Gold Bounces from PRZ — Is a Short-Term Rally Underway?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise from the Support zone($3,307-$3,275) as I expected in the previous idea .
Gold is currently moving near the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and $3,334 (Important price) .
From the Elliott wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed its 5 impulsive waves and now we should wait for corrective waves . Corrective waves can complete at the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Gold to rise to $3,383(at least) in the coming hours .
Second Target: $3,396
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,321
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Xauusdsetup
Gold: Yesterday’s Surge & Today’s Session StrategyDuring yesterday’s U.S. trading session, gold surged to around 3390 🚀, driven by a series of tariff-related remarks from Trump, Fed personnel changes, and market expectations that the probability of a September rate cut has risen to 91% ⚡️. We successfully took profit near 3355 yesterday, locking in close to maximum gains 💰.
Today’s trading strategy:
Go short at highs during the Asian session 📉
Go long at lows during the European session 📈
Go short at highs again during the U.S. session 📉
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 3390 - 3380
🚀 TP 3375 - 3366 - 3356
Daily updates bring you precise trading signals 📊 When you hit a snag in trading, these signals stand as your trustworthy compass 🧭 Don’t hesitate to take a look—sincerely hoping they’ll be a huge help to you 🌟 👇
Gold Price Setup – Potential Rejection & Long ScenariosPrice is currently consolidating below the H4 Supply Zone after rejecting the ascending trendline twice.
Two key scenarios are in focus:
✅ Scenario 1 – Deeper Pullback to Demand Zone
A retracement into the 1H + 30M Order Block (OB) and liquidity zone near 3,341–3,355 (marked with $$$) could attract buyers.
If bullish momentum confirms, look for a continuation toward 3,388 and possibly the upper trendline near 3,400+.
✅ Scenario 2 – Immediate Push Higher
If price holds above the moving average and fails to break below 3,355, bulls could step in earlier, driving price back to test the trendline resistance.
Breakout of the trendline could target the higher supply region.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
H4 Supply Zone (3,440 area) for potential reversal.
3,341 OB Zone for liquidity sweep and reaction.
Trendline Resistance capping the upside.
8/6: Watch for a Potential Double Top FormationGood morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold experienced its first significant supply pressure around the 3386 level, but with support near 3350—helped by positive data—prices rebounded and climbed back toward 3390, resulting in solid overall gains.
From the 1-day chart (1D) perspective, the technical structure remains bullish, with MA20 providing firm support. Although short-term moving averages are currently converging, the overall bias remains towards a bullish divergence, suggesting further upside potential. There's a possibility for price to test the 3400–3420 zone in today’s session.
That said, the 3386–3398 region may still pose minor selling pressure, although it is not expected to be particularly strong. Key intraday support is seen in the 3378/3372–3362 range. If the market encounters another wave of heavy selling that damages the daily bullish setup, then the 3343–3348 area will become a critical battleground between bulls and bears.
📌 Trading Strategy for Today:
Maintain a sell-on-strength approach, especially if prices approach the 3418–3438 resistance area, where short opportunities become more attractive;
If a pullback occurs, monitor the aforementioned support zones for potential buy-on-dip opportunities, contingent on stability.
⚠️ Market Risk Reminder:
There will be key economic speeches during the US session, which could trigger heightened volatility. Ensure proper risk management and stop-loss settings are in place.
GOLD Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 150 Pips !Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3350.00 and we have a 30 Mins Candle closure above it And Perfect Breakout , so i`m waiting the price to go back and retest this res and new support and give me a good bullish price action to can enter a buy trade and we can targeting 100 to 150 pips .
Reasons To Enter :
1- New Support Created .
2- Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- Clean Breakout .
8/5: Watch for Short Opportunities Near 3400Good morning, everyone!
On Wednesday, gold held above the key support area at 3343–3337, and subsequently broke through the 3372–3378 resistance zone, leading to a strong bullish move and solid long-side gains.
