intact after the market opens, prices are likely to move higher.
From a fundamental perspective, no bearish news emerged over the weekend. Unless unexpected developments occur before the market opens, the technical outlook favors an upward move during Monday’s session.
Review of Gold's Performance This Week📝This week, the gold market experienced severe volatility, showing an overall trend of a sharp decline followed by a volatile rebound. The details are as follows:
📈Price Movement:
On Monday, gold prices fluctuated between 4,218.32 and 4,354.88.
On Tuesday, gold plummeted by 6.3% at one point, marking the largest single-day drop since April 2013.
On Wednesday, it continued to fall, hitting a low of 4,003.43.
On Thursday, gold fluctuated within the range of 4,065.47 to 4,154.52.
On Friday, gold prices fell again, dropping below 4,060 at one stage with an intraday decline of over 1%, and finally closed at 4,110.55.
💡Influencing Factors:
✔The main reasons for the sharp volatility in gold prices this week include the following:
After a rapid rise in early stages, gold was in an overbought state, creating technical correction pressure. Meanwhile, investors had a strong sentiment to take profits, leading to a large number of sell-offs.
✔In addition, the cooling of risk aversion, the strengthening of the U.S. dollar, and the fact that Federal Reserve officials entered a blackout period ahead of the interest rate decision that are resulting in a lack of remarks supporting interest rate cuts in the market also reduced the appeal of gold.
✔However, factors such as the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, geopolitical tensions, and market expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve provided certain support for gold prices.
💎Outlook for the Future:
From a technical perspective:
If gold breaks through 4,161, it may pave the way for a test of 4,200. If it continues to rise, traders may push gold prices above 4,250, or even target 4,300 and higher record highs.
But if gold falls below 4,040, the next target will be the October 22 low of 4,004.
XAUUSD H4: Bullish Order Block (OB) and FVG Analysis for Long ?Key Annotations and Concepts
CRT-H (Current Range Top - High): Key resistance or bullish target around $4,160.
CRT-L (Current Range Top - Low): Key support or bearish target around $4,040.
FVG (Fair Value Gap): The shaded gray area, a price inefficiency that price is often drawn to, currently around the $4,080 to $4,100 range.
CISD (Current Intermediate Swing Down): A local low around $4,060 acting as an intermediate support.
SMT (Smart Money Trap/Toolkit): The swing low that potentially trapped early sellers, leading to the subsequent rally.
OB (Order Block): This is the new key annotation. It points to the last bearish (red) candle before the significant move higher. An Order Block is an area where institutional traders are believed to have placed large orders, and it is a high-probability zone for price to retrace to and find support for a continuation of the trend. This OB is located just above the CISD and within the area that launched the rally.
Curved Arrow: Indicates the anticipated bullish direction towards filling the FVG and potentially targeting the CRT-H. The addition of the OB reinforces the idea that if price retraces further, this is a strong area of support before the anticipated upward move.






