Today, attention should shift to the major resistance around 3400. If bullish momentum continues, price may approach the secondary resistance near 3420. However, from a technical perspective, signs of bearish divergence have begun to emerge. Should price continue rising while momentum weakens, the risk of a short-term correction increases accordingly.
Key levels to monitor:
Primary resistance zone: 3404–3416
Intermediate supply area: around 3398
Crucial support zone: 3372–3363 (a hold here could support further upside)
⚠️ Cautionary Note:
The US PMI data release during the New York session could introduce volatility. Be sure to maintain strict risk management and stop-loss discipline during periods of increased uncertainty.
🔁 Trading Bias for Today:
Prefer selling into strength near resistance, while cautiously considering buying on dips near support.
The 3343–3337 area continues to serve as the primary support zone, and price action around this level will be critical in determining the next directional move
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour performance of the Gold Spot price against the U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) from late July to early August 2025. The current price is 3,362.895, reflecting a +72.775 (+2.21%) increase. Key levels include a sell price of 3,362.200 and a buy price of 3,363.590. The chart highlights a recent upward trend with a notable resistance zone around 3,395.716 and a support level near 3,336.129, as indicated by the shaded areas.
XAUUSD:BUYThere is no need to worry about holding long orders mentioned last Friday. Gold prices continued to rise this week after a pullback. The price has risen to 3372. According to the research team of our swing trading analysis team, the bullish trend will continue.
Earlier I informed members that some buy orders were closed at high levels. At that time, the short-term high was around 3370. After closing the long orders, the price subsequently fell. This is the advantage of swing trading. You can use accurate trading signals to trade in batches in the short term, thereby creating opportunities for quick profits.
After the pullback, there is still good room for buying and opportunities.
8/4: Watch Support at 3343–3337 and Resistance at 3372–3378Good morning, everyone!
Last Friday, gold rallied strongly, driven by a combination of favorable economic data and bullish technical signals, decisively breaking above the 3337–3343 resistance zone. During the subsequent pullback, price action remained firm above 3337, followed by a secondary upward move.
From a technical standpoint, the structure suggests the potential for continued upward consolidation, with the possibility of filling the gap near 3396. However, significant resistance remains between 3372 and 3378 — failure to break through this zone decisively may result in a short-term pullback before further gains.
Key levels to watch:
Initial support: 3348 and 3337–3343 zone
Major support: 3312–3300 zone (a break below could signal deeper downside risk)
Trading Strategy:
Focus on intraday setups around these critical areas. Look for buy opportunities on dips as long as support holds, while remaining cautious of sharp pullbacks near strong resistance.
XAUUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H chart, price has made a sharp bullish move from the lower 1H OB zone (3,275 – 3,285) and is now hovering just below the 1H supply zone.
🔴 1H Supply Zone (OB):
3,354 – 3,368 → Price is consolidating here with no strong rejection yet.
🟢 1H Demand Zone (OB):
3,337 – 3,344 → First area to watch for potential bullish reaction.
👁 Mid-level support zone (waiting for confirmation):
3,310 – 3,320 → If price pulls back here and gives confirmation on lower timeframe, we’ll look for long setups.
📌 Trade scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish: Wait for a retracement into 3,310 – 3,320, and if confirmed on LTF (3M–5M), go long.
2️⃣ If price drops deeper into the lower OB zone 3,275 – 3,285 and gives strong bullish reaction → potential long setup again.
3️⃣ Bearish: If price rejects the current OB zone (3,354 – 3,368) with confirmation → short entry targeting the green zones below (~3,320 or 3,310).
✅ Entry only after confirmation on lower timeframe
❌ No confirmation = no trade
Smart Money / Price Action 5min scalping road map# 📈 ABC Pattern Explained for TradingView (Smart Money / Price Action)
The **ABC pattern** is a 3-leg corrective move in market structure, commonly used in price action, Elliott Wave, and Smart Money trading. It's mainly used to identify **pullbacks** or **correction zones** before a continuation of the main trend.
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## 🔹 Structure of the ABC Pattern:
- **Point A**: The beginning of the move — often the end of a strong impulsive wave.
- **Point B**: The first retracement or pullback from Point A.
- **Point C**: The second corrective move that often goes beyond A, forming the completion of the correction phase.
The ABC legs can be:
- **A to B**: Impulsive or corrective.
- **B to C**: Generally a counter-trend retracement.
---
## 🔸 How to Identify on Chart:
1. **Find a strong trend** (uptrend or downtrend).
2. **Look for the first correction** — mark it as Point A to B.
3. **Next wave** that attempts to continue the trend but fails — mark the end as Point C.
4. **Use Fibonacci tools** to measure:
- **B retracement of A** (typically 50%–78.6%)
- **C extension** of AB (typically 127.2%–161.8%)
---
## 🔧 How to Draw on TradingView:
> You can use the `Trend-Based Fib Extension` tool or draw manually using the `Path` or `ABC pattern` tool.
### Step-by-Step:
1. Select the `ABC Pattern` tool from the **left toolbar** under “Prediction and Measurement Tools”.
2. Click on **Point A** (3320$).
3. Click on **Point B** (3350$).
4. Click on **Point C** (final corrective wave 3300$ ).
5. TradingView will automatically plot the shape with labels.
---
## 🧠 Pro Tips:
- Look for **liquidity sweep** or **order blocks** near Point C.
- Entry opportunity is often **after C**, targeting a **continuation** of the main trend.
- ABC is often part of **larger structures** like **complex pullbacks** or **smart money retracements**.
---
## ✅ Example Use:
- **Buy Scenario**:
- Strong uptrend → Price drops from A to B (retracement).
- Then price rises to C, failing to break above A → Possible new higher low formed.
- Enter long if price breaks above Point B again.
- **Sell Scenario**:
- Strong downtrend → A to B is a pullback.
- C attempts new high, fails → short entry after break of B.
---
## 📌 Settings Tip for Mobile Users:
- Zoom in for better point control.
- Use “Lock” feature to prevent accidental move.
- Customize color and label visibility in the style tab.
---
## 🔍 Keywords:
`ABC Pattern`, `Elliott Correction`, `Smart Money`, `Liquidity Grab`, `Break of Structure`, `Trend Continuation`, `Price Action Trading`, `Market Structure`
---
GOLD Bullish Today , Long Scalping Entry Valid To Get 150 Pips !Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3296.00 and we have a 30 Mins Candle closure above it , so i`m waiting the price to go back and retest this res and new support and give me a good bullish price action to can enter a buy trade and we can targeting 100 to 150 pips .
Reasons To Enter :
1- New Support Created
2- Bullish Price Action
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
Gold’s Glitter Fades: Why $3,250 Is the Next Big Drop🧠 Fundamental Analysis
Despite recent bullish momentum, several macroeconomic and policy-driven headwinds could pressure gold prices lower toward the $3,250 mark:
1. **Fed Policy Shifts (Higher for Longer):**
The Fed’s persistent “higher-for-longer” stance on interest rates has kept real yields elevated. With the U.S. economy still showing resilience (strong labor market, consumer spending), markets are pricing out aggressive rate cuts. Higher real yields reduce gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset.
2. **Strengthening U.S. Dollar (DXY):**
Renewed dollar strength, driven by global risk aversion and higher U.S. yields, is acting as a headwind for gold. Since gold is priced in dollars, a rising DXY typically puts downward pressure on bullion.
3. **China & India Demand Weakness:**
Physical gold demand in key markets like China and India has been softening. High local prices, subdued consumer sentiment, and tighter liquidity conditions in China are dampening jewelry and investment demand.
4. **Geopolitical Easing:**
As geopolitical tensions (e.g., Middle East or Ukraine) show signs of stabilization, the fear premium embedded in gold could start to unwind.
---
## 📉 Technical Analysis – Bearish Setup to $3,250
From a chartist’s view, gold shows early signs of technical exhaustion and potential reversal:
1. **Rising Wedge Breakdown:**
Gold recently broke down from a **rising wedge pattern** on the daily timeframe—a classic bearish continuation setup. Price failed to hold the breakout above \$2,450 and is now forming lower highs.
2. **Bearish Divergence (RSI & MACD):**
Both RSI and MACD are flashing **bearish divergence** on the weekly chart. While price made new highs, momentum indicators did not confirm—suggesting weakening buying pressure.
3. **Fibonacci Retracement Targets:**
A pullback toward the **50% retracement** of the March–July rally aligns closely with the \$3,250 level. This would be a logical technical correction zone.
4. **Volume Profile Gaps:**
The VPVR (Volume Profile Visible Range) shows a low-volume node around $3,250, implying weak support. If price breaches the $3,400 psychological level, a swift drop to $3,250 is plausible.
5. **Elliott Wave Perspective:**
If the recent top was wave 5 of a larger impulsive structure, we may now be entering an **ABC corrective wave**, with Wave C potentially targeting the $3,250 area.
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## 📍 Key Levels to Watch
* **Resistance:** $3,420 $3,500
* **Support:** $3,400 → $3,250 → $3,000
* **Trigger Point:** Break below $3,400 with volume confirmation
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## 📊 Strategy Notes
* **Short Bias**: Watching for rallies to short near \$3,400–\$3,450 with tight stops.
* **Risk Management**: Be cautious around key macro events (NFP, CPI, FOMC).
* **Confluence is Key**: Look for alignment between macro headwinds and chart setups.
---
📌 **Conclusion:**
While gold’s long-term bull thesis remains intact, a medium-term correction to $3,250 appears increasingly likely due to weakening fundamentals, overbought technical conditions, and waning momentum. Traders should prepare for volatility and focus on disciplined execution around key support zones.
XAUUSD Thursday Chart Market Structure & Context
Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15)
Overall Trend: Bearish after a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside
Current Price Action: In a retracement phase toward a premium supply zone
Bias: Expecting a liquidity sweep upward, followed by a strong sell-off
🧱 Key Structure Zones
NYL.H & NYL.L: High and Low of the previous New York session
ASIA.H & ASIA.L: High and Low of the Asia session
NYPM.H & NYPM.L: High and Low of the New York PM session
🔍 Critical Levels & POIs
Breaker Block (Dark Gray Box)
Formed after price swept buy-side liquidity and then broke structure upward
Expected to act as a support zone for a temporary buy or a reaction point
BSL POI (Buy-Side Liquidity - Point of Interest)
A manipulated breakout area targeted by smart money
Expected to entice FOMO buyers before a sharp reversal downward
Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL)
Located below the current breaker block
This is the final liquidity target for a continuation sell move
📈 Expected Price Behavior
Price is currently retracing upward
Projected Scenario:
Price moves up to tap into the BSL POI zone (around 3,303–3,305)
Price rejects the POI, forming a potential distribution range
Breakdown from the range initiates a sell-off
Targeting final support / liquidity sweep around 3,268.04
🎯 Trade Setup & Plan
Bias: Sell after a liquidity sweep above key highs
Entry Trigger: Upon clear rejection from the BSL POI zone
Stop Loss: Above BSL POI (~3,307–3,309)
Take Profit: 3,268.04, yielding a Risk-to-Reward Ratio ~4.67
⏰ Killzone Timing (SMC Timing Model)
NY AM Killzone (14:00–19:00 GMT+7)
→ Ideal for entries; likely where liquidity manipulation occurs
NY Lunch & PM
→ Potential for distribution phase completion and sell-off
📌 Additional Notes
Price action reveals a clean FVG (Fair Value Gap) and a completed BSL sweep
Final downside target aims for the NYPM Low, identified as a weak low
Rejection from the breaker block is crucial; confirmation via BOS/CHoCH on lower TF is preferred
XAUUSD 1H AnalysisGold experienced a strong selloff, breaking multiple key S&R levels and forming a clear bearish structure. Currently, price is reacting from the PD Low + 1H demand zone (~3265) and pulling back.
🔍 Key Zones:
PD High – 3335: Major resistance / Supply
Supply Zone – 3295–3305: Key area to watch for bearish reaction
Current Resistance – 3285: Price testing this minor S&R level now
PD Low – 3265: Strong bullish reaction zone
📌 Potential Setups:
Sell Setup: If price enters 3295–3305 (Supply Zone) and forms rejection on 15M/1H → short toward 3265.
Buy Setup: If price breaks and holds above 3305, look for retest and continuation toward 3335.
Scalp Long: Small pullback toward 3275–3270 could offer intraday long up to 3295–3300.
📈 Bias: Still bearish unless price reclaims and sustains above 3305.
Patience is key — let price come to zone and wait for confirmation.
XAUUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price is currently approaching two key supply zones (OB 1H):
🔴 First OB zone: around 3354 – 3360
🔴 Second OB zone: around 3368 – 3370
We're watching these zones for potential short setups, only with confirmation on the lower timeframes (5M or 3M).
If price reacts to one of these OBs, we expect a move down toward the green 1H demand zone around 3280 – 3290, where a long setup may later form.
📌 Key scenarios:
1️⃣ Price hits the first OB → confirmation → short
2️⃣ Price moves to the second OB → confirmation → short
3️⃣ Target for both setups = green OB around 3280
4️⃣ No entry without confirmation from LTF
❗️ Do NOT enter without lower timeframe confirmation.
7/30: Watch for Sell Opportunities in the 3352–3363 ZoneGood morning, everyone!
After a period of consolidation and decline, gold has found preliminary support near the 3300 level, and early signs of a bottom formation are emerging. The key technical level now lies around the 3332–3337 resistance zone. Based on current price structure, a breakout is likely, with major resistance seen at 3352–3358, while 3323–3316 serves as the primary support range.
However, caution is warranted as today’s ADP employment data may significantly influence short-term price action. Whether gold can hold above the 3337–3343 level depends on the data's impact.
From a broader perspective:
On the weekly chart, the 20-period moving average (MA20) has climbed to around 3276, yet the overall structure remains bearish for bulls
On the daily chart, gold is still trading below the MA60, facing notable resistance
This week's key events — ADP (Wednesday), jobless claims, and NFP (Thursday and Friday) — will likely shape gold’s medium-term trend
Trading Strategy for Today:
Focus on the 3313–3353 trading range, and be highly responsive to data-driven volatility.
Important note: If gold rises to 3343–3358 before the ADP release, then regardless of whether the data is bullish or bearish, the preferred approach is to sell into strength, as a post-data pullback is a likely scenario.
Sell Analysis – 30M Smart Money Concept Sell Analysis – 30M Smart Money Concept
📊 Chart Context:
Timeframe: 30M
Market: Gold (XAUUSD)
Bias: Bearish – Scalp Sell
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🔍 Key Observations:
Premium Zone Rejection:
Price tapped into a premium supply zone formed after a clear break of structure (BoS) to the downside. This confirms seller dominance at higher pricing levels.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) Fill:
The price filled a previous FVG imbalance and showed rejection without closing above the origin of the impulse. This shows liquidity grab behavior typical in smart money moves.
Bearish Order Block Confirmation:
A bearish OB was respected and reacted to. The latest candle shows strong rejection with a long upper wick and volume tapering — an early confirmation of potential entry trigger for scalp short.
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🧨 Entry Strategy (Scalp Sell):
Entry Zone:
Inside the reaction to the OB and FVG (just below the premium zone)
✅ 3325 ~3330
Stop Loss:
Just above the last high or FVG origin
✅ 3340
Take Profit:
TP1: Towards the equilibrium of the recent impulse leg
✅ 3300
TP2: Below the discount zone, targeting liquidity under recent lows
✅ 3280
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⚠️ Risk Note:
This is a scalping setup, not a swing trade. Higher timeframes still show mixed signals, so risk management is key. Avoid over-leveraging.
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🏁 Summary:
> A high-probability scalp sell setup confirmed by smart money concepts: BOS → FVG Fill → OB Rejection → Liquidity Grab → Bearish Continuation.